ETF TRADING RESEARCH

November ETF Fund Flows Benefit US

Stock ETFs

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Hi, My name is Corey and I‘m with ETF Trading Research, today were

reviewing our recently published article…

November ETF Fund Flows Benefit US Stock ETFs

Money came flooding into ETFs last month. Overall, there was $26 billion more inflows than outflows. That’s a

tremendous amount of money coming into ETFs.

Let’s take a closer look at the November ETF fund flows and other sentiment

indicators say about the emotion driving the market action.

The Emotion Driving November ETF Fund Flows

We track several indicators of fear and greed. And they are split between fear

and greed. Stock market indicators like the number of advancing than declining

stocks and the number of stocks

reaching 52-week highs are better than they have been in months. At the same

time, indicators that aren’t related to the stock market show there’s still

something out there keeping investor greed in check.

More than anything, the current emotional state can be described as a

lack of fear. And we can see this reflected in the ETF inflows and outflows.

ETFs With The Largest Inflows In November

A trio of iShares ETFs enjoyed the largest ETF fund flows in November. iShares Russelll 1000 $IWB had net inflows of

$2.55 billion, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond $AGG added $2.45 billion , and

iShares Russell 2000 $IWM had $2.26 billion in inflows. That’s large influx of

money into US stocks and bonds. It’s the type of fund flows that reflect a lack of

fear but without any specific bullish bias.

However, one ETF with $844 million in net inflows is a bullish indicator worth

noting… that ETF is the United States Oil Fund $USO. USO tracks the value of WTI

crude oil futures on the NYMEX.

The large influx of money into USO is a bet on oil moving higher in the near

future.

ETFs With The Largest Outflows In November

Interest rate sensitive ETFs were the big losers in November. This makes sense

given the markets view of a potential Fed interest rate hike in December.

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond $SHY led all ETFs with 1.3 billion in outflows. And several other ETFs that hold Treasuries followed suit. More than $3 billion exited

ETFs that hold Treasuries during the month.

Another ETF hit with a large outflow was the SPDR Gold Trust $GLD. This ETF that

tracks the price of gold saw more outflows as the price of gold fell to the

lowest level in five years.

Here’s the bottom line…There is a constant give and take

between fear and greed in financial market. We are in transitional time where the fear has subsided but greed hasn’t

taken control.

This type of environment is prone to long periods of range bound trading until

something spurs investors to take action. But one thing’s for sure, the fund flows

reflect sentiment toward oil and gold are going in opposite directions.

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