oulu oulu university geta seminar 19.-21.01.2011 ou some ideas about analyzing research topics heli...
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Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
Some ideas about analyzing research topics
Heli JantunenMicroelectronics and Materials Physics Laboratories
Department of Electrical and Information EngineeringFaculty of Technology
University of OuluFinland
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
?
• Is it already well-researched?
• Who is interested about results?
• What kind of new applications would be interesting?
• Are new innovations needed?
• When it is a correct time to patent?
• Where to find financing?
• Who are the key players?
• Where to publish?
ANY TOOLS TO EVALUATE THE RESEARCH AREA?
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
S-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSE MARKET SITUATION OF A PRODUCT
S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets
SA
LES
OR
PR
OFIT
(A
U)
TIME
Sales
Profit
• NORMALLY DIVIDED IN FIVE PERIODS
Satu
ration
Intr
oduct
ion
Grow
th
Mat
urity
Dec
line
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
BASIC RESEARCH - PRODUCT
S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets
SA
LES
OR
PR
OFIT
(A
U)
TIME
Sales
Profit
M. S. Slocum: Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning
BASIC RESEARCHCOOPERATION RESEARCH
DEVELOPMENT
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
OuS-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSESITUATION OF A SPECIFIC RESEARCH
AREA? P
ER
FO
RM
AN
CE
TIME
I
NV
EN
TIO
NS
TIME
Level
Number
• HOW THESE CORRELATE WITH SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS?
• TREND OF PUBLICATIONS?
• CORRELATION WITH AVAILABLE MARKET FORECASTS?
• USABILITY WITH COMMON ”HUNTING” METHODS?
• HOW IT WORKS IN PRACTICE?
M. S. Slocum: Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
BRIEF TESTING OF S-CURVES ON SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS
• SELECTED MAIN TOPICS• LTCC (LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC)
• METHODS
• www.uspto.gov WITH SELECTED YEARS (free access)• http://scholar.google.fi/ WITH SELECTED YEAR (free access)• ISI Web of Science (through your library; scientific jounral publications)• Scopus (through your library; also conference proceedings)• Science Direct• Market perdictions• etc.
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC
KNOWN BEFOREHAND
• VERY ACTIVE AREA ALREADY SEVERAL YEARS
• APPLICATION AREAS IN AUTOMOTIVE, TELECOMMUNICATION AND SENSOR TECHNOLOGIES
Space applicationModule (VCO) IMST
LTCC module,VTT
LTCC waveguide,Oulu University
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC
PATENTS / YEAR
020406080
100120140160180200
1990 1995 2000 2005
• 878 kpl (1990-2006)• GROWTH ~ 2003
STILL GROWING?
NEW INNOVATIONS OR APPLICATION AREAS NEEDED?
DEEPER ”HUNTING” NEEDED!
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
DEEPER “HUNTING” (LTCC, material, publications)
YEAR
AM
OU
NT
Dielectric
Piezoelectric ~ 450Ferrelectric ~ 330Magentic > 1100Dielectric > 2800
MagneticFerroelectricPiezoelectric
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS
KNOWN BEFOREHAND
• LOT OF ACTIVITIES ONGOING
• WIDE APPLICATION AREAS LIKE OLEDS, DISPLAYS, PACKAGES,…
Printed OLED demonstrator,VTT
R2R printed circuits,VTT
Inkjet printed CNT ink,Oulu University
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS
PATENTS / YEAR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990 1995 2000 2005
• 418 kpl (1990-2006)• GROWTH TO BE COME (should be updated)
Lighting, displays, packaging,Signage, poster, billboard (90 B$)
Logic, memory (120 B$)
Inorganic (50 B$)
Other organics (40 B$)
http://www.idtechex.com/products/en/articles/00000261.asp
FORECAST FOR ORGANIC AND INORGANIC PRINTABLE
ELECTRONICS300 BILLION $ GLOBALLY IN 2025
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
CONCLUSIONS AND NOTES
• FAST METHOD• AVAILABLE TO ALL RESEARCHERS• GIVES INDICATIONS
• overall view• novelty of research area• competitive position• background work needed• new innovations needed• financing type
• FURTHER LIMITATION WHEN “HUNTING”
• find new applications• combinations possibilities
S-CURVES MIGHT BE ONE TOOL TO ANALYSE RESEACH AREA
AM
OU
NT O
F
PU
BLIC
ATIO
NS
TIME
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
ADDITIONALLY YOU CAN FIND
• Who is Who – in this research topic• Most cited publications• Main journals – impact factor or the best audience• How your supervisor is doing !!!!
HOWEVER.................METHOD CAN EFFECT A LOT!
IT IS VERY SENSIVE AND IF NOT DONE CORRECTLY- RESULTS are MISLEADING!
Oulu
Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011
Ou
Thank you for your attention!