outperformance with sustainable development key performance indicators

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Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 1 Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators (SD-KPIs) Dr. Axel Hesse Senior Consultant, SD-M TBLI Conference Europe, 13 November 2008

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A presentation by Axel Hesse at TBLI CONFERENCE EUROPE 2008.

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Page 1: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 1

Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

(SD-KPIs)

Dr. Axel HesseSenior Consultant, SD-M

TBLI Conference Europe, 13 November 2008

Page 2: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 2

Source: Upton, S., Chairman of the OECD Round Table on SD (2002), pp. 8-9.

„[…] we risk emptying sustainable development of content by seeking to extend it to everything.

[…] we should begin accepting that if sustainability is to have a meaningful, universally recognisable core,

many issues will have to be excluded. Otherwise, the cart will simply not move forward.”

Focus on Key Challenges of Sustainable Development (SD)

SD-M consults institutional investors, companies and politics regarding performance-enhancing management of global core challenges for SD.

Page 3: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 3

SD-KPIs in EU Account / Modernisation Directives

DIRECTIVE 2003/51/EC OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCILAccount Directive 78/660/EEC is hereby amended as follows:The annual report shall include […]To the extent necessary for an understanding of the company's development, performance orposition, the analysis shall include both financial and, where appropriate, non-financial keyperformance indicators relevant to the particular business, including informationrelating to environmental and employee matters;

SD-KPIs are non-financial key performance indicators (KPIs) regarding a Sustainable Development (SD), which are relevant to the particular businessand which have to be disclosed in annual reports /management reports.

SD-KPIs

Page 4: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 4

Investors remain the most important target group also for SD-KPIsin annual / management reports (empirical results for DAX-30 companies).

Source: Hesse (2006), p. 11.

Page 5: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 5

Demand of investors for relevant, sector-specific SD-KPIs

Source: Hesse (2007), 40 pages.

Empirical survey of seven relevant investors and analysts covering SD factors.

Open question:Which are the up to three most important sector-specific SD-KPIs for the business development, the position and the expected development of ten different industries?

A study by Dr. Axel Hesse (SD-M) for Deloitte and the German Federal Ministry of the Environment

Page 6: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 6

Examples for SD-KPIs 1 with the highestimportance for the business‘ development, the position and the expected development

Automobile industry: Fleet consumption (7 out of 7 investors / analysts)

Utilities: Greenhouse gas intensity of energy production (6 out of 7)

Transport and logistics services: Energy and greenhouse gas efficiency (6 out 7)

Consumer goods and retail: Compliance to environmental and social standards in the supply chain (6 out of 7)

Pharmaceuticals: Access strategies to medicines for the poor (5 out of 7)

Naming of >40% of the investors/analysts necessary to define a SD-KPI

Results: Up to three most important SD-KPIs for ten sectors (SD-KPIs 1 - 3)

Source: Hesse (2007).

Page 7: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 7

Dollar value of a single SD-KPI?Automobile industry: Fleet consumption

Fuel efficiency most important factor for the consumer‘s purchase decision!

And: 80-95% of CO2 emissions during the use phase

Standard&Poor’s:

600-3.000 Euros per vehicle to meet upcoming EU emissions standards

Page 8: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 8

Dollar value of a single SD-KPI?Utilities: Greenhouse gas intensity of energy production

RWE: >1 billion Euro per year additional costsfor the purchase of emission rights from 2008 (2007: 100 million Euro)

Vattenfall Europe: 500 - 700 million Euro per year

Source: Handelsblatt, May 16, 2007, p. 14.

Page 9: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 9

Dollar value of a single SD-KPI?Banks: Sub-prime or predatory lending

Source: Hesse (2007), p. 11.

SD-KPI 2: Credit checks for SD risks and opportunities in retail banking

Page 10: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 10

SD-KPIsof different sectors

Source: Hesse (2008), p. 6.

Page 11: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 11

SD-KPIsof different sectors

Source: Hesse (2008), p. 7.

Page 12: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 12

Source: Hesse (2008), pp. 33, 36, 40.

Page 13: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 13

Source: Hesse (2008), p. 43.

Best Practice for SD-KPIs Reporting

Page 14: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 14

Automobile industry: BMW—not quite best practice

Source: BMW Group, Annual Report 2006, pp. 30–31.

• BMW reduced fuel consumption from 1990 until 2005 about 30%—relatively. • However, the most important information, the absolute amount of the emissions of the fleet,was not reported at all.

• The sales-weighted absolute amount of the brand BMW was 192 g CO2/km, the highest emission value of all European competitors (except for Porsche).

• Impending EU regulation (130 g CO2/km): BMW can expect price increases of between Euro 1500-3000 per automobile on average across its fleet.

• Investors do not receive these material information.

Page 15: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 15

Best Practice: Industrial goods—renewables: SolarWorld

• Climate protection adds value for the producer of low-emission renewable energy • Positive CO2 budget shows that the carbon dioxide emissions avoided by means of SolarWorld

products in 2006 exceed the emissions generated throughout the Group by a factor of more than 45• Simultaneously pursue economic and environmental goals• The Group´s CO2 emissions have therefore remained constant at around 41 (previous year: 41)

thousand tonnes of CO2 equivalents despite the increase in production in 2006 • Due to the solar power modules supplied by SolarWorld at the end of the value chain, the

environment is spared a total of around 1.9 (previous year: 1.2) million tons of CO2. • The environmental damage prevented in this way is worth around 130 (previous year: 84) million €

Sources: SolarWorld,Annual Report 2006, p. 42 + Hesse (2008).

Page 16: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 16

Which of these approaches to sustainability research do you believe will lead to risk-adjusted out- or underperformance in the future?

Assets under Management:US$ 715 billion

Page 17: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 17

Excursus: “Big Six”—the six most important SD challenges for the 21st century

Sources: UNEP (2000), p. 339.; Hesse (2002-2007).

freshwater

1

23

45

6

=> poverty

The "Big Six"-Concept is protected by copyright. Institutional Investors could use the „Big Six“ for thematic investments with

outperformance in the long term.

Page 18: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 18

• From 2004 until now SD-M has elaboratedthe SD-KPIs-concept, which is protected by copyright.

• Easy data collection

• Easy communication

• Materiality (EU accounting law)

• Strong partners: Deloitte Prof. Baetge, #1 accounting prof in Germany15year-lasting competition „The Best AnnualReport“ of „manager magazine“

• „Standardization“: Stront interest ofKPMG and Ernst&YoungAssociation of Chartered CertifiedAccountants (ACCA)Fédération des Experts ComptablesEuropéens (FEE): organisation for theaccountancy profession in Europe

• Institutional Investors could use SD-KPIsfor Best-in-Class-Investments with highoutperformance in the long term from 2009.

SD-KPIs Concept—Highlights

Page 19: Outperformance with Sustainable Development Key Performance Indicators

Dr. rer. oec. Axel Hesse, Senior Consultant, November 2008, Page 19

Thank you for your attention!

Contact: [email protected]

Tel +49 251 2394678Mobile +49 173 64 222 11