orca africa oil week conference november 5 2010 v2
TRANSCRIPT
ORCA EXPLORATION GROUPORCA EXPLORATION GROUP
Orca Exploration Natural Gas Expansion In Tanzania
Africa Upstream, Cape Town, November 5th 20100Peter R. Clutterbuck, Deputy Chairman
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Forward looking statements and risks
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that involve substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties, certain of which are beyond Orca’s control, including the impact of general economic conditions in the areas in which the company operates, civil unrest, industry conditions, changes in laws and regulations including the adoption of new environmental laws and regulations and changes in how they are interpreted and enforced, increased competition, the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management, fluctuations in commodity prices, foreign exchange or interest rates, stock market volatility and obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities. In addition there are risks and uncertainties associated with gas operations. Therefore, Orca’s actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed, or implied by, these forward-looking estimates and, accordingly, no assurances can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward looking estimates will - transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits, including the amounts of proceeds, that Orca will derive there from. This presentation should be read in conjunction with the company’s Annual Report, audited financial statements and the related notes for the year ended 31 December 2009, and Q2 Report for 2010..
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Orca summary
Tanzania Gas Production gross up to 90 MMscfdExpanding gas production, planning a major long term expansion
Financial Revenue $30 million per year Working capital $49 million, no debt
Target Increasing shareholder value through low-risk organic growth in TanzaniaNow actively progressing New Venture high upside exploration opportunitiesJV offshore Italy in 11 exploration blocks, increasing focus on ItalyContinuing NV focus on Middle East and West Africa
Market Shares issued: 34 millionListing TSXV – ORC.B (Cdn $4.5 per share)Market cap approximately Cdn $150 million Certified 2P NPV-10 valuation US $290 million
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Tanzanian operations: upstream and downstream
Orca operates in Tanzania through its wholly owned subsidiary PanAfrican Energy
Operating in Tanzania for 18 years
Operates a PSA with the parastatal Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC)
Operates the 900 bcf Songo Songo gas field
Owns and operates the downstream gas infrastructure
Focussed on increasing throughput from Songo Songo
Progressing exploration on Songo Songo West
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Why Natural Gas? Pros and cons
Challenges
Transport: the main difference from oil
High capex requiring long term contracts
Pipeline: usually least cost but limits market options; often cross-border problems
CNG (short distances) or LNG (long distances): high capex and opex
Manufactured products: power, industry, GTL, fertiliser, methanol etc: often low netbacks
Slow pace: often too slow for an Independent
Market development, stakeholder negotiations, Government approvals
Low pricing, unless linked to oil in a regional market
Countries often pressure gas developers to supply low value domestic markets
Financial risk due to limited market options, long payback on infrastructure
Advantages
Less competition: most players looking for oil, especially Independents
Very few Independents have full vertically integrated capabilities
Markets are captive once established: longer term stability
Gas can be economic in low quality reservoirs, and has “Unconventional” potential
Gas is cleaner and fuel of choice for green issues: low emissions, low carbon
Gas can usually undercut prices of alternative fuels: petroleum products, renewables, or coal
Gas is often preferred for power markets even against non-fossil energy, such as:
Hydro or nuclear: due to lower capex, less environmental footprint, faster development
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30 years from discovery to production
1974SS1 discovery
EXP. APPRAISAL PRE-PROJECT PROJECT PRODUCTIONSTALLED AWAITING GAS MARKETS
First gas in 2004
1980 1990 2000
SS3, 4SS5 – SS9 Production testing
Songo SongoProject
Financial closein 2001
SS10
Construction
SS-10
SS-10
Seismic
Orca affiliate starts work
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Songo Songo gas chain
Industrial
PowerSongo Songo
FieldWells
Orca + TPDC Songas Songas
Gas processing
plant
Pipeline from Songo Songo
to Dar
Dar distribution
system
Orca Songas Orca
Infrastructure ownership Orca + TPDC
Operatorship
Reservesownership
and markets
Protected Gas
Additional
Gas
Power customersIndustrial Customers
Songas ProjectUbungo Power station
Orca + TPDC
Songas
Songas: owned mainly by Globeleq, financed by World Bank
TPDC: Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, the Tanzania national oil company, in partnership with Orca
Tanesco: the Tanzania parastatal electric power company
Orca + TPDCSongas
Orca has exclusive right to produce and market all “Additional Gas” in excess of Protected Gas
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Operations at Songo Songo Island (SSI)
SS-5 SS-9 SS-10 SS-4
SS-3
Songas facilities operated by Orca
Songas facilities
SS-7
SS-9 operations
SSI operations
Wells operated by Orca
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SSI Facilities layout
CondensateTank
JT Valves
Heat Exchangers
Barge to Dar markets
Gas to Dar
Cold separator
Cold separator
ProductionSeparator
CondensateTank
SS-10
SS-9
SS-5
SS-7
SS-4
SS-3
TestSeparator
1600 psi -25ºC
Capacity: Current 90 MMscfdPlanned re-rating to 110 MMscfdLong term expansion to 200 MMscfd with 2 more trains + compression
DPC trains
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Production in 2009-2010: built from 60 to 90 MMscfd
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
mmcfd
Songas Wazo PG CAG Ind Wartsila Tegeta Wazo AG Processing Plant Limit
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Capacities and markets
Wells SSI Facilities Pipeline Gas Markets at 100% LoadSS-3
SS-4
SS-5
SS-7
SS-9
2 Trains
Existing
Capacity
Existing
nameplate
capacity
Protected Gas
Maximum 45 MMscfd
Ubungo UGT-6 42 MWIndustrial and CNG
Jacobsen 100 MW GTs in 2011
Tegeta 45 MW
Tanesco Ubungo 100 MW
MM
cfd
0
50
100
150
200SS-10
Twin onshore pipeline
East Coast Transmission
2014
Kinyerezi 240 MW
Combined cycle 2013-4
Wazo Hill Kiln 4
Re-rating
Long Term Expansion
Songas
2013 Compression
Songas
SS-West 1
2011Interim
Production Facilities for
SSW
Twin offshore pipeline
East Coast Transmission
2015
IPC 112 MW in 2010-11 2011
IPTL 100 MW in 2013-14
New 200 MW plant
2015
Industrial and CNG growth
SSW discovery would commit twin offshore pipeline
SSW potentially 100 MMscfd
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Certified Reserves increase since startup
Bcf
Reserves increase due to:• Sustained excellent reservoir performance• New seismic and interpretation• New well data• Declining protected volumes
Life of Field, Audited reserves (BCF)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 end 2009
BCF
PossibleProbableProved, in excess of PGProtected Gas
Orca A
dditional Gas
Reserves increase due to:• Sustained excellent reservoir performance• New seismic and interpretation• New well data• Protected volumes declined to 195 Bcf
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Main Field and Songo Songo West
Potential expansion development scenario
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Long term gas supply to power stations
Tanesco Wärtsilä Ubungo 100 MW
Tanesco WTanesco Wäärtsilrtsilää 100 MW100 MW
UGT-6 GE LM 6000 42 MWSongas Ubungo Complex Songas Ubungo Complex 190 MW (PG and AG)190 MW (PG and AG)
Tanesco WTanesco Wäärtsilrtsilää Tegeta 45 MWTegeta 45 MW
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Growing Gas Markets
35 industrial customers connected: textiles, cement, beverages, glass and others; 3 power stations on line
Orca has financed and built over 50 km of distribution Ringmain and 4 Pressure Reduction Stations
Orca is supplying the expansion at the cement plant at Wazo Hill (2-6 MMscfd)
Orca has constructed a CNG facility for vehicles, and the first of several CNG systems for transporting CNG by truck-trailer to commercial hubs
Dar region distribution
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Longer range gas market potential
Tanzania power demand growth
100 MW per year
Transporting gas by CNG
Morogoro, Tanga and Industrial centres
Zanzibar
EastCoast Transmission trunklines
Initially twins from Songo Songo to Dar
Extensions to Mtwara and Tanga
Potential export markets
Methanol
CNG
Gas-to-Liquids
LNG (potential from new offshore discoveries)
Fertiliser and Urea
Cement
Some markets would be shared with future potential gas developers, especially from offshore discoveries
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Orca community and social programmes
Operated by Orca / PanAfrican since 2004
Programmes have included
Water Supply
Electric Power
Schooling
Medical
Orca and affiliates are now expanding into larger nationwide Social Development Programmes
Including a JV with Acumen Fund in E.Africa
CLASSROOMS
BeforeNow
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Acknowledgements
Orca acknowledges the dedication and cooperation of our partners:
Tanzania Ministry of Energy and Minerals (MEM)
Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC)
Tanzania Electricity Supply Company (TANESCO)
Tanzania Energy, Water and Utilities Regulatory Authority (EWURA)
Songas Ltd / Globeleq Ltd
Contact: Peter Clutterbuck, Deputy [email protected]
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