no slide title · kami is a highly-differentiated project 4 underpinned by 1.1 billion tonnes at...
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Investor Presentation ‖ September 2018 ‖ IRON: TSX
Premium Quality
Disclaimer
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Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking InformationThis presentation contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act and Canadian securities laws concerning anticipated developments and eventsthat may occur in the future. Forward looking information contained in this presentation includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to: (i) the estimation of mineral resources; (ii) the market,demand for, and future price of iron ore and related products; (iii) estimates of future steel production; (iv) estimation of railway capacity; (v) the negotiation, conclusion and potential terms of infrastructurecontracts; (vi) potential economic benefits of the Kami Project; (vii) future freight costs, (viii) the potential advantages of iron ore concentrate produced from the Kami Project and (ix) the results of the UpdatedPreliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) including statements about future production, future operating and capital costs, the projected IRR, NPV, payback period, construction timelines and productiontimelines for the Kami Project.
In certain cases, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words such as "plans", "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends","anticipates" or "does not anticipate", or "believes", or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will be taken", "occur" or "beachieved" suggesting future outcomes, or other expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions, intentions or statements about future events or performance. Forward-looking information contained inthis presentation is based on certain factors and assumptions regarding, among other things, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the realization of resource estimates, iron ore and other metalprices, the timing and amount of future exploration and development expenditures, the estimation of initial and sustaining capital requirements, the estimation of labour and operating costs, the availability ofnecessary financing and materials to continue to explore and develop the Kami Project in the short and long-term, the progress of exploration and development activities, the receipt of necessary regulatoryapprovals , the estimation of insurance coverage, and assumptions with respect to currency fluctuations, environmental risks, title disputes or claims, and other similar matters. While the Company considersthese assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available to it, they may prove to be incorrect.
Forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially differentfrom any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking information. Such factors include risks inherent in the exploration and development of mineral deposits,including risks relating to changes in project parameters as plans continue to be redefined including the possibility that mining operations may not commence at the Kami Property, risks relating to variations inmineral resources, grade or recovery rates resulting from current exploration and development activities, risks relating to the ability to access rail transportation, sources of power and port facilities, risksrelating to changes in iron ore prices and the worldwide demand for and supply of iron ore and related products, risks related to increased competition in the market for iron ore and related products and inthe mining industry generally, risks related to current global financial conditions, uncertainties inherent in the estimation of mineral resources, access and supply risks, reliance on key personnel, operationalrisks inherent in the conduct of mining activities, including the risk of accidents, labour disputes, increases in capital and operating costs and the risk of delays or increased costs that might be encounteredduring the development process, regulatory risks, including risks relating to the acquisition of the necessary licenses and permits, financing, capitalization and liquidity risks, including the risk that the financingnecessary to fund the exploration and development activities at the Kami Project may not be available on satisfactory terms, or at all, risks related to disputes concerning property titles and interest,environmental risks, and the additional risks identified in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Information Form for the most recently completed financial year or other reports and filingsapplicable with Canadian securities regulators. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The forward-looking information is made as of the date of thispresentation. Except as required by applicable securities laws, the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information.
Additional InformationFor further information on the Kami Project please refer to the Technical Reports entitled “Update to the Re-Scoped Preliminary Economic Assessment of the Kamistiatusset (Kami) Iron Ore Property, Labrador”dated effective November 7, 2017 and “An Analysis of the Economic Impacts Associated with the Kami Iron Ore Project: A 8 Mtpa, 26 Year Project” effective November 25, 2017 (the “Reports”) that areavailable on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
NI 43-101 Qualified PersonThe technical information presented in this presentation is from the Report. The Report was prepared under the supervision of Mr. Angelo Grandillo, P.Eng, of BBA, a Qualified Person as defined by NI 43-101,with contributions from Gemtec Limited and Watts, Griffis and McOuat (“WGM”). Mr. Grandillo is a Qualified Person as defined by NI 43-101 and Mr. Grandillo is independent of Alderon. Mr. Grandillo hasreviewed and approved the technical information contained in the Report, with the exception of the mineral resource estimate. Mr. Michael Kociumbas, P.Geo. with independent firm, Watts, Griffis andMcOuat Limited, is a Qualified Persons as defined by NI 43-101 and is responsible for reviewing and approving the mineral resource estimate and the QA/QC associated with the mineral resource estimate. Mr.Kociumbas is independent of Alderon.
Investment highlights
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Shovel-ready project with robust economics (USD)• $1.8 billion NPV8
• 25.7% IRR• C1 cost = $29.94 (FOB)• Capex = $999.4 million
Ideal location in Canada’s premier iron-ore district
with secured access to low-cost utilities
and transport
Market dynamics favour premium product
with high-iron content of 65.2% and ultra-low deleterious elements
Iron-ore market has improved with Chinese demand
for higher-grade product expected to remain strong
Projected premium product quality represents an exceptional value-in-use proposition for the steelmakers
Source: Alderon Iron Ore
Kami is a highly-differentiated project
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Underpinned by 1.1 billion tonnes at 29.6% iron of Measured & Indicated Resources
Partners Infrastructure Product Location
Labrador Trough
• Safe & stable
jurisdiction
• Long history
as a mining region
• Hydro-electric power
at competitive rates
• Access to skilled labor
Premium Iron Ore
• High-iron content
at 65.2%-Fe
• Low phosphorus
• Low alumina
• 100% of production
committed
Strategic Partnerships
• HBIS Group
• Altius Minerals
• Glencore
Ideally Located
• 14.5 km to
common-carrier
railway with +80Mtpa
capacity
• 15.5km to high
voltage grid – power
agreement signed
• Agreement in place to
ship year-round via
deep-water port
Source: Alderon Iron Ore
Measured and Indicated Resources of the Rose Deposit 1093.2 Tonnes (Million) 29.6% TFe
Total Inferred 522.6 Tonnes (Million) 29.5% Tfe
Premium product and strong market form the foundation of Kami Project’s launch
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• Kami offers a premium product relative to benchmark 62%-Fe grade with higher iron content and ultra-low impurities
• Chinese steel production remains robust; India positioned to drive next wave of steel intensity growth
• Iron-ore consumption expected to peak by mid to late next decade (CAGR=0.4%)
• Price spread will be sustained in the long term
Source: Accenture Strategy5
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Kami will provide a differentiated product to supply an evolving market
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• High-iron content with ultra-low impurities
• Increasing demand and price support underpinned by tougher environmental standards
• Shift towards bigger blast furnaces in China ➔ require higher quality ores
• Steelmakers turning to premium raw materials to bridge the productivity gap
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Source: Wood Mackenzie
Bifurcation of the market setting in
China’s drive for emissions reduction is leading to supply side reforms and shift to higher-quality raw materials 6
Superior quality concentrate relative to Australian and Brazilian sinter plant fines
Iron %*(Fe)
Phosphorus %*(P)
Aluminium oxide%*(Al2O3 ) Kami Concentrate
High-iron content
Magnetite content• Lowers fuel cost for sintering
Low phosphorus • Offers potential capital avoidance
– no dephosphorization stage• Reduces operating costs, improves
Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF) efficiency (lower cycle time and heat loss)
Low alumina (Aluminium oxide)
• Improves blast furnace operation– Lowers slag (by-product) fluidity– Protects tuyeres
Source: Platts & Company Disclosures 7
Premium product allows end users to improve productivity, reduce costs and meet stringent environmental standards
Flight to quality has become a well-established theme in the iron ore market
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“Quality ore with 65% iron content gained every month, hitting $91/t on July 13, while the benchmark 62% ore is down 14%. The divergence has exploded the gap between the two.”
– Bloomberg, July 2018
“When profitability is really good, the marginal benefit from producing an additional tonne of steel is bigger, so mills try to push as hard as they can on productivity.”
– Macquarie Analyst, September 2017
“What China needs now and in the future will be more sophisticated ore, with higher iron and lower impurity content.”
– Beijing-based iron ore trader at Concord Fortune, July 2018
“Time was when iron ore was just another commodity.” – Mining Journal, August 2018
“The outperformance of higher grade iron ore does confirm that China’s steel mills have been using better quality ore to maximise output and lower emissions.”
– Reuters, August 2018
Our approach continues to unlock Kami’s potential
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Local Skilled Workforce
High-Grade Product, Low
Impurities
Guaranteed Access to Railway
Strategic PartnershipsEstablished
24-Year Life-of-Mine (LOM)
Year-round Access to Global Market
100% of Product Sold
Port + Power Agreements Concluded
Location in Labrador Trough provides low-cost access to utilities, transportation and skilled labour 9
Rio Tinto IOC
21 Mtpa
Quebec Iron Ore
7.4 Mtpa
ArcelorMittal
24 Mtpa
High-Grade Iron Ore Kami Project
Alderon Iron Ore Corp.
Labrador City
Town of Wabush
Strategic partnerships in place
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• HBIS Group (formerly Hebei Iron & Steel) is China’s second largest steelmaker and has invested a total of C$182.2 million to date & will purchase 60% of annual production − C$119.9 million in project equity for 25% interest in the Kami Project− C$62.3 million in corporate equity for 19.9% of Alderon common shares
• Altius Minerals holds 39% of the outstanding shares of Alderon− An exploration and project-generation company with a focus
on Newfoundland and Labrador− Hold multiple successful investments in the Labrador Trough
• Glencore will purchase 40% of annual production− One of the world’s largest global diversified natural resource companies
Partners will purchase 100% of annual production
Anglo–Swiss multinational commodity trading and mining company.
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada-based diversified mining royalty company.
Chinese iron and steel manufacturing conglomerate.
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Access to infrastructure secured
• Concluded long-term agreement with Port of Sept-Îles in return for a C$20.46 million investment
• Multi-user berth in deep water up to 23 meters, suitable for large, cape-size vessels
• Loading capacity of 50 to 60Mt per year
• Power availability confirmed by Crown Utility
• Power Purchase Agreement concluded
• Life of mine contract for 65 mega-watts at very competitive rates
• Nearby common-carrier railway with over 80Mt per year capacity → guaranteed access
Source: Alderon Iron Ore 11The Port of Sept-Îles − One of North America's largest ore-handling ports.
Updated Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) highlights
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US$1.8 billion NPV8
25.7% IRR
• PEA updated in November 2017
• Capital and operating costs significantly reduced from 2012 bankable feasibility study
• US$999.4 million estimated initial capital cost
• Nationalization of port assets by Québec government −a significant enabler
Labrador City, Canada
A feasibility study refresh is underway
Source: Alderon Iron Ore
Robust economics*
Annual Production (65.2% Fe con) 7.8Mtpa
Initial CAPEX $999.4 million
Cash operating cost (FOB) $29.9/t
Capital Intensity ~$130/t
Average Annual Cash Flow +$300 million
Payback Period 3.7 years
Measured and Indicated Resources of the Rose Deposit 1
1,093.2Mt @ 29.6% TFe
Mine Life 24 years
*Pre-tax, USDNote 1: Only the measured and indicated mineral resources within the Rose Deposit, which consists of the Rose Central and the Rose North deposits, have been considered in the November 2017 PEA. Total Measured & Indicated Resources including Mills Lake is 1,274.5 Mt @ 29.8% TFe.
Updated PEA Results: November 2017
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Kamistiatusset High-Grade Iron Ore Property (the "Property" or "Kami")
Aug-18
Québec
Labrador
Rio Tinto IOC
21 Mtpa
Quebec Iron Ore
7.4 Mtpa
ArcelorMittal
24 MtpaAlderon Iron Ore Corp.
M&I 1.1 Bt @ 29.6%*
Inferred 522.6 Mt @ 29.5%
Labrador City
Town of Wabush
*Note:Measured & Indicated Resources including Mills Lake is 1.27 Bt @ 29.8% TFe. Only the measured and indicated mineral resources within the Rose Deposit, which consists of the Rose
Central and the Rose North deposits, have been considered in the November 2017 PEA.
Conventional flowsheetHigh-quality product
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Gravity Separation
Rail
Regrind
Primary GrindingGyratory Crusher
Magnetic Separation
%Fe 29.5%Fe Rec % 100%Wt % 100%
Spiral Concentrate Mag Concentrate
Spiral Tails Final tails
%Fe 65.2%% SiO2 4.3%Fe Rec % 77.7%Wt % 35.1%%Mn 0.81%P80 267 um
Final Concentrate
% of total concentrate19%
% of total concentrate81%
Load and Haul
%Fe 66.0%Fe Rec tot % 14.9%Wt % of feed 6.5%
%Fe 65.0%Fe Rec tot % 62.8%Wt % of feed 28.6%
Drill and Blast
Summary of CAPEX & OPEX
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Estimated Capital Costs (M$ US)
Mine (Including Pre-Stripping) $ 135.4
Mineral Processing $ 254.1
Site Infrastructure and Utilities $ 312.8
General Services and Indirects $ 246.5
Pre-Operational Capitalized Costs $ 19.6
Owner’s Costs $ 31.0
TOTAL $ 999.4
Estimated Average LOM Operating Costs (US $/t Dry Concentrate)
Mining $ 10.79
Mineral Processing $ 5.40
General Site $ 0.50
General Administration $ 2.26
Environmental and Tailings Management
$ 0.39
Rail Transportation and Port Services
$ 10.60
TOTAL $ 29.94
Capex & Opex estimates show robust project economics
PEA demonstrates significant CAPEX reduction relative to the 2012 feasibility study
Comparison Points 2017 Updated PEA* 2012 Feasibility Study*
Annual Production (65.2% Fe con) 7.8Mtpa 8.0Mtpa
Initial CAPEX $999.4 million $1,272.9 million
Cash operating cost (FOB) $29.94/t $42.17/t
Projected Payback Period 3.7 years 3.1 years
Measured and Indicated Resource of the Rose Deposit (COG=15%, 29.6% TFe)
1093.2 Mt 1093.2 Mt
Estimated Mine life 24 years 30 years
17*Pre-tax and in United States dollars. The 2012 Feasibility Study used an exchange rate of $1.00CDN = US$1.00 and was in constant Q4-2012 dollars. No escalation or inflation was applied to costs to bring them to Q1-2017 dollars.
Factors resulting in reduced Capex & Opex• Government of Quebec now owner of facilities at Pointe-Noire area of Port of Sept Iles, cancelling
need to build own stockyard and terminal
• Considerably slower project activity in the region
• Lower ocean freight rates
• Weaker Canadian dollar
Cash operating costs reduced by ~29%
Our role in sustainability
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Alderon as a corporate citizen
Focus on responsible business behaviors and sustainable practices
CommunityInvolvement
Environmental Responsibility
EconomicGrowth
Be a catalyst for economic growth
Be proactive in environmental
stewardship
Be part of bettering the community
Kami represents significant benefits for Federal & Provincial economies
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• Economic Impact Analysis− Performed by Dr. Wade Locke of Memorial University− Published in November 2017
• Assessment focused on employment, GDP and treasury impacts
• Covers construction and operations
• Spans project lifecycle of 26 years
Kami will create jobs and tax revenue*
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$5.5 billion in total incomes to workers and businesses in Newfoundland & Labrador and Québec
$7.6 billionIncomes to workers and businesses across Canada
$5.1 billionFederal and provincial government revenues
>100,000Direct, indirect and induced Jobs
$21.3 billionNational GDP contributions over 26-year period
* Economic impact assessment completed by Dr. Wade Locke of Memorial University, December 2017.* Over 26 year project cycle.
The Port at Pointe-Noire
Sustainable development
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• Fully released from Federal and Provincial Environmental Assessment; permitted for construction start
• Concluded stakeholder agreements− Provincial benefits agreement with Newfoundland
and Labrador− Municipal agreements with Labrador City and Wabush− Impact/benefit agreement with two Indigenous
organizations
• Project Consultation Plan involves engaging community residents and groups, local businesses, and government regulators
• Indigenous Relations Policy involves information sharing, engagement, and traditional land and resource use studies
Source: Alderon Iron Ore
Kami Project −Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada
Company profile
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Ticker IRON: TSX
Shares Outstanding as of August 31, 2018 138,282,880
Options as of August 31, 2018 7,285,000
Warrants as of August 31, 2018 5,241,436
Fully Diluted as of August 31, 2018 151,709,316
Cash & Cash Equivalents(as of June 30, 2018)
CDN $5.7M
52-week Share Price Range $0.21 - $0.38
Current Share Price as of September 4, 2018 $0.30
Major Shareholders in Alderon Iron Ore Corp*.
Altius Minerals 39%
HBIS Group 19.6%
Other Insiders ~2%
*Source: SEDI
Retail, 39%Strategic Partners &
Other Insiders, 61%
Shareholder Distribution
Board of Directors ManagementMark Morabito – Chairman
Tayfun Eldem
Adrian Loader
John Baker
David Porter
Zhou Wei (Wayne)
Dr. Andrew Furey
Rolland G. Morier
Tayfun Eldem – CEO
Kate-Lynn Genzel – CFO
Gary Norris – Executive VP
Government & Community Affairs
Xinneng (David) Li – VP Asia
Pacific Affairs
Olen Aasen – Corporate
Secretary
Kami has been largely de-risked and remains a shovel-ready project
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Project Development
✓ Detailed engineering advanced to 50%✓ Key processing equipment purchased✓ Extensive flowsheet and product testing completed
Infrastructure Agreements
✓ Port access agreement concluded✓ Power purchase agreement concluded ✓ Rail access guaranteed under common-carrier obligations
Environmental Assessment
✓ Released from Federal & Provincial Environmental Assessments✓ Mining and surface leases secured
Off-Take✓ Long-term agreement with HBIS in place for 60% of production✓ Long-term agreement in place with Glencore for 40% of production
Stakeholder Agreements
✓ Provincial benefits agreement and diversity plan concluded✓ Municipal agreements concluded✓ Indigenous agreements in place (2 out of 5)
Financing→ Updated bankable feasibility set to conclude in Q3-2018→ Financing plan under review; to be launched in Q4-2018
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For more information, please contact:
Mishka Gounden
Phone: 604-681-8030 ext. 289
Email: [email protected]
Corporate Head Office Montreal St. John’s Labrador City
1240 – 1140 West Pender St. Vancouver, BC V6E 4G1
6500 Autoroute Transcanadienne
4ieme étage/4th FloorPointe-Claire, QC H9R 0A5
102-1 Church Hill, Suite 201St. John’s, NL A1C 3Z7
PO Box 214Labrador City, NL A2V 2K5
www.alderonironore.com
IRON: TSX