offshore cny cash&trade working group meeting · intra-asia rmb trade settlement up 67% over 2013...
TRANSCRIPT
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Offshore CNY Cash&Trade
Working Group Meeting
24th Apr, 2014
-
2
Agenda
• RMB development in 2013 from SWIFT data - 15’
• CCC update - 15’
• Topics for discussion
Topic 1: Change of behaviour along with CNAPS2 - 25’
Topic 2: SH FTZ vs HK offshore RMB business - 25’
• SR2014 and potential update on Guidelines - 5’
• AOB - 5’
-
Offshore RMB traffic insights
-
RMB development in 2013
+ 8 positions as world payments
currency (most notably passing NZD and already in
2013 RUB)
RMB
Since
Jan
2013 (Jan to Dec 2013)
+ 69% in
payments
value
+ 58% in
payments
volume + 10% Countries
with in/out
payments (102)
+
20% Financial
Institutions (1382)
+ 5
positions as world payments
currency
4
Source: Watch
Payments value weight (MT103 and MT202 excl. CB)
-
Intra-Asia RMB trade settlement up 67% over 2013 Based on Intra-Asia MT700 underlying value
90% 79%
5% 18%
Jan. 2012 Sept. 2013
Top 5 Currencies Used for Intra Asia Trade Finance
Others
HKD
EUR
JPY
CNY
USD
Jan. 2012 Sept. 2013
0.36% 0.22%
0.31% 0.29%
0.81% 0.64%
3.55% 2.21%
4.64% 17.85%
90.34% 78.78%
USD
CNY
JPY
Renminbi grew 67%
compared to previous
YTD
YTD Growth
11%
67%
-19%
Source: SWIFT Watch
Domestic flows and central banks excluded.
Intra-Asia only.
5
-
Top countries(excl HK) RMB payment in 2013
2013 Total Payment
Sent& Received
(Million messages)
6 Source: SWIFT Watch
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700% 800%
United Kingdom
Singapore
Taiwan
France
United States
Australia
Luxembourg
Germany
Macau
2012-2013
Growth Rate
-
Sent
RMB Payments(MT103/202 excl cov)
RMB’s evolution with HK -- Hongkong as an RMB Payment centre
Received
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Source: SWIFT Watch
Average
monthly
growth rate:
3%
Average
monthly
growth rate:
3%
-
RMB Payment flows in&out of Hong Kong
Ranking Based on total FIN 2013 - number of messages sent and received
1. Domestic
4. Taiwan
3. Singapore
2. UK
5. France
78%
5%
3% 2%
1% 1%
1% 1% 1% 1%
6%
Hong Kong
United Kingdom
Singapore
Taiwan
France
United States
Germany
Japan
China
Luxembourg
Others
Top partner countries of HK’s RMB Payment
Source: Watch
HK’s 2013 total RMB payment volume, sent and received
Growth figures: 2013 vs 2012
Live traffic
-
RMB sent and received in Trade messages (MT400/410/700/707)
RMB’s evolution with SG -- SG as an RMB Trade centre
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Source: SWIFT Watch
Average
monthly
growth rate:
6%
-
RMB Payment flows in&out of Singapore
Ranking Based on total FIN 2013 - number of messages sent and received
1. Hongkong
4. Luxembourg
2. Domestic
3. China
5. Belgium
Top partner countries of SG’s RMB Payment
70%
20%
4%
2% 1%
1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Hong Kong
Singapore
China
Luxembourg
Belgium
Macau
United Kingdom
Philippines
Sweden
Malaysia
Other
Source: Watch
SG’s 2013 total RMB payment volume, sent and received
Growth figures: 2013 vs 2012
Live traffic
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RMB sent and received in Securities messages(MT5xx)
RMB’s evolution with Luxembourg -- Lux as an RMB Funds processing centre
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Average
monthly
growth rate:
4%
Source: SWIFT Watch
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RMB Payment flows in&out of Luxembourg
Ranking Based on total FIN 2013 - number of messages sent and received
1. Hongkong
2. Singapore
3. Domestic
4. UK
5. Belgium
Top partner countries of LUX’s RMB Payment
78%
9%
3%
2%
2% 2%
1% 1% 1% 0% 1% Hong Kong
Singapore
Luxembourg
United Kingdom
Belgium
China
Switzerland
United States
Germany
Taiwan
Others
Source: Watch
Lux’s 2013 total RMB payment volume, sent and received
Growth figures: 2013 vs 2012
Live traffic
-
RMB sent and received in FX trade message(MT300/320)
RMB’s evolution with UK -- London as an RMB FX centre
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Average
monthly
growth rate:
0.4%
Source: SWIFT Watch
-
RMB Payment flows in&out of UK
Ranking Based on total FIN 2013 - number of messages sent and received
1. HK
4. Germany
2. Domestic
5. US
3. Belgium
Top partner countries of UK’s RMB Payment
92%
2% 1% 1% 1% Hong Kong
United Kingdom
Belgium
Germany
United States
China
Singapore
Luxembourg
France
Switzerland
Others
Source: Watch
UK’s 2013 total RMB payment volume, sent and received
Growth figures: 2013 vs 2012
Live traffic
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Significant evolvement in RMB offshore clearing
Hong Kong
the leader ~74% share
(BOC)
Thailand
Announced interest to
establish clearing bank
London
RMB clearing
bank coming
soon
China (CIPS)
New international
RMB clearing
system by 2015
Singapore
RMB clearing
(ICBC)
Luxembourg
Biggest RMB
liquidity pool in
Europe
Potential, or in progress
Shanghai Free Trade Zone
Piloting liberalisation of RMB
financial services
RMB “centres”
Taiwan
RMB clearing (BOC)
Macao
RMB clearing
(BOC)
Frankfurt
RMB clearing
bank coming soon
Laos
Local RMB
clearing (ICBC)
Malaysia
Local RMB
clearing (BOC)
Cambodia
Local RMB
clearing (BOC)
Philippines
Local RMB clearing
(BOC)
Moscow
Local RMB
clearing (BOC)
Implications to banks: • competitive
landscape changing
• more complexity in
back office operation
Australia
ASX & BOC
partnership for
RMB clearing
Established
15
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CCC (Chinese commercial code)
update
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Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
CCC table launch plan
2013 Q1’14 Q2’14 Q3’14 Q4’14
17
CCC e-table publish on www.swift.com
Preparation of the CCC e-table (CCC group, SWIFT)
Finalize the governance document (CCC group, SWIFT)
Establish the CCC maintenance group
Collect market practice in how to use CCC in MTs and draft market practice
guidelines (CCC group)
SWIFT user group meetings to promote (HK, SG, TW, CN, MO, & others)
http://www.swift.com/
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Chinese Commercial Code (CCC) update
Current status
- First version of CCC e-table is ready for publication
- CCC maintenance group was established and first consultation had
been sent to all members
- Established formal governance for CCC maintenance
- Maintenance group has members from 4 main Chinese banks, TW
FISC, CNY offshore clearing banks, SWIFT, and OSCNYWG
- Draft the best practice of CCC table usage for FIN messages
- Draft the best practice to present the name and address information in
relevant MT fields
- Awaiting one more delegate from OSCNYWG to participate at the
maintenance group
18
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Chinese Commercial Code (CCC) update
19
Next steps
- Locate the web-site for publication at SWIFT
- Kick off the maintenance of 2nd version of CCC table
- Remove errors from paper table
- Discuss stages to include commonly used Chinese characters
- Coding structure when table is expanded beyond 10K
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Discussion Topic 1:
Change of behaviour along with
CNAPS2
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Discussion Topic 2:
SH FTZ vs HK offshore RMB
business
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SR2014 and potential update on
Offshore CNY Guidelines
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Common
challenges unique solutions