Victory Starts Here!

The overall classification of this briefing is UNCLASSIFIED in its entirety.

UNCLASSIFIED http://www.tradoc.army.mil/

Operational Environment and Threats

Global EOD Symposium & Exhibition

1-3 August 2016

The Operational Environment Enterprise

DCS, G-2 TRADOC

Operational Environment

and Threats

Global EOD Symposium & Exhibition1-3 August 2016

Operational Environment Enterprise

DCS, G-2 TRADOC

Victory Starts Here!

The Emerging Operational Environment

3rd Offset is essential to keep pace…increase emphasis on game changing technologies now!

Threat Considerations

• Electronic Warfare

• Integrated Air Defense

• Counter Space & PNT

• Cyber & Social Media

• Recon-Info-Strike Complex

• Extensive use of UAVs

• Massed Artillery & Forces

• Protection

• Proxies

• Deception & Ambiguity

• CBRNE/WMD

Potential Game Changers

Laser Weapons

Energetics

RF WeaponsSynthetic Bio

Internet of Things

PowerEDKEW(Rail Guns)

Potential for Conventional OvermatchFour (+1)

MBTIFVArty (SP)Arty (T)RocketsHIMAD SHORADGround EWSpaceCyber

OE Trends

Speed of Human Interaction

Demographics

& Urbanization

Economic

Disparity

Resource

Competition

Strategic Posture

Science &Technology

2

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AI/Robotics

Chem / Bio Weapons

Victory Starts Here!

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WMD in their various forms have been around for a number of years; their improvised counterparts are

a relatively recent addition and all will be present in the Operational Environment well into the Future

2013 20161980 2001

Significant Events:

State and Non-State Owned Improvised CBRN

19941987 2006

Chemical: Iran-Iraq

War

Radiological: Russia

– Chechen rebels

attached isotope

cesium -137 to an

IED with a dynamite

main charge

Radiological: UK-

murder of Alexander

Litvineko by

ingestion of

polonium -210

Biological: US –

Anthrax letters

Chemical: Syria –

Barrel Bombs

Chemical:

ISIL- mustard

gas in Iraq &

Syria

Chemical: Japan –

Aum Shrinkyo, Sarin

Gas

Victory Starts Here!Victory Starts Here!

… Employing disparate organizations

… With increasing potential to

achieve technological advantage

… Utilizing physical terrain, cyber, and

the human dimension

… Increasing Capable Adversaries

… Across a Range of Weapons Capabilities

Chemical, Biological,

Nuclear Weapons

Improvised

Weapons

Conventional

Weapons

Conclusions

UNCLASSIFIED

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Victory Starts Here!

Discussion

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