Opening AddressesOpening Addresses

Jan. 11M. Kikuchi, JAERI

Jan. 11M. Kikuchi, JAERI

US-Japan Workshop on Fusion Power Plants and Related Advanced Technologies with

participation of EU January 11-13, 2005 at Tokyo, JAPAN

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US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activityUS-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity(From my memory)(From my memory)

US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activityUS-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity(From my memory)(From my memory)

1st 1989(JAERI,May29-39):ARIES-I, SSTR, ---2nd 1990(UCLA,Oct.15-17):ARIES-I, SSTR, CFAR3rd 1992(JAERI,Mar.9-11): ARIES-II/IV,SSTR-2, ST(TARTRs)4th 1993(UCLA,Sep.17) : in conjunction with IAEA-TCM5th 1995(Kyoto U.,Mar.13-16): STARLITE,SEAFP, FFHR, Pulsar, IDLT

1st 1989(JAERI,May29-39):ARIES-I, SSTR, ---2nd 1990(UCLA,Oct.15-17):ARIES-I, SSTR, CFAR3rd 1992(JAERI,Mar.9-11): ARIES-II/IV,SSTR-2, ST(TARTRs)4th 1993(UCLA,Sep.17) : in conjunction with IAEA-TCM5th 1995(Kyoto U.,Mar.13-16): STARLITE,SEAFP, FFHR, Pulsar, IDLT

?th 1999(Kyoto U.,Mar.24-26): CREST, ARIES-ST, DREAM,FFHR?th 2000(UCSD,Mar.16-17): ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,FFHR,CREST,ESE?th 2001(U. Tokyo,ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,CREST,FFHR,ESE?th 2002(UCSD,Apr.6-7): FFHR, Laser, ESE?th 2003(UCSD,Oct.9-11): ARIES-IFE, ARIES-CH,FFHR, ESE?th 2005(JAERI/UT,Jan.11-13): FFHR, ARIES-CH, VECTOR

?th 1999(Kyoto U.,Mar.24-26): CREST, ARIES-ST, DREAM,FFHR?th 2000(UCSD,Mar.16-17): ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,FFHR,CREST,ESE?th 2001(U. Tokyo,ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,CREST,FFHR,ESE?th 2002(UCSD,Apr.6-7): FFHR, Laser, ESE?th 2003(UCSD,Oct.9-11): ARIES-IFE, ARIES-CH,FFHR, ESE?th 2005(JAERI/UT,Jan.11-13): FFHR, ARIES-CH, VECTOR

Other Frameworks

Note : IEA FPCC recommends coordination among various frameworks

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[2] IAEA framework : IAEA technical meeting on 1st generation of fusion power plants

[1] IEA framework : International Energy Agency Cooperative Agreement on Environmental, Safety, and Economic Aspects of Fusion Power

Roadmap to Fusion DEMORoadmap to Fusion DEMO

2010 2015 2020 2025 2035

DecomissioningConstruction

Development of breeding blanket

Fusion material development (inc. IFMIF)

Achieve Q=20, 400sAchieve Q~5 steady-state operationProof of principle of breeding blanket

Confirm physics database

Confirm material database

DEMO physics input for starting EDA

construction power production

Grid connection

licencing

2005FY

ITER program

Satelite TokamaksAnd other devices

Fusion technology development

DEMO

Basic performance phase

Decision of construction

JT-60 and JET

2030

Performance extension phase

Test of breeding blanket

Coordination of DEMO physics and tech. R&D

CDA-like EDA/R&DConcept exploration

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JA,US,EU road map is similar targeting power production early 2030

DEMO requirementFusion must be economically competitive to enter energy marketDEMO requirementFusion must be economically competitive to enter energy market

Prediction of world energy prospect for a case withAssumptions ;Improving rate of energy efficiency ; -1.3%/year (E/GDP)Cost of large scale solar power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 5 to 2 cent/kWh, hydrogen 33 to 22$/barrel Cost of fusion power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 30to 3 cent/kWh, hydrogen 110 to 19$/barrel

Coal

OilNon-conventional oil

Gas

Non-conventional gas

Fission

Hydro

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

21.4Gton

16.5Gton Renewable(Hydrogen）

Renewable

Fusion

Fusion(Hydrogen)

Primary Energy Consumption　　 [Mtoe] Result Prospect

From Dr. Itoh ofnihon energy keizai kennkyuusho

2000 2010 2030 2050 2070 2100

40

30

20

10

0

Fusion

Fossil

Solar

CO

E (

cent

/kW

h)

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4. Comparison with Fission Core

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2 4 6 8 10246810 0（ｍ）

2 4 6 8 10246810 02 4 6 8 10246810 0

Reactor vessel of MONJ YUReactor vessel of A- BWR ITER- FEAT

19.0m

24.5m

10.4m

7m

14m

21m

7.1m

26 m

ARIES-RS

A=4

Remarks

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1. Significant progress has been made in these 15 year on fusion reactor design interacting with experiments.

2. Next 15 years are critically important to identify DEMO to be constructed after ITER.

3. I hope successful workshop!