october 16, 2000nys doh nutrition, eau gene shackman [email protected] daniel kellis...
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October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Gene [email protected]
Daniel [email protected]
Growth or DeclineTrends in New York State WIC participation and eligible populations
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Topics
• New York State WIC caseload trends
• Demographic trends and projections of women, births, infants, children
• Poverty trends and indicators
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Oct
-87
Oct
-88
Oct
-89
Oct
-90
Oct
-91
Oct
-92
Oct
-93
Oct
-94
Oct
-95
Oct
-96
Oct
-97
Oct
-98
Oct
-99
in th
ousa
nds
infants children women total
Figure 1Women, Infants and Children Participation on NYS WIC, October 1987 to May 1999 : from NUTWIC Monthly Data
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Jan-
89
Jan-
90
Jan-
91
Jan-
92
Jan-
93
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
pregnant breastfeeding postpartum
Figure 2Monthly NYS WIC Certifications of Pregnant, Breastfeeding and PostPartum Women : January 1989 to February 1999
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Figure 3.Number of NYS Women by Category Certifying or Subsequently certifying into the WIC Program in NYC Metropolitan Area from January 1998 to May 2000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Jan-9
8
Apr-
98
Jul-
98
Sep
-98
Jan-9
9
Apr-
99
Jul-
99
Sep
-99
Jan-0
0
Apr-
00
Pregnant Breast-feeding Post Partum
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Figure 4.Number of Infants and Children Certifying or Subsequently Certifying into WIC
Program in NYC Metropolitan Area from January 1998 to May 2000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Jan-
98
Apr
-98
Jul-
98
Sep-
98
Jan-
99
Apr
-99
Jul-
99
Sep-
99
Jan-
00
Apr
-00
Infants Children
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
in th
ousa
nds
estimates projections
Figure 5Population of women in NYS of childbearing age (age 15-44).
Estimates from 1980 to 1999, and projections from 1995 to 2005
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
in t
hous
ands
297,468
258,207
Figure 6Live Birth Numbers in New York State
1980 - 1998
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
500
1,000
1,500
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
in t
hous
ands
Estimates Projections
Figure 7Population of children age 4 and under in New York State.
Estimates from 1980 to 1999, and projections from 1995 to 2005
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
in t
hou
sand
s
Medicaid HMO Private Insurance "self pay"
Figure 8Primary source of payment for births.
New York State, 1989-1996
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
19
80
19
82
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
in t
ho
usa
nds
poor 3 yr moving average
Figure 9Total number of people living in poverty in NY State,
1980 to 1999
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
in t
hou
sand
s
Children in Poverty 3 yr mov avg
Figure 10Related Children, Age 5 and Under, Living in Poverty in the
United States, 1969 to 1999
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Jan-8
0
Jan-8
1
Jan-8
2
Jan-8
3
Jan-8
4
Jan-8
5
Jan-8
6
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
in t
ho
usa
nds
unemployed 7 year moving average
Figure 11Unemployment in New York State
January 1980 - April 2000
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Summary
• WIC caseload trends for infants, children and pregnant women have been fairly constant since 1994. Trends for infants and children in New York City area show slight declines since 1998.
• Total populations of women of child bearing age, children, and number of births in New York State has been declining in last several years, and expected to decline for next several years.
• Total number of people in New York State in poverty has been constant for past several years. Number of children in NY in poverty probably has been fairly constant.
October 16, 2000NYS DOH Nutrition, EAU
Data sources for slides
Women, Infant and Children NUTWIC monthly participation: Division of Nutrition Program Data, from Agency Monthly Participant Counts Women, Infants and Children Certification data: Division of Nutrition Program Data, from WIC Participant Certification Files Population estimates and projections for women and children: http://www.census.gov/population/estimates/state/s5yr8090.txt, http://www.census.gov/population/estimates/state/st-99-08.txt, http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/st_yr95to00.html, New York; and http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/st_yr01to05.html, New York Live Birth datas: Vital Statistics of New York State, 1996. Live Births and Live Birth Rates, New York State, 1950-1996. Table 5: Live Birth Summary Information by Mother's Age New York State 1996, http://www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs96/table5.htm Table 4: Live Birth Summary Information by Race/Ethnicity New York State 1997, http://www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs97/tab04.htm Vital Statistics of New York State, 1997, table of live births, NYS Birth Certificate Records, Births: Final data for 1998. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvs48_3.pdf Each year, information for about 3% of births is not available. Primary Sources of Payment for Births Table 5: Live Birth Summary Information by Mother's Age New York State 1996, http://www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs96/table5.htm Table 4: Live Birth Summary Information by Race/Ethnicity New York State 1997, http://www.health.state.ny.us/nysdoh/vs97/tab04.htm Total number of people in poverty in New York State, http://www.census.gov/income/histpov/hstpov21.txt. Accessed Sept 1, 2000. CPS data is most reliable at national level. To improve reliability at state level, we used a three year moving average. Total number of children in the US in poverty: http://www.census.gov/income/histpov/hstpov20.txt New York Unemployment data: New York State Department of Labor data page: http://www.labor.state.ny.us/html/laus/search.htm