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15
NORMATIVE MODELS FOR EVIDENCE-BASED PROCESS ANALYSIS OF WIRELESS MOBILE GRIDS Tina Balke, University of Bayreuth / University of Bath

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Page 1: Open mic tina

NORMATIVE

MODELS FOR

EVIDENCE-BASED

PROCESS

ANALYSIS OF

WIRELESS MOBILE

GRIDS

Tina Balke, University of

Bayreuth / University of Bath

Page 2: Open mic tina

WIRELESS MOBILE

GRIDS: POTENTIAL

STARS, CASH

COWS, QUESTION

MARKS OR DOGS

– AND HOW TO

FIND OUT?

Tina Balke, University of

Bayreuth / University of Bath

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Financial Challenges for the

Mobile Phone Sector

Intensified competition due to market

penetration of 132% (EU)

ARPU: 15€/month (Germany)

Negative profit margin of -7% is expected

by 2012 (for some companies, negative

EBITDA expected) (EU)

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Infrastructure Challenges for

the Mobile Phone Sector

Application demand for digital content is

rising

Infrastructure network capacity is limited

Smartphone battery life cycle poses a big

problem, and is considered especially

important by customers

Smartphone compute and ad-hoc

network facilities are under-utilized

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Wireless Mobile Grids – A

Solution!?

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The Public Good Problem in

Wireless Mobile Grids

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Life Cycle Costs

Source: BCG

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Essential Question: How to

can we find out if wireless

mobile grids can actually

work and are worth investing

in?

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Norm. Models for Evidence-

Based Process Analysis

Technical Foundations (Energy & Transmission

Model) Normative Model

Financial Model User Model

Normative Multi-Agent-System

Simulation

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Early Results

state power value [W] data rate [Mbps]

sending 1,629 5,623

receiving @ 3m 1,375 5,379

idle @ 3m 0,952 -

state power value [W] data rate [Mbps]

receiving 1,314 0,193

idle 0,661 -

Source: Gian Paolo Perrucci, Aalborg University

Power Levels and Data Rate For Cellular - 100 byte

Power Levels and Data Rate For WLAN Broadcast - 1000 byte

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Early Results II

Analytical normative model

ignoring strategic user behavior

potential for wireless mobile grid solution

Normative MAS model

without enforcement

with strategic user behavior

significantly worse energy consumption

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Early Results III

Financial results:

On average 85%

EBITDA increase for

idealized Wireless

Mobile Grid model

in Germany

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Future Research

More realistic models

User interaction and the overall system results

Financial model

Empirical study on Wireless Mobile Grid user preferences

Multi-stakeholder analysis

Test implementation in Aalborg

Location-based services

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Acknowledgements

Julian Padget and Marina De Vos,

University of Bath

Torsten Eymann, University of Bayreuth

Frank Fitzek, Aalborg University