occupational choice and the process of development · if pl< pu, then high wage equilibrium v=...
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Occupational Choice and the Process of
Development
Benerjee and Newman, JPE 1993ECON4915
Spring 2010
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1 Dynamics of occupational choices and devel-
opment process
The motivational question -
• Reasons behind the evolution of different economics institutions (form oforganization of production)
The paper connects occupational choices and income/wealth distribution, whichin turn determines economic growth in this framework.
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How occupational choice may affect process of development?
• Occupational choice, as defined here, refers to a contractual arrangementrather than a specific activity. e.g., self employment, factory workers,entrepreneurs.
• Development - a broad concept -
— Economic growth (affected by economic variables such as savings, in-vestment, risk bearing)
— Transformation/evolution of economic institutions (form of organiza-tional production)
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The effect is not necessarily unidirectional.
Effect of developmental process on occupational choice may come throughvarious channels
• Demand and supply of labour changes
• Demand for entrepreneurship evolves
This paper connects the two aspects through the intermediary roles of wealth/incomedistribution.
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Implicit assumptions in the analysis
• An imperfect credit market, as we have seen in BU, access to credit isconstrained by wealth (ability of provide collateral).
• Given the imperfect credit market and an initial wealth distribution, wewill derive a pattern of occupational choice behavior.
• Occupational choice determines current period income, and through sav-ings (of a part of income), we get the next period wealth distribution.
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First part
Building a model that characterizes the effect of income distribution on occu-pational choice
A continuum of agents, and time is continuous.
In an interval of time dt, a measure λGt (w) dt are active agents with wealthbelow w.
Agents are risk neutral with preferences
cγb1−γ − zIt is easy to see that with c+ b = y (income), the maximum utility can simplybe expressed as the following expression of income
δy − z, where δ = γγ (1− γ)1−γ .
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Choice of occupation
There is a fixed safe asset, yielding a return r̂.
1. (subsistence): Not working but investing wealth w on the safe asset.
2. (working labour): working at a wage rate, say v. It is easy to see that
v >1
δ= v
in order to induce choice of working.
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Entrepreneurial projects are risky. It needs I amount of capital and oneunit of labour and yields return
r =
{r0r1
with probability qwith probability 1− q expected value r.
3. (Self-employment): Taking up an entrepreneurial project and use ownlabour in order to make it a success. When would that be feasible?
Ir ≥ 1δ+ Ir̂ and Ir ≥ 1
δ+ Ir0
Rearranging terms, we get the ’net effective return from investing effort inself-employment’must satisfy the following condition:
I (r − r̂)− 1δ≥ max {0, I (r0 − r̂)}
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Finally,
4. (Entrepreneurship): Employ µ individuals, use their labour to take up µprojects, pay them a salary v, and use your own labour to monitor them.We assume risky returns
r =
{r′0r′1
with probability qwith probability 1− q
but with the same expected value r.
In order to have it sustainable, we need the following:
µ
[I (r − r̂)− 1
δ
]− 1δ≥ max
{I (r − r̂)− 1
δ, µ
[I(r′0 − r̂
)− 1δ
]}
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Markets
Labour market through wage contract
Capital market (assumed to be imperfect)
Suppose w amount of collateral is needed to borrow L. What should be theminimum value of w needed to borrow L?
By repaying one gets,
V (L)− Lr̂ + (w − w) = V (L)− Lr̂
By defaulting one gets
V (L)− πF − wr̂
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Comparing, we see that
L ≤ w +(πF
r̂
)
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Define:
w∗ = I −(πF
r̂
)w∗∗ = µI −
(πF
r̂
)
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Demand for labour
returns from different occupation with an initial wealth w
1. Subsistence
δwr̂
2. Wage labours
δ (wr̂ + v)− 1
3. Self-employment
δ (wr̂ + I (r − r̂))− 1
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4. Entrepreneurship
δ (wr̂ + µI (r − r̂)− µv)− 1
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Compare return from Entrepreneurship and Self employment to see that labourdemand is given by
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Supply of labour
Compare returns from subsistence and wage labours
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The equilibrium is at the intersection of the demand and supply curves.
Define pL = Gt (w∗), and pU = 1−Gt (w∗∗)
Two types of equilibrium.
If λpL > µλpU , then low wage equilibrium v = v.
Characteristics: Everyone below w∗ wants to work as wage labor, everyoneabove either self-employed or entrepreneur, depending on initial wealth. Onlya fraction of low-wealth individual absorbed in the wage market.
If λpL < µλpU , then high wage equilibrium v = v.
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Characteristics: Everyone abovew∗ are indifferent from being self-employed andbeing entrepreneur. A fraction of population above w∗∗ remains self-employed.
Also note that if pL = 0 or pU = 0, then no one works as wage labour.
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Second stage: from occupational choice to next period wealth.
Bequest:
1. Subsistence
(1− γ)wr̂
2. Wage labours
(1− γ) (wr̂ + v)
3. Self-employment
(1− γ) (wr̂ + I (r − r̂))
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4. Entrepreneurship
(1− γ) (wr̂ + µI (r − r̂)− µv)
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recursion diagram with v = v.
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recursion diagram with v = v.
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Dynamics of how two different equilibria may emerge (everyone self-employed,or entrepreneurial production)
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