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The Sessions Les MiserablesLife of PiAnna KareninaThis is 40Quartet LincolnBeasts of the Southern Wild
The Hobbit: An Unexpected JourneyThe Perks of Being a WallflowerArgo Silver Linings PlaybookThe Best Exotic Marigold HotelAmour Arbitrage FlightDjango Unchained Looper
Hyde Park on HudsonThe Impossible The MasterMiddle of Nowhere Ruby SparksMoonrise Kingdom Promised LandNot Fade Away End of Watch
Seven PsychopathsWreck-It Ralph Zero Dark Thirty
ess ons e
BESTADAPTED
Howd We Do Last Year?
OSCAR s
e
t
Win, Place& Showbiz:
Handicapping theOscar Writing Awardsfor 2012
PLUS:
BESTORIGINAL 2012 Screenplay Nominees
W W W . S C R I P T M A G . C
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For the last seven years Ive had the privilege of assessing the major releases
of the year and their odds of Oscar nominations and wins for Script Magazine,and Im delighted to continue the tradition. Last year, all of my even-money
picks made it onto the nominations list. Lets see how it goes this year (Note:
as always, this piece was written prior to the announcement of nominations).
is years race in the Oscar nominations and awards is tighter thantheyve been in a decade, not only in terms of the nominees (there wasan amazing number of accomplished screenplays in 2012). It is seriouslytough to predict 2012s ultimate winners. Nevertheless, I will endeavorto do all of the above before this cavalcade is through. As we go along, I
will be passing along some horses mouth/horse sense comments from themany screenwriters I had the pleasure of speaking with, in the course of areally memorable, perhaps even watershed year. So here goes
HANDICAPPING
FOR
WIN
PLACE
&
SHOWBIZ
WRITINGTHE
BestAdaptedScreen
play
Hugo4-1
Moneyball5-2
TheIdesofMarchnood
dsposted
TheDescendantseventual
winner
evenmoney
TinkerTailorSoldierSpy
3-1
BestOriginalScreen
play
MidnightinPariseventua
lwinner
evenmoney
ASeparationnooddsp
osted
Bridesmaids7-1MarginCall
nooddsposted
TheArtistevenmoney
HOW'DWEDOLASTYE
AR?
Anna Karenina
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B Y B O B V E R I N I
THE ADAPTIONS
Anna KareninaBy Tom Stoppard, based on the Tolstoy novel. A
lot of attention, pro and con, has been paid to Joe
Wrights directorial conceit of setting the interior
scenes in Moscow and St. Petersburg in a dilapi-
dated, but working nineteenth century theater. I
personally think the choice of the stage environ-
ment led to some marvelous eff
ects, though othershave found it half-baked or downright irrelevant.
Be all that as it may, Stoppard has brilliantly
distilled the book into a two-hour film, giving
more focus to the Levin/Kitty subplot arguably
the most personal and thematically meaningful
element of the novel than most if not all previ-
ous cinema adaptations. Its probably important
to note that the screenplay was completed before
the theatre notion was brought forward, and was
unchanged thereafter.
Odds of nomination: 6-1. Divided opinions on
the picture, and on Keira Knightleys performance,
tend to blur Stoppards notable accomplishments.
ArgoBy Chris Terrio, based on the article Escape
from Tehran by Joshuah Bearman. e true-life
rescue as stage managed by
Hollywood players and the
CIA of six staffers during
the 1979 takeover of the
U.S. Embassy in Tehran.
First Person: Terrio saysthat the trickiest thing about
adapting Bearmans journal-
ism into a fully fleshed-out
screenplay was the tone. I
originally thought it would
be a full-out comedy,
but when Affleck became
attached the actor/helmer
helped him conceive of the audacious blend of
satire and thriller that has madeArgoone of the
falls most must-see offerings. e screenwriter
reports that he and Affleck began their work with
the press conference sequence arguably the
broadest and funniest scene in the picture on
the theory that if we could find the balance
there, wed be all right. As it turned out, they
were indeed all right. 3-2 odds; and nominationor not, Terrio has instantly vaulted into A-list
screenwriter status.
Beasts of the Southern WildBy Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar, from her
stage play Juicy and Delicious. Arguably the
years most original feature, its visual richness and
texture are most unusual, especially for an adapta-
tion from the stage. Like Winters Bone, a couple
of years ago, Beastsmade some noise in early
festivals and stayed in circulation throughout theyear, and those are the kind of legs that usually
result in at least a nomination. Members of the
Actors Branch, in particular, are crazy for it, and
the Writers Branch will likely be impressed at
how Zeitlin and Alibar did so much with so few
material resources. Maybe it wont get anything
but a writing nod, but that at least seems a safe
bet at 3-2.
Argo
Get Low
Beasts of the Southern Wild
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The Best Exotic Marigold HotelBy Ol Parker, based on the novel ese Foolish ingsby
Deborah Moggach. UK retirees get a new lease on life in amakeshift Jaipur old folks residence.
First Person: ree chapters into reading Moggachs book,
Parker says, I knew it was going to be a very, very free adapta-
tion.ough he was excited to write a romantic comedy for
an older generation, none of the characters in the film bear any
relation to the ones in the book. Tom Wilkinsons character isnt
in the novel at all. A major challenge was the ensemble nature
of the cast. If youre going to write an ensemble, then each
of them is going to have less time on screen, by definition. So
youve got to make sure you give them all something to do It
becomes a little bit like a jigsaw, youre trying to show different
facets of things the sex life and so on, without descendinginto clich.
e picture cost next to nothing and made a fortune,
which never hurts an indies chances in the writing categories.
Moreover, much of the Academy is skewed on the 50+ side and
that demographic seemed particularly receptive to the scripts
themes of golden years self-sufficiency and sexuality. 4-1.
The Hobbit: An Unexpected JourneyBy Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh and Philippa Boyens, based on
the novel by J.R.R. Tolkien. It has racked up heaps of money in
its first month of release, but the reviews suggest that this may
have been one visit to Middle-Earth too many. Maybe onlyupon the release of film #3 in 2014 will it be clear whether the
decision to break up the Lord of the Ringsprequel into another
trilogy made artistic (as opposed to sheerly commercial) sense.
But at this juncture, the industry doesnt seem at all persuaded.
We say 7-1.
Les MiserablesFirst Person: Nicholsons respect for the source material didnt
blind him to what he calls some crucial beats that were not
in the show, which we added. He cites a crucial one in the
barricades sequence. Javert [Russell Crowe] is captured, andhes given to Valjean [Hugh Jackman] to execute. Javert says,
Go on, do it, Ive always known all you wanted to do was
kill, and Valjean replies, No, you dont understand, you never
have; I dont want to kill you and he cuts his cords and says,
Just go, setting him free in an astonishing act of magnanim-
ity. Subsequently their roles are reversed, when Javert captures
Valjean as he emerges from the sewers. At that point, I said,
We need the reverse version of that first scene. We now need
Javert to hold the gun to Valjeans head. He realizes his chance
to kill him.
And doesnt.
e parallelgesture, he ex-
plains, brings
out that
Javert cannot
not do what
Valjean has
done for him
let him live
and it drives him mad. Fans of the musical will agree that
this seemingly minor revision strengthens the familiar staging.
Les Misis doing well at the box office, and in spite of really
mixed reviews is probably a lock to be nominated for BestPicture. But despite Nicholsons ingenious bolstering of the
original musicals shaky underpinnings, we spot it as only a 7-1
contender for a writing.
Life of PiBy David Magee, based on the Booker Prize-winning novel
by Yann Martel about a young boy trapped in a lifeboat, after
a storm and sinking at sea, with a man-eating Bengal tiger and
not much else. Tech branches are likely to flip for the unique,
jaw-dropping advances in 3-D and the CGI animal behavior
that director Ang Lee and his prodigious team have wrought.
But some industryites profess dissatisfaction with the modernday wraparound narrative, and the storys frankly metaphysical
yet ambiguous underpinnings. Even though Magee arguably
cracked a novel most had written offas unfilmable, his chances
of being recognized for same are probably only in the neighbor-
hood of 5-1.
LincolnBy Tony Kushner, based in part on Team of Rivals: e
Political Genius of Abraham Lincolnby Doris Kearns Goodwin.
Rumor has it that Kushners acclaimed script is based on only
about six pages of Goodwins tome, but evidently it was theright six pages.
First Person: For an epic motion picture, language is incred-
ibly important in Lincoln, and Kushner explains why: Lan-
guage is incredibly important in politics, and in law, and this is
a film about a legislative process, a governmental process, and
politics. So language really counts Words are going to be re-
ally important. Legislators and politicians build whole societies
out of words. And of course its the nineteenth century, so I had
a lot of fun because I could write very dense and complicated
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language; people spoke it more easily back then. And Im happy
that people find it fun to listen to, and enjoy hearing quotes
from Shakespeare and the Bible. Because Lincoln did that.Focusing less on the rivalry among Lincolns cabinet mem-
bers than the political and ideological struggles leading up to
universal abolition of slavery, Kushners script sets the stakes
high early on, and creates a seemingly insuperable number of
obstacles in the path of passing the irteenth Amendment.
e depth and breadth of the screenwriters additional research
can be felt in virtually every frame of Spielbergs massively
intelligent and respectful epic, but frankly, everyone expected
Kushners Lincolnto be thoughtful, literate and pointed. And of
course history gave him great roles to fill out. But the fact that
the picture is also so damned exciting was the big surprise, and
there seems to be general agreement on Kushners contributionto its impact. eres no way work this notable will be ignored.
No way on earth. Even money.
The Perks of Being a Wallfl owerBy Stephen Chbosky, based on his acclaimed young adult
novel about a troubled high schooler and his coming to terms
with family, friends, and adolescence.
First Person: I came up with the title 21 years ago when
I was a senior in college, Chbosky reports, and I remem-
ber saying ats a good movie title. A few years later, after
thinking about it for a long time, I wrote the book, but I
always thought that it would someday be a movie. ough ittook me 10 years to be finally ready to adapt it. During that
decade, he says, he gained the requisite emotional distance
from the material, as well as figuring out how it should be
transformed for the screen. As anyone knows, to translate an
internal first-person narrative into a third-person objective
film with the same emo-
tional impact and sense
of intimacy is tricky. e
key, he says, was applying
emotional discipline and
restraint. For example,
Charlie reveals on page 2of the book that his best
friend Michael commit-
ted suicide. Which is
fine for the book. But if
I did the same thing on
screen it would become
the suicide movie, so I
had to find the restraint
and discipline to find
the perfect place to drop in this very important information.
A kitchen scene with Sam, an older female student, offered
the opportunity. If the audience realizes this young manhas been harboring these feelings and this very sad piece of
information for 20 minutes, then were going to feel sorry for
him, number one. Number two, there are cynics in the world
who will ask, Why would a bunch of seniors befriend this
freshman? Well, if Charlie reveals this to Sam, whos a really
lovely person, then this would motivate her to take him under
her wing.
Chboskys adaptation is replete with savvy touches like this
one, and the overall sense of smartness he brings to the wildly
overexposed coming-of-age genre is likely a major reason that
his film became, along with Beasts of the Southern Wild, one
of 2012s little movies that could. Academy members reportfalling in love with Perks through their screeners; and those
who have also read the book are quite properly astonished at
Chboskys willingness to attack his own material from such a
different, and more cinematic, perspective. He has a real shot at
a nomination here. Call it 5-2.
QuartetBy Ronald Harwood, based on his stage play in which four
old-time opera stars, relegated to an assisted living facility,
decide to go out swinging by performing their famous Act III
quartet from Rigolettobefore residents and guests.
First Person: e Oscar-winning writer of e Pianisthastaken his plays to the screen before, in e Dresserand Taking
Sides, and hes convinced that the absolute key to the process
is totally transforming the stage work for the alternative me-
dium. Of course youre going to use words or lines that youre
attached to, but in the end its a new work. is time around,
the ending in particular involved a major alteration. Onstage,
the four protagonists conspire to lip synch their famous record-
ing of the Verdi in front of the gala audience. Which in a
film is nonsensical, when you come to think of it, Harwood
expostulates. In a film, everything is dubbed anyway! e
revised ending in the movie is naturalistic, and raises the stakes
for the characters in a more suspenseful and satisfying way.
efilm medium also allowed Harwood to deepen the relation-
ships, so that even though the play is a four-hander while the
movie features dozens of aged residents, one gets to know [the
central characters] better. Its a neat piece of work with some
magnificent acting, but it could be that the classical music mi-
lieu is somewhat alienating to a modern audience such that its
not easy to get wrapped up in their problems. Attention must
always be paid when Harwood writes for the screen, but this
time out the odds of nomination are laid at 6-1.
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The SessionsBy Ben Lewin, based on a personal memoir of the late
Mark OBrien, the writer (profiled in the Oscar-winning
1996 documentary short Breathing Lessons) who battled
polio and the depleting sands of the hourglass to experience
physical love with a sex surrogate and tell everyone about it,
candidly and movingly.
First Person: I hit on the story while surfing the Internet;
I had no agenda to tell this particular sort of story. It was
just the surprise of reading it, and I guess within minutes
of reading it, after I composed myself from the emotional
impact, I decided this would be my next project It was
so compact in its form. Really, most of it is two people in aroom, which in most cases amounts to a boring movie, but
not in this case. I think the simple, powerful, really different
emotions you see in this story are amplified by the people
performing them. ere was an even more practical reason
to take on this tale: We felt we could do it without getting
anyones permission. We wouldnt need to shop it around to
the usual suspects who would as usual say no. We wouldnt
have to move mountains to make it. e awards buzz for
John Hawkes and (especially) Helen Hunt in the two major
roles has if anything grown over time, which means that
more Academy members will move e Sessionsup in their
DVD queue; that, in turn, bodes extremely well for Lewinswriting getting recognized. e screenplay is exceptionally
skillful at 3-1.
Silver Linings PlaybookBy David O. Russell, based on the novel by Matthew Quick.
Russells ongoing preoccupation with complex family dynam-
ics, which took a quantum leap forward with e Fightertwo
years ago, hits a career high as he moves into the romantic
comedy genre with confidence and finesse. Quicks novel is
much, much darker than the vision of the Solitano family that
comes through in the movie, but Russell has kept just enoughof the anger and angst to raise rom-com to a fresh new level.
Even money.
This is 40By Judd Apatow, based on characters from Knocked Up.
Can a screenplay be based on characters? Guess so. Anyway,
the Paul Rudd/Leslie Mann starrer has gotten rather rhapsod-
ic reviews, and that can make a huge difference to a comedys
award chances. To hear them talk, Apatows fellow writers
have been looking for an opportunity to grant the comedic
mega-entrepreneur some recognition, but Bridesmaidslackedaesthetic weight and Funny Peoplejust wasnt enough admired.
But is Is 40, with its serious marriage vs. career and parent
vs. child themes, has a lot more going for it than mere belly-
laughs. Moreover, a goodly number of Academy members are
going through the same growing pains as Pete and Debbie, so
the picture may have a high empathy factor in its favor. All of
that suggests a writing nomination could be within reach, and
so wed say the odds are 3-1in its favor.
THE ORIGINALS
AmourBy Michael Haneke. An elderly man nurses his wife
through a series of debilitating strokes as a little of her but
none of their love disappears every day. Happy Holidays
from Sony Classics. is grim and demanding, but surpris-
ingly lighthearted in places, chronicle of final days is the
undisputed arthouse smash of the year, a likely lock for Best
Foreign Film that may even end up on the Best Picture list as
well.
First Person: e theme is stated succinctly and beautifully
by co-star Emmanuelle Riva when she considersAmourinlight of her first international success in 1959: is was a
chance for me to have lived I say, lived in two films: at age
30, Hiroshima, Mon Amourby Alain Resnais, and at age 84,
Amourby Michael Haneke. e impossible love; and love in
its fulfillment. at simple eloquence is emblematic of the
movies effect. Only a last minute rush to some piece of do-
mestic fare or another will keep it from a writing nod. Calling
it 3-2is probably too conservative.
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ArbitrageBy Nicholas Jarecki. A Wall Street wheeler dealer (Richard
Gere) runs into more than he can easily broker when hes at
the wheel for his mistresss death and gets involved in some
hefty books-juggling. An entertaining showcase for the actor
with some juicy scenes and some singular implausibilities,
the picture is hoping to grab the slot 2011sMargin Call
occupied, though the field is more crowded this year. Well
say 5-1.
Django UnchainedBy Quentin Tarantino. is was the real question mark
in thefi
rst half of awards season, but when it wasfi
nallyunveiled in all its profane, shocking, visually beautiful glory,
out-basterding Inglourious Basterds, its place in the roster of
five writing nominees was assured. e controversy over its
violence, in the shadow of the Newtown, CT massacre, is
unlikely to affect the screenplays chances; if anything, Taran-
tinos bloody representation of the antebellum South should
gain admiration for bringing
todays gun control issues into
starker relief. e nomina-
tors, remember, are writers
themselves, and they know an
audacious piece of work when
they see it. Even money.
End of WatchBy David Ayer. A ter-
rific police procedural, all the
more distinctive for never
getting predictable or Hol-
lywood in how the narrative
of the central buddy cops (Jake Gyllenhaal and Michael Pena)
plays out. Underseen and underrated, Ayers accomplish-
ment will likely be left to future filmgoers to discover and
appreciate. 9-1odds for a nod this year.
FlightBy John Gatins. e Academy has certainly bestowed
kudos on cinematic treatments of addiction in the past. But
such laurels have tended to land on the shoulders of the actors
and actresses who do the suffering (and redeeming), rather
than on those of the writers who lay the groundwork for
believability and manage to avoid clich. So it may go this
year with Flight, for which Denzel Washington is as assured
of a nomination as Gatins who has crafted one of the more
interesting addiction-to-recovery yarns in many years maybe left out in the cold. 4-1.
Hyde Park on HudsonBy Richard Nelson. FDR and his domestic accomplishments
take a back seat to his illicit love life in this perhaps too-obvious
follow-up to e Kings Speech. Nelson isnt widely known,
though to many hes one of the most gifted American dramatists
working today; this feels like something of a finger exercise for
him. A nomination seems an 8-1long shot.
The ImpossibleBy Sergio G. Sanchez. Its in the original category because its
not based on material previously published or produced, as
they say. But Sanchezs thrilling narrative of how a five-member
family survived the unspeakable tsunami catastrophe of 2004 is
solidly grounded in field research and consultation with the Al-
varez Belons, who lived it all.
First Person: Numerous
conversations, especially
with Maria and Lucas (the
mother and oldest son, whose
adventure is the main one
on which the movie focuses),revealed many useful details
which allowed the filmmakers
to root the story in emotional
authenticity. Going to Lucas
and asking, How was the
moment when you were
reunited with your brothers?,
and having him reply Its
very simple to explain: It was the happiest moment in my life
that tells you what you want the audience to feel. Not just
the anguish, but also the moments of overwhelming joy these
people went through there. When Maria (Naomi Watts) andLucas (Tom Holland) stop to rescue a small boy, Sanchez felt
he had to include it. It was the most heroic thing that she
did, and it had nothing to do with their survival, but every-
thing to do with keeping their dignity, and what it means
to be a human being.e Impossibleis a strikingly affecting
experience, though its almost documentary realism may blind
some to how carefully Sanchez constructed the script for
filmmaker J.A. Bayona, so its odds of nomination must be
reckoned in the neighborhood of 5-1.
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LooperBy Rian Johnson. is time-travel thrillers financial suc-
cess has made Johnson a very hot property, and he likely has
one or more award contenders in his future. is particular
story has all the high-concept cleverness of such nominated
flicks as Memento and e Usual Suspects, but is widely
perceived to lack a certain amount of their thematic heft.
So well say: 7-1, while guessing that of all the long shots
profiled in this piece, Loopermight be the least surprising
addition to the final five.
The MasterBy Paul omas Anderson. Certainly the most divisivepicture, and screenplay, of the year. All the pre-release hub-
bub about the auteurs interest in exploring and maybe
exposing the career of L. Ron Hubbard was quickly
forgotten once the movie saw the light of day, and critics
fought over the strangeness of the set pieces (that race in the
desert??), the ambivalence of the central character relation-
ships, and the murky themes. e loose anti-structure of
ere Will Be Bloodwas a surprise after the tight, logical
Boogie Nights, but having seen Blood any serious moviegoer
should have been ready to accept the weirdly asymmetrical
narrative of e Master. Anyhow, the Daniel Day-LewisOscar-winning vehicle was nominated and so will this script
be. Even money.
Middle of NowhereBy Ava DuVernay. A registered nurse looks back in
sorrow and forward in determination when her husband,
for whom she dropped out of med school when he was
imprisoned, is about to be released. No one would be
happier than your correspondent if the Academy were to
add a nomination to the lengthy list of indie awards and
nods this moody, understated picture has already garnered.But like Pariahlast year, its mojo was working full tilt for
a while this award season, and then seems to have slowed.
10-1odds from here, alas.
Moonrise KingdomBy Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola. Confession: Im
pretty blind to the appeal of Andersons oeuvre. Its too twee,
too predigested, and just too smug for my taste. Moreover,
for the life of me I cant see much difference between this
one and all of Andersons others. (e one exception I
found was the charming Fantastic Mr. Fox, whose narrativestrength I credit to its adaptation from a solidly structured
source.) Still, almost everyone else seems to findMoonrisea
cut above the rest, Andersons masterpiece; so his first nod
since e Royal Tanenbaums(not a favorite, I admit) seems
virtually assured. Oh, well. 3-2.
Not Fade AwayBy David Chase. A young Jersey boy starts a rock band in
the 60s. A grittier, darker at ing You Do!, its the long-
awaited feature debut of the creator of e Sopranos.
First Person: Chase worked on this filmscript offand on
during the years of e Sopranos, and then when it was over,and so it seemed opportune to ask him: How do you know
the script is done? When is it time to stop and show it to
friends, co-workers, your kitchen cabinet? After a pause, he
replied, Its a really interesting question. I think, for me, I
reach stages where Im played out on it. I feel like Ive done it,
and it seems like yeah, its pretty good; and yet I know its got
problems, but I cant see them anymore. I cant see the way
clearly. So I try to get my (and thats a good phrase) kitchen
cabinet to read it and give me a little bit of guidance. Youve
just dug so deep into it, youre too close to see it anymore.
I mean, youre working on it for four or five months and
the very sight of it makes you vomit! You know youve gotsomething hopefully but youre not sure what should be
focused on. In the end, his movie is charming and quirky
and not for every taste. (ough not quite so much any of
those traits asMoonrise Kingdom.) Anyway, it screened too
late in the year to get a great deal of traction in early critics
polling, and initial reviews were too mixed to get much of a
steamroller going. Nomination odds only 8-1, but I guarantee
this is a movie (and a screenplay) sure to attract a coterie of
fans and, just maybe, cult status in the future.
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Promised LandBy John Krasinski and Matt Damon; story by Dave Egg-
ers. A rep of Big Energy (Damon) locks horns with a hippie
environmentalist (Krasinski) when he tries to bring natural
gas wells and wealth to an ailing Pennsylvania hamlet.
First Person: We knew wed be pegged as the anti-frack-
ing movie, admits an earnest Damon, so John and I went
out of our way to not stack the deck one way or the other.
We did a lot of research and got the main arguments of
both sides in
there. Still,
the films
decided
slant towardthe simple,
uncluttered
life makes
it difficult
to see how a back-to-basics lifestyle could ever coexist with
backyard drilling and potentially poisoned aquifers. Under
the cool, considered eye of Good Will Huntinghelmer GusVan Sant, the story plays out about as gently and enjoyably
as it could, with a neat (though to some, implausible) O.
Henry twist along the way. e good will theyre hunting
has been reflected in some but not all the early reviews, so
4-1seems right.
Ruby SparksBy Zoe Kazan. Earlier in the year it looked to waltz into
the slot that seems to be reserved for piquant indie serio-
comedies like Little Miss SunshineandJuno. But this year
Silver Linings Playbookhas that slot cornered, and Rubynever quite achieved the prominence that was expected.
Maybe because of an ending that was widely felt to be
unsatisfying? Anyway, well call it 8-1.
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BOB VERINI is the Los Angeles-based theatercritic for Daily Variety, for whom he also contributesfeatures on film, theater and television. Since 2000he has been a senior writer for Script Magazine,also their resident go-to guy for all things Oscarrelated, and a frequent moderator of live screening
talkback sessions and podcast Q&As on industry topics.
Seven PsychopathsBy Martin McDonagh. e legitimate theaters foremost
purveyor of shock (e Beauty Queen of Leenane; e Lieu-
tenant of Inishmore) made a cinematic name for himself with
the Oscar-winning short Six Shooterand the nominated In
Bruges. is new multistar violent epic wasnt seen as making
the creative leap it promised, so despite some Tarantino-
esque dialogue and situations, its odds are likely 5-1.
Wreck-It RalphBy Phil Johnston and Jennifer Lee; story by Rich Moore,
Johnston, and Jim Reardon. Your faithful correspondent
would rank this as perhaps #2 or #3 of all the years screen-plays. What a delightful mlange of familiar videogame
characters, unique original characters, choice dialogue, and a
complex but logical premise and execution! However, unless
the words Toy and Story are in the title, an animated
films script has very little chance to be named among the
favored five. 4-1.
Zero Dark ThirtyBy Mark Boal. Boded to be named Best Screenplay Based
on Subpoenaed Material, this true-life follow-up to e
Hurt Locker, by Oscar winner Boal, has won the respect if
not the affection of most everyone who counts. Everybody,especially the Writers Branch, knows the backstory of how
quickly Boal had to research the bin Laden SEAL mission
in order to get Kathryn Bigelows epic procedural before the
cameras in a way that would pass muster by military experts.
at he was able, at the same time, to bring out so much
moral and emotional ambiguity is an achievement no one
will deny, least of all the Writers Branch. An even money
bet for nomination.
So there you have it.
The Nomination Predictions from here:
AdaptedArgo; Beasts of the Southern Wild; Lincoln; Silver Linings
Playbook;and either e Sessions, e Perks of Being a Wall-
floweror is Is 40.
OriginalAmour; Django Unchained; e Master; Moonrise Kingdom;
Zero Dark irty.
And the winners?Wow. ats a tough one. Itd likely be Lincolnvs. Playbook
in the adapted category, whereas any of those five originals
(not to mention a couple others weve considered above)
could take home the bacon. Ill go out on a very treacherous
limb and say Tony Kushner and Mark Boal are most likely
to add a statuette to their mantels on Feb. 24. But I refuse to
count the others out. Were in for some fun, sports fans.
O s c a r P r e v i e w
O S C A R S IS A R E G I S T E R E D T R A D E M A R K AN D S E R V I C E M A R K OF T H E AC A D E M Y OF MO T I O N P I C T U R E S AR TS AN D S C I E N C E S ( "ACADEMY") . IMAGE CREDITS : (PAGE 2) ANN A
KA R E N I N A/KE I R A KN I G H T L E Y ; P H O T O CO U R T E S Y OF F O C U S F E A T U R E S (PAGE 3 ) A RG O/J OH N GO O D M A N , A LA N A R K I N , B E N AF F L E C K ; P H O T O CO U R T E S Y OF WA R N E R B R O T H E R S .
B E A S T S OF T HE S O U T H E R N W I LD ; PH O T O CO U R T E S Y OF JE SS P I N K H A M (PAGE 4 ) L E S M I S E R A B L E S/A NN E HA T H A W A Y , HUG H JA C K M A N ; P H O T O CO U R T E S Y OF UN I V E R S A L . (PAGE
5) T H E P E R K S OF B E I N G A WA L L F L O W E R/S C R E E N W R I T E R S T E P H E N CH B O S K Y ; P H O T O CO U R T E S Y OF S U M M I T E N T E R T A I N M E N T . (PAGE 6 ) T H E S E S S I O N S/H E L E N H UN T/J OH N HA W K E S ;
PH O T O CO U R T E S Y OF F OX S E A R C H L I G H T P I C T U R E S . (PAGE 7 ) D J A N G O U N C H A I N E D ; PH O T O C O U R T E S Y OF T H E WE I N S T E I N CO M P A N Y . (PAGE 8 ) T HE MA S T E R/D A N I E L D AY- L E W I S ;
PH O T O C O U R T E S Y OF TWC & A N N A P U R N A P I C T U R E S . (PAGE 9 ) T HE P R O M I S E D L AN D/M AT T D A M O N ; P H O T O C O U R T E S Y OF F O C U S F E A T U R E S . (PAGE 10 ) O S C A R; PH O T O C O U R T E S Y
OF R O B Y N B E C K; AFP/G E T T Y I M A G E S
10 Script maga ine