organic imports: necessary evil, crisis, or hope for the global south

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Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South 2:00-3:15 P.M. Moderator: ROBERT ANDERSON Senior Trade Advisor, Organic Trade Association JIM PIERCE Global Certification Program Manager, Oregon Tilth CARMELA BECK National Organic Program Manager, Driscoll’s TONY BEDARD CEO, Frontier Natural Products Co-op All Things Organic Conference presented by

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Page 1: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South 2:00-3:15 P.M.

Moderator: ROBERT ANDERSON Senior Trade Advisor, Organic Trade Association JIM PIERCE Global Certification Program Manager, Oregon Tilth CARMELA BECK National Organic Program Manager, Driscoll’s TONY BEDARD CEO, Frontier Natural Products Co-op

All Things Organic Conference presented by

Page 2: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

September 19, 2014

Jim Pierce; Global Certification Program

Manager

Organic Imports:

Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

2

Page 3: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

3 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 4: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

4 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 5: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

5 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

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6 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

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7 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

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8 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 9: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

9 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 10: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

10 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 11: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

11 Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 12: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

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Page 13: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

International

Organic Standards and Export

13

Jim Pierce Global Certification Program Manager

503-779-9063, [email protected]

Natural Products Expo East 19 September 2014

Page 14: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

14

Organic Markets and Trade

Analyzing the GATS data for organic IMPORTS & EXPORTS

Coverage of organic coded commodities Comparing organic non-organic counterparts Seasonality

Future Analysis

Impact of organic equivalency agreements on organic trade

Ted Jaenicke Assoc. Prof. of Agricultural Economics Penn State University

Page 15: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

GATS: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's Global Agricultural Trade System

Organic Exports Jan. - July

Product 2013 Value ($1,000s)

1 Organic Apples Fresh 141,736 2 Organic Lettuce Not Head Fr/Ch 83,606 3 Organic Grapes Fresh 59,001 4 Organic Spinach Fr/Ch 33,368 5 Organic Strawberries Fresh 27,682 6 Organic Carrots Fr/Ch 24,555 7 Organic Coffee Roast Not Decaf 21,730 8 Organic Pears Fresh 19,012 9 Organic Cauliflower Fr/Ch 16,781

10 Organic Broccoli Fr/Ch 15,649 11 Organic Cult Blueberries Fresh 15,261 12 Organic Tomato Sauce Ex Ketchp 14,991 13 Organic Oranges Fr/Dr 10,926 14 Organic Cherries Fresh 8,844 15 Organic Onion Sets Fr/Ch 8,458 16 Organic Lemons Fr/Dr 7,860 17 Organic Celery Fr/Ch 7,507 18 Organic Peppers Fr/Ch 3,744 19 Organic Cabbage Fr/Ch 3,481 20 Organic Cherry Tomato Fr/Ch 3,167 21 Organic Tomato Other Fr/Ch 2,938 22 Organic Head Lettuce Fr/Ch 2,487 23 Organic Potatoes Fr/Ch Xsd Oth 1,746 24 Organic Grapefruit Fresh 1,607 25 Organic Roma Plum Tomato Fr/Ch 1,451 26 Organic Cucumbers Fr/Ch 9

Organic Imports Jan. - July

Product 2013 Value ($1,000s) 1 Organic Bananas 258,769 2 Organic Coffee Arabica Nr Nd 178,418 3 Organic Wine, Red; >$1.05/L; <14%; <2L 117,987 4 Organic Soybeans Except Seed 110,244 5 Organic Wine, White; >$1.50/L; <14%; <2L 83,504 6 Organic Mangoes Fresh 9/1-5/31 68,534 7 Organic Extra Virgin Olive Oil, <18Kg 54,707 8 Organic Wine, Sparkling; >$1.59/L 54,254 9 Organic Olive Oil, Under 18Kg 50,973

10 Organic Coffee N/Rst Nd Other 40,299 11 Organic Yellow Dent Corn, Except Seed 36,631 12 Organic Mangoes Fresh 6/1-8/31 32,175 13 Organic Rice Semi/Whol Milled 30,137 14 Organic Olive Oil, 18Kg Or Over 26,894 15 Organic Extra Virgin Olive Oil, >=18Kg 26,685 16 Organic Coffee N/Rst Decaf 21,053 17 Organic Blk Tea Ferm Bag<3Kg 20,774 18 Organic Avocado-Hslike Fr/Dr 18,884 19 Organic Almonds, Shelled 16,723 20 Organic Durum Wheat Not Seed 16,039 21 Organic Apples Fr >22Cents/Kg 14,894 22 Organic Grn Tea Not Flav<3K 14,254 23 Organic Honey 13,246 24 Organic Bell Peppers Greenhse 11,331 25 Organic Ginger 9,646 26 Organic Coffee Rst Nd <2Kg Ret 9,625 27 Organic Bell Peppers Fr Other 6,731 28 Organic Grn Tea Not Flav Other 6,116 29 Organic Cultiv Blueberries Fr 5,992 30 Organic Virgin Olive Oil, <18Kg 4,863 31 Organic Pears Fresh Other Time 3,419 32 Organic Coffee Rst Nd Other 2,850 33 Organic Pears Fresh 4/1-6/30 2,598 34 Organic Flaxseed 2,412 35 Organic Virgin Olive Oil, >=18Kg 1,650 36 Organic Garlic 1,384 37 Organic Coffee Rst Dec<2K Ret 1,061 38 Organic Grn Tea Flav<3K 965

Page 16: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

USDA Organic Exports and Imports Coverage

Remarks… Not much coverage

26 export categories 38 import categories, some of which reflect the same basic commodity

Not much overlap with exports and imports. Exceptions include:

Organic fresh apples: exports > imports (by about 10 to 1) Organic fresh blueberries: exports > imports (by almost 3 to 1) Roasted coffee = exports; non-roasted coffee = imports

23 of 26 export categories are fruits and vegetables Import data include some seasonal distinctions

E.g., Pears and Mangos,

Page 17: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic vs. Non-organic Imports: Apples vs. Peppers

Apple Imports - Organic Partners 2011 2012 2013 Chile 3,249 7,396 9,522 Argentina 621 1,674 2,405 New Zealand 832 1,528 1,985 Canada 1,037 1,506 982 Namibia 0 12 0

Apple Imports – Non-organic Partners 2011 2012 2013 Chile 68,120 85,328 122,743 New Zealand 36,681 38,113 48,355 Canada 18,941 24,727 23,478 Argentina 3,391 3,208 7,054 Korea, South 126 98 Uruguay 61 18 Italy 110 South Africa 76

Pepper Imports - Organic Partners 2011 2012 2013 Mexico 5,208 6,250 12,336 Netherlands 1,734 2,467 3,462 Israel 602 498 1,567 Canada 243 17 22 Dominican Republic 90 79 50 El Salvador 53 Belgium-Luxembourg 43 295 Spain 14 New Zealand 4 Guatemala 51 Honduras 280

Pepper Imports - Non-organic Partners 2011 2012 2013 Mexico 623,091 761,500 858,070 Canada 205,673 221,022 259,313 Netherlands 54,034 37,186 27,225 Dominican Republic 17,753 18,370 22,585 Honduras 5,739 4,881 4,359 El Salvador 5,172 4,580 5,090 Spain 4,899 2,511 Nicaragua 2,977 1,965 1,159 Israel 2,813 3,620 Guatemala 1,275 2,415 3,403 Costa Rica 2,572 3,317

Page 18: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic vs. Non-organic Imports: Apples vs. Peppers

Remarks… Level of organic imports

Apples: Organic is 4% to 7% of total apple imports Peppers: Organic is 9% to 15% of total pepper imports

Rate of increase

Apples: Organic apple imports increased 160% Non-organic apple imports increased 58%

Peppers: Organic pepper imports increased 260% Non-organic peppers increased 29%

Page 19: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic vs. Non-organic Imports: Apples

Apple Imports - Organic

Apple Imports - Nonorganic

2013 2012 2011

Page 20: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic vs. Non-organic Imports: Peppers

Pepper Imports - Organic

Pepper Imports - Nonorganic

2013 2012 2011

Page 21: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Organic vs. Non-organic Imports: Source Country – Apples and Peppers

Remarks… Apples:

Chile dominates imports for both organic and non-organic Canada more important for non-organic than organic

Peppers:

Mexico dominates imports for both organic and non-organic Canada more important for non-organic than organic (same as apples!)

Page 22: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Seasonality in Organic Imports: Organic Apple Imports, Monthly

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

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8,000

9,000

10,000

Valu

e of

Org

anic

App

le Im

port

s (Th

osan

d $)

Year - Month

Organic apple imports pick up in May (month 5), peak in June or July, and then decline.

Page 23: Organic Imports: Necessary Evil, Crisis, or Hope for the Global South

Seasonality in Organic Imports: Organic Avocado Imports, Monthly

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000Va

lue

of O

rgan

ic A

voca

do Im

port

s (T

hosa

nd $

)

Year - Month

Avocado imports increase in September (month 9), peak in October and again in January, and then decline.