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Greenhill Scott L. Bok Chief Executive Officer JMP Securities 2017 Financial Services Conference June 22, 2017 Mid-Year 2017 Update on Performance, Outlook & Strategy

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Page 1: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Scott L. Bok – Chief Executive Officer

JMP Securities 2017 Financial Services Conference

June 22, 2017

Mid-Year 2017 Update on Performance, Outlook & Strategy

Page 2: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Forward-Looking Statements

Statements contained in this Presentation that are not based on

current or historical fact are forward-looking in nature. Such forward-

looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and

expectations and are made pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation

Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on known

and unknown risks, assumptions, uncertainties and other factors. For a

further discussion of such factors, you should read the Company’s

Forms 10-K, Forms 10-Q, subsequent Forms 8-K and other periodic

reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The

Company’s actual results, performance, or achievements may differ

materially from any future results, performance, or achievements

expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. The

Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any

forward-looking statements

1

Page 3: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Summary Investment Thesis

Long history of market share growth

Long history of high profit margins

Long history of strong dividend and ~flat share count

– Highest yield in sector (8%+*)

Very strong 2016 performance

– Fastest growth among competitors

Slow pace of announcements / revenue YTD 2017

– Deal environment weaker than expected

– Our business mix not ideal for current market

– Episodic nature of business

Longer term outlook more favorable

– Good level of strategic dialogues

– Global macro M&A environment should rebound

– Adding a lot of new senior talent

2 * 8.79% as of 6/20/17

Page 4: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Greenhill Has Gained Substantial Market Share Over Time

3

0

100

200

300

400

500

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Greenhill Advisory Revenue Lazard Advisory Revenue Goldman Sachs Advisory Revenue

Source: Company filings and releases

3.9x

2.0x

1.3x

Advisory Revenue vs Largest M&A Advisor and Largest Independent

Advisor, since 1999 (earliest available data)

Page 6: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Strong Record of Retaining Clients

Note: Selected 2015-17 transaction clients for which we have advised on multiple transactions 5

Page 7: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Highly Diverse Client Base by Sector (8 Sectors @ 8%+ of announcements)

6 Note: Based on 2015-17 announced deal count. Deal count and industry allocations based on target industry, both per Thomson One data as of 6/19/17

13%7%

18% 17%

7%

21%

8%

1%

6%2%

3%

6%8% 29%

12%

10% 30%

9%8%

12%10%

12%

6%8%

15%

10%

6%10%

7%13%

10%

18%

9%9%

9%

11%8%

4%

5% 11%10%

6%3%

3%

5%4%

6% 1%1%

1%2%

2%

4%3%

1%3%

25%

14%

24% 22% 20% 21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Greenhill Evercore Lazard Moelis PJT Houlihan Lokey

Pe

rce

nt

of

Co

mp

an

y T

ota

l D

ea

l C

ou

nt Industrials and Materials

Real Estate

Government and Agencies

Telecommunications

Media and Entertainment

High Technology

Healthcare

Financials

Energy and Power

Retail

Consumer Products and Services

Page 8: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

70% 68%75%

80% 79%

94%

13%11%

8%

7% 6%

3%

3%7%

6%

6%3%

9%7%

5%4%

7%

4%8%

5% 3% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Greenhill Evercore Lazard Moelis PJT HoulihanLokey

Perc

en

t o

f C

om

pan

y T

ota

l D

eal C

ou

nt

Over 5bn

2bn - 5bn

1bn - 2bn

500mm - 1bn

<500mm or NA

More Weighted to Larger Transactions Than Most Peers

7 Note: Based on 2015/17 announced deal count. Deal count and target size, both per Thomson One data as of 6/19/17

Page 9: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

8

More Weighted to Non-U.S. Than Most Peers

47%

74%

34%

66% 64%

76%

30%

17%

51%

14%24%

17%23%

9%15%

20%

12%6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Greenhill Evercore Lazard Moelis PJT Houlihan Lokey

Perc

en

t o

f C

om

pan

y T

ota

l D

eal C

ou

nt

Rest of World

Europe

United States/Canada

Note: Based on 2015/17 announced deal count. Deal count and geographic allocations based on client’s nationality, both per Thomson One data as of 6/19/17

Page 10: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Strong History of High Profitability

Pre-Tax Margin (Including All GAAP Compensation Costs)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(1) 2016

GHL 35% 38% 21% 23% 25% 25% 25% 17% 26%

MC n.a. 12% 16% (2%) 10% 18% 9% 26% 27%

LAZ 2% (12%) 8% 13% 6% 11% 23% 23% 22%

HLI n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 18% 19% 18% 20%

EVR (5%) 7% 9% 7% 11% 18% 19% 11% 19%

25%+ GAAP Pre-Tax Margins in 7 of Last 10 Years

9

Note: HLI figures calendarized to 12/31 (1) LAZ adjusted for tax receivable agreement in 2015 Source: Public filings

Page 11: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

High Profitability Has Led to Strong Cash Flow* to Fund Dividends

10

We’ve Paid $500mm+ in Dividends Since 2008, Funded

By Only 62% of Our Cash Flow

* Defined as net income plus non-cash compensation

($ in millions) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Net Income $49 $71 $35 $45 $42 $47 $43 $26 $61

Non-Cash Compensation 31 40 54 53 54 56 40 46 46

Total $80 $111 $88 $97 $96 $103 $83 $72 $107

Dividends $50 $54 $57 $58 $57 $56 $56 $59 $62

Dividend Payout 62% 48% 64% 59% 59% 55% 68% 82% 58%

Page 12: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Cash Flow in Excess of Dividends Has Funded Significant Share Repurchases

11

% Change in Share Count

Since GHL 2004 IPO

Advisory Focused Firms

Greenhill 4%

Lazard 33%

Moelis 116%

Evercore 75%

Diversified Large Banks

BofAML 164%

Barclays 164%

Citigroup 432%

Credit Suisse 74%

Deutsche Bank 175%

Goldman Sachs (18%)

JPMorgan 78%

Morgan Stanley 66%

UBS 249%

Large Bank Average 154%

Note: Share count growth based on latest reported average fully diluted shares outstanding (Q2 2004 to Q1 2017) (1) Share count growth based on shares outstanding since IPO Source: Company filings and releases

(1)

(1)

(1)

Page 13: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

In Sum, We Have Routinely Returned Far More Than 100% of Net Income to Shareholders

12

$50 $54 $57 $58 $57 $56 $56 $59 $62

$22

$34 $37

$66 $83

$55

$36

$12

$28 $72

$88 $94

$123

$140

$112

$92

$71

$90

$49

$71

$35

$45 $42 $47 $43

$26

$61

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Dividends Share Repurchases Net Income

($ in millions)

Page 14: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Greenhill 29%

Evercore 27%

PJT 23%

Credit Suisse 15%

Houlihan Lokey 15%

Morgan Stanley 13%

Moelis 11%

Jefferies 3%

Lazard 2%

JP Morgan (1%)

UBS (4%)

Citigroup (9%)

Deutsche Bank (15%)

Goldman Sachs (16%)

BofAML (16%)

2016 Was a Particularly Good Year for Greenhill

13

The Advisory Fee Pool for Our Full Competitor Group

Declined in 2016

Note: Foreign revenues converted to USD using period average exchange rate Source: Company filings and releases

We Ranked #1 in

Advisory Revenue

Increase in 2016

Page 15: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

2017 Deal Announcements Slow, Impacting Revenue

First half announcements / revenue slower than expected

– Big bank advisory revenue down in Q1, on top of a decline

for last year

Resulting compensation ratio therefore above normal

Earnings / cash flow lower given fixed cost base

14

The Key Factors are the General Deal Environment, Our

Particular Business Mix and the Episodic Nature of a

Transactions Business

Page 16: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Weaker Than Expected Deal Environment* a Key Factor YTD

Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016

– Fewer deals in all size categories

– High end particularly impacted

– Total deal volume down 18%

U.S. volume down materially

European number of $500mm+ deals below 2010-16 average

– Still less than half of 2007 peak level

Australian number of $500mm+ deals lowest since 2003

15 * 2017 data based on announced transaction data, annualized as of 6/19/17 per Thomson One

Plenty of Strategic Dialogues, But Politics Likely Impacting

Deal Announcements in U.S. / U.K. / Brazil / Elsewhere

Page 17: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Global (when deal activity ex-U.S. has been weak)

Weighted to M&A (when restructuring has been more active)

Weighted to Large Cap (when small cap M&A has been more active)

Greenhill Business Mix Not Optimal for Current Environment

16

Greenhill’s Business Mix (Large Global M&A) is One That

Top Investment Banks Have Always Aspired To, and Has

Worked Over the Long Term

Page 18: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

While We Aim for a Much Improved H2, Our Main Focus is on Longer Term Goals

Client-focused culture of integrity, excellence and teamwork

Attracting, developing and retaining new talent

– Upgrades as well as net new additions

Increasing share of global advisory fee pool

High profitability

– Reflecting all GAAP costs

Strong cash flow

Strong dividend

Flat share count

17

Page 19: No Slide Title · Global annualized 2017 deal data down vs 2016 – Fewer deals in all size categories – High end particularly impacted – Total deal volume down 18% U.S. volume

Greenhill

Large 2017 Class of New Recruits Bodes Well for 2018 and Beyond

18

North America:

Restructuring

Industrials

Energy Services

Canada Mining

Canada Mining / Power

Recruit:

Barclays Global Head

UBS Head of Capital Goods

Perella Weinberg

Nomura (ex Morgan Stanley)

Goldman Sachs

Europe:

Spain (2)

BBVA M&A Head Plus MD & Team

Australia:

Natural Resources

Goldman Sachs Regional Sector Head

MD Recruiting Pipeline Remains Strong