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Redbank Plains accommodates all three of the Urbis economics and research fundamentals that make a sustainable suburb – Population, Infrastructure and Employment. 1 POP 2 INF 3 EMP UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND, IPSWICH CAMPUS BROOKWATER GOLF COURSE BRISBANE TO IPSWICH RESIDENTS CAN ENJOY AN ARRAY OF LIFESTYLE FACILITIES REDBANK PLAINS IS IN CLOSE PROXINITY TO ESTABLISHED EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS WILL PROVIDE A CATALYST FOR THE REGION STRATEGIC LOCATION Redbank Plains is within seven kilometres from Springfield Central, 15 kilometres from the Ipswich CBD and 30 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD / PG02 INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT The western corridor is undergoing an economic transformation with continued infrastructure investment / PG04 EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Positioned within close proximity to some of Queensland’s largest employment nodes / PG05 SALE PRICE GROWTH Redbank Plains has experienced 7.1 per cent growth per annum in the median sale price over the last 20 years / PG06 B D A C MAY 2016 OUTLOOK REDBANK PLAINS A CONTEXT ON BUSINESS, CULTURE, LIFESTYLE AND RESIDENTIAL Located within seven minutes of the Springfield CBD and 30 minutes of the Brisbane CBD, Redbank Plains’ proximity to major employment, educational and health precincts positions it as a growth node for the future.

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Page 1: OUTLOOK MAY 2016 - Amazon Web Services · OUTLOOK MAY 2016 REDBANK PLAINS A CONTEXT ON BUSINESS, CULTURE, LIFESTYLE AND RESIDENTIAL Located within seven minutes of the Spring eld

Redbank Plains accommodates all three of the Urbis economics and research fundamentals that make a sustainable suburb – Population, Infrastructure and Employment.

1 POP 2 INF 3 EMP

UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND, IPSWICH CAMPUS

BROOKWATER GOLF COURSE BRISBANE TO IPSWICH

RESIDENTS CAN ENJOY AN ARRAY OF LIFESTYLE FACILITIES

REDBANK PLAINS IS IN CLOSE PROXINITY TO ESTABLISHED EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS

MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS WILL PROVIDE A CATALYST FOR THE REGION

STRATEGIC LOCATIONRedbank Plains is within seven kilometres from Springfield Central, 15 kilometres from the Ipswich CBD and 30 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD / PG02

INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTThe western corridor is undergoing an economic transformation with continued infrastructure investment / PG04

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Positioned within close proximity to some of Queensland’s largest employment nodes / PG05

SALE PRICE GROWTHRedbank Plains has experienced 7.1 per cent growth per annum in the median sale price over the last 20 years / PG06

B

D

A

C

MAY 2016OUTLOOK REDBANK PLAINS

A CONTEXT ON BUSINESS, CULTURE, LIFESTYLE AND RESIDENTIAL

Located within seven minutes of the Springfield CBD and 30 minutes of the Brisbane CBD, Redbank Plains’ proximity to major employment, educational and health precincts positions it as a growth node for the future.

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13

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BRISBANE CBD 28KM

FUTURE TRAIN LINE

14

8

PARKLAND

FUTURE MASTER-PLANNED

COMMUNITY

PROPOSED FUTURE TRAIN STATION

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Redbank Plains is located within South East Queensland’s western corridor, which is enjoying continued economic and cultural growth derived from expanding population, significant State Government investment and increasing business opportunities.

Positioned near major Motorway connections, Redbank Plains is within seven kilometres of the Springfield Central Business District (CBD), 15 kilometres from the Ipswich CBD, and 30 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD. This accessibility allows residents access to major employment, health, lifestyle and educations nodes. Subsequently, Redbank Plains has become increasingly popular with families and young couples.

Moving forward, the region is set to benefit from the Ipswich 2020 and Beyond Plan, one of the largest per capita capital growth development programs being undertaken in Australia with $107 billion committed to infrastructure. Key infrastructure projects include an upgrade to the Ipswich Motorway between Wacol and Darra from four to six lanes, the construction of the $140 million Town Square Redbank Plains Shopping Centre and development of the nearby Mater Private Hospital in Springfield. These projects are expected to increase economic growth and employment opportunities.

LOCATION & ACCESSIBILITY

2 URBIS REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK

© URBIS.COM.AU

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11

4

GOLD COAST 69KM

SPRINGFIELD CENTRAL

TRAIN STATION

PROPOSED FUTURE TRAIN STATION

6

SPRINGFIELD CITY CENTRE

UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN QLD MATER PRIVATE HOSPITAL

ORION SHOPPING CENTRE (Recently completed a $154m expansion, inc. Event Cinemas, Target, Coles and 80 additional retail stores)

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Enter

tain

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t, Sh

oppi

ng &

Din

ing

Educ

atio

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Key Legend

Recr

eatio

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Gre

en S

pace

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3

5

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Red Edge Shopping Centre

Mountain View Estate

Approved Woolworths & Shopping Precinct

Brookwater Golf & Country Club

Woolworths

Springfield City Centre

Orion Shopping Centre

Town Square Redbank Plains

Redbank Plains Primary School

Staines Memorial College

St Augustines College

Augustine State School

Redbank Plains State High School

Proposed New Primary School

Sports Oval

Mount Jullerat Conservation Park

White Rock Spring Mountain

Redbank Plains Recreational Reserve & Sports Ground

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91 15

© URBIS.COM.AUURBIS REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK 3

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© URBIS.COM.AU4 URBIS REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK

TOWN SQUARE REDBANK PLAINS

The $140 million Town Square Redbank Plains will be built next to the existing Redbank Plains Retail Centre on Redbank Plains Road. In addition to the existing Woolworths, the Town Square will house a new Coles supermarket, Aldi, Target and 60 other specialty stores. Completion is due by November 2016.

GREATER SPRINGFIELD

Greater Springfield is a master-planned community within seven kilometres of Redbank Plains. The development is currently home to 28,000 residents and more than 14,000 students. Established in 1991, the project is still under development, with completion estimates at only 13 per cent to date. Upon expected completion in 2030, the community is forecast to be home to 105,000 residents, 30,000 employment opportunities, a purpose-built CBD, university campus, health and wellness precinct and a large-scale shopping centre to stimulate economic activity within the region.

MATER PRIVATE HOSPITAL SPRINGFIELD

Mater Health Services has recently constructed a new Health City precinct within Springfield Central. Stage one included an $85 million hospital providing 80 beds and a range of services including four operating theatres, inpatient wards, a day surgery unit, a medical imaging services, and a cancer care centre. As part of the UQ Herston Campus, the $120 million OHC facility includes clinical simulation areas, pre-clinical laboratories, lecture/seminar rooms, and research laboratories

INFRASTRUCTURE Continued and recently completed

infrastructure projects will continue to drive residential demand in the

Redbank Plains Catchment.

ORION SHOPPING CENTRE – STAGE 2

Orion Shopping Centre’s $154 million second stage offically opened in early 2016. The expansion delivered to the community a new entertainment destination, including a 2,000 seat cinema, dining experiences and over 30 fashion stores, almost doubling the footprint of the centre which is now among the top ten largest shopping centres in the state.

CITISWICH BUSINESS PARK

Citiswich Business Park is Queensland’s largest master-planned industrial estate currently under development. The estate will be developed over seven stages in the next 5–10 years and has been designed to accommodate a wide range of business uses, retail components, public open space and staff amenity.

SWANBANK ENTERPRISE PARK

Swanbank Enterprise Park has been master planned as a Business and Industry Precinct, comprising 2,145 hectares. The site is planned to bring up to 14,000 jobs to Ipswich and will provide opportunities for a range of industries and industry groups.

TRANSAPEX ROAD NETWORK

TransApex is Brisbane City Council’s long-term plan to improve travel across Brisbane. The plan is the biggest urban road network proposal in Australia and includes the Inner City Bypass, the Clem 7 Tunnel, the Go Between Bridge, Legacy Way and AirportinkM7. Of the five infrastructure objectives, the Clem7 Tunnel, AirportlinkM7 and Legacy Way connections will provide the greatest benefit to Redbank Plains and the greater western corridor region as it allows residents to significantly reduce travel times to the Brisbane CBD, Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast.

BROOKWATER GOLF & SPA RESORT AT FIRST RESIDENCE

The $500 million Brookwater Golf & Spa Resort at First Residence is believed to be the largest foreign investment resort in Queensland’s history. On completion the resort will feature 520 apartments, international tennis stadium and club designed to host major international tour events. In addition there will be a water park and family club, retail emporium, aquatic centre designed to Commonwealth Games standard, and a convention centre.

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© URBIS.COM.AUURBIS REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK 5

Prepared by Urbis, Source: ABS Census 2011

WHO LIVES IN REDBANK PLAINS?

BRISBANE CBD

65,633NEW JOBS

156,5452011 CURRENT

222,1782031 FORECAST

IPSWICH WEST

1,319NEW JOBS

2,1342011 CURRENT

3,4532031 FORECAST

IPSWICH EAST

24,811NEW JOBS

19,7992011 CURRENT

44,6102031 FORECAST

IPSWICH NORTH

437NEW JOBS

1,4892011 CURRENT

1,9262031 FORECAST

IPSWICH CENTRAL

48,519NEW JOBS

42,5462011 CURRENT

91,0652031 FORECAST

Prepared by Urbis; Source: Queensland Government Statistician’s Office Note: Catchment includes Redbank Plains, Springfield, Brookwater and Bellbird Park

DEMOGRAPHICS & EMPLOYMENT

POPULATION GROWTH Redbank Plains Catchment

Young families have driven the growth of the Redbank Plains Catchment.

DEMOGRAPHICS

EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS

Prepared by Urbis; Source: NIEIR

POPULATION GROWTH – AGE GROUPS Redbank Plains Catchment

Prepared by Urbis; Source: Queensland Government Statistician’s Office Note: Catchment includes Redbank Plains, Springfield, Brookwater and Bellbird Park

AGED 30–44REDBANK

PLAINSIPSWICH

LGABRISBANE

LGA

Median Age of Residents 30 34 36Average Weekly Household Income $1,466 $1,468 $1,693White Collar Workers 55% 60% 70%Families with Young Children 51% 46% 40%School Aged Children (5–19) 24% 23% 20%

Owner-Occupier 56% 62% 66%

Live in Houses 90% 91% 79%

PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SCHOOL ENROLMENTS Redbank Plains Catchment and Surrounds – 2014

Prepared by Urbis; Source: Department of Education and Training, Private Schools Guide

Public Primary and Secondary Schools

Private Primary and Secondary Schools

3

8

2,472

5,343

2014

36,576

2026

58,618

2036

85,440

AGED 0–1410,064 14,403 20,439

2014 2026 2036

8,387 13,684 18,6442014 2026 2036

STUDENTS

STUDENTS

SCHOOLS

SCHOOLS

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REDBANK PLAINS CATCHMENT IPSWICH LGA

Prepared by Urbis, Source: APM PriceFinder

2.6%

3.4%

5-YEARS 10-YEARS

7.1%

20-YEARS

0.6%

5-YEARS 10-YEARS

6.7%

20-YEARS

3.3%

2.6%

3.4%

5-YEARS 10-YEARS

7.1%

20-YEARS

0.6%

5-YEARS 10-YEARS

6.7%

20-YEARS

3.3%

Prepared by Urbis, Source: APM PriceFinder

20-YEAR HOUSE SALES CYCLE Ipswich LGA DEC 95–DEC 15

$330,000

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

DEC

–95

JUN

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DEC

–96

JUN

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DEC

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JUN

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DEC

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JUN

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DEC

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PERIOD (QUARTERLY)

MED

IAN

SALE PRIC

E

NU

MBE

R O

F TR

AN

SAC

TIO

NS NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

Prepared by Urbis, Source: APM PriceFinder

Ipswich is one of Queensland’s fastest growing Local Government Areas, with an annual population growth of 4.4 per cent between 2015 and 2036. Reviewing total lot registrations for the LGA, it is evident demand has been outstripping the supply for new family households. With Brisbane house prices reaching a median over $600,000, Ipswich is a favourable, more affordable destination for young families, ensuring demand will continue in the coming years.

Looking closer, Redbank Plains is increasingly becoming a destination of choice for families pursuing ownership of their own home. The development of neighbouring Springfield and the ongoing infrastructure investment within the area has provided a catalyst for growth with Redbank Plains fast becoming a suburb of choice for new housing development.

The median house sales price within the Redbank Plains Catchment (made up of the suburbs of Redbank Plains, Bellbird Park, Springfield and Brookwater) over the December 2015 quarter was recorded at $350,000. This was based on 173 unconditional house settlements during the period.

This represents median price growth for houses in the Redbank Plains Catchment of 7.1 per cent per annum over the past 20 years, a positive result despite the turbulent economic times experienced over the last five years. In line with the Redbank Plains Catchment, the wider Ipswich LGA also recorded significant growth of 6.7 per cent per annum over the past 20 years. The Ipswich LGA recorded a median sales price of $330,000 for the December 2015 quarter.

The future development of the area is expected to lift the residential demand of the precinct and should result in quality housing product experiencing a growth premium. For potential investors, coupling this with the region’s strong rental yield and forecast future population growth, demonstrates the investment fundamentals Redbank Plains offers.

20-YEAR HOUSE SALES CYCLE Redbank Plains Catchment Dec 95–Dec 15

NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS MEDIAN SALE PRICE

$350,000

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

DEC

–95

JUN

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DEC

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JUN

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DEC

–97

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DEC

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DEC

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JUN

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PERIOD (QUARTERLY)

MED

IAN

SALE PRIC

E

NU

MBE

R O

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AN

SAC

TIO

NS

MEDIAN SALE PRICE GROWTH DEC 15

Redbank Plains has benefited from continued population growth over the

last two decades, resulting in the median price for houses increasing by 7.1 per cent

per annum over the last 20 years.

LOT REGISTRATIONS & NEW FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS Ipswich LGA 2007–2015

Prepared by Urbis; Source: Queensland Government Statistician’s Office*2015 lot registrations figure to September 2015

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

NO

. OF

LOT

REG

ISTR

ATI

ON

S

AN

D N

EW H

OU

SEH

OLD

SN

O. O

F LO

T RE

GIS

TRA

TIO

NS

A

ND

NEW

HO

USE

HO

LDS

LOT REGISTRATIONSNEW FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS

LOT REGISTRATIONSNEW FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Prolonged period of dwelling undersupply

6 URBIS MARKET REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK© URBIS.COM.AU

RESIDENTIAL ANALYSIS

Page 7: OUTLOOK MAY 2016 - Amazon Web Services · OUTLOOK MAY 2016 REDBANK PLAINS A CONTEXT ON BUSINESS, CULTURE, LIFESTYLE AND RESIDENTIAL Located within seven minutes of the Spring eld

3 BEDROOM HOUSES 4 BEDROOM HOUSES

MED

IAN

WEE

KLY

REN

T

DEC – 12

DEC – 13

DEC – 14

DEC – 15

$300

$315

$330

$350$360

$350

$340

$330

$320

$310

$300

$290

$280

$270

$315

$350

$333

$365

$290

$300

$310

$320

$330

$340

$350

$360

$370

MED

IAN

WEE

KLY

REN

T

ESTABLISHED PRODUCT

NEW & NEAR-NEW PRODUCT

3 BEDROOM HOUSES 4 BEDROOM HOUSES

THREE AND FOUR BEDROOM RENTAL ANALYSIS Redbank Plains Catchment – Dec 15

REDBANK PLAINS PREMIUM Ipswich LGA vs Redbank Plains Catchment – Dec 15

NEW PRODUCT PREMIUM Redbank Plains Catchment – Dec 15

Prepared by Urbis, Source: Residential Tenancies Authority (RTA)

Prepared by Urbis, Source: Residential Tenancies Authority (RTA); Realestate.com;Urbis

Prepared by Urbis, Source: Residential Tenancies Authority (RTA)

The Redbank Plains Catchment (comprised of Redbank Plains, Redbank and Collingwood Park) has high accessibility to nearby infrastructure, amenity and major employment nodes which positions it as a key residential growth area within Ipswich’s Eastern Precinct. Median weekly rents for three and four-bedroom houses in the Redbank Plains Catchment have recorded an average annual growth rate of 1.7 and 1.8 per cent per annum respectively.

This upwards growth trend is likely to continue as the eastern corridor expands and develops. Significant urban renewal of commercial and lifestyle amenity within Ipswich LGA growth centres such as Springfield is likely to facilitate rental demand for Redbank Plains moving forward.

Based on Rental Tenancy Authority (RTA) data which records rental data by postcode, rental prices achieved throughout the Ipswich LGA are quite dynamic. This is due to their varied locational attributes and precinct outliers such as Springfield which has already undergone significant urban renewal. Median weekly rents in the Redbank Plains Catchment for the December 2015 quarter were recorded at $315 for three-bedroom houses and $350 for four-bedroom houses. This is relatively in line with the wider Ipswich LGA median.

Houses in the Redbank Catchment have recorded a growth of up to 1.8 per cent per annum since 2010.

On-the-market rental data, which records new and near-new house product indicates that three and four-bedroom houses are attracting a premium over existing stock.

New and near-new three-bedroom houses are achieving a premium of 11.1 per cent over existing stock, whilst new and near-new four-bedroom houses are achieving a premium of 9.6 per cent over the existing market.

Looking specifically at Redbank Plains, three-bedroom houses are achieving rents of up to $370 per week, while four- bedroom homes are achieving up to $420 per week. This is a significant premium over the established stock.

Due to strong demand for limited dwelling supply in capital cities, the prominent challenge for younger generations will be affordability. With the increased accessibility to Springfield, Ipswich and from the Ipswich’s eastern corridor, areas such as Redbank Plains represent a viable solution for both owner-occupiers and investors alike.

$370

$350

$330

$310

$290

$270

$250

MED

IAN

WEE

KLY

REN

T

3 BEDROOM HOUSES 4 BEDROOM HOUSES

IPSWICH LGA

REDBANK PLAINS CATCHMENT

$315

$350

$300

$360

New product within the suburb of Redbank Plains is achieving a significant rental premium over established stock.

© URBIS.COM.AUURBIS MARKET REDBANK PLAINS OUTLOOK 7

RENTAL ANALYSIS

Page 8: OUTLOOK MAY 2016 - Amazon Web Services · OUTLOOK MAY 2016 REDBANK PLAINS A CONTEXT ON BUSINESS, CULTURE, LIFESTYLE AND RESIDENTIAL Located within seven minutes of the Spring eld

Brisbane Level 7, 123 Albert St Brisbane QLD 4000

07 3007 3800

This publication is prepared on the instruction of Sanctuary Rise Development and is not suitable for use other than by the party to whom it is addressed. As the publication involves projections and assumptions it can be affected by a number of unforeseen variables. The forecasts and assumptions are a prediction and whilst Urbis has made every effect to ensure

that the forecasts and assumptions are based on reasonable information, they may be affected by assumptions that do not necessarily eventuate or by know or unknown risks and uncertainties. It should be noted that past performance is not necessarily a reliable indication of future performance. The information in the publication does not represent financial advice

and should not be regarded as such. It has been prepared without taking into account your financial situation or investment objectives. You should consider the appropriateness of the information in regards to your current financial situation or needs. Urbis accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any such material. The information is subject to change without notice and Urbis is under no obligation to update the information or correct any assumptions which may change over time. This study has been prepared for the sole

use of Sanctuary Rise Development and is not to be relied upon by any third party without specific approval from Urbis. This publication is subject to copyright. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of it may, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) be reproduced, stored in a retrievals system or

transmitted without prior written permission. Enquires should be addressed to the publishers. EMR0685.