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OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 HIGHLIGHTS

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Page 1: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more

- 1 -

OECD Pensions Outlook2018

HIGHLIGHTS

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- 2 -

CHAPTER 7

CHAPTER 1The role of supplementary

pension provision in retirement

CHAPTER 2Can countries improve the design of

financial incentives to promote savings for retirement?

CHAPTER 3Pension costs in the

accumulation phase: Policy options to improve outcomes

in funded private pensions

CHAPTER 4Strengthening the application of OECD Core Principles of Private

Pension Regulation: Lessons from investment institutions CHAPTER 5

Improving retirement incomes considering behavioural

biases and limited financial knowledge

CHAPTER 6Mortality differences across socioeconomic groups and

their implications for pension outcomes

Are survivor pensions still needed?

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Reforms are making pension systems more robust and better placed to deliver pensions

People’s trust in pension systems is low. Population ageing, low returns on

retirement savings, low growth, less stable employment careers and insufficient

pension coverage among some groups of workers have been eroding the belief that

all types of pension systems, pay-as-you-go or funded, will deliver on their promises

once workers reach retirement age. This is supported by evidence in the recent

OECD Risks that Matter survey. People are also concerned about whether the

institutions managing their retirement savings in funded pension arrangements have

their best interests at heart.

This mistrust may surprise some, given the wide

range of pension policy reforms across OECD

countries in recent decades. These reforms have

improved the sustainability of pension systems, in

particular of pay-as- you-go defined benefit public

pensions. Many countries, for example, have

introduced automatic mechanisms to adjust

pension benefits to economic and demographic

developments while taking measures to

strengthen safety nets to prevent old-age poverty.

Regulators and policy makers have taken steps to

make regulatory and supervisory frameworks for

funded pension arrangements more robust. This

includes improving pension fund governance,

investment policies and strategies, and investment risk management, with the goal

of ensuring a more solid focus on the best interest of members. Progress has also

been made in better aligning the charges and fees individuals pay with the actual

cost of providing funded pensions. Measures to improve transparency are essential,

but they work best when supported by pricing regulations and structural solutions.

Policy makers have also implemented measures to improve the design of funded

pension arrangements to address the challenges of insufficient financial knowledge

and behavioural biases and assist people make better choices for their retirement.

These include providing targeted financial incentives, including matching

contributions; automatic mechanisms; default options; simplification of information

and choice; and financial education initiatives.

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2

All of these reforms have made pension systems more robust today and better

placed to deliver pensions. However, people’s concerns are at least partially

grounded in some remaining challenges. To ensure higher retirement income,

people need to increase retirement savings, pension contributions, and/or the length

of the contribution period in both pay as you go and funded pension arrangements.

This is even more necessary as improvements in mortality and life expectancy lead

to ever-longer periods in retirement.

Policy makers have a range of options, including linking the statutory retirement age

to improvements in life expectancy, keeping in mind that there are large socio-

economic differences in life expectancy in many countries. The interaction between

different pension arrangements, old-age safety nets and the tax system may

sometimes address the potentially regressive effect of increasing the retirement age,

when this age is fixed for everybody. More flexibility around the age at which people

can access their pension savings may help reduce this regressive feature. Financial

service providers need to develop innovative products and approaches to manage

longevity risk. In addition, higher funded retirement savings could be achieved both

by linking increases in contributions over time to increases in real wages and through

better designed financial incentives. Governments are also examining how to

integrate workers in non-standard forms of work, such as those active in the platform

and gig economy and those working as independent contractors, into public

pensions and encourage them to save for retirement.

Finally, pension reforms need to be better communicated so that the rationale and

effects of such reforms become clearer. People need a better understanding of what

they themselves can do to secure their retirement incomes, why contributions to all

types of pension arrangements are important, which vehicles are available for

retirement saving, and how they are protected. These key steps could help to restore

trust and confidence in pension systems.

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3

Combining funded and PAYG pensions, automatic mechanisms, and a strong safety net for pensioners improves retirement outcomes

Countries encourage saving for retirement by taxing

Policy makers designing pension systems should

reflect on their objectives (poverty relief,

redistribution, sustainability, and consumption-

smoothing) and risks (demographic, social, labour,

macroeconomic, and financial).

A robust safety net for pensioners, as well as a

diversified and balanced pension system that

incorporates a funded component is important,

especially when promoting and reallocating national

savings toward long- term investment is a policy

goal. Additionally, well-designed pension systems

need automatic mechanisms that align benefits with

economic and demographic realities. Systems

should be financially sustainable and provide some

of the certainty conveyed by defined benefit

arrangements.

Countries should introduce funded arrangements

gradually when diversifying pension systems,

especially when contributions will partially, or fully,

replace an existing pay-as-you-go system. Policy

makers should carefully assess the transition as it

may put an additional, short-term, strain on public

finances and increase risks for individuals.

Countries can improve the design of financial incentives to save for retirement

Tax and non-tax financial incentives can promote saving for retirement by providing an overall tax advantage to individuals through a reduction in total lifetime tax paid, although this has a fiscal cost. Incentive design should account for retirement saving needs and capacities for all income groups and, as a minimum requirement, provide for tax neutrality between consumption and savings.

Tax rules should be straightforward, stable and

consistent across all retirement savings plans. Tax

credits, fixed-rate tax deductions or matching

contributions can be used to provide an equivalent

tax advantage across income groups. Countries

using tax credits may consider making them

refundable and paying them into pension accounts.

Non-tax incentives, in particular fixed nominal

subsidies, help to boost low-income earners’

savings. Countries with an “EET” tax regime should

maintain the deferred taxation structure and all

countries considering the introduction of financial

incentives should examine their fiscal capacity and

demographic trends.

Aligning charges levied with the cost of managing retirement savings requires better disclosure, pricing regulations and structural solutions

Providing pension services involves costs such as

administration and investment activities which are

paid for by members and employers. These costs

can greatly affect the ultimate value of accumulated

retirement savings. Some pension arrangements

KEY FINDINGS

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4

can be also more expensive, such as those providing

more choice.

Market mechanisms have often been insufficient to

align charges with the actual cost to providers due to

market failures, such as asymmetric information or

behavioural biases.

Measures to improve transparency are essential, but

are not enough to align costs and charges. They

work best when supported by pricing regulations and

structural solutions. To maximise net returns, policy

makers and regulators can also use measures such

as benchmarking and tying investment expenses

more closely to portfolio performance.

The governance and investment approaches of nationally significant investment institutions provide useful guidelines to strengthen regulatory frameworks

Several nationally significant investment institutions

have common features and provide evidence of

good governance and investment approaches. They

have regulatory and legal frameworks at arm’s

length from government; clearly stated missions to

guide investment policy; an oversight board that is

accountable to the competent authorities and to

members; and transparency about their governance

arrangements and their investment and risk

management to keep them accountable to different

stakeholders.

These institutions express their performance

objectives in terms of their mission and monitor

performance against this long-term goal rather than

against a market benchmark. Target date and

lifecycle funds are the preferred strategy for

institutions with individual accounts. Long-term

return strategies may offer better returns, but at a

higher risk that insufficient funds will be available to

members at retirement.

Automatic features, default options, simple information and choice, financial incentives and financial education lead to better retirement outcomes

Low levels of financial knowledge and behavioural

biases can lead people to make unsuitable decisions

for retirement. Mechanisms such as automatic

enrolment and escalation of contributions can

harness inertia to make pension systems more

inclusive and help increase contribution levels.

People unable, or unwilling, to choose a contribution

rate, a pension provider, an investment strategy or a

post-retirement product, may benefit from default

options.

Figure 1. Total assets in funded and private pension arrangements, in 2002 and 2017

As a percentage of GDP

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5

There are also other tools to help with decision

making, including: web applications, limiting options

and making comparisons easier, and financial

incentives. Pension statements can convey key

information simply, while financial education

seminarsand financial advice can help people

understand the information.

Increased flexibility on retirement age and progressive public pensions and tax rules address financial disadvantages of populations groups with shorter life expectancy

Individuals in low socioeconomic groups have a lower life expectancy than high socioeconomic groups. They may be financially disadvantaged if they spend a shorter time in retirement relative to their working life, receiving a lower “return” on contributions made towards their funded pension source. Public pensions and tax rules can help to offset some of this disadvantage.

Policies to improve the sustainability of pension systems in light of increases in life expectancy will need to consider how those in different socioeconomic and gender groups may be impacted. Generally, working for longer will be required, but not all groups will necessarily be able to. Increased flexibility around retirement age is key

to improving pension outcomes for all groups and ensuring that lower socioeconomic groups are not penalised in retirement for having shorter life expectancies.

Survivor pensions still play an important role, but should not limit incentives to work or redistribute from singles to couples

Survivor pensions are still needed to smooth living standards after a partner’s death. However, recipients should not be eligible for a permanent survivor pension before retirement age. Instead, temporary benefits should be available to help adapt to the new situation.

The cost of survivor pensions should be internalised within each couple or, as a minimum, among all couples. In a budget-neutral reform, this means that the pension level of singles will be higher than someone living in a couple and benefiting from survivor pensions.

Partners from former unions should not be eligible as they have no current consumption to smooth. Splitting pension rights offers some advantages, although some countries favour the individual treatment of partners, including to promote gender equality.

Figure 2. Tax treatment of retirement savings, 2018

Notes: The three letters that categorise the tax treatment of retirement savings refer to contributions, returns on investment and withdrawals, each one being either taxed (“T”) or exempt from tax (“E”). Main pension plan in each country. “E” stands for “exempt” and “T” for “taxed”. Countries offering tax credits on contributions are considered as taxing contributions, as the tax credit may not cover the full amount of tax paid on those contributions.

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Pensions intend to offer people economic security in

old age, once they can no longer earn their living

themselves. The public sector or the private sector

could entirely, and in principle, provide economic

security. Pensions could be financed by the state

from general revenues or earmarked levies on a pay-

as-you-go (PAYG) basis, or they could be fully

funded through individual contributions and

accumulated assets. Pension payments could be

defined according to a formula (defined benefit, DB)

or they may depend on the amount of assets

accumulated (defined contribution, DC), (see

Chapter 1, OECD Pensions Outlook 2016).

In practice, national pension systems combine

PAYG and funded, DB and DC, and public and

private elements. Public pensions have typically

been DB in nature and financed on a PAYG basis.

Increased longevity and the declining ratio of actively

employed contributors to retired beneficiaries are

threatening the financial sustainability of PAYG DB

public systems. Reforms to ensure fiscal

sustainability affect the adequacy of the pensions

they can provide. Many countries have introduced

supplementary pensions or are considering doing so

in order to reduce the pressure on public finances

and raise the overall level of benefits that a

participating individual will receive. Typically,

supplementary provision takes the form of funded,

defined contribution pensions, managed by private

institutions, pension funds.

The OECD encourages countries to diversify the

sources of retirement income and to strengthen the

degree of funding in the overall pension mix through

a combination of PAYG and funded, public and

private provision (see Chapter 1, OECD Pensions

Outlook 2016). PAYG public and funded private

pensions can be complementary. They offer different

solutions for meeting the competing objectives of

pension systems and have different capacities to

cover the various types of risks that people face

throughout their lives, both before and after

retirement.

Objectives of pension systems include poverty relief,

consumption smoothing, financial sustainability,

redistribution, inter- and intra-generational equity,

pension benefit adequacy, labour force participation,

and coverage. Risks involved in saving for retirement

include risks to the individual’s ability to contribute to

both public and private pension arrangements

(labour market and social risks); risks to the capacity

of those contributions to fund an adequate retirement

(macro-economic, financial market and operational

risks) and the risk that an individual will outlive their

assets (longevity risk).

To exploit the complementarity of funded pensions

and enhance the resilience of the pension system,

policy makers need to understand how their national

system addresses the objectives and risks inherent

to pension provision. They can then determine which

features of pension design best support this role and

DESIGNING SUPPLEMENTARY PENSION ARRANGEMENTS TO IMPROVE RETIREMENT OUTCOMES

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7

whether these design features should be

implemented via PAYG public or funded private

pensions. For example, consumption smoothing

could be achieved through raising contributions to

either PAYG public or funded private arrangements,

and the choice between the two may come down to

practical issues of implementation. Redistribution, on

the other hand, is easier to achieve through a

mandatory public PAYG system.

The primary design features that policy makers

should consider when optimising the combination of

public and private provision are whether participation

in a pension scheme is mandatory or voluntary;

whether benefits are backed by accumulated assets

or paid from current contributions, and whether the

scheme is defined benefit or defined contribution. A

number of different outcomes are possible. Policy

objectives, risk tolerances, legacy systems and

institutions, and fiscal and demographic constraints

all vary across countries. Pension systems interact

with other policy areas (e.g. with the tax regime or

labour markets) resulting in changed incentives and

economic distortions.

Public and private arrangements can be used to

introduce different elements of pension design –

funded or PAYG, DC or DB –into the overall system.

While public pensions are well equipped to achieve

the objective of poverty relief, other objectives –

especially consumption smoothing – can be

addressed in a variety of different ways. The United

States largely combines a PAYG system with

voluntary DC, the Netherlands has a public basic

pension plus mandatory funded DB, Australia and

Chile have a means-tested basic pension plus

mandatory DC, and France and Spain rely primarily

on PAYG.

Most countries are increasing the role of funded

pensions in meeting the objective of consumption

smoothing. This raises the possibility that individuals

will be exposed to more of the risks associated with

building up savings over their working lives and

ensuring that these are sufficient to last over their full

lifetime in retirement. These risks are greatest for

individuals saving into DC schemes.

Table 1 summarises the various objectives of

pension systems, how different pension designs can

help to achieve them, and the risks to which these

designs are vulnerable. It can be seen that there are

trade-offs involved in determining priorities and

allocating responsibilities for pension provision,

giving rise to a number of policy implications.

Policy implications

As private, funded DC arrangements play an

increasing role in pension provision the insurance

against all risks will be lost. Policy makers may

require that insurance is built into the funded

system (e.g. through the purchase of individual or

group insurance) or continue to provide

insurance via a PAYG arrangement.

Compulsion generally leads to higher coverage.

Nevertheless, useful mechanisms exist to

improve coverage in voluntary pension

arrangements (see Chapter 5, OECD Pensions

Outlook 2018).

Higher retirement income may require higher

savings, contributions, and longer contribution

periods, especially in a context of low returns, low

growth and improvements in mortality and life

expectancy.

Introducing a funded pension arrangement is

intended to make pension systems more

sustainable and to improve consumption

smoothing. However the transition may put

additional strain on the PAYG system or public

finances while increasing the proportion of risks

borne by individuals, if contributions to the new

arrangements are made at the expense of the

existing scheme. Such moves should therefore

be introduced gradually.

However, a pension system that includes both

PAYG and funded arrangements is better able to

achieve its various objectives and more resilient

to the multiple risks to old-age financial security.

DC pension arrangements are more sustainable

than DB pension arrangements because DC

pensions adjust automatically to any changes in

the parameters (e.g. contributions, returns,

longevity).

Page 10: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more

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Tab

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phic

cha

nges

m

ean

redi

strib

utio

n fr

om

curr

ent c

ontr

ibut

ors

to

curr

ent r

etire

es. T

his

can

be o

ffset

by

adju

stin

g be

nefit

leve

ls a

nd a

ccru

als

– th

is s

hifts

par

t of m

acro

-ec

onom

ic a

nd lo

ngev

ity

risk

onto

indi

vidu

als

Long

evity

ris

k sh

ared

ac

ross

gen

erat

ions

. Ris

k sh

arin

g m

echa

nism

s ca

n be

intr

oduc

ed

Not

pos

sibl

e w

ithin

in

divi

dual

DC

N

ot p

ossi

ble

with

in

indi

vidu

al D

C

Intr

a-ge

nera

tiona

l equ

ity

Can

use

com

pens

ator

y m

echa

nism

s to

offs

et

mis

sed

cont

ribut

ion

perio

ds –

ther

efor

e pr

ovid

es in

sura

nce

agai

nst l

abou

r m

arke

t an

d so

cial

ris

ks. H

owev

er

this

may

be

inte

rpre

ted

as

a rig

ht s

o w

eake

ns

ince

ntiv

e to

con

trib

ute

Can

use

com

pens

ator

y m

echa

nism

s to

offs

et

mis

sed

cont

ribut

ion

perio

ds –

ther

efor

e pr

ovid

es in

sura

nce

agai

nst l

abou

r m

arke

t and

so

cial

ris

ks

Col

lect

ive

syst

ems

can

prov

ide

insu

ranc

e ag

ains

t la

bour

mar

ket a

nd s

ocia

l ris

ks

Not

pos

sibl

e w

ithin

in

divi

dual

DC

Insu

ranc

e ag

ains

t lab

our

mar

ket a

nd s

ocia

l ris

ks

can

be p

urch

ased

but

at a

hi

gher

cos

t tha

n in

a

colle

ctiv

e ar

rang

emen

t

Not

pos

sibl

e w

ithin

in

divi

dual

DC

Ben

efit

adeq

uacy

/rep

lace

men

t ra

te

Can

be

set a

s m

inim

um

or ta

rget

rep

lace

men

t ra

te fo

r av

erag

e ea

rner

(n

ote

pote

ntia

l fis

cal

impl

icat

ions

)

Can

be

used

for

min

imum

in

com

e gu

aran

tee

or fo

r ta

rget

rep

lace

men

t rat

e T

arge

t may

var

y by

in

com

e le

vel

Tar

get r

epla

cem

ent r

ate

may

var

y by

inco

me

leve

l. T

arge

t rep

lace

men

t rat

e,

thou

gh in

crea

sing

mov

e to

war

ds c

ondi

tiona

l in

dexa

tion

i.e. l

ess

prot

ectio

n ag

ains

t mac

ro-

econ

omic

ris

k

Vul

nera

ble

to m

acro

-ec

onom

ic, f

inan

cial

m

arke

t and

ope

ratio

nal

risks

. Inv

estm

ent s

trat

egy

has

sign

ifica

nt im

pact

on

bene

fit le

vels

.

Gen

eral

ly u

sed

to

incr

ease

rep

lace

men

t ra

te fo

r hi

gher

ear

ners

Labo

ur fo

rce

part

icip

atio

n M

ay w

eake

n in

cent

ives

M

ay r

educ

e in

cent

ives

to

wor

k pa

st r

etire

men

t age

: cl

ose

rout

es to

ear

ly

retir

emen

t and

alig

n ag

e at

whi

ch p

ublic

and

pr

ivat

e be

nefit

s ca

n be

ac

cess

ed

Ince

ntiv

e de

pend

s on

link

be

twee

n co

ntrib

utio

ns a

nd

bene

fits:

clo

se r

oute

s to

ea

rly r

etire

men

t and

alig

n ag

e at

whi

ch p

ublic

and

pr

ivat

e be

nefit

s ca

n be

ac

cess

ed

Uni

form

acc

rual

rat

es

pena

lise

youn

ger

wor

kers

/thos

e w

ith le

ss

seni

ority

– D

B m

ay b

e le

ss a

dapt

able

to

chan

ging

labo

ur m

arke

t co

nditi

ons

Str

ong

ince

ntiv

e Li

mite

d in

cent

ive,

unl

ess

no o

ther

sav

ings

veh

icle

av

aila

ble

Cov

erag

e U

nive

rsal

E

xclu

des

peop

le w

ho

have

nev

er p

artic

ipat

ed in

fo

rmal

eco

nom

y

Can

be

exte

nded

to a

ll w

orke

rs w

ithin

form

al

econ

omy

rela

tivel

y ea

sily

Ten

d to

exc

lude

the

low

-pa

id, p

art-

time

wor

kers

, se

lf-em

ploy

ed

Ten

d to

exc

lude

the

low

-pa

id, p

art-

time

wor

kers

, se

lf-em

ploy

ed

Gen

eral

ly u

sed

by h

ighe

r ea

rner

s. In

cent

ives

suc

h as

mat

chin

g co

ntrib

utio

ns

can

enco

urag

e m

ore

peop

le to

par

ticip

ate

1. A

pplie

s al

so to

vol

unta

ry D

B w

here

app

licab

le (

e.g.

Can

ada,

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

).

Page 12: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more

Financial Incentives and Retirement Savings

Are tax incentives the best way to encourage people to save for retirement? This complementary publication assesses whether countries can improve the design of financial incentives to promote savings for retirement.

Chapter 1. Why countries provide tax and non-tax financial incentives for retirement savings

Chapter 2. The tax treatment of retirement savings in funded private pension arrangements

Chapter 3. Does the design of financial incentives provide a tax advantage when people save for retirement?

Chapter 4. Are financial incentives effective tools to increase participation in and contributions to retirement savings plans?

Chapter 5. The long-term fiscal cost of financial incentives to promote savings for retirement

Chapter 6. Assessing alternative approaches to designing financial incentives to promote savings for retirement

Chapter 7. Policy guidelines to improve the design of financial incentives to promote savings for retirement

www.oecd.org/pensions/financial-incentives-retirement-savings.htm

Page 13: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more

For more information, please contact

Mr. Pablo ANTOLIN - Senior Economist and Head of the Private Pensions Unit

OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs

[email protected]

Ms. Stéphanie PAYET - Analyst, Private Pensions Unit

OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs

[email protected]

Ms. Jessica MOSHER - Analyst, Private Pensions Unit

OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs

[email protected]

Page 14: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more
Page 15: OECD Pensions Outlook 2018 - OECD.org - OECD · OECD Pensions Outlook 2018. HIGHLIGHTS - 2 - CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 1. The role of supplementary ... KEY FINDINGS . 4 . can be also more

© OECD 2018

This work is published under the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed

herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. This document and

any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers

and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.

The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the

OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms

of international law.

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- 12 -

The 2018 edition of the OECD Pensions Outlook provides an analysis of different pension policy issues in OECD countries covering both public and private pension systems. It discusses policy options to help governments ensure that people will get the most out of the pension system. This booklet reproduces highlights from the 2018 edition of the Pensions Outlook. Covering both public and private pension systems, the Outlook analyses the latest developments in pension policies in OECD countries and assesses trends in retirement income systems.

www.oecd.org/pensions/oecd-pensions-outlook.htm