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Page 1: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

NO CE T NOCET

Page 2: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

• NO CE T NOCET

Page 3: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

• MARKET FAILURE IN EDUCATION

→UNDERPROVISION OF RESEARCH AND RECRUITMENT

IN TAX DESIGN AND PUBLIC ECONOMICS

• AN EFFICIENT TAX SYSTEM IS IMPORTANT FOR

GROWTH IN A LARGE WELFARE STATE

• KNOWLEDGE AS COUNTERWEIGHT TO LOBBYISM

• THE PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTS MORE IN TAX

PLANNING EXPERTISE THAN THE PUBLIC SECTOR

Page 4: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

-

• ONE KEY RESPONSE TO SOME OF THESE CHALLENGES IS TO REQUIRE FIRMS TO DECLARE TAXES ON-LINE

Page 5: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

MULTINATIONALS AND PROFIT SHIFTING

•(TØRSLØV, WIER, AND ZUCMAN, 2018)

(CRIVELLI, DE MOOIJ, AND KEEN, 2016)

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Page 6: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

Page 7: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

• HIGH WEIGHT

• POOR QUALITY

• TAXING LARGE ENTERPRISES (WAGE INCOME HARD TO FIND)

• BENEFIT FROM HIGHER WAGES AND PRODUCTION OUTWEIGHED BY TAX BASE EROSION

Page 8: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

HOW TO CURB THIN CAPITALIZATION AND EXCESSIVE INTEREST DEDUCTIONS

RATIO RULES (SAFE HARBOR RULES):

EARNING STRIPPING RULES

Assets

Debt

Amount of

Interest that

can be

deducted

1

3𝑠𝑎𝑦 EBIT or EBITDA

Which rule is better?

Interest expenses

up to say 25% of

EBIT or EBITDA

allowed

Page 9: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

•GRESIK, SCHINDLER AND SCHJELDERUP (2018 JPUBE)

NORWEGIAN TAX COMMITTEE 2013

GRESIK, SCHINDLER AND SCHJELDERUP (2018 JPUBE)

Page 10: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

AVERAGE PROFITABILITY IN THE ENTIRE POPULATION OF FIRMS IN NORWAY BY FIRM TYPE

10

TI/TA = Taxable income / total assets

Bakke, Hopland and Møen (2019)

FCC = Foreign

controlled

corporations

DM NC = Domestic

Controlled affiliates

of Norwegian MNCs

DOM = Domestic

firms

Page 11: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

START OUT AS DOMESTIC, THEN BECOME PART OF MNC GROUP, AND THEN SOME BECOME DOMESTIC AGAIN

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Firm A (domestic) Firm A (MNC owned)

Taxable profit

Main explanation for drop in profitability when firms become multinational is higher costs related to

intermediate goods and overhead often bought from other firms in the group goods (transfer pricing)

drop of 24% in taxable income when firms become multinational

16000 firms in the sample.

Period is 1993 - 2012

Page 12: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

STRICTER TRANSFER PRICING REGULATION COMBINED WITH MORE FREQUENT AUDITS

INTRODUCED IN 2007/08 IN NORWAY. WHAT WAS THE EFFECT?

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Loss with strict regulation Loss without strict regulation

Overall tax revenue lost to to income shifting by MNCs

in 2012 is 6% for Norway

(Bakke, Hopland, Møen 2019)

Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data).

OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income loss to be in the interval 4-10% of global revenues

Potential Tax GAP:

Using the difference

between MNCs and

domestic firms just

prior to the new

regulation the gap is

13%

6%

13 %

Page 13: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

TRADE FLOWS

• NET VALUE OF TRADE FLOWS CHANGE IN RESPONSE TO CHANGES IN TAX

RATES INCOME SHIFTING

• FOR THE FULL SAMPLE OF FIRMS THE STUDY FINDS THAT A ONE PERCENTAGE POINT

HIGHER TAX RATE ABROAD REDUCES THE NET VALUE OF INTRA-FIRM TRADE BETWEEN 8.6

AND 11.6 PERCENT.

Page 14: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

• ON AVERAGE LARGE SHIFT MORE THAN SMALL

BIG FOUR SHIFTS THE MOST

• BIG FOUR ONE PERCENTAGE POINT HIGHER

TAX RATE ABROAD NET VALUE OF INTRA-FIRM TRADE BY 18 PERCENT

• LARGE FIRMS BIG FOUR ONE PERCENTAGE POINT HIGHER TAX

RATE ABROAD NET VALUE OF INTRA-FIRM TRADE BY 25 PERCENT

Page 15: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

THE DIGITAL ECONOMY: SOME CONCERNS (I)

• BUSINESS MODEL IN MANY DIGITAL FIRMS IS BASED ON BARTER (TAX EVASION)

• EXAMPLE GOOGLE:

– USERS GET ACCESS TO BROWSER FOR FREE; GOOGLE GETS DIGITAL FINGERPRINTS FOR FREE

→POLICY RESPONSE 1: REQUIRE POSITIVE PRICES ON ALL TRANSACTIONS (DIFFICULT)

→POLICY RESPONSE 2: SEE FINGERPRINTS AS A NATIONAL RESOURCE. NATIONAL FEE TO COLLECT

FINGERPRINTS DEPENDENT ON NUMBER OF USERS (MUCH LIKE FISH QUOTAS - DIFFICULT?)

→POLICY RESPONSE 3: TRANSACTION COST ON SALES (AD REVENUE) ABOVE A THRESHOLD (FRANCE, UK)

→POLICY RESPONSE 4: OECD PILLARS TO TAX DIGITAL FIRMS BASED ON VALUE CREATION (IN PROCESS)

15

Page 16: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

THE DIGITAL ECONOMY: SOME CONCERNS (II)

• DIGITAL ECONOMY IS BASED ON INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

• PATENTS MOVED TO TAX HAVENS (KARINSKY AND RIEDEL 2012)

• INCOME SHIFTED BY ROYALTY

→ POLICY RESPONSE: SOURCE TAX ON ROYALTY EQUAL TO THE CORPORATE RATE

• SOME DIGITAL BUSINESS MODEL BASED ON TAX EVASION (AVOID THIRD PARTY REPORTING)

• AIRBNB HOSTS SELF-REPORT

• UBER DRIVERS SELF-REPORT

• WE KNOW FROM RESEARCH THAT SELF-REPORTING INCREASES TAX EVASION

→ POLICY RESPONSE: FORCE THE DIGITAL FIRMS (JUST LIKE DOMESTIC FIRMS) TO REPORT INCOME

→ AIRBNB: REPORT INCOME ACCRUED TO THOSE WHO RENT OUT THEIR HOUSES

→ UBER: REPORT DRIVER PAYMENTS

Page 17: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

FOOD FOR THOUGHT

One single transaction: Passenger pays driver $ 10Passenger

pay $ 10

through

the app to

Raiser NL

UBER has effectively divided what was a single transaction into three transactions

(1) Payment by passenger; (2) fee for use of the app; (3) payment to driver.

Is this an artificial construct to save tax?

Uber (Rasier Ltd)

Netherlands

Driver pay

Raiser

$2 for app

use

Raiser pay

$8 to driver

Page 18: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

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Page 20: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

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Page 22: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

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Page 23: NO CE T NOCET · Overall lost tax revenue due to profit shifting is 6% (Tørsløv, Wiers and Zucman find 8% on Norwegian data). OECD 2015 (action 11) assess the global corporate income

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Guttorm SchjelderupHead of Center

Jarle MøenDeputy Head of Center Dirk Schindler

Floris T. Zoutman Evelina G. Zoutman Arnt O. Hopland

Tina Søreide

10 professors

Ingrid Sjursen

Aija PolokovaAndreas Olden

Mohammed Mardan Maximillian Todenhaupt

Henrik Svensli

Steffen Juranek

Jonas Andersson

Thomas Lange (NTA)

4 assistant professors

5 PhD students

Øivind Andre Aase (HVL)

+ several

affliated

NHH staff

members,

emeriti

and

adjunct

professors

Traini Simone

Fred Schroyen Juranek