ohio's small and mid-sized legacy cities
TRANSCRIPT
O C T O B E R 27 , 2
0 1 6
THE STAT
E OF OHIO’S SMALL
AND MID-SIZED LEGACY
CITIES
ABOUT GREATER OHIO POLICY CENTERAn outcome-oriented statewide non-profit that champions revitalization and sustainable redevelopment in Ohio: • Revitalize Ohio’s urban
cores and metropolitan regions
• Achieve sustainable land reuse and economic growth
FROM AKRON TO
ZANESVILLE
OHIO’S SMALL
AND MID
-SIZED LE
GACY
CITIES
Photo: Shane Wynn
SMALL AND MID-SIZED LEGACY CITIESDEFINITION
More than 20,000 residents in the city Less than 1,000,000 residents in the surrounding
metropolitan area Industrial history Lost population since peak Not a college town or suburb of a larger city Most are located in the Midwest and Northeast
WHAT DISTINGUISHES SMALLER LEGACY CITIES? Similar challenges as larger cities,
but less high profile. Successful strategies for
revitalization in large cities may not be transferrable or may need adjustment.
Less financial and human capital resources.
Greater impact of negative land use like vacant properties or brownfields.
Small legacy cities: Remain significant
regional and statewide economic drivers
Present opportunities for innovation
Are emblematic of national concerns about inequality.
WHY SHOULD WE CARE ABOUT SMALL LEGACY CITIES?
FROM AKRON TO ZANESVILLE:OHIO’S SMALL AND MID-SIZED LEGACY CITIES
Ohio has 20 small and mid-sized legacy cities.
These cities and their regions account for nearly a third of the state’s population and a third of the state’s GDP.
Long been drivers of the state’s and regional economies
FROM AKRON TO ZANESVILLE:METHODOLOGY
Collected data on population change, economic health of residents and housing markets in 2000, 2009, and 2014.
Compiled condition and trend data by city-type to create averages for large, mid-size, and small legacy cities across the state.
Also collected and compiled data on the metropolitan statistical area to compare
FINDING:
STUNTED
RECOVERY
FROM THE
GREAT REC
ESSION
OVERALL TRAJECTORY BY INDICATOR2000-2014, ALL CITIES
Columbus
Large Legacy Cities
Mid-Size Legacy Cities
Small Legacy Cities
State
Popu
latio
n
Labo
r For
ce
Parti
cipat
ion
Unem
ploy
men
t Re
duct
ion
Hous
ehol
d In
com
e
Per C
apita
In
com
e
Pove
rty
Redu
ctio
n
Hous
ing
Vaca
ncy
Hous
ing
Valu
es
Columbus City
Columbus Metro
Large Legacy Cities
Large Legacy Metros
Mid-Sized Legacy Cities
Mid-Sized Legacy Metros
Small Legacy Cities
Small Legacy Metros
State-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2000-20092009-2014
Rela
tive
Grow
th o
r Dec
line
(%)
RELATIVE CHANGE IN HOUSING VALUESPRE- AND POST-2009
FINDING:
COLUMBUS’ STRENGTH
MASKS
OTHER
CITIES’ C
HALLENGES
FINDING:
LARGE LEG
ACY CITIE
S HAVE D
EEP
CHALLENGES,
BUT ARE
EXPER
IENCING PROMISING SIGNS
OF REC
OVERY
Columbus Large Legacy Cities
Mid-Sized Cities
Small Cities State0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
POVERTY RATE CHANGE
Columbus Large Legacy Cities
Mid-Sized Cities
Small Cities State0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
150.00%
200.00%
250.00%
HOUSING VACANCY CHANGE
Columbus Large Legacy Cities
Mid-Sized Cities
Small Cities State-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE
CHANGE
FINDING: M
ID-SIZED LE
GACY
CITIES ARE H
ELD BACK BY
HOUSING MARKETS AND
SHRINKING W
ORKFORCES
2000 201458.50%
59.00%
59.50%
60.00%
60.50%
61.00%
61.50%
62.00%
59.70%
61.40%61.40%
60.30%
Large Legacy Cities Mid-Sized Legacy Cities
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN LARGE AND MID-SIZED LEGACY CITIES, 2000 TO 2014
HOUSING VACANCY IN LARGE AND MID-SIZED LEGACY CITIES, 2000 TO 2014
2000 20140.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
3.40%
7.73%
2.53%
8.12%
Large Legacy CitiesMid-Sized Legacy Cities
FINDING: SM
ALL LEG
ACY CITIE
S
FACING GROWING WORKFO
RCE
AND POVERT
Y CHALLE
NGES
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 201455
57
59
61
63
65
67
69
71
Columbus City Large Legacy Cities Mid-Sized Legacy Cities Small Legacy Cities
State
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATES OVER TIME
FINDING: N
EGATI
VE TREN
DS
EXTEN
D BEYOND CITY
BORDERS
OVERALL TRAJECTORY BY INDICATOR2000-2014, ALL METROS
ColumbusMetro
Large Legacy City
MetrosMid-Size
Legacy City MetrosSmall
Legacy City Metros
State
Popu
latio
n
Unem
ploy
men
t Re
duct
ion
Labo
r For
ce
Parti
cipat
ion
Hous
ehol
d In
com
e
Per C
apita
In
com
e
Pove
rty
Redu
ctio
n
Hous
ing
Vaca
ncy
Hous
ing
Valu
es
Jobs
New
Busin
esse
s
HOW DO OHIO’S SMALL
LEGACY CITIE
S COMPARE?
ASSESSING N
AT IONAL PEERS
NATIONAL PEER STUDY
OVERALL TRAJECTORY BY INDICATOR2000-2014, COMPARISON CITIES
Popu
latio
n
Labo
r For
ce
Parti
cipat
ion
Unem
ploy
men
t Re
duct
ion
Hous
ehol
d In
com
e
Pove
rty
Redu
ctio
n
Hous
ing
Vaca
ncy
Hous
ing
Valu
es
Allentown
Grand Rapids
Hamilton, OH
South Bend
Syracuse
Worcester
Gary
Munc
ieSo
uth
Bend
Flint
Gran
d Ra
pids
Kala
maz
ooPo
ntia
cAk
ron
Dayt
onHa
milt
onLim
aYo
ungs
town
Lowe
llSp
ringfi
eld
Wor
cest
erCa
mde
nAl
bany
Bing
ham
ton
Syra
cuse
Alle
ntow
nBe
thle
hem
Lanc
aste
rSc
rant
onYo
rk
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Change Peak to 2000 Change 2000 to Today
INDIANAMICHIGAN MASS.OHIOMICHIGAN PENNSYLVANIANJ
GAIN OR LOSS OF PEAK POPULATIONNEW YORK
Gary
Munc
ieSo
uth
Bend
Flint
Gran
d Ra
pids
Kala
maz
ooPo
ntia
cAk
ron
Dayt
onHa
milt
onLim
aYo
ungs
town
Lowe
llSp
ringfi
eld
Wor
cest
erCa
mde
nAl
bany
Bing
ham
ton
Syra
cuse
Alle
ntow
nBe
thle
hem
Lanc
aste
rSc
rant
onYo
rk
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CHANGE IN YOUNG PROFESSIONAL POPU-LATION OHIOINDIANA MICHIGAN MASS. NJ NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA
Gary
Munc
ieSo
uth
Bend
Flint
Gran
d Ra
pids
Kala
maz
ooPo
ntia
cAk
ron
Dayt
onHa
milt
onLim
aYo
ungs
town
Lowe
llSp
ringfi
eld
Wor
cest
erCa
mde
nAl
bany
Bing
ham
ton
Syra
cuse
Alle
ntow
nBe
thle
hem
Lanc
aste
rSc
rant
on
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
CHANGE IN IMMIGRANT POPULATION
INDIANA MICHIGAN OHIO MASS. NJ NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA
SOLUTIONS,
RECOMMENDATIONS, A
ND
BEST PRACTIC
ES
Vision for the future must be grounded in a realistic assessment of the present.
Cities should consider their “niche” in the global, national, or regional economy.
Sufficient civic capacity to carry out change is critical.
Cities are most likely to be successful by blending a long-term strategic vision and an incremental process of change.
KEY FACTORS IN REPOSITIONING SMALLER LEGACY CITIES
Photo Credit: Phil Kidd
FOCUS ON CIVIC CAPACITY AND BUILDING TALENT
Strong cities have strong
leaders in all sectors
willing to “own the
problem” of the city’s
revitalization.
GROW HUMAN CAPITAL BY INVESTING IN LOW-INCOME RESIDENTS
Strong cities are places of
opportunity for residents of
varying incomes and educational
backgrounds. Photo Credit: Rowan Cabarrus Community College
Strong cities have
neighborhoods of
choice for people with
a range of incomes.
FOCUS ON SUSTAINING NEIGHBORHOODS
Photo: Citiwide Development
Strong cities have a strong sense of place
that encourages
diverse people to live, work,
and play there.
DEPLOY CREATIVE PLACEMAKING FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Photo: Better Block Foundation
Strong cities thrive when state policy
is responsive
to their specific needs.
AVOID “ONE-SIZE FITS ALL” POLICY SOLUTIONS
March 7th & 8th, 2017
More information is available at: www.GreaterOhio.wix.com/2017-Summit
The Westin Columbus310 South High StreetColumbus, Ohio 43215
Investing in Ohio's Future: Maximizing Growth in our Cities and Regions
GREATER OHIO PO
LICY
CENTER
Torey Hollingsworth,[email protected]
399 E.
Main
Street,
Columbus O
H 43215
614-224
-0187