optimal portfolio selection and risk-adjusted performance...
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Optimal portfolio selection and risk-adjusted
performance of 51 equity funds available in the Swedish
premium pension
Master thesis in Business Administration
Programme of study: Civilekonom
Number of credits: 30 ECTS
Authors: Emilia Svensson 950416
Ninos Khouchaba 951017
Supervisors: Andreas Stephan
Aleksandar Petreski
Jönköping May 2018
Master Thesis in Business Administration
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Acknowledgements
Foremost, we would like to express our gratitude to our supervisors, Andreas Stephan and
Aleksandar Petreski for their continuous support, dedication, and guidance throughout the
process of writing this master thesis.
The authors would also like to express gratitude to our associated students for their
encouragement and valuable inputs provided during the seminars.
________________________ ________________________
Emilia Svensson Ninos Khouchaba
Jönköping International Business School, May 2018
Master Thesis in Business Administration
ii
Master Thesis in Business Administration
Title: Optimal portfolio selection and risk-adjusted performance of 51 equity funds
available in the Swedish premium pension.
Authors: Khouchaba, Ninos
Svensson, Emilia
Date: 2018-05
Key terms: Swedish premium pension system, national public retirement pensions, pension
fund performance, risk-adjusted performance measures.
Abstract
Background: In order to assure a livelihood for the working population after retirement, the
national retirement pension was developed. The system is based on 18.5% of each tax-paying
worker’s annual salary. The national retirement pension system in Sweden consist of two parts.
The first and largest part contributing with 16 percentage points, of the 18.5%, is a defined
benefit plan, named the income pension. The second part contributing with 2.5 percentage
points, of the 18.5%, is the premium pension, which is a defined contribution plan. The
premium pension is the sole part of the national retirement pension controlled by the individual
employee, with the opportunity to actively invest in a broad selection of domestic and
international funds. Investors not making a choice will be transferred into the governments
default fund, named the seventh AP fund. By investing in funds, the premium pension is partly
based on each worker’s annual salary but also on the development of the financial market.
Purpose: This thesis has two purposes, the first is to investigate if the default alternative, the
seventh AP fund has had a superior risk-adjusted return compared to fifty of the most commonly
selected equity funds available in the premium pension selection. The second purpose is to
construct portfolios for active investors with different risk-tolerance in order to compare the
risk-adjusted return between an investor that has made an active investment in comparison to
an investor that has not made an active choice.
Conclusion: To conclude, this thesis shows that there are superior funds to select, with regard
to risk-adjusted return and risk-exposure, as an alternative to the seventh AP fund. In addition
to this, the portfolio construction included in this thesis has proven that active participants can
achieve results that are more compatible with their risk preferences in comparison to remaining
in the default fund option. However, it is important for investors to remain active and alter their
fund selections throughout the years, in order to attain the preferable outcome.
Master Thesis in Business Administration
iii
Table of Contents
1. Introduction 1
1.1 Background 1
1.2 Problem description 3
1.3 Purpose 5
1.4 Delimitations 6
1.5 Definitions 7
2. Theoretical Framework 9
2.1 Premium Pension Funds in Sweden 9
2.2 Risk-Return Trade-Off 10
2.3 Financial Theory 11
2.3.1 Single Index Model 11
2.3.2 Modern portfolio theory 12
2.3.3 Post-Modern portfolio theory 14
2.3.4 Capital Asset Pricing Model 15
2.3.5 Efficient Portfolio Construction 17
2.4 Previous Research 19
3. Method 22
3.1 Choice of Method 22
3.2 Collection of Data 22
3.3 Research Design 24
3.3.1 Sampling 24
3.3.2 Calculations, Assumptions and Benchmarks 25
3.4 Hypothesis Testing 26
3.5 Critical assessment 27
4. Empirical Results 29
4.1 Risk Exposure 29
4.2 Risk-Adjusted Performance 32
4.3 Portfolio Optimization 33
4.3.1 Minimum Variance Portfolio 34
4.3.2 Optimal Tangency Portfolio 36
Master Thesis in Business Administration
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5. Analysis 40
5.1 Risk Exposure 40
5.2 Risk-Adjusted Performance 43
5.3 Portfolio Optimization 46
5.3.1 Minimum Variance Portfolio 46
5.3.2 Optimal Tangency Portfolio 47
6. Conclusion 50
7. Contributions to the Research and Suggested Further Studies 52
8. References 54
8.1 References to theory sources 54
8.2 References to data sources 60
9. Appendix 63
9.1 The 51 equity funds included in the study 63
9.2 Start-of-month net asset values for AP7 64
9.3 Risk-free rate 65
9.4 Yearly average rate of return 66
9.5 Yearly risk measurements 67
9.6 Yearly risk measurement ranking 73
9.7 Yearly risk-adjusted return measurements 74
9.8 Yearly risk-adjusted return measurements ranking 78
Master Thesis in Business Administration
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Table of Figures
Figure 1 - The distribution between “AP7 equity fund” and “AP7 interest-bearing fund”
during a life-cycle ....................................................................................................................... 7
Table 1 – “AP7 Aktiefond” Yearly Risk Measurements (authors’ calculations) .................... 29
Table 2 - "AP7 Aktiefond" Yearly Risk-Adjusted Return Measurements (authors’
calculations) ............................................................................................................................. 32
Table 3 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2007-2010 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 34
Table 4 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2008-2011 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 34
Table 5 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2009-2012 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 34
Table 6 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2010-2013 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 35
Table 7 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2011-2014 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 35
Table 8 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2012-2015 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 35
Table 9 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2013-2016 (authors’ calculations) ............................ 36
Table 10 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2014-2017 (authors’ calculations) .......................... 36
Table 11 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2007-2010 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 37
Table 12 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2008-2011 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 37
Table 13 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2009-2012 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 37
Table 14 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2010-2013 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 37
Table 15 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2011-2014 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 38
Table 16 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2012-2015 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 38
Table 17 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2013-2016 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 38
Table 18 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2014-2017 (authors’ calculations) ........................... 39
Table 19 - Low St.dev funds yearly average rate of return (authors’ calculations) ................ 42
Table 20 – Standard deviation, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations) ............. 46
Table 21 - Return, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations) ................................. 47
Table 22 - Sharpe Ratio, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors´ calculations) ....................... 47
Table 23 - Sharpe Ratio, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations) ......................... 48
Table 24 - Return, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations) .................................. 48
Table 25 – Standard deviation, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations) ............... 48
Introduction
1
1. Introduction
1.1 Background
Growing old is a natural course of life and there is no way to avoid it. As years move on,
retirement will one day catch up and when that day comes every retiree will need a pension
income. Previous statistics concerning the national retirement pension has shown that
retirement savers who followed a passive investment strategy concerning their premium
pension, thus automatically being selected into the governments default fund, have performed
better than pension savers that have retained services from financial advisors (AP7, 2017). On
the contrary, the governments default fund presently has a risk level, for participants up to 55
years of age, that is 1.24 times higher than an ordinary global equity fund
(Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018c). The high degree of risk can be explained by the fact that the
seventh AP fund uses leveraging in order to increase the probability of higher returns and thus
higher pension for investors. The fund acquires derivative contracts, which can be comparable
to the fund borrowing to invest and place them in global equities. As a result, the fluctuations
of the seventh AP equity fund are greater than the average global equity fund (AP7, 2018a).
Based on knowledge and preferences, people choose where to invest their money differently
and the choices they make can yield a substantially different outcome (Engström and
Westerberg, 2003).
The previous national retirement pension, known as the ATP system, received criticism for not
being connected to the social economic development and that the system did not adjust to the
increasing life-expectancy of the population (Sundén, 2006). With the increase in life-
expectancy and the fact that economic growth slowed down in the late 20th century, the ATP
system was condemned as not financially stable and a study was initiated to revise it in order
to create a new sustainable pension system (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018f). As a result, pressure
from the Swedish population led to the creation of a new pension system that was announced
in 1999 (Engström and Westerberg, 2003; Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018e). The reform had the
intention to address three clear shortcomings from the previous national retirement system.
Firstly, a clear connection concerning the contribution and benefits with regards to equality
across generations. Secondly, financial sustainability should be realised by tying the pension
system to financial growth. Thirdly, individuals should be granted more involvement by giving
Introduction
2
them the choice of investing part of their pension saving, namely the premium pension (Barr,
2013).
The new national retirement pension gives every tax-paying worker in Sweden the right to a
pension (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018a). The system is built with an earnings-related structure
and the rate of contribution is 18.5% of each workers’ annual salary (Sundén, 2006). From these
18.5%, 16% percentage points will contribute to the main part of the national retirement pension,
namely the income pension. The income pension is a notional defined benefit plan, which gives
each worker the right to a predetermined pension based solely on their annual earnings (Hagen,
2017). The income pension works as a pay-as-you-go system, where each worker has an
individual notional account with a defined contribution. The amount of the individual accounts
is based on a defined contribution rate that is applied to the individuals’ earnings from work.
The value of the account symbolises an entitlement on a future pension income (Palmer, 2000).
The remaining 2.5% percentage points contributes to the premium pension which is a defined
contribution system (Hagen, 2017). Previously, all parts in the pension system were based on a
pay-as-you-go system, but this changed with the new national pension system. The changes
were implemented in order to ensure financial stability and to provide adequate pension income
for all inhabitants. Today, the pension system is based on a notional defined contribution and
defined contribution plan with a pay-as-you-go structure along with funded individual accounts
(Sundén, 2006).
The premium pension is not solely based on each workers’ annual income but also from the
development of the financial market (Engström and Westerberg, 2003). Although the premium
pension only has a minor contribution to the national retirement pension, this is the only part
that is controlled by the individual (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018h). The participants can
actively determine how to invest their premium pension based on a broad selection of domestic
and international funds (Palme, Sundén and Söderlind, 2007). The selectable funds include
equity funds, interest-bearing funds, mixed funds, and generational funds (Czech, 2016). From
the available options, up to five funds can be selected to be a part of the participants’ retirement
savings (Hedesström, Svedsäter and Gärling, 2007) and the pension saver has the possibility to
change funds an unlimited number of times, free of charge (Czech, 2016). However, if the
participant does not make an active fund selection, the government has established a default
fund named the seventh AP fund, also referred to as AP7 Såfa (Palme, Sundén and Söderlind,
Introduction
3
2007). By allowing individuals to select where their premium pension should be invested, a
greater responsibility is put on the individual to plan for their retirement (Sundén, 2006).
With regard to passive and active investment strategies, which can occur in the premium
pension system, Sharpe (1991) defines these strategies by stating that the return on the average
active investment will equal the return on the average passive investment, prior to any costs.
Additionally, the return on the average active investment will be lower than the return on the
average passive investment, after costs. According to Sharpe (1991), the stated definitions will
hold for any time period. Sharpe (1991) continues by defining a passive investor as one that
holds every stock in the market, with each represented in a similar way as the market. In other
words, a passive investor will hold the equivalent proportion of the total outstanding volume of
each security in the market. On the other hand, an active investor is defined as one who is not
passive. Sharpe (1991) continues by stating that the portfolio of an active and passive investor
is different since active investors act on insights of mispricing, and since such insights regularly
change, active investors are inclined to trade more often.
Supplemental to the national retirement pension there is the occupational pension and the
private pension scheme (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018i). The majority of the Swedish working
population has an occupational pension, where the employer sets aside retirement savings for
the employee. The occupational pension is determined upon settlements between the worker
and the employer or by a collective agreement (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018d). A worker in
Sweden that receive both national retirement pension and occupational pension will
approximately receive 60-75% of their taxable income in pension depending on the number of
years they have worked, consequently, it can be favourable to also possess a private pension
scheme (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018e).
1.2 Problem description
Under the new premium pension scheme responsibility is shifted more towards individuals by
encouraging them to take an active interest in where to invest their premium pension (Engström
and Westerberg, 2003), meaning that individuals actively can select in which funds to allocate
their premium pension (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018h). When creating the premium pension
system, the government wanted to offer the participants a broad number of funds, so all fund
companies that have a licence to operate in Sweden can participate in the system (Sundén, 2006).
Introduction
4
As of today, there are approximately 850 premium pension funds to select from when making
an active investment (Morningstar, 2018). Subsequently, the participants are given the
opportunity to achieve a higher return and to tailor parts of their pension according to their risk
preference (Palme, Sundén and Söderlind, 2007).
However, many people lack both the knowledge and interest to make own investment decisions,
which is why there is an alternative investment route to pursue for these people (Engström and
Westerberg, 2003). The Seventh AP Fund has a generational design and is made up of two
separate funds, “AP7 Aktiefond and AP7 Räntefond” (AP7, 2018b). The two AP7 funds can be
chosen separately for participants that do not wish to finance their premium pension in a
generational fund. “AP7 Aktiefond” is an equity fund with a higher level of risk and “AP7
Räntefond” is an interest-bearing fund for participants with a lower risk preference (Weaver
and Willén, 2014). By investing in the Seventh AP Fund, the distribution between the equity
fund and the interest-bearing fund is adjusted according to the age of the saver. Initially, the
saver is exposed to more risk with higher potential return. The risk decreases over time as the
distribution changes between the funds, meaning that lower-risk investments are made as the
saver approaches retirement (AP7, 2018a). This adjustment of allocation between the funds,
aims to solve the issue of pension savers that retire at the same time as the stock-market drops
(Cobley, 2009).
In recent years, fewer people have actively selected and changed their premium pension funds,
meaning that more savers remain in the predetermined fund, AP7 Såfa (Pensionsmyndigheten,
2015). In 2000 when pension savers were first offered to make an active investment in the
premium pension, 67% of the participants made an active choice and only 33% were transferred
into the default fund. Participants making an active choice has fallen steeply since then and the
reason behind the distinct fall in involvement is according to Czech (2016) the rising number
of fund alternatives. He argues that 850 funds to choose from is more discouraging than
stimulating. Another argument is that the massive media campaign that introduced the premium
pension, has faded away and consequently, so has people’s awareness (Czech, 2016). As for
AP7 Såfa, at the end of 2017, the fund had been selected by approximately 3.7 million people,
out of this only 400 000 had actively selected the fund. In other words, 3.3 million people
passively ended up with holdings in the fund (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018b). For additional
number of fund selections see appendix 9.1.
Introduction
5
According to Madrian and Shea (2001), people make passive investment decision as a result of
uncertainty and lack of knowledge. In addition, Madrian and Shea (2001) state that individuals
perceive the predetermined alternative, in this case AP7 Såfa, as an investment advice and
therefore tend to pursue that advice by remaining in the specified fund. In some situations,
people tend to follow the path of least resistance which means that they select the easiest thing
to do, which in this case is to not make a choice at all. Additionally, people lean towards making
passive investment decisions due to the reason that the benefits from an active decision are
offset by the unintended transaction costs of collecting and assessing information on the
available funds, therefore it is easier to not make an active choice (Madrian and Shea, 2001).
1.3 Purpose
The primary purpose of this report is to investigate whether the default fund alternative, i.e.
AP7 Såfa, has had the superior risk-adjusted performance from 2007-2017 in comparison to
fifty of the most selected equity funds available in the premium pension selection. The authors
of this report will use risk-exposure and risk-adjusted measurements to compare the funds that
are included in this study in order to draw conclusions. AP7’s equity fund is of interest to study,
partly due to it being the default alternative, but also because the fund recently had a risk level
that is 1.24 times higher than in an ordinary global equity fund.
Furthermore, this thesis will attempt to find up to five funds that should have been included in
an active participants’ portfolio, using a rolling-window approach with eight formation periods
between the years of 2007 and 2017. The authors of this report will construct an optimal
tangency portfolio and a minimum variance portfolio in order to compare the risk-exposure and
risk-adjusted return between a passive and active investor with different levels of risk-tolerance.
The research questions are stated as follows:
• Has AP7’s equity fund had the superior risk-adjusted performance compared to fifty of
the most selected equity funds in the premium pension selection?
• How will an active investor with a constructed portfolio perform in comparison to a
passive investor with holdings in the AP7 equity fund?
Introduction
6
1.4 Delimitations
Limitations have been made to clearly focus on the stated research questions. Primarily, the
authors have limited the scope of this study to the Swedish premium pension system.
Consequently, no statements or conclusions will be made regarding the pension system in other
countries. Furthermore, no statements or conclusions will be made regarding the entire Swedish
national retirement system. This is also applied for the remaining parts of the Swedish pension
system, no research will be made regarding the occupational pension of Swedish workers or
with regards to private pension savings. These limitations do not indicate that the purpose of
this study cannot be applied to other parts of the pension system, but simply that it is not the
objective of the authors.
Additionally, the authors are aware of the changes that AP7 underwent in 2010. Previously,
there were two separate funds named “Sparfonden” and “Valfonden” that had a different
arrangement than the funds that are available today. The authors of this thesis have obtained
the net asset values for the years 2007 to 2010 through contact with an employee at AP7 Såfa.
These net asset values have been used as supplemental to the existing AP7 Equity fund’s net
asset values. Although the fund has undergone changes, this was a requirement in order to
analyse the years 2007 to 2010, which are of interest partly due to the financial crisis.
Furthermore, the authors of this study have calculated the implicit returns for every fund
included in this report. The reasoning behind the choice to calculate implicit returns instead of
the explicit returns is due to the fact that every fund included in the study charge different fees
that have been altered throughout the years. Consequently, there were difficulties for the authors
to find these fees dating back to 2007. For this reason, implicit returns have been calculated
which consequently will make the outcome of this study more accurate given that the authors
could not access the necessary data.
Moreover, a limitation has been made regarding the age of the participants in the premium
pension selection. The authors have limited the scope of participants to those between the age
Introduction
7
of 20 to 55. By including this limitation, the authors can narrow the scope of AP7 Såfa merely
to AP7’s equity fund, since 100% is invested in the equity fund until the participants reach 55
years of age (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018c). Consequently, the scope of this study will be
limited to only equity funds and no consideration or conclusions will be made in regard to
interest-bearing funds, mixed funds, or generational funds.
The last limitation of this study has been made concerning the number of equity funds to
investigate in addition to the AP7 equity fund. The authors have restricted the number of equity
funds available in the premium pension selection to the fifty most actively selected funds that
have been available prior to 2007.
1.5 Definitions
• Swedish pension authority - Svenska Pensionsmyndigheten
The pension authority is a Swedish government that has the full responsibility over the
national retirement pension.
• National retirement pension - Allmän pension
Every Swedish Citizen that works or lives in Sweden has the right to a national retirement
Pension. The pension is grounded on all tax-based income.
• Premium pension- Premiepension
The premium pension is a part of the national retirement pension. 2.5 % of the tax-based
income is each year set aside to each citizen’s premium pension. Each citizen has then the
right to place the money in 1 to 5 fund selections or leave them in the pre-determined fund
selection, AP7 Såfa.
• Occupational pension - Tjänstepension
The occupational pension originates from working. The occupational pension is determined
upon agreements, either between the worker and employer or by a collective agreement
Figure 1 - The distribution between “AP7 equity fund” and “AP7 interest-bearing fund” during a life-cycle
Introduction
8
• Private pension scheme - Privat pension
A private pension scheme means that each citizen sets aside money for their own retirement.
This pension is a tool for citizens who prefer a higher pension income and it is not
mandatory.
• Equity fund – Aktiefond
An equity fund contains of equities, meaning that the fund holds shares for several
companies. The value of the fund is based on the development of each company.
Subsequently, the fluctuations of the stock market often imply a higher risk, but with the
possibility of a higher return.
• Interest-bearing fund – Räntefond
An interest-bearing fund contains of interest-bearing securities often issued by the
government or by a municipality in order to borrow money. Interest-bearing funds
generally has a stable value change, consequently, the fund have a low risk and usually
implies a lower return.
• Generational fund – Generationsfond
A generational fund contains both equities and interest-bearing securities. The distribution
between the securities is adjusted according to each citizen’s age in order to take on a lower
risk closer to retirement.
Theoretical Framework
9
2. Theoretical Framework
2.1 Premium Pension Funds in Sweden
A fund is a collection of financial securities with ownership to the investor who possesses
holdings in the fund. The purpose of having fund savings is to get an easy access to a portfolio
of financial securities that possibly can implicate an increase in value. The funds available in
the premium pension selection have requirements regarding the distribution of the funds risk
through diversification, by containing a number of different financial securities. The holdings
of the fund are determined by the fund’s manager, but it has to be within the specified
requirements (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018g). In order for a fund to be accessible in the
premium pension selection, the fund must be approved by the Swedish pension authority and
the fund’s manager must have a certification of operating in fund trading activities. The fund
manager also needs to have a cooperation agreement with the Swedish pension authority and
has to release specified information at requests. Furthermore, managers also need to undertake
the requirements of not charging any withdrawal fees or other fees that has not been permitted
by the agency (Riksdagen, 2018a).
The premium pension selection has different sorts of funds available, namely equity funds,
interest-bearing funds, mixed funds, and generational funds. The motivation for using diverse
funds is to make it easier for the investors to separate them and to be able to make comparisons.
What kind of category the fund belongs to depends on what combination of financial securities
the fund invests in (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018g). There are two main types of funds, equity
funds and interest-bearing funds. Interest-bearing funds only hold assets in debt securities and
generally have a lower risk than equity funds. Equity funds, that is the most common fund
alternative among Swedish investors and that will be the focus of this report, holds assets that
are traded on the stock market (Avanza, 2018). Consequently, the fund will result in ownership
of several companies. An equity fund contains ownership of at least 16 different companies,
usually more, meaning that the risk will be diversified and not dependent on a single company
(Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018g). An equity fund is therefore determined by the fluctuations on
the stock market. Factors that may affect the degree of risk that the fund is exposed to are
dependent on whether the fund manager invests in equities in Sweden or abroad, and in a stable
or unstable market. An equity fund that is invested in markets and industries that has a high
Theoretical Framework
10
degree of fluctuations due to the world economy and currency movements, will ultimately result
in a higher degree of risk (Avanza, 2018).
AP7’s equity fund functions as a normal equity fund but has particular directions from the
Swedish pension authority. The fund cannot acquire more shares in a single company to the
extent that it exceeds five percent of the total voting rights for all shares. The assets managed
by the Seventh AP equity fund shall be divided into fund units and all fund units must be equal
within the fund. The fund manager must also calculate the fund value every day and inform the
pension authority about the value (Riksdagen, 2018b).
2.2 Risk-Return Trade-Off
In financial markets, the performance of monetary properties are measured by well-known
mathematical models of risk and return. These statistical measurements are central to the
finance community due to the reason that it enables the comparison of performance of various
asset classes, thereby simplifying the selection of investment strategies (Higgins, 2015).
The financial concept, known as the risk-return trade-off, states that the return an investment
will yield should increase as the risk associated with that investment increases. The risk-return
trade-off is an important factor that affects the decision taken by the investor (Aslanidis,
Christiansen and Savva, 2016). Investors have different levels of risk tolerance, meaning that
some investors are willing to take on a low risk investment that can yield a potentially lower
return whereas others are willing to take on higher risk that can yield a greater potential return.
Subsequently, some investors are risk-averse whereas some are risk-takers. The level of risk
tolerance can be affected by years to retirement, gender, and education (Bollen and Posavac,
2018). Furthermore, it is important to recognize that higher risk does not necessary imply a
higher potential return. The risk-return trade-off only indicates that there is a relationship
between a higher risk level and the likelihood of greater returns, however, higher risk can also
cause problematic situations associated with major losses on an investment due to changes in
the economic conditions (Aslanidis, Christiansen and Savva, 2016).
The risk-return trade-off is central to the field of finance, thereby making it an important tool
for investors to use when assessing what level of risk they are willing to retain when making an
Theoretical Framework
11
investment. Moreover, it can be useful for investors to understand how risk and return are
correlated in order to make a good investment decision (Lundblad, 2007).
2.3 Financial Theory
2.3.1 Single Index Model
The single-index model was introduced to the field of finance by William Sharpe (1963) and is
an asset pricing model that measures both the risk and the return of a stock. According to the
single-index model, the systematic risk that affects the returns of the stocks is caused by only
one macroeconomic factor and that this factor can be characterized by the rate of return on an
index, for example the S&P 500. This assumption has been made in order to make the analysing
process easier (Sharpe, 1963). Furthermore, the model is based on the following assumptions
(Sharpe, 2000):
• Nearly all stocks have a positive covariance, due to their similar response to macroeconomic
factors.
• There are firms that are extra sensitive to macroeconomic factors and this firm-specific
difference is usually symbolised by its beta.
• The covariance between stocks arise from different responses to macroeconomic factors.
As a result, the covariance of the individual stock can be calculated by multiplying the beta
of the stock with the market variance.
The single-index model equation, i.e. the mathematical expression, is stated as:
𝑟𝑠 − 𝑟𝑓 = 𝛼 + 𝛽 (𝑟𝑚 − 𝑟𝑓) + 휀
Where, 𝑟𝑠 represents the return of the stock and 𝑟𝑓 is the risk-free rate, 𝛼 symbolises the stocks
abnormal return, 𝛽 represents the stocks sensitivity to the market return, 𝑟𝑚 is the market
portfolio return and 휀 represents the residual returns of the stock which is caused by firm-
specific factors. The single-index model was developed to simplify the portfolio analysis and
to make the process of analysing the relationship amongst securities easier, today the model is
widely used in the finance industry.
Theoretical Framework
12
2.3.2 Modern portfolio theory
The modern portfolio theory was introduced by Harry Markowitz (1952) and is a commonly
used financial theory. Markowitz highlighted the importance of utilizing diversification and its
effects on the portfolio to increase risk-adjusted returns. Markowitz emphasized that investors
could through diversification reduce the risk, by allocating the holdings in different asset types,
such as in different companies and industries. Risk is measured as the standard deviation and
through risk spreading, investors can exploit the relationship between risk and return thereby
improving their investment selections to maximize returns given a certain level of risk. Stated
differently, it is significant to analyse how the selected assets in a portfolio relate to each other
in terms of risk and return.
Markowitz theory is essentially built around the basis of two assumptions. Firstly, all investors
are rational in their investment decision making. Secondly, all investors want to achieve the
greatest return as possible given the lowest risk. In other words, investors are risk-averse, i.e.
they want to avoid risk. Given two investment opportunities that yield the same return, the
investor would choose the alternative with the lowest risk as there is no reason for the investor
to choose the high-risk option given these assumptions.
The Modern Portfolio Theory contains several risk-measurements and risk-adjusted
performance measurements, such as variance and standard deviation as well as Treynor ratio
and Sharpe ratio.
2.3.2.1 Variance
The variance is a frequently used measure of dispersion, known as the squared expected
deviation from the mean. The variance formula is stated as:
𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑅) = 1
𝑇 − 1∑ (𝑅𝑡 − �̅�)2
𝑇
𝑡=1
Where 𝑅𝑡 expresses the rate of return, �̅� is the average rate of return and 𝑇 denotes the number
of assets (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014). In general, when calculating the variance, the mean rate
of return is needed. However, the mean rate of return typically is an unknown factor and as a
result of this the average realized rate of return can be used instead.
Theoretical Framework
13
2.3.2.2 Standard Deviation
The standard deviation, frequently referred to as the volatility, is calculated as the square root
of the variance. The standard deviation is used to calculate the degree of dispersion when using
a set of data. A low standard deviation specify that the data points are near the mean whereas a
higher standard deviation express that the data points are further from the mean, resulting in a
higher deviation. The standard deviation formula is expressed as (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014):
𝑆𝐷 (𝑅) = √𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑅)
2.3.2.3 Treynor Ratio and Beta
The Treynor ratio, developed by Jack Treynor (1965), is a measure that exploits the correlation
amongst annualized risk-adjusted return and risk in order to measure efficiency. In other words,
the ratio tries to quantify to what extent an investment has compensated the investors given the
degree of risk. The Treynor ratio is dependent on beta, which is a measurement of a stock's
sensitivity to market fluctuations. The principle idea of the Treynor ratio is that systematic risk,
i.e. risk that is central to the whole market, must be penalized due to the fact that it cannot be
reduced through diversification.
The Beta formula is expressed as: 𝛽𝑖 = 𝑐𝑜𝑣 (𝑅𝑖,𝑅𝑚)
𝜎2(𝑅𝑚), where 𝑅𝑖 denotes the return of the asset
and 𝑅𝑚 the return of the market (Hübner, 2005). A Beta equal to one indicates that the price of
an asset moves with the market, whereas a Beta lower than one signifies that the asset
theoretically is less volatile than the market and a Beta greater than one means that the asset
theoretically is more volatile in comparison to the market. The Treynor ratio can be calculated
as: 𝑇 = 𝑟𝑖− 𝑟𝑓
𝛽𝑖, where 𝑟𝑖 represents the return of portfolio i, 𝑟𝑓 is the risk-free rate and 𝛽𝑖 denotes
the portfolio beta (Hodges, Taylor and Yoder, 2003).
2.3.2.4 Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe ratio, developed by William Sharpe (1966), measures the excess rate of return of a
given asset and adjusts for risk. There are similarities between the Sharpe ratio and the Treynor
ratio, but instead of using the beta factor, Sharpe ratio uses standard deviation. A higher value
of the Sharpe ratio indicates that the security has superior performance, concluding in a greater
Theoretical Framework
14
risk-adjusted portfolio with a higher rate of return for every unit of risk (Sharpe, 1966). The
Sharpe ratio is defined as (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014):
𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑝𝑒 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 𝐸[𝑅𝑝] − 𝑟𝑓
𝑆𝐷(𝑅𝑝)
Where the 𝐸[𝑅𝑝] is the expected portfolio return, 𝑟𝑓 denotes the risk-free rate and 𝑆𝐷(𝑅𝑝)
symbolises the standard deviation of the portfolio.
2.3.3 Post-Modern portfolio theory
The Post-modern Portfolio Theory is a further development of the well-known Modern
Portfolio Theory. The basis for both theories is to explain how investors ought to use
diversification to enhance their portfolios and how to price risky assets. In the early days, the
Modern Portfolio Theory reformed the decision-making process of making investments within
the field of finance by describing risk associated to investments and thus introducing a risk-
return framework. The limitations of the Modern Portfolio Theory, such as assuming that
variance is the correct risk measure and referring to all returns as normally distributed, steered
the model to addressing all uncertainties the same. As a response to the inadequacies of the
Modern Portfolio Theory, and the fact that the model penalizes both upside and downside
deviation similarly, the creation of a new investment decision-making framework that would
overcome the limitations of the Modern Portfolio Theory started. Today, this model is known
as, The Post-modern Portfolio Theory (Rom and Ferguson, 1993).
2.3.3.1 Sortino Ratio
The Sortino ratio differentiates itself from the Sharpe ratio by measuring the risk-adjusted return
of an asset, or portfolio, using the target rate of return. Although both ratios quantity an assets
risk-adjusted return, the way of calculating is significantly different. The Sortino ratio use the
so-called downside risk in the denominator, as a substitute for the standard deviation, meaning
that the ratio only penalizes the return below the target rate of return (Sortino, 2010).
The Sortino Ratio is expressed as (Sortino and Satchell, 2001):
Theoretical Framework
15
𝑆𝑜𝑟𝑡 = 𝑅𝑖 − 𝑅𝑚𝑎𝑟
δ
Where 𝑅𝑖 signifies the rate of return, 𝑅𝑚𝑎𝑟 denotes the minimal acceptable rate of return and 𝛿
symbolizes the downside deviation.
2.3.4 Capital Asset Pricing Model
A central question in the field of finance is how the risk affects the expected return of an asset.
The first consistent framework that answered this question, was the Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM). The model was presented in the early 1960s by William Sharpe (1964), John Lintner
(1965a and 1965b) and Jan Mossin (1966). The CAPM is built upon the notion that not all risks
have an impact on asset prices. Particularly, a risk that is diversified away when united in a
portfolio with other investments is, roughly considered, not a risk of any kind. The CAPM is
an advancement of Markowitz’s (1952) portfolio theory which is founded by the concept that
specific risk can be disregarded with diversification, on the other hand, systematic risk can only
be reduced and not removed. Furthermore, the CAPM provides us with understandings about
what type of risks that is correlated to return.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model is based on four assumptions:
• Investors are risk averse and assess their investment portfolios only in the matter of
expected return and standard deviation of return.
• Capital markets are perfect: all assets are endlessly divisible; transactions costs, short
selling restrictions and taxes are non-existent; information is free and accessible by
everyone; and investors can borrow and lend at the risk-free rate.
• All investors have the equivalent investment opportunities.
• Investors make similar estimations of expected returns, standard deviations of return
and correlation concerning individual assets.
The assumptions above characterise a remarkably simple and faultless world, however, they
are needed for the CAPM to be functional. Under the stated assumptions, every investor will
determine a matching portfolio of risky assets with the highest Sharpe Ratio. Given their degree
of risk tolerance, every investor will assign a part of their wealth to this collection of assets,
Theoretical Framework
16
known as the optimal portfolio, and the rest to risk-free borrowing or lending. In order to
guarantee that the market is in equilibrium, the price, i.e. expected return, of every individual
asset must be such that investors cooperatively agree to hold precisely the supply of the asset.
If all investors hold the equivalent amount of risky assets, that amount must be equal to the
amount of risky assets that are held in the market portfolio, which is the portfolio containing all
existing shares of each risky asset. When in equilibrium, consequently, the portfolio of risky
assets that have the highest Sharpe Ratio has to be the market portfolio.
The risk premium of every asset has the obligation to satisfy the condition of, 𝐸 (𝑅𝑖) − 𝑅𝑓 =
𝛽𝑖 (𝐸(𝑅𝑚) − 𝑅𝑓), where 𝐸 (𝑅𝑖) is the expected return of the asset, 𝑅𝑓 is the risk-free rate and
(𝐸(𝑅𝑚) characterise the expected excess return of the market portfolio and when deducting the
risk-free rate from this, the equity risk premium is derived. The variable 𝛽𝑖 stand for the Beta
of the asset which represents the volatility of the given asset. The expected return of an asset is
derived by 𝐸 (𝑅𝑖) = 𝑅𝑓 + 𝛽𝑖 (𝐸(𝑅𝑚) − 𝑅𝑓).
2.3.4.1 Alpha
Alpha, also known as Jensen’s Performance Index or Jensen’s alpha, was developed by Michael
Jensen (1968), and is used to determine the excess return of an individual security, or a portfolio
of securities, in comparison to the returns proposed by the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
The securities can be any assets, for instance stocks, bonds, or derivatives. When measuring the
value of the excess return, the outcome can be positive, negative, or zero. When a security is
fairly priced, the actual return of that security will be equal to what the CAPM suggests, i.e. the
alpha will be zero. The reasoning behind this is that the CAPM considers the risk of the security
and measures the risk-adjusted returns and if the security does not earn more than the risk-
adjusted returns the outcome of the two measures will be equal. In contrast, the security, or
portfolio of securities, will have a positive alpha if it receives more than the risk-adjusted return.
A positive, or higher, alpha is continuously looked-for by managers since a negative alpha
implies that the return of the portfolio is less than the required return. Jensen’s alpha is
symbolised by α𝐽 and is mathematically expressed as:
α𝐽 = 𝑅𝑝 − (𝑅𝑓 + 𝛽 (𝑅𝑚 − 𝑅𝑓))
Theoretical Framework
17
Where, 𝑅𝑝 is the return of the portfolio, 𝑅𝑓 signifies the risk-free rate, 𝛽 denotes the stock’s
beta and 𝑅𝑚 is the market return. Jensen’s alpha is stated in percentage form, signifying the
fraction by which the collection of securities, or a single security, has either underperformed or
over-performed in contrast to the market.
2.3.5 Efficient Portfolio Construction
The Modern Portfolio Theory, presented by Harry Markowitz (1952), introduced the concept
of having an efficient portfolio, which is a process that allows the investor to find the portfolio
that yields the highest expected return for a certain level of risk, or the minimum risk for a given
return. The portfolios that satisfy the requirements of an efficient portfolio are located on what
is referred to as the efficient frontier, which is the assembly point of optimal portfolios that
offers the maximum expected return for a given level of variance (or volatility) or the lowest
risk for a defined level of return. According to Markowitz (1952), the portfolios that are not on
the efficient frontier are insufficient, as they do not offer the required return for the given level
of risk, or they yield a higher risk for the given level of return
2.3.5.1 Global Minimum Variance Portfolio
The global minimum variance portfolio (GMV) is a low-risk investment strategy. The portfolio
lies on the efficient frontier, below the capital market line (Bodnar, Mazur and Podgoriski,
2016). Among the optimal mean-variance portfolios, GMV is the portfolio that has the lowest
variance. The GMV portfolio has the solution to the following optimization problem (Bodnar,
Parolya and Schmid, 2018):
𝑤′Σ𝑛𝑤 → 𝑚𝑖𝑛, 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑤′1 = 1
Where w = (w1…., wp)’ stands for the vector of portfolio weights, 1 is an appropriate vector of
ones, and Σ𝑛denotes the covariance matrix of the asset returns. The solution of the optimization
formula is given by (Bodnar, Parolya and Schmid 2018):
𝑊𝐺𝑀𝑉 = Σ𝑛
−11
1′Σ𝑛−11
Theoretical Framework
18
2.3.5.2 Optimal Tangency Portfolio
The optimal tangency portfolio is the portfolio that has the highest Sharpe ratio. This portfolio
can be found on the efficient frontier, where the capital market line and the efficient frontier
intercepts and offers the highest return per unit of risk. Stated differently, it is the portfolio that
gives the investor the optimal risk-return trade-off. The optimal tangency portfolio does not
only consist of the securities with the highest expected return or the ones with the lowest risk.
Instead, this portfolio intends to balance securities with the highest possible returns with an
appropriate level of risk or securities with the lowest level of risk for a certain level of potential
return (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014).
In order to find the optimal portfolio, the expected return and the variance of the portfolio must
be calculated. The portfolio expected return is calculated as (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014):
𝐸 (𝑅𝑃) = 𝑤1𝐸 (𝑅1) + 𝑤2𝐸(𝑅2)+ . . . + 𝑤𝑛𝐸(𝑅𝑛)
Where, 𝑤1𝐸 (𝑅1) symbolizes the weight for security 1 multiplied with the expected return of
that security and 𝑤2𝐸(𝑅2) represent the weight for security 2 multiplied with the expected
return for that portfolio. Furthermore, the portfolio variance is calculated as (Berk and DeMarzo,
2014):
𝜎𝑝2 = ∑ 𝑤𝑖
2𝜎𝑖2 +
𝑛
𝑖=1
∑ ∑ 𝑤𝑖𝑤𝑗𝑐𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑗
𝑛
𝑗=1𝑖≠𝑗
𝑛
𝑖=1
Where, 𝑤𝑖2𝜎𝑖
2 represents the squared weight of security i multiplied with the variance of that
security, and 𝑤𝑖𝑤𝑗𝑐𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑗 is the covariance between the securities included in the portfolio.
Moreover, the portfolio standard deviation is needed which can be found by taking the square
root of the portfolio variance. Additionally, the Sharpe ratio is required to find the optimal
tangency portfolio. The portfolio Sharpe ratio formula is stated as (Berk and DeMarzo, 2014):
𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑝𝑒 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑃 =𝐸(𝑅𝑃)−𝑅𝑓
𝜎𝑃 , where, 𝐸(𝑅𝑃) is the expected portfolio return, 𝑅𝑓 signifies the
risk-free rate and 𝜎𝑃 represents the portfolio standard deviation.
Theoretical Framework
19
2.4 Previous Research
When searching for previous research within the field that this thesis focuses on, the authors of
this study cannot find another study with a similar purpose as this thesis. However, there are
several studies focusing on fund and stock performance, pensions systems and investor
behaviour regarding the pension system. The studies discuss why the involvement rate is
decreasing regarding how many savers that participate in making an active choice and the
performance of AP7 Såfa in comparison with other funds.
In a study made by Dahlquist, Martinez and Söderlind (2016) evidence is found that active
investors make higher risk-adjusted returns and returns compared to inactive investors who
remains in the predetermined fund, AP7. The findings are analysed from a sample of 100 000
premium pension savers daily portfolio changes over a 10-year period from 2000-2010. The
results revealed that inactive investors, who contributed with 93.5% of the sample, earned
average returns of 3.82% per year. Active investors that had made one up to nine portfolio
changes during 2000-2010, equivalent to 5.8% of the sample, earned average returns of 6.68%
per year. The investors with the highest activity, 0.6% of the sample, received an average return
of 12.57% per year. The study produced similar results for the risk-adjusted returns,
consequently showing that active investors did not take on a higher amount of risk. The authors
found that a significant part of the highly active investors’ success was related to their
propensity to invest in premium funds with recent good past performances, also known as the
momentum effect.
In a report by Czech (2016), evidence is found that that the falling rate of involvement in the
Swedish premium pension fund selection is a response to the growing number of funds
available to the population. Czech (2016) states that the increasing number of investment funds
has discouraged investors to actively make an investment decision, when there were only a few
available funds to select from during the year of 2000, the percentage of people that made an
active choice was as high as 67%. Later, due to the increasing number of funds, only 1.5% of
newcomers made an active fund selection in 2011. Furthermore, the negative rate of return on
capital has had an impact on the falling percentage of active choice makers. According to Czech
(2016), 100 SEK invested in the system in 2000 was worth less than 60 SEK after two years.
Although the market improved during the subsequent years, it fell again in 2008, due to the
financial crisis. The results of these circumstances exposed that individual choice did not matter
Theoretical Framework
20
compared to irresistible market forces, consequently people started to ask themselves why they
should make a time-consuming investment decision if the result was negative anyway. Czech
(2016) states that most pension savers are not interested in managing their accounts. During the
years of 2000-2011, only 7% of pension savers made at least one change per year in their
portfolio. The percentage of savers that did not bother to select a fund and thus automatically
were transferred into AP7 Såfa, amounted to 51%.
Czech (2016) continues to argue that since only a small fraction of the people makes an active
choice, Sweden must have a reliable and well-performing default alternative. According to
Czech (2016), AP7 Såfa, had an average yield of 6.2% while an average pension fund had 4.8%,
during the years of 1995-2013. Moreover, in 2013, these numbers increased significantly, AP7
Såfa’s average yield was 26.6% whereas the yield of an average pension fund was 16.7%. As
stated by Czech (2016), the reason behind why the default alternative had such a positive
outcome in comparison to other funds can be described by the fact that most of the fund’s
holdings are made up of stocks, not only domestically but also globally. As a result, the default
alternative can be more profitable but at the same time it is much riskier.
In another study made by Dahlquist and Martinez (2015), evidence is found that inattention to
pension funds past performance among Swedish investors can be inefficient and costly. The
findings were based on 263 equity funds covering a time series between October 2000 and July
2008. The authors created a portfolio containing funds with good performance in the past and
received an average abnormal return of 6% per year. Contrary, the authors created a portfolio
with past bad performance funds with an abnormal return of -2%. A significant difference that
can cause a huge reduction in retirement capital. The authors reasoned that the main reason for
investors in the premium pension selection to be so inattentive is due to the mandatory pension
system. Since the system includes individuals which may have no interest in saving or investing
for retirement.
Moreover, Madrian and Shea (2001) presents evidence that uncertainty has an impact on the
investment decisions made by individuals. They claim that people tend to notice the pre-
determined alternative as investment advice. Moreover, Choi et al. (2002) conclude that
individuals often take the easy route, known as the path of least resistance, meaning that the
easiest thing to do is nothing, which can be an explanation to why people tend to lean towards
investing in AP7 Såfa instead of other alternatives. Stated differently, there is an explanation to
Theoretical Framework
21
why people tend to make passive investment decisions and it could be that it is time-consuming
to form an understanding and to gather knowledge about how to invest your money.
Methodology
22
3. Method
3.1 Choice of Method
This thesis undertakes a positivistic approach by assessing research findings that are observable
and quantifiable. A positivistic approach will allow the authors of this thesis to analyse the
findings in an objective manner, meaning that the authors are independent, and the results are
based on facts. Moreover, the use of a positivistic research approach will address the purpose
of this study in a manner that fits the vision of the authors, with hypothesis testing and the
ambition to explain the findings of this thesis (Esterby-Smith, Thorpe & Jackson, 2015).
Moreover, this thesis will apply a formal study using a quantitative research approach to
measure if AP7’s equity fund in the premium pension selection has the greatest combination of
risk and return. A quantitative methodology is commonly used when conducting a business
research to assess information about consumer behaviour, experience and attitude (Cooper and
Schindler, 2011). The quantitative research will be performed using numerical data, which
essentially is deductive. With a deductive theory the research question will be tested using
statistical measurements, the analysis will be applied, and conclusions will be drawn in order
to answer the stated research question (Watson, 2015).
Additionally, a monitoring approach has been used when collecting data, meaning that the
researchers have retrieved information about the chosen topic without attempting to obtain
opinions from anyone. This type of data collection has been made with a longitudinal time
dimension, since the authors of this report have tracked alterations of data over time.
Subsequently, the researchers have no control over the data that has been used and therefore no
manipulation has been made, which is known as an ex post facto design. In other words, the
authors have only used statistical manipulation of what has happened with the data over the
chosen time-horizon (Cooper and Schindler, 2011). The authors of this thesis have faith in that
the use of a quantitative research method will give this study a more precise result, with an
accurate study of the chosen subject and its problems.
3.2 Collection of Data
This report is based on secondary data, the gathered information is evaluated and analysed in
order to draw significant conclusions that will be used in this thesis. Secondary data is retrieved
Methodology
23
from relevant literature, peer-reviewed articles, and journals, but also from appropriate and
trustworthy websites, such as the Swedish Pension Authority. In order to find high-quality
articles and books, databases such as Primo and Google Scholar have been used. When
conducting this thesis, the authors recognized several advantages of using secondary data. The
use of secondary sources makes it possible to gather high-quality data over a longitudinal time-
horizon during a short period of time (Bryman and Bell, 2011). Even though the use of
secondary sources has limitations, such as biasness, lack-of-control and familiarity of the data,
the sources have been used with confidence (Cooper and Schindler, 2011). The authors of this
report have faith in that the sources used in this thesis have a high level of trustworthiness, since
many reports and statistics that have been used are written in agreement with Swedish law.
Even though this report is based on secondary sources, knowledge of the potential
disadvantages has been deliberated. Consequently, every source is evaluated thoroughly by
considering for what purpose the source is written, when the source was written and by who it
was published (Cooper and Schindler, 2011).
Thomson Reuters DataStream is used as a source in this report to retrieve the majority of the
financial information, such as monthly net asset values of the various equity funds that are
included in this thesis. DataStream is a well-recognized provider of financial information and
investment research around the world. Thus, the authors of this report believe that DataStream
is a reliable source to use, as it fulfils the data-quality requirements such as data objectiveness,
data representativeness, data completeness and data accuracy (Jesilevska, 2017). Since
DataStream lacked information of each year’s monthly net asset values for some funds,
additional sources have been used in order to retrieve the required data. The supplementary
sources have been retrieved from banks and fund managers’ websites, namely AMF, Swedbank
Robur, SEB and Lannebo Fonder. In order to retrieve the complementary returns of the
predetermined fund, AP7, we had to request additional data from an employee at the seventh
AP Fund who transferred the necessary data over email. The start-of-month net asset values for
the AP7 fund is available in appendix 9.2.
When using sources from market participants such as AMF, Swedbank Robur, SEB and
Lannebo Fonder, there may be a problem because secondary sources may be biased. But, the
authors have used sources from market participants with carefulness and only after discussion
and evaluation if the source is appropriate for this thesis. When retrieving information about
the history of the Swedish pension system and the background, information published by, most
Methodology
24
importantly, the Swedish Pension Authority has been essential. The information retrieved from
the Swedish Pension Authority is believed to be relevant, trustworthy, and useful for this report.
The authors of this study have confidence in that the use of different sources will help them
grasp the chosen topic from different perspectives. In addition to improving the overall
assessment of this thesis, the use of different sources ensures that this study is well-written and
non-biased.
3.3 Research Design
3.3.1 Sampling
The funds in the Swedish pension premium system is used as the population of this research.
Due to time constraint, a sample of 51 equity funds have been selected. The sample have been
selected based on highest amount of fund selections and the time of operation. The funds
included in the sample are the funds that have the highest selection rate and have been active
for at least eleven years. The authors believe that the sample will give a good reflection of the
Swedish premium pensions equity funds due to the high level of market share that the selected
funds possess. The authors are aware that smaller funds may outperform AP7’s equity fund,
but with regard to the time constraint of this thesis, a sample had to be selected since all funds
available in the premium pension cannot be included. See appendix 9.1 for the funds included
in this study.
The sample period includes monthly net asset values from 2007-01-01 until 2017-12-01,
representing a period of eleven years. In order to use monthly net asset values, calculations of
the funds return and fluctuations during the eleven-year period can be made. The underlying
reason behind why a time-horizon of eleven years was chosen is due to time constraints and
inaccessibility of data for several equity funds. Subsequently, the chosen time-period made it
possible to include the majority of the most selected equity funds available in the selection.
Another interesting aspect of the sample period is that it included a time of a financial crisis,
giving the opportunity to see how the analysed funds performs in a time of financial distress.
Methodology
25
3.3.2 Calculations, Assumptions and Benchmarks
The measurements of risk-exposure, presented in sections 2.3.2.1 to 2.3.4.1 and the risk-
adjusted performance measures presented in sections 2.3.2.3, 2.3.2.4 and 2.3.3.1 have been
fundamental to this report. The foundation of this report is built upon the presented models in
these sections and the analysis is based on the equations derived from these models. The
Modern Portfolio Theory, Post-Modern Portfolio Theory, the Single Index Model, and the
Capital Asset Pricing Model have been central in order to analyze the retrieved data, particularly
the risk-exposure measurements, such as Standard deviation and Beta, and risk-adjusted
measurements, mainly Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Treynor Ratio. The analysis is built on
numerous measurements that quantify the intended portfolio characteristic, such as risk, giving
the authors a broad understanding of how to analyze the outcome of the calculations.
Additionally, a rolling-window approach has been used in this thesis when solving for the
minimum variance portfolio and the optimal tangency. The rolling-window contains a total of
eight formation periods, where each period includes four years. The first formation period
covers the years 2007-2010 and by moving one-year ahead during the calculations, the
subsequent holding period cover the years 2008-2011, 2009-2012, 2010-2013, 2011-2014,
2012-2015, 2013-2016 and 2014-2017. The authors of this thesis are confident that the use of
a rolling-window will be a beneficial approach that levels out short-term variations and make
long-lasting trends more apparent.
As previously mentioned, Thomson Reuters DataStream has been used as the main source of
financial information, in the form of monthly net asset values. For several funds
complementation’s has been made from banks and fund managers websites. The supplementary
sources have been stated in daily net asset values and not in monthly terms. These net asset
values have been manually transformed into start-of-the-month net asset values, in order to
match the data retrieved from DataStream. This transformation has been made in order to have
the same amount of observations across the sample when performing the assessments and
regression analysis. The sample of monthly net asset values has thereafter been converted into
index values in order to compute the rate of return. In order to calculate the monthly rate of
return, continuous compounding has been used.
Methodology
26
As a benchmark, the MSCI World Index has been selected. The MSCI World Index is an
extensive worldwide equity benchmark that denotes large and mid-cap equity performance
across 23 established market countries (MSCI, 2018). According to the authors, this index will
perform as a suitable benchmark for the purpose of this thesis, since the majority of the funds
possess holding in international equities. Arguments for this selection is mainly the fact that
MSCI World Index is a representation of a fluctuating equity market and that this study focuses
on assets traded on the stock market. Subsequently, the performance of the equity funds studied
in this thesis is determined by the fluctuations on the stock market. For this reason, the MSCI
World Index will be the benchmark the risk-adjusted performance of the Swedish equity funds
in the premium pension are compared to.
The risk-free rate used in the calculations is a 10-year Swedish government bond note. The
authors consider this to be a suitable benchmark since government bond yields frequently are
used as a representation for risk-free rates. The risk-free rates for the period 2007-2017 are
available in appendix 9.3 (Riksdagen, 2018c). The minimal acceptable rate of return, 𝑅𝑚𝑎𝑟 ,
used in the calculations of the Sortino ratio is the annual Swedish inflation target of 2.00%
(Riksdagen, 2018d). The argument for this benchmark is that the investors within the Swedish
premium pension system at least want to be reimbursed with the money they invest. Setting the
minimum acceptable rate of return to the Swedish inflation target, fulfills the assumption of not
losing the investment put in due to the macroeconomic environment.
3.4 Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a method resulting from statistical inference, with the purpose of drawing
conclusions using a set of rules. Hypothesis testing is used to decide whether the probability of
a given statement, or hypothesis, is true by creating a constant decision-making principle. The
method of hypothesis testing involves a number of phases. First, the null hypothesis must be
formulated, then the test statistics and significance level need to be selected and to conclude,
the computed value must be compared with the designated significance level (Pereira and Leslie,
2009).
This report will test whether the corresponding yearly alpha for each fund, from 2007 to 2017,
is significant using a two-tailed hypothesis test. Contrary to a one-tailed test, which only allows
Methodology
27
the alternative hypothesis to be either greater or lower than that of the null hypothesis, a two-
tailed test allows the value of the alternative hypothesis to be both (Pereira and Leslie, 2009).
The two-tailed hypothesis test, in this report, will be based on a t-test of which the test statistic
is calculated as (Anderson, Sweeney, Williams, Freeman, and Shoesmith, 2010):
𝑡 = �̅� − 𝜇0
𝑠/√𝑛
Where, 𝑥 ̅is the sample mean, 𝜇0 represents the mean of the hypothesized population and
𝑠/√𝑛 signifies the standard error. The hypothesis testing in this report will use a significance
level of 1.96 with an alpha equal to 5% (0.05) and the decision to reject or not reject the null
hypothesis will be tested using the t-stat corresponding to each fund for every year. The
hypotheses that will be tested are stated as:
𝐻0 = −1.96 > 𝛼 > 1.96
𝐻1 : − 1.96 < 𝛼 < 1.96
3.5 Critical assessment
To begin with, the authors would like to draw attention to the inadequacies of Microsoft Excel.
Throughout this thesis, Excel and the Solver add-in contained in the program, has been used
extensively. The authors have experienced difficulties when using the mentioned software,
particularly the Solver function in order to find the efficient portfolios. As a result of the
inability to create a constraint that would not allow the program to select more than five funds
when using Solver, complications occurred, and new means of calculating had to be found.
Instead of calculating the intended portfolios using a constraint that automatically selected up
to five funds that should be included, the authors created an approximate solution by selecting
up to five funds with the highest weights derived by Solver and re-scaling the weights of these
funds so that the sum of the weights amounted to 100%. The authors have faith in that the
approximate solution is nearly as good as the solution that would have been generated using a
superior software than Excel. Regardless of the experienced shortcomings, the authors have
used Excel with confidence and are certain that it has been beneficial to the calculations made
in this report.
Methodology
28
Regarding the financial theories used in this thesis and although the Capital Asset Pricing
Model has been criticized for the models’ simplicity due to its unrealistic assumption that all
markets are perfect, the authors have faith in that the model will be useful for the calculations
that will be made in this thesis. The CAPM is a widely used and straightforward model that
considers systematic risk which is disregarded by several other return models, therefore it
should be included in this thesis. Furthermore, the Sharpe ratio has been criticized due to the
reason that standard deviation is perceived as not a good enough measure to quantify risk.
Sortino and Satchell (2001) states that standard deviation does not capture the entire risk and
that measurements, such as downside risk, using semi-variance and minimum acceptable return
(MAR) delivers a more precise measurement of risk. Sortino and Satchell (2001) carry on by
emphasizing the problem with possibly misrepresentative results when using standard deviation
as a measurement of risk. This is caused by both non-normally distributed returns and
irregularity of risk from the investors’ standpoint, since the investors do not actually identify
upside volatility as a risk. On the contrary, Sharpe ratio is one of the most commonly used risk-
return ratio, and the authors have faith in that the advantages of this ratio outweigh the
disadvantages, for that reason it has been used with confidence in this thesis.
With reference to the Treynor ratio, the retrospective feature of the measurement is a weakness
that the authors have knowledge about. Investments are subject to the fluctuations of the stock
market and therefore past results will change in the future. A stock that has generated a 5%
return last year cannot be expected to produce the same result next year. However, in this thesis,
the authors rely on past returns during the previous eleven years and therefore consider the
Treynor ratio an appropriate and advantageous measurement.
Empirical Results
29
4. Empirical Results
4.1 Risk Exposure
The risk-exposure measurements that have been calculated to clarify whether AP7’s equity fund
in fact has had a superior performance than the other funds included in this study are Beta,
Standard Deviation, Downside Deviation and Alpha. The annual calculations of the selected
risk-exposure ratios, has allowed this thesis to straightforwardly clarify how the funds have
performed each year, using Microsoft Excel’s (=rank) function, during the selected timeframe
and the risk-exposure development during these years. The outcome of the calculations
mentioned in this section are available in appendix 9.5, except for AP7 that is available in table
1 below.
Table 1 – “AP7 Aktiefond” Yearly Risk Measurements (authors’ calculations)
Initially, beta has been calculated to understand which of the funds that has experienced the
utmost impact as a response to market fluctuations. In other words, which of the funds that has
been affected the most, by the movements of the MSCI World Index. The beta value for each
fund has been ranked to distinguish the funds that are theoretically less volatile than the market
(𝛽 < 1) and the funds that have more systematic risk than the market (𝛽 > 1). From the
calculations, one can straightforwardly determine that the beta of AP7’s equity fund has
increased overall during the studied years, with a percentage increase of around 80%. From
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 9.11% 0.7072 -0.0003 -0.05 9.74%
2008 20.87% 0.7651 0.0028 3.15 28.58%
2009 14.93% 0.3985 0.0124 1.54 9.03%
2010 15.62% 0.6658 0.0040 0.57 14.32%
2011 20.96% 0.9968 -0.0045 -0.67 20.41%
2012 13.66% 0.7936 0.0079 2.49 11.11%
2013 10.66% 0.9030 0.0079 1.23 6.77%
2014 11.34% 0.9149 0.0149 2.93 8.52%
2015 22.13% 1.3951 0.0141 1.80 17.98%
2016 13.78% 1.0500 0.0080 0.97 12.76%
2017 9.62% 1.2723 -0.0063 -0.54 6.80%
Average 14.79% 0.8966 0.0055 1.22 13.28%
AP7 Aktiefond
Empirical Results
30
2007 to 2014, the beta of AP7’s equity fund remained at a level below one, indicating that the
fund is less volatile than the selected benchmark. However, the beta has remained at a level that
is higher than one during the years 2015-2017.
The mean beta value of AP7’s equity fund, during the selected time-period, is equal to 0.8966.
In comparison to all the studied funds, this mean value is equivalent to the fourth highest.
Swedbank Robur Medica, CWorldWide Medical, SEB Läkemedelsfond, SPP Aktiefond USA
and SPP Aktiefond Japan has the lowest mean beta value of the 51 funds during the years 2007
to 2017, of which SEB Läkemedelsfond’s beta value is the lowest, equal to 0,2996. The
calculations show that AP7's equity fund is more sensitive to market movements, compared to
most of the studied funds between 2007-2017. The years when AP7's equity fund has a beta
value below one, most of the other funds has an even lower value. Consequently, the equity
fund of AP7 does not distinguish itself as being the optimal choice relating to beta value, any
single year.
An alternative measurement of risk, of which the calculations points towards AP7’s equity fund
having a higher risk exposure compared to most of the other funds, is the standard deviation.
AP7’s equity fund’s lowest standard deviation was in 2007, when it was equal to 9.11%.
Conversely, in 2015 the fund reached its highest standard deviation value of the studied years,
equal to 22.13%. To further develop, the mean standard deviation of AP7’s equity fund during
the selected time-period is equal to 14.79%. When ranking these values, the equity fund of AP7,
places itself in the middle (26th and 31st)1 of the 51 examined funds. On the contrary, the five
funds with the lowest mean standard deviation during the years 2007-2017, are Swedbank
Robur Medica, Swedbank Robur Globalfond Mega, SEB Läkemedelsfond, Öhman Hjärt-
Lungfond and Handelsbanken Global Tema. The lowest value achieved is the one of Öhman
Hjärt-Lungfond, which equals 11.28%. Again, in terms of risk exposure, the equity fund of AP7
does not prove to be a good choice in comparison to many of the other funds that, according to
the calculations made, have a lower standard deviation.
The equity fund of AP7 has a mean downside deviation during the studied years equal to 13.28%
which ranks at 32nd place out of 512. Once again, many other fund alternatives have a lower
1 The fund that ends up in 51st place has the lowest standard deviation. 2 The fund that ends up in 51st place has the lowest downside deviation.
Empirical Results
31
risk exposure ratio in comparison to AP7’s equity fund. The five funds with the lowest mean
downside deviation during the investigated years are SEB Läkemedelsfond, SPP Aktiefond
USA, Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond, Swedbank Robur Globalfond Mega and Swedbank Robur
Medica, of which SEB Läkemedelsfond has the lowest mean value equal to 10.93%. From the
calculations, it becomes evident that the equity fund of AP7 is exposed to more target downside
deviation than many of the other funds. AP7’s equity fund had its lowest downside deviation
in 2013, equal to 6.77%3. This can be compared to Skagen Global (2.31%), Swedbank Robur
Småbolagsfond Europa (3.31%), Skandia Time Global (3.76%), Öhman Global Growth (4.24%)
and Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige (4.74%) during the same year.
Furthermore, alpha has been measured for each included fund. Regarding alpha, AP7’s equity
fund only has a superior value than most of the other funds during the year of 2008. During that
year, AP7’s equity fund has the 5th highest alpha value equal to 0.28%. Hence, building a
portfolio of five funds for the year of 2008, regarding only the value of alpha, AP7’s equity
fund would have been included. However, when measuring the mean value for 2007 to 2017,
AP7’s equity fund ends up at 17th place with a mean alpha value of 0.55%. The five funds with
highest mean value of alpha during the examined time-period are Skandia Time Global (1.08%),
SEB Teknologifond (0.85%), Swedbank Robur Technology (0.83%), UBS Equity fund –
BioTech (0.82%) and Lannebo Vision (0.77%). This indicates that it would not be efficient to
keep AP7’s equity fund in a portfolio of five funds, only regarding alpha, during the time-period
2007 to 2017 since other funds has a higher excess return that is not a consequence of overall
movements in the market, in other words, a higher alpha value.
In addition to calculating the yearly alpha value for each fund, a hypothesis testing was
conducted through a t-test in order to see whether the annual alpha value corresponding to each
fund was significant or not. From the hypothesis testing, regarding the equity fund of AP7, the
authors of this thesis concluded that alpha was only significant for the years 2008, 2012, and
2014, where the corresponding alpha value for each year was 0.28%, 0.79% and 1.49%.
Furthermore, the calculations have proved that not a single fund had an alpha that was lower
than the significance level of -1.96, this indicates that neither fund performed significantly
worse than the index. Moreover, during the years of 2014 and 2015, many of the funds had a
significantly higher alpha than the index.
3 Ranking at 29𝑡ℎplace for that year.
Empirical Results
32
4.2 Risk-Adjusted Performance
For each individual premium pension fund, the risk-adjusted performance has been calculated
in order to analyse whether investors are being properly compensated for the risk taken on. The
calculations presented in table 2 below and in section 9.7 in the appendix will clarify whether
the AP7 equity fund has outperformed the additional studied funds in terms of risk-adjusted
performance. The risk-adjusted performance measurements presented in this section is the
Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and Sortino ratio. The annual calculations of the selected ratios will
clarify how the funds have performed each year using Microsoft Excel’s (=rank) function,
during the selected timeframe and the risk-adjusted return development during these years.
Table 2 - "AP7 Aktiefond" Yearly Risk-Adjusted Return Measurements (authors’ calculations)
To begin with, the Sharpe ratio has been calculated both annually and as a mean value for the
entire time-period for each fund. When observing the results regarding the equity fund of AP7
and the corresponding rank for each Sharpe ratio, it is evident that the fund does not have the
superior Sharpe ratio in comparison to most of the other included fund on a year-to-year basis,
with the exception for the year of 2012. For the selected time-period, which stretches from 2007
to 2017, the fund does not place itself at top five once. The highest achieved rank, conversely
also the highest attained Sharpe ratio for AP7’s equity fund, was in 2012 when the Sharpe ratio
was equal to 0.9892 which ranked at 8th place in comparison to the other funds. When looking
at the mean Sharpe ratio, the fund ranks at 9th place overall with a Sharpe ratio equal to 0.5572.
The five funds with the highest mean Sharpe ratio are Skandia Time Global (0.9920), Lannebo
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.1183 0.0152 0.1106
2008 -2.4514 -0.6653 -1.7903
2009 1.6405 0.6376 2.7118
2010 0.2014 0.0665 0.2198
2011 -0.5855 -0.1073 -0.6014
2012 0.9892 0.2027 1.2158
2013 2.2778 0.2915 3.5843
2014 1.7345 0.2417 2.3075
2015 0.5054 0.1049 0.6221
2016 0.3883 0.0856 0.4191
2017 1.3110 0.1267 1.8546
Average 0.5572 0.0909 0.9685
AP7 Aktiefond
Empirical Results
33
Vision (0.7950), Swedbank Robur Technology (0.7626), SEB Teknologifond (0.6667) and
Skagen Global (0.6546).
In addition to the Sharpe ratio, the Treynor ratio has been calculated both as a mean value for
the entire time-period from 2007 to 2017 and annually. The calculations conclude that AP7’s
equity fund positions itself in the middle of the ranking in comparison to the additional funds
investigated on a year-to-year basis. During the years of 2007 to 2017 the fund positions itself
in top five once, in 2008, when it is ranked as the 5th superior fund with a Treynor ratio of -
0.6653. When observing the mean Treynor ratio for the entire time period the fund ranks at 23rd
place with a mean Treynor ratio equal to 0.0909. The five funds that achieved the highest mean
Treynor ratio are Swedbank Robur Technology (1.2482), Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond
(0.7678), SEB Läkemedelsfond (0.4984), Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden (0.4671) and
CWorldWide Medical (0.4356).
Finally, the Sortino ratio’s results has been calculated both yearly and as a mean value for the
entire time-period. When observing the result, it is evident that the equity fund of AP7 did not
have the superior risk-adjusted return in terms of Sortino ratio in comparison to the majority of
the investigated funds. The fund was best ranked in 6th place in the year 2012 with a ratio of
1.2158. When observing the mean Sortino ratio for the whole time period, the AP7 equity fund
is ranked at 18th place with a mean ratio of 0.9685. The fund ranked in 1st place is Skandia Time
Global with a Sortino ratio of 1.8324. The remaining four funds with the highest mean Sortino
ratio are Lannebo Vision (1.6064), Skagen Global (1.3998), Lannebo Småbolag (1.3351) and
Swedbank Robur Technology (1.2828).
4.3 Portfolio Optimization
In order to attain a comprehensive understanding of the studied funds’ performance and to
realise which funds that should be included in a portfolio when individuals make their premium
pension selection, the authors of this thesis have constructed two different portfolios, one that
maximizes Sharpe ratio and one that minimizes the variance. By creating portfolios that can
hold up to five funds, conclusions can be drawn regarding AP7's performance in comparison to
the other funds and whether or not the fund is included in either portfolio gives the authors an
indication of whether AP7’s equity fund actually is the superior selection, in contrast to the
Empirical Results
34
other alternatives. As mentioned in section 3.3.2, a rolling-window approach was used with
eight different formation periods.
4.3.1 Minimum Variance Portfolio
To begin with, the constructed minimum variance portfolio for the formation period 2007-2010
can be seen in table 3 below. For this portfolio, the standard deviation obtained equalled 9.81%
and the portfolio return corresponded to -2.22%.
Table 3 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2007-2010 (authors’ calculations)
The minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2008-2011 can be observed in table 4
below. For this portfolio, the standard deviation attained corresponded to 9.60% and the
portfolio return equalled -1.79%.
Table 4 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2008-2011 (authors’ calculations)
Moreover, the minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2009-2012 can be accessible in
table 5 below. This portfolio had a standard deviation of 6.63% and the portfolio return equalled
8.38%.
Table 5 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2009-2012 (authors’ calculations)
2007-2010 SEB Läkemedelsfond Öhman Hjär t-Lungfond SPP Aktiefond Japan Blackrock Global Funds Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden
Weights 56.20% 17.43% 15.30% 7.45% 3.62%
St.Dev 9.81%
Return -2.22%
2008-2011 SEB Läkemedelsfond Öhman Hjär t-Lungfond SPP Aktiefond Japan Blackrock Global Funds Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden
Weights 61.28% 19.81% 9.70% 6.76% 2.45%
St.Dev 9.60%
Return -1.79%
2009-2012 SEB Läkemedelsfond Skandia Time Global KPA Etisk Aktiefond Lannebo Vision Blackrock Global Funds
Weights 59.78% 16.41% 12.58% 6.02% 5.21%
St.Dev 6.63%
Return 8.38%
Empirical Results
35
In table 6 below, the minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2010-2013 is available.
The portfolio had a standard deviation equal to 6.69% and the portfolio return equalled 6.97%.
Table 6 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2010-2013 (authors’ calculations)
Furthermore, the minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2011-2014, had a standard
deviation equal to 6.94% and the portfolio return equalled 16.32%. This portfolio can be
observed in table 7 below.
Table 7 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2011-2014 (authors’ calculations)
For the years of 2012-2015, the minimum variance portfolio, that is available in table 8
underneath, had a standard deviation of 9.71% and the portfolio return totalled 18.68%.
Table 8 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2012-2015 (authors’ calculations)
The constructed minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2013-2016, available in table
9 below, had a standard deviation that equalled 9.80% and the portfolio return corresponded to
10.14%.
2010-2013 SEB Läkemedelsfond Lannebo Vision Swedbank Robur M edica SPP Aktiefond Japan Blackrock Global Funds
Weights 44.76% 21.07% 12.86% 10.77% 10.54%
St.Dev 6.69%
Return 6.97%
2011-2014 SEB Läkemedelsfond Skandia Time Global Swedbank Robur M edica SEB Teknologifond SPP Aktiefond Japan
Weights 33.39% 26.38% 16.93% 16.92% 6.38%
St.Dev 6.94%
Return 16.32%
2012-2015 Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden SEB Läkemedelsfond C Wor ldwide Global Equities Lannebo Vision SPP Aktiefond Japan
Weights 28.82% 24.55% 20.00% 17.20% 9.43%
St.Dev 9.71%
Return 18.68%
Empirical Results
36
Table 9 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2013-2016 (authors’ calculations)
Lastly, the minimum variance portfolio for the time-period 2014-2017 has been calculated and
can be seen in table 10 below. For this portfolio, the standard deviation was equal to 9.26% and
the portfolio return corresponded to 10.45%.
Table 10 - Minimum Variance Portfolio 2014-2017 (authors’ calculations)
By observing the tables available in this section, it is evident that at least one of SEB
Läkemedelsfond, Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond, SPP Aktiefond Japan and CWorldWide Global
Equities has been included in most of the constructed minimum variance portfolios.
Furthermore, for the years of 2009-2012, the lowest standard deviation was attained,
corresponding to 6.63%. This can be seen in table 5. On the contrary, for the years of 2007-
2010, the highest standard deviation was attained, when it equalled 9.81%. In addition, this
portfolio also had the lowest return, equal to -2.22%, which can be observed in table 3. To
develop, the years of 2007-2010 included the financial crisis, which can be a reason to why the
standard deviation was highest during that formation period. The portfolio with the highest
return is available in table 8, when it was equal to 18.68%. The standard deviation for that
portfolio is equal to 9.71%.
4.3.2 Optimal Tangency Portfolio
To begin with, the optimal tangency portfolio for the time-period 2007-2010, presented in table
11 below, had a Sharpe ratio equal to 0.3594 and the portfolio return corresponded to 11.97%.
2013-2016 C Wor ldwide Global Equities Länsförsäkr ingar Europa Aktiv Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden SPP Aktiefond Japan Skagen Global
Weights 38.23% 23.95% 22.12% 12.12% 3.58%
St.Dev 9.80%
Return 10.14%
2014-2017 C Wor ldwide Global Equities SPP Aktiefond USA Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden Länsförsäkr ingar Europa Aktiv Blackrock Global Funds
Weights 40.37% 21.75% 18.27% 10.76% 8.85%
St.Dev 9.26%
Return 10.45%
Empirical Results
37
Table 11 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2007-2010 (authors’ calculations)
The optimal tangency portfolio for the time-period 2008-2011 is available in table 12 below.
This portfolio had a Sharpe ratio equal to 0.0551 and the portfolio return corresponded to 4.94%.
Table 12 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2008-2011 (authors’ calculations)
For the time-period 2009-2012, the optimal tangency portfolio had a Sharpe ratio that equalled
1.2059 and the portfolio return was 12.62%. This can be observed in table 13.
Table 13 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2009-2012 (authors’ calculations)
Moreover, the optimal tangency portfolio for the time-period 2010-2013, obtainable in table 14
below, had a Sharpe ratio equal to 1.4926 and the portfolio return totalled 14.32%.
Table 14 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2010-2013 (authors’ calculations)
2007-2010 SKAGEN Kon-Tiki Blackrock Global Funds
Weights 92.98% 7.02% - - -
Sharpe Ratio 0.3594
Return 11.97%
2008-2011 Blackrock Global Funds UBS Equity Fund - BioTech
Weights 73.20% 26.80% - - -
Sharpe Ratio 0.0551
Return 4.94%
2009-2012 SEB Läkemedelsfond Skandia Time Global Länsförsäkringar fastighetsfond Blackrock Global Funds Didner & Gerge Aktiefond
Weights 35.93% 35.13% 16.51% 8.09% 4.34%
Sharpe Ratio 1.2059
Return 12.62%
2010-2013 SEB Läkemedelsfond CWorldWide M edical Skandia Time Global Länsförsäkringar fastighetsfond UBS Equity Fund - BioTech
Weights 39.85% 31.19% 17.34% 5.99% 5.63%
Sharpe Ratio 1.4926
Return 14.32%
Empirical Results
38
The optimal tangency portfolio, for the time-period 2011-2014, can be observed in table 15
underneath. For this portfolio, the Sharpe ratio equalled 2.3402 and the portfolio return was
equal to 18.94%.
Table 15 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2011-2014 (authors’ calculations)
Furthermore, the optimal tangency portfolio for the time-period 2012-2015, which can be seen
in table 16, had a Sharpe ratio equal to 2.1672 and the portfolio return totalled 23.57%.
Table 16 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2012-2015 (authors’ calculations)
For the time-period 2013-2016, the optimal tangency portfolio had a Sharpe ratio equal to
1.8406 and the portfolio return equalled 21.94%. This portfolio is available in table 17 below.
Table 17 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2013-2016 (authors’ calculations)
Lastly, the optimal tangency portfolio for the time-period 2014-2017 has been constructed. For
this portfolio, the Sharpe ratio equalled 1.6688 and the portfolio return totalled 19.59%. This
portfolio is accessible in table 18 below.
2011-2014 SEB Läkemedelsfond Skandia Time Global CWor ldWide M edical UBS Equity Fund - BioTech
Weights 62.38% 26.08% 11.04% 0.50% -
Sharpe Ratio 2.3402
Return 18.94%
2012-2015 Lannebo Vision SEB Läkemedelsfond Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sver ige Länsförsäkr ingar fastighetsfond
Weights 39.64% 34.74% 20.74% 4.87%
Sharpe Ratio 2.1672
Return 23.57%
2013-2016 Lannebo Vision Lannebo Småbolag SPP Aktiefond Japan Länsförsäkr ingar fastighetsfond SPP Aktiefond USA
Weights 47.28% 35.29% 6.21% 5.80% 5.43%
Sharpe Ratio 1.8406
Return 21.94%
Empirical Results
39
Table 18 - Optimal Tangency Portfolio 2014-2017 (authors’ calculations)
The tables available in this section show that at least one of Lannebo Vision, Länsförsäkringar
Fastighetsfond, SEB Läkemedelsfond and UBS Equity Fund - BioTech has been included in
most of the constructed optimal tangency portfolios. The highest Sharpe ratio was obtained in
2011-2014, when it was equal to 2.3402. This portfolio can be seen in table 15. In contrast, the
lowest Sharpe ratio was attained in 2008-2011, which can be seen in table 12. The Sharpe ratio
for that formation period equalled 0.0551. This particular portfolio also had the lowest return,
equal to 4.94%. Again, the financial crisis of 2008 may have had an impact on the funds
included for that formation period. The portfolio with the highest return, equal to 23.57%, is
available in table 16 and corresponded to the years of 2012-2015.
2014-2017 Lannebo Vision Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden Länsförsäkr ingar fastighetsfond Blackrock Global Funds
Weights 63.23% 17.95% 13.29% 5.53%
Sharpe Ratio 1.6688
Return 19.59%
Analysis
40
5. Analysis
5.1 Risk Exposure
As previously mentioned in this thesis, the preferred level of risk that each individual investor
is willing to take on differs depending on each individuals’ preference. There are risk-averse,
risk-neutral, and risk-seeking investors which essentially states that an investment opportunity
that is attractive to one investor may be unattractive to another. Primarily, it has to do with
different investors having dissimilar utility functions. Taking this into account, it can be
problematic to point out a single fund and defining it as the optimal choice, due to the
differences in risk-preference between individual investors. However, this analysis will
investigate the difference between the equity fund of AP7 in contrast to the other included funds
and select the optimal fund(s) to pursue depending on the results of the calculated ratios and
the return given the risk level of the fund.
The calculated risk-exposure ratios all indicate that the equity fund of AP7 is not the optimal
choice in the premium pension fund selection. To begin with, even though the mean beta
coefficient of AP7’s equity fund for the studied years is equal to 0.8966, which indicates that
the fund is less volatile than the market, there are superior funds to select. Adding to that, the
last three years the beta coefficient of AP7’s equity fund has had an average value of 1.2391.
Given the circumstance that each individual can select up to five funds in their premium pension
selection, the proper funds to choose with regard to beta should be SEB Läkemedelsfond, SPP
Aktiefond Japan, Swedbank Robur Medica, CWorldWide Medical and SPP Aktiefond USA.
The mentioned funds have a mean beta coefficient ranging from 0.2996 to 0.5110. The fund
that has the lowest mean beta value is SEB Läkemedelsfond, over the studied time-period the
beta coefficient of that fund has only been above one a single time and corresponded to 1.0082
in 2015 (see appendix 9.5). The reasoning behind why AP7’s equity fund has a higher beta
value than the majority of the other funds can be explained by the fact that the fund is a high-
risk fund. AP7 continually state, when describing their equity fund, that it is impossible to
combine low risk with high returns (AP7, 2018).
Although historical price movements are poor predictors of the future, since the market can
change rapidly, and the fact that beta only reflects the future to some degree, this thesis is
Analysis
41
focusing on the past. On the contrary, beta suggests a clear, assessable measure that
is straightforward to use in these circumstances. There are, unquestionably, disparities on beta
contingent on effects such as the index used, and the years measured but generally speaking,
the concept of beta is a fairly useful measure that in this case point out that AP7’s equity fund
is inferior to other alternatives available.
To further develop, SEB Läkemedelsfond has the third lowest mean standard deviation for the
selected time-period. The other funds with the lowest standard deviation are Öhman Hjärt-
Lungfond, Swedbank Robur Medica, Swedbank Robur Globalfond Mega and Handelsbanken
Global Tema. Yet again, the result indicates that the equity fund of AP7 has higher risk than
most of the other funds. As stated in section 4.1, the mean standard deviation of AP7’s equity
fund for the entire time-period is equal to 14.79%, representing 26th place in comparison to all
studied funds. In accordance with what the result has shown regarding standard deviation, AP7
is not a better alternative than many of the other funds. However, when observing the yearly
average returns, it is evident that AP7’s equity fund has had greater return than the funds
mentioned previously that had the lowest standard deviation. This is an indication of the fact
that higher risk tends to imply higher returns, confirming the ideas presented in the risk-return
trade-off. Regardless of the fact that some individuals are risk-averse, they are required to take
on this risk when making a passive choice since AP7 is the default alternative and refereeing to
earlier statements in this thesis around 98.4% have passively taken on this risk since 2007.
When comparing AP7’s equity fund with SEB Läkemedelsfond, which is in the lower-risk
category regarding standard deviation, it is obvious that the latter is the better alternative. As
described above, the mean standard deviation for AP7’s equity fund equalled 14.79% whereas
that of SEB Läkemedelsfond amounted to 11.42%, signifying a difference of 3.37 percentage
points (see appendix 9.5). With that in mind, the yearly average return for AP7’s equity fund
for the years from 2007 to 2017 corresponded to 8.88% whereas the one for SEB
Läkemedelsfond totalled 8.31%, indicating a difference of 0.57 percentage points (see table 19
below). Although a minor difference in return can yield a significantly greater outcome, the
difference in return put into relation of the risk between these funds cannot justify the choice
of AP7’s equity fund instead of SEB Läkemedelsfond. However, when comparing AP7’s equity
fund to Handelsbanken Global Tema, which was another fund in the lower-risk category
regarding standard deviation, the preferred choice may differ. Handelsbanken Global Tema had
a mean standard deviation of 11.75%, ranking the fund as the fifth best fund in that category.
Analysis
42
However, the fund had an average yearly return of 5.11% during the years 2007 to 2017.
Referring back to AP7’s average yearly rate of return for the same time-period, it was equal to
8.88%, whereas the mean standard deviation totalled 14.79%. The mean standard deviation is,
unquestionably, higher than that of Handelsbanken Global Tema, but the difference in yearly
average return between the two funds, for a risk-seeking investor, may be significant enough to
pursue.
Table 19 - Low St.dev funds yearly average rate of return (authors’ calculations)
Yet, the result leads investors towards pursuing a different investment route than that of AP7’s
equity fund. The risk measurements provide sufficient arguments for that. The fund that has the
lowest mean downside deviation is SEB Läkemedelsfond with 10.93% compared to AP7’s
equity fund that was equal to 13.28%. As mentioned in section 4.1, the other funds with the
lowest downside deviation are SPP Aktiefond USA, Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond, Swedbank Robur
Globalfond Mega and Swedbank Robur Medica. By separating the negative part of the volatility
and considering returns that fall below the minimum acceptable return, it is clear that when in
times of financial distress, AP7’s equity fund is exposed to more risk than many of the other
funds. For instance, when the financial crisis of 2008 uncovered the weaknesses of the financial
field, the downside deviation of AP7’ equity fund increased from 9.82% in 2007 to 35.41% in
2008. In comparison to other funds that has proven to be less hazardous, that is SEB
Läkemedelsfond and Swedbank Robur Medica, their downside deviation in 2008 equalled
16.57% and 18.29%, this is a good indication of how AP7’s equity fund performs in distressed
financial times, which can be explained by the fact that AP7’s equity fund has proven to be a
high-risk fund. This is more obvious when considering the yearly average returns for 2008. The
average return for AP7’s equity fund declined by 65.85% that year in relation to 2007, in
comparison to SEB Läkemedelsfond and Swedbank Robur Medica that only declined by 13.35%
and 19.98%, which is a substantial difference.
Yearly average returns 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Average
AP7 Aktiefond 5,24% -47,00% 28,66% 7,31% -8,11% 17,67% 28,45% 23,83% 15,35% 9,51% 16,77% 8,88%
Swedbank Robur M edica -0,90% -19,98% 6,90% -4,86% 4,86% 12,74% 28,06% 29,47% 16,74% -3,78% -0,73% 6,23%
Swedbank Robur Globalfond M ega4,11% -41,49% 15,70% 2,39% -6,60% 9,97% 19,93% 17,79% 17,30% 2,09% 16,73% 5,27%
SEB Läkemedelsfond 0,77% -13,35% 1,75% 0,86% 5,35% 15,65% 26,09% 33,36% 18,60% -6,46% 8,79% 8,31%
Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond -8,24% -29,23% 24,29% 6,04% -6,53% 12,98% 25,34% 21,39% 15,47% -1,59% 12,21% 6,56%
Handelsbanken Global Tema 1,56% -37,94% 14,12% 7,46% -10,91% 8,46% 16,88% 16,87% 17,89% 3,29% 18,58% 5,11%
Analysis
43
With regard to alpha, the result has proven that there are funds that outperform the market better
than AP7’s equity fund. As stated previously in section 4.1, the five funds that have the highest
mean alpha are Skandia Time Global, SEB Teknologifond, Swedbank Robur Technology, UBS
Equity fund – BioTech, and Lannebo Vision. Again, AP7’s equity fund does not appear as the
superior alternative in comparison to other funds. Taking into consideration that AP7’s equity
fund is a high-risk fund and still has a lower excess return in comparison to many funds, is an
indication that risk-averse, nor risk-neutral, investors should not select the equity fund of AP7.
The above analysis has proven that the return given as a result of investing in AP7 clearly does
not cover the risk taken on.
5.2 Risk-Adjusted Performance
When analysing the results regarding the risk-adjusted performance measurements, it is clear
that there are superior funds to select than AP7’s equity fund. To begin with, AP7’s equity fund
has the 9th highest mean Sharpe ratio of the included funds. However, even though the fund
possesses a seemingly good position when ranking the funds, it is important to consider the risk
taken and the measurements calculated regarding risk-exposure.
When holding a risky asset, such as the equity fund of AP7, the holder of that asset must be
appropriately compensated for the additional risk taken on. The risk-adjusted performance
measurements, especially the Sharpe ratio, have proven that this does not apply to investments
made in AP7’s equity fund. By analysing the result of the calculations made, investors in the
equity fund of AP7 are not receiving enough excess return for the additional risk endured by
holding that asset. For example, both Swedbank Robur Technology and SEB Läkemedelsfond
both are considered lower-risk funds than that of AP7 in the previous section of this analysis.
When calculating the Sharpe ratio of these funds, they both have a higher mean Sharpe ratio
than AP7’s equity fund. To further develop, Skagen Global and Skandia Time Global also have
a higher mean Sharpe ratio and a lower risk-exposure rank than the equity fund of AP7.
To further explain, when analysing the calculations on a year-to-year basis instead of the mean
value for the entire time-period, the result is almost similar. When comparing AP7’s equity
fund with Swedbank Robur Technology, it is clear that AP7’s equity fund only has a higher
Sharpe ratio for three of the eleven years that this thesis has analysed, this was in 2012, 2013
Analysis
44
and 2016. The same is applicable when comparing the equity fund of AP7 with Skandia Time
Global. The comparison between the two funds imply that AP7’s equity fund only has a higher
Sharpe ratio than Skandia Time Global two times during the entire time-period.
Given these circumstances, it is evident that investors are not being compensated for the
additional risk taken on as a consequence of investing in the equity fund of AP7. This becomes
even more apparent when regarding the fact that this thesis has proven that less risky funds
have a higher Sharpe ratio.
To clarify that there are funds with preferable risk-adjusted returns, and less risk-exposure, than
that of AP7’s equity fund, the result has proven that Swedbank Robur Technology, SEB
Läkemedelsfond, Skagen Global, Swedbank Robur Medica and SPP Aktiefond USA all are
exposed to less risk by measurements of standard deviation and downside deviation and have a
superior mean Treynor ratio. By analysing the Treynor ratio, it becomes obvious which funds
that most effectively provide investors compensation, considering the risk level of that fund.
When evaluating the risk-exposure ratios and the Treynor ratio together, and compiling the
results from these measurements, it is obvious that AP7's equity fund is not good enough
compared to other funds mentioned in this paragraph. All these funds have generated higher
returns per unit of risk taken on by investing in these funds in comparison to the equity fund of
AP7.
Considering the fact that AP7’s equity fund is a risky asset, and that Treynor ratio is reliant on
beta, it can be reasonable that the equity fund of AP7 has a lower Treynor ratio than many of
the other funds due to the fund being exposed to more risk. The problem arises when
considering whether investors are being properly compensated for the risk they are being
exposed to. Keeping in mind that there are risk-taking investors that invest in high-risk assets,
they should be properly compensated for the additional risk and since AP7’s equity fund is the
default option, this fund should appropriately reward holders of that asset. As before, this thesis
has proven that this is not the case. Therefore, it is clearly not worth taking on the added risk
that arises from investing in AP7's equity fund, but instead selecting another option. However,
it is important to bear in mind that in order to optimize the portfolio of funds regarding the
premium pension selection, an active investor must continue on a similar path throughout the
following years. In other words, when making an active fund selection, the investors must
actively optimize their portfolios every year by altering their holdings. Subsequently, it is not
Analysis
45
preferable for an investor to make an active selection for one year and then not adjust the
selection the remaining years until retirement. This is clearly demonstrated when observing
SEB Läkemedelsfond, although the fund has performed well over the examined time-period,
there is an apparent downward trend in recent years with higher standard deviation and
declining returns. Considering the fact that many of the calculated measurements have a
backward-looking nature, which means that the measurements do not reflect future outcomes.
Given the risky environment of the financial market, funds can perform substantially different
on a year-to-year basis. Therefore, as previously stated, it is important for investors to
continuously optimize their portfolio by following the funds’ performance each year in order
to attain the optimal end result.
A similar analysis is applicable when regarding the Sortino ratio. The result has proven that
AP7's equity fund is not the optimal fund to select, given the risk level of the fund, since there
are superior alternatives to choose instead. Again, Swedbank Robur Technology, Skagen
Global, Skandia Time Global, SEB Läkemedelsfond and many other funds have a higher
Sortino ratio than AP7’s equity fund and a lower risk with regard to the measured risk-exposure
ratios. However, the Sortino ratio, Treynor ratio and the Sharpe ratio, all indicate rankings that
are substantially similar to each other. Hence, which can be observed in section 4.2, the ratios
will depict a similar outcome regarding the optimal funds to select. Although the outcome of
these ratios is similar, they do not refer to how the ratios are rewarding or penalizing the studied
funds.
Moreover, it is important to understand the nature of these ratios and not only consider the
outcome. For example, the Sortino ratio is the sole risk-adjusted performance measurement that
allows for alteration of the rate of return with an input other than the risk-free rate, in
comparison to the other risk-performance ratios used in this thesis. Considering the fact that
each investor can adjust the rate of return by using an individual variable in the calculations
increases the opportunity to find the preferable fund to invest in. Therefore, it can be unclear to
state which fund that has the optimal performance due to the fact that the individual preference
in the calculation can alter the results. In this thesis, in order to have equal calculations based
on fairly similar assumptions, the same variable has been used for each fund when calculating
the Sortino ratio, which is the target inflation level in Sweden of 2% and the result has shown
that the AP7's equity fund is not preferred.
Analysis
46
5.3 Portfolio Optimization
When analysing the portfolios in section 4.3, it is clear that the AP7 equity fund was not
included in the minimum variance portfolio nor the optimal tangency portfolio during any of
the eight time-periods. As a demonstration to how active investor better can tailor their
investment strategy after their risk preference, the portfolio result presented in section 4.3 has
been analysed in comparison to passive investors with holdings in AP7.
5.3.1 Minimum Variance Portfolio
To best capture the utility function of a risk-averse investor, the minimum variance portfolio of
an active investor has been compared to a passive investor with holdings in the AP7 equity fund.
Examining table 20 below it is evident that a risk-averse investor can attain an extensively lower
standard deviation by making an active investment. The passive investment of AP7 has been at
least 2.45 times riskier than the active investment in a minimum variance portfolio during each
of the time periods from 2007 to 2017.
Table 20 – Standard deviation, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations)
Consequently, due to the high standard deviation, it is of interest to examine the return
generated from AP7 in contrast to the minimum variance portfolio. This is particularly
interesting since AP7 states that it is impossible to combine low risk with high returns, when
they describe their fund (AP7, 2018). Observing table 21 below we can indeed see that the AP7
equity fund has had the superior return during each time-period except the period of 2011-2014.
However, the difference in percentage is greater in terms of risk in comparison to the return.
Which consequently raises the question if the passive investors are properly compensated for
the risk they are exposed to.
Standard Deviation 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund 15.13% 18.10% 16.29% 15.23% 14.15% 14.45% 14.48% 14.22%
MVP Portfolio 9.81% 9.60% 6.63% 6.69% 6.94% 9.71% 9.80% 9.26%
Analysis
47
Table 21 - Return, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations)
Examining the risk-adjusted return measurement in table 22 below it is apparent that neither
investment alternative has had the highest Sharpe ratio a consecutive amount of times.
Implicating that in terms of risk-adjusted return, neither an active or passive investor would
have received a superior outcome during the investigated years.
Table 22 - Sharpe Ratio, MVP in comparison to AP7 (authors´ calculations)
Analysing the portfolios evaluated in section 4.3.1 and the analysis of the risk exposure
presented in section 5.1 it is apparent that the majority of funds presented as low risk funds in
section 5.1 is indeed included in the minimum variance portfolios in section 4.3.1. For example,
SEB Läkemedelsfond, SPP Aktiefond Japan, Lannebo Vision and CWorldWide global equities
are funds that has been included numerous times in the minimum variance portfolios.
Examining the yearly risk measurement ranking presented in appendix 9.6, the equity fund
Blackrock global fund had the highest rank in terms of standard deviation and downside
deviation, meaning that it is a high-risk fund, and is still included in five of the eight minimum
variance portfolios. Subsequently, this must entail that the Blackrock global fund consists of
other securities in comparison to the remaining funds in the portfolio. Subsequently, the
portfolio acquires a varying degree of risk through diversification that will minimize the overall
risk in times of market fluctuations.
5.3.2 Optimal Tangency Portfolio
In order to analyse the utility function of a risk-neutral or risk-seeking investor, a passive
investor with holdings in AP7 equity fund has been compared to an optimal tangency portfolio
of an active. Analysing table 23, it is evident that an active investor can achieve a more desirable
Return 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund -1.45% -4.78% 11.48% 11.33% 15.46% 21.33% 19.29% 16.37%
MVP Portfolio -2.22% -1.79% 8.38% 6.97% 16.32% 18.68% 10.14% 10.45%
Sharpe Ratio 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund -0.1228 -0.2987 0.5614 0.7207 1.1040 1.3767 1.2265 0.9848
MVP Portfolio -0.5881 -0.5158 0.8747 0.6980 2.0609 1.7662 0.9059 1.0302
Analysis
48
risk-adjusted return compared to a passive investor with holdings in AP7. The active investment
has exceeded the holdings in AP7 each time-period from 2007 to 2017.
Table 23 - Sharpe Ratio, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations)
Investigating the returns in table 24 from an active investment in an optimal tangency portfolio
to a passive investment in AP7, it is clear that the active portfolio has exceeded the passive
investment in terms of average yearly return each year as well as the risk-adjusted return.
Table 24 - Return, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations)
Given that the returns of the optimal tangency portfolio exceeded the passive investment each
time-period we can observe table 25 below to see if the greater return entailed a higher risk.
From viewing the table, it is apparent that the active investment had a significantly lower
standard deviation in comparison to AP7 in six of the eight time periods. For the portfolio
covering the years of 2007-2010, the standard deviation was equal to 23.43%, compared to
AP7’s equity fund that had a standard deviation equal to 15.13. Subsequently, the constructed
portfolio for the years of 2008-2011 had a standard deviation of 32.28% compared to 18.10%
for a passive investor. However, during these formation periods the constructed optimal
tangency portfolio entailed an average yearly return of 11.97 % and 4.94% in relationship to a
passive investment with a yearly average return of -1.45 % and -4.78% respectively.
Table 25 – Standard deviation, OTP in comparison to AP7 (authors’ calculations)
Sharpe Ratio 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund -0.1228 -0.2987 0.5614 0.7207 1.1040 1.3767 1.2265 0.9848
OTP Portfolio 0.3594 0.0551 1.2059 1.4926 2.3402 2.1672 1.8406 1.6688
Return 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund -1.45% -4.78% 11.48% 11.33% 15.46% 21.33% 19.29% 16.37%
OTP Portfolio 11.97% 4.94% 12.62% 14.32% 18.94% 23.57% 21.94% 19.59%
Standard Deviation 2007-2010 2008-2011 2009-2012 2010-2013 2011-2014 2012-2015 2013-2016 2014-2017
AP7 Equityfund 15.13% 18.10% 16.29% 15.23% 14.15% 14.45% 14.48% 14.22%
OTP Portfolio 23.43% 32.28% 8.32% 8.05% 7.24% 10.16% 11.23% 11.20%
Analysis
49
Examining the optimal tangency portfolios in section 4.3.2 in relation to the yearly average
risk-adjusted return measurement presented in section 9.7 in the appendix, it is apparent that
the funds included in the portfolio varies to a greater extend depending on which fund that
achieved a high risk-adjusted return ratio in comparison to the minimum variance portfolio.
Consequently, taking return into account leads to a greater degree of fluctuations and by
examining the portfolios it is evident that alterations has to be made regularly in order to attain
a portfolio with a high risk-adjusted return outcome. This conclusion is made with regards to
the minimum variance portfolio that ensured a greater degree of comfort in an active decision
in terms of fewer alterations. However, analysing table 23, 24 and 25 above it is evident that a
clear enhancement can be achieved between a passive and an active investment in terms of
lower risk and a higher return.
Conclusion
50
6. Conclusion
Throughout this thesis, it has become evident that investors that hold assets in the equity fund
of AP7 are exposed to high levels of risk without being properly compensated for the additional
risk taken on. According to the risk-exposure measurements included in this thesis, AP7’s
equity fund is exposed to higher levels of risk in comparison to many of the other included
funds. Furthermore, the research of this thesis has proven that there are many funds that have
preferred levels of risk-adjusted return than AP7’s equity fund and lower risk-exposure,
signifying that these funds are superior alternatives to select rather than the default option,
namely AP7.
In addition to this, the equity fund of AP7 has performed worse in periods of financial distress
than many of the included funds, and the authors believe that a default alternative should ensure
a more stable environment for investors with holdings in the default fund. As a result of the
high levels of risk taken on by investors that hold assets in AP7’s equity fund, and the fact that
they are not being properly compensated for that additional risk, the authors of this thesis
conclude that AP7’s equity fund does not prove to have a superior risk-adjusted performance
compared to many of the other funds included in this study. The intention of this conclusion is
not to criticise the entire premium pension system, but to shed light on the insufficiencies of
AP7’s equity fund and the high level of risk-exposure that investors are exposed to.
Consequently, AP7’s equity fund is not the preferable fund that individuals should select with
regard to risk-exposure and risk-adjusted return.
Regarding the portfolio construction of the minimum-variance portfolio and the optimal
tangency portfolio, the authors of this thesis can conclude that neither portfolio throughout the
rolling-window estimation of eight formation periods included the equity fund of AP7.
Considering the fact that AP7’s equity fund was not included in any portfolio; the authors of
this report have highlighted the importance that investors should remain well-informed about
the financial market and the funds available to select from. Furthermore, when comparing the
portfolios constructed to the equity fund of AP7, the authors of this thesis found that a lower
variance can be achieved by the minimum-variance portfolio however, the return was lower
than that of AP7’s equity fund all formation periods, except for one. Considering the optimal
Conclusion
51
tangency portfolio, the authors can conclude that it was superior to that of AP7’s equity fund
regarding both Sharpe ratio and return for all examined formation periods.
Moreover, the findings of this thesis coincide with the findings made by Dahlquist, Martinez
and Söderlind (2016) that active investor receive higher risk-adjusted returns compared to
inactive investors that remain in the default fund. Furthermore, the authors of this thesis agree
with the statements made by Czech (2016) regarding that the declining participation rate in the
Swedish premium pension fund selection is a result of too many fund alternatives, which is
discouraging for investors. This thesis has shown that investors can benefit from making an
active fund selection, however, the vast amount of funds to select from can be an explanation
to why many investors end up with holdings in the default alternative.
To conclude, this thesis has proven that there are superior funds to select rather than the equity
fund of AP7 with regard to risk-adjusted return and risk-exposure. Furthermore, the minimum-
variance portfolio constructed outperformed the equity fund of AP7 in terms of lower risk-
exposure for risk-averse investors. Subsequently, optimal tangency portfolio proved to be
superior when comparing it to AP7’s equity fund as well, with regard to both risk-adjusted
return and risk-exposure. Consequently, active participants can obtain improved results of their
investments according to their risk preferences when remaining active in their fund selection.
However, it is of great importance to bear in mind that an active investor must regularly make
alterations to their portfolio in order to achieve the desired outcome.
Contributions to the Research and Suggested Further Studies
52
7. Contributions to the Research and Suggested Further Studies
This thesis has proven that the equity fund of AP7 expose holders of that asset to high levels of
risk with a lack of ability to properly compensate the investors for that additional risk.
Furthermore, this thesis has identified several funds available in the premium pension fund
selection that has a superior risk-adjusted performance including a lower risk-exposure than the
equity fund of AP7. The authors have faith in that the returns of AP7’s equity fund does not
justify the risk-exposure of that fund, consequently the system must prioritize a stable
environment regarding investors that do not make an active investment decision since a pre-
default option should entail more stability than in does today. The research of this thesis has
acknowledged both advantages and disadvantages of the included risk-exposure and risk-
adjusted measurements and specified how these ratios have been used throughout this thesis.
The authors have used these ratios when selecting the preferable funds available to investors in
order to conclude which of the funds that have the best risk-adjusted return or lowest risk-
exposure. Furthermore, the authors trust that this thesis has highlighted the importance of
knowledge and consistency when making an active fund selection, meaning that an investor
must remain active throughout the years to retirement in order to obtain the optimal end result.
Moreover, this thesis has emphasised that fund performance is related to the fluctuations of the
financial market, meaning that unexpected market fluctuations can alter the performance of
funds. Hence, the authors have encouraged investors to pursue the path of being an active
participant in order to attain the desired objective. The authors have confidence in that this
thesis can contribute to the existing research concerning the Swedish pension system as a result
of the observations made with regard to the issues of the pre-default alternative and the risk-
level that investors in the default fund are exposed to. The authors wish that this thesis will
broaden the knowledge of the readers and encourage them to be active participant in the
premium pension fund selection given the benefits of being an active participant. This thesis is
not suggesting that the Swedish pension system should be restructured, instead it is highlighting
the importance of the potential shortcomings derived by high levels of risk-exposure to passive
investors and wish that the analysis of this thesis will persuade the Swedish population to be
well-informed resulting in a higher ratio of active participants.
Contributions to the Research and Suggested Further Studies
53
The authors of this thesis propose that future research may include a study that compares the
Swedish premium pension system to the pension system in another country, for example a
neighbouring country such as Finland or Denmark. The ability to ensure pension savings for
the working population after retirement is a globally important concern. Consequently, benefits
and shortcomings in the pension systems can be examined in order to contribute with possible
enhancements beyond the borders of Sweden. Considering the fact that assurance of a source
of revenue after retirement is an international subject that must be addressed properly, the
authors hope that this thesis encourages the readers to keep examining and criticizing the
structure of the current system including the inadequacies and advantages in order for the
system to progress for the benefit of retirees. By having a well-educated population that
understands the insufficiencies of the pre-default option, and by proposing improvements
through prospective studies, a more stable environment for passive investors that do not have
the required knowledge to make an active selection can be accomplished.
Forthcoming researches can also examine the share of the premium pension system in relation
to the national public pension system and examine whether the 2.5% that is controlled by the
individual today is appropriate or if it should be increased or decreased. Although, the
remaining parts of the Swedish pension system can be taken into attention as well. The authors
believe that it would be of interest to perform a study with regard to the fund selection in the
occupational pension instead of the premium pension. Each employee with an agreement for
an occupational pension have the right to invest 50% of their pension into a fund insurance with
higher risk than in a traditional insurance, but with the possibility to obtain a higher return. The
employee has the ability to invest capital in one or several funds in order to obtain their risk-
preference, similarly to the premium pension selection.
Lastly, the authors of this thesis would like to suggest future researches to make a deeper
analysis of fund performance in times of financial distress. It is important to understand that
fund performance can change rapidly due to the fluctuations of the market, and since the
pension is an important part of each individual life after retirement it is important to highlight
the issues that can arise from unstable financial market.
Appendix
54
8. References
8.1 References to theory sources
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Statistics for business and economics (2nd edition). Hampshire: Cengage Learning.
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Available at AP7 : Årsredovisning
AP7. (2018a). AP7 Såfa. Available at AP7 : https://www.ap7.se/english/ap7-sa%CC%8Afa/
[Accessed 07 02 2018]
AP7. (2018b). Om oss. Available at AP7: https://www.ap7.se/om-oss/ [Accessed 10 02 2018]
Aslanidis, N., Christiansen, C., & Savva, C. (2016). Risk-return trade-off for European stock
markets. International Review of Financial Analysis, 46(1), pp. 84-103.
Avanza. (2018). Vilka typer av fonder finns det? Available at Avanza:
https://www.avanza.se/lar-dig-mer/avanza-akademin/fonder/vilka-typer-av-fonder-
finns-det.html#vad-ar-en-aktiefond [Accessed 13 03 2018]
Barr, N. (2013). The Pension System in Sweden. Ministry of Finance.
Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2014). Corporate Finance (Vol. 3). Harlow: Pearson.
Bodnar, T., Mazur, S., & Podgorski, K. (2016). A test for the global minimum variance
portfolio for small sample and singular covariance. AStA Advances in Statistical
Analysis, 101(3), ss. 253-265.
Bodnar, T., Parolya, N., & Schmid, W. (2018). Estimation of the global minimum variance
portfolio in high dimensions. European Journal of Operational Research, 266(1), ss.
371-390.
References
55
Bollen, N., & Posavac, S. (2018). Gender, risk tolerance, and false concensus in asset
allocation recommendations. Journal of Banking and Finance, 87(1), pp. 304-317.
Bryman, A., & Bell, E. (2011). Business Research Methods (Vol. 3). Oxford: Oxford
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Appendix
63
9. Appendix
9.1 The 51 equity funds included in the study
Information about the included equity funds (Pensionsmyndigheten, 2018b)
Number of fund selections Market value (million SEK) Country of origin
AP7 Aktiefond 3 819 029 420 406 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Technology 289 755 22 119 Sweden
Didner & Gerge Aktiefond 236 051 25 229 Sweden
AMF Sverige 226 338 20 222 Sweden
AMF Världen 205 091 17 226 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension 160 338 15 227 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Medica 114 841 5 403 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Sverigefond Mega 100 809 7 253 Sweden
SPP Aktiefond Sverige 88 610 6 441 Sweden
Avanza Zero 88 421 6 647 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Globalfond Mega 85 016 6 431 Sweden
CWorldWide Medical 81 796 4 062 Luxembourg
Länsförsäkringar fastighetsfond 77 868 5 091 Sweden
SEB Läkemedelsfond 71 920 4 448 Sweden
Skagen Global 66 393 4 068 Norway
SPP Aktiefond Europa 63 355 2 632 Sweden
SPP Aktiefond USA 61 265 4 083 Sweden
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki 59 361 3 101 Norway
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa 58 981 3 506 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Europafond Mega 58 850 2 667 Sweden
C Worldwide Global Equities 57 345 3 616 Luxembourg
Skandia Time Global 53 394 2 896 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond 51 407 1 916 Sweden
Lannebo Småbolag 49 883 4 825 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige 49 639 4 486 Sweden
Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond 49 555 5 201 Sweden
Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden 46 318 3 475 Finland
AMF Aktiefond Europa 45 539 2 291 Sweden
Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond 43 872 2 474 Sweden
AMF Aktiefond Småbolag 43 454 3 811 Sweden
Carnegie Rysslandsfond 40 977 2 566 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond 39 858 1 807 Sweden
UBS Equity Fund - BioTech 38 737 2 731 Luxembourg
SEB Teknologifond 35 976 2 507 Sweden
Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema 35 249 2 070 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Nordenfond 34 314 1 889 Sweden
Baring Hong Kong China Fund 33 144 2 334 Ireland
East Capital Ryssland 32 542 1 485 Sweden
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden 32 452 2 157 Sweden
Öhman Global Growth 31 691 1 856 Sweden
Skandia USA 31 574 1 802 Sweden
Skandia Världen 31 379 1 624 Sweden
Länsförsäkringar Europa Aktiv 30 880 1 347 Sweden
Blackrock Global Funds 29 390 1 993 Luxembourg
Appendix
64
9.2 Start-of-month net asset values for AP7
The start-of-month net asset values that was retrieved through e-mail
2007-01-01 109.24
2007-02-01 111.84
2007-03-01 109.94
2007-04-01 113.16
2007-05-01 116.04
2007-06-01 121.43
2007-07-01 119.28
2007-08-01 115.86
2007-09-01 117.57
2007-10-01 117.98
2007-11-01 119.30
2007-12-01 115.12
2008-01-01 114.35
2008-02-01 105.67
2008-03-01 102.18
2008-04-01 101.96
2008-05-01 105.71
2008-06-01 107.41
2008-07-01 97.44
2008-08-01 96.95
2008-09-01 99.03
2008-10-01 90.80
2008-11-01 76.96
2008-12-01 71.95
2009-01-01 72.99
2009-02-01 69.75
2009-03-01 67.51
2009-04-01 70.67
2009-05-01 79.05
2009-06-01 83.88
2009-07-01 83.11
2009-08-01 88.20
2009-09-01 90.48
2009-10-01 92.18
2009-11-01 92.65
2009-12-01 95.83
2010-01-01 98.64
2010-02-01 96.83
2010-03-01 97.44
2010-04-01 104.13
2010-05-01 104.60
Appendix
65
9.3 Risk-free rate
The risk-free rate - 10-year Swedish government bond (Riksdagen, 2018c)
Monthly Monthly Monthly Yearly
2007-01-01 0.33% 2010-09-01 0.21% 2014-05-01 0.16% 2007 4.17%
2007-02-01 0.33% 2010-10-01 0.22% 2014-06-01 0.15% 2008 3.90%
2007-03-01 0.32% 2010-11-01 0.24% 2014-07-01 0.13% 2009 3.25%
2007-04-01 0.34% 2010-12-01 0.27% 2014-08-01 0.13% 2010 2.88%
2007-05-01 0.35% 2011-01-01 0.27% 2014-09-01 0.13% 2011 2.59%
2007-06-01 0.37% 2011-02-01 0.28% 2014-10-01 0.11% 2012 1.59%
2007-07-01 0.37% 2011-03-01 0.28% 2014-11-01 0.09% 2013 2.12%
2007-08-01 0.35% 2011-04-01 0.28% 2014-12-01 0.08% 2014 1.72%
2007-09-01 0.35% 2011-05-01 0.25% 2015-01-01 0.07% 2015 0.72%
2007-10-01 0.36% 2011-06-01 0.24% 2015-02-01 0.05% 2016 0.53%
2007-11-01 0.35% 2011-07-01 0.23% 2015-03-01 0.05% 2017 0.65%
2007-12-01 0.36% 2011-08-01 0.18% 2015-04-01 0.03%
2008-01-01 0.34% 2011-09-01 0.15% 2015-05-01 0.06%
2008-02-01 0.33% 2011-10-01 0.16% 2015-06-01 0.08%
2008-03-01 0.33% 2011-11-01 0.14% 2015-07-01 0.07%
2008-04-01 0.34% 2011-12-01 0.14% 2015-08-01 0.06%
2008-05-01 0.35% 2012-01-01 0.14% 2015-09-01 0.06%
2008-06-01 0.37% 2012-02-01 0.16% 2015-10-01 0.06%
2008-07-01 0.36% 2012-03-01 0.16% 2015-11-01 0.07%
2008-08-01 0.34% 2012-04-01 0.15% 2015-12-01 0.08%
2008-09-01 0.33% 2012-05-01 0.13% 2016-01-01 0.09%
2008-10-01 0.30% 2012-06-01 0.12% 2016-02-01 0.06%
2008-11-01 0.28% 2012-07-01 0.11% 2016-03-01 0.07%
2008-12-01 0.22% 2012-08-01 0.12% 2016-04-01 0.07%
2009-01-01 0.23% 2012-09-01 0.13% 2016-05-01 0.06%
2009-02-01 0.24% 2012-10-01 0.13% 2016-06-01 0.04%
2009-03-01 0.24% 2012-11-01 0.12% 2016-07-01 0.01%
2009-04-01 0.26% 2012-12-01 0.13% 2016-08-01 0.01%
2009-05-01 0.30% 2013-01-01 0.15% 2016-09-01 0.02%
2009-06-01 0.30% 2013-02-01 0.17% 2016-10-01 0.02%
2009-07-01 0.28% 2013-03-01 0.16% 2016-11-01 0.04%
2009-08-01 0.29% 2013-04-01 0.14% 2016-12-01 0.05%
2009-09-01 0.28% 2013-05-01 0.15% 2017-01-01 0.05%
2009-10-01 0.27% 2013-06-01 0.17% 2017-02-01 0.06%
2009-11-01 0.27% 2013-07-01 0.18% 2017-03-01 0.06%
2009-12-01 0.27% 2013-08-01 0.20% 2017-04-01 0.05%
2010-01-01 0.28% 2013-09-01 0.22% 2017-05-01 0.05%
2010-02-01 0.27% 2013-10-01 0.20% 2017-06-01 0.04%
2010-03-01 0.27% 2013-11-01 0.19% 2017-07-01 0.06%
2010-04-01 0.26% 2013-12-01 0.20% 2017-08-01 0.05%
2010-05-01 0.23% 2014-01-01 0.20% 2017-09-01 0.05%
2010-06-01 0.22% 2014-02-01 0.19% 2017-10-01 0.07%
2010-07-01 0.23% 2014-03-01 0.18% 2017-11-01 0.06%
2010-08-01 0.20% 2014-04-01 0.17% 2017-12-01 0.06%
Appendix
66
9.4 Yearly average rate of return
Yearly average rate of returns 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
M SCI World 7.81% -65.85% 34.46% 3.75% -2.68% 10.40% 20.99% 6.48% -1.15% -0.09% 19.15%
AP7 Aktiefond 5.24% -47.00% 28.66% 7.31% -8.11% 17.67% 28.45% 23.83% 15.35% 9.51% 16.77%
Swedbank Robur Technology 6.94% -35.19% 21.02% 8.98% 1.23% 5.90% 16.53% 32.13% 21.00% 8.25% 27.34%
Didner & Gerge Aktiefond -1.34% -62.15% 54.64% 22.18% -16.71% 21.07% 25.12% 15.63% 16.41% 5.92% 13.61%
AM F Sverige -4.07% -64.81% 44.03% 17.59% -16.11% 9.46% 22.88% 14.48% 14.83% 0.02% 12.53%
AM F Världen 0.10% -53.77% 30.89% 11.11% -15.02% 9.81% 21.82% 16.09% 16.08% 3.87% 11.43%
Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension 2.32% -52.07% 28.27% 11.24% -10.00% 6.98% 17.85% 16.29% 13.10% 3.43% 15.85%
Swedbank Robur M edica -0.90% -19.98% 6.90% -4.86% 4.86% 12.74% 28.06% 29.47% 16.74% -3.78% -0.73%
Swedbank Robur Sverigefond M ega -1.27% -68.73% 49.83% 18.21% -20.76% 8.93% 23.18% 14.55% 14.16% 4.09% 16.60%
SPP Aktiefond Sverige -4.80% -61.59% 41.65% 17.18% -15.62% 10.79% 22.20% 14.92% 13.19% 0.48% 13.92%
Avanza Zero -0.49% -61.99% 44.44% 17.62% -15.27% 11.08% 21.97% 14.29% 8.79% 0.73% 10.98%
Swedbank Robur Globalfond M ega 4.11% -41.49% 15.70% 2.39% -6.60% 9.97% 19.93% 17.79% 17.30% 2.09% 16.73%
CWorldWide M edical -1.49% -30.92% 3.33% 15.74% 1.11% 22.17% 25.64% 30.32% 13.97% -17.36% 2.63%
Länsförsäkringar fastighetsfond -12.86% -72.42% 48.99% 30.46% -8.39% 14.45% 18.62% 28.49% 28.41% 10.28% 9.37%
SEB Läkemedelsfond 0.77% -13.35% 1.75% 0.86% 5.35% 15.65% 26.09% 33.36% 18.60% -6.46% 8.79%
Skagen Global 10.09% -51.48% 28.79% 20.38% -6.65% 7.51% 29.42% 9.81% 19.04% -4.16% 19.73%
SPP Aktiefond Europa 6.90% -48.54% 17.20% -6.42% -11.00% 1.62% 19.78% 11.93% 11.13% -2.81% 15.96%
SPP Aktiefond USA -4.04% -29.48% 7.10% 8.89% -0.64% 11.09% 24.56% 25.65% 19.43% 12.41% 9.48%
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki 20.96% -57.11% 54.02% 28.63% -16.22% 2.22% 20.08% 6.25% 6.02% -2.41% 25.41%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa 2.03% -72.18% 30.03% 11.61% -21.25% 18.03% 32.86% 8.52% 23.07% -5.26% 21.05%
Swedbank Robur Europafond M ega 9.68% -52.38% 19.70% -8.02% -12.57% 10.02% 18.93% 11.84% 12.80% -2.97% 18.34%
C Worldwide Global Equities 24.47% -63.00% 26.61% 3.85% -1.68% 15.32% 13.47% 11.67% 4.93% -10.13% 25.61%
Skandia Time Global 0.30% -43.79% 29.87% 13.77% 1.43% 7.62% 32.42% 20.95% 28.48% 17.52% 23.12%
Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond 15.57% -97.95% 50.56% 14.65% -16.04% 7.66% 2.27% -12.73% -4.89% 15.27% 14.09%
Lannebo Småbolag -7.16% -49.59% 47.11% 19.29% -13.41% 7.32% 31.70% 18.65% 31.19% 4.71% 15.77%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige -5.28% -76.21% 52.44% 16.04% -11.54% 9.12% 33.09% 13.10% 36.08% 1.38% 13.24%
Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond -6.55% -68.61% 50.23% 19.87% -8.04% 9.41% 32.67% 19.49% 33.04% 5.37% 12.77%
Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden -2.26% -41.18% 41.54% 9.73% -4.71% 10.85% 25.58% 9.93% 25.40% 13.00% 19.34%
AM F Aktiefond Europa 10.95% -52.43% 19.08% -12.52% -14.58% 11.19% 22.05% 12.73% 13.50% -2.48% 16.52%
Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond -8.24% -29.23% 24.29% 6.04% -6.53% 12.98% 25.34% 21.39% 15.47% -1.59% 12.21%
AM F Aktiefond Småbolag -7.45% -74.96% 55.08% 19.87% -9.79% 5.21% 33.07% 11.51% 32.31% 7.76% 11.72%
Carnegie Rysslandsfond 9.84% -101.74% 75.02% 14.03% -11.73% -4.06% 6.91% -19.45% 10.41% 22.87% 2.73%
Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond 21.27% -120.67% 73.66% 16.91% -13.25% -8.41% 7.89% -30.69% 7.60% 28.21% 7.96%
UBS Equity Fund - BioTech 8.60% -32.02% 31.37% 11.77% 4.02% 32.42% 42.46% 32.25% 4.58% -19.47% 20.06%
SEB Teknologifond 6.97% -37.14% 29.21% 8.57% 0.25% 7.58% 15.92% 24.39% 21.96% 8.94% 18.20%
Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema 23.01% -63.52% 43.63% 16.31% -18.95% 5.88% 6.22% 14.98% -0.18% 10.86% 22.18%
Swedbank Robur Nordenfond 10.69% -70.57% 38.28% 7.41% -15.48% 9.58% 13.64% 11.27% 19.61% -5.33% 12.62%
Baring Hong Kong China Fund 61.23% -89.12% 55.76% 4.61% -18.62% -0.08% 16.15% -4.46% 0.24% -1.37% 31.25%
East Capital Ryssland 17.20% -105.44% 64.91% 25.07% -16.52% -5.91% 2.66% -39.98% 2.28% 32.62% 9.34%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden -1.80% -74.34% 49.96% 13.36% -18.69% 12.36% 19.58% 4.69% 27.49% 4.45% 13.95%
Öhman Global Growth 3.24% -43.71% 27.13% 2.40% 0.18% 5.05% 20.79% 25.71% 32.35% 5.85% 23.50%
Skandia USA -6.85% -31.86% 7.48% 5.94% 0.38% 11.54% 26.56% 27.34% 18.29% 10.52% 10.25%
Skandia Världen -1.73% -43.26% 18.10% 5.15% -7.71% 5.93% 17.78% 14.76% 12.57% 3.95% 14.33%
Länsförsäkringar Europa Aktiv 1.66% -52.81% 15.52% -7.84% -11.96% 5.86% 16.90% 14.86% 11.74% -0.18% 13.61%
Blackrock Global Funds 28.51% -68.39% 76.64% 15.32% -2.14% -17.77% -67.58% -5.85% -26.01% 33.01% 6.92%
Länsförsäkringar Sverige Aktiv -4.62% -56.81% 36.82% 20.01% -14.97% 11.48% 16.75% 12.88% 22.13% 1.15% 16.94%
Aktiespararna Topp Sverige -5.15% -61.82% 40.13% 16.16% -16.16% 10.31% 21.69% 13.97% 8.52% 0.55% 10.76%
Lannebo Vision -2.89% -50.67% 29.80% 7.45% -2.42% 10.68% 21.34% 30.44% 34.32% 6.31% 16.85%
Handelsbanken Global Tema 1.56% -37.94% 14.12% 7.46% -10.91% 8.46% 16.88% 16.87% 17.89% 3.29% 18.58%
KPA Etisk Aktiefond -3.31% -50.29% 31.42% 6.62% -10.03% 6.04% 22.97% 17.44% 13.89% 1.73% 12.88%
Länsförsäkringar Global Hållbar 2.21% -43.40% 21.57% 1.56% -12.23% 9.34% 16.64% 15.72% 11.83% 6.86% 11.13%
SPP Aktiefond Japan -11.19% -26.53% -6.57% 5.01% -17.03% -4.09% 25.09% 12.75% 22.71% 7.09% 11.36%
Appendix
67
9.5 Yearly risk measurements
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.31% 0.4609 0.0030 0.28 10.99%
2008 22.70% 0.5807 0.0025 0.13 26.20%
2009 8.65% 0.0147 0.0171 2.14 5.94%
2010 16.63% 0.3740 0.0063 0.49 14.50%
2011 8.37% 0.1722 0.0014 0.21 10.04%
2012 11.05% 0.5187 0.0004 0.07 11.07%
2013 8.70% 0.2629 0.0092 1.05 7.06%
2014 7.65% 0.2760 0.0253 4.03 4.53%
2015 22.39% 1.3543 0.0188 2.00 15.80%
2016 17.91% 0.8935 0.0069 0.50 14.45%
2017 12.90% 1.4209 0.0001 0.01 7.60%
Average 13.57% 0.5753 0.0083 0.99 11.65%
Swedbank Robur Technology
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.11% 0.8280 -0.0071 -0.66 13.74%
2008 25.30% 0.6894 -0.0140 -0.68 34.52%
2009 26.41% 0.5749 0.0290 1.59 12.79%
2010 17.79% 0.8129 0.0159 2.64 12.77%
2011 20.83% 0.8855 -0.0119 -1.18 21.98%
2012 17.70% 0.9081 0.0097 1.18 13.79%
2013 11.43% 0.6076 0.0103 1.00 7.18%
2014 10.90% 0.8131 0.0086 1.48 8.89%
2015 16.53% 0.8116 0.0145 1.42 13.32%
2016 14.45% 1.0430 0.0050 0.55 13.75%
2017 10.86% 0.9759 -0.0042 -0.29 8.87%
Average 16.94% 0.8136 0.0051 0.64 14.69%
Didner & Gerge Aktiefond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 16.94% 1.1860 -0.0121 -1.07 16.38%
2008 30.08% 0.9025 -0.0045 -0.21 38.43%
2009 27.79% 0.5866 0.0198 1.01 16.22%
2010 16.24% 0.7253 0.0124 2.01 12.27%
2011 20.50% 0.8070 -0.0116 -1.01 21.82%
2012 14.98% 0.6764 0.0020 0.23 13.14%
2013 10.14% 0.8479 0.0042 0.67 7.39%
2014 7.93% 0.5709 0.0090 2.00 7.37%
2015 17.09% 0.9129 0.0132 1.40 13.98%
2016 12.27% 1.0473 0.0001 0.01 13.49%
2017 10.59% 0.8318 -0.0028 -0.19 9.65%
Average 16.78% 0.8268 0.0027 0.44 15.47%
AM F Sver ige
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.54% 1.0202 -0.0072 -0.74 14.23%
2008 24.86% 0.7627 -0.0030 -0.17 32.49%
2009 20.60% 0.4376 0.0132 0.91 12.84%
2010 14.76% 0.6540 0.0072 1.24 12.74%
2011 17.29% 0.7003 -0.0109 -1.19 19.37%
2012 11.45% 0.5290 0.0036 0.55 10.37%
2013 8.04% 0.6925 0.0061 1.29 6.26%
2014 7.19% 0.5498 0.0104 2.83 6.59%
2015 17.51% 0.9849 0.0143 1.62 14.38%
2016 11.28% 0.9117 0.0033 0.53 12.04%
2017 8.94% 0.9619 -0.0058 -0.50 8.57%
Average 14.22% 0.7459 0.0028 0.58 13.62%
AM F Vär lden
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.43% 0.7475 -0.0032 -0.34 12.08%
2008 22.68% 0.7801 -0.0006 -0.05 30.62%
2009 19.09% 0.4675 0.0101 0.86 11.77%
2010 12.55% 0.5203 0.0077 1.29 10.70%
2011 12.76% 0.5091 -0.0072 -1.03 15.49%
2012 11.52% 0.5939 0.0007 0.13 11.17%
2013 7.15% 0.6258 0.0039 0.98 6.09%
2014 7.65% 0.5855 0.0104 2.66 6.97%
2015 18.70% 1.0606 0.0119 1.28 15.72%
2016 12.87% 1.0035 0.0029 0.39 13.22%
2017 8.75% 0.9322 -0.0017 -0.15 6.97%
Average 13.29% 0.7115 0.0032 0.55 12.80%
Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.15% 0.2586 -0.0027 -0.29 11.81%
2008 15.57% 0.2609 -0.0023 -0.15 18.29%
2009 12.27% 0.0482 0.0044 0.39 11.60%
2010 8.90% -0.0933 -0.0038 -0.49 11.83%
2011 8.48% -0.0488 0.0039 0.53 9.41%
2012 7.04% 0.0806 0.0099 1.61 6.76%
2013 9.85% 0.3930 0.0165 1.74 6.47%
2014 7.54% 0.1207 0.0239 3.62 4.60%
2015 21.08% 1.0469 0.0150 1.17 17.17%
2016 13.84% 0.6785 -0.0031 -0.29 14.67%
2017 10.87% 0.7237 -0.0122 -0.79 11.17%
Average 11.42% 0.3154 0.0045 0.64 11.25%
Swedbank Robur M edica
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.19% 1.0486 -0.0086 -0.97 14.04%
2008 29.09% 1.0403 -0.0002 -0.01 38.58%
2009 27.77% 0.6672 0.0224 1.27 14.99%
2010 16.69% 0.7219 0.0129 1.81 12.29%
2011 18.81% 0.7428 -0.0156 -1.49 21.72%
2012 17.56% 0.8218 0.0003 0.03 16.03%
2013 9.96% 0.8150 0.0051 0.79 6.89%
2014 8.32% 0.6315 0.0087 2.02 7.55%
2015 17.24% 0.9563 0.0127 1.42 14.15%
2016 13.91% 1.1778 0.0035 0.49 14.03%
2017 11.27% 0.9970 -0.0021 -0.14 9.19%
Average 16.80% 0.8746 0.0036 0.47 15.40%
Swedbank Robur Sverigefond M ega
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.61% 0.8856 -0.0107 -0.88 15.62%
2008 28.93% 0.9421 0.0004 0.02 37.04%
2009 24.41% 0.4251 0.0225 1.18 14.75%
2010 14.98% 0.6216 0.0124 1.73 11.55%
2011 18.21% 0.8001 -0.0112 -1.37 20.37%
2012 15.24% 0.7536 0.0025 0.32 13.51%
2013 10.14% 0.8368 0.0039 0.60 7.35%
2014 7.28% 0.5014 0.0097 2.22 6.78%
2015 17.26% 0.9223 0.0119 1.24 14.22%
2016 12.70% 1.0804 0.0005 0.07 13.72%
2017 10.30% 0.9236 -0.0031 -0.22 9.16%
Average 15.91% 0.7902 0.0035 0.45 14.92%
SPP Aktiefond Sver ige
Appendix
68
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.58% 1.0501 -0.0079 -0.84 14.32%
2008 26.03% 0.8451 -0.0053 -0.32 35.14%
2009 22.63% 0.5972 0.0199 1.59 12.87%
2010 15.53% 0.6422 0.0127 1.69 11.72%
2011 16.21% 0.6097 -0.0114 -1.18 18.87%
2012 15.09% 0.7527 0.0027 0.36 13.14%
2013 9.86% 0.8705 0.0031 0.57 6.83%
2014 8.51% 0.6346 0.0085 1.86 7.85%
2015 17.82% 0.9251 0.0082 0.80 15.32%
2016 12.21% 0.9327 0.0007 0.09 13.27%
2017 10.45% 0.7242 -0.0024 -0.16 9.82%
Average 15.36% 0.7804 0.0026 0.41 14.47%
Avanza Zero
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.96% 0.5376 -0.0001 -0.01 10.73%
2008 19.72% 0.6215 -0.0005 -0.04 26.18%
2009 12.63% 0.2873 0.0048 0.57 9.50%
2010 10.80% 0.2983 0.0011 0.14 11.19%
2011 10.18% 0.3432 -0.0047 -0.71 13.09%
2012 6.52% 0.3454 0.0053 1.93 7.14%
2013 7.60% 0.4597 0.0086 1.33 6.16%
2014 8.77% 0.6594 0.0113 2.43 7.38%
2015 18.87% 1.0960 0.0155 1.74 14.98%
2016 11.43% 0.6873 0.0018 0.22 12.19%
2017 10.37% 1.2743 -0.0064 -0.49 7.51%
Average 11.62% 0.6009 0.0033 0.65 11.46%
Swedbank Robur Globalfond M ega
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 13.14% 0.8255 -0.0072 -0.75 13.51%
2008 17.57% 0.3884 -0.0045 -0.27 22.54%
2009 16.99% 0.2703 -0.0050 -0.36 16.78%
2010 11.37% 0.1277 0.0127 1.31 9.64%
2011 8.99% 0.2463 0.0015 0.22 10.58%
2012 10.24% 0.2894 0.0160 1.99 7.33%
2013 10.34% 0.3935 0.0145 1.44 6.48%
2014 10.27% 0.0831 0.0248 2.73 6.12%
2015 23.32% 1.0641 0.0127 0.83 20.27%
2016 17.93% 1.2233 -0.0144 -1.21 20.39%
2017 13.16% 0.2612 -0.0020 -0.10 12.45%
Average 13.94% 0.4702 0.0045 0.53 13.28%
CWor ldWide M edical
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 19.31% 0.7115 -0.0167 -0.99 20.74%
2008 26.60% 0.8646 -0.0129 -0.76 37.70%
2009 28.68% 0.2196 0.0345 1.34 12.69%
2010 19.52% 0.6815 0.0233 1.92 10.75%
2011 18.65% 0.7502 -0.0053 -0.53 17.65%
2012 13.88% 0.4820 0.0079 0.78 10.95%
2013 12.33% 0.6987 0.0033 0.31 9.91%
2014 11.61% 0.4440 0.0213 2.27 6.99%
2015 21.33% 0.9241 0.0246 1.69 12.83%
2016 16.44% 1.1213 0.0086 0.80 14.05%
2017 12.16% 1.8316 -0.0214 -1.56 10.84%
Average 18.23% 0.7936 0.0061 0.48 15.01%
Länsförsäkr ingar Fastighetsfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.58% 0.2592 -0.0011 -0.12 11.56%
2008 15.26% 0.1136 -0.0049 -0.29 16.57%
2009 12.01% -0.0398 0.0026 0.24 12.36%
2010 8.55% -0.1177 0.0011 0.15 10.41%
2011 8.17% -0.1063 0.0042 0.61 9.27%
2012 7.01% 0.0483 0.0126 2.04 6.40%
2013 9.91% 0.3992 0.0148 1.55 6.75%
2014 6.65% 0.1009 0.0273 4.68 3.54%
2015 21.01% 1.0082 0.0165 1.25 17.71%
2016 15.09% 0.8269 -0.0053 -0.47 15.92%
2017 11.39% 0.8029 -0.0055 -0.34 9.73%
Average 11.42% 0.2996 0.0057 0.84 10.93%
SEB Läkemedelsfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.31% 0.6902 0.0043 0.51 9.43%
2008 18.16% 0.6870 -0.0052 -0.86 27.83%
2009 24.53% 0.7805 0.0016 0.27 16.97%
2010 11.96% 0.4219 0.0157 2.13 8.98%
2011 14.67% 0.6154 -0.0042 -0.57 15.61%
2012 12.19% 0.6405 0.0007 0.13 11.88%
2013 4.61% 0.1257 0.0223 4.81 2.31%
2014 8.67% 0.5886 0.0050 0.94 8.70%
2015 18.54% 0.9630 0.0168 1.57 13.99%
2016 13.81% 0.9214 -0.0034 -0.37 15.03%
2017 10.31% 0.5142 0.0082 0.56 8.42%
Average 13.52% 0.6317 0.0056 0.83 12.65%
Skagen Global
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.54% 0.5444 0.0024 0.25 10.72%
2008 19.49% 0.6300 -0.0059 -0.47 27.99%
2009 16.63% 0.4001 0.0028 0.27 12.70%
2010 15.05% 0.5410 -0.0070 -0.78 15.36%
2011 15.68% 0.7396 -0.0075 -1.41 17.85%
2012 13.06% 0.5171 -0.0031 -0.36 13.55%
2013 8.99% 0.6553 0.0050 0.75 7.20%
2014 7.83% 0.6165 0.0066 1.76 7.86%
2015 19.57% 1.1170 0.0103 1.08 16.52%
2016 11.44% 0.7516 -0.0023 -0.29 13.16%
2017 9.74% 1.1257 -0.0047 -0.37 8.45%
Average 13.55% 0.6944 -0.0003 0.04 13.76%
SPP Aktiefond Europa
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.58% 0.5593 -0.0076 -0.72 13.53%
2008 19.03% 0.4726 0.0014 0.08 23.00%
2009 12.67% 0.0362 0.0049 0.42 10.95%
2010 14.13% 0.2309 0.0067 0.57 12.64%
2011 10.19% 0.3095 0.0002 0.02 11.60%
2012 4.94% 0.1124 0.0083 2.03 5.79%
2013 10.27% 0.4177 0.0132 1.33 7.37%
2014 7.25% 0.3849 0.0193 3.64 4.57%
2015 18.87% 1.0676 0.0172 1.82 14.45%
2016 13.72% 0.8007 0.0104 1.05 11.66%
2017 11.32% 1.2291 -0.0117 -0.79 9.57%
Average 12.27% 0.5110 0.0056 0.86 11.38%
SPP Aktiefond USA
Appendix
69
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.75% 0.9478 0.0123 1.16 9.00%
2008 25.21% 0.8972 0.0016 0.13 33.29%
2009 25.08% 0.7563 0.0233 2.50 11.62%
2010 13.09% 0.4714 0.0224 2.84 8.71%
2011 19.17% 0.7435 -0.0119 -1.08 20.34%
2012 13.63% 0.6557 -0.0038 -0.53 13.20%
2013 6.95% 0.1708 0.0137 1.95 5.33%
2014 13.74% 0.7040 0.0014 0.14 12.62%
2015 17.38% 0.9218 0.0059 0.61 15.83%
2016 15.85% 1.2270 -0.0019 -0.21 16.07%
2017 10.34% 0.6955 0.0101 0.69 6.22%
Average 15.93% 0.7446 0.0067 0.75 13.84%
Skagen Kon-Tiki
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 19.23% 0.8558 -0.0042 -0.26 17.28%
2008 28.21% 0.9937 -0.0056 -0.39 38.74%
2009 15.54% 0.2979 0.0165 1.41 8.97%
2010 19.03% 0.7953 0.0072 0.80 15.13%
2011 18.52% 0.7958 -0.0159 -1.81 21.77%
2012 14.61% 0.7472 0.0085 1.25 11.67%
2013 7.28% 0.4583 0.0194 3.20 3.31%
2014 11.24% 0.8335 0.0026 0.43 10.82%
2015 15.65% 0.8500 0.0200 2.37 12.30%
2016 18.08% 1.2552 -0.0043 -0.36 18.35%
2017 10.10% 1.2875 -0.0030 -0.24 7.37%
Average 16.14% 0.8336 0.0037 0.58 15.06%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.43% 0.6907 0.0039 0.53 9.54%
2008 19.73% 0.6687 -0.0070 -0.61 28.77%
2009 18.35% 0.5007 0.0020 0.21 13.70%
2010 14.49% 0.5532 -0.0084 -1.04 15.09%
2011 13.81% 0.5609 -0.0092 -1.25 16.87%
2012 12.24% 0.6854 0.0024 0.60 11.53%
2013 9.34% 0.6323 0.0047 0.64 7.47%
2014 7.96% 0.6518 0.0063 1.85 7.94%
2015 18.15% 1.0769 0.0117 1.44 15.44%
2016 10.90% 0.6084 -0.0024 -0.30 12.73%
2017 9.36% 1.0187 -0.0010 -0.08 7.74%
Average 13.16% 0.6952 0.0003 0.18 13.35%
Swedbank Robur Europafond M ega
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.78% 0.9719 0.0153 2.52 7.84%
2008 23.21% 0.8865 -0.0039 -0.55 33.52%
2009 23.28% 0.7423 0.0009 0.16 17.82%
2010 18.79% 0.8668 0.0005 0.08 16.42%
2011 21.56% 1.0002 0.0008 0.11 18.80%
2012 15.57% 0.8842 0.0051 1.12 13.47%
2013 8.74% 0.8418 -0.0035 -1.03 8.23%
2014 9.19% 0.7800 0.0055 1.61 8.80%
2015 14.58% 0.9088 0.0050 0.91 13.60%
2016 11.32% 0.9809 -0.0084 -1.52 14.37%
2017 4.36% 0.5688 0.0123 2.29 2.55%
Average 14.76% 0.8575 0.0027 0.52 14.13%
CWorldWide Global Equities
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.28% 0.7207 -0.0048 -0.38 15.08%
2008 28.35% 0.8224 0.0086 0.40 32.33%
2009 12.07% -0.0146 0.0253 2.27 5.63%
2010 15.18% 0.4153 0.0102 0.92 11.67%
2011 10.53% 0.3698 0.0020 0.30 11.13%
2012 9.50% 0.4078 0.0028 0.48 9.52%
2013 8.60% 0.1611 0.0242 2.74 3.76%
2014 5.00% 0.3767 0.0154 5.86 4.31%
2015 23.46% 1.4005 0.0251 2.44 15.32%
2016 17.60% 1.0518 0.0147 1.16 12.62%
2017 12.21% 1.4909 -0.0045 -0.30 8.12%
Average 14.34% 0.6548 0.0108 1.44 11.77%
Skandia Time Global
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.32% 0.4148 0.0112 0.87 9.76%
2008 40.38% 1.4888 0.0001 0.00 51.92%
2009 34.27% 0.7911 0.0194 0.86 19.67%
2010 19.11% 0.6387 0.0102 0.83 14.03%
2011 23.25% 0.9056 -0.0113 -0.86 24.18%
2012 25.81% 1.2885 -0.0048 -0.37 19.99%
2013 12.63% 0.9383 -0.0145 -1.58 12.09%
2014 24.81% 0.5505 -0.0136 -0.63 21.80%
2015 20.53% 1.0535 -0.0031 -0.26 18.81%
2016 15.84% 0.9269 0.0128 1.12 14.11%
2017 8.78% 0.6639 0.0011 0.09 7.52%
Average 21.79% 0.8782 0.0007 0.01 19.44%
Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 13.93% 0.8668 -0.0127 -1.24 15.21%
2008 24.76% 0.8402 0.0048 0.33 31.49%
2009 22.08% 0.3664 0.0287 1.63 6.80%
2010 15.96% 0.7554 0.0137 3.29 11.21%
2011 20.90% 0.8769 -0.0092 -0.88 21.13%
2012 13.61% 0.6469 0.0005 0.07 12.53%
2013 11.69% 0.4629 0.0183 1.62 6.29%
2014 11.00% 0.7868 0.0113 1.80 9.05%
2015 14.55% 0.7495 0.0267 3.16 9.95%
2016 12.51% 1.0077 0.0040 0.58 12.63%
2017 10.60% 1.3729 -0.0088 -0.67 8.77%
Average 15.60% 0.7938 0.0070 0.88 13.19%
Lannebo Småbolag
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.39% 0.9286 -0.0114 -0.99 15.70%
2008 31.33% 1.1155 -0.0023 -0.15 41.59%
2009 26.89% 0.6273 0.0257 1.46 12.76%
2010 16.56% 0.7037 0.0112 1.50 12.09%
2011 20.42% 0.8231 -0.0078 -0.71 20.33%
2012 14.15% 0.5826 0.0025 0.28 12.41%
2013 9.69% 0.5113 0.0186 2.14 4.74%
2014 12.06% 0.8877 0.0061 0.93 10.68%
2015 15.55% 0.7007 0.0307 2.98 9.60%
2016 15.56% 1.0614 0.0012 0.12 15.37%
2017 11.32% 1.5019 -0.0129 -0.94 9.62%
Average 17.17% 0.8585 0.0056 0.60 14.99%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige
Appendix
70
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.02% 0.9073 -0.0124 -1.10 15.88%
2008 27.26% 0.9256 -0.0064 -0.41 37.28%
2009 25.21% 0.3716 0.0312 1.50 9.63%
2010 18.65% 0.8083 0.0140 1.77 12.95%
2011 22.13% 0.8853 -0.0047 -0.39 20.02%
2012 15.22% 0.6606 0.0021 0.23 13.53%
2013 10.54% 0.6143 0.0165 1.81 5.45%
2014 10.98% 0.7185 0.0124 1.77 8.77%
2015 17.77% 1.0081 0.0285 3.23 11.26%
2016 14.60% 1.2010 0.0046 0.58 14.24%
2017 11.22% 1.5277 -0.0137 -1.02 9.81%
Average 17.15% 0.8753 0.0065 0.72 14.44%
Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.43% 0.7998 -0.0077 -0.87 13.37%
2008 19.47% 0.6731 0.0026 0.25 26.45%
2009 17.27% 0.0836 0.0322 2.04 8.20%
2010 15.26% 0.6655 0.0060 0.95 13.63%
2011 19.25% 0.8226 -0.0021 -0.23 18.32%
2012 12.34% 0.5771 0.0040 0.58 10.10%
2013 8.03% 0.5546 0.0116 1.85 5.19%
2014 9.97% 0.7071 0.0045 0.77 9.45%
2015 15.27% 0.7834 0.0219 2.46 11.28%
2016 11.84% 0.9558 0.0109 1.66 10.27%
2017 10.13% 1.2465 -0.0038 -0.30 7.96%
Average 13.75% 0.7154 0.0073 0.83 12.20%
Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.65% 0.9045 0.0035 0.43 10.75%
2008 22.85% 0.7043 -0.0050 -0.32 30.93%
2009 25.00% 0.6062 -0.0015 -0.10 19.41%
2010 18.90% 0.7559 -0.0128 -1.31 19.56%
2011 19.09% 0.8266 -0.0103 -1.16 21.08%
2012 15.91% 0.7647 0.0027 0.32 13.85%
2013 9.43% 0.6499 0.0070 0.95 7.04%
2014 7.47% 0.5391 0.0077 1.82 7.30%
2015 19.03% 1.0707 0.0123 1.27 15.97%
2016 11.94% 0.7132 -0.0020 -0.24 13.46%
2017 9.83% 1.2857 -0.0068 -0.56 8.40%
Average 15.65% 0.8019 -0.0005 0.10 15.25%
AM F Aktiefond Europa
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.53% 0.7212 -0.0126 -1.50 14.28%
2008 16.91% 0.3832 -0.0033 -0.22 22.10%
2009 11.43% 0.3006 0.0116 1.83 7.63%
2010 8.27% 0.2916 0.0041 0.81 9.22%
2011 11.48% 0.3209 -0.0047 -0.56 13.99%
2012 7.95% 0.3522 0.0078 1.62 7.70%
2013 7.89% 0.6207 0.0103 1.91 5.27%
2014 6.79% 0.5048 0.0151 4.12 5.25%
2015 19.47% 0.9736 0.0138 1.18 15.97%
2016 12.20% 0.8575 -0.0013 -0.16 13.27%
2017 10.21% 1.1618 -0.0084 -0.64 8.79%
Average 11.28% 0.5898 0.0029 0.76 11.23%
Öhman Hjär t-Lungfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 17.33% 1.1182 -0.0147 -1.19 17.66%
2008 30.84% 1.0335 -0.0058 -0.31 41.02%
2009 28.26% 0.6331 0.0277 1.45 12.09%
2010 19.10% 0.8296 0.0140 1.73 13.15%
2011 22.23% 0.8754 -0.0062 -0.50 20.90%
2012 17.08% 0.6873 -0.0016 -0.14 15.07%
2013 8.87% 0.4344 0.0200 2.44 4.80%
2014 10.71% 0.6848 0.0059 0.85 9.90%
2015 17.93% 1.0343 0.0279 3.24 11.47%
2016 14.47% 1.2204 0.0066 0.88 13.78%
2017 11.26% 1.4061 -0.0127 -0.90 10.00%
Average 18.01% 0.9052 0.0056 0.69 15.44%
AM F Aktiefond Småbolag
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.08% -0.0455 0.0093 0.97 8.48%
2008 43.58% 1.4616 -0.0046 -0.18 54.38%
2009 38.18% 0.4484 0.0496 1.51 18.19%
2010 20.53% 0.5672 0.0099 0.66 14.78%
2011 29.38% 1.1058 -0.0073 -0.42 27.99%
2012 24.32% 1.2491 -0.0142 -1.26 21.85%
2013 10.88% 0.6785 -0.0061 -0.67 10.69%
2014 27.20% 0.5120 -0.0190 -0.80 25.42%
2015 27.93% 1.2574 0.0099 0.53 20.50%
2016 16.70% 0.9875 0.0191 1.59 13.75%
2017 13.00% 0.2825 -0.0022 -0.12 12.93%
Average 23.80% 0.7731 0.0040 0.17 20.81%
Carnegie Rysslandsfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.64% 0.0226 0.0192 1.60 7.77%
2008 49.98% 1.7112 -0.0067 -0.24 62.87%
2009 40.50% 0.5191 0.0465 1.35 20.42%
2010 19.86% 0.5621 0.0123 0.86 13.60%
2011 31.39% 1.2302 -0.0083 -0.47 30.27%
2012 27.74% 1.4078 -0.0192 -1.45 24.92%
2013 11.95% 0.8039 -0.0075 -0.79 10.87%
2014 31.73% 0.6565 -0.0291 -1.06 30.40%
2015 31.64% 1.3753 0.0077 0.36 23.49%
2016 20.20% 1.1683 0.0236 1.61 16.08%
2017 13.85% 0.2104 0.0033 0.16 12.02%
Average 26.50% 0.8789 0.0038 0.18 22.97%
Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.93% 1.2444 -0.0010 -0.11 13.48%
2008 27.18% 0.6656 0.0098 0.41 28.83%
2009 30.14% 0.7022 0.0060 0.30 20.82%
2010 24.48% 1.0587 0.0065 0.62 20.17%
2011 22.38% 0.9288 0.0054 0.47 18.33%
2012 20.86% 0.8181 0.0199 1.42 13.50%
2013 20.16% 1.2963 0.0127 0.77 11.45%
2014 25.68% 0.4359 0.0245 1.09 16.46%
2015 25.33% 1.2800 0.0050 0.33 21.61%
2016 31.74% 2.8299 -0.0160 -1.11 31.24%
2017 17.40% -0.0635 0.0177 0.69 12.87%
Average 23.75% 1.0179 0.0082 0.44 18.98%
UBS Equity Fund - BioTech
Appendix
71
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.90% 0.6531 0.0017 0.13 13.04%
2008 27.29% 0.6806 0.0064 0.27 29.39%
2009 13.21% -0.0534 0.0259 2.14 7.15%
2010 16.65% 0.3221 0.0061 0.46 14.32%
2011 9.14% 0.2118 0.0007 0.10 10.55%
2012 10.23% 0.4550 0.0024 0.39 10.02%
2013 8.74% 0.1874 0.0100 1.12 7.67%
2014 6.72% 0.2616 0.0189 3.48 4.76%
2015 20.34% 1.2672 0.0195 2.55 14.52%
2016 17.25% 0.8238 0.0075 0.56 14.25%
2017 12.91% 1.2941 -0.0055 -0.32 8.80%
Average 14.31% 0.5548 0.0085 0.99 12.22%
SEB Teknologifond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.97% 0.7788 0.0154 1.28 10.73%
2008 26.01% 0.8330 -0.0072 -0.42 35.12%
2009 16.51% 0.3806 0.0254 2.34 6.87%
2010 12.51% 0.3349 0.0125 1.36 8.84%
2011 19.06% 0.6999 -0.0142 -1.23 21.29%
2012 14.16% 0.4127 0.0013 0.12 11.37%
2013 10.43% 0.5124 -0.0038 -0.39 10.46%
2014 12.50% 0.6615 0.0089 0.97 10.86%
2015 19.94% 0.9949 0.0008 0.07 18.63%
2016 13.94% 0.7227 0.0091 0.86 12.37%
2017 7.46% 0.4801 0.0108 1.02 5.07%
Average 15.23% 0.6192 0.0054 0.54 13.78%
Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.82% 1.0114 0.0025 0.35 10.85%
2008 28.73% 1.0299 -0.0023 -0.17 38.72%
2009 22.18% 0.4894 0.0178 1.17 11.83%
2010 15.00% 0.6464 0.0042 0.64 13.59%
2011 17.52% 0.7474 -0.0112 -1.33 19.70%
2012 16.32% 0.9104 0.0001 0.02 14.77%
2013 10.72% 0.7826 -0.0023 -0.29 8.64%
2014 8.13% 0.5901 0.0062 1.36 7.74%
2015 15.52% 0.7992 0.0171 1.90 12.68%
2016 13.97% 1.0774 -0.0044 -0.53 15.31%
2017 9.11% 0.9175 -0.0041 -0.34 8.34%
Average 15.46% 0.8183 0.0021 0.25 14.74%
Swedbank Robur Nordenfond
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 28.24% 1.0953 0.0479 1.95 17.02%
2008 36.27% 0.7167 -0.0349 -1.00 46.92%
2009 30.88% 0.8413 0.0223 1.39 17.98%
2010 18.79% 0.7977 0.0014 0.16 16.71%
2011 31.51% 1.3343 -0.0125 -0.81 29.71%
2012 18.42% 0.6775 -0.0059 -0.46 17.14%
2013 15.45% 0.9194 -0.0026 -0.20 13.04%
2014 14.29% 0.5116 -0.0065 -0.55 15.24%
2015 28.32% 1.3041 0.0014 0.08 24.37%
2016 19.34% 1.5885 -0.0010 -0.10 18.21%
2017 10.98% -0.0755 0.0272 1.69 7.58%
Average 22.95% 0.8828 0.0033 0.20 20.36%
Baring Hong Kong China Fund
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.80% -0.1406 0.0166 1.64 7.87%
2008 46.80% 1.6082 0.0004 0.01 57.68%
2009 40.75% 0.3916 0.0428 1.19 21.75%
2010 20.85% 0.6545 0.0189 1.33 14.03%
2011 31.53% 1.2642 -0.0109 -0.64 30.53%
2012 31.72% 1.7020 -0.0197 -1.54 28.07%
2013 12.25% 0.9311 -0.0141 -1.62 12.31%
2014 34.16% 0.6041 -0.0366 -1.23 33.84%
2015 34.14% 1.4199 0.0033 0.14 26.34%
2016 20.77% 1.2989 0.0273 1.88 16.76%
2017 14.81% 0.1737 0.0050 0.23 11.80%
Average 27.14% 0.9007 0.0030 0.13 23.73%
East Capital Ryssland
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.73% 0.9365 -0.0083 -0.78 14.80%
2008 30.18% 1.0654 -0.0035 -0.23 40.49%
2009 22.06% 0.4056 0.0300 1.77 9.82%
2010 18.64% 0.8122 0.0086 1.10 16.01%
2011 22.92% 0.9733 -0.0134 -1.20 23.81%
2012 18.10% 0.9474 0.0021 0.26 14.69%
2013 10.54% 0.6252 0.0054 0.60 7.80%
2014 12.52% 0.9575 -0.0013 -0.20 12.17%
2015 13.45% 0.6079 0.0235 2.64 10.21%
2016 13.08% 0.8835 0.0038 0.43 13.09%
2017 10.79% 1.3894 -0.0106 -0.79 9.26%
Average 17.00% 0.8731 0.0033 0.33 15.65%
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.98% 0.9880 -0.0041 -0.39 13.80%
2008 21.05% 0.6841 0.0011 0.08 27.65%
2009 17.14% -0.0184 0.0231 1.46 8.31%
2010 15.91% 0.4875 0.0005 0.04 15.83%
2011 13.82% 0.5731 0.0014 0.20 13.72%
2012 10.49% 0.3882 0.0008 0.11 10.69%
2013 5.45% 0.2342 0.0132 2.55 4.24%
2014 12.15% 0.6099 0.0181 1.99 7.20%
2015 18.87% 1.1276 0.0280 3.40 13.67%
2016 14.55% 0.8984 0.0049 0.48 13.54%
2017 11.16% 1.5921 -0.0058 -0.45 7.27%
Average 14.14% 0.6877 0.0074 0.86 12.36%
Öhman Global Growth
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 12.31% 0.6937 -0.0112 -1.17 14.32%
2008 19.40% 0.5205 0.0020 0.13 23.89%
2009 10.74% 0.0364 0.0052 0.53 10.05%
2010 12.65% 0.2645 0.0041 0.41 12.31%
2011 10.29% 0.2647 0.0009 0.12 11.35%
2012 5.74% 0.1995 0.0079 1.89 6.43%
2013 10.48% 0.4883 0.0136 1.39 7.09%
2014 6.69% 0.3974 0.0206 4.49 3.94%
2015 19.22% 1.0491 0.0162 1.58 14.56%
2016 15.47% 0.9879 0.0088 0.83 13.28%
2017 11.50% 1.1482 -0.0098 -0.64 9.41%
Average 12.23% 0.5500 0.0053 0.87 11.51%
Skandia USA
Appendix
72
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.73% 0.6495 -0.0062 -0.67 12.94%
2008 19.66% 0.6253 -0.0017 -0.13 26.81%
2009 11.92% 0.2246 0.0086 0.96 7.98%
2010 10.75% 0.3591 0.0032 0.46 10.65%
2011 11.89% 0.4782 -0.0054 -0.83 14.16%
2012 9.59% 0.4682 0.0009 0.18 9.81%
2013 6.82% 0.4888 0.0063 1.22 5.70%
2014 9.48% 0.5983 0.0091 1.46 8.29%
2015 17.80% 1.0555 0.0115 1.44 14.86%
2016 12.02% 0.7765 0.0033 0.41 11.74%
2017 10.27% 1.2141 -0.0074 -0.57 7.97%
Average 11.99% 0.6307 0.0020 0.35 11.90%
Skandia Vär ldenSt.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.09% 0.6391 -0.0030 -0.36 11.59%
2008 17.80% 0.5665 -0.0129 -1.09 27.97%
2009 17.24% 0.2991 0.0043 0.32 13.52%
2010 13.25% 0.5521 -0.0083 -1.31 15.00%
2011 14.64% 0.6388 -0.0085 -1.28 17.00%
2012 11.51% 0.4654 0.0008 0.11 11.72%
2013 8.43% 0.5039 0.0053 0.73 6.91%
2014 8.27% 0.6012 0.0091 1.97 7.61%
2015 18.11% 0.8916 0.0106 0.96 14.93%
2016 8.68% 0.5351 -0.0001 -0.02 10.80%
2017 10.77% 1.2323 -0.0083 -0.60 9.50%
Average 12.71% 0.6296 -0.0010 -0.05 13.32%
Länsförsäkr ingar Europa Aktiv
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 28.15% 1.6997 0.0139 0.66 11.93%
2008 53.94% 0.8302 -0.0114 -0.21 56.68%
2009 43.67% 0.8060 0.0407 1.22 17.30%
2010 21.79% 0.3093 0.0118 0.65 18.24%
2011 29.50% 0.6519 -0.0003 -0.01 26.79%
2012 29.67% 0.9621 -0.0231 -1.04 26.40%
2013 34.12% 0.6137 -0.0671 -1.91 40.57%
2014 34.80% 0.9089 -0.0098 -0.33 29.45%
2015 27.60% 0.2304 -0.0215 -0.90 28.21%
2016 51.13% 0.5000 0.0275 0.62 32.09%
2017 18.22% -0.3534 0.0114 0.43 14.28%
Average 33.87% 0.6508 -0.0025 -0.08 27.45%
Blackrock Global Funds
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.66% 1.1302 -0.0122 -1.42 15.42%
2008 24.04% 0.7829 -0.0044 -0.29 32.77%
2009 22.14% 0.3732 0.0200 1.14 13.13%
2010 14.88% 0.6555 0.0146 2.45 11.33%
2011 17.94% 0.7552 -0.0108 -1.21 19.77%
2012 16.53% 0.8005 0.0026 0.30 14.58%
2013 9.92% 0.7657 0.0006 0.08 8.10%
2014 8.46% 0.5648 0.0077 1.46 7.93%
2015 16.39% 0.8774 0.0193 2.13 12.15%
2016 12.26% 1.0746 0.0010 0.18 13.29%
2017 10.76% 0.9466 -0.0010 -0.07 8.76%
Average 15.27% 0.7933 0.0034 0.43 14.29%
Länsförsäkr ingar Sverige Aktiv
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 15.85% 1.1623 -0.0129 -1.29 16.32%
2008 26.06% 0.8428 -0.0053 -0.31 35.12%
2009 23.80% 0.6721 0.0141 1.25 14.39%
2010 15.84% 0.6403 0.0115 1.43 12.16%
2011 16.29% 0.6047 -0.0121 -1.24 19.11%
2012 15.23% 0.7478 0.0021 0.27 13.35%
2013 9.87% 0.8696 0.0029 0.53 6.93%
2014 8.53% 0.6345 0.0082 1.79 7.92%
2015 17.82% 0.9265 0.0080 0.78 15.36%
2016 12.22% 0.9347 0.0005 0.07 13.31%
2017 10.46% 0.7401 -0.0028 -0.19 9.86%
Average 15.63% 0.7978 0.0013 0.28 14.89%
Aktiespararna Topp Sverige
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 14.74% 0.7554 -0.0080 -0.67 15.20%
2008 30.56% 0.6980 -0.0039 -0.14 35.29%
2009 12.92% 0.1535 0.0204 1.84 4.56%
2010 14.02% 0.4603 0.0048 0.52 13.36%
2011 11.30% 0.3322 -0.0013 -0.16 12.59%
2012 10.29% 0.4269 0.0052 0.78 9.44%
2013 8.27% 0.2516 0.0134 1.62 6.25%
2014 7.01% 0.2739 0.0239 4.22 3.95%
2015 17.50% 1.0082 0.0296 3.51 11.69%
2016 15.10% 0.6875 0.0053 0.45 13.47%
2017 11.98% 1.1866 -0.0049 -0.31 8.35%
Average 13.97% 0.5667 0.0077 1.06 12.20%
Lannebo Vision
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 11.76% 0.7469 -0.0039 -0.46 11.74%
2008 18.98% 0.5667 -0.0005 -0.04 25.32%
2009 13.29% 0.2551 0.0044 0.44 10.08%
2010 11.11% 0.3517 0.0051 0.68 10.39%
2011 12.83% 0.4788 -0.0080 -1.04 15.48%
2012 8.56% 0.3987 0.0036 0.74 8.26%
2013 7.11% 0.4960 0.0054 0.98 6.20%
2014 6.69% 0.4489 0.0116 2.81 6.04%
2015 18.23% 1.0360 0.0159 1.76 14.90%
2016 11.77% 0.7032 0.0028 0.33 11.61%
2017 8.94% 0.9567 0.0002 0.02 6.22%
Average 11.75% 0.5854 0.0033 0.57 11.48%
Handelsbanken Global Tema
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.63% 0.7944 -0.0086 -1.32 12.60%
2008 20.58% 0.6189 -0.0079 -0.53 28.81%
2009 17.92% 0.4501 0.0133 1.24 11.10%
2010 11.55% 0.4979 0.0040 0.79 10.79%
2011 11.83% 0.4771 -0.0073 -1.15 14.71%
2012 10.09% 0.5366 0.0004 0.09 10.42%
2013 7.49% 0.6509 0.0078 1.81 5.69%
2014 6.81% 0.5242 0.0117 3.40 6.08%
2015 17.25% 0.9666 0.0125 1.42 14.37%
2016 11.73% 0.8770 0.0015 0.21 12.72%
2017 8.76% 1.0197 -0.0055 -0.49 8.06%
Average 12.24% 0.6740 0.0020 0.50 12.31%
KPA Etisk Aktiefond
Appendix
73
9.6 Yearly risk measurement ranking
St.Dev Beta Downside.Dev
AP7 Aktiefond 26 4 32Swedbank Robur Technology 36 43 44Didner & Gerge Aktiefond 13 16 19AM F Sver ige 15 14 9AM F Vär lden 31 25 28Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension 39 28 34Swedbank Robur M edica 50 49 49Swedbank Robur Sver igefond M ega 14 9 11SPP Aktiefond Sverige 18 22 16Avanza Zero 23 23 20Swedbank Robur Globalfond M ega 48 40 47CWor ldWide M edical 34 48 31Länsförsäkr ingar fastighetsfond 8 20 14SEB Läkemedelsfond 49 51 51Skagen Global 38 36 35SPP Aktiefond Europa 37 30 27SPP Aktiefond USA 42 47 48SKAGEN Kon-Tiki 17 26 25Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa 16 13 13Swedbank Robur Europafond M ega 40 29 29C Wor ldwide Global Equities 27 12 24Skandia Time Global 29 34 43Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond 7 7 6Lannebo Småbolag 21 19 33Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige 10 11 15Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond 11 8 21Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden 35 27 39AM F Aktiefond Europa 19 17 12Öhman Hjär t-Lungfond 51 41 50AM F Aktiefond Småbolag 9 2 10Carnegie Rysslandsfond 4 24 4Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond 3 6 3UBS Equity Fund - BioTech 5 1 7SEB Teknologifond 30 45 38Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema 25 39 26Swedbank Robur Nordenfond 22 15 18Bar ing Hong Kong China Fund 6 5 5East Capital Ryssland 2 3 2Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden 12 10 8Öhman Global Growth 32 31 36Skandia USA 44 46 45Skandia Vär lden 45 37 42Länsförsäkr ingar Europa Aktiv 41 38 30Blackrock Global Funds 1 35 1Länsförsäkr ingar Sver ige Aktiv 24 21 22Aktiespararna Topp Sver ige 20 18 17Lannebo Vision 33 44 40Handelsbanken Global Tema 47 42 46KPA Etisk Aktiefond 43 32 37Länsförsäkr ingar Global Hållbar 46 33 41SPP Aktiefond Japan 28 50 23
St.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 10.70% 0.7403 -0.0032 -0.45 11.19%
2008 18.44% 0.5737 -0.0047 -0.37 26.20%
2009 13.23% 0.1818 0.0128 1.15 7.99%
2010 11.91% 0.4833 -0.0002 -0.03 12.67%
2011 12.89% 0.5541 -0.0090 -1.46 15.68%
2012 10.70% 0.5083 0.0034 0.58 10.30%
2013 7.49% 0.6052 0.0033 0.67 6.64%
2014 6.72% 0.5132 0.0103 2.99 6.34%
2015 16.84% 0.9684 0.0108 1.33 14.66%
2016 12.84% 1.0032 0.0058 0.78 12.45%
2017 10.02% 1.2302 -0.0104 -0.82 8.70%
Average 11.98% 0.6692 0.0017 0.40 12.07%
Länsförsäkr ingar Global HållbarSt.Dev Beta Alpha Alpha Significance Downside.Dev
2007 13.06% -0.2063 -0.0087 -0.71 15.57%
2008 18.32% 0.3070 -0.0053 -0.28 21.56%
2009 14.06% 0.1248 -0.0091 -0.72 15.81%
2010 13.69% -0.1299 0.0046 0.39 12.61%
2011 19.21% 0.1293 -0.0139 -0.83 21.55%
2012 10.55% 0.3211 -0.0062 -0.76 12.91%
2013 14.42% 0.1015 0.0191 1.27 10.61%
2014 10.41% 0.2411 0.0093 1.04 8.51%
2015 18.79% 0.9367 0.0198 1.75 15.10%
2016 16.03% 0.5017 0.0059 0.44 13.64%
2017 11.22% 1.1327 -0.0086 -0.58 8.83%
Average 14.52% 0.3145 0.0006 0.09 14.25%
SPP Aktiefond Japan
Appendix
74
9.7 Yearly risk-adjusted return measurements
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.2256 0.0602 0.2525
2008 -1.7339 -0.6730 -1.5021
2009 1.9476 12.1022 2.8375
2010 0.2897 0.1631 0.3322
2011 -0.3512 -0.0791 -0.2926
2012 0.1574 0.0832 0.1572
2013 1.4209 0.5480 1.7513
2014 3.6558 1.1018 6.1760
2015 0.7519 0.1498 1.0655
2016 0.2280 0.0864 0.2825
2017 1.7967 0.1878 3.0513
Average 0.7626 1.2482 1.2828
Swedbank Robur Technology
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.3903 -0.0665 -0.4010
2008 -2.6209 -0.9582 -1.9214
2009 1.9116 0.8940 3.9461
2010 1.0125 0.2374 1.4110
2011 -1.0020 -0.2179 -0.9497
2012 0.9550 0.2145 1.2259
2013 1.8334 0.3785 2.9172
2014 1.0511 0.1711 1.2888
2015 0.7404 0.1933 0.9191
2016 0.1217 0.0517 0.1279
2017 0.8693 0.1327 1.0644
Average 0.4074 0.0937 0.8753
Didner & Gerge Aktiefond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.4863 -0.0695 -0.5032
2008 -2.2931 -0.7614 -1.7951
2009 1.4346 0.6953 2.4583
2010 0.8266 0.2028 1.0941
2011 -0.9889 -0.2317 -0.9291
2012 0.3533 0.1163 0.4025
2013 1.8451 0.2449 2.5314
2014 1.3010 0.2236 1.3990
2015 0.6240 0.1546 0.7629
2016 -0.3379 -0.0049 -0.3072
2017 0.7900 0.1428 0.8668
Average 0.2790 0.0648 0.5437
AM F Sver ige
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.2795 -0.0398 -0.2857
2008 -2.3304 -0.7560 -1.7831
2009 1.2973 0.6317 2.0820
2010 0.4703 0.1258 0.5451
2011 -1.1098 -0.2514 -0.9906
2012 0.4928 0.1553 0.5439
2013 2.1944 0.2844 2.8193
2014 1.6579 0.2614 1.8100
2015 0.6804 0.1560 0.8289
2016 -0.0264 0.0366 -0.0247
2017 0.8125 0.1120 0.8476
Average 0.3509 0.0651 0.5812
AM F Vär lden
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.1484 -0.0247 -0.1526
2008 -2.4794 -0.7175 -1.8367
2009 1.2630 0.5351 2.0472
2010 0.5637 0.1606 0.6611
2011 -1.1099 -0.2473 -0.9143
2012 0.2445 0.0907 0.2522
2013 1.9127 0.2513 2.2470
2014 1.5845 0.2489 1.7388
2015 0.4780 0.1167 0.5684
2016 -0.0573 0.0289 -0.0558
2017 1.3351 0.1630 1.6754
Average 0.3261 0.0551 0.5664
Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.4988 -0.1957 -0.4285
2008 -1.5512 -0.9152 -1.3204
2009 0.2229 0.7576 0.2358
2010 -1.0140 0.8304 -0.7631
2011 0.0819 -0.4657 0.0738
2012 1.2179 1.3838 1.2693
2013 2.4268 0.6601 3.6916
2014 3.3579 2.2993 5.4980
2015 0.5965 0.1530 0.7325
2016 -0.5738 -0.0635 -0.5415
2017 -0.4502 -0.0191 -0.4379
Average 0.3469 0.4023 0.7281
Swedbank Robur M edica
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.3829 -0.0518 -0.3871
2008 -2.5057 -0.6982 -1.8897
2009 1.6445 0.6981 3.0472
2010 0.8412 0.2123 1.1430
2011 -1.3252 -0.3143 -1.1475
2012 0.2714 0.0893 0.2974
2013 1.9099 0.2584 2.7592
2014 1.2479 0.2032 1.3758
2015 0.5797 0.1405 0.7061
2016 -0.0051 0.0303 -0.0050
2017 1.1034 0.1600 1.3541
Average 0.3072 0.0662 0.6594
Swedbank Robur Sverigefond M ega
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.5746 -0.1013 -0.5742
2008 -2.2729 -0.6951 -1.7752
2009 1.5357 0.9034 2.5408
2010 0.8687 0.2299 1.1268
2011 -1.0864 -0.2276 -0.9714
2012 0.4345 0.1220 0.4903
2013 1.7784 0.2400 2.4523
2014 1.4773 0.2634 1.5855
2015 0.5230 0.1352 0.6346
2016 -0.2902 -0.0005 -0.2687
2017 0.9470 0.1437 1.0650
Average 0.3037 0.0921 0.5733
SPP Aktiefond Sver ige
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.3194 -0.0443 -0.3251
2008 -2.5412 -0.7796 -1.8828
2009 1.7796 0.6897 3.1281
2010 0.8663 0.2294 1.1481
2011 -1.1990 -0.2929 -1.0300
2012 0.4580 0.1260 0.5260
2013 1.8068 0.2280 2.6055
2014 1.1899 0.1981 1.2896
2015 0.2597 0.0873 0.3021
2016 -0.2814 0.0021 -0.2589
2017 0.6522 0.1426 0.6937
Average 0.2429 0.0533 0.5633
Avanza Zero
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.0055 -0.0011 -0.0056
2008 -2.3152 -0.7302 -1.7437
2009 0.9129 0.4332 1.2140
2010 -0.1641 -0.0165 -0.1585
2011 -1.0569 -0.2676 -0.8221
2012 0.8901 0.2425 0.8127
2013 2.0753 0.3874 2.5584
2014 1.5532 0.2438 1.8463
2015 0.6960 0.1513 0.8771
2016 -0.1817 0.0226 -0.1704
2017 1.2112 0.1261 1.6726
Average 0.3287 0.0538 0.5528
Swedbank Robur Globalfond M ega
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.4300 -0.0684 -0.4184
2008 -1.9972 -0.8965 -1.5568
2009 -0.0491 0.0030 -0.0497
2010 1.0180 1.0068 1.2011
2011 -0.3400 -0.0601 -0.2889
2012 1.7585 0.7113 2.4552
2013 2.0761 0.5978 3.3126
2014 2.5459 3.4437 4.2741
2015 0.4206 0.1245 0.4838
2016 -1.2006 -0.1462 -1.0556
2017 -0.1165 0.0757 -0.1232
Average 0.3351 0.4356 0.7486
CWor ldWide M edical
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.8819 -0.2393 -0.8210
2008 -2.8795 -0.8828 -2.0315
2009 1.5630 2.0823 3.5328
2010 1.3468 0.4046 2.4446
2011 -0.6729 -0.1463 -0.7112
2012 0.7411 0.2669 0.9397
2013 1.1727 0.2362 1.4587
2014 2.0949 0.6030 3.4822
2015 1.1366 0.2996 1.8906
2016 0.3719 0.0869 0.4351
2017 0.4278 0.0476 0.4801
Average 0.4019 0.2508 1.0091
Länsförsäkr ingar Fastighetsfond
Appendix
75
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.3206 -0.1308 -0.2932
2008 -1.1482 -1.5192 -1.0574
2009 -0.2013 0.3774 -0.1955
2010 -0.3865 0.1718 -0.3173
2011 0.1454 -0.2600 0.1280
2012 1.6390 2.9131 1.7935
2013 2.2129 0.6003 3.2455
2014 4.3917 3.1360 8.2536
2015 0.6872 0.1774 0.8152
2016 -0.7038 -0.0845 -0.6673
2017 0.4063 0.1014 0.4756
Average 0.6111 0.4984 1.1073
SEB Läkemedelsfond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.5235 0.0858 0.6283
2008 -3.0641 -0.8061 -1.9993
2009 1.0040 0.3273 1.4511
2010 1.3554 0.4147 1.8048
2011 -0.7374 -0.1502 -0.6933
2012 0.2741 0.0924 0.2811
2013 5.4845 2.1725 10.9187
2014 0.6511 0.1375 0.6486
2015 0.8025 0.1902 1.0631
2016 -0.6031 -0.0510 -0.5542
2017 1.5097 0.3710 1.8488
Average 0.6546 0.2531 1.3998
Skagen Global
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.2374 0.0503 0.2554
2008 -2.7046 -0.8323 -1.8828
2009 0.7836 0.3486 1.0261
2010 -0.7033 -0.1719 -0.6890
2011 -0.9674 -0.1838 -0.8495
2012 -0.1945 0.0006 -0.1875
2013 1.7376 0.2695 2.1696
2014 0.9915 0.1657 0.9885
2015 0.3559 0.0932 0.4217
2016 -0.6100 -0.0445 -0.5304
2017 1.2110 0.1360 1.3958
Average 0.0125 -0.0153 0.1925
SPP Aktiefond Europa
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.6516 -0.1466 -0.6060
2008 -1.7677 -0.7063 -1.4629
2009 0.2319 1.0639 0.2685
2010 0.3342 0.2599 0.3735
2011 -0.4719 -0.1044 -0.4145
2012 1.4014 0.8450 1.1957
2013 1.9864 0.5371 2.7687
2014 2.9637 0.6217 4.7005
2015 0.8089 0.1753 1.0568
2016 0.6007 0.1483 0.7065
2017 0.4694 0.0718 0.5551
Average 0.5368 0.2514 0.8311
SPP Aktiefond USA
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 1.1383 0.1772 1.8659
2008 -2.4302 -0.6800 -1.8408
2009 1.9873 0.6712 4.2909
2010 1.8687 0.5460 2.8082
2011 -1.0629 -0.2529 -1.0019
2012 -0.1426 0.0096 -0.1473
2013 2.2891 1.0516 2.9872
2014 0.1514 0.0643 0.1649
2015 0.1069 0.0575 0.1173
2016 -0.4148 -0.0240 -0.4090
2017 2.0547 0.3560 3.4140
Average 0.5042 0.1797 1.1136
Skagen Kon-Tiki
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.1111 -0.0250 -0.1236
2008 -2.7061 -0.7657 -1.9710
2009 1.6643 0.8989 2.8814
2010 0.3913 0.1097 0.4923
2011 -1.3720 -0.2996 -1.1674
2012 0.9485 0.2199 1.1876
2013 3.9425 0.6708 8.6600
2014 0.3875 0.0816 0.4026
2015 1.2077 0.2630 1.5367
2016 -0.5217 -0.0462 -0.5138
2017 1.6724 0.1584 2.2924
Average 0.5003 0.1151 1.2434
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.5283 0.0798 0.5777
2008 -2.8666 -0.8417 -1.9653
2009 0.8462 0.3285 1.1337
2010 -0.8405 -0.1971 -0.8071
2011 -1.2115 -0.2702 -0.9919
2012 0.4780 0.1229 0.5075
2013 1.5812 0.2658 1.9757
2014 0.9636 0.1553 0.9659
2015 0.4758 0.1122 0.5595
2016 -0.6546 -0.0575 -0.5607
2017 1.5143 0.1736 1.8311
Average 0.0740 -0.0117 0.2933
Swedbank Robur Europafond M ega
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 1.7232 0.2089 2.5889
2008 -2.8931 -0.7546 -2.0036
2009 0.9644 0.3147 1.2599
2010 -0.0168 0.0111 -0.0193
2011 -0.2711 -0.0427 -0.3109
2012 0.7166 0.1553 0.8281
2013 1.0643 0.1348 1.1304
2014 0.8168 0.1276 0.8528
2015 0.0526 0.0463 0.0564
2016 -1.2631 -0.1087 -0.9952
2017 4.9141 0.4388 8.3952
Average 0.5280 0.0483 1.0711
CWor ldWide Global Equities
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.2531 -0.0537 -0.2566
2008 -1.6912 -0.5798 -1.4832
2009 2.1295 -18.2133 4.5653
2010 0.6327 0.2621 0.8225
2011 -0.2598 -0.0313 -0.2458
2012 0.3638 0.1479 0.3631
2013 3.2845 1.8807 7.5163
2014 3.3574 0.5105 3.8959
2015 1.0363 0.1982 1.5868
2016 0.7591 0.1616 1.0584
2017 1.5527 0.1507 2.3342
Average 0.9920 -1.4151 1.8324
Skandia Time Global
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.7962 0.2748 1.1676
2008 -2.5291 -0.6841 -1.9670
2009 1.3538 0.5980 2.3588
2010 0.5486 0.1842 0.7474
2011 -0.8690 -0.2057 -0.8358
2012 0.1353 0.0471 0.1748
2013 -0.1500 0.0016 -0.1567
2014 -0.6809 -0.2624 -0.7749
2015 -0.4411 -0.0533 -0.4814
2016 0.7011 0.1591 0.7872
2017 1.1298 0.2023 1.3202
Average -0.0005 0.0238 0.2128
Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.8131 -0.1307 -0.7448
2008 -2.1712 -0.6366 -1.7071
2009 1.9453 1.1970 6.3119
2010 0.9477 0.2172 1.3498
2011 -0.8409 -0.1825 -0.8318
2012 0.2319 0.0886 0.2520
2013 2.3549 0.6390 4.3736
2014 1.3175 0.2153 1.6014
2015 1.8577 0.4065 2.7149
2016 0.0433 0.0414 0.0429
2017 1.0948 0.1101 1.3232
Average 0.5425 0.1787 1.3351
Lannebo Småbolag
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.6136 -0.1017 -0.6014
2008 -2.5654 -0.7182 -1.9329
2009 1.7952 0.7841 3.7819
2010 0.7174 0.1870 0.9825
2011 -0.7691 -0.1716 -0.7725
2012 0.3498 0.1292 0.3990
2013 2.9861 0.6057 6.1094
2014 0.7415 0.1283 0.8374
2015 2.0518 0.5046 3.3236
2016 -0.1790 0.0080 -0.1811
2017 0.8014 0.0838 0.9436
Average 0.4833 0.1308 1.1718
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sver ige
Appendix
76
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.7138 -0.1181 -0.6749
2008 -2.6694 -0.7833 -1.9520
2009 1.8275 1.2642 4.7861
2010 0.8420 0.2102 1.2131
2011 -0.5518 -0.1201 -0.6097
2012 0.3447 0.1184 0.3878
2013 2.7040 0.4972 5.2301
2014 1.3960 0.2474 1.7488
2015 1.6253 0.3206 2.5644
2016 0.0826 0.0403 0.0847
2017 0.7664 0.0793 0.8770
Average 0.5140 0.1596 1.2414
Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.5169 -0.0803 -0.4806
2008 -2.3293 -0.6697 -1.7141
2009 2.1637 4.5792 4.5597
2010 0.3648 0.1029 0.4085
2011 -0.4614 -0.0888 -0.4847
2012 0.5416 0.1604 0.6617
2013 2.6649 0.4229 4.1223
2014 0.5782 0.1161 0.6099
2015 1.3911 0.3150 1.8829
2016 0.7463 0.1305 0.8605
2017 1.4985 0.1499 1.9064
Average 0.6038 0.4671 1.1211
Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.5366 0.0751 0.6317
2008 -2.4764 -0.7997 -1.8299
2009 0.5965 0.2611 0.7683
2010 -0.8827 -0.2037 -0.8528
2011 -0.9818 -0.2077 -0.8890
2012 0.4417 0.1255 0.5073
2013 1.8961 0.3067 2.5397
2014 1.1471 0.2043 1.1742
2015 0.4905 0.1194 0.5846
2016 -0.5567 -0.0422 -0.4935
2017 1.2566 0.1234 1.4719
Average 0.1334 -0.0034 0.3284
AM F Aktiefond Europa
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -1.0764 -0.1720 -0.8687
2008 -1.9745 -0.8644 -1.5108
2009 1.7607 0.6998 2.6362
2010 0.2261 0.1081 0.2030
2011 -0.9314 -0.2842 -0.7643
2012 1.1090 0.3233 1.1451
2013 2.6848 0.3741 4.0160
2014 2.5350 0.3896 3.2786
2015 0.5809 0.1515 0.7080
2016 -0.4720 -0.0248 -0.4341
2017 0.7874 0.0994 0.9148
Average 0.4754 0.0728 0.8476
Öhman Hjär t-Lungfond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.6701 -0.1039 -0.6577
2008 -2.5661 -0.7631 -1.9293
2009 1.8013 0.8187 4.2102
2010 0.8221 0.2047 1.1940
2011 -0.6277 -0.1414 -0.6676
2012 0.0613 0.0527 0.0695
2013 3.2576 0.7124 6.0225
2014 0.6860 0.1431 0.7426
2015 1.5695 0.3054 2.4544
2016 0.2484 0.0592 0.2608
2017 0.6713 0.0787 0.7556
Average 0.4776 0.1242 1.1323
AM F Aktiefond Småbolag
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.5631 -1.2463 0.6695
2008 -2.4303 -0.7227 -1.9475
2009 1.8558 1.6006 3.8944
2010 0.4803 0.1964 0.6674
2011 -0.5411 -0.1295 -0.5680
2012 -0.3381 -0.0452 -0.3762
2013 0.2519 0.0705 0.2564
2014 -0.8682 -0.4135 -0.9292
2015 0.2236 0.0771 0.3047
2016 1.1198 0.2262 1.3598
2017 -0.1102 0.0736 -0.1109
Average 0.0188 -0.0284 0.2927
Carnegie Rysslandsfond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 1.3528 7.5561 2.2015
2008 -2.4976 -0.7279 -1.9855
2009 1.7160 1.3564 3.4039
2010 0.6418 0.2495 0.9373
2011 -0.5549 -0.1288 -0.5755
2012 -0.4533 -0.0710 -0.5046
2013 0.3120 0.0718 0.3430
2014 -1.0987 -0.4936 -1.1467
2015 0.1086 0.0500 0.1463
2016 1.1904 0.2369 1.4955
2017 0.2738 0.3470 0.3153
Average 0.0901 0.7678 0.4210
Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.2781 0.0356 0.3288
2008 -1.3315 -0.5396 -1.2550
2009 0.9025 0.4004 1.3063
2010 0.3109 0.0840 0.3772
2011 -0.0066 0.0154 -0.0080
2012 1.3546 0.3768 2.0929
2013 1.8993 0.3112 3.3440
2014 1.0939 0.7005 1.7058
2015 0.0163 0.0301 0.0192
2016 -0.7444 -0.0707 -0.7564
2017 0.9136 -3.0576 1.2355
Average 0.4261 -0.1558 0.7628
UBS Equityfund - BioTech
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.1881 0.0429 0.2149
2008 -1.5137 -0.6030 -1.4055
2009 1.8955 -4.8580 3.5033
2010 0.2648 0.1766 0.3078
2011 -0.4277 -0.1102 -0.3708
2012 0.3340 0.1317 0.3411
2013 1.3443 0.7361 1.5327
2014 3.0096 0.8666 4.2514
2015 0.8748 0.1676 1.2259
2016 0.2768 0.1021 0.3350
2017 1.0874 0.1356 1.5957
Average 0.6667 -0.2920 1.0483
SEB Teknologifond
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 1.2587 0.2419 1.7559
2008 -2.6021 -0.8093 -1.9274
2009 2.3911 1.0611 5.7412
2010 0.9708 0.4009 1.3740
2011 -1.2130 -0.3078 -1.0859
2012 0.1210 0.1039 0.1507
2013 0.1967 0.0799 0.1962
2014 0.8657 0.2005 0.9961
2015 -0.2182 -0.0091 -0.2334
2016 0.4802 0.1429 0.5408
2017 2.4153 0.4483 3.5533
Average 0.4242 0.1412 1.0056
Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.5086 0.0645 0.6012
2008 -2.6014 -0.7230 -1.9299
2009 1.5379 0.7157 2.8846
2010 0.2162 0.0700 0.2386
2011 -1.1211 -0.2418 -0.9972
2012 0.3320 0.0878 0.3668
2013 0.8839 0.1472 1.0961
2014 0.8749 0.1619 0.9184
2015 0.9955 0.2364 1.2185
2016 -0.6793 -0.0544 -0.6198
2017 0.9283 0.1304 1.0136
Average 0.1705 0.0541 0.4355
Swedbank Robur NordenfondSharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 2.0206 0.5210 3.3536
2008 -2.5715 -1.2978 -1.9880
2009 1.6705 0.6241 2.8694
2010 0.0238 0.0217 0.0268
2011 -0.7233 -0.1590 -0.7670
2012 -0.2307 -0.0247 -0.2479
2013 0.7761 0.1526 0.9196
2014 -0.6035 -0.1207 -0.5659
2015 -0.1387 -0.0037 -0.1612
2016 -0.2860 -0.0119 -0.3037
2017 2.4663 -4.0514 3.5712
Average 0.2185 -0.3954 0.6097
Bar ing Hong-Kong China Fund
Appendix
77
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 1.2069 -0.9272 1.6554
2008 -2.3421 -0.6799 -1.9001
2009 1.4909 1.5746 2.7930
2010 1.0027 0.3390 1.4902
2011 -0.6561 -0.1512 -0.6776
2012 -0.3175 -0.0440 -0.3588
2013 -0.1229 0.0058 -0.1223
2014 -1.2925 -0.6902 -1.3047
2015 -0.0553 0.0110 -0.0717
2016 1.3696 0.2470 1.6977
2017 0.3490 0.4996 0.4381
Average 0.0575 0.0168 0.3309
East Capital Ryssland
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.4050 -0.0637 -0.4031
2008 -2.6012 -0.7343 -1.9389
2009 2.0757 1.1517 4.6636
2010 0.4931 0.1290 0.5743
2011 -0.9972 -0.2187 -0.9602
2012 0.4526 0.1136 0.5576
2013 1.4628 0.2793 1.9774
2014 0.0419 0.0310 0.0431
2015 1.7341 0.4403 2.2836
2016 0.0218 0.0444 0.0218
2017 0.9066 0.0957 1.0568
Average 0.2896 0.1153 0.7160
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.0617 -0.0094 -0.0670
2008 -2.2744 -0.6959 -1.7314
2009 1.3394 -12.9705 2.7645
2010 -0.1111 -0.0100 -0.1116
2011 -0.2881 -0.0420 -0.2902
2012 0.0839 0.0890 0.0823
2013 3.0498 0.7972 3.9171
2014 1.7731 0.3935 2.9923
2015 1.4933 0.2805 2.0622
2016 0.1160 0.0592 0.1247
2017 1.7335 0.1435 2.6605
Average 0.6231 -1.0877 1.1276
Öhman Global Growth
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.8955 -0.1588 -0.7697
2008 -1.8569 -0.6869 -1.5081
2009 0.3087 1.1612 0.3301
2010 0.1400 0.1154 0.1438
2011 -0.3679 -0.0834 -0.3334
2012 1.2844 0.4985 1.1459
2013 2.1369 0.5006 3.1613
2014 3.4611 0.6447 5.8791
2015 0.7349 0.1675 0.9697
2016 0.4110 0.1012 0.4787
2017 0.5294 0.0836 0.6468
Average 0.5351 0.2130 0.9222
Skandia USA
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.5027 -0.0908 -0.4559
2008 -2.4122 -0.7543 -1.7690
2009 1.1687 0.6611 1.7457
2010 0.0916 0.0631 0.0926
2011 -0.9988 -0.2153 -0.8386
2012 0.1840 0.0927 0.1799
2013 1.9959 0.3204 2.3871
2014 1.1184 0.2181 1.2786
2015 0.4720 0.1122 0.5655
2016 -0.0180 0.0440 -0.0184
2017 0.9897 0.1126 1.2754
Average 0.1899 0.0513 0.4039
Skandia Vär lden
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.2262 -0.0392 -0.2164
2008 -3.2001 -1.0009 -2.0372
2009 0.6585 0.4102 0.8396
2010 -0.9059 -0.1943 -0.8003
2011 -1.1015 -0.2277 -0.9482
2012 0.1468 0.0916 0.1442
2013 1.5102 0.2934 1.8434
2014 1.2928 0.2186 1.4054
2015 0.4181 0.1235 0.5071
2016 -0.4999 -0.0132 -0.4020
2017 0.8768 0.1051 0.9940
Average -0.0937 -0.0212 0.1209
Länsförsäkr ingar Europa Aktiv
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 0.8648 0.1432 2.0406
2008 -1.3451 -0.8707 -1.2801
2009 1.6596 0.9106 4.1890
2010 0.5121 0.4022 0.6116
2011 -0.2138 -0.0726 -0.2354
2012 -0.7394 -0.2013 -0.8309
2013 -2.1029 -1.1358 -1.7683
2014 -0.2877 -0.0832 -0.3400
2015 -1.0934 -1.1602 -1.0697
2016 0.5640 0.6495 0.8988
2017 0.1512 -0.1774 0.1931
Average -0.1846 -0.1451 0.2190
Blackrock Global Funds
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.5994 -0.0777 -0.5698
2008 -2.5368 -0.7755 -1.8609
2009 1.4750 0.8995 2.4871
2010 1.0643 0.2612 1.3980
2011 -1.0670 -0.2326 -0.9683
2012 0.4428 0.1236 0.5021
2013 1.2692 0.1911 1.5532
2014 1.0305 0.1977 1.0998
2015 1.0961 0.2440 1.4788
2016 -0.2456 0.0058 -0.2265
2017 1.1876 0.1721 1.4588
Average 0.2833 0.0917 0.5775
Länsförsäkr ingar Sver ige Aktiv
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.5876 -0.0801 -0.5707
2008 -2.5320 -0.7798 -1.8789
2009 1.5113 0.5487 2.4991
2010 0.7573 0.2074 0.9869
2011 -1.2479 -0.3101 -1.0638
2012 0.4033 0.1166 0.4603
2013 1.7757 0.2250 2.5295
2014 1.1494 0.1931 1.2383
2015 0.2443 0.0842 0.2834
2016 -0.2958 0.0002 -0.2715
2017 0.6300 0.1365 0.6682
Average 0.1644 0.0311 0.4437
Aktiespararna Topp Sverige
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.4784 -0.0934 -0.4641
2008 -1.7941 -0.7817 -1.5536
2009 1.9846 1.7301 5.6202
2010 0.2341 0.0991 0.2456
2011 -0.5828 -0.1508 -0.5231
2012 0.6332 0.2130 0.6906
2013 2.0770 0.7640 2.7496
2014 3.7468 1.0488 6.6462
2015 1.7230 0.3332 2.5798
2016 0.1423 0.0841 0.1596
2017 1.0588 0.1365 1.5194
Average 0.7950 0.3075 1.6064
Lannebo Vision
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.2219 -0.0349 -0.2223
2008 -2.2188 -0.7383 -1.6629
2009 0.7487 0.4260 0.9877
2010 0.2966 0.1301 0.3174
2011 -1.1752 -0.2820 -0.9737
2012 0.5015 0.1723 0.5198
2013 1.7880 0.2976 2.0513
2014 1.9001 0.3375 2.1034
2015 0.7526 0.1657 0.9206
2016 -0.0743 0.0393 -0.0753
2017 1.6125 0.1874 2.3185
Average 0.3554 0.0637 0.5713
Handelsbanken Global Tema
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.7027 -0.0940 -0.5927
2008 -2.6463 -0.8755 -1.8900
2009 1.5213 0.6259 2.4548
2010 0.2122 0.0749 0.2272
2011 -1.2002 -0.2646 -0.9655
2012 0.1857 0.0829 0.1800
2013 2.5102 0.3204 3.3026
2014 1.9480 0.2999 2.1847
2015 0.5639 0.1363 0.6767
2016 -0.2078 0.0137 -0.1917
2017 0.9946 0.1199 1.0809
Average 0.2890 0.0400 0.5879
KPA Etisk Aktiefond
Appendix
78
9.8 Yearly risk-adjusted return measurements ranking
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
AP7 Aktiefond 9 23 18
Swedbank Robur Technology 3 1 5
Didner & Gerge Aktiefond 22 20 20
AMF Sverige 35 28 37
AMF Världen 25 27 30
Swedbank Robur Aktiefond Pension 29 30 34
Swedbank Robur Medica 26 6 25
Swedbank Robur Sverigefond Mega 30 26 27
SPP Aktiefond Sverige 31 21 32
Avanza Zero 36 33 35
Swedbank Robur Globalfond Mega 28 32 36
CWorldWide Medical 27 5 24
Länsförsäkringar fastighetsfond 23 10 16
SEB Läkemedelsfond 7 3 13
Skagen Global 5 8 3
SPP Aktiefond Europa 47 43 49
SPP Aktiefond USA 11 9 22
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki 15 12 12
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Europa 16 19 6
Swedbank Robur Europafond Mega 44 42 45
C Worldwide Global Equities 13 35 14
Skandia Time Global 1 51 1
Swedbank Robur Östeuropafond 48 39 48
Lannebo Småbolag 10 13 4
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Sverige 17 16 8
Handelsbanken Svenska Småbolagsfond 14 14 7
Nordea Småbolagsfond Norden 8 4 11
AMF Aktiefond Europa 42 41 44
Öhman Hjärt-Lungfond 19 24 21
AMF Aktiefond Småbolag 18 17 9
Carnegie Rysslandsfond 46 45 46
Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfond 43 2 41
UBS Equity Fund - BioTech 20 47 23
SEB Teknologifond 4 48 15
Handelsbanken Tillväxtmarknad Tema 21 15 17
Swedbank Robur Nordenfond 40 31 39
Baring Hong Kong China Fund 37 49 28
East Capital Ryssland 45 40 43
Swedbank Robur Småbolagsfond Norden 32 18 26
Öhman Global Growth 6 50 10
Skandia USA 12 11 19
Skandia Världen 39 34 42
Länsförsäkringar Europa Aktiv 49 44 50
Blackrock Global Funds 51 46 47
Länsförsäkringar Sverige Aktiv 34 22 31
Aktiespararna Topp Sverige 41 37 38
Lannebo Vision 2 7 2
Handelsbanken Global Tema 24 29 33
KPA Etisk Aktiefond 33 36 29
Länsförsäkringar Global Hållbar 38 25 40
SPP Aktiefond Japan 50 38 51
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -0.1830 -0.0264 -0.1751
2008 -2.5797 -0.8246 -1.8156
2009 1.3153 1.0078 2.1795
2010 -0.2184 -0.0273 -0.2053
2011 -1.2718 -0.2675 -1.0455
2012 0.4839 0.1525 0.5026
2013 1.6652 0.2400 1.8799
2014 1.7192 0.2729 1.8232
2015 0.4551 0.1147 0.5227
2016 0.2100 0.0631 0.2168
2017 0.6953 0.0852 0.8008
Average 0.2083 0.0718 0.4258
Länsförsäkr ingar Global Hållbar
Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Sortino Ratio
2007 -1.1760 0.7444 -0.9863
2008 -1.6755 -0.9910 -1.4239
2009 -0.7637 -0.7875 -0.6791
2010 0.0618 -0.1638 0.0671
2011 -1.1036 -1.5177 -0.9835
2012 -0.7820 -0.1768 -0.6393
2013 1.4513 2.2632 1.9729
2014 0.8242 0.4574 1.0087
2015 0.9870 0.2348 1.2283
2016 0.1823 0.1307 0.2142
2017 0.6415 0.0945 0.8147
Average -0.1230 0.0262 0.0540
SPP Aktiefond Japan