nrsfia rmt. base program expectations sample intensity of 1 plot per ~6000 acres –partner paid...

NRSFIA RMT

Base Program Expectations• Sample Intensity of 1 plot per ~6000 acres

– Partner paid intensifications an option

• Inventory cycle of 7 years in the East– Currently partner in-kind contributions buy down to 5-year cycle

• Install national plot design on forested plots

• Collect nationally consistent core data on forested plots– Augmentation a possibility

• Collect a more robust set of ecosystem indicators on “summer-window” plots– Minimum sub-sample is 1/16th

• A QAQC program including cruiser certifications and 4-10% check plots

• Complete an annual panel of plots in 1 year

• Process annual data thru the National Information Management System (NIMS)

• Post inventory statistics to FIADB/Web within 6 months of the last plot in the annual panel

• Every 5 years publish a state report 18 months after the last panel posted to FIADB

• At least every 5 years conduct a TPO study in each state

• Every 5 years produce a NWOS report

• Annual carbon accounting and national greenhouse gases reporting

• Provide Spatial Data Services to maximize data use and ensure privacy compliance

• Hold regional and national management team meetings

• Special efforts

FIA Strategic Plan Initial thoughts--focus on 11 FIA Farm Bill points:

1. Fully Annual (AK)

2. Urban

3. Carbon/Biomass

4. Reevaluate the Core

5. TPO

6. Cooperation/Support

7. Partnering (analysis and IM)

8. Remote Sensing

9. Land-use Change

10. NWOS

11. Better estimates for smaller areas

But the Farm Bill didn’t pass and the Strategic Plan clock is ticking

FIA Strategic Plan

• 4 Main Themes– Solidify the Base Program

– Enhance Delivery of the Base Program

– Expand the Program

– Flexibility

Solidify the Base Program• Inventory Interior Alaska

– The final frontier where no annual FIA crew has gone before

• Fully Develop the Non-Plot Mission Areas of FIA

– Timber Product Output (TPO)• Nationalize and create center of excellence thru a university partner

– National Woodland Owners Survey (NWOS)• Bolster Family Forest Research Center at U of MA

– Forest Carbon Accounting• Institutionalize within FIA (Carbon is Us)• Continually improve National Greenhouse Gas Inventory

Enhance Delivery of the Base Program

• Partnerships – Got us here; critical to getting us there

• New Technology– Gizmos, Gadgets, and Glitz

• More Techniques Research – Faster, Better, Cheaper

• Increased Analytical Capability– Making Hay.

• Education – Training, Tools, and Touting

Expand the Program-Then

• The FIA Grid—A Marginal Cost Opportunity

– Treed Land Inventory• Urban forests

• Riparian forests

• Working trees in agricultural landscapes– Windrows

– Shelterbelts

– Etc.

– Vegetative Inventory• Rangelands

• Etc.

• Take over the world one plot at a time

Expand the Program-Now • Take over the world one constituency at a time

– Urban first• The forests amongst which most of our populace live (and vote)• The only forests that many of our populace ever know• The forests often first impacted by invasive species• The forests on the frontline of service to people and communities• The forests not yet covered by a continuous monitoring system

– Fill the information gap• Foster urban forest stewardship• Provide an urban to rural gradient• Cover the wildland-urban interface• Support “vibrant city” initiatives• Feed the link to human health and safety, and community stability• Care for the land and serve the people where they live

Flexibility

FIA budgets are trending downPast protocols and procedures too rigid

Bumping up against budgetary realities

Reaching logistical limits

No desire to return a timber inventoryNeed sampling and protocol flexibilities

Provide a robust inventory of forest ecosystems

Accommodate regional needs and diversity

Remain nationally consistent

Balance delivery with resources

Flexibilities

• Sub-paneling for optimal cycle lengths

• Sub-sampling plots in a sub-panel – Summer-window or other optimal sub-sample

• Sub-sampling sub/micro/macro-plots on plots – Better logistical balance

• Accommodating levels of indicator attribution– “Lite” to “Heavy”– Better balance info needs with workload constraints

• Temporal flexibility in re-measurement cycles – If it doesn’t change often then measure it less frequently

Sliding Scale Conceptual Model

96000…..……………………...................…6000

SpatialSample Intensity (ac/plt)

Grid Subsample

Veg 5……………………7…………………………….10

TemporalCycle Length (yrs)

Lite………………………………………..Heavy

LevelAttribute Detail

96000…..……………………...................…6000


Plot Subsample

Height 5……………………7…………………………….10


Light………………………………………..Normal


96000…..……………………...................…6000


Subpopulations Reserved 5……………………7…………………………….10


Light………………………………………..Normal


Light………………………………………..Normal


5……………………7…………………………….10


96000…..……………………...................…6000


Subpopulations

Timberland

Min……………………………………..Max

Sliding RangeSliding ElementsSurvey

Design Component

Unit A

Unit B

Minimums ensure viable national effort

Maximums set the limit of federal investment; any more needs cash infusion

All efforts within min/max bounds nationally consistent

No state, forestland, ownership, core variable left behind

Needs a very robust IT system, currently underdevelopment

Each region needs similar proportion of full funding

NA

NA

Nationalize and regionally optimize

Regionally robust within national confines

FIA Strategic Plan

Public review initiated at the National FIA Users Meeting in the Spring

FIA Budget Situation

FIAFunding Source

FY10 (mm $)

FY11 (mm $)

FY12 (mm $)

FY13 (mm $)

National R&D 66.9 66.8 64.2 25.7*S&PF 4.9 4.6 4.3 ?**Total 71.8 71.5 68.6 25.7***

NRS R&D 16.6 15.9 15.5 6.2*S&PF 0.6 1.2 1.1 ?**

Total 17.3 17.1 16.7 6.2**** Under a Continuing Resolution setting funding at ~40% of FY12 for the first 6 months of the FY

**Given all the uncertainty S&PF has not distributed any funds under the C.R.

***Expect a very conservative approach to spending for the first 6 months

Lot’s of scenarios for final FY13 – President’s proposed $66.8 R&D; $0 S&PF ($16.2 R&D NRS)

Current national funding target $75.7 Likely national funding target under new Strategic Plan--$78.5 base; $90.5+ Farm Bill pushes

Future Reporting• Pressure to find cost-savings R&D wide

– FIA big opportunity

• Consolidation across FIA Units

– Consistency and Collaboration

• More Technology

– Paper-less formats

» PDF’s

» E-books

» Hardcopy pay to play

– Pub-less formats

» Smart websites/tools/apps

Interpretive

Topical

Multi-media

On the fly/user specified

Trends/futures/change

Visual/map/spatial

• Partnering

– Local leads for core

– Fed leads special

nrsfia rmt. base program expectations sample intensity of 1 plot per ~6000 acres –partner paid...

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