ocean ecosystem restoration with co2 sequestration. · market cap 2020 (trillions) listed companies...

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Philip W. Kithil, CEO Ocean-based Climate Solutions, Inc. [email protected] www.ocean-based.com 1-505-231-7508 © 2020 Ocean-based Climate Solutions, Inc. * Patents pending. Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO 2 Sequestration. Motivation: there are many CO 2 drawdown technologies and a few ocean restoration ideas , but no new funding models . We offer all three. Part A: New funding model: Stock For Carbon ™* - 3M Corporation Case Study. Part B: The Oxygenator ™* wave - powered upwelling/downwelling device & system to restore the ocean ecosystem while sequestering CO 2 in the deep ocean.

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Page 1: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Philip W. Kithil, CEOOcean-based Climate Solutions, [email protected]

© 2020 Ocean-based Climate Solutions, Inc. * Patents pending.

Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration.Motivation: there are many CO2 drawdown technologies and a few ocean restoration ideas, but no new funding models. We offer all three.

Part A: New funding model: Stock For Carbon™* - 3M Corporation Case Study.

Part B: The Oxygenator ™* wave-powered upwelling/downwelling device & system to restore the ocean ecosystem while sequestering CO2 in the deep ocean.

Page 2: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

3M Case Study

Philip W. Kithil, CEOOcean-based Climate Solutions, [email protected]

© 2019 Ocean-based Climate Solutions, Inc. * Patents pending.

Part A. STOCK FOR CARBON™ *

Page 3: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

IPCC climate models require massive drawdown to stay below 2° warming.

40 gigatons for 80 years = 3,200 billion tons (Prof. Klaus Lackner, ASU).

Today? Barely above zero.

Take nominal price $100 per ton, = $320,000 billion = $320 trillion, $4 trillion/year.

Global GDP 2019 $86 trillion before COVID19.

Drawdown cost ~4.7% of GDP (and going up, the longer we delay).

2006 Stern Report on cost to mitigate climate change: 1% if act then. Up to 20% if do nothing.

Drawdown - How Much CO2?

Page 4: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Stock For Carbon (SFC)1. Paying for CO2 Drawdown with carbon tax/fee/trading schemes are ineffective: differ across

jurisdictions; admin is complex & expensive; impact on business will soak up cash, reduce jobs and GDP, but may not proportionally reduce emissions.

2. A CO2 tax/fee is paid out of annual net income, whereas SFC leverages the stock value, about ~20x annual net income (historic average P/E ratio).

3. SFC is direct contract between corporate emitter & CO2 remover; paid in stock, no cash outlay, no job losses.

4. Tons removed belong to corporation, are not tradeable. The data is public.

5. Shareholders’ dilution is quickly recovered as investors bid up price, due to higher ESG ratings.

6. Corporate subscriber gains substantial strategic and marketing competitive advantages.

Page 5: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Markets/CustomersStock

ExchangeMarket Cap 2020

(trillions)Listed

Companies

NYSE $25.6 2,400

NASDAQ $11.2 3,300

Tokyo $5.1 2,300

Shanghai $4.7 1,000

Hong Kong $4.2 2,000

Euronext $3.7 1,300

Shenzen $3.3 2,700

London $2.9 3,000

Toronto $1.8 2,200

Bombay $1.5 5,700

Total $64.0 29,900

Recent Corporate Initiatives

Microsoft – carbon negative by 2030, drawdown all emissions thereafter.

Amazon/Bezos - $10b commitment, carbon negative 2040.

Starbucks – “resource positive” within 10 years.

STRIPE - $1 million funding of negative emissions technologies at any price per ton.

Page 6: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Case Study Using Public Data for 3M Corporation

Page 7: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

3M Corporate Snapshot

• $32 billion net sales.• 96,000 employees.• 200 facilities in 70 countries.• 55,000 products• 4 segments: Safety, Trans/elec, Health, Consumer• $1.9 billion annual R&D (“1/3 of sales come from products

created in the past five years.”)

• score “B” in 2019, 2018; “A-” in 2017, 2016.

Page 8: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Actual: https://s24.q4cdn.com/834031268/files/doc_downloads/2020/Sustainability-Report-2020-Complete.pdfTrend: calculated by Ocean-based Climate Solutions, Inc.

3M Energy Use & CO2 Emissions.

Page 9: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

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Actual data

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3M Historic Data - Qrtly Avgs.

Cash + equivalent Working capital Percent cash to working capital

3M Cash and Working Capital

1 year’s CO2e emissions at $75

per ton =

$450M

7.6x

Page 10: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

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Actual data Trend data

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Impact on 3M If It Paid IMF $75/ton For CO2 Drawdown

Change in cash vs free CO2

Cash + equivalent with "free" CO2

Cash + equivalent IMF $75/ton by 2030

What-if: 3M Paid IMF’s $75/t*?

* IMF estimate of carbon tax by 2030 to meet 2 degrees C. target.

Page 11: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

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3M Ambition: NegativeCumulative CO2 2015 - 2035

3M Cumulative Tons CO2 Emitted Oxygenator Net Cumulative Tons Removed3M Net Cumulative Emissions 3M share price increase for breakeven

What-if: 3M Paid In Stock?

Page 12: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

The OTHER CO2 Problem.

Personal CO2 footprint due to consumption & lifestyle.

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Per Capita Annual CO2 Emissions From Fossil Fuels

http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/co2-emissions-by-country/

Sustainable = 3 t

Page 13: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

How does 3M corporate CO2footprint compare to its employees’ CO2 footprint ?

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3M Corporate CO2e vs. Employees'/Dependents' CO2e

Employees + dependents cumulative CO2 emitted 3M Cumulative Tons CO2 Emitted

Region 3M RevenuesEstimated 3M

Employees

CO2 annual tons per capita

3M employees CO2 emissions

Sustainable emissions

3M employees' excess CO2

Americas $ 16.1 39,662 16 634,592 118,986 515,606

Asia Pacific $ 9.8 34,545 8 276,362 103,636 172,726

EU MidEast Africa $ 6.2 21,956 6.5 142,712 65,867 76,845

Total $ 32.1 96,163 1,053,666 288,489 765,177

Page 14: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

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3M Ambition Employees+Dependents' Net

Negative CO2 By 2035

Employees + dependents cumulative CO2 emitted Oxygenator cumulative CO2 removed

Employee net CO2 balance 3M share price increase for breakeven

What-if: 3M Paid In Stock To Achieve

Sustainable Employees’ Emissions?

Page 15: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

2015 2022

2035 cum. net negative CO2 (t) (3,394,446) (3,385,444)

Breakeven stock price 8.4% 5.7%

2035 cum. net negative CO2 (t) (2,924,823) (1,081,223)

Breakeven stock price 3.4% 2.4%

Breakeven Total 3M+Empl/Dep 11.8% 8.1%

3M Corporation CO2e Emissions Reduction Opportunities

3M Employees' and Dependents' CO2e Emissions Reduction Opportunities

Ambition (lookback year)

$68.00

$69.00

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IMF Ocean-based

Co

st p

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Cost Comparison (Ambition = 2022 to 2035)

3M Ambition Examplesa. Lookback year.b. Employees’/dependents’ sustainability.

Page 16: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Long Term Projections.We can remove up to 1,800 gigatons, 56% of what is needed.

Funded under Stock For Carbon by corporate sponsors.

Corporate initial commitment = 1,000 units (output of 1 factory), increasing ~40% annually until it achieves net-negative CO2.

Typical duration 15 years, shareholder breakeven 5% to 10% share price increase.

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Cumulative CO2, PPM, and Temperature

Gigatons with fossil phase-out, no CO2 removalGigatons with fossil phase-out and Ocean-based BGC CO2 removal2 degree C1.5 degree CAtmospheric cumulative gigatons: do-nothingPPM - do nothingPPM with fossil phase-out and Ocean-based BGC CO2 removalPPM with fossil phase-out, no CO2 removal

Page 17: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Part B. Technology Description:

The Ocean Oxygenator ™ pat. pending

Restores ocean ecosystems and naturally sequesters CO2

Page 18: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Oxygenator: wave-powered upwelling & downwelling 1/3 scale Oxygenator Dec 2018

Page 19: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Ocean scientists’ statements"... in times of climate change artificial up/downwelling can serve as a conservation and/or restoration measure. This relates to - among other factors - the projected decline in ocean productivity due to enhanced water column stratification via surface ocean warming. As declining primary production will likely be amplified via the food web, those changes will be felt much stronger at higher trophic levels. Artificial upwelling can contribute to counteracting this trend". Dr. Ulf Riebesell, GEOMAR.

"There is essentially no environmental risk associated with small-scale field trials. For hypothetical large-scale deployment, local oxygenation of subsurface waters by translocation of surface waters and deeper waters will be accompanied with a translocation of nutrients and heat, likely leading to a cooling and enhanced biological productivity of surface waters. Enhanced productivity will eventually be followed by enhanced respiration and oxygen consumption that may to some extent offset the initial oxygen gain. Enhanced biological productivity will likely enhance the productivity of higher trophic levels including fish. There will be shifts in the ecosystem, the valuation of which is difficult, but with higher productivity in normally not over-productive waters, these will most likely be viewed positively. Mechanisms of such ecological shifts are poorly understood and based on current knowledge there is little expectation that shifts will differ from natural shifts observed when moving from oligotrophic to more eutrophic conditions, such as usually found further onshore.“ Dr. Andreas Oschlies, GEOMAR

Page 20: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Oxygenators Restore Ecosystems, Create Jobs

Ecosystem Benefits.• Enhance primary production.• Restore the ocean food chain

including fish, mammals, seabirds.• Re-oxygenate the mid ocean.• Cool the upper ocean.

Social Benefits:• Create jobs in port cities worldwide.

Page 21: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Sequester CO2 for 5,000 years in deep ocean.

1. Low cost, renewably powered Oxygenator.

2. Natural processes: biological carbon pump, microbial carbon pump.

3. Long term.

4. Large scale-open ocean.

5. Safe.

Page 22: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Ramp-up, Cost

Fully scaled up by 2044

Restores 300ppm by 2100

Long term cost as low as $6.30 per ton $-

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Cumulative CO2 Removed

Cumulative Gigatons removed Total operating

Page 23: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

ProjectionsPer corporate subscriber.

Factory production year one = 1,000 Oxygenators.

This projection assumes production increases 50%/year.

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Net revenues Direct cost Gross profit

Page 24: Ocean Ecosystem Restoration with CO2 Sequestration. · Market Cap 2020 (trillions) Listed Companies NYSE $25.6 2,400 NASDAQ $11.2 3,300 Tokyo $5.1 2,300 Shanghai $4.7 1,000 Hong Kong

Philip Kithil is our Founder and CEO. He has a

BA/MSBA in economics and has been a serial

entrepreneur since 1972, founding six startups and

securing a dozen patents in his previous automotive

safety business sold in 2004 to NYSE-listed supplier.

CEOPhilip Kithil

Philip Fullam is our Chief Engineer. With a

BSME, an MBA, and 40+ years experience in

design and production, he ensures that

everything works right, from computer screen

to shop floor to ship deck to ocean depths.

Consulting Chief EngineerPhilip Fullam

Amal Bhattarai is our West Coast Representative

and Technical Director. He has an MSEE and is

Silicon Valley startup lead.

Consulting Technical DirectorAmal Bhattarai

Chris White is our COO. He has a BS and MS

Oceanography and Limnology and is a trilingual

(English Spanish Dutch) EMT Dive Master. Chris

has overseen our tests and operations in USA,

Peru, and Newfoundland.

Consulting COOChris White

Corporate Profile & Team

• Delaware C corporation founded February 2018. Raised $256k from angels.

• Testing under the parent company (Atmocean, Inc.) since 2005. Raised $3.9m in-kind and from angels.

• Science advisory: Woods Hole Group (div. CLS/IFREMER); Prof’s Ulf Riebesell & Andreas Oschlies – GEOMAR. Dr. Ian Walsh, Seabird Scientific.