oligopoly(sept2010) [compatibility mode]
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Oligopoly
Mihir Mahapatra
9/10/2010 1
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Issues for Discussion Oligopoly
Duopoly
Conditions lead to emergence ofOligopoly Market?
Equilibrium in Oligopoly Market
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Cournot Solution Application of Game Theory in
Oligopoly Market
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Oligopoly is a market structure in which there areonly few sellers (firms) of ahomogeneous or differentiated product.
Pure Oligopoly: Product is HOMOGENEOUS
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Differentiated Oligopoly: Product isDIFFERENTIATED
Duopoly: An oligopoly with two sellers(competitors)
Duopoly is the limiting case of Oligopoly
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Oligopoly
Oligopoly: Most prevalent form of Market organizationExp: Detergent, Cigarettes, Electrical Equipment, Computer-Differentiated Product
Homogeneous Product: Close Resemble Petrochemicals, Telecom
serviceReliance, Tata Indicom, BSNL, MTNL, AIRTEL,IDEA, HUTCH-BPL etc ! (excluding service)
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As FEW firms operate in the industry so ACTION of each firm affectsthe other firms in the industry and vice-versa.
If one firm Reduces price then other firms can not RemainINDIFFERENT
To avoid PRICE WAR Oligopolist prefer to compete on the basis
of product differentiation, advertising and service
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CAN ADVERTISEMENT SOLVE the PROBLEM?
Advertisement: Coca-cola vis-à-vis Pepsi
(Aamir Khan vis-à-vis Shahrukh Khan)
KING FISHER vis-à-vis Jet and other domestic players
If one firm opts for major advertising campaign then others will follow suit.
Overall Inference: INTERDEPENDENCE OR RIVALRY AMONG THE FIRMS
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.
As There are FEW firms in the industry
INFERENCE: EACH OLIGOPOLIST NEEDS TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT
EXPECTED COMPETITORS REACTION WITH RESPECT TO
PRICING POLICY, DEGREE OF PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION, LEVEL
OF ADVERTISING TO BE UNDERTAKEN AND AMOUNT OF SERVICES
TO BE PROVIDED .
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Why does Oligopoly Emerge?
Barriers to market entry: Conditions that make itdifficult for new firms to enter the industry where existing firms have
long-run interests.
Entry-limit pricingSet a price lower than the Profit Maximizing price to discouragepotential rivals to enter the market
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Excess Capacity and Economies of scale(Serve as a signal to potential entrants that exiting firm can reduceprice and expand output if a new firm attempts to gain a share of
market)Incumbent firms may adopt strategic actions to deter entry (Pindyck et al.)
Threaten to flood market and drive prices down if entry occurs.
To make threat credible, can construct excess production capacity
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Sources of Oligopoly continues…….
Economies of Scale: Operates over sufficiently large rangeof output so as to leave only few firms supplying the output.
Average Cost of Production low
Requirement of Huge Capital Investment and Specialized inputsto enter Oligopolistic Market
New Firms to raise tremendous amount of investment funds to install the
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.
[Exp: Automoblie, Aluminium, Steel (SAIL, ISPAT, TATA STEEL etc)]
Product differentiation or brand recognition(Existing firms Develop preference for their product by the
consumers. New firms cannot attract the customers easily)
Need to spend more money for Market Recognition and MarketReputation
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Sources of Oligopoly…… © Brand Reflects the quality of product
(Quality of Product and Services are two important factors thatdetermine profit)
Patent Rights: Few firms own patent right or exclusive right
to produce
Control of supply of Required Raw Material by few Firms restricts newentrants entering the industry
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Access to Technology exclude potential competitors
Sales and Distribution Networks
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Equilibrium in Oligopoly Market
Management Challenges
Strategic actions to Deter Entry
Threaten to decrease price against new Competitorsby keeping Excess Capacity
Rival behavior
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Because only a few firms, each must consider how itsactions will affect its rivals and in turn how their rivals
will react
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Equilibrium: Oligopoly
If one firm decides to cut price, then it mustconsider what other firms in the industry will do
Could cut price.How much? The same amount, or more
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Could lead to PRICE WAR and drastic FALL inPROFITS for all
Actions and reactions are dynamic, evolving overtime
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Oligopoly: Equilibrium
Defining Equilibrium
Market is in equilibrium if firms are doing thebest they can and have no incentive to changetheir prices or output.
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rms assume compe ors are a ng r vadecisions into account
Nash Equilibrium
Each firm is doing the best it can given what its competitors are doing
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Equilibrium in Duopoly Market: The Cournot Model
Duopoly: Market in which Two Firms Compete with eachother
Introduced by French Mathematical Economist: Augustin Cournot (1838)
Two Profit Maximizing Duopolists selling Spring Waterunder Zero long run Marginal Cost of Production
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EACH FIRM TREATS OUTPUT of its COMPETITORS asFIXED.
BASED on it EACH FIRM DECIDES how much to PRODUCE
to Maximize Profit
Each Firm will adjust its output based on what it thinks the
other firm will produce
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Assumptions of Cournot Model
Homogenous Product Produced by Twofirms
Each Duopolist assume OUTPUT of other
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uopo y as xe
Each Duopolist fully know the Linear Market
Demand Curve
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Firm 1’s Output Decision
P1D1(0)
Firm 1 and market demand curve,D1(0), if Firm 2 produces nothing.
If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce50 units, its demand curve is
shifted to the left by this amount.
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MC1
50
MR1(75)
D1(75)
12.5
rm n s rm w pro uce
75 units, its demand curve isshifted to the left by this amount.
Q1
MR1(0)
D1(50)MR1(50)
25
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Oligopoly
• The Reaction Curve
– The relationship between a firm’s
PROFIT MAXIMIZING OUTPUT and theamount it thinks its COMPETITOR will
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(Ex. If Firm 1 thinks firm 2 will produce nothing then it
(firm 1) produces 50 units. If Firm 2 Produces 50, firm1 produce 25 (=1/2 of the market not supplied by firm2). Firm 2 produce 75, firm 1 produce 12.5 (1/2 of 25),
firm 2 produce 100, firm 1 produce nothing)
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’75
100
Firm 1’s reaction curve shows how much it
will produce as a function of how muchit thinks Firm 2 will produce. The x’scorrespond to the previous model.
The Reaction Curve & Cournot Equilibrium
Q1
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Curve Q*2(Q1)
Firm 2’s reaction curve shows how much itwill produce as a function of how much
it thinks Firm 1 will produce.
Q2
25
50
Firm 1’s ReactionCurve Q*1(Q2)
x
x
x
x100755025
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The Reaction Curve & Cournot Equilibrium
’75
100 In Cournot equilibrium, eachfirm correctly assumes howmuch its competitors will
produce and therebymaximizes its own profits.
Q1
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Curve Q*2(Q1)
Q225 50 75 100
25
50
Firm 1’s ReactionCurve Q*1(Q2)
x
x
x
x
CournotEquilibrium
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Cournot Equilibrium
Equilibrium in the Cournot model, in which each firm correctly assumes how muchits competitor will produce and sets its own production level accordingly
• Cournot equilibrium is an example of a Nash equilibrium (Cournot-Nash Equilibrium)
The action reaction continues as the firms don’t learn from past pattern of reaction of their rival.
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Eventually equilibrium reached when each firm produces ONE-THIRD of totalmarket (or two firms produce 2/3 rd of total market).
Equilibrium Point: INTERACTION of TWO REACTION CURVES
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Equilibrium……
Each firm maximizes profit in each period but industryprofits are not maximised.
Recognition of Interdependence (open Collusion)leads to HIGHER PROFIT- A case of Monopoly
power
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Collusion: Feasible to Produce ONE-HALF of total
output. If shared equally, one-fourth is produced byeach firm (instead of one third as noticed earlier).
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The Linear Demand Curve
• Compare Cournot Equilibrium with Competitive
Equilibrium and the Equilibrium resulting from Collusion
– Two firms face linear market demand curve
– We can Market demand is P = 30 - Q
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– Q is total production of both firms:Q = Q1 + Q2
– Both firms have MC1 = MC2 = 0
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An Example
• Firm 1’s Reaction Curve MR = MC
111 )30( QQ PQ R −==:RevenueTotal
2
1211 )(30 QQQQ
−−=
+−=
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An Example of Cournot Equilibrium
21
11
21111
2115
0
230
MC MR
QQQ R MR
−=
==
−−=∆∆=
CurveReactions2'Firm
CurveReactions1'Firm
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12
2115 QQ −=
1030
2010)2115(2115
:other)eachwithintersectcurvesreaction(Two
mEquilibriuCournot
21
1
21
=−=
=+=
=−−
=
QP
QQQQ
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Cournot Equilibrium
Q1
Firm 2’sReaction Curve
30The demand curve is P = 30 - Q and
both firms have 0 marginal cost.
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Q215
Firm 1’sReaction Curve
15
30
10
10
Cournot Equilibrium
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Profit Maximization with Collusion
15QwhenMaximizedisProfitTotal
15Qimplies 0
0.:
230
30)30(
.........&..................
2
=
==
==
−=∆∆=
−=−==
MR
ButMC MC MRm Equilibriu
QQ R MR
QQQQPQ R
equally profit split todecided colludetodecided firmstwo Let
Curve Q1 + Q2 = 15-Collusion Curve
Shows all pairs of output Q1 and Q2 that maximize total profits
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If they share profit equally, then both can produce half of the total
Q1 = Q2 = 7.5
Inference: In collusion, less output (7.5 each) and higher profits as
compared to Cournot equilibrium (more output: 10 each)
Cournot outcome (firm) is better than Perfect Competition,but not as good as the Collusion
In Collusion each firm sells lower output
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Duopoly Example
Firm 2’sReaction Curve
Q1
30 For the firm, collusion is the best
outcome followed by the CournotEquilibrium and then thecompetitive equilibrium
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Firm 1’sReaction Curve
Q230
10
10
Cournot Equilibrium
CollusionCurve
7.5
7.5
Collusive Equilibrium
15
15
Competitive Equilibrium (P = MC; Profit = 0)