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Agricultural market dashboards project - from Excel to QlikView

Maciej Krzysztofowicz

DG AGRI

From hoarding to sharing

Limited market intervention in CAP

But administrative and statistical data available

Where is the data?

ISAMM + Eurostat + Others

Who is it for?

Farmers?

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: DAIRY PRODUCTS Last update : 10.11.2015

140

190

240

290

340

390

440

Jan

03

Jan

04

Jan

05

Jan

06

Jan

07

Jan

08

Jan

09

Jan

10

Jan

11

Jan

12

Jan

13

Jan

14

Jan

15

Jan

16

in EUR/100 kg

EU average quotations of main commodities

Butter Int. price

SMP Int. price

BUTTER

SMP

WMP

CHEDDAR

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

EU

Pri

ces

GD

T

Au

ctio

n

EU

Pro

du

ctio

ns

EU

Tra

de

+ 1.3%+ 2.6% + 3.3%

- 7.0%

+ 1.2% + 1.7%

- 2.0% - 1.9%

+ 0.5%

EU Productions (Jan-Aug 2015 compared to Jan-Aug 2014)

Wo

rld

P

rod

uct

ion

s

Wo

rld

Tra

de

USD

/Fe

ed

/En

erg

y

Feed / Energy quotations

Evolution ( 4 last weeks )

Feed costs( Wk 43 )

Energy costs

( Wk 43 )

+ 2,9 %

- 3,1 %

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

New Zealand 304 - 8% 210 + 17% 246 + 11% 858 - 3%

EU-28 136 + 33% 460 - 8% 473 + 10% 266 - 2%

United States 18 - 70% 224 - 15% 374 - 8% 27 - 32%

Australia 23 - 11% 110 + 12% 131 + 29% 43 - 18%

Belarus up to Aug 41 + 49% 95 + 20% 65 + 41% 19 - 2%

Argentina 6 - 28% 27 - 19% 17 + 43% 78 - 21%

Jan-Sep 2015

compared to 2014

MAIN EXPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES

BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

Qty in

ktons

% 2015

/14

China 44 - 32% 49 + 7% 146 - 24% 275 - 54%

Russia up to Aug50 - 42% 98 - 55% 56 + 23% 17 - 27%

Japan 6 + 96% 165 + 8% 38 + 41% 0 + 62%

United States 25 + 151% 120 + 27% 2 - 14% 7 + 83%

Mexico up to Aug 22 + 47% 72 + 26% 129 + 9% 5 + 41%

Egypt up to Jun37 + 35% 16 - 48% 44 + 42% 28 + 74%

S.M.P. W.M.P.Jan-Sep 2015

compared to 2014

MAIN IMPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES

BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE

10 000

11 000

12 000

13 000

14 000

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

1000

To

nn

es

EU - Cows' milk collected

2012201320142015

Jan-Aug 2015/14 : +1,3%

Sources : EUROSTAT, Reg. (EU) 479/2010, Clal.it, USDA, Lto.nl, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Dairyaustralia, Dcanz, Global Trade Atlas, Globaldairytrade.

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

1 100

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

in 1000 tonnes

Australian milk production

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

Jul-Sep 2015/16 compared to 2014/15 : + 5,5%

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

in 1000 tonnes

NZ milk production

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

Jun-Sep 2015/16 compared to 2014/15 : - 4,0%

7000

7250

7500

7750

8000

8250

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

in 1000 tonnes

U.S. milk production

2012201320142015

Jan-Sep 2015 compared to 2014 : + 1,4%

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Jan

01

Jan

02

Jan

03

Jan

04

Jan

05

Jan

06

Jan

07

Jan

08

Jan

09

Jan

10

Jan

11

Jan

12

Jan

13

Jan

14

Jan

15

Jan

16

EUR/100 kg

Weighted EU Average (real fat content)

EU Milk Equiv. Price (based on SMP and Butter prices)

* : provisional figures

29.7

26.3

EU Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to October 2015*)

30

35

40

45

50

55

JAN

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

MA

Y

JUN

JUL

AU

G

SEP

OC

T

NO

V

DE

C

EU

R/1

00

kg

2-WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices- IT, Lodi -2012

2013

2014

2015

35.5 € (01 Nov )

15

25

35

45

55

JAN

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

MA

Y

JUN

JUL

AU

G

SEP

OC

T

NO

V

DE

C

EU

R/1

00

kg

WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices- NL -2012

2013

2014

2015

26 € (08 Nov )

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan

Ma

r

Ma

y

Jul

Sep

No

v

Jan

Ma

r

Ma

y

Jul

Sep

No

v

47,91

Last update : 06.11.2015

OIL : Europe Brent Spot Price(USD/Barrel)

0

10

20

30

40

50

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

EU

R/1

00

kg

US Milk (class III adj 4.2% fat)NZ Milk - (Fonterra, adj 4.2% fat & 3.35% prot)EU Raw Milk price

Source :

21.7

29.7

36.0

EU SEP 2015 price is a provisional figure

U.S. and New Zealand Milk Prices Evolution

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

Jan

Ma

r

Ma

y

Jul

Sep

No

v

Jan

Ma

r

Ma

y

Jul

Sep

No

v

EUR / USD Exchange Rate

1,0776

Last Update : 10.11.15

EU Oceania USA EU Oceania USA

Butter 3 319 3 175 5 785 - 2.5% - + 6.4%

SMP 2 007 2 163 1 819 - 3.5% - - 3.9%

WMP 2 681 2 800 2 866 - 1.1% + 1.4% -

Cheddar 3 348 3 200 3 546 - 2.2% - + 1.6%

Price in USD/Tonne

on 1.11.2015

% change

(15 days ago)

LATEST WORLD QUOTATIONS

in Tonnes 2013 2014 2015 in Tonnes 2013 2014 2015

Extra-EU 73 115 90 322 98 348 + 9% Extra-EU 586 041 550 725 524 387 - 5%

USA 2 619 5 896 12 378 + 110% USA 81 512 83 764 101 406 + 21%

Saudi Arabia 2 329 5 586 10 886 + 95% Japan 32 433 35 002 50 475 + 44%

Egypt 604 1 695 9 255 +++ Switzerland 39 134 40 358 41 176 + 2%

in Tonnes 2013 2014 2015 in Tonnes 2013 2014 2015

Extra-EU 301 540 478 739 527 516 + 10% Extra-EU 284 696 300 500 302 852 + 1%

Algeria 45 900 109 522 89 897 - 18% Oman 40 725 37 247 46 980 + 26%

Egypt 16 722 33 808 45 584 + 35% Algeria 21 069 58 102 27 628 - 52%

China 31 130 51 503 38 216 - 26% Nigeria 28 457 26 348 22 326 - 15%

W.M.P.

EU Exports - Top 3 destinations in 2015Period : January to September

BUTTER CHEESE

S.M.P.

- 42%

- 55%

+ 23%

- 27%

+ 11%

- 27%

- 17%

+ 26%

87

218

46

23

74

2

34

8

50

98

56

17

82

2

28

10

0 100 200 300

BUTTER + OIL

CHEESE

S.M.P.

W.M.P.

WHEYPOWDER

CASEIN(ATE)S

CONDENSED

LACTOSE

Qty in '000 tonnes

2014

2015

20

60

13

7

20

86

4

87

0

0

0

0

0

78

0

84

0 100

% of EU

RUSSIA IMPORTS (Jan-Aug 2015 compared to 2014)

29,9Raw Milk €/100 kg

EU Price Sep 2015

Evolution since

last month

+ 0,6%

298BUTTER €/100 kg - 0.6%

179S.M.P. €/100 kg - 1.0%

245W.M.P. €/100 kg + 1.4%

305CHEDDAR €/100 kg + 1.0%

Evolution since last weekEU Prices

(week 43)

We have no graphic designer

… but everyone has an opinion

Do we really need copyright re-use permissions

… we do!

Fears about quality of data

… make us wary about releasing it

The data is linked

… but not in our system

Should we interpret the data

..or keep it open?

Thank you!