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THE FADING OF RADIO ECHOES FROM THE IONOsm:ml
by
John Herbert Chapman
A thesis submitted in partial :f'u1tilment ot
the reouirements for the degree of' Doctor ot
Phi1osophy in the Faculty of' Gradœte Studies
and Research
Eaton Electronics Research Laboratory
McG111 University, Mon treal
August 1951
TABLE OF CONTDTTS Page
s~ ....................................................... 1
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• ii
I INTRODUCTION •••••••••••···•••••••••••••••••••••••·•••••••••• l
II RECENT FADING THEORY •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 4
2.1 Diffraction from Ion Clouds ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 4
2.2 Hecbanism of Scatteri.ng from an Irregularity in Ionization •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 9
III EXPERIMENTAL TECHNIQUES ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 11
J.l Exper.i.JIIBntal Apparatus •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 11
3.2 Methods of Analysis ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 19
3.3 Errors of Wind Measurements ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 21
3.4 Recording Programs •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 24
IV WIND MEASUREMENTS •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 26
4.1 Mean Drift Velocity ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 26
4.2 Diurnal Wind Variations ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 26
4.3 Variation of Wini Velocity with Height • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 27
v ANALISIS OF PERIODIC WIND VARIATIONS ••••••••••••••••••••••• 39
5.1 Har.monic Analysis ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 39
5.2 Solar Harmonies, Region E ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 39
5.3 Lunar Harmonies, Region E •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
5.4 S'UliiiD8.l7 of Periodic Variations in Wind Velocity at llO km.. 47
VI SOLAR AND LUNAR TIDES IN TIŒ ATMOSPHERE •••••••••••••••••••
6.1 Theory of Tid.al Oscillations •• •· •••••••••••••••• •·.... 48
6.2 Winds from Sinusoïdal Pressure Variations ••••••••••••• 51
6.3 Estiua te of Pressure Oscillations Causing Winds • • • • • • • 52
VII
VIII
WINDS AND IOOOSPHERIC S'l'ORMS •••••••••••••••••••••••••
Page
55
7.1 Ionospberic Storm Indices •• • • • •• • • • • • • •• • • • • • • • • • 55
7.2 Region E Observations •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 56
7.3 Region F Observations •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 58
7.4 Discussion of Storm Winà.S ••••••••••••••••••••••••
CONCLUSIONS •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
58
61
APPENDII I •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 62
APPENDIX II ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 64
APPENDII III
APPENDIX IV
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
77
81
~~ERENCES •••••••••••••••••••••••l•••••••••••••••••••••• 83
i
SUMMARY
The fading of a single echo retlected trom the ionosphere has
been investilated experimentally by periodic sampling ot amplitude
variations at spaced receivers, tor one year. Regular time displace
ments in the fading records have been measured and analysed and have
been tound to be consistent with assumed horizontal motion of irregular
ities in the ionosphere.
Variations consistent with solar and lunar atmospheric tides have
been located in the E region through the semi-diurnal winds at this
level. The wind magnitude is of the order predicted by the theory of
Taylor and Pekeris.
It has been shown that the dritt velocity in the F layer increases
with an increase of the K-index ot magnetic activity, indicating a
strong geo-magnetic control in this layer. A similar ettect is not
observed in the E region until the K-index exceeds tour. The wind
systems in the E and F regions appear to arise from different causes.
The tading ot radio echoes is to a large extent governed by winds in
the retlecting layer.
The claim of original work is based on certain aspects of the
experimental arrangements, on the discovery of the atmospheric tides
at the llO km. level, and on the demonstration ot an increase in wind
velocity in the ionosphere during a storm.
ii
AOKNOWI.EDGMENTS
The author wishes to acknowledge the assistance of the Defence
Research Telecommunications Establishment, Radio Physics Laboratory,
Ottawa, who made the eQuipment for this research available for use
at McGill University. The problem was suggested by Mr. J .w. Co::z: and
supported by :Mr. F.T. Devies, Superintendent of the D.R.T.E. To these
gentlemen and to Dr. T.w. Straker who has helped guide the project,
the author is very grateful.
Thanks are also due to the Executive of the City of Montreal for
permission to use the city reservoir as a recording site, and to all
the graduate students of the Eaton Electronics Research Laboratory tor
their aid at various times. The assistance ot the Research Council ot
Ontario in providing a Scholarship, and the National Research Counoil
in gran ting a Fellowship to the au thor is greatly appreeiated. Finally,
thanks are also due to Protessor G.A. Woonton, Director ot this Labor
atory, w1 thout who se encouragement and guidance the researeh eould not
have been made.
1
I DrmODUCTION
The phenomenon of fading of radio wa.ves has been the subject of
inquiry for the past ouarter century. It has become elear that the
phenomenon is oaused by the interference of waves Whieh have travelled
from the transmit ter to the recei ver by paths of different length. Experi
menta have progressed from the stufy of such multiple paths to the study
of the fine structure of the ionosphere using the fading of a singly
refleeted echo as a research tool.
The earliest use of fading as a tool for probing the ionosphere was
the Appleton "fret'lueney change 11 method of measuring the height of the
ionosphere by the interference of the ground and sk:y waves. (1) The
discovery of the presence of a number of ionized layera in the upper
atmosphere and the development of the magneto-ionie theory of radio wave
propagation in this region have sinee elucidated the causes of multiple
path transmission.
In 1933, Ratcliffe and Pawsey (2) observed that a wave refleeted
but once from the ionosphere was subject to fading. They eoncluded that
the effeet was due to interference between wavelets scattered from
irregularities in ionization in the reflecting region. This conclusion
has since been eontirmed by the measurements of Eekersley (3}, Mitra (4),
MeNieol (5} and others. Pawsey (6) also observed that fading at t'WO
receivers diaplaced about a wavelength apart on the ground was similar
in form but appeared to be shifted in time. He suggested that this was
evidence of a horizontal motion of irregularities in the ionosphere since
the velocity calculated on that assumption was of the same order as that
observed by Stormer (7) on the drift of noetiluscent clouds at 80 km. and
by Trowbriàge (8) on the drift of long-enduring meteor trails. Furbher
2
observations with spaced receivers by Krautkramer (9), Mitra (10), and
the present author (11, 12) have tended to confirm Pawsey•s suggestion
of ionospheric drift.
Recent theory on the subject has made clear the probable mechanism
of the phenomenon of fading. Ratcliffe (1.3) has sb.own how the random
motion of irregW.ari ti es in the ionosphere scatters the radio wave and
changes the freauency by a Doppler effect to produce fading of the received
signal. Booker (14) has deaëribed how irregW.arities ot ionization cause
the scattering postW.ated by Ratcliffe. The overall affect of a large
number of irregularities or ion clouds is to produce a diffraction pattern
on the ground, mich Booker, Ratcliff'e and Shinn (15) have related to the
statistical properties ot irregularities at the level of reflection. The
way in which the twc affects, random change of the diffraction pattern and
the drift of the pattern on the ground are combined in the fading recorda,
has been described by Briggs, Phillips and Shinn. (16)
The period of the fading observed in these experimenta and which appeers
to be explained by these theories is of the order of a few seconds. Another
type of fading is observed with a period of the order of 10 minutes. This
slow fading has been described by Ross (17) as due to "tilt 11 of the ionosphere.
A theory of the propagation of cellular waves in the ionosphere developed by
Martyn (18) and apparently in agreement with observations byMunro (19)
may of'fer an explanation of slow fading.
The investigation reported in this thesis has as its purpose the search
for winds in the upper atmosphere by observation of fading at spaced receivers.
The relation of those winds to terrestrial magnetic phenomene and to world
wide atmospheric tides has been studied. An apparent increase of wind
velocity during disturbed magnetic conditions has been round and also a
variation consistent with solar and lunar tides expected at ionospheric
levels. ~is agreement with phenomena not direetly connected with
fading is confirmatory evidence of the essential truth of the theories
of fading mentioned above.
4
II RECENT FADING 'llŒORY
2.1 Diffraction from Ion Clouds
In this chapter, the recent mathematical theory of fading developed
around the postulate of scattering from irregularities in the ionosphere
is diseussed briefly. Wbile not essential to the study of winds this
discussion shows that a logical explanation of the phenomenon of fading
has been developed.
Ratcliftess Theorz of Fading.
Ratclifte (13) considered the following tacts about the fading of a
radio echo singly re~lected from the ionosphere.
1. The speed of fading is roughly proportional to freouency.
2. The speed ot fading is inversely proportional to the distance of
the transmitter.
3. At vertical incidence, the fading shows dissimilari ty at points
separated by one wavelength.
To explain these observations, Ratcliffe made the following assumptions:
1. The downcoming wave is returned to the reeei ver by a process of
scattering from irregularities distributed in a horizontal plane.
2. Each seattering centre scatters the same power.
3· The centres are in continuel random motion with velocities dis-
tributed according to a Gaussian law.
4. The phases of contributions from different centres are randomly
distributed since the centres are at random distances.
From these assumptions, Retcliffe showed that the treauency f 0 , of a
wavelet scattered by a centre moving with a velocity v in the line of
sight would undergo Doppler frenueney shift to a new freouency t gi ven by,
f "" f 0 (1 + 2 y). c
(1)
5
He recognized that the combination of many auch wavelets is eauivalent to
passing "white 11 noise through a Gaussian filter, and ahowed that the prob-
ability P (R) of f'inding an amplitude R between R and R + dR is given by:
P (R) = R exp (- R2
) (2) ., 21f
wb.ere Y= total power in the wave.
This expression was f'irst developed by Rayleigh (20) in connection with the
combination of' a large number of' sound waves of' random amplitude and phase.
For this reason, this type of' fading is usually called Rayleigh fading. The
expression has been cheeked experimentally and has been extended f'or the
case in which a steady, specularly ref'lected signal is also present. (4, 5)
Diffraction from the Ionosphere
The theory of' scattering from irregularities in the ionosphere has
been extended to include diffraction patterns f'ormed by an ionosphere
containing a large number of irregulari ties in the horizontal plane. Booker,
Rateliffe and Shinn (15) have studied the statistical properties of the
Fresnel diffraction pattern and have related it to the statistical properties
of' the dif'fracting screen. They have shown tb. at the sc ale of the irregular-
ities in the diffraction pattern is of the same order as the aize of the
irregularities in the ionosphere. Radio measurements place the aize of
the irregularities at about 200 metres. (21)
It is shown that the ionosphere may behave like a 1completaly rougl:l 1
diffracter to wavelengths longer th an 200 metres, in which case the ground
pattern is unoorrelated at points separated by half a wavelength. It is
also shown t.hat the diffraction pattern oould be produced b,r an ionosphere
in which the irregul.arities were in random motion, or in which the irregular-
i ties had a steady horizontal drift. The two f'orms of fading are indis-
tinguishable at one observation point on the ground and both mechanisms
6
are presumed to operate at once.
Separation of Random Fading and Drift Fading
The separation of the two types of fading from observations at spaced
receivers has been eonsidered by Briggs, Ehillips and Shinn. (16) First
consider the uniform drift of a diffraction pattern over the ground from
an unchanging ionosphere. In Fig. 1, let A, 0 and B be points of observation
at the corners of a ri.ght-angled triangle. The diffraction pattern is
shown by contours of constant amplitude R, dritting with a veloci ty V in
the direction indicated. On the average these contours are circles, and
the pattern changes at an angle ~ wi th OB. Now a detail which passes 0
can never recur in exactly the same form at B (unless ~ is zero} but a
somewhat similar variation is obta.ined a.t B, w:Lth a t:l.me lag correspond.ing
to the time taken tor the pattern to traverse the projection of OB on the
line of motion of tb. e pattern. AB a resul t of the measuremnt s a.t 0 and B
then, an apparent veloeity V'x is observed, defined as the length OB
di vided by the observed ti me lag. It can be seen that
v• =v x -cos~
(3)
It will be noted tl:l.at this apparent velocity along OB is greater than the
true velocity V of the pattern.
It iB found. however that the veloci ty Vx at which an observer would
have to move along OB in order to reduce the apeed of fading as observed
by him to a minimum is gi ven by
Vx =V cos ~
The difference between V'x and Vx increases as ~ increases.
(4)
Similar expressions can be found for the two velocities in the OA
direction.
8
v• = v (5) Y sin ~
vy = v sin r6 (6}
The auantities V1 and V' can be measured directly from an exam.ination ot x y
the fading records. Combining equations (3) and (5 ) ,
and tan f6 = v• ...!... v•
y
(7)
(8)
lt must be emphasized that these last two eauations are strictly true only
tor an unchenging diffraction pattern. ln particular> eauation (7) will
give an incorrect value tor the drift velocity if the pattern is changing
at all rapidly w1 th time. Another conclusion ie that fading recorde will
not be entirely similar even if there is no change ta.king place in the
diffraction pattern except tor the steady drift. Finelly one cannot estimate
the am.ount of random change taking place from a casuel inspection of the
fading records.
The far :more difticult problem of analysing records in Y.ilich random
change as well as drift are combined has been considered by these authors.
They show that by determining the auto-correlation tunction of each fading
record, and the cross-correlation tunction between each pair of receivers,
the etfects may be separated. The analysis tor the simple drift model
considered above is show.n to be free of serious error When the fading records
between receivers are not much different. This conclusion justifies the
method of analysis used in the reaearch reported in this thesis.
9
2.2 The Mechanism of Scattering from an Irregularity in Ionization
The Booker Theorz
The proeess by which sn irregularity in ionization seatters a radio
wave has been investigated by Booker in a paper read to the Conference on
Ionospheric Propagation at the Pennsylvania State College in July 1950·
The theory is adapted from a paper by Booker and Gordon (14) on tropospheric
scattering. Booker shows that the power scattered at an angle e to the
angle of inci denee and sn angle )( w1 th the direction of the incident field
is cr (9, X) gi ven by
( 2u l) 3 sin2 X
= ~ · (AN\ 2
~(1 +( ~1 sin ~)'J2 TJ cr(&, X) (9)
per unit solid angle, per unit incident power density, and per unit
macroscopic element of volume.
where 2 (~) = mean sQuare fraetional deviation of the electron densi ty
from the average
= wa.velength in the medium
= ~ (fm is the critical penetration frequency) rn
= scala of turbulence, a m.easure or the radius of a 11blob 11 •
Booker's development or this expression is given in Appendix I. It is not
otherwise available in the literature.
For scattering at vertical incidence, X is nearly 90° and sin2X:::::.L
If !:t'!Il:_ >> 1, (blobs large compared to )..} the power scattered backward is À. 4
proportional to ).. • If kJI.!. <.< 1 (blobs small eompared to )..) , the power )..
scattered f'orward or backward is constant, independant of )... This type of'
scattering from (relatively) small clouds of ions is believed to be
10
responsible for the spread echoes from the F region at night, and the
high freouency echoes from sporadic E. Booker 1s theory is a significant
advance in the study of small scale effects in the ionosphere.
ll
III EXPERDJENTAL TECHNIQUES
3.1 Experimental Apparatus
A vertical-incidence ionosphere sounding eauipment for the study
of fading is essentially a radar-type installation with the addition of
extra receivers which are spaced on the ground to sample at different
points, the echo returned from the ionosphere.
Radio-freouency pulses are radiated upward by a delta antenna. The
entenna is supported on the roof of the Eaton Laboratory by a 60-foot steel
mast shown in Fig. 2. One of the sauare receiving loops can also be seen
on the upper platform of the roof. Two more of the reoei ving loops can be
seen in Fig. 3 on the top of the city reservoir adjacent to the Eeton
Laboratory. The cables going from the receivers in the Laboratory to the
loops are suspended over the roadway and lie on the top of the reservoir.
The central recording station is shown in Fig. 4. In the left-hand
rack are two transmitters (one spare), a mainsdistribution panel and the
power supplies. To the right, the second rack oontains the monitor cathode
ray tube, chassie for generating the gate pulse for selecting a particular
echo and for tuning the pre-amplifiera at the base of the receiving antennas,
and a receiver, (no. 4). Next is the recorder with motor-driven camera,
and finally, three recei vers (nos • 1, 2 and 3) • Another view of the
recorder wi th the camera removed to show the two cathode ray tubes and the
two lenses of the camera is shown in Fig. 5.
In Fig. 6 are shown the layout of the recei ving antennas, and the
method of presentation of fading records. The recei ving-antennas are at
the corners o:r a right-angled triangle, of lOO .metres to the si de. This
distance was found to g1 ve the greatest number of usef'ul records, being
long enough to show a convenient time shift between records, yet not so
long tb.at the records were appreciably di ssimilar. The antennes are aligned
14
Fig. 4 The Central Recording Station, showing in order from the left,
the Transmitters and Power Supplies, the monitor C.R.T. and Control
Chassie, the Recorder, and three Receivers.
_R~c. 1
Rec. 2
Rec. 3
16
Ant. 1
lOO m.
A nt. 2 lOO m. A nt. 3
Antenne Ar rang~ ment
Double B~am C.R.T. s
Photographie Recorder
One Second Time Markers
-------
Moving Paper
Fig.6 Receiving Antennes and Recorder
18
·,
1 '
1 )
l J 1 ' 1 \
1 : 1 .
1 )
1 ) 1 1 1 ·.
1 )
l 1 ) 1 / 1
1' ~ t 1' \ 1 (
1 ) 1 J
r i ) 1
1 ) 1 .
1 · , 1 ,
f ) 1) 1 \ 1 1 1 )
i J 1\ 1 )
1 )
!l 1 ( 1\ ~/
l> If ,. J? 1 •
0' c ·-
E ~
0 ,.... N
c 0 ·-
u.
,..., 0
~ L.
0 u w Œ
-0
~
L. 0 a.
CD . 0'
u.
u 0
w >
c
E L.
0 ~
en u ·-
"' 0 c 0 -c 0
l9
vertically in the north-south plane, for reasons which will be made
clear later. The signals picked up by the antennas are carried on cables
to the three recei vers, where they are ampli fied and detected. A:t'ter
passing through a selective gate, they are impressed on the deflector
plates of two double beam cathode ray tubes. The iiiiBges on the C.R.T.
faces are focussed on moving photographie paper as show.n. The centre
record is seen to be inverted with respect to the other two. This is a
consequanc~ of the use of double beam cathode ray tubes, in which similar
voltAges on the two Y-pl~tes produce opposite directions of deflection.
Some typicel records are shown in Figs. 7 and 8.
3.2 Methods of Analysis
In Chapter II i t was shown that two factors, random variation and
drift of the diffraction pattern are contained in each record. The method
of separating these effects by the calculation of auto- and cross correlation
coefficients is mainly of theoretical interest due to the labour involved.
A more practical but still laborious procedure is to calculate the difference
function A to determine the time shift between records.
A= JR(t) - R(t +1")1 (10)
where R( t) and R( t + T) are the amplitudes of the signal
at time t and t + T , the average being carried out
over t, for different values of ~ •
In Fig. 9 are shown several of the results of calculations from one
record. The process involves measuring the amplitude of the signal at one
second intervals for several minutes of record depending on the fading
speed, then finding the m.ean value of the differences taken ·wi thout regard
'0 c.. 0 u CiiJ a::
20
0
N 1
VI
-o c 0 v CiiJ
"' ~
Il
<J
c 0
..,J
v c ::J u..
c 0 ..,J
0
w 1.. 1..
0 v 11'1 VI
0 1..
u 0\
0
u..
21
to sign, between the :fading curves from two recei vers. The procedure is
repeated a:tter shifting one curve one second with respect to the other,
and so on. This process takes at least :tour hours for each record. Never
theless 1 t was done to check the measurements by a more rapid method liln
enougn cases to ensure that no serious error was being made.
The more rapid first used by Mi tra and Krautkramer forma the basis
for the analysis in this thesis. The positions of the maxima and minima
in the fading curves from the three recei vers are m.arked on the record.
The average time shift between corresponding maxima and minima is :tound
:tor tv.JO fading curves. A second determination :tor the two recei vers in
a line at right angles to the f'irst two is made. The two ti me shi:tts so
determined are used to calculate the apparent drift velocities. Enuations
(7) and (8) are then used to :tind the drift velocity on the ground.
Neither of the last two methods gives a measure of the random fading,
which could cause a serious error in the end result. The thoory shows that
the error is unlikely to be large i:t the fading curves between reoei vers
are very similar. Renee records Which have been analysed have been selected
on this basis and a subjective weight allotted depending on the correlation
between the fading curves from the separate receivers.
3 ·3 Errors in Wind Measurements
Errors in wind measurements can be divided into tv.JO groups, first
those involving analysis of records, end second those caused by polarization
fading e:tfects. The fundamantal measuremnt obtained from the records is
o:t time, the time lag of corresponding ma.zima and minima. The measurements
are made with a 1/50 inch scale marked on a plastic ruler. Ten divisions
ne arly correspond to one second (1.0.3 seo a. actually). The di visions can
be apli t, g1. ving a maximum accuracy of .:t. 1/20 sec. Subtracti on of the ti me
22
readings g1 ves an error in the result o:f :t. 1/10 second.
In the case ot very short ti me shifts, that is records of high
velocity winds, this is the limiting factor. The measuremmts of wind
magnitude and direction are at beat good to only 20%, w1 th an upper limi t
(of resolution) of about 1000 metres per second on the ground.
A check on this method of estimating time differences was made a
number of times by calculation of 4 function' v.hich are statistically far
more reliable. Some resulta of the check are shown in the ibllowing table.
Record Method of Number Measurement
355 A
Time 1ag
Â
Time 1ag
Time Differences, seconds
Rec. 1-2 Rec. 2-3
0.58
o.u -0.45
-0.32
0.17
0.16
-0.57
-0.65
Wlnd Magnitude, m/s
88
120
70
70
Wind Direction
The tw methode give comparative resulta, though the 6analysis is much
more time consuming.
The other known sources of errer are due to the peculiar polarizatiun
of the echoes returned from the ionosphere. The two magneto-ionie modes
are elliptieally polarized in opposite senses. The orientation of the
ellipse at the ground apparently changes (rotates) w1 th a period of the
order of the observed fading (22). The resu1t is to give an apparent time
displa.ce.n:ent of the fading at tw antennes at the same po si tien on the
ground, but oriented in different vertical planes. Some records showing
a spurious "drittn in this manner have been published by Mitra (10) who
first pointed out its harmful affects. The errer introduced by as little
as 30° difference in the vertical planes of two antennes is sur ficient to
2.3
disguise all affects due to a real drift. What at first was believed to
be evidence of non-unifo~ drift velocity with increased antenna epacing
was e:v:entually traced to this affect. A fourth antenne, placed at the
centre of the hypotenuse of the triangle of antennes gives a ready check
of the constancy of the apparent drift and enables doubtful records to be
discarded. The relative significance of fading in a linear antenna due
to this cause has not yet been tully investigated.
A further cause of error is what may be called "polarization" fading.
This is fading due to the interference between the two magneto ionie com
ponents. Since the components travel different paths, and the path lengths
are probably changing steadily, the relative phase of the two eomponents
changes eyclically, produeing an almost sinusoidal fading pattern. This
can often be detected as a ripple on the random fading caused by the
scattering process, and records which showed this characteristic were dis
carded.
'There are severa! 1:1ays of reducing the influence of polarization fading.
One of the magneto-ionie modes can be selected with the movable gate, if
the modes are separated in height by choosing a freouency near the cri tical
penetration freouency. This invol vas opera ting in a narrow frequency band,
which may be occupied by other transmissions, or the echoes may be "spread11
in height so much as to be useless. There is no signiti canee to an "ampli
tude" Vlben a score or more soattered echoes from apparent heights differing
by tans of kilometres are combined in the echo.
Polarization fading can be neglected during the daytime, if the operating
freauency is lesa than 75% of the critical penetration freouenoy of the layer.
This useful method of avoiding polarization fading occurs because the extra
ordinary mode is highly absorbed at freouencies of three megacycles and
below.
A third method of avoiding polarization fading has been described in
Appendix II. If a nearly circularly polarized wave is propa.gated, ot that
sense which at the time is most favourable tor retlection, the unwa.nted
mode is so weak as to be insignifica.nt. The ordina.ry (left-handed) mode
is usua.J.ly transmitted, as in general it is the most favoured mode e:xcept
close to the criticsl freauency.
The use of a tourth recei ver and an tanna as mentioned above, of a
transmitting antenne. to fa.vour one magneto-ionie component, and an experienced
observer to analyse the records,can be relied on to avoid serious errors
due to pola.rization affects from attect1ng the measurements.
3 .4 Recording PJ:ograms
Sb.ortly atter the reeording was begun, it was learned that an agreement
had been made between a group at the National Bureau of Standards in Wash
ington and the Cavendish group, to measure winds on three deys each month.
The resulte were to be com;pared tor evidence of world-wide wind systems in
the upper atmosphere. It was theretore decided to record as much as possible
on these 11 internationsl days", and to make the data available tor eompa.rison
with the other two groups. Further, if records were taken on deys sel.ected
by an arbitrary system, the tendancy for a subjective selection of recording
daye muld be overcome.
This wlicy was followed from August 1960. Records were taken until
October in Ottawa, and from December in Montreal. No records were taken
during November as the eauipment was in the process of erection. Data were
obtained on other daye as well, vmen conditions in the ionosphere were
disturbed during the international daye.
In all, 1154 recorda of an average length of four minutes, were
obtained. About 500 wind determinations were made, evenly di vided between
E and F regions. A smaller percentage of uaeful recorda waa obtained
during the winter months. Midday absorption at lower freauenciea and
spread echoes at nigb.t caused poor records. Other factors \'il.ich made
recorda useless for wind determinations were fading wb.ich was too slow,
too rapid, or too shallow, interference from other transmissions, and
low signal-to-noise ratio. Of these, only the last can be affected by
improvements in eauipment or technioue.
26
IV WIND ME.ASURI!lŒNTS
4.1 Mean Drift Velocity
The re sul ts of measurement s of dri tt of the diffraction pattern on
the ground interpreted as due to wind in the ionosphere are gi ven in this
chapter. The wind velocities shown are half the magnitude of the drift
velocity on the ground. In Figs. 10, 11, 12, 13 are shown a few of the
observationsc.of winds on typical quiet deys. Two plots, one for each vect~r
component, represent one wind determination. A casual inspection of the
observations from the E region shows a trend for a wind vector increasing
towards the north during the afternoon, and having a minimum eastward about
noon. This trend will be discussed in more detail later.
The histograms of Figs. 14, 15 show freauency of occurrence against
wind velocity in metres par second for the E and F regions respectively.
The mode or most freauent velocity is 80 metres par second for the E region
and lOO metres par second for the F. These figures are not tru1y indicative
of a difference in wind velocity between the two regions because the
observations were not complementary. The tendency has been to record on
E region echoes only during the daytime. Most of the daytime F observations
were made because E echoes were not obtainable. Also, E region observations
are, with the exception of a few E sporadic echoes, entirely restricted to
day1ight hours.
4.2 Diurnal Wind Variations
Observations tak:en over a few deys served to show tb.at a regular
variation of the wind vectors occurred in the E region. To learn the
nature of this variation, the wind components were grouped into intervals
of one hour, centred on the hour, and the weighted hour1y averages obtained
as shown in Fig. 16. About 250 observations tak:en over a period of
27
thirteen months are incorporated in the data. The hourly means fall on a
smooth curve, of nearly 12 hour period , and about 40 metres per second
amplitude. The mean values obtained before 0600 and atter 1700 hours are
unreliable because of the paucity of observations obtainable on the E region
outside of' the day1ight hours. The two curves in Fig. 16 are believed to
represent the true diurnal wind variations in the E region. The cause of
the predominately semi-diurnal variation is discussed later.
No such variation is f'ound in the F region observations. There may be
a tendenoy for winds to blow east in the daytime and west at night, possibly
reversing in the winter months. The data are not complete enough to deter
mine this trend more defini tel y. The hourly mean values of the wind oom
ponents for the wbole period of' observation are more or 1ess randomly dis
tributed about the datum line and do not show the smooth variation of the
E region hourly eans.
All the data for the E region are shown on the scatter diagram of
Fig. 17, and for the F region in Fig. 18. The observations considered
lesa reliable are shown by dots of a smal1er aize. For convenience, the
smooth curve of Fig. 16 is shown on the scatter diagram for the E region.
The observations are seen to faU in a random manner about this curve.
4.3 Variation of Wind Velocity with Height
Meek has reported (23) radio observations at Baker Lake (66° N, 94°W)
of moving clouds in the ionosphere which aP.Pear to drift over the ionosphere
station with velocities of the same order as those found from fading
observations. However he has noticed tbat the velocity increases from
about llO m/s at lOO km. height to 330 m/s at 300 km. Baker Lake is
within the auroral zone, and a comparison of resulta of wind measurements
from a station outside the auroral zone is of interest.
28
The wind velocity plotted against height for the fading measurements
is show.n in Fig. 19. A similar affect to that observed by Meek, if
present, is certainly much smaller and less noticeable.
Velocity
m/s
N
100
29
•
0~-----------------,~----------------------------
100
s
E
100
100
w
0
•
10 July
•
12 Local Tim~
• •
F i 9. 1 0 W i n d Co m p o n ~ n t s , R~ g i o n E
24
Veloc.ity
m/s
N
100
30
• •
0~--------------------------------~~------------
100
s
E
100
100
w
0
14 August
12 Local Time
•
•
•
Fig.ll Wind Components,Region E
Vt:locity
m/s
N
100
0
100
s
E
100
0
100
w
• •
•
•
•
31
• • •
_... ./ •
•
21 March
•
• ./. •
0 12 24 Local Ti mc
Fig.l2 Wind Compont:nts, Rt:gion E
32 Vcloci ty
m/s
N
x 100 x .. x
\ x \
x 0 x
x
100
x 1
x
x
s
17 Dccczmbcr
E
100
x )( x x \
0 / ' , __ ......... x 1 \ ' ~x / .... )( \ 1 \ x x ......, _..,x
100 )( x x
w x\
x
1 Lo ca 1 Ti m cz
Fig.l3 Wind Componcznts, Region F
UJ
c 0 0'1 ... a:
..... 0 .... w .0
E ::;, z
33
.,. c 0 ~
a > .... "'
0 .,. N 0
.0 0
>-.., ·-u 0 w >'
0 0
c 0
0\ till
a:
UJ
.n tl ... v 0
tl
> '0 c
3:
-0
E 0 ._ 0\ 0 ... tA
::r:
u..
u..
c: 0 at .. a:
""' c - 0 0 .... &.. 0 w >
.&J &.. .. E "' ::::. .0 zo
0 N
34
0
c: 0
u..
c:
u v 0 0
.... 0
E 0 L. at 0
:r .l.i1
u..
Velocity mjs
N
50
0
50
s
E
50
0
50
w
0
x
x
35
x
~x ' x 1 \ " x
x x ...._/ x
/ /x
x
x-x "x
x
12 Local Timc
Region E
x
x
x
x
x x
24
Fig.l6 Hourly Averages of Wind Componcnts, Region E
V~locity
m/s
N
100
0
100
s
E
10
10
w
0
Fig .17
•
•
• • • • • • • • • •
• • •• • •
•
• •• •
•
Scatt~r
..
36
• • • • .. .. , .. • •
•
• • • • • • •
•
• •
tl A • • • •• • •
• • • •
• • • • • ••• •• • • • • • ... . ... .,....,-· ,, \ ..... . .. ' :~" 1 • : •
• • •
•
• • • • • ..
• • •
12
• • • .. • •
• •
• • • •
• •
1
• •
Loc a 1 Tim t:
Regi on E
• • • • • • • •
•
•
• •
•
• •
•
• •
24
Diagram of Wind Compont:nts, R~gion E
Vtllocity m/s
N •
•
•• 10
s
E
• 10 •
• • •
100 • • w •
0
• • • •
•
•
• • •
• • • •
•
• •
• • • •
• • • • • •
• •• • •• •
••• • • •
• •
•
• •
•
•
•
• • • •
•
•
• • • •
•
• • •
• • • •
• •
•
• •
•
•
•
•
• • •• ••
• • •
• • •••
•
• • • • •
•
•
•
•
•
• •
37
•
• •
•
• • •
• • •
• •
•
•
• •
•
• • • •
• •
• • • ••
•
Local
•
• •
• •
•
• • • • •
• •
• •
•
• •
•
• .. •
• • • • • •
• •
• • • • • •
Timtl
• •
• • • • •
• • • • • •
Rtlgion F
• • •
• • • • • • • ••• • • 1. • •• 1 . .,. . -.. ;
•.#. • ••
• •
• • •
\ i•• • •
••
•
., • • • • :.. . •
••
• • • •
•• ••
•
•
•
•
•
• • • • • • •• • • • • • • • • • • fllj, •
• • • • • • • 1 • • • • • ..., • ' • • • .. . . ·., ••• • • • • • • •• •• • •• • ,. • •
• • •• • • • • • • • •
4
Fig. 18 Scotttl r Dio gram of Wind Compontlnts, Rtlgion F
38
Apparent Height km • •
400
300
200
•
100 •
• • •
• • • • • • •••
• • • • ,. ••••••• ..
• • ... . •• • • • • •• .. • • • • •
••• ... . ., .... ' • • •• • • • . ' •lw. • • • • • • • .. • .... •• • .,. -· •• ... • .... .. •
•• • .. ... •c•• (··: • • • .. ••• • • .. •
•• • • • • • • • • • • •
• . .. . . ., . . -~ . . . \1 • • ._. • • "r: •
• • • ' .. i. "J • &. • • • • • • •• • , • • • • s· .. • •.. '' r '• 'i- :(. ' •• • .. • • .,., • .... 4WM..J• .,....... •• • .. "-.1 • •
• .. ·-·- .. • .. ••
•
• •
• • •
•
• • • •
•• •
•
•
.. •• •
•
•
-•
1
•
•
• •
• •
•
• • •
•• •
• • •
•
• • • •
• •
•
Q._----------------~----------------+---------~--1 00 ve ! 0 c i l y 200 m 1 s
Fig. 19 Height ogoinst Wind V«locity
39
V .AN.ALYSIS OF PERIODIC WIND VARIATIONS
5.1 Harmonie An~lysis
Winds in the upper atmosphere are produced by differences in air
pressure, which may be due to a variety of causes. The purely gravitational
forces of the sun and moon causes pressure differences vmich have periods
of half a solAr and lunar day; these forces cause the predominately semi-
diurnal tides on the oceans. SolAr heating causes a variation which is
mainly diurnal because it affects one side of the earth at a time. UltrA-
violet and corpuscular radiations from the sun cause variations which may
have diurnal period but VAry greatly from day to day. In this chapter
harmonie analysis will be applied to the wind data to find and test the
significance of periodic varir-~tions. Non-periGdic effects will be considered
in later chapters.
The harmonie analysis of discontinuous data like the wind components
of region E is the process of fitting the data to a curve of the form:
Bu cos nt + bn sin nt
or alternately,
en sin (nt + E)
J 2 2 where en = an + bn
E = tan-1 an
bn
(n=l,2, •••••• )
The harmonie amplitudes are calculated from the mean value of the wind
vector at each hour by evaluating a and b according to the formulee in n n
Appendix III •
).2 Sol~r Harmonies, Region E
Because the data for the E region winds are not complete for 24 hours,
the diurnal (n = 1) component cannet be deterndned although it is undoubtedly
40
present. Before investigating the higher harmonies (n = 2, 3 ••• ), it
is necessary to determine Whether or not the hourly means are significant.
To give an estimate of the scatter due to all causes other than the solar
variation (the error), the scuare of the st~ndard devi8tion or the variance,
is calculated. (See APpendix III).
= << (yp - yp)2 Variance of hourly meens - (( _ _ n - 12
where Yp is an observation at hour p (p = 0, 1, 2 ••••• 23)
Yp is mean of all observations in interval p ! 1/2 hour
n is the total number of observations.
Then the variance of the hourly means Yp from the general mean y is
calculated. If the deviation of the hourly means is of the same order as
the error, then there is no effect dependent on solar hour.
Variance of Yp from y= Z np (Yp - y} 2
n' - 1 where y =Il,, the mean of all observations irrespective of hour,
n ~ is the number of observations at hour p,
n' is the number of hourly means.
The results of the detailed calculations shown in the appendix are
given below.
North wind component
Vl'lriance of Yp from ~
Variance of Tp from y
30.56
13879
East wind component
3332
12366
Whether this difference in variance is significant is found from a cal-
culation of the Z transformation gi ven in the appendix. It is found that
the probability of obtaining this difference by chance is lesa than one in
a thousand, for beth wind components. From this it is concluded that a
significant affect dependent on solar hour is present in the E region data.
41
The hourly means can then be used for a calculation of the harmonie
components. The resulta are shown below for
12 hour wind harmonies (m/s)
North ward 33·9 sin (2t - 10°)
E~stward 22.7 sin (2t 87°)
8 hour wind harmonies (m/s)
Northward 13.2 sin (3t - 107°)
Eastward 27.7 sin (3t + 75°)
n = 2 and n = 3.
(11)
(12)
(13)
(14)
The formulae used for finding the harmonie components are applicable
to any form of discontinuous data, hence the resulta may not be significant.
By determining the coefficients of correlation between the harmonie eom
ponents and the data, the signifieance of the harmonies ean be found. This
has been done for the semi-diurnal wind eomponents. The probability that
harmonies of this amplitude could oceur by chance in the data is lesa than
one in ten thousand. The semi-diurnal harmonie variations are signifieant.
It is still possible that the harmonies are a result of persistance of
strong transient effects. To investigate this possibility the data are
di vided up into periods of roughly 50 observations each. The four periods
e:x:tend over a year. If the harmonies eomputed from each group are mutually
compati ble, then the affects are undoubtedly IB rsistent. The harmoni c dials
of Fig. 21 have been devised for displaying this type of data. (See
.A;ppendi:x: III}. The vectors from the origin give the time and amplitude of
the first maxima of the harmoni cs. The solid line shows the meen vector for
all the points on the dial. The circle centred on the end of this vector
is the probable error circle, such that of an infinite number of points in
a Gaussian distribution, one half would lie inside this circle. If a
similar circle were drawn passing through the origin, one in seven points
42
would lie outside it in the case of the northward component, and one in 112
for the east ward compone nt. In spi te of the sma.ll number of groups, the
tests show the harmonies are significant.
The harmonie dial gives a more reliable estimate of the probable error
than do es the standard deviation of the mean. If the errors were normally
distributed, the measure of reliaùility of the mean would be found by
dividing the standard deviation by the square root of the nun1ber of observ
ations. This is not a valid procedure unless a further test is made to
ensure that the errors are normal. The number of independant observations
may be reduced by conservation. The ouality of conservation in geo-physics
is the tendency for one observation to be followed by another not much
different. Conservation randers a simple calculation of the standard
deviation invalid.
5·3 Lunar Harmonica, Region E
The previous section has established the significance of the solar
variation of the E region winds. The best estimate of this variation is
the s;nooth curve through the hourly mean values shown in Fig. 16. If en
affect dependent upon lunar time is present, it is included in the deviations
of the individual observations Bbout this curve. If the ordinAtes represented
by the hourly values of this curve are subtracted from the indi vidual
observations, the residue will contain the lun~ affect and errors of
measurement but no sol::~.r affect. If the data is then related to lunar time,
where the time of upper transit at Greenwich is considered lunar noon, the
seme methods of search for harmonie components mey be applied as before.
This has been done (Fig. 21); the detailed statistics are glven in
the appendi:x:. The final calculations of variance are gi ven below.
Variance or Yp rrom'P
Variance or Yp rrom y
43
North w.ind com:ponent,
2753
5879
East wind com:ponent
2809
5909
The dirrerence in variance could occur by chance less than one time in
twenty. From vtlich it is concluded tb.at an errect relating to lunar time
is present.
The semi-diurnal variation is known to be dominant in the case of the
lunar gravi tational rorce. To test the rit or a single semi-di urnal wave,
the variance of 'Yp from the corresponding ordinAte or the harmonie. YP,
has been calculated. It is found that the dirference between this variance
and the error (vA.rümce of Yp from "Yp) is not significant. Hence fitting
or other harmonies is not justified. This el so allov;s all the data to be
related to 12 lunar hours, thereby increasing the reliability of the hourly
means.
The semi-diurnal harmonie w.ind com:ponents are found to be:
North ward
Eastward
23 • 7 sin ( 2 "t" + 68° )
20 • 5 sin ( 2 "Y - 41° )
(15)
(16)
A correction has been made to change from Greenvdch lunar time to local
lunar time. The correlation coerficients have been calculated and the
probability that the se harmonies could occur by chance i s less than one
in tan thou sand.
The harmonie dial test has been a:pplied to the data in the same four
periods as the solar test. The resulte are slwwn in Fig. 22. The harmonies
are significant, the :probability of a point falling outside a circle centred
on the mean amplitude vector and :passing through the origin being one in
12 and one in 8 for the north and east wind components respecti vely.
44
6 North Componttnt
12
• 6
East Componcznt
Fig.20 Harmonie Diois Showing Solor Sttmi-diurnal
Winds in Rczg ion E
Velocity m/$
N
25
s
E
25
25
w
•
45
Region E
•
• •
•
6 12 Greenwich Lunor Time~:
Fig.21 Hourly Me~:ons of Wind Components and Lunor
Semi-diurnol Harmonies
•
•
46 1.2
6
1.2
6
North Componcnt
East Compon~tnt
Fig.22 Harmonie. Diois Showing Lunar Semi-
d i ur n o 1 W i n d s i n Re g i o n E
47
5 .4 Su.Inn'l.Ary of Peri a di c Varia ti ons in Wind. Velo city l"t llO km.
Sola.r and lunar semi-diurnal variations have been found in the region
E wind components, but not in those from Region F. The variations are
significant as regards ta tests applied ta the two w:i.nd components
separAtely. The probabili ty that the se harmonies would appear in bath
wind companents by chance is much less than that of their appearnace in
one companent. There CF\Il be no doubt the variations are significant.
The northward and eastward semi-diurnal wind components have been deter-
mined at a height of 110 km. as fallows.
North ward wind ~m/s) Eastward vJind (m/s)
Sol ar 33·9 sin (2t - 10°) 22.7 sin (2t - 87°) (11,12)
Lunar 23.7 sin (2-r' + 68°) 20.5 sin (21"- 41°) (15,16)
Other harmonies are present in the solar veriation, but probably not
in the lunar variation.
VI SOLAR MTD LUN.AR TIDES IN THE A'I"M:OSl?HERE
6.1 Theory of Tidal Oscillations
The theory of tidal oscillations of the earth 1s atmosphere was
developed to explain the small daily variation of atrrospheric pressure
which has been known to physicists for the past two centuries. Harmonie
analysis of the variation yields large components of 24 and 12 hour period
and lesser ones of 8 and 6 hour period. Of these, the 12 hour component
shows the greatest regulari ty of phase and ampli tude over the earth. This
led Lord Kelvin to suggest that the atmosphere had a free period of
oscillation of about 12 hours. Thermal (diurnal) ,Qnd gravitational (semi
diurnal) action by the sun excite all modes and the near-resonance amplifies
the semi-diurnal oscillation to the extent that it exceeds in ampli tude
the diurnal variation. The mathemtttical theory has been developed by
Laplace, Lamb, Taylor, and Pekeris. A short account is given by1.dtra (24a),
and a more complete discussion by Wilkes. (25)
The atmosphere is e0uivalent to an ocean of air about 10 km. deep
surrounding the earth. Energy introduced into this system causes a forced
oscillation of the sarne period as the disturbing force. The co incidence
of a free period of the ocean and the 12 hour period of the solar perturbing
force is responsible for the relatively large semi-diurnal atmospheric
pressure variation. Laborious calculations are reouired to find a solution
for the pressure variation with height, and the se have been made by Wilkes
for severa! modela of the atmosphere differing in the assumptions made about
the temperature above lOO km. In Fig. 23 is sho'WD. the result of calculations
on a madel which assumes a gradually increasing temperature above the E
region. Of particular interest is the phase change of 180 degrees at 30 km.
and the progressive phase change occurring at 100 km. An eoua.lly acceptable
Hczight km
120 lu nor
1
1
1 1
sol or
sot , 1
40f // ----~
01
- .....
1 1
1 1
Rez la ti v ct
1
' 1 1
1
.o4 l Pl A m p 1 f t u d ct • 1 ° 91o p
0
Hctight km
120 lunar __ -1
1 1
BOf 1
40t ,.----------""' 1 1
1 1 1
1 1 1
""' /
o· . . . tsoo • . 36oo Pho.scz
F i 9 . 2 3 Th ct Am p 1 i tu d ct a nd Pho scz of S cz rn i-d i u r n a 1 Prczssurcz
variation os 0 Fun c.t ion of Hct i ght ( Aftczr Wi 1 kczs)
~ '10
50
modal with the assumption of a cold region between the E and F layera
gives a different set of curves, rOPinly with regard to the phase of the
pressure oscillation.
The pressure variation at the ground will cause winds of about 40
centimetres per second amplitude. The wind system has been calculated by
McNish (24b), who shows winds blowing from two regions, one almost under
the sun and one on the opposite si de of the earth, and into tv.o regions in
the same eouatorial plane but 90 degrees distant in latitude. The theory
indicates tbat similar winds should blow at ionospheric levels, probably
of different phase, and certainly of much greater magnitude (about 200
times).
It is believed that these winds in the ionosphere blowing ionized gas
across the earth 1 s ma.gnetic field cause a system of currents to flow in a
horizontal plane. The currents produce the ouiet day solar and lunar mag
netic variations. The predominately semi-diurnal periodicity of the winds
accounts for the large semi-diurnal harmonies in the ouiet day magnetic
variations. The semi-di urnal solar and lunar magne tic varia ti ons are both
about 10 gammas in amplitude, indicating the winds 1nay be about eaual in
magnitude. The conductivi ty of the E region is kno'Wll to be of the correct
order of magnitude for the reouisi te currents to flow, if the vdnds are
of the order predicted by the theory of atmospheric oscillations. The
phase of the pressure variation causing the vùnds at the leval of current
flow has been calculated to be out of phase ;.'li th the pressure variation
at the ground. The leval at which the currents actually are located will
be found from a measurenent of the amplitude and phase of the pressure
variation at some height Vllhich oombined wi th the known conducti vi ty at
that height, gives the correct current system. This accounts for the
51
great interest which has been shawn in the subject of pressure variations
at different heights due to soler and lunar ti des.
For comparison wi th pressure variations estimated from wind measurements
at llO km. the oolar and lunar semi-diurnal pressure variations at the
ground are;
Sol ar
Lunar
0.362 sin {2t + 161°) nw. of mercury,
0.0088 sin (2~+ 114°) mm. of mercury
(17)
(18)
The solar variation was calculated from Wilkes empirical formula (25) for
45.5° N. lAtitude, 75° W. longitude, Vilhich is a point roughlymidway between
Ottawa and }lon treal. The 1 unar va ri a ti on was measured at Greenwich. Lo cel
tirr~ is given in both cases.
6.2 Winds from Sinusoidal Pressure Variations
The northward and eastward vrl.nd components re sul ting from a semi-diurnal
pressure variation are shown in Appendix IV to be:
Northward
Eastward
where 9
P'
Po
t'
w
À
is
- 350
-70 2
~2 + 3 cos 9)
sin3e
the co-latitude
cos (2(~· +~)+à)
~sin (2(~ 1 +À) + h) Po
is amplitude of pressure variation
is the mean static air press ure
is Greenwich time
is the angular velocity of the earth
is east longitude
(19)
(20)
52
The northward wind is seen to be in phase ouadrature 1eading the
eastward wind. In Chapter V the semi-diurnal v.d.nd components were found
to be:
Northward wind m/s Eastward wind m/s
So1ar 33·9 sin (2t-10°) 22.7 sin (2t-87°) (11 ,12)
Lunar 23·7 sin (2"r+68°) 20.5 sin (21" -41°} (15,16)
The winds observed experimentally are seen to be in the correct phase
relationship, wi thin the error of rneasurerr.ent.
The ratio of the amplitudes of the northwRrd to eastward wind components
should be 1.01. The observed ratios are 1.49 in the solar case and 1.15
in the lunar case, again agreeing vdthin the 1imits of error.
This agreement in phase and amplitude is the basis for the belief that
the winds are caused by semi-diurnal so1ar and lun?.r pressure variations.
6.3 Estimate of Pressure Oscillations causing Winds
The relative pressure variation at llO lan. can be estimated from the
winds using eauations (19} and (20}. After adjustment of the phase and
amplitude to fit the ex,pected theoretica1 relationships for the two wind
components in each of the soler and lunar cases, the relative pressure
va ri at ions are fo und to be,
Sol Ar :E.!. = 0.040 sin (2t + 87°) (21)
Po
Lunar :E.!. = o.o31 sin (21" + 149°} (22)
Po
A number of assumptions of doubtful va1idity were made in the develop-
ment of eauations (19) and (20) from waich these resulta were derived. The
semi-diurnal pressure oscillation was assumed to vary .ith latitude in the
same mannar at llO lan. as at the ground. \i.e. as sin3e) The assumption
that vertical motion could be neglected was undoubtedly faulty. A value of
53
6.8 has been assumed for the scala height at llO km. in arder that the
data might be compared wi th Wilkes r theoretical calculation of the pressure
oscillation, and this value is not definitely established by experiment.
As a result, the estimate of relative pressure variation can be relied on
only to the arder of magnitude. The errors mentioned above affect the
~nplitude of the oscillation but leave the phase unchanged.
By comparison, Appleton and Weekes (32) have estimated the relative
pressure variation at llO km. from the lunar variation of height of the E
region, and find the value 0.081 sin (?1"+ 112°), though the interpretation
of their resulta in this mannar is open to some doubt. Their resulta can
be reeonciled with tho se from wind measurements w1 thin the limi ts of error.
By comparison with the seiui-diurnal barometric variations on the ground,
it is seen that the pressure variation at llO km. is 84 times as great in
the solar case and 2700 in the lunar case. From the theoretical calculations
of Fig. 23, the amplification i s 250 in the sol ar ca se and 60 in the lunar.
Also from Fig. 23, the phase angle at llO km. is expected to be 81°
for the soler and 4° for the lunar vari a.tion. This compares favourably
0 wi th 87 for the experimental sola.r case, but unfavourably wi th 149° in
the lunar case.
In conclusion it is interesting to note that Wilkes stated (25} 11In
view of the fact that the ionization in the E region is directly dependent
on radiation from the sun, it is not possible by radio means ta determine
the sol ar oscillation in the E region • 11 In fact an estimate of the solar
oscillation has been made from radio observations and found ta be in
egreemen t vii th that predic ted by the ory. The agreement wi th theory in
the lunar case is not good, but the lunar variation can be reconciled wi th
an experimental determination by Appleton and Weekes. Recently Phillips
54
indicated agreement wi th the solar wind determinations, by reporting a
semi-diurnal variation of 20 + 10 m/s in the E region winds with a maximum
eastward about 0600 hours. (26)
In neither the solar nor the lunar pressure variations was the phase
observed to be in opposition to th at on the ground. For this rea son i t
is difficult to see how the currents responsible for the ouiet day magnetic
variations can be located in the E regi on. The F~uthor suggests tha t the
current system is not confined to the horizontal plane but is closed
vertically. The reason for this view is the much higher conducti vit y along
the lines of magnetic force, aiding a vertical flow of current.
55
VII WINDS AND IONOSP.HERIC STORïYiS
7.1 Ionospheric Storm Indices
The first observations of fading at spaced receivers in May 1950
indicated a movement of the order of 300 metres per second. This occurred
during a period of iono~heric disturbance, as measured by depression of
the noon cri ti cal penetration freauency of the F 2
layer, at the Can~.dian
ionospheric stations. To test the correlation between wind velocity and
ionospheric storminess, a continuous index of storminess was required.
There is at present no generally accepted index, due to lack of knowledge
of wnat constitutes a storm and the freQuent lack of radio echoes during
a storm.
There are two nuantities which have been used as indices of storminess.
The firat is the North Atlantic Q.uality Figure, a subjective estimate by
commercial radio operators of the cuality of' transmission between Europe
and North America. It is considered unsatisfactory on the grouuds tha t it
is subjective, is influenced by such things as the fre0uency of transmission,
and does not bear a functional relationship with a measurable geo-physical
ouantity.
The second index is the K-index of magnetic ac ti vit y. It doe s not
suffer from the 1ast three objections, rut on the other hand, it is not
directly related to the ionosphere. Rather it is a measure of magnetic
storminess, which is knovm. to be connected wi th ionospheric storminess due
to the high frequency of simul taneous occurrence of the tv.Q forma of di a
turban ce. The connection between the two indices i s indic ated by a coefficient
of cor rel a ti on of 0. 7 between quali ty of transmission and magne tic ac ti vi ty.
(McNish and Johnston, 27)
The K-indices are published monthly by the Dominion Observatory for
the station at Agincourt, neer Toronto. The distance of this observa tory
from the si te of the wind measureiœnts is snall compared to the extent of
ionospheric and rnagn.etic disturbances, which justifies the use of the data
for statistical purposes. The index has values from 0 to 9 and indic at es
the maximum range of the most active magnetic element over a three hour
period. The range of variation in gam.ma.s is shawn baside the appropriate
K value on the ordinates of the next two figures.
7.2 Region E ObservAtions
lviost of the observations of fading were made on the normal E layer which
ocours during the daylight hours. Soma observations were mAde on the E
sporadic layer itlich occurs a few lan. below the normal E, generally duri ng
disturbed periods. The E sporadic records showed very rapid fading, about
120 maxima per minute compared to the usual fi ve to 10, and winds in excess
of 300 metres per second. About 4 per cent of the E region records were
obtained from observations of E sporadic during disturbed periods (K index
five or more). Lesa confidence can be placed in mean 'W.ind velocities deter-
mined from such a small number of measurenents than in those from the mass
of meesure.ments obtained when the K-index was four or less.
In Fig. 24 are shawn the data reduced from all the E region observations,
on logarith.mic axes. The abscissa is wind veloci ty and the ordinate is K
inde:x:. The mean value of the wind veloci ty for all measurernent s at a given
K-inde:x: is shawn with horizontal bars inàicating the standard deviation of
the mean.
s
85t \
Î4 1
4~ f
!3 1
24~
57
1\>egion E " '"" •< «-• "·•·<'--«~--~-----•w••-· -·-·--<'_"_"''-·---~-··l
1 !
1--4---c
4
t--A
Fig.24 M~an Wind V<Ziocity Agoinst K-lnd<Zx, R<Zgion E
58
The mean wind velocity is sensibly independant of K-index until the
K exceeds four. For K-index fi ve or greater, the mean wind veloci ty is
three times higp.er, though as has been pain ted out, less reliance can be
placed on these observations. These facts have been considered in the
investigation into harmonie variations discussed previously, by the
rejection of E region measurements taken when the K-index exceeded four.
7 ·3 Region F Observations
Unlike region E, the F layers (200 to 600 km.) reflect radio waves
day and night. Good wind measure.rœnts are more difficult to obtain from
the F region because the echoes are often sprea.d in height, particularly
during the night.
In Fig. 25 are shawn the data for the F region correspondi ng to the
previous figure for the E region.
The trend towards increased w:ind veloci ty 11d th increasing K-index is
evident. The data are not considered suffi cie nt to justify the fit ting of
curve. A high po si ti ve carrela tian between wind veloci ty and magne tic or
ionospheric stonuiness clearly is present. This correlation is assumed to
explain why no regular daily variation was found for the F region winds.
7.4 Discussion of Storm Winds
If the wind measurements are valid, it has been shovm. that the w:ind
velocity in the F region is directly related to the state of storminess in
that region. Miner disturbances èb not affect the E region though the re
is reason to believe that severe disturbances do. A posai ble e:x:planation
of this phenomenon is that the disturbing agency a1ters the ionosphere from
Rbove, the depth of penetration being proportional to the severity of the
disturbance. This suggestion is compatible with the common assl.Ullption that
r K
60<>! 8
400+
\7 24of
i6 \ t
14 si 15
as.; 1
Î4 1
4Bt l !3 ;
1 24-+
1 j2
i
59
Region F --·~~· ·-····_..~---··-~~·---·-·····-· .. -·- .. --··"-... --..... -,.,.,,' ·"·--... l
1
...._._X___,
12i ~-----------+--------------------------------------4
10 ao 90 roo ISO Vclocity m/s
200
Fig.25 Meon Wind Velocity Agoinst K-lndext Region F
60
ultra-violet and corpusculF~r radiations from the sun are the disturbing
l"lgency.
The success of the use of the m.agnetic K-indax as a measure of
storminess in the ionosphere indicates a causual relationship exista
between iono~haric winds and magnatic ac ti vit y. Logically such connection
might lie in the electric cuiTents which auch winds muld induce in the
ionized layera.
61
VIII CONCLUSIONS
The fading of radio echoes has been observed at spaced receivers.
A diffraction pattern on the ground was seen to drift in a regular manner
such that its velocity could be determined. The drift veloci ty of the
pattern formed from E region reflections varied regularly when observed
for some days. From the nearly semi-diurnal period of the variation, and
the quadrature of phase between the northward and eastward wi.nd components,
it has been assumed that the wind variation is caused by a corresponding
pressure variation at the level of reflection. The pressure variation is
predicted by the theory of tidal oscillations of the earth 1s Btmosphere.
Variations corresponding to both solar and lunar tides have been detected.
This apparently establishes the premise that the dr.ifting diffraction
pattern is due to a bodily transport of the air mass and ion cl.ouds in a
horizontal plane. The movement of the ion clouds is supposed to be the
major cause of fading of a singly reflected radio vmve.
The tidal v.tinds have not been observed in the F region. The wind
velocity in this region has been observed to increase during magnetic and
ionospheric storms. A corresponding increase in w.ind velocity in the E
region occurred only during severe storms.
62
APPEl\TDIX I
THE BOOK.ER SCATTERING IJHEORY FOR 'JlŒ IONOSPHERE
The expression given by Booker and Gordon (14} for the power scattered
by a tropospheric irregularity at an angle 9 to the angle of incidence and
and angle X wi th the direction of the incident electric field is:
. 3
(~J) cr(El,"X) = (23)
per unit solid angle, per incident power density and per unit macroscopic
elenent of volume.
where E~~)~ is the mean square fractional deviation of the dielectric
constant from the average,
À is the mean wavelength in the ruadi um
J is the scale of turbulence, defined auch that at a distance l, the
auto-correlation function of the dielectric constant has declined
to 1 • e I:ooker extends this to the ionosphere as follov!S:
The dielectric constant in the ionosphere is 2
f = E0 -Ne
~2 = E (1 - ~}
o w2
where N = number of free electrons /cu. metre
e = electronic c:targe
~ = dielectric constant of free space
m = electronic mass
w = free space radial frecuency
2 ~=~
€m 0
(24)
This expression negl.ects oollision and the earth 1 s magnetic field.
Renee,
(25)
Enuation (2.4) can be. put in the form
2 2 ~o} = 1 -(ùtr)
).. w (26)
which, substituted in (10) gives
- 4 2
(~)':.(U (~) WN
= ( ~ ) 4 ( â:) 2 ( ~Nt 0
(27)
Final1y from eouati<?n (1}, the expression for scattered power cr is obtained,
(m:r sin2
'l(
Cï( G, ~) = ------~--=--}. [1 + ( ~ .( sin ; )
2 t (%1 sin
2)t
= -------~-------------
Two wave1engths are invo1ved, the incident wavelength À in the medium
and a wavel.ength ~ wbich is a constant depending on the ele etron den sity.
Booker used this for.mula (6) to explain scattering from E sporadic clouds.
64
APPE.NDIX II
EXPERilviE1"TAL Al?P.ARATUS
1. Receiving system
Antenna
An unbalanced unshielded loop, consisting of two turns of multi-strand
copper antenna wire, eight feet in area was constructed. It wes calculated
that the loop had an inductance of 17 ~enries and tuned from 1.7 to 5.4 mc/s
with a 50-500 ~d. condenser. If necessary to tune above 5·4 mc/s one turn
could be shorted to increase the tuning range. Identical loops were built
for the four channels.
Pre-l'lmplifiers
Each of the four identical pre-amplifiera contained a cathode-follovver
for matching the loop to the line, a small power supply, and a variable
condenser for tuning the loop. The oondenser was rotated by means of a
selsyn motor controlled from the central recording station. The circuit is
shown in Fig. 26.
Ca bles
The signal from each antanna ~~s carried to the appropriata receiver by
73 ohm co-axial cable (RG 22U). The A.C. mains voltage and selsyn stator
voltages were carried from the distribution panel to each pre-amplifier by
five-core rubber covered cable. The master control selsyn was switched to
one pre-amplifier at a time for tuning.
Receivers
Four R.C .A. (Canada) type CR91A colllii'ercial recei vers, modified in the
laboratory for pulse reception, were used. A video amplifier was added to
each receiver following the second detecter.
300V.
68 K
An t. 1 1 50·500,.-.P fd.
'--------t~~;f~~~ r·~" f'" T J RF. Cable
S-Core Cobl e
Sc:Jsyn
Power Suppl y
30H
, + 300 V. D.C. 1
2)Afd.
Qi l·Fi lied llO V. A.C.
Fig. 26 Diogrom of Pre·ompli fier
(
c.
2. Transmitting system
Transmit ter
66
The circuit diagram of the transmit ter and modtùator is shown in Fig.
27. The mod ulat or is a bo ot-strap cathode fo llower dri ven by an arti:ficial
transmission line. The oscilla tor is screen-modtùated, and sel:f-biased
into class C operation. This portion of the circuit was developed by the
author :for this application. To increase the nominal power output to
15 kw. peak, an aperiodic push-pull amplifier built at the Radio Physics
Laboratory was added.
Tl
Ov from unit 6
:-J\\[A
Ci5
• d 1 j Trlgger pulsf''
V4
fr o m u nit 7 ·"--
'>
~ R7
"\, ;~ ....
~""B
R
f"
ANTfNNA V2 ~---/.- C3
C2 (-----
j :i, 1 \~--i-- --.. -- ::;: -c·< -500 L2 -
C4 t, ... ~. ~ C6 l1 C7 1 j!u;c •2600( \. ~~· f---t ,- :' ~. C5 2 1
' = 1 +IOOOv
ji + · .... L~:--_ cel J :/ \ --~--TT v C9 V3 ~ T/ Cl
bond switch. L .... =--------'----1
1-----,---~ + 3000 v
Cl4
ANTfNNA
"tIl -1\,/\/'l't LG l7
~ iL 1 l'~__....__- :
~ , -i 1 B_~·· l • A .- t ' Cl7 1 '
R9 Cl6 RIO 1
l .t. ,_l '
" ~ '" ~z t
V5
~
+1000 Power Input plugs
Rl4 /------ c.---" ""
/ . ~ -.J
/ +2600v • ··\ ( .~·- iJ 1 ,. •''i) Rl5 1 \~,0~ \?:Ov 10ogv
a. c. -----
LB L9 LlO lit Ll2 L13
y~~l' 23 C24
Z ~--_1_.----'----L ___ __L __
i- -27.5v from unit 7
Fig. 27 Moduletor and 15 kw. Transmitter.
68
Circuit Components of the Tr,.nsmitter and J:.;odulator Fig. 27
Resistances Condensera
Rl 4.7 K cl 50 !-4.1.
R2 lOO w c2 50 !-4.1.
~ 11 (1.) c3 .1 j.l.
R4 4.7 K c4 12 - 500 tJ.l.l.
R5 100 w c, .1 j.i.
R6 47 (1.) c6 lOO !-4.1.
R7 lOO K c7 lOO j.l.j.i.
Ra lOO K c8 100 j.i.j.l.
R9 100 K c9 50 j.i.j.l.
RlO 1 K clO 50 j.l.j.i.
Rll 500 K cll .1 j.i.
R12 27 K c12 .1 j.i.
R13 4·5 K c13 .002 j.i.
R14 330 K c14 .002 J..l.
~5 330 K c15 .01 1J.
R16 20 K c16 .01 j.l.
R17 2.7 K cl7 .1 j.l.
~8 6.8 K c18 1 j.l.
C19 to C24 .004 j.l.
Tubes
v1 3E29 Inductances
v2, v3 715C 18 to 113 2.5 mh
v4 6x5
v5 2050
v6 3E29
69
Transmitting Antenna
A modification of the delta antenna, described by Oones, Oottony and
watts was used. (28) The modification involves using severa! conductors,
in this case tw::>, for each element of the antenne, to maintain the
impedance more nearly constant over the freouency range from 2 to 20 mc/s.
The conductors are kept apart by spacers, as shawn in Fig. 2.
The base of the del ta was 90 feet long, the height 60 feet. A term-
inating resistance of 800 ohms was placed at the peak of the del ta, at the
top of the mast.
Because of the necessi ty for reducing the unwanted mode of magneto-
ionie propagation, an antenne to radiate circularly-polarized waves was
devised. It consisted of tv;o identical delta antennes, placed at right
angles to each other and suspended from the same mast. They were fed by
netvrorks which advanced the phase 45 degrees in one case, and retarded it
45 degrees in the ether. The two antennes were th us 90 degrees apart in
phase, and radiated a nearly circularly-polarized •vave.
The networks were L-section filters designed to give a two to one
match in impedance as well as the required phase change. One fil ter
operated at each cor1nnonly used f'reouency, with acceptable perfornance over
a 10 percent range of frequency. The elements of the filters are given
in the following table. L-Section Filters
l!'reouency Mc/s
Series Arms
Phase Advance Phase Delay !J.h. 14Lfd.
19 210
16 180
12 130
9.6 105
8.0 90
Parallel Arm
Phase Advance Phase Delay !J.h. 1-J.lJ.fd.
76 52
64 44
4B 33
38 27
32 22
70
The only way tests could be made on the se netv~rks was to observe
the behaviour of responses from the ionosphere. For E region responses
lesa th an 75% of the critical penetration frequency and less than 3 mc/s,
the extra-ordinary ray (right-handed circularly polarized) is attenuated
many db below the ordinary. With one arrangement (2.5 mes net"WOrk) the
mode of propagation favouring the ordinary wave produced an echo 28 db
l:".bove that f:wouring the extra-ordinary wave. It is considered th at
this is a .meesure of the ability of the antenna to reject the unwanted mode.
The other network produced rejection 10 db or greater.
The high freauency networks could only be tested vnen ordi nary and
extra-ordinary echoes were produced separately on the trace. The resulta
of one test are seen in Fig. 28. It CRn be seen that one mode is favoured
in each case. Complete rejection of one component is not to be expected,
since the echoes are elliptically, not circularly, polarized. Some
coupling into the unwanted mode is bound to occur.
......,
{a) (b)
F i g 2 8 M o n i l o r C . R . T . T r a c (Z , 2 7 S (Z p t . 2 1 4 5 h r !> , F1 L a y (Z r , 4 . 0 m c / s .
(a) RiQht -Hand Circuler Polarizal ion 1 F1 .. at 300km. F1° at 350 km, Equal Ampli t udes.
(b) L eft-Hand Circuler Polarizalion 1 F.,_• Suppr(ZH<zd,F1° Gr<zater Amplitu d <z
3. Recording system
Gate Circuits
72
The circuit diagram of the gate cb.assis i s shawn in Fig. 29. The
beginning of the gate pulse is determined by the position of the 'delay'
control, vbich allows the 6.AL5 diode to conduct when the negative-going time
base saw-tooth wave on its cathode drops below the potential of the plate.
The flip-flop is triggered by this signal, and produces a sauare-wave gate
whose time dur at ion can be controlled. The gate pulse is cancelled once
each second by the output from the one-second oscillator, and is impressed
on the gri ds of the two cati.ode ray tubes of the recorder. The gate action
is produced by brightening the C.R.T.s only when the desired echo appears.
The gate also is impressed on the roonitor C.R.T. so that it rœy be set to
coincide with the echo, as shown in Fig. 30.
R_~Q_order
The recoràer wes produced by A.C. Cossor and Co. of England. Two
double-bearn cathode ray tubes provide four recording chennels. A motor
driven cruner~?t draws 70 mm. wide photo-graphie paper (Kodak Linegrapb. 697)
across the tube faces at a speed set by a chain of gears. The lowest speed
ev ai la ble was ten cm. per second and this >vas reduc ed by a further chain of
ge ars f1 xed externally, as shawn. in Fig. 4. The film s.peed used fbr al most
all the records was one foot per minute, W:lich experience has shown. to be
the most satisfactory speed.
D.C. resto ring diodes were built into the circuits of all four
deflection plates to meintain a constant dBtum line for the signal.
73
:V.10ni tor
Fi,g;. 31 sbows a schematic àiagram of the monitor circuit. The trigger
functions for the time-base, calibrating oscillator, transmitter and gate
8re provided by a multivibrator Which can be lockad to the mains if desired.
The calibrator is a 3000 c/s second oscillator for setting the range marks
on the tirœ -base.
•300 2.1 K + 1!50v fiN j
,-..... SAW-TOOTHI] _\
IIID •\ ·~100
liME ,._ '1 ' l BASE, 6 "l ' ...... , • TO ' l ~---fi.' + RECORDER SLIDING FLIP-FLOP MIXER
CWE SECOND OSCILLATOR SQUARift
Fig. 29 Diagram of the Gate Circuit.
-.,J .+:--
' '
Fig.30 Monitor Troc~ Showing Multipl~
Rtfltctions. Tht Got~ is ovtr the E
Echo at 130 km H~ ight.
7
300V--~----------r---~------.---r-~~
Tx Sync
loooy. ~250K
60c/s Lock
Multivibrotor Cali brator
300V--------~~--------------------~
10~/
6AC7
1 M Gate Sync o j
'----+SOV
":"
.1,....
Time Bose
T.B.
.Il"
'470K
F i g. 3 1 5 i m p 1 i f i e d Sc h e m a t i c o f M on i to r C i r c u i t
...J 0
77
APPENDIX III
METHODS OF STATISI'ICAL ANALYSIS
Fisher • s Analzsis of Variance
~e methode Whioh fo1low have been described by Fisher. (29) The
oalculations of variance for the so1ar and 1unar variations are as follows:
So1ar Luna.r
North Comp. East Comp. North Comp. East Com.p.
z~ 204 204 198 198
Ey 2 745,521 940,152 577,713 587,790
-2 ~~Yp 170,184 305,731 65 t 730 65,692 , 9·26 28.6 2.44 2.23
X,Z(yp-lp) 2 586,741 639,794 511,943 522,496
Zn (y _,,2 p p 152,672 136,126 64,674 65,000
z (y- y)2 739,413 775,920 576,617 587,496
~Cfp-Yp) 2
15,472 16,895
Variance at 3056 3332 2753 2809 each hour
Variance of yp from Y 13879 12366 5879 5909
Z for this ·757 .656 .380 ·372 difference
0.1% value ·541 ·541 of Z
5% value of Z .299 .299
Variance of y'P from YP 1547 1791
Z for this difference .212 .225
5% value of Z ·301 ·301
78
The Z transformation is caleulated to find the significance of a
ditterœce in variance from the following formulae,
1 1
Variance of Tp from y Z =- og
2 e . h Var~ance at eac hour
l 1
Variance at each hour Z=2 og •
e Variance of Tp from Yp
The probability at obtaining a value of Z by chance 0.1% or 5% of the time
is determined from Fisher's Table V for the appropriate values of n.
Coefficient of Correlation
The coefficient of correlation is caleulated from the formula given
by Chapman and Bartels (30a).
r = __!!_ ff'{
where r = coefficient of correlation
A = amplitude af harmonie caleulated by ba.rmonic aoalysis
~ = standard deviation of tile data considered as a normally
distributed population, i.e. ~'Y- z)2
1: n - 1 p
The probabili ty ot obtaining this correlation by chance is cal.culated from
the Z transformation. (29).
z =!log 1 + r 2 e 1 - r
In this case Z is nearly norma.lly distributed and it s standard deviation a. z
is 1 , n being the sample num.ber. The ratio of Z to its standard
ln- 3 deviation is computed and the probability ot obtaining it by chance is
found from a. table of the probability integral, (or Fisher's Table II or IV).
79
The calcula ti ons are shown below.
Sol ar Lunar
North Comp. East Comp. North Comp. East Comp.
~ 60.4 62.0 5!i-·3 54.6
A 33·9 22.7 23.7 20.5
r ·397 .259 ·309 .268
z .420 .268 ·318 .275
1 14.2 14.2 14.0 14.0 (l
z
z 5·90 3.81 4·44 3·84 (l
z From F1eher 1s Table II, the probability of obtaining a value of~= 3·74
az by chance is one in ten thousand. The experimental values all exceed this
value, hence the probability of' obtaining tilem by chance is lesa th an one in
ten tho us and.
Harmomic Disl .est
The harmonie dial test has been developed by Bartels (31, 30b). If
tbere is a cloud of N points on the dial, the centroid lX0
, Y0 ) is given by
b x=~ o N
a y=~
o N
where Sn and bn are the Fourier harmonie amplitudes calculated from the
f'ollow1ng formulas. (30c) 2 .,.
a = - X Ya- cos ntr -n r r-1
2 r b = - Z y., sin ntr n r ...._,
wb.ere Yr are the values of' the f'unction to be fitted, at interval.s r= 1,2, •• r
and n gives the order of the halmonic. The affect of smoothing due to taking
hourly means can be allowed for by an appropriate correction. (30d). The
80
points on the di al are found by plot ting ~ upward and bn to the right. The
mean amplitude is (:X:0
2 + y0
2}1/ 2•
The probable error circle is drawn about (Xc, Y0 ) with radius R.Jc
given by: 2 2] 1/2
[
z(bn -Xc) + (~ - Yo) R_g = 0.833
N
In the case of a perfect Gaussian distribution there would be as many points
inside the circle as outside it.
Let the ratio of the mean amplitude to the probable error radius be K. Ji.:o
Then (1/2) ~· -- representa the probabil1 ty that a point will fall outside the
circle with centre (X0
, Y0
) passing through the origin. The experimental
data are gi ven below.
Soler Lunar
North Comp. East Oomp. North Oomp. East Oomp.
xo +33·5 +5.2 -22.0 -3.8
Yo -3·8 -21.2 -13·5 +19.;
~ 20.2 8.4 13.7 11.6
:s:2 2.76 6.8 3·54 2.93 K2
(1/2) 1/7 1/112 1/12 1/S
81
.APP.ENDIX IV
IJHEORY OF WINDS FB)M PRESSURE WAVES ON 'l'HE EAR'lH
Mitra (24a) develops the wl.Di systEIIl generated by a semi-diurnal
pressure oscillation on the earth. The eauations :tor a small atmospherie
motion in the horizontal plane are:
e (• u - 2 w v cos e ) = "':! .u 0 at a ae (26)
~.( :~ + 2 wu cos 9) = - 1 a sin 9
(27)
wb.ere the :torees acting are due to the pressure gradient, the rotation o:t
the earth, and inertia o:t the gas. The symbole not de:tined in Chapter VI
have the :tollowing significance.
~. = average air density
u = southward wind velocity
v = eastward wind velocity
w = angular velocity o:t the earth (7.3 x lo-5 rad./see.)
a = radius of the earth (6.4 x 108 cm)
p = p0 + p' = instantaneous air pressure.
The pressure variation p' at the ground is f'ound to f'it
p • = A sin3 9 ain (2(wt r + )..) + b) (A and b are constants)
and the assumption is made that the pressure variation wl.th latitude has
the same f'orm at llO lan. With this assum.ption, Mitra's solution becomes
u = 2. cos 9 ~ :e!. cos (2(wtl + )..) + b) 2 s1n39 ._, P0
where H =kT= ecale height. mg
(28)
(29)
82
The scale height is takEil to be 6.8 km at a height o:f llO km, atter
Wilkes. (25). Hence in m/s,
u = 350 cos3Q 1!!.. cos (2(wt 1 + }.) + b) (30) sin Q Po
2 v= -70 ( 2 + 3 cos 9) 1!!.. sin (2(wt 1 + }.) + b). (31)
sin3Q Po
83
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84
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