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THE WORLD BANK GROUP Output Based Aid A Compilation of Lessons Learned and Best Practice Guidance Final Draft September 2009 GPOBA and IDA-IFC Secretariat

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THE WORLD BANK GROUP

Output Based Aid A Compilation of Lessons Learned and

Best Practice Guidance

Final Draft

September 2009

GPOBA and IDA-IFC Secretariat

2

Acknowledgments

This paper has been prepared by a team led by Yogita Mumssen (FEU), comprising Lars Jo-

hannes and Geeta Kumar (GPOBA) and Vyjayanti Desai (IDA-IFC Secretariat), with the support

of Inga Murariu, Daniel Coila, and Mark Njore (GPOBA), under the supervision of GPOBA

Program Manager Patricia Veevers-Carter and IDA-IFC Secretariat Director Nigel Twose.

GPOBA and the IDA/IFC Secretariat would like to extend special thanks to the peer reviewers:

Amie Batson (MDW), Andreas Schliessler (ECSSD), Dana Rysankova (AFTEG), Juan-Navas

Sabater (CITPO), Logan Brenzel (HDNHE), and Luiz Claudio Martins Tavares (AFTU1).

Additional comments and contributions were provided by the following OBA practitioners:

Carmen Nonay, Catherine Russell, and Esther Loening (GPOBA), Cledan Mandri-Perrot, Iain

Menzies and Mustafa Hussain (FEU), Xavier Chauvot de Beauchene (MNSSD), Dirk Sommer

(CIADR), and Martin Schmidt (KfW).

Special thanks to the comments and guidance provided by the OBA Advisory Committee that

met in February 2009, comprising: Alejandro Jadresic and Irving Kuczynski (GPOBA Indepen-

dent Panel of Experts), Adriana Aguinaga (CINPW), Amie Batson (MDW), Doyle Gallegos

(CITPO), Gaiv Tata (CFP), Hartwig Schafer (SDNVP), Magda Lovei (EASOP), Marc Juhel

(ETWTR), Neil Gregory (FPDVP), Penelope Brook (GIADR), Tjaarda Storm Van Leeuwen

(AFTEG), and, Vijay Jagannathan (EASIN).

3

Acronyms and Abbreviations

ACGF Africa Catalytic Grown Fund

AFR Sub-Saharan Africa Region

AusAID Australian Agency for International Development

BPHS Basic Package of Health Services

CBO Community-Based Organization

CCT Conditional Cash Transfers

CGDEV Center for Global Development

CITPO Policy Division (IBRD Telecommunications and Informatics)

COD Cash-on-delivery Aid

CREMA Contrato de Recuperación y Mantenimiento

DFID UK Department for International Development

DPL Development Policy Lending

DPO Development Policy Operation

DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo

EAP East Asia and Pacific Region

ECA Europe and Central Asia Region

ECLAC United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean

EMW East-Meets West

ESCO Energy Service Company

ESMAP Energy Sector Management Assistance Program

EU European Union

FDT Fund for the Telecommunications Development

FDT Telecommunications Development Fund

FITEL Peru‘s Fund for Telecommunications Investment

FONDETEL Fund for the Telephony Development

FPD Finance and Private Sector Development

FSSAP Bangladesh Female Secondary School Assistance Project

GEF Global Environment Facility

GPOBA Global Partnership on Output-Based Aid

HH Household

IADB Inter-American Development Bank

IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

ICB International Competitive Bidding

ICR Implementation Completion Report

ICT Information and Communication Technology

IDA International Development Association

IDB Islamic Development Bank

IDCOL Infrastructure Development Company Limited

IDTR Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation

IFC International Finance Corporation

IMF International Monetary Fund

INDH National Initiative for Human Development

JHU Johns Hopkins University

KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau

LCR Latin America and Caribbean Region

MCC Millennium Development Corporation

MDG Millennium Development Goal

MENA Middle East and North Africa Region

MFI Microfinance Institution

4

MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency

MMR Manila Metropolitan Region

MPOH Ministry of Public Health

MSC Medium-Term Service Contract

MTR Mid-Term Review

MWC Manila Water Company

NGO Non-governmental organization

NHAI National Highways Authority of India

NHDP National Highways Development Project

NHSPT National Health Services Purchasing Team

NPV Net Present Value

NWDP National Water Development Project

O&M Operating and Maintaining

OBA Output Based Aid

OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

OPCS Operations Policy and Country Services

PBS Rural Electric Cooperatives

PER Guatemala Rural Electrification Scheme

PERMER Renewable Energy for Rural Markets Project (Argentina)

PHSPT Provincial Health Services Purchasing Team

PMMR Performance-Based Maintenance and Management of Roads

PNFP Private Not-For-Profit

PPA Performance-Based Partnership Agreements

PPER Senegal Rural Electrification Priority Programs

PPIAF Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility

PPP Public Private Partnership

PRSC Poverty Reduction Support Credit

PSD Private Sector Development

PV Photo-Voltaic

QEII Queen Elizabeth II Hospital

RBF Results-Based Financing

REB Rural Electrification Board

REF Rural Electrification Funds

SANRAL South African National Road Agency

SAR South Asia Region

SDN Sustainable Development Network

SHS Solar Home Systems

SIAS Guatemala‘s Integrated Healthcare System

SIDA Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency

SMME Small, Medium, and Micro Enterprises

SOE State Owned Enterprises

SPUG Small Power Utility Group

STD Sexually Transmitted Disease

SWAp Sector Wide Approach

UAF Universal Access Funds

UNDP United Nations Development Program

USAID United States Agency for International Development

USF Universal Service Funds

WASIS Water Services and Institutional Support Project

WBG World Bank Group

WSP Water and Sanitation Program

5

Table of Contents

Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................................... 8 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 14

1.1 Background .................................................................................................................. 14 1.2 Objective and Audience ............................................................................................... 14

1.3 Execution of Review/Methodology .............................................................................. 14 1.4 Structure of Report ....................................................................................................... 16

2. Context ................................................................................................................................................... 17 2.1 Definitions .................................................................................................................... 17

2.2 Traditional vs. OBA approaches .................................................................................. 17 2.3 Contracting out service delivery: the spectrum ............................................................ 19 2.4 Applications of the OBA approach .............................................................................. 20

2.5 OBA as part of the Results-Based Agenda .................................................................. 21 3. Snapshot of OBA in the WBG and Beyond ........................................................................................... 22

3.1 Universe of OBA under review .................................................................................... 22 3.2 Funding OBA ............................................................................................................... 24

3.3 Sector focus .................................................................................................................. 26 4. Lessons Learned: Cross-cutting Challenges and Best Practice .............................................................. 27

4.1 Transparency: Explicit targeting of subsidies for the poor .......................................... 29 4.2 Accountability: Shifting performance risk to providers ............................................... 33

4.3 Private sector capital and expertise .............................................................................. 42 4.4 Innovation and efficiency ............................................................................................. 46 4.5 Sustainability, Tariffs and the Enabling Environment ................................................. 50

4.6 Monitoring of results .................................................................................................... 55 5. Key Considerations and Next Steps ....................................................................................................... 57

5.1 ―External‖ challenges and possible responses by the WBG ........................................ 57 5.2 ―Internal‖ challenges and possible responses by WBG ............................................... 60

Annex 1: Table of OBA projects in the WBG (as of April 30, 2009) .......................................... 62

Annex II: Sector Specific Lessons ............................................................................................... 68 A. ICT ................................................................................................................................ 68

B. Roads ............................................................................................................................ 77 C. Energy .......................................................................................................................... 87 D. Water ............................................................................................................................ 98 E. Health ......................................................................................................................... 107 F. Education .................................................................................................................... 117

Annex III: Comparison of OBA portfolio to total WBG portfolio FY 2000 – 2009 .................. 123

6

Figures, Tables, and Boxes

Figures

Figure 1: Volume of OBA Subsidy by Sector and Region in the WBG ....................................................... 9 Figure 2: Number of Projects by Project Status ............................................................................................ 9 Figure 3: Contrast of a Traditional Input-based Approach to an Output-based Approach ......................... 18 Figure 4: Contracting Spectrum .................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 5: Volume of OBA Subsidy by Sector and Region in the WBG ..................................................... 22 Figure 6: Comparison of WBG OBA Portfolio to Total WBG Portfolio ................................................... 23 Figure 7: Comparison Portfolio vs. Number of Projects in IDA, IBRD and Blend Countries ................... 24 Figure 8: Distribution of Subsidy for All GPOBA Projects (Including Design Stage) .............................. 25 Figure 9: Distribution of OBA Portfolio by Sector and Region ................................................................. 26 Figure 10: Number of Projects by Project Status ........................................................................................ 27 Figure 11: Comparison of Performance of OBA and Traditional Projects ................................................. 35 Figure 12: Distribution of OBA ICT Projects ............................................................................................. 69 Figure 13: Global Application of Performance-Based Contracting for Roads ........................................... 78 Figure 14: Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Transport ..................................................................... 79 Figure 15: Distribution of WBG OBA Energy Projects ............................................................................. 87 Figure 16: Distribution of WBG OBA Schemes in Water and Sanitation .................................................. 98 Figure 17: The Universe of Results-Based Financing .............................................................................. 108 Figure 18: Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Health ........................................................................ 109

Tables

Table 1: Benchmarks/Criteria and Cross-cutting Lessons from OBA Portfolio ......................................... 11 Table 2: Distribution of OBA Projects ....................................................................................................... 23 Table 3: Distribution of OBA Portfolio by Sector and Region ................................................................... 26 Table 4: Cost and Effectiveness of Targeting Mechanisms ........................................................................ 33 Table 5: Universe of Output-Based Aid in ICT .......................................................................................... 69 Table 6: Defining ―Performance‖ in the Provision of ICT Services ........................................................... 74 Table 7: Performance Indicators for Transport Projects ............................................................................. 83 Table 8: Health Service Providers in Contracts to Provide Health Services ............................................ 113 Table 9: Parties Responsible for M&E in Contracts to Provide Health Services ..................................... 115

Boxes Box 1: Applications of OBA – Subsidy Design Mechanisms .................................................................... 20 Box 2: Nepal Biogas Support Program—Geographic Plus Self-selection Targeting ................................. 31 Box 3: CREMA – Phases I and II ............................................................................................................... 38 Box 4: Limitations to Shifting Risks to Service Providers ......................................................................... 41 Box 5: Colombia Natural Gas Distribution for Low Income Families in the Caribbean Coast – OBA and

the Private Sector ................................................................................................................................... 43 Box 6: Bank Procurement in OBA Projects ............................................................................................... 49 Box 7: Fund for Telephony Development in Chile ..................................................................................... 71 Box 8: Development of Telephony Fund in Guatemala ............................................................................. 76 Box 9: Argentina: Pilot Project for Performance-Based Maintenance: Roads Maintenance and Sector

Rehabilitation Project ............................................................................................................................. 80 Box 10: Successful Performance Based Rehabilitation and Maintenance Contracts in Chad .................... 81 Box 11: Annuity Concessions in India ....................................................................................................... 85 Box 12: Bangladesh -- Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy Development Project (2002-2009) . 89 Box 13: The ESCO Model: Argentina PERMER Concession ................................................................... 95 Box 14: Senegal Rural Electrification Priority Programs (PPER) .............................................................. 96

7

Box 15: Mozambique Water: OBA and IDA ............................................................................................ 100 Box 16: Manila Water Supply Project ...................................................................................................... 102 Box 17: Phasing in Payments Due to Access-to-finance Constraints in Uganda‘s Water Sector ............. 103 Box 18: Kenya Microfinance for Small Water Schemes .......................................................................... 104 Box 19: Expansion of Water Services in Low-income Areas of Jakarta .................................................. 105 Box 20: Morocco Urban Water and Sanitation Project ............................................................................ 106 Box 21: New Hospital Public-Private Partnership in Lesotho .................................................................. 114 Box 22: Cash-on-delivery Aid (COD) ...................................................................................................... 117 Box 23: Bangladesh Female Secondary School Assistance Project ......................................................... 118 Box 24: Conditional Cash Transfers in Education and OBA ................................................................... 120 Box 25: The Impact of PSP in the Concession Schools Program in Bogota ............................................ 121

8

Executive Summary

Objectives and Execution: The objective of this review is to provide a more definitive and prac-

tical understanding of lessons and best practice related to output-based aid (―OBA‖), a results

based financing (RBF) instrument that uses public-private partnerships and aims to more effec-

tively target access to basic services.1 The audience for this review will primarily be task teams

and managers working on project design and supervision in the relevant sectors, as well as do-

nors and governments who are interested in lessons in light of potential scale-up and main-

streaming of OBA approaches. The review has been undertaken jointly by the Global Partnership

on Output-Based Aid (GPOBA) and the IDA-IFC Secretariat.

What is OBA? OBA ties the disbursement of public funding in the form of subsidies to the

achievement of clearly specified results that directly support improved access to basic services.

Basic services include improved water supply, energy access, health care and education, com-

munications services (ICT), and transport (mainly roads). In the case of OBA, ―outputs‖ are de-

fined as close to the desired outcome or impact as is contractually feasible. For example, an out-

put might be the installation of a functioning household connection to the electricity network. In

some cases, an ―output‖ might also include a specified period of electricity delivery demonstrat-

ed through billing or collection records. ―Subsidies‖ in OBA schemes are defined as public

funding used to fill the gap between the total cost of providing a service to a user and the user

fees charged for that service, justified by the need to improve basic living conditions or the exis-

tence of positive externalities.2

Universe of OBA. When OBA was launched in the WBG with the 2002 PSD Strategy, 22 OBA

projects with a total estimated value of about $100 million had been identified. Now, nearly 130

OBA projects with a total subsidy value of about $3.3 billion have been identified in the WBG3

(figure 1).

1 Results-Based Financing (RBF) refers to a range of mechanisms designed to enhance the performance of aid through incentive-

based payments. RBF has been used most extensively in the area of health systems. RBF is an umbrella term that includes inter

alia output-based aid, performance-based inter-fiscal transfers, and conditional cash transfers. What these mechanisms have in

common is that a principal entity provides a financial or in-kind reward, conditional on the recipient undertaking a set of pre-

determined actions or achieving a pre-determined performance goal (http://go.worldbank.org/04UNXY1MS0). 2 In some cases, for example for public goods such as roads, user fees may be zero. 3 The $3.3 billion figure is skewed upwards by a few large health and road projects. This excludes related government subsidy

co-financing of $2.7 billion. Therefore the total value of WBG OBA schemes including co-financing is $4.9 billion. All dollar

values are US dollars unless designated otherwise and figures are as of April 2009. (Note: Since the PSD Strategy, some addi-

tional projects of fairly large subsidy value have been identified that were approved before 2002, while some of the other projects

identified at the time did not materialize or the OBA component was dropped.)

9

Figure 1: Volume of OBA Subsidy by Sector and Region in the WBG

Of those projects, 29 have closed, 83 are under implementation and for the most part delivering

outputs, and 16 are in design stage (figure 2). Another 66 OBA schemes have been identified

outside the WBG – mostly in the rural energy, ICT and roads sectors4.

Figure 2: Number of Projects by Project Status

Funding for OBA has come from IBRD, IDA, GPOBA, other donors such as KfW, and govern-

ments themselves through, for example, tax revenue and the collection of explicit (including

cross) subsidies from users. Those OBA schemes in developing countries that do not involve

donor support are mainly found in middle-income (IBRD) countries.

4 GPOBA continues to identify OBA projects within and outside of the Bank; the figures here reflect projects identified up to

April 30, 2009.

AFR29%

EAP3%

ECA2%

LCR56%

MENA1%

SAR9%

WBG OBA Portfolio by Region(Total = US$ 3.3 bn)

Education5%

Energy6%

Health20%

Telecom2%

Transport61%

Water & Sanitation

6%

WBG OBA Portfolio by Sector(Total = US $ 3.3 bn)

Closed23%

Design12%Implementation

65%

Number of Projects by Project Status(Total = 128)

10

Piloting and mainstreaming. The piloting phase of OBA has provided a wide array of lessons

and in many cases has been a success. The 128 OBA projects that have been implemented or are

underway in the WBG reach at least 58.9 million beneficiaries worldwide5. The first OBA pilots

were launched in the ICT and roads sectors in the 1990s in Latin America (LCR). These pilots

were replicated and scaled-up first in that region, and eventually lessons learned were transferred

from IBRD countries to IDA countries. It could be reasonably claimed that OBA has become

―mainstreamed‖ as one of the mechanisms used to expand access in these two sectors in many

parts of the world – and in fact many non-WBG OBA projects identified are in ICT and roads.

In the health and off-grid energy sectors, OBA has become an important results-based financing

instrument enabling improved access for the poor, and OBA schemes are increasingly found out-

side the WBG as well. OBA is still at pilot stage in the water, education, and grid-based energy

sectors, although lessons for scale-up in some cases are now starting to become available.

Although OBA is increasingly being used as a tool to increase access for basic services, the per-

centage of the OBA portfolio as compared to overall IBRD and IDA activities is small. About

2.7% of the World Bank project portfolio in the transport, ICT, health, water & sanitation, ener-

gy and education sectors, approved between fiscal year 2000 and 2009 used an OBA approach6.

ICT was the sector using OBA most commonly7, with 11% its portfolio using OBA, followed by

health (5.7%) and transport (3.7%). So, although OBA is gaining ground and recognition, there

is still some ways to go in terms of scaling-up so that real strides can be made toward improving

access to basic services for the poor.

Enabling environment. The reasons for OBA‘s predominance in some sectors, as well as origi-

nation in Latin America in the 1990s, are to a large extent related to sector and country circums-

tances. More specifically, in order for an OBA approach to be viable, service providers must be

able to take on performance risk, and in particular, ―pre-finance‖ investments until subsidies are

disbursed based on output verification. Although there are several cases of OBA with public

sector providers, private sector operators traditionally are better structured to respond to perfor-

mance-based incentives8 and are usually better able to pre-finance outputs. Thus there appears to

be a correlation with the prevalence of OBA and the sector and regional experience with public-

private partnerships (PPP). This would imply that OBA will take stronger root where contractual

and regulatory practices are traditionally more supportive of the private sector taking risks. At

the same time, OBA can be an important mechanism through which efficiency gains from sector

5 Data on the number of beneficiaries is not readily available for public access ICT and transport projects. Beneficiary informa-

tion is particularly limited in the case of transport sector (available only in two of the 23 World Bank implemented projects) due

to the difficulty in identifying number of beneficiaries for non-exclusive road projects. 6 There are several contributing factors to this low percentage besides that OBA has not been fully mainstreamed. While the

WBG OBA portfolio only includes projects that aim at increasing household access to basic services, the overall WBG portfolio

also includes projects financing large upstream investments, wider sector reform programs, AAA, etc and the overall WBG port-

folio obtained from the WBG Business Warehouse includes sub-sectors such as mining, railways, ports or nutrition for which no

OBA projects have been identified. 7 However, the overall ICT portfolio is relatively small ($657 million), compared for example to transport (over $30 billion),

which helps explain the small percentage of OBA subsidies in ICT even though OBA is most mainstreamed in that sector. Addi-

tionally, OBA subsidies in the ICT sector mainly was financed through levies on service providers, not donor funds, so that the

exact subsidy amounts depend on service provider revenues and are unknown at the start of the project. The review identified at

least $6.2 billion in levies that were used to fund universal access funds. 8 As a consequence of ownership change from public to private, increases in labor productivity, service quality and investment

have been reported in competitive markets . Gains in productivity and profitability associated with privatization have for example

been demonstrated by Megginson, Nash, and van Randenborgh (1994), Frydman et al (1997); La Porta and Lopez-de-Silanes

(1999), and Brown et al (2006) (Gassner et al, June 2007, p.3, footnote 6).

11

reform are shared with users through improved access, and thereby can help underscore the ben-

efits of PPP.

Cross-cutting lessons. The OBA portfolio as a whole has been analyzed against the bench-

marks/criteria that were set out at the early stages of piloting as purported advantages of OBA

compared to traditional approaches. These benchmarks/criteria and the cross-cutting lessons in

relation to best practices and challenges are provided below. These lessons are gleaned from the

194 Bank and non-Bank OBA projects reviewed. Most of the lessons are taken from the projects

that have closed or are under implementation, although in some cases there were important and

interesting lessons to be learned from projects at design stage (table 1).

Table 1: Benchmarks/Criteria and Cross-cutting Lessons from OBA Portfolio

Benchmarks/

criteria

Cross-cutting lessons from OBA portfolio

Increased trans-

parency through

the explicit tar-

geting of subsi-

dies

OBA provides a good platform for targeting infrastructure and social

services subsidies. The focus on subsidies for access is inherently pro-

poor: the poorest segments of the population often cannot afford initial

access (e.g. cost of connection, health insurance) and therefore often do

not benefit from subsidies for on-going service provision. Further, by ex-

plicitly defining outputs, targeting can be made more precise. The process

of output verification can also provide an additional check on the targeting

of subsidies, and is helping provide early evidence that OBA schemes are

reaching the poor.9

Increased ac-

countability by

shifting perfor-

mance risk to

service providers

Compared to similar input-based schemes, OBA shifts performance risk

to service providers by virtue of the fact that payments to providers are

made after delivery of verifiable access and service. But the degree of

performance risk shifted depends on the ability of the service provider to

―pre-finance‖ investments/services until output-based payments are dis-

bursed. Ultimately access to finance will determine how much perfor-

mance risk is reasonably shifted to the provider.

Increased en-

gagement of pri-

vate sector capi-

tal and expertise

OBA does leverage private funding, but because of its generally pro-poor

nature, private financing leveraged will be limited by the extent user fees

(e.g., tariffs) can incorporate investment costs while remaining affordable.

What is particularly noteworthy is the ability, through relatively small

amounts of OBA subsidy, to mobilize private sector expertise to serve

customer segments the private sector might otherwise not serve. Ulti-

mately, the effective use of private sector participation is dependent on the

enabling environment, for example the depth and quality of experience

with PPP contracts, regulation, and access to finance.

9 Explicit targeting of subsidies for specific users and uses is common across all the sectors where OBA is prevalent, except for

the roads sector (and a limited extent ICT), where the ―public goods‖ (access for all) nature makes it difficult to exclusively target

specific beneficiaries.

12

Benchmarks/

criteria

Cross-cutting lessons from OBA portfolio

Encouraging in-

novation and ef-

ficiency

There is some evidence that output-based payments have led to improve-

ments in operational efficiency and the delivery of innovative (often pro-

poor) access to service solutions. Further, OBA has demonstrated effi-

ciency gains through competition in most sectors when competitive pres-

sures have been applied in the selection of the OBA service provider (noting that competitive tendering processes can take time). The focus on

outputs as opposed to inputs should lead to innovations which translate

into future efficiency gains, as has been seen in ICT and to some extent in

roads.

Increased sustai-

nability of public

funding

It is too early to analyze whether OBA schemes have provided long-term

sustainable solutions. There is no evidence to date to suggest that

schemes that involve OBA subsidies are less sustainable than their in-

put-based counterparts, and in fact, the design of OBA schemes (for ex-

ample, greater degree of demand risk shifted to service providers given the

link between outputs and uptake, which in turn incentivizes efforts at

stakeholder participation and education through community organizations,

NGOs, etc) can enhance longer-term sustainability.

Enhancing moni-

toring of results

By paying on verified outputs, OBA internalizes the monitoring of re-

sults. Best practice would also use the monitoring platform of OBA

beyond just the verification of outputs to also check other aspects of ser-

vice delivery. With OBA schemes, accountability also increases for do-

nors and governments: public funding is linked to the fact that pre-

identified outputs are (were) delivered and therefore waste or inappro-

priate allocation of such funding should be minimized.

Next steps. OBA is not a panacea. It is one mechanism within the spectrum of results-based fi-

nancing mechanisms which is showing clear promise. But cross-cutting challenges for success-

ful OBA schemes remain – even for the sectors where OBA is mainstreamed. Although some of

these challenges are not specific to OBA, they must be addressed in order for OBA to continue to

make a mark on aid effectiveness, especially in light of new challenges brought forth with the on-going financial crisis:

access to finance to pre-finance outputs/secure and sustainable sources of subsidy

funding;

capacity of implementing agencies and service providers;

donor coordination and harmonization; and,

limitations to the use of geographic targeting as scale increases.

Further, as most OBA schemes involve PPP arrangements, the most basic aspects for the relevant

enabling environment should be in place. Not all these elements may be required at the time of

piloting, but attempting to short-cut key issues related to, for example, tariff setting and adjust-

ment, quality of service standards, and contract adjustment and monitoring, may lead to delays

for the pilot and will need to be addressed in detail for scaling-up. Understanding the basis for

13

an enabling environment for OBA schemes in any given sector is a prerequisite for sustainable

OBA programs.

The WBG, including its multi-donor programs, has a large role to play in addressing these chal-

lenges in terms of financial support and technical assistance (e.g., transaction advisory, capacity

building, tariff/subsidy reform). The importance of WBG co-ordination can also demonstrated

here. OBA is a platform that can effectively bring together the range of instruments across IDA

and IFC in scaling up targeted infrastructure and social services. For example, while IFC in-

vestments can play a role in supporting the project with financing and bringing in other private

capital, the IDA financing may be used for the OBA payment.

Some strategic guidance has been provided through the Sustainable Infrastructure Action Plan

(2008), Innovating Development Finance (Girishankar, 2009), the PSD Strategy Update, and the

2007 World Bank Strategy for Health, Nutrition and Population, to name a few. Efforts to inte-

grate OBA within country assistance strategies and broader sector programs are underway, but

more needs to be done. More work is needed to ensure OBA projects are able to maintain their

―output‖ driven nature while continuing to meet Bank procurement and financial management

requirements. The Investment Lending Reform (Concept Note, January 26, 2009) currently

being considered by OPCS will be attempting to tackle these very issues, and OBA will provide

some important lessons for this initiative as well.

The ultimate decision on the success of OBA or of any other aid effectiveness tool rests with the

WBG client governments and their interest, ownership, and commitment to design and sustain

such approaches. The WBG has a key role to play in working with the broader develop-

ment/donor community to demonstrate that OBA is an important mechanism to help improve

access to basic services and reach the MDGs. The existing information and expertise on OBA,

including this review, provide a solid underpinning for the successful design of pilots or pro-

grams that respond to client needs.

14

1. Introduction

1.1 Background

Output-based aid (OBA) is being used as an innovative mechanism to deliver basic infrastructure

and social services to the poor. The concept was introduced in the WBG in 2002 through the

Private Sector Development (PSD) Strategy and more formally in January 2003 when the Global

Partnership on Output-Based Aid (GPOBA) was launched as a World Bank-administered donor-

funded pilot program to test the approach with a view to mainstreaming it within IDA as well as

with other development partners.

The IDA14 Mid Term Review (MTR) in November 2006 was an early opportunity to present the

emerging lessons and preliminary findings of the OBA approach. The IDA14 MTR discussion

highlighted that although it was too early to draw definitive conclusions, the emerging findings

were encouraging. One of the recommendations of the IDA14 MTR discussion was that there

should be focused scaling-up of OBA within IDA operations, as well more collaboration across

the WBG, and that the results of the scaling-up would be reported at the IDA15 MTR. This has

therefore been the focus of OBA within the WBG over the last two years, led by GPOBA of

which IFC is a major funding contributor.

In early 2008, the IDA-IFC Secretariat was created to foster greater collaboration between IDA

and IFC. OBA has been identified as one of the instruments that could be used in joint IDA-IFC

operations. Therefore, in preparation of the Secretariat‘s first Annual Report for May 2009 (IDA-

IFC, 2009), and as a precursor to the IDA15 MTR in the fall of 2009, GPOBA together with the

IDA-IFC Secretariat has conducted this review of lessons learned and best practice.

1.2 Objective and Audience

The objective of this review is to provide a more definitive and practical understanding of les-

sons and best practice related to OBA, and the use of OBA as one approach to enhance the effec-

tiveness of donor funds, including through promoting public-private partnerships. The audience

for this review will primarily be task teams and managers working on project design and super-

vision in the relevant sectors as well as donors and governments who are interested in lessons in

light of potential scale-up and mainstreaming of OBA approaches. The guiding principles will be

to better articulate the lessons learned from the various applications of OBA and best practices

by sectors.

1.3 Execution of Review/Methodology

The review has been conducted by GPOBA and the IDA-IFC Secretariat. Much of the work has

been conducted in-house by the GPOBA monitoring and evaluation team (M&E team), which is

tasked with documenting and disseminating lessons learned – both best practice and challenges –

from OBA schemes in and outside the WBG. Guidance and peer review has been provided by

sector experts who have worked on both OBA and non-OBA projects in the Bank.

The methodology broadly involved the following:

a) Identify the universe of OBA projects including projects funded outside of GPOBA and

the WBG.

15

b) Gather information on project design, implementation and results.

c) Compile sector specific lessons learned and best practices of OBA as well as lessons

from the various applications of OBA such as one-off subsidies, transitional subsidies

and ongoing subsidies.

For this review, 194 OBA projects were identified and analyzed. They are classified as follows

based on the OBA funding source (a few of which involve co-financing and some of which are

now under consideration for scaling-up):

GPOBA projects – This includes 48 projects that have received either technical assis-

tance and/or investment subsidy funding (or are in the process of receiving funding) from

GPOBA.

World Bank projects – This includes 80 OBA projects that are funded by the World

Bank Group, independent of GPOBA.

Non-Bank Projects – This includes 66 OBA projects that are funded either by other do-

nors such as KfW and GtZ, or by governments themselves such as the OBA scheme for

water and sanitation services in Chile. This also includes OBA projects in developed

countries such as the special education voucher scheme in the United States. It is not

possible to conduct an exhaustive search, but the review attempts to capture a representa-

tive sample. Further, the review has largely focused on developing countries.

For each project, the following information was sought:

Project design: Design elements captured include output definitions, payment triggers,

financial sustainability/tariffs, targeting, total costs, funding source, role of private sector,

transfer of performance risk to service providers, and administration and monitoring of

the OBA scheme.

Project implementation and results: This includes results of bidding (where applica-

ble), efficiency gains, delivery of outputs and disbursement of funding, lessons learned

and problems encountered during project preparation and implementation. Where possi-

ble, direct comparisons was made with input-based projects.

OBA projects were identified with the help of OBA practitioners and experts both within and

outside the WBG (e.g. the consulting firm Castalia for additional ICT and transport projects).

The team also relied on several in-depth studies separate from this review exercise, such as the

extensive Regulatel study (Stern and Townsend) undertaken by the WBG‘s Global ICT practice.

For WBG (including GPOBA) projects, information on project design and results was obtained

from the following standard documents. The review team also contacted task managers and other

team members for any additional information and clarifications.

Project Appraisal Document (PAD)

Project Information Document (PID)

Operations Manual (OM)

Implementation Status Report (ISR)

Unaudited Interim Financial Reports (IFR)

16

Implementation Completion and Results Report (ICR)

In addition, the following documents that are specific to GPOBA were analyzed:

GPOBA semi-annual Reports

Independent Verification Agent Reports

Post Project Report

For non-Bank projects, information is typically limited. The M&E team relied heavily on inter-

net searches and discussions with sector experts to gather information on these projects.

1.4 Structure of Report

Section 2 of this report starts by providing a clear definition of OBA, and then puts OBA in the

context of other results-based arrangements and subsidy mechanisms. This section also provides

a description of the various applications of OBA: one-off, transitional or ongoing subsidies.

Section 3 of the report provides an overview of where OBA approaches are being implemented.

Section 4 provides a cross-sector review of lessons learned from implementing OBA. The OBA

schemes identified are analyzed against certain benchmarks/criteria which had been set out as

purported advantages of OBA at the early stages of piloting. Challenges and best practices are

analyzed across sector lines where appropriate, in particular if implementation in sectors where

OBA is less prevalent can benefit from lessons where OBA is more mainstreamed.

Section 5 of the report summarizes challenges to be addressed by the WBG and ends with a view

to next steps.

Annex I presents a table of all OBA projects identified in the WBG as of April 30, 2009.

Annex II provides greater detail on the use of OBA in each of the sectors analyzed, on a sector-

by-sector basis.

Annex III provides data on the WBG OBA portfolio in context of the overall WBG portfolio for

the relevant sectors for the same time period.

17

2. Context

2.1 Definitions

OBA ties the disbursement of public funding in the form of subsidies to the achievement of

clearly specified results that directly support improved access to basic services. Basic services

include improved water supply, energy access, health care, education, communications services,

and transport.

In the case of OBA, ―outputs‖ are defined as close to the desired outcome or impact as is con-

tractually feasible. For example, an output might be the installation of a functioning household

connection to the electricity network. In some cases, an ―output‖ might also include a specified

period of electricity delivery demonstrated through billing and collection records. The intended

outcome of such an output-based scheme would be to improve the basic living conditions of the

poor household, reducing indoor household pollution, increasing opportunities for education

through better lighting or through information passed through radio and television, and the like.

The intended development impact could include for example a reduction in morbidity or in-

creased lifetime earnings.

―Subsidies‖ are defined as public funding used to fill the ―gap‖ between the total cost of provid-

ing a service to a user and the user fees charged for that service.10

Policy concerns such as im-

proving basic living conditions for the poor or the existence of positive externalities from a re-

duction in disease may justify the use of subsidies. Both the definition of outputs and the design

of subsidy mechanisms are discussed in greater detail below.

2.2 Traditional vs. OBA approaches

Neither performance arrangements nor subsidies are new to the developing world or the WBG.

Performance contracts have been implemented for several decades, using both public and private

operators. But ―outputs‖ in OBA schemes are generally more narrowly defined than benchmarks

in traditional performance arrangements, which in some cases may be more input-oriented. Sub-

sidies have also existed in infrastructure and social services sectors. But OBA refines the target-

ing of subsidies by bringing together performance-based arrangements and subsidies through the

explicit linking of the disbursement of subsidies to the achievement of agreed outputs.

Figure 3 below provides a simple contrast of a traditional input-based approach to an output-

based approach.

10 In some cases, for example for public goods such as roads, user fees may be zero.

18

Because of the clear link between pre-identified outputs and ex post payment (or, ―subsidies‖),

the following advantages of OBA over traditional approaches are assumed:

1) Increased transparency through the explicit targeting of subsidies, tying these subsi-

dies to defined outputs

2) Increased accountability by shifting performance risk to service providers by paying

them only after they have delivered an agreed output

3) Increased engagement of private sector capital and expertise by encouraging the pri-

vate sector to serve customers (usually the poor) they might otherwise disregard

4) Encouraging innovation and efficiency by leaving the service ―solutions‖ partly up to

the service provider and through least cost determination of subsidy required

5) Increased sustainability of public funding through the use of one-off subsidies and

linking ongoing subsidies to sustainable service

6) Enhancing monitoring of results since payments are made against agreed outputs.

Some of these advantages were postulated in the PSD Strategy of 2002 and were also the basis of

analysis in the IDA14 MTR discussion paper on OBA. These are also the criteria/benchmarks

Inputs (such as materials)

Service Recipient

Inputs (such as materials)

Service Recipient

Private Finance

Public Finance

Service Pro-vider

Service Pro-vider

Traditional (input-based) Approach

Output-Based Approach

Private financing mobilized by ser-vice provider

Reimbursement for out-puts delivered

Source: Brook and Petrie, 2001

Figure 3: Contrast of a Traditional Input-based Approach to an Output-based Approach

19

against which the current portfolio of OBA projects identified in the WBG and outside is ana-

lyzed in this review.

2.3 Contracting out service delivery: the spectrum

Under OBA schemes, services are contracted out to a third party provider, and that contract or

other official arrangement is the mechanism through which the output-based disbursement crite-

ria are established. The ―third party‖ in OBA schemes is typically a private enterprise, but could

also be a public utility, NGO, community-based organization, or even a separate branch or insti-

tution of government from that entity providing the official public funds.

Over the last two decades, schemes that harness private financing to deliver infrastructure servic-

es have expanded considerably. Under traditional procurement, private infrastructure services are

contracted at the ―input‖ end of the spectrum, with the government purchasing specific ―inputs‖

and using these to build assets and provide services itself (figure 4).

Contracting ‗closer to the input end‘ (e.g. the construction of water treatment plants) does not

guarantee that the inputs the government purchases actually lead to the outcomes (e.g. a reduc-

tion in waterborne diseases) or impacts (e.g. decreased morbidity) that the government actually

wants. But because outcomes and impacts are a combined product of what the provider can in-

fluence and other factors outside the service provider‘s control, either governments seeking to

pay on outcomes and impacts will not find a willing, credible service provider or the provider

will charge a substantial premium for making its payment contingent on factors that it cannot

control.

What can be done, however, is to contract for an output that is as closely related as possible to

the desired development outcome or impact, while performance risk is still largely under the ser-

vice provider‘s control. This is the rationale behind ―output-based aid‖. Outputs would include,

for example, contracting for functioning yard taps as part of a water supply program, a specified

number of people to be vaccinated in the case of health programs or working public payphones

or solar home systems to be installed in villages in the case of ICT or energy. But in order to en-

sure sustainability and for service providers to take on appropriate demand risk, OBA usually

involves a mixture of payment on outputs and outcomes – e.g. use of electricity or ICT services.

However, the farther one goes along the output/outcome/impact spectrum, the greater the risk

Design Development

Impacts

(Intermediate)

Outcomes Outputs Build,

Operate

-Output specification

-Service provider selection

OBA “Outputs” include

-Water connection made & service provided

-Solar Home System installed & maintained

-Medical treatment provided

OBA “Outputs” Independently verified

Inputs

Figure 4: Contracting Spectrum

20

borne by the service provider, and consideration must be given as to whether the provider is rea-

sonably able to bear that risk, and at what cost.

2.4 Applications of the OBA approach

OBA schemes can provide subsidies in three ways: one-off subsidies such as connection subsi-

dies; transitional tariff subsidies which taper off as user contributions increase; or ongoing subsi-

dies. The subsidy design chosen will depend on factors such as the sustainability of the funding

source, the capacity for administering the subsidy scheme, the type of service to be subsidized,

and the extent to which the service provider is willing and able to be paid over time (box 1).

Box 1: Applications of OBA – Subsidy Design Mechanisms

One-off subsidies are the most common application of OBA approaches and usually involve capital subsidies

for access to a given service. An example is when a large portion of the subsidy is paid after the targeted

beneficiaries are connected to a network and connections are verified. Given that in OBA approaches the

emphasis is on service delivery rather than on physical connections, even in the case of one-off subsidies a

portion of the subsidy may be withheld and paid only after verification of a certain number of months of sa-

tisfactory service delivery (hence a mixture of ―outputs‖ and ―intermediate outcomes‖ against which one-off

subsidies are disbursed to provide a measure of improved access).

Transitional subsidies can be used to support tariff reforms, where a subsidy is used to fill the gap between

what the user is deemed able and/or willing to pay and the cost-recovery level (e.g., long-run marginal cost)

of the tariff. The subsidy is transitioned out after a specified period of time (e.g., months or years) as the user

contribution increases (and possibly as tariff levels required for cost recovery decrease with efficiency gains).

In these cases, the output against which the subsidy is paid is the service delivered and billed by the provider.

The review identified only a handful of transitional OBA schemes and very few of those are still in place.

Ongoing subsidies may be required in cases where there is a continuous gap between affordability and cost

recovery – including for consumption costs. As in the case of transitional schemes, ongoing subsidies should

be paid out against pre-determined targeted outputs in order to be considered OBA.

For utility services, most OBA schemes in water, energy, and telecommunications rely on one-

off subsidies enabling initial access, partly because OBA is targeted to the poor and the poor are

usually not connected to network services in the first place so often cannot benefit from ongoing

or transitional tariff subsidies. A one-off OBA subsidy may be used, for example, to help connect

a poor household to the water or electricity network or to reduce a community‘s contribution for

provision of pay phones or internet points of presence.

Ongoing output-based subsidies in the utility sectors are seen more often in countries with

higher rates of access. For example, in Chile an income-based targeting scheme channels an on-

going output-based subsidy through service providers to poor urban households for a life-line

(minimum acceptable) amount of water consumed.11

11 Most other commonly used quantity-based tariff subsidies such as increasing block tariffs, however, are not OBA. Such

schemes usually charge tariffs below cost for low-consumption, because it is assumed that poor households consume small

amounts. These subsidies are usually intended to be financed by cross-subsidies from higher-consuming customers (who are

charged higher tariffs). However, the amount of cross-subsidy received by the operator is not related to the amount of subsidy

provided to the low-consuming households, but rather, the subsidy collected from the high-consuming households. Therefore,

the operator ―earns‖ the subsidy from the high-consuming households whether he serves the targeted households or not. These

issues are discussed in greater detail in Section 4.

21

Ongoing output-based subsidies normally fund the provision of basic services or maintenance in

OBA projects in roads, health, and education. OBA road maintenance schemes require ongoing

subsidies for the life of the road, often funded through road funds. OBA health schemes, to en-

sure continued access to care for the poor, often channel subsidies in an ongoing manner through

health care providers as they deliver agreed services, such as well-child visits, over a period of

time – although some health projects may focus on interventions of a one-off nature such as safe-

child delivery.

2.5 OBA as part of the Results-Based Agenda

OBA is an important part of the WBG‘s spectrum of results-based solutions of development

finance. For example, OBA is one key element of a broader universe of results-based financing

(RBF) in the health and education sectors, where RBF is ―a payment made to a provider, payer

or consumer when measurable actions are taken or defined performance targets are achieved‖

(Brenzel et al., 2009) Other RBF mechanisms include conditional cash transfers and cash on de-

livery (see health section in Annex II). This paper will not cover parts of the results-based spec-

trum that are not OBA.

However, it is worth noting that some of different results-based mechanisms can play comple-

mentary roles. For example, conditional cash transfers (CCT) described in greater detail in the

health and education annexes may be enhanced through the use of OBA-type mechanisms.

CCTs can provide incentives for users to partake in health, education and other schemes (e.g.

sanitation) that exhibit positive externalities when they otherwise might not choose to; OBA can

help incentivize providers to ensure that the services are available when users demand such a

service. This is an area to be explored further.

22

3. Snapshot of OBA in the WBG and Beyond

3.1 Universe of OBA under review

At the time of the PSD Strategy Implementation Progress Report in 2003, 22 OBA projects with

a total estimated value of about $100 million12

had been identified – although since then the

number of projects identified that were approved before 2003 has risen to 33, with a total fund-

ing amount of $1.3 billion.

Now, about 128 OBA projects with a total subsidy value of about $3.3 billion (excluding the

$2.7 billion subsidy funded by recipient governments) have been identified in the WBG 13

(fig-

ure 5). Of those 128 projects identified in the WBG, 29 are closed, 83 are under implementation

and for the most part delivering outputs, and 16 are in design stage. This review draws mostly

from the closed projects and those under implementation, although there are also some important

lessons to be learned from project design.

Another 66 OBA schemes have been identified outside the WBG, mostly in the ICT, transport

(mainly roads), and energy sectors. There may be more OBA schemes that were not discovered

by this review.

Figure 5: Volume of OBA Subsidy by Sector and Region in the WBG

To put this in context, OBA is only a small share of the World Bank portfolio, at 3% in total.

Since 2000 between 0.56% and 7.9% of project volume approved each year used OBA. The

largest share of OBA projects was 13.1% of funding volume in the ICT sector, followed by

health (6.3%) and Transport (4.2%) (figure 6).

There are several contributing factors to this low percentage, aside the fact that OBA has not yet

been fully mainstreamed. While the WBG OBA portfolio only includes projects that aim at in-

12 All $ in this review represent US dollars unless designated otherwise. 13 GPOBA continues to identify OBA projects within and outside of the Bank; the figures here reflect projects identified up to

April 30, 2009.

AFR29%

EAP3%

ECA2%

LCR56%

MENA1%

SAR9%

WBG OBA Portfolio by Region(Total = US$ 3.3 bn)

Education5%

Energy6%

Health20%

Telecom2%

Transport61%

Water & Sanitation

6%

WBG OBA Portfolio by Sector(Total = US $ 3.3 bn)

23

creasing household access to basic services, the overall portfolio also includes projects financing

large upstream investments, wider sector reform programs, AAA, etc and the overall WBG port-

folio obtained from the WBG Business Warehouse includes sub-sectors such as mining, railways,

ports or nutrition for which no OBA projects have been identified. For a breakdown by sector,

please refer to Annex III.

Figure 6: Comparison of WBG OBA Portfolio to Total WBG Portfolio

The regional and sector breakdown of these OBA projects is provided in table 2. As the table

shows, most of the projects in the WBG are currently in AFR (due to recent piloting efforts by

GPOBA) and LCR (which is where the first OBA pilots in each sector reviewed began).

Projects outside of the WBG were overwhelmingly in the ICT and transport (i.e. roads) sector,

and predominantly in LCR.

Table 2: Distribution of OBA Projects

AFR LCR EAP SAR ECA MENA Grand

Total

Water & Sanitation 12 7 7 3 0 3 32

Energy 7 6 6 5 3 0 27

Transport 9 11 0 1 1 1 23

Health 11 3 3 4 0 1 22

Telecom 6 6 5 2 1 0 20

Education 0 1 0 3 0 0 4

Grand Total 45 34 21 18 5 5 128

The nearly four-fold increase in the number of OBA projects in the WBG within a period of five

years is due to a variety of factors, in particular:

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Total $5,539 $6,705 $6,831 $7,333 $9,400 $8,214 $8,608 $11,136 $10,635

OBA $31 $83 $133 $68 $743 $247 $382 $132 $403

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

Total WBG funding approved(FY 2000-2009 in m)

24

an increased emphasis on results and accountability by donors and governments, includ-

ing the WBG results agenda;

an explicit recognition that well-designed subsidy schemes are an integral part of a pro-

poor infrastructure and social services delivery strategy; and,

a recognition that in order for PPP to be successful, specific attention needs to be paid to

pro-poor service delivery.

This explicit acknowledgment that subsidies are sometimes necessary, coupled with new evi-

dence that many existing subsidy schemes such as quantity-based subsidies embedded in tariffs

often have a regressive targeting incidence, have contributed to the appeal of more targeted sub-

sidy schemes such as OBA (Komives et al., 2005).

3.2 Funding OBA

Funding for OBA schemes has come from IBRD, IDA, GPOBA, other donors such as KfW, and

governments themselves through, for example, tax revenue and the collection of cross-subsidies

from users. The WBG is the biggest donor with over $3.3 billion committed to fund subsi-

dies to approximately 80 projects14

. Many of the WBG‘s original OBA projects were in the

Latin America region and in the roads and ICT sectors. Subsequent roads and ICT schemes have

built on the lessons from these schemes – with varying degrees of success – and expanded into

other regions so that there are now a substantial number of roads and ICT schemes in regions

such as AFR. This is discussed in the sector sub-sections in Annex II as well as in Section 4. Of

the $3.3 billion WBG portfolio, the majority of the projects (59%) are in IDA countries

compared to 29% percent in IBRD countries. In terms of subsidy volume, IBRD countries

account for the largest share at 56% of the total WBG subsidy portfolio compared to IDA’s

39%. About 12% of projects, accounting for 5% of the subsidy volume, are located in

IDA/IBRD blend countries (figure 7).

Figure 7: Comparison Portfolio vs. Number of Projects in IDA, IBRD and Blend Countries

14 Excludes projects with GPOBA subsidy funding or technical assistance.

BLEND5%

IBRD56%

IDA39%

Distribution of OBA subsidy(Total = US$3.3 bn)

BLEND12%

IBRD29%

IDA59%

Distribution of OBA projects(Total = 128 projects)

25

It is worth noting that some of the WBG projects have received substantial amounts of comple-

mentary subsidy funding from the recipient governments worth a total of $2.7 billion. The bulk

of this government funding has been in the transport and health sectors, accounting for 64% and

30% respectively. More than 76% of this funding came from IBRD governments, though they

accounted for only 48% of the projects that received complementary subsidy funding from gov-

ernment. Therefore the total OBA subsidy portfolio for WBG projects (including government

co-financing) is $6 billion.

In addition to the 80 projects described above, another 48 projects have either received funding

or are in the process of being funded by the World Bank-administered program, GPOBA. GPO-

BA was created in 2003 by the UK‘s DFID and the World Bank. GPOBA was originally in-

tended to help assist in the preparation of OBA projects and document and disseminate the les-

sons learned. In 2005, through an additional DFID contribution, GPOBA also became able to

help fund actual subsidy schemes. This galvanized the development of over 28 GPOBA-funded

projects, most of which are under implementation or for which grant agreements are imminent.

New donors have since joined GPOBA, including the Netherlands government (DGIS), AusAID,

Sida, and the IFC.

GPOBA has to some extent focused on designing and developing OBA schemes in areas where

OBA has been less tested, in particular the water and sanitation sector. Over 60% of the GPOBA

projects are in IDA countries and they account for 72% of GPOBA funding volume. A majority

of GPOBA projects are in the water and sanitation sectors (52%), followed by energy (25%), and

together they account for over 80% of the GPOBA subsidy volume (figure 8). Further, as de-

scribed in greater detail below, although OBA was originally envisioned as a tool to enhance pri-

vate sector participation, GPOBA has also attempted to pilot OBA with commercially-viable

state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in sectors where public utilities have continued to play a domi-

nant role in service provision.

Figure 8: Distribution of Subsidy for All GPOBA Projects (Including Design Stage)

BLEND8%

IBRD20%

IDA72%

GPOBA Subsidy Distribution(Total = US$ 145 m)

Energy30%

Health16%

Telecom3%

Water & Sanitation

51%

GPOBA Subsidy Distribution(Total = US$ 145 m)

26

OBA schemes have also been identified outside the WBG – both in developed and developing

countries. In some cases donors are playing an active role, such as KfW in the health and renew-

able energy sector or DGIS with the Energising Development program, implemented by GTZ in

energy. More generally, for developing countries, OBA schemes that do not involve donor sup-

port are mainly found in middle-income (IBRD) countries which are able to fund subsidy

schemes largely from cross-subsidies or tax revenue.

3.3 Sector focus

Since OBA approaches can vary a great deal depending on the sector context, best practice and

challenges encountered are easier to delineate by sector. Some of these lessons can be trans-

ferred across sectors, and where this is the case, such lessons are discussed in Section 4 of this

review. But what is clear is that in order for OBA or any innovative mechanism to become rele-

vant, it must be able to adapt to regional and sector circumstances and constraints. Figure 9

shows the key sectors under review and provides the amount of subsidy of OBA projects by sec-

tor and region identified in the WBG; table 3 shows the distribution of the OBA portfolio by sec-

tor and region. Annex II provides a more detailed description of lessons learned on a sector-by-

sector basis.

Figure 9: Distribution of OBA Portfolio by Sector and Region

Table 3: Distribution of OBA Portfolio by Sector and Region

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

AFR EAP ECA LCR MENA SAR

Mill

ion

s

Distribution of OBA Portfolio by Sector and Region

Telecom

Water & Sanitation

Energy

Education

Health

Transport

Transport Health Education Energy

Water &

Sanitation Telecom Grand Total

AFR 635,588,000$ 144,815,164$ -$ 58,350,000$ 97,861,433$ 21,490,705$ 958,105,302$

EAP -$ 32,140,000$ -$ 40,600,000$ 23,275,640$ 10,076,630$ 106,092,270$

ECA 55,000,000$ -$ -$ 10,100,000$ -$ -$ 65,100,000$

LCR 1,303,026,000$ 375,104,000$ 41,140,000$ 59,560,000$ 47,380,880$ 29,950,000$ 1,856,160,880$

MENA 40,000,000$ 6,232,100$ -$ -$ 8,400,000$ -$ 54,632,100$

SAR -$ 119,000,000$ 138,007,143$ 24,370,000$ 2,264,743$ 11,900,000$ 295,541,886$

Grand Total 2,033,614,000$ 677,291,264$ 179,147,143$ 192,980,000$ 179,182,696$ 73,417,335$ 3,335,632,438$

27

4. Lessons Learned: Cross-cutting Challenges and Best Practice

In this section, the OBA portfolio as a whole is analyzed against the benchmarks/criteria which

were set out as purported advantages of OBA at the early stages of piloting. These bench-

marks/criteria include:

1) Increased transparency through the explicit targeting of subsidies, tying these

subsidies to defined outputs

2) Increased accountability by shifting performance risk to service providers by

paying them after they have delivered an agreed output

3) Increased engagement of private sector capital and expertise by encouraging the

private sector to serve customers (usually the poor) they might otherwise disregard

4) Encouraging innovation and efficiency by leaving the service ―solutions‖ partly up

to the service provider and through least cost determination of subsidy required

5) Increased sustainability of public funding by allowing one-off subsidies, and link-

ing ongoing subsidies to sustainable service

6) Enhancing monitoring of results since payments are made against agreed outputs.

Challenges and best practice are analyzed across sector lines where possible, in particular so that

implementation in sectors where OBA is less prevalent can benefit from lessons where OBA is

more mainstreamed. Most lessons are drawn from the WBG portfolio of 29 closed projects and

83 projects under implementation – most of which are delivering outputs. Lessons are also

drawn to some extent from the 16 projects at design stage and from non-WBG projects where

sufficient information is available (figure 10).

Figure 10: Number of Projects by Project Status

Closed23%

Design12%

Implementation65%

Number of Projects by Project Status(Total = 128)

28

To judge the merits of OBA, this review aims to answer the following two questions: (i) to what

extent do OBA projects meet the six criteria listed above, and, (ii) does OBA address these crite-

ria better than traditional aid approaches?

To answer the first question, the review mainly relies on information and lessons gathered on

GPOBA projects that are under implementation and from Bank and GPOBA projects that have

closed. Information from evaluation studies and other publications is used to the extent available.

With regards to the second question, the main challenge is establishing a valid counterfactual. To

allow conclusions as to the relative effectiveness of OBA, OBA projects need to be compared to

projects with similar objectives, using other approaches. However, in reality no two projects are

totally alike. For example, two water supply projects providing poor households with access to

clean water may result in vastly different unit costs, depending on how much distribution infra-

structure they involve, whether they involve water treatment infrastructure, etc15

.

Nevertheless, some studies were found that can help put OBA in the context of other aid modali-

ties. For example, on the targeting incidence of utility subsidies and the pro-poor benefits of

connection subsidies such as those that are predominant with OBA, most notable is a 2005

World Bank publication by Kristin Komives et al on ―Water, Electricity and the Poor: Who Ben-

efits from Utility Subsidies‖. And, a number of studies16

have demonstrated cost savings/quality

improvements, resulting from competitive selection of service providers in roads, health projects

and ICT, compared to previous traditional provision of service.

In summary, when reviewing the lessons learned for each of the six criteria listed above, the sec-

tion draws both on the record of the OBA portfolio against these criteria, and also on general or

specific comparisons with input-based schemes. Altogether, cross-cutting lessons and best prac-

tice guidance can be confidently derived. In future, this analysis will be supplemented with re-

sults from on-going impact evaluations or other studies, which will add to the increasing body of

knowledge on results-based financing in general, and output-based aid approaches more specifi-

cally.

Examples of OBA schemes are illustrated to help provide a clearer picture on how lessons are

drawn. However, most detail on the OBA portfolio is provided in the annex – both the table in

Annex I, as well as the sector sections in Annex II for ICT, transport (namely roads), energy, wa-

ter, health and education.

15 The GPOBA M&E team has also explored the option of using unit cost data from the World Bank Africa Infrastructure Coun-

try Diagnostic Study. However, the Country Diagnostic Study uses a disaggregated concept of unit costs that does not allow a

systematic comparison. The country diagnostic study includes outputs such as meters of pipe of a certain quality and diameter

laid or stand-posts installed, whereas the output definition for OBA includes necessary network extension and installation of final

connections. 16 Add roads, health, etc. where this was confirmed

29

4.1 Transparency: Explicit targeting of subsidies for the poor

4.1.1. Traditional approaches to subsidies versus OBA subsidies

Traditional input-based schemes which subsidize specific investment projects such as power

plants or more general budget support for utilities are often equivalent to across-the-board subsi-

dies, as they decrease the tariffs needed to cover costs. Wealthier households tend to consume

more utility services than poorer households so that the bulk of such subsidies benefit non-poor

households. Further, a large percentage of the poor who are often not connected in the first place

cannot benefit from these across-the-board subsidies.

Quantity-based tariff subsidies that charge lower tariffs for lower quantities of water or electrici-

ty are a common way of attempting to target utility subsidies to the poor.17

However, empirical

evidence from the water and electricity sectors shows that such subsidies usually have a regres-

sive targeting effect in that larger proportions of subsidies benefit richer households. This is

largely because many of the poorest households do not have access to these services in the first

place, but also because of inherent regressive characteristics of quantity-based tariffs such as:

- fixed charges that negate subsidy benefits if they increase effective average tariffs of low

consumption households

- increasing block tariffs subsidizing first units consumed of all income strata alike whether

rich or poor and regardless of total consumption behavior

- in some cases, low ―social‖ tariffs that result in incentives to actually increase the up-

front connection costs for users as compensation for lost revenue through the tariff subsi-

dy (Komives et al 2005, p 79ff)

- the lack of clear correlation between income and consumption in the case of water (Ko-

mives et al 2005, p 82ff, p 167).

The seminal study by Komives et al has demonstrated (largely through simulations given the

lack of data) that ―connection subsidies‖ to provide initial access to households in the first place

are inherently more pro-poor than quantity-based tariff subsidies that are linked to the amount of

service used.

OBA in the infrastructure sectors mainly relies on one-off capital subsidies for increased access –

usually through connection, in the case of the network industries. These OBA subsidies aim to

increase access to poor households in the first instance. Then, if there are quantity-based subsi-

dies implicit in the system, poor households can also benefit from them – if the quantity-based

subsidies are properly designed to actually benefit the poor.

Well designed OBA schemes in the utility sectors usually rely on the target population being

able to afford sustainable tariffs that cover ongoing costs of service provision – in other words,

although access may be subsidized, tariffs or running/operations costs may not be. But this is

often not a major hurdle: the poor usually are paying more for alternative services (HDR 2006, p.

52, p. 83). 18

In some cases, additional pro-poor mechanisms are required to ensure effective tar-

geting. For example, tariff affordability issues for the very poorest can be partially mitigated by

17 Quantity-based subsidies through tariffs in ICT are less common as the sector has moved toward collecting explicit subsidies

through universal access funds, but are still in place in some former Soviet bloc countries.

30

subsidizing pro-poor access (such as public water points) which have lower running costs per

capita, and also by ensuring appropriate schemes which fit the payment patterns of the poor.

In the social sectors, traditional funding mechanisms may not primarily benefit the poorer seg-

ments of the population. ―…while governments devote about a third of their budgets to health

and education, they spend very little of it on poor people—that is, on the services poor people

need to improve their health and education. Public spending on health and education is typically

enjoyed by the non-poor‖ (WDR 2004, p.3). For example, the poor frequently live in areas with

little or no access to health care services such as rural areas and poor neighborhoods. They are

less able to wield political influence to direct health care spending to the areas they live in and

the basic services they need most urgently. Also, the usual form of funding hospitals and health

centers benefits all patients and all types of interventions. When buildings, drugs, machines and

salaries are subsidized, all users benefit, regardless of whether they require basic emergency care

or less urgent up-scale procedures.

OBA subsidies, on the other hand, often through on-going subsidy mechanisms, target the ser-

vices the poor are more likely to use (see below). Several OBA schemes in the health and educa-

tion sectors help mitigate the cost of ―access‖ to poor households as well – such as the quasi-

insurance schemes in Latin America (see health sub-section in Annex II).

4.1.2. Sharpening traditional forms of targeting with OBA

All OBA schemes by definition must specify the outputs against which subsidies will be dis-

bursed, and consequently beneficiaries can be identified more clearly than in traditional input-

based schemes. An analysis of the OBA portfolio to date describes the following forms of target-

ing used in OBA schemes.

Most OBA projects use geographic targeting. This form of targeting is useful when in-

tended beneficiaries are concentrated in certain areas and where few people outside the

target group live. For projects in such areas, excluding unintended beneficiaries can be

costlier than including them. For example, an OBA water project is channeling subsidies

for connections in slum areas of Kampala, where most households are very poor and ex-

cluding the few non-poor households would be too costly. Geographic targeting is more

complicated and less effective in cases where the poor and the non-poor live relatively in-

terspersed.

Self-selection targeting involves designing projects so that outputs chosen by poorer be-

neficiaries receive a higher share of subsidies. Subsidies can be targeted progressively by

providing higher subsidies for more basic services—for example, smaller solar home sys-

tems, as in a rural electrification project in Bolivia—or by subsidizing services less at-

tractive to the rich—such as external yard taps in urban Mozambique. Self-selection tar-

geting is also widely used in the health sector. Because wealthier patients tend to favor

more sophisticated up-market facilities, OBA projects usually finance more basic health

care services. Many OBA projects have used self-selection to complement geographic

targeting (box 2).

18 Based on extensive research on the patterns of service delivery to and consumption by the poor, the poor are on the whole pay-

ing more per unit of service consumed – and often of inferior quality. This indicates that tariffs that cover the ongoing cost of

service delivery are likely not a major hurdle for the poor (Bardasi and Wodon, 2008).

31

Box 2: Nepal Biogas Support Program—Geographic Plus Self-selection Targeting

The Biogas Support Program in rural Nepal provides household-size biogas plants to families. Biogas plants

use decomposition of organic waste, such as cow manure, to produce a flammable gas that can be used for

cooking and lighting. The subsidies vary according to the plant‘s size and location. Smaller plants, used by

poorer families, receive relatively higher subsidies than larger plants. Wealthier families, with more livestock

to provide input, prefer larger plants with greater gas output. Plants in remote mountainous regions, where the

population is poorer, receive a higher subsidy than plants in the Terai lowlands, where the population is rich-

er. The higher subsidy for remote mountainous regions is also meant to offset their higher construction costs.

The Biogas Support Program has successfully installed over 150,000 biogas plants funded by DGIS, KfW

and the Community Development Carbon Fund. As of April 2009, 4,772 biogas plants have been installed

and verified under a GPOBA-funded component.

Means-tested targeting is used in several OBA schemes in middle-income countries.

Means testing involves measuring a beneficiary‘s wealth to assess whether a subsidy is

warranted. Such schemes require more advanced administrative systems. For this reason,

OBA schemes that rely on means-testing usually piggyback on broader welfare programs

that identify poor households for a variety of public services. This is being done in an ur-

ban gas service project in the Armenia Access to Gas and Heat Supply for Poor Urban

Households project funded by IDA/GPOBA, for example. One approach used by some

OBA projects includes proxy means testing, in which easily observable characteristics

such as possession of indicative assets, for example a dwelling of a certain size, is used as

a proxy for income. Marie Stopes International, an NGO that serves as management

agency in the Reproductive Health Vouchers in Western Uganda, jointly funded by KfW

and GPOBA, uses a simple questionnaire assessing assets owned, number and quality of

meals per day, and other indicators of potential beneficiaries to determine eligibility.

Community-based targeting relies on collaboration with the local community or its rep-

resentatives to help identify the community members most in need of the service. Com-

munity involvement can increase ownership and reduce the risk of targeting criteria being

rejected by the population in the service area. But community-based targeting may have

drawbacks, such as the risk of being hijacked by special interests. Moreover, this form of

targeting can be time consuming, as evidenced by the Water Access with Small-Scale

Providers project in Cambodia (Navarro 2008).

4.1.3. Role of output verification for targeting

Eligibility criteria for beneficiary households are usually clearly defined and made a precondition

for subsidy disbursements. The third-party verification that triggers disbursement of OBA funds

can sometimes include verification that the poverty targeting criteria have been met. For exam-

ple:

One of the outputs in an IDA/GPOBA urban gas project in Armenia is defined as an indi-

vidual gas-heater based solution for households living on an average per capita income of

approximately $0.5 per day. Using the existing social protection program supporting

32

low-income households in Armenia, the output verification ensures that the output is de-

livered to eligible households.

One of the primary output criteria in the Colombia Natural Gas Distribution for Low In-

come Families in the Caribbean Coast project is proof that each newly connected house-

hold belongs to one of Colombia‘s two poorest economic strata as officially classified

with an average per capita income of less than $1 per day. To avoid excluding the poor-

est from benefiting from the service, the project also includes the provision of a basic gas

stove.

Voucher schemes (as used in health and education) can be used to market services specif-

ically to the poor, for example by selling them in poor areas or targeting social marketing

campaigns to high risk groups. Verification of targeting can be included in voucher

schemes by making vouchers non-transferable, for example by registering biometric data

of voucher recipients.

In projects using geographic targeting, output verification –and therefore subsidy disbursement –

only takes place in pre-identified low income areas. For projects using self-selection targeting,

verification that the correct outputs are delivered (e.g., outdoor yard taps versus indoor water

connections) usually implies verification of targeting. This does not imply that the output ve-

rification process inherent in OBA schemes leads to fool-proof targeting, but if verification

is reliable and robust, it can enhance targeting substantially (see Section 4.6 on monitoring).

4.1.4. Conclusions on explicit targeting of subsidies for the poor

The review conducted to date concludes that OBA provides a stronger platform from which to

target infrastructure and social services subsidies than traditional forms of subsidies in these

sectors. Firstly, the access focus of OBA schemes can help ensure limited subsidies are reaching

those who need them most. Secondly, explicit targeting linking subsidies to specific users and

uses is common across all the sectors where OBA is prevalent, except for the roads sector, where

the ―public goods‖ (access for all) nature of roads makes it difficult to specifically or exclusively

target the poor, and to some extent in the ICT sector, when the target is expanding ―coverage‖.

Thirdly, the process of output verification also inherent to OBA schemes provides an additional

check on the accurate targeting of subsidies, and is helping provide early evidence that OBA

schemes are reaching the poor.

Ultimately, the choice of targeting mechanism for any OBA scheme will depend on several fac-

tors, in particular: the nature of service delivery in the sector; cost-benefit (table 4); and the ex-

isting enabling environment, in particular the type of social welfare mechanisms already in place

and the ability to appropriately monitor them.

33

Table 4: Cost and Effectiveness of Targeting Mechanisms

Targeting approach Cost / admin. complexity Targeting effectiveness

Geographic Low Low-Moderate

Self-selection Low High

Means testing High High

Proxy means testing Moderate Moderate

Community- based Moderate - High Moderate Source: GPOBA and Grosch et al.

A combination of geographic and self-selection targeting seems to be the most promising metho-

dology for OBA in lower income countries, while income and means-testing targeting seem

more appropriate in the middle-income or lower-middle income (IBRD/blend) countries within

which the WBG operates.

4.2 Accountability: Shifting performance risk to providers19

By paying service providers on the delivery of pre-specified outputs, OBA schemes should shift

performance risk to the service provider, the entity technically best able to bear and manage that

risk. More specifically, the components of performance risk that are shifted to the service pro-

vider through OBA mechanisms to a greater extent than traditional input-based schemes include

the following:

Construction risk related to infrastructure and other investments made under the

project, particularly the risk of cost overruns or benefit shortfalls due to non-delivery

of outputs or delivery of inappropriate or insufficient outputs;

Operational risk related to ongoing service delivery; and,

Demand risk related to whether the intended beneficiaries request the service pro-

vided (at the price provided) in the first place (also known as ―uptake risk‖).

While shifting performance risk to service providers, OBA can raise some additional unintended

risks, in particular, the payment risk that once outputs have been pre-financed and delivered as

agreed, subsidy disbursements (or, payments to the provider) are substantially delayed or not

made. OBA design must incorporate measures to mitigate for this potential risk.

4.2.1. Construction risk and one-off subsidies

There are a large number of sources providing anecdotal evidence that cost overruns and benefit

shortfalls occur fairly frequently in international aid projects and infrastructure projects in gener-

al. But very few systematic studies exist that can be used to compare results with the sample of

OBA projects that are under implementation or already completed. A series of papers by Flyvb-

jerg et al, some of which were published by the World Bank, showed consistent cost overruns in

transport projects. In his 2002 article ―Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or

19 The enhanced accountability in the use of public funds and potential reduction in corruption is discussed in the section on mon-

itoring in 4.6.

34

Lie‖ (Flyvbjerg 2002) the authors find that of 258 transport projects, 86% exceeded cost expecta-

tions with an average overrun of 28%. The authors also ―reject with overwhelming significance

the thesis that the error of overestimating costs is as common as the error of underestimating

costs‖ (Flyvbjerg 2002, p. 282).

OBA can help mitigate some of the risk of cost overruns (or benefit shortfalls) related to project

investments through one-off OBA subsidies for access. OBA subsidies are fixed before project

implementation but paid only after outputs have been delivered. This presents a credible cap on

public funding available so that service providers are aware that they have to bear any cost over-

runs. Further, the explicit nature of output and subsidy design should clearly identify the risks

being taken. And, OBA disbursements are usually not tied to the completion of project input

milestones, such as the completion of a telecom tower, but rather to fund connections such as pay

phones and tele-centers up and running. The service provider only gets paid for the parts of the

system that are actually being used. Thus there is a disincentive for creating excess capacity, and

instead an incentive for increasing access. However, it is important that relevant running costs

will be covered by tariffs or fees paid by the new customer (although this is not usually the con-

straining factor for access for poor households – see Section 4.1 on targeting above).

Given the lack of a comprehensive body of literature on benefit shortfalls/cost overruns in devel-

opment projects, this review compares the results of closed OBA projects with comparable

closed World Bank projects. The GPOBA M&E team analyzed a sample of all 37 available ICRs

for World Bank-funded water, energy and health projects closed in fiscal year 2007. This sample

was reviewed to identify all projects that have quantifiable outputs as project development objec-

tives (PDOs).20

This sample was compared with 13 completed OBA projects in water, energy and health for

which results information was available21

. The review showed that a total of 85% of OBA

projects achieved or over achieved the desired results within or below budget, compared to 49%

of traditional projects. Nearly 70% of OBA projects were completed under budget, compared to

slightly more than half of the traditional projects. While some of the traditional projects recorded

cost overruns, none of the OBA projects did. Similarly, only two OBA projects (15% of sample)

did not achieve the intended results, compared to at least 30% of the traditional projects reviewed.

The two OBA projects that did not deliver all outputs projected disbursed only a small propor-

tion of the funds related to outputs actually delivered.22

This provides some indication that OBA

can help mitigating risks to the project sponsor of disbursing substantial amounts of funding for

projects that do not produce the desired outputs (figure 11).

20 Projects with PDOs relating to policy formulation/institutional strengthening or consisting of PDOs with higher level project

impacts not exclusively under the control of the project implementer were excluded from the analysis due to the inability to com-

pare against OBA. 21 The analysis is based on information from ICRs for IDA/IBRD-funded projects and on information from the GEF website for

projects funded but the GEF. 22 Funds disbursed included some fixed costs related to setting up the project.

35

Figure 11: Comparison of Performance of OBA and Traditional Projects

These results are consistent with the presupposition that OBA shifts performance risk to service

providers and helps to counteract cost overruns and benefit short falls.

4.2.2. Operational risk transfer through on-going and one-off OBA subsidies

Are service providers bearing sufficient risk for on-going service provision, after construction is

complete? In many PPP contracts – whether OBA or not – service providers do bear operational

risk. With the addition of an OBA mechanism whereby payments for investments made are ac-

tually with-held until pre-identified outputs are delivered, OBA schemes can provide an addi-

tional hard incentive for performance.

With ongoing OBA subsidy schemes, particularly those in health and roads, performance-based

payments to service providers are based on continuous service delivery of a stipulated quality.

Performance contracts can define the minimum level of service to be delivered at an agreed

payment. This shifts the performance risk of the project entirely to the service provider who is to

some extent free to decide how to reach performance targets, and can therefore probably better

manage operational risks related to service delivery. As discussed in more detail in Annex II,

performance-based roads contracts have shifted more ongoing service delivery risk to roads con-

tractors as compared to traditional forced accounts or contracting. Such contracts have, for ex-

ample, reduced the share of roads in a poor condition in Argentina from 25% to 5% and in-

creased the average road maintenance rating in Florida, USA, from 51 to 87, well above the

agreed minimum standard defined in the performance contract, while at the same time allowing

the government funding agency to save money (Segal et al 2003) (FHWA 2005).

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Ove

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Results Budget

Comparison of Performance of OBA and traditional Projects

OBA

Non-OBA

36

On the other hand, one-off subsidies for access do not necessarily shift performance risk to ser-

vice providers for the entire duration of their service contracts, unless the project involves signif-

icant investment by the service provider to be recouped through the tariff. In order to ensure

more sustainable services, OBA projects involving one-off subsidies should take into account the

nature of the longer-term service contract, including clear standards of performance, related pe-

nalties, and regulatory rules and practices under which the OBA scheme is operating. The link

between sustainability, subsidy levels and tariffs is discussed in more detail in section 4.5 below.

For example, although most of the ICT contracts identified do not disburse OBA subsi-

dies based upon the provision of ongoing service throughout the duration of the contract,

the contracts do include longer-term service provision requirements for about 5 to 10

years. Service providers that are in breach of their contracts can also lose their operating

licenses, which tend to be for 15 years or more. Although they do not make reference to

the OBA scheme, the ICT licenses provide additional incentive for meeting service quali-

ty obligations.

In contrast, in the case of the dealer model for off-grid energy solutions, there are no

long-term contracts for service provision. Therefore the issue of sufficient performance

risk transfer – and sustainability – comes into question. To address this issue of long term

sustainability, recent projects involve capacity building to train users and local techni-

cians to fix non-functioning units, to develop product standardization and certification,

and to negotiate longer term warranty schemes from manufacturers. The creation of the

medium-term service contract as in the Bolivia IDTR project and the phased subsidy

payments in the case of the Ghana dealer model to ensure proper maintenance in the first

few years after installation are some mitigating steps that have been taken to help shift

performance risk further out to service providers.

4.2.3. Managing demand risk in OBA schemes

When payments (for investments made) to service providers are made on outputs delivered, and

those outputs involve user applications and down payments, the service provider bears the risk of

uptake. Although this risk can be partially mitigated through willingness/ability to pay studies

and is not completely new to PPP schemes, for example concession arrangements which involve

expansion of services, low-uptake is particularly relevant for infrastructure and social services to

the poor since the poor are often neither familiar with the services (e.g., sanitation or medical

interventions) nor are certain aspects of the services (e.g., payment schemes).

The demand risk component of OBA schemes is substantial. This can prolong the time required

for project roll-out. But it is important for demand risk to be shifted to the service provider, both

to help address the issue of low uptake and because the service provider should manage invest-

ments and operations most efficiently to meet required demand.

Both the Rural Community Water Project in Andhra Pradesh (GPOBA) and the Senegal

On-Site Sanitation Project (IDA and GPOBA) utilize NGOs to promote community par-

ticipation to improve uptake.

The implementing agency of the Colombia Natural Gas Distribution for Low Income

Families project reports that natural gas is the first utility service that some of the poorest

beneficiaries will receive. Some households were reluctant to access the subsidy, even if

37

the use of gas resulted in a saving compared to traditionally used fuels such as wood and

kerosene, because they were reluctant to commit to paying a monthly bill. To mitigate

this, the implementing agency started outreach campaigns and gave beneficiaries savings

boxes to create a habit of saving up for the gas bills, and in some cases distribution com-

panies even initially ―over-subscribed‖ the program given the degree of attrition between

customer registration and actual service delivery.23

4.2.4. Definition of ―outputs‖ and access to finance determine nature of performance risk

The degree of performance risk shifted to the service provider through OBA schemes is depen-

dent on how ―outputs‖ on which subsidies are disbursed are actually defined. As discussed in

Section 2 of the review, traditional procurement of private infrastructure services that contract at

the ―input‖ end of the spectrum, whereby the government may purchase specific inputs or even

assets, often does not guarantee that the government purchases actually will lead to desired out-

comes. What OBA attempts to do, therefore, is contract for an output that is as closely related as

possible to the desired outcome, while performance risk is still largely under the provider‘s con-

trol.

For example, compared to traditional schemes in the health sector where public funding

would be disbursed along with the building of a hospital or the procurement of special

medical equipment, with OBA, payments to service providers would be dependent on the

delivery of well-child visits or the administration of vaccinations.

In energy projects, instead of payment for the delivery of transmission lines, an OBA

scheme will disburse payment for working connections made and/or actual electricity de-

livered.

The definition of outputs has often evolved as OBA has taken root in a sector and the de-

gree of performance risk that providers are able to bear has in some cases increased. For

example, OBA in the ICT sector often used construction or installation milestones as out-

puts. Through time, outputs have been refined. For example, some of the more effective

contracts disburse a portion of subsidies upon installation of the phones and disburse the

rest on a regular basis provided the phones are maintained to standard.

But there can be wide differences in shifting performance risk based on output definition from

sector to sector, and even within projects themselves. The contrast between the small-town

component and the green-field component of the Uganda Water Supply in Small Towns project

is explained in more detail in Annex II, and is such an example. In short, a more ―pure‖ OBA

approach is used where a sub-project mainly involves extensions from existing systems. But for

the green-field operations, output-based payments are phased such that 60% of the subsidies are

disbursed during construction and only 40% of the subsidies are disbursed with final connections

and water delivery. The difference is attributed to the perception of the private operators‘ ability

to reasonably pre-finance the larger construction costs of the green-field schemes.

In order to effectively shift performance risk to service providers through OBA, service provid-

ers need to be able to ―pre-finance‖ investments and services. This pre-financing can be funded

by the service provider through own cash flow, supplier credit and other aspects of working capi-

tal, and/or equity and debt financing. This finance must be available at reasonable cost in order

23 Colombia Natural Gas Project, Implementation Completion and Results Report, April, 2009

38

to be affordable for the provider and to minimize the impact of financing costs on the tariff

charged to the household. Access to finance has been a major issue in the design of OBA

schemes, particularly when involving small and local providers, as well as when considering

OBA for public providers. For example, even though ICT has moved closer to an ―ideal‖ OBA

model, a portion of OBA subsidies are still often paid up-front, given the cost of capital for pre-

financing outputs.

An interesting example of how OBA design has attempted to adapt to the access to finance con-

straint is provided in box 3 in relation to the CREMA road contracts in Argentina, which were

among the first performance-based rehabilitation and maintenance contracts outside the OECD.

Box 3: CREMA – Phases I and II

Based on positive experience with performance-based routine maintenance contracts (see Box 9:), in 1997

Argentina introduced a new contract combining rehabilitation and maintenance. The CREMA (Contrato de

Recuperación y Mantenimiento) requires the Contractor to rehabilitate and subsequently maintain a sub-

network of roads for five years for a lump sum contract. Payments are made when a specified level of service

has been achieved. The CREMA contracts implemented between 1997 and 1999 specified that rehabilitation

works should be carried out during the first year of the contract. The Contractor received 5-10 percent of the

contract price as an advance payment, and additional payments at the end of the first year when rehabilitation

works have been completed. But the largest percentage of the contract price, about 50 percent, was paid in 48

equal monthly installments spread over the remaining 4-year contract period. This front-loading of rehabilita-

tion and delayed payment schedule resulted in contractors having to finance much of the rehabilitation them-

selves. The rehabilitation costs sometimes exceeded 50 percent of the contract value.

In the new generation of Phase II CREMA contracts, the contractor now receives full payment for rehabilita-

tion works executed, proportionately to the outputs achieved during the first eighteen months of execution.

While this approach has helped resolve contractors‘ financing difficulties, it has given rise to another prob-

lem. With some contractors receiving up to 80 percent of the contract value for rehabilitation works in the

early years of the contract, contractors‘ incentive to perform their ongoing maintenance obligations across the

multi-year life of the contract is reduced. Some contractors have tried to renege on their contracts once they

have completed rehabilitation and not fulfill their maintenance obligations.

Nevertheless, the first two phases of Argentina‘s CREMA program, covering nearly 14,000 km, resulted

in significant improvement in the proportion of roads in good condition from 70% in 1998 to 85% in

2005. Further, the percentage of roads in poor condition decreased from 8% in 1998 to 4.2% in 2005

(Implementation completion report of National Highways Rehabilitation and Maintenance project in

Argentina 2006, p.4).

Source: Liautaud 2001; Highways Toolkit; Cabana 1999; Transport Note TN 27

The access to finance constraint seems most binding for sectors or sub-sectors that rely on small

and local/regional providers – as in the case of the off-grid energy schemes. But these con-

straints may impact the public sector as well. The predominance of public utilities in the water

sector may be one explanation of the limited number of OBA schemes identified/implemented.

Many of these public utilities or local municipalities are not in the position to pre-finance output

delivery. However, there are exceptions. For example, in Morocco, the public utility of Meknes

has taken on commercial debt in order to pre-finance output delivery and allow households to

pay their connection costs in installments over time. In the health sector, projects such as the

Yemen Safe Motherhood Program or the Lesotho New Hospital PPP (see Annex II) work with

up-market service providers, which may be less constrained by access to finance, to reach out to

39

the poor. Access to finance can become more of an issue for projects that involve contracting out

exclusive service provision in a poor area, particularly if this requires significant investments. As

a result, most of these projects include some element of up-front grants.

4.2.5. Payment risk mitigation

OBA may shift performance risk to the entity best able to manage that risk, but OBA can also

lead to additional unintended risks. A further consideration in OBA schemes is payment risk.

Even if outputs are delivered, what assurance is there that service providers will be paid, and

paid on time, even after verification of output delivery? The structure of the funds flow for an

OBA scheme can determine if (in the case of competitive schemes) the transaction can attract

bidders, or in any scheme, whether financial institutions will be comfortable lending to the pro-

viders. In some GPOBA-funded schemes, private fiduciary agents such as banks or well-known

multi-service accounting firms have been used for transparent funds flow. But when funds are

channeled through the finance ministries and/or the national (central) banks, this may add time

and therefore cost. One OBA scheme involving a privatized electricity company in Guatemala

used the privatization proceeds to fund an OBA facility. The payment risk was guaranteed by a

breach of contract coverage from the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), which

is part of the WBG.

In the roads sector, funding from and involvement of bilateral and multilateral development insti-

tutions in the CREMA contracts has provided greater assurance to contractors that they will be

paid: ―By making the long-term payment obligation legally binding on the government, the

CREMA has deterred the Treasury from failing to provide funding for road maintenance; and

experience during implementation showed that at time of fiscal constraints, the budget process

respected the CREMA contracts and funds were allocated to them in priority, as if they were

considered as non-discretionary expenditures.‖24

4.2.6. Conclusion on performance risk

OBA does shift more performance risk to providers of infrastructure and social services as

compared to similar input-based schemes by virtue of the fact that payments to providers are

made after delivery of measureable and verifiable access and service. How much performance

risk is borne by the OBA service provider depends on the extent that the output-based subsidy is

with-held (and, like other PPP schemes, to the extent the service provider invests money to be

recouped through tariffs or fees) (box 4). One-off subsidies for access do not necessarily guaran-

tee the degree of performance risk shifted to service providers in future years; this would depend

on factors such as the enabling environment, for example contractual and regulatory arrange-

ments that are in place (see below). Also, how much performance risk is shifted to the provider

depends on the definition of ―outputs‖ and the extent of phasing-in of payments. This in turn

depends on the ability of the service provider to ―pre-finance‖ the investments and services until

output-based payments are disbursed to it. Therefore, access to finance will to a large extent

determine how much performance risk is reasonably shifted to the provider, and is an impor-

tant area for donor and government co-ordination.

24 Performance Based Contracting for Preservation and Improvement of Road Assets. Resource Guide. Updated April 2008.

World Bank. Available at: http://www.worldbank.org/transport/roads/resource-guide/Case-Argentina.htm)

40

To date, there is limited experience on mitigating the access to finance constraint with formal

financial instruments such as guarantees. More work needs to be done in order to work with

small and local providers, as these are the most likely providers of services in rural and peri-

urban areas where access to services are often most in need. Some examples to date are de-

scribed below – and are relevant not only for pre-financing, but also for project financing in gen-

eral, since access to affordable finance will impact the cost of the entire project and affect the

level of required subsidy (see next section on leveraging private sector finance).

Provision of guarantees to banks lending to output-based service providers. For example,

K-Rep Bank in the Kenya water project has purchased a USAID Development Credit Au-

thority partial credit guarantee to reduce the collateral required from borrowers. In many

of the countries where OBA is operating, central banks discourage unsecured lending and

so where banks are pre-financing works that will be subsidized with output based grants

they still require the borrower to post collateral for the subsidized asset (or portion of as-

set).

In Honduras for example, the issue of access to finance is being dealt with in two ways:

a) for private providers including NGOs, limited commercial debt is possible (albeit with

very short tenors/debt repayment periods), ultimately secured against municipal assets

but with commercial lenders drawing comfort from a grant mechanism payable by the

World Bank; and b) for public implementers, ‗bridge loans‘ are possible, i.e. government

loans (issued effectively at zero interest) secured against future sector transfers from cen-

tral to municipal governments. In the event of default by a public operator, the Munici-

pality would lose its central government transfer.

41

Box 4: Limitations to Shifting Risks to Service Providers

Although OBA in general can mitigate the risks to governments/donors/users of cost over-run and benefit

short-falls as described in the review, there is still a need to take into account factors outside the control of the

service provider – as in the case of any well-designed intervention.

In the case of the GPOBA-funded Morocco Urban Water and Sanitation with unit subsidies fixed in

Moroccan Dirhams, the output projections were lowered by 14% in the first quarter of 2008 as a re-

sult of a 14% depreciation of the US dollar against the Dirham.

The East-Meets West Foundation, an NGO providing output-based connections in the GPOBA-

funded Vietnam water scheme, has received an increase in unit subsidy as a result of unit cost in-

creases partially due to the recent increase in commodity prices. This is especially relevant for

projects implemented by small and medium service providers who do not have means to hedge

against price increases.

In the Colombia Natural Gas project, the Grant Agreement specified the unit cost of $141 to be pay-

able in Colombian pesos. Given the depreciation of the US dollar against the Colombian peso, this

meant that the actual subsidy payable to the distribution companies was reduced significantly. At the

time of grant agreement signing, the exchange rate was 2300 Colombian pesos to the US dollar,

while in 2008 it was 1705 pesos to the US dollar. In the case of the project, the distribution compa-

nies effectively absorbed the depreciation.

With the onset of the global financial and economic crisis in late 2008, it is difficult to predict which way

projects will be affected on the whole. By October, 2008, the global economic landscape changed dramati-

cally with the unraveling of the credit markets, yet inflationary pressures have eased considerably due to a

crash in commodity and energy prices, with the dollar strengthening against most developing country curren-

cies. It is important to take these issues into account when structuring an OBA project and have some flexibil-

ity to adjust subsidy amounts if the sustainability of the project is at risk.

42

4.3 Private sector capital and expertise

4.3.1. Leveraging private sector debt and equity

The ratio for leveraging private sector debt and equity in OBA projects is about 1 to 1.66, i.e. for

every dollar of subsidy raised, about $1.66 of private sector financing was mobilized25

. These

estimates only refer to longer-term private investments made in addition to any investment pre-

financed and reimbursed through the OBA subsidy. The possibility of mobilizing private finance

varies from sector to sector, with ICT and energy mobilizing more than health and water.

For example, in Guatemala‘s FONDETEL projects, each $1 of subsidy leveraged be-

tween $2 and $4 of private investment. In Peru‘s FITEL projects, an average of $2 of pri-

vate capital was raised for each $1 of subsidy.

In off-grid energy, the average private sector financing leveraged is about 1 to 1.4. Deal-

ers are typically small and medium operators with limited capacity to take credit risk for

extending loans to rural households and also lack experience in credit-facility manage-

ment.

On the contrary, for the Senegal rural electrification concession, the winning bidder has

proposed to more than double the minimum number of connections set in the tender—

from 8,500 to 21,800 – by bringing in $9.6 million in private financing. This constitutes

about 60 percent of the total financing, compared to the 20 percent minimum private fi-

nancing requirement under the tender. IFC has recently been requested to participate,

possibly with an equity stake (see energy sub-section in Annex II).

For subsidies that partially finance ongoing service provision, the amount of private capital mo-

bilized is difficult to identify, because the amount of subsidy is not determined as a share of the

investment cost. In such projects, the service provider also has to pre-finance investments for a

much longer period of time.

One lesson is that for network/utility services, private finance leveraging is wholly related

to tariff reform: ultimately, the service provider must be able to recoup these costs through

the tariff. If the aim is to have a smaller amount of subsidy with more of the investment re-

couped through private financing, the tariff would need to be able to absorb these costs. Often

this would be feasible only if contracts were of a longer nature than is normally accepted. Be-

cause OBA schemes target the poor, who often are charged social tariffs or who consume small

amounts, the possibilities of leveraging in the traditional sense are limited compared to non-OBA

schemes which do not target the poor.

The link between tariffs and output-based subsidies is critical not only for the issue of leveraging

private finance, but also for ensuring that service providers are not over-compensated through

OBA subsidies yet at the same time are incentivized to make the output-based connections. This

is discussed in Section 4.5 Sustainability and Enabling Environment.

25 The ratio is derived from 33 private sector projects for which the amount of private financing could be identified.

43

4.3.2. Mobilizing private sector expertise

Another aspect of mobilizing the private sector is encouraging private service providers to con-

nect and serve poor customers who the private operator would otherwise not serve. This is

achieved by OBA schemes extending existing or newly created assets by providing relatively

small amounts of subsidy to incentivize the private operator to reach these customers. For ex-

ample, previous infrastructure investments may have been made and have excess capacity, but

there is no real incentive to serve additional mainly poor customers. This is the case in several

urban water projects including those in Manila and Jakarta (described in boxes 16 and 19 respec-

tively, in Annex II).

OBA interventions in these cases lead to very efficient subsidy per capita results, whereby small

dollar amounts can connect poor households to a network otherwise unreachable. For example,

in the case of the Manila Water project, the Manila Water Company (MWC) is investing some

$14 million in new water supply infrastructure in these areas, but the low-income households

cannot afford the connection charges set by MWC and the Regulator. Under the proposed OBA

scheme, the household would contribute PhP 1,620 ($36) towards the connection charge and

GPOBA would provide a subsidy for the remainder (PhP 5,911.73 or $131). This results in a

subsidy per capita of $29.6.

Box 5 presents private sector mobilization in the Colombia natural gas project.

Box 5: Colombia Natural Gas Distribution for Low Income Families in the Caribbean Coast –

OBA and the Private Sector

In 2006 GPOBA signed a grant agreement with Fundacion Promigas, a charitable foundation established by

the Colombian gas transportation and distribution company Promigas S.A. The project has connected 35,000

poor households from the two lowest of five socioeconomic strata. Gas connection prices in Colombia are

regulated by the national regulator and in order to ensure equity gas companies are not allowed to offer con-

nection below the regulated price. This precludes many of the poorest Colombians from accessing natural

gas.

The subsidized connections were made by regional gas companies owned by Promigas, who marketed the

project to the poor target groups, provided payment plans to beneficiaries that allowed them to pay the re-

maining connection fees over a time of up to 5 years and documented connections and consumption of bene-

ficiaries for verification by an independent auditing firm. Subsidies were disbursed only for connections

made to households in strata 1 and 2 who also were provided with a basic stove and who had completed three

months of successful billing of services.

The project successfully achieved its target of connecting 35,000 poor households within the estimated time.

Promigas and the gas companies absorbed shortfalls resulting from USD depreciations during the project.

Fundacion Promigas conducted a successful community outreach campaign, creating demand for the subsi-

dized connections. This campaign included measures to convince beneficiaries for many of whom natural gas

is the first utility service that they receive, to commit to paying monthly bills.

Private sector expertise and discipline brought through OBA schemes can bring benefits to the

delivery of social services as well, as described in more detail in the health and education sector

annexes. In the Bogota Concession Schools scheme, the freedom to choose the teaching and

administrative staff led to a better quality of education than in the public schools where the

44

teachers‘ union made it difficult to implement staff changes. On average, 55 percent of the sub-

sidy amount was allocated to human resources, well below the 90 percent in the public school

system, freeing up 33 percent for nutritional support and education materials. Also, the private

sector providers took the initiative to partner with parents and the community, which helped re-

duce the dropout rates and improve educational attainment, compared with regular public

schools (Barrera-Osorio 2007). More examples of efficiency gains through OBA schemes –

usually involving the private sector – are provided in section 4.4 below.

However, working with the private sector is not always a panacea in and of itself and does re-

quire consideration of a host of issues, for example in relation to information asymmetry and

principle-agent problems that have been analyzed through a vast array of studies on PPP in infra-

structure and social services for the last couple of decades. Capacity can also be an issue when

working with the private sector in OBA schemes. That is clearly the case with small and local

private providers as seen with off-grid energy or rural water projects, and even in the roads and

ICT sectors where OBA is more mainstreamed. Successful projects tend to involve capacity

building elements for the private sector, including learning how to bid for a contract, how much

to bid, how to self-monitor against outputs, how to mitigate against payment risk, and so on.

4.3.3. Conclusion on private sector involvement

This OBA review analyzes several forms of “leveraging”, and the record of OBA varies de-

pending on the type of leveraging considered. Private financing requires recouping costs

through tariffs in the case of network industries, and it is often not possible for tariffs to incorpo-

rate a large element of investment costs while remaining affordable for the poor. Further, in sec-

tors with even clearer positive externalities such as health, education and sanitation, user charges

should not be set at levels that discourage participation.

But the real success of OBA is the ability of relatively small amounts of OBA subsidy to mobil-

ize private sector expertise to poor areas where the private sector would otherwise not go. There are success stories here from all sectors. Where private sector experience is bringing effi-

ciency gains and market discipline to sectors, such as in the health and energy sectors, more

needs to be done to encourage and strengthen potential private sector providers, especially small

and local ones. For example, increased capacity building including on billing, marketing etc, as

well as greater partnerships with local organizations can enhance PPP with OBA further.

Key to enhancing private sector finance and expertise will be tackling the access to finance con-

straints for medium to long-term financing which would enable greater participation of the pri-

vate sector – not only in OBA, but in PPP in general. OBA schemes can provide some lessons,

especially from the rural energy sector where tackling access to finance seems to have been a

priority over the last few years:

In poor, off-grid areas, rural affordability increases substantially with micro-credit and

longer term fee-for-service arrangements. Typically 2-3 % of residents can afford cash

payment for the service, but with microcredit the customer base can increase up to 20-30

percent of residents. Longer term, fee for service arrangements could increase the cus-

tomer base even further (Terrado 2008). To address the limited liquidity of MFIs which

45

hampers the more widespread adoption of SHS, an IDA line of credit worth $11.4 mil-

lion is made available for the Bangladesh RERED project to provide long-term credit re-

finance to eligible MFIs to finance households' or individuals' purchases of SHS. With

time, the private operators have reduced the interest charged to consumers and already

the largest volume supplier (Gramen Shakti) has reduced the interest to 6% flat. (Source:

RERED case study from RE toolkit website). An IDA line of credit is also being used in

Ghana SHS to provide long-term liquidity to participating private rural banks. Repay-

ment of the line-of-credit will be retained in a revolving fund to provide consumer credit

to additional customers to purchase Solar-PV systems.

Guarantees to mitigate risk and increase loan tenure are being used in a Papua New

Guinea rural electrification scheme. The program allows credit terms to be extended from

three to five years (REtoolkit note, Nov 2008).

46

4.4 Innovation and efficiency

4.4.1. Fiscal benefits: Efficiency gains from OBA

Using competition to determine the amount of subsidy required is one of the more tested ways to

ensure maximum value for money – as long as transaction costs do not prove prohibitive, and if

there is not already an existing provider that can reap clear economies of scale. OBA lends itself

readily and transparently to competitive processes, since the bidding variable is often set at ―the

lowest subsidy required‖ to meet expected outputs given fixed user charges.26

Here are some

examples (all described in greater detail in the sector sub-sections in Annex II) of how OBA

projects have resulted in efficiency gains, usually using competitive tendering processes based

on lowest subsidy required or greatest numbers of beneficiaries reached:

In a Mongolia ICT project, competition resulted in 28% savings in the total subsidy re-

quired for the original areas/beneficiaries to be served. The savings were used to fund the

Chulut Soum wireless center, which is estimated to have expanded the project to 1,000

more beneficiaries.

The IDA-funded Bolivia IDTR project for rural electrification led to 25% more beneficia-

ries for the fixed subsidy than the minimum required under the tender; and a 40% reduc-

tion in SHS prices compared with the Bolivia UNDP (2004) project. As of February 2009,

the IDTR has installed 6,154 individual systems, benefiting over 30,000 people in rural

Bolivia. In addition, 87 social systems were installed in schools and clinics.

In the case of the Sri Lankan rural electrification OBA, one dealer introduced 15-percent

price discounting and its own consumer finance, seeking to capture market share.

Most recently, the competitive bidding process in Water Supply in Uganda‘s Small

Towns project has resulted in an average efficiency gain in the ten towns of about 20% --

although the project is still in early stages of implementation.

Demonstration effects have also led to leveraging.

The bidding for the GPOBA-funded OBA scheme expanding mobile phone services in

Mongolian towns has demonstrated that mobile phone services can be provided on a

commercial basis without subsidies in some cases – although not for internet services nor

for facilities such as schools. Many other examples of ―zero subsidy‖ bids exist in the

ICT sector, for example in Chile and recently in Nicaragua where the incumbent offered

to pay rather than receive monies from the Universal Access/Service Fund (UASF) in or-

der to gain market share.

Similarly, the bidding for piped water supply in Uganda‘s Small Towns has demonstrated

that in some cases, extensions can be made on a commercial basis, with the private sector

estimating that it can recoup cost related to new connections through the tariff: at least

two towns received ―zero subsidies‖ requirements through competitive tendering.

26 Based on experience, including from the Paraguay water OBA which attempted both forms of bidding, it is recommended that

it would be better to fix tariff levels ex ante and bid on the minimum subsidy per connection (or maximum beneficiaries served,

given a set subsidy). This would prevent any resentment from the regulator/users about inequity of tariffs across the country and

would also allow for inclusion of a lifeline tariff if the national policy requires it.

47

However, competitive processes take time and can require extensive capacity building, including

in relation to bidding or in obtaining access to finance. The transaction process can be costly

both in terms of administrative costs and in terms of time required for the process, especially if

capacity is low or the situation is highly political. Further, there is a risk of under-bidding during

the tender process, followed by financial problems down the line, especially if the growth in de-

mand does not materialize as expected. And in particular for small-scale projects, over-

sophisticated (often donor-led) systems with a wide array of checks and balances may prove

costly, cumbersome and lead to inaction. These costs should be weighed against the many ob-

vious advantages of competition to drive down costs through efficiency gains.

4.4.2. Improvements in operational efficiency

Other demonstrations of efficiency gains, which may not be as easily quantified, are for example

quality enhancements or improvement in service delivery. The disbursement of funds after ser-

vice delivery can create strong incentives to deliver outputs in a timely manner.

For the Armenian Access to Gas and Heat Supply for Poor Households, there is evidence

that timeliness of service delivery and quality of work has led to increased customer satis-

faction.

The provision of telecommunications services to nomadic herder communities in Mongo-

lia required innovative solutions related to difficulties with determining the adequate size

of solar cells and the prediction of mobility patterns of beneficiaries. These difficulties

were overcome within the first six months of project operations – and output-based pay-

ments most likely helped trigger such a speedy resolution.

The health sector in post-conflict countries, for example in the Democratic Republic of

Congo and Afghanistan, has shown that contracting out services to NGOs can lead to

quicker and more comprehensive coverage than building up an input-based health system.

Other examples of ongoing output-based subsidies that perform better than comparable input-

based approaches are performance-based roads management contracts. In Argentina ―the CRE-

MA [Contrato de Recuperación y Mantenimiento] program has substantially improved the con-

dition of the network, reducing the share of roads in poor condition from 25 percent to less than

5 percent by the end of 1999. As a result, road users‘ costs have been reduced by more than 10

percent‖ (Liautaud 2004). Similar positive experiences of cost savings and increased quality

have been reported in the United States. In Florida, Virginia, the District of Columbia and Texas

the use of maintenance contracts resulted in cost reductions and significant improvements in the

quality scores of maintained roads (Segal et al 2005).

4.4.3. Output-based innovations

OBA is clearly an innovative mechanism which enables a variety of service solutions to reach

the poor. The portfolio of OBA schemes analyzed shows a wide array of service providers and a

variety of technical solutions used. Further, one assumption when OBA was initiated was that

the focus on outputs would itself enable increased innovation. This has certainly been the case in

the ICT sector, where service providers have to some extent been free to provide the most appro-

priate and affordable technology to respond to demand. The general trend in ICT – with or with-

out OBA – is a clear reduction in costs. What OBA has brought in addition is the recognition

48

that there are other markets to be tapped, and that more pro-poor models of technology such as

prepaid services can help reach these markets. In the energy sectors, many OBA schemes are

bid out as ―technology neutral‖, although additional subsidies (e.g., from GEF) might be pro-

vided for renewable energy technologies. In the off-grid Bolivia IDTR project, service providers

were required to provide credit to users, leaving the terms up to them. Different solutions and

arrangements for example with micro-finance institutions were developed, based on the technol-

ogies, customers, etc – which could not have been presumed by the project team ex ante.

The achievement of cost reduction through OBA relies on the flexibility allowed to service pro-

viders to bring their commercial and operational practices into the structuring of OBA schemes.

However, service quality and delivery requirements are often affected by the weight of the pro-

curement policies and procedures of governments and donor agencies imposed on the service

providers. These requirements and procedures – rightly aimed at ensuring transparency and

competition in the award of public-funded subsidies, are generally designed for structuring input-

based projects. This may create bias on how the service providers procure the inputs necessary to

deliver the outputs, and limit freedom to proceed as innovatively as they would wish. This is

especially true for smaller service providers, and may translate into higher cost. Lessons learned

have demonstrated that the key is to specify those essential inputs that cannot be left out, but to

leave some degree of discretion beyond that. This is critical in the infrastructure sectors where

outputs should be supported by long-lived assets, but also in the health care sector where poor

quality can have a detrimental impact. Finding a balance between specifying key input require-

ments to ensure long-term sustainability with providing space to innovate and lower costs can be

difficult.

Finally, considerations related to the scope and scale of the project must be taken into account.

Competitive processes take time and can require extensive capacity building, including in rela-

tion to bidding and access to finance concerns. Lessons from ICT indicate that determining the

appropriate level of subsidy often requires projections of demand and necessary investments –

particularly difficult in dynamic sectors such as ICT and energy. While large projects may justify

this expense, smaller projects may not. In the case of off-grid projects, finding bidders can be

difficult as these projects are perceived as risky and there is often a lack of technical capacity to

undertake these projects in remote locations. There is a clear need for road shows, awareness

programs, workshops and capacity building exercises including business development services,

technical training, market surveys, databases on renewable energy resource availability and insti-

tutional building.

4.4.4. Conclusions on innovation and efficiency

OBA has demonstrated efficiency gains through competition in most sectors when competitive

pressures have been applied in the selection of the OBA service provider. There is also anec-

dotal evidence that the output-based nature of payments has led to improvements in operation-

al efficiency. Further, although evidence as to a direct correlation is not available, it is possi-

ble that the use of output-based arrangements over a period of time in the ICT and roads sec-

tors has led to increased innovation and a reduction in costs.

OBA‘s impact on improving efficiency and encouraging innovation is largely driven by the abili-

ty to procure service provision competitively, and, a balance is required between specifying key

input requirements to ensure long-term sustainability while providing space to innovate and low-

49

er costs from which future users can benefit. A Guidance Note to procurement staff has been is-

sued (box 6), but more is needed to be done, including individual training and a general shift of

mind-set. This may fit well within the broader push in the Bank to streamline procedures to meet

client‘s needs more effectively and efficiently, as is proposed in the recent concept note on In-

vestment Lending (IL) reform by OPCS dated January 26, 2009. The concept note describes the

current ―disconnect between results focus and inputs-based ‗wiring‘ of IL‖ and mentions that the

Bank ―needs flexible and agile instruments that can easily adapt and respond to changes in the

global development business‖ (OPCS, 2009, pp 5 and 9).

Box 6: Bank Procurement in OBA Projects

27

A Guidance Note to Procurement Staff on Procurement Issues in Structuring Output-Based Aid (OBA) Oper-

ations Financed by the World Bank was issued on April 11, 2008. The note, a joint effort by staff from the

GPOBA unit of the Finance, Economics and Urban Development Department (FEU) and the Procurement

Policy and Services Department (OPCPR), follows up on the November 17, 2005, ―Guidance Note for Staff

on Structuring Output-Based Aid (OBA) Approaches in World Bank Group Operations‖ and the OPCS No-

vember 7, 2005, ―Operational Memorandum on the Application of Paragraph 3.13 of the Procurement Guide-

lines.‖ It identifies different scenarios and actions required by specialists to facilitate compliance with the

Procurement Guidelines in the design of procurement arrangements for the two types of OBA schemes,

namely: Projects where there is no existing service provider; or projects where there is already an existing

service provider (incumbent concessionaire or equivalent arrangement). The Guidance Note provides illustr-

ative practices and incorporates the lessons learned from procurement assessments conducted under OBA

pilot operations across Bank regions.

27 The note is available in the OPCPR intranet website.

50

4.5 Sustainability, Tariffs and the Enabling Environment

4.5.1. OBA design and sustainability

Sustainability of infrastructure and social services schemes implies that an intervention has a

long-lasting positive impact rather than having short-lived and easily reversible results. Some

OBA schemes have been running for many years – in ICT and roads in particular – and have

been scaled-up and replicated elsewhere in the respective regions and even into other regions.

This is to some extent a testament of the sustainability (and of course replicability) of the model

in these sectors. The evidence on long term sustainability for off-grid energy projects is limited

to a few projects such as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh RERED, which have been operational for

over a decade. The results are encouraging. In Sri Lanka for example, as of June 2008, some

120,000 HH were using SHSs, with 750 installations occurring monthly (Terrado, 2008). The

results in Bangladesh are similar where by mid 2008, the SHS sales reached 8,000 units per

month with total sales of about 180,000 (REtoolkit issue note, June 2008, pp. 132, 135). Both

projects continue to use grants, but increasingly to reach the poorest segments of the population.

Two characteristics of OBA in particular help address the issue of sustainability: a) nature of the

subsidy design, and b) performance risk shifted to the providers.

Nature of subsidy design: As already discussed in detail, OBA schemes are predominantly subsi-

dies for access, which are by nature one-off capital subsidies. One-off subsidies do not rely on

an ongoing source of subsidy funding: once a household receives the subsidy to connect to a

network, for example, there is no longer a subsidy requirement in relation to access for that

household.28

Output-based performance risk: As discussed in Section 4.2, by shifting performance-risk to

service providers, OBA requires service providers to plan and implement schemes to ensure that

performance expectations are met in order to be fully compensated. More careful planning in

terms of capacity (given lack of incentives to over-size with OBA) and final output delivery help

enhance sustainability. Further, because demand risk of uptake is to a large extent shifted to ser-

vice providers, service providers are taking more care in providing appropriate solutions to the

targeted customers. By involving households and communities in the service expansion process,

a greater sense of ownership can be developed, which in turn enhances sustainability. For exam-

ple, the IDA-funded Senegal On-site Sanitation Project involves an extensive network of NGOs

and community-based organizations (CBOs) working together to ensure not only demand for the

on-site sanitation systems, but also proper use and maintenance. The project resulted in 63,000

household sanitation facilities built between 2003 and 2005 against the initial target of 60,000 and was

two years ahead of schedule (OBA learning event presentation, June 21, 2007).

28 However, to enhance the sustainability of services, one-off OBA schemes may with-hold a portion of the subsidy disbursement

after, for example, several months of bills paid and/or collected. Also, it is important to note that this assumes that the household

can afford ongoing operations and maintenance costs – for example in the form of tariffs. This is on the whole not a major hurdle.

See targeting section above for more related discussion.

51

4.5.2. Setting tariffs and subsidy amounts

The sustainability of any OBA scheme – most specifically for network industries – is dependent

on the relationship between the subsidy provided and the tariff charged to consumers for on-

going service provision.

For example, when the poor who are being connected through OBA schemes benefit from subsi-

dized social tariffs, this can create an additional burden on providers, who will in turn need to be

able to cross-subsidize these new poor users with consumers that are not benefiting from social

tariffs schemes. This has been the experience with connecting the urban poor to the water net-

work in Morocco, and will likely be the experience with any scheme that connects many new

customers benefiting from social tariff schemes.

On the other hand, it is important to differentiate between costs that are covered by the tariff re-

gime and those that are not. At the given tariff levels (including regulated connection charges),

even if the utility is not recovering costs for the specific low income connections under consider-

ation, it may be covering its costs for its regulated jurisdiction as a whole - i.e. the tariff as a

whole may be set to ensure that the utility recovers efficient cost of serving its entire area includ-

ing the low income area. Design of OBA project should consider this and – in this instance – not

over-compensate the utility as a whole by providing an additional subsidy for this low income

area. There are likely to also be costs associated with the connection that are not covered by the

tariff, and these may be most appropriate for the OBA subsidy to focus on -- depending on con-

sumer's ability and willingness to pay.

These issues were encountered in the case of the OBA design for an electricity scheme for slum

areas of Mumbai (see Annex II for more details). The distribution company in this case is obli-

gated to provide a metered working connection to anyone that applies. The regulated connection

charge covers these costs (and upstream costs of providing the connection). The costs of connec-

tions from the meter to the house and internal wiring are not addressed by the utility or the regu-

lator and need to be faced fully by the slum dweller and thus are creating the bottleneck to take

up. Once a subsidy is provided here, the distribution company had the incentive to carry out up-

stream investment without any need for subsidy support (as this is compensated for by the tariff

regime).

Further, the utility may already have made certain performance promises to the regulator (e.g.

connecting low income communities) as part of the last tariff review, and it is important that the

OBA design takes account of such regulatory obligations that the utility may have. The OBA

project should not be helping the utility if it is already being compensated by the regulator to

meet these obligations. The OBA design should consider what barriers may be affecting take up

even after the regulator's/policymaker's efforts have been taken into account.

For example, in the case of a multi-year tariffs regime set by the regulator, the utility may be in a

position to earn extra returns from reducing technical and commercial losses (as the tariffs are set

for the multi-year regulatory period and include the cost of losses). In such an instance, connec-

tions for low income consumers that help to reduce theft - and therefore reduce commercial

losses - may increase returns to the utility. The utility may therefore have adequate commercial

52

incentive (and returns) to undertake a certain amount of connection activity in low income areas

without subsidy support. Designers of an OBA project for supporting connections would need to

be cognizant of this and the level of incentive the utility already faces to ensure that the subsidy

payments to the utility do not over compensate it for connections made in order to design more

economic and politically sustainable solutions.

4.5.3. Sustainability of funding source

The sustainability of the funding source needs to be considered based on the subsidy design me-

chanism. For example, in the case of roads and health which rely on ongoing subsidy streams,

the sustainability of any given scheme is dependent on a constant flow of subsidies. Road main-

tenance funds in developed countries may provide a certain degree of security and sustainability,

but road maintenance funds in developing countries have a more mixed record. The health sec-

tor often does not have such an ear-marked subsidy pool and therefore relies mainly on budget

made available by the government. This makes it more difficult to ring-fence the health budget

allocated to performance-based schemes – although this is a risk that also applies to traditional

ways of providing health care.

The ICT sector seems to have a more robust form of subsidy funding. In ICT, all of the methods

– levies, auctions, government budgets -- for funding USF have been reliable in providing the

required funding. Levies on telecommunications operators‘ revenues may be preferable since

they may be seen as more reliable and sustainable from a private sector perspective, in contrast

to government budget funding or spectrum auctions. However, although the funding source has

generally been reliable in ICT, the problem has been with the ―political‖ sustainability of the ap-

proach due to large sums being accumulated but not being disbursed in a timely manner. (See

Annex II for more details.) Some of the solutions proposed for improving the efficiency of the

UASF include appointing private entities to manage the UASF, as in the USA and Pakistan.

Other solutions include ―Pay or Play‖ there is usually no tendering, but rather an allocation of

―obligations‖ among the service providers. ―Players‖ are free to contract each other to fulfill

their share of obligations, if paying someone else to do so makes economic sense. Another op-

tion considered is the Virtual Fund. No country has ever implemented a virtual UASF. The ad-

vantage seen in virtual funds is mainly that the actual money of operator levies does not need to

move into - and then later out of - a fund to the recipient, eliminating the need for actual fund

management, but this would simply be an accounting system that records each operator‘s annual

UASF levy.

Further, a scheme is only sustainable in terms of subsidy required if the subsidy amounts are rea-

sonable, reflecting the cost and benefit to society. Efficiency gains through innovation and com-

petition therefore contribute to sustainability. Nevertheless, subsidy per capita can vary signifi-

cantly between regions and sectors, also depending on the scope of service to be subsidized.

Connecting the poor to grid-based infrastructure services can be relatively cheap, where trunk

infrastructure exists and only the connection itself needs to be subsidized. The same service in a

similar geographic area can require much higher subsidies if distribution and production infra-

structure needs to be subsidized.

For example the subsidy for natural gas connections (including a gas heater), in Armenia is $160,

while the connection subsidy to the electricity grid in densely populated rural Ethiopia with its

relatively larger families is $6.25. Those figures compare to $115 per capita for the installation

53

of a solar home system in very remote areas of rural Bolivia. Similarly per capita subsidies for

water projects range from $125 in Morocco, where subsidies include sanitation connections, to

$6.2 in a project in Kampala that makes extensive use of public water points and shared yard taps.

Those numbers, while different due to different project contexts, have all showed sufficient eco-

nomic rate of returns – in cases where economic rates of return information was analyzed for this

review (where funding is coming from GPOBA).

4.5.4. Enabling environment

Any OBA scheme is only as sustainable as the environment within which it operates. A pilot, by

definition, may seem to some extent to be isolated from broader sector reform issues in the short-

term, but for greater impact with scaling-up and mainstreaming, a supportive enabling environ-

ment is critical. The following aspects of an enabling environment seem to play a particularly

important role in the success of OBA in any given region or sector, most of which are inter-

related and many of which are common requirements for successful PPP in the sector:

Extent of experience with the private sector in service provision.

Market structure and experience with competitive processes to encourage efficiency.

Regulatory or legal/contractual framework for the sector, including tariff setting and ad-

justment policies.

Capacity of implementing agencies (e.g. to handle procurement and transaction processes,

monitoring and verification, funds flow – but also in relation to understanding and wil-

lingness to work with performance-based arrangements.).

For example, output based grid and mini-grid projects cannot bypass the need for a strong regu-

latory regime or at least robust contractual (and supporting legal) arrangements. This could par-

tially explain the limited use of OBA in grid and mini-grids as many of the developing countries

have weak regulatory capacity to enforce/oversee provider performance and added to it, the costs

of regulation in remote areas is very high (Reiche). At the same time, a light-handed approach to

regulation may be required with respect to service standards: in order to provide services that the

poor can afford, and for example to more effectively utilize self-selection targeting methods, ser-

vice standards may sometimes need to be relaxed – although always meeting a minimum stan-

dard (Baker and Tremolet).

The importance of an appropriate legal and regulatory environment is also demonstrated through

the discussion of tariff and regulation above. Without proper regulatory accounting, or at the

minimum capacity to understand the issues at hand, tariff and subsidy policies could lead to mi-

salignment of incentives and/or waste of limited resources. Less optimal and sustainable solu-

tions are likely to result.

4.5.5. Conclusions on sustainability, tariffs and enabling environment

It is too early to analyze whether OBA schemes have proven sustainable on the whole. There is

no evidence to date to suggest that schemes that involve OBA subsidies are less sustainable than

their input-based counterparts, and on the contrary, the nature of OBA subsidy design and shift-

54

ing of performance-risk to service providers provide the platform for relatively sustainable inter-

ventions.

Evidence from ICT and some other sectors demonstrate that OBA can provide sustainable

results if OBA schemes are linked to contracts with adequate provisions for ongoing service

delivery and if sources of funding are both reliable and available.

One-off subsidies provide a clear and discrete one-time (although possibly phased) subsidy

requirement for access. But to be designed well, costs for use and maintenance (or in the

case of utilities – tariffs) should be affordable to the poor, and, tariffs charged by the service

provider should cover all reasonable and efficient running costs. In the case where tariffs are

lower than running costs, connecting new customers will result in operators incurring losses

and having insufficient funds to maintain the system. In such cases, there would be no in-

centive for the service provider to serve customers that are charged below running costs, and

thus service provision to these customers will not be sustainable. Unfortunately, given the

lack of political will to raise tariffs to sustainable levels (even though the poorest segments

of the population are often paying more for alternative services), one-off OBA subsidies

can be sustainably applied in limited circumstances. Transition tariffs to help raise tariffs

to cover running costs could be considered, but the political will to raise tariffs often comes

into question, putting the “transitional” nature of the subsidy at risk. Thus the scale-up

and mainstreaming of OBA in certain sectors such as grid-based water and energy would

need to go hand in hand with tariff reform. In some cases, OBA schemes have brought

these issues to the fore, as in the Uganda and Kenya water projects.

Subsidy amounts, especially in the case of network industries, should be set in line with (re-

gulated) tariff levels to ensure proper alignment of incentives as well as to ensure that ser-

vice providers are not over-compensated. For example, due consideration should be given

to costs already incorporated into the regulatory asset base.

Ongoing subsidies help shift performance risk out further into the future – as in the case of

the roads schemes described in more detail in Annex II – and therefore ensure a relatively

more sustainable service of a specified quality. But ongoing subsidies require a clear source

of continuous future funding.

Road maintenance funds and ICT UASFs provide a relatively transparent and predictable

source of funding. Both types of schemes have experienced difficulties, but lessons are be-

ing learned in each sector – for example, to possibly short-cut the problems related to slow

disbursement from current UASFs. The energy sector is also in some places moving to uni-

versal access type funds through rural energy funds.

In all OBA schemes, capacity of the government to regulate and monitor will be decisive in

the sustainability of the scheme. Realistic programs based on existing enabling environment

should be considered in sectors or regions where there is less experience with OBA. For ex-

ample, complex long-term concession contracts in the water sector (where there have been

few if any PPP concessions since the early part of this decade) may be less realistic, and the

55

focus should be on interventions that transfer less risk to service providers or require less so-

phisticated regulatory and institutional arrangements.

4.6 Monitoring of results

A forthcoming review by the World Bank‘s Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) highlights re-

sults monitoring as an area of concern (The World Bank, forthcoming): ―IEG‘s assessment of

M&E quality, which started in 2006, rates the quality over the past two years as modest in three

fifths of cases…‖. Issues cited are indicators that are not clearly defined or not measurable. At

the same time the review shows a clear correlation between the quality of M&E systems and

overall project outcomes.

The main reasons identified for the poor performance of M&E systems of many projects is a lack

of staff incentives to focus on M&E and a ―culture of approval‖ resulting from a ―drive to get

projects launched‖. OBA schemes can help toward mitigating this as they require output verifi-

cation prior to disbursement of subsidies. This helps internalize monitoring and makes it a key

element in the project design process. However, the degree and quality of monitoring and veri-

fication varies from scheme to scheme, rather than from sector to sector. The effectiveness of

monitoring is related to several factors:

The definition of the output to be monitored, and the ease of measuring and verifying the

delivery of the output.

The availability of trained local consultants and engineers to effectively monitor the deli-

very of outputs: capacity becomes a greater issue the more complicated the outputs to be

verified.

The chance of ―capture‖ of monitoring agents by service providers: capture is greater the

―smaller‖ the verification agent and the ―more powerful‖ the service provider. In some

cases, projects may have to look outside of the country for a viable verification agent.

The capacity of the local government institutions to accept and interpret the monitoring

results and to use the results for intended purposes. Even if the verification agent does

his job correctly and on time, is the government (if involved) able and appropriately in-

centivized to quickly and effectively process that information for timely subsidy dis-

bursement?

However, whether or not an OBA scheme will result in the appropriate output and disbursement

information being provided for broader monitoring and evaluation purposes is dependent on the

recording and information dissemination process. In the case of Bank OBA projects, this is de-

pendent on the feedback loop between the governments or project implementation units on the

ground and their relevant Bank task teams, who in turn would need to systematically record the

data where it could be shared and evaluated.

The experience through this review demonstrated that although GPOBA-funded projects re-

quired an output-oriented monitoring and information sharing system, many Bank-funded OBA

projects did not involve such a feedback loop, sometimes because the OBA component of a

Bank-funded project was only a small component of a much larger input-based program.

56

Best practice would also use the monitoring platform of OBA beyond the verification of out-

puts to check how outcomes and other aspects of service delivery are faring. But this is often

the weakest link in the feedback loop between OBA planning, design and implementation. Al-

though OBA internalizes the monitoring of outputs, the monitoring framework established is

rarely used for purposes other than payment of subsidies; hence the benefit of the information

collected – for example to improve on quality of service – is not always exploited in full. Or, in

some cases, additional information is not collected for long-term gain due to short-term costs. All

sectors might be able to draw some lessons from some performance-based roads schemes that are

attempting to enable even users to report and monitor performance by making performance crite-

ria easily measurable or discernable. Impact evaluations are a good way to supplement verifica-

tion activities. Further, impact evaluations comparing output-based and input-based approaches

should also be considered; a few such impact evaluations are being attempted.

These enhancements to monitoring and verification under OBA schemes require capacity and

resources. Verification agents must be appropriately trained, and also incentivized. GPOBA

uses for the most part ―third party‖ verification agents to help enhance transparency and also im-

prove on effectiveness so that outputs can be verified relatively quickly and the disbursements

can be made. The key is to balance the independence of output verification with the broader sec-

tor monitoring needs, as well as ensure ownership on the part of the regulatory or relevant gov-

ernment agency. A recent case of over-reporting of outputs achieved and resulting in excess per-

formance payments under performance contracts between GAVI and several recipient countries

provides an example that without proper monitoring, the advantages of results-based schemes are

lost. An emphasis should be placed on independent verification agents, who are also experts in

the sector.

With OBA schemes, accountability also increases for donors and governments: public fund-

ing is linked to the fact that pre-identified outputs are (were) delivered, and therefore waste or

inappropriate allocation should be minimized. Thus OBA can play an important role in the

fight to improve governance and reduce corruption. OBA projects should make full use of the

requirement to monitor for outputs, through physical audit, surveys of beneficiaries, and over-

sight by civil society. And to support broad monitoring, OBA projects should include an active

communication strategy that advertises what services are to be delivered to whom and at what

price – as is currently being done in Morocco‘s urban water sector. But it is noted that while

project-specific outputs may be easy to monitor, compliance with general regulations or laws go-

verning the sector may be less transparent. Detecting poor construction or below-standard deli-

very can be difficult. This requires resources and capacity, and to some extent a relaxation of the

completely ―pure OBA‖ since some key inputs will need to be specified, and the ability to moni-

tor them will be required.

57

5. Key Considerations and Next Steps

The section summarizes the challenges that OBA faces in terms of scaling-up or mainstreaming,

and recommends possible responses. The first section focuses on challenges ―external‖ to the

WBG, and the second focuses on internal challenges.

5.1 ―External‖ challenges and possible responses by the WBG

The piloting phase of OBA has in general been a success. About 128 OBA projects have been

implemented or are underway in the WBG. These projects are expected to reach at a minimum

almost 60 million beneficiaries worldwide.29

The pilots in the Chilean ICT sector and the Argen-

tine roads sector in the 1990s led to scale-up in their respective countries and eventual replication

worldwide. It is now safe to say that OBA has become mainstreamed as one of the key modus

operandi for interventions in these two sectors in most parts of the world30

. In the health and

off-grid energy sectors, OBA is recognized as one of the key financing mechanisms to expand

targeted access to the poor and is being widely used. In the water, education, and grid-based

energy sectors, OBA is still in the pilot stage.

The lessons learned regarding the use of OBA compared to traditional approaches to contracting

have demonstrated that there are clear advantages of an OBA approach in regards to efficiently

targeting subsidies and mobilizing the private sector to serve poor households that would other-

wise go without an improved service. OBA has also demonstrated that monitoring for results is

possible – if appropriate systems for capturing and transmitting systems are put in place.

At the same time, the review recognizes that OBA is not a substitute for sector reform. The ex-

perience of government contracting with the private sector, and to some extent the existence of

legal or regulatory practices that are more supportive of private sector risk-taking, are part of the

environment that enables OBA to be more successful in some contexts than others. In turn, OBA

is one of the main mechanisms through which efficiency gains from sector reform have been

shared with users through improved access and improved standards of service. OBA therefore

not only relies on a supporting enabling environment but can itself help underscore the benefits.

Cross-cutting challenges for successful OBA schemes remain – even for the sectors where OBA

is mainstreamed. Although some of these challenges are not specific to OBA, in order for OBA

to continue to have an impact, they must be addressed.

29 Data on the number of beneficiaries is not readily available for public access ICT and transport projects. Beneficiary informa-

tion is particularly limited in the case of transport sector (available only in two of the 23 World Bank implemented projects) due

to the non-exclusivity of roads projects. 30 Although the recent Regulatel study demonstrates that ICT technology evolves so fast, there is a constant need for innovation

to keep up with the market (Stern and Townsend).

58

Access to

finance:

Access to finance can be a hurdle for OBA schemes in all sectors –

even in ICT. The current financial crisis is likely to exacerbate this

problem. Access to finance can present a hurdle for both providers

and users, resulting in the following challenges: a) difficulty in shift-

ing sufficient performance risk to service providers under an OBA

arrangement if the cost of pre-financing the outputs would put an un-

due burden on the provider and/or if the resulting fees to users (e.g.,

tariffs) would be unaffordable; b) limitations on the development of

a vibrant private sector that can afford to take risks and invest in

business expansion, even with the availability of targeted subsidies to

help defray the costs. A few guarantees and lines of credit to the

banking sector are being tested. Where such financing instruments

are not as readily available, OBA schemes may need to phase-in

payments against reasonable milestones – as long as performance

risk for output delivery for the most part remains with the service

provider.

Security and

sustainability of

funding:

A secure source of funding and an administrative framework that al-

lows for swift disbursement when outputs have been achieved are re-

quired. Further, for the sustainability of OBA in any given sector, the

source of funding also needs to be reliable and consistent. Lessons

are being learned – benefits and challenges – from on-going funds

(e.g. ICT, roads, energy).

Capacity Capacity to implement and monitor OBA schemes is limited, particu-

larly in those countries/sectors where OBA is needed most – although

some limitations are not OBA-specific. Capacity limitations are most

obvious in regards to transaction design and implementation, output

monitoring and verification implementation, and demand manage-

ment. Targeted training, hiring of independent verification agents,

involvement of NGOs, and private administrators to manage univer-

sal access funds are all part of solutions being implemented to miti-

gate capacity constraints.

Enabling envi-

ronment:

As with most PPP arrangements, in order for OBA schemes to be sus-

tainable and of scale, there should be basic elements of an environ-

ment that supports the development, monitoring and adjustment of

contracts, which often is demonstrated by a successful track record of

private sector participation. Relatively transparent legal or regulato-

ry arrangements for example for tariff setting and adjustment would

be amongst such enabling factors, and ultimately aim to reduce per-

ceived risk to providers and to some extent the cost to final users.

59

Targeting: As the size of pilots and programs increases, and as technologies

change, more refined targeting mechanisms will be required. These

can be costly to administer and require additional capacity, but these

costs may outweigh the ―leakage‖ from large geographically targeted

schemes. A blend of targeting mechanisms is proving effective.

Competing in-

terests:

Ultimately, all else being equal, service providers will opt for input-

based schemes because they transfer less risk to the provider. But

donors and governments should want the contrary, i.e. to transfer risk

to the provider to hold them accountable (as long as providers are

equipped to take on that risk). If OBA is to be the mechanism chosen

for a given intervention, donor/government coordination is required.

There is clearly a role for the WBG in enhancing the effectiveness of OBA schemes to improve

the reach of basic services to the poor.

For example, the Bank and IFC should work together to provide financial solutions to

help mitigate the access-to-finance constraint by encouraging banks to improve lending

conditions to service providers both for pre-financing of outputs and for longer-term

project finance.

Capacity building and technical assistance (e.g., for transaction support, tariff design and

subsidy policy, monitoring and evaluation) can be provided by the WBG and the multi-

donor programs such as GPOBA, PPIAF, ESMAP, and WSP.

Donor funding and discipline are key to secure and sustain sources of funding for OBA.

The Bank is well placed to transfer lessons from county to country and between sectors –

for example between universal access and service funds in ICT, road maintenance funds,

and rural electrification funds. This will help OBA practitioners across sectors and re-

gions to benefit from the lessons learned over the past decade, while tailoring them to

specific contexts.

The Bank should continue its important work on regulatory reform – for example,

through the newly created Regulatory Thematic Group – and on pushing the agenda for

sustainable tariffs and subsidy policies that are pro-poor. OBA can help provide the start-

ing point for these discussions in some cases.

The WBG also plays a pivotal role in donor coordination through its work on sector-wide

approaches (SWAPs) and development policy lending (DPL). Mainstreaming OBA

would require working closely with WBG clients to better understand how performance-

based arrangements such as OBA could best work in their specific context, and would al-

so require close co-ordination with other donor initiatives to ensure additionality and

harmonization.

Finally, GPOBA needs to step up its efforts to facilitate sharing of experiences and best

practices in OBA, and to provide WBG staff and other development partners with the

60

practical knowledge they need to assess when OBA is suitable and to design and imple-

ment OBA schemes. This is in line with GPOBA‘s strategy to evolve within the coming

two to four years from providing subsidy funding to acting primarily as a center of OBA

expertise, which includes activities such as training events for WBG staff, development

of online resources and an E-learning course on OBA, and development of a diagnostic

tool which would provide more guidance to projects teams on issues such as project de-

sign and relevant characteristics of an enabling environment for OBA schemes.

By taking these steps, the WBG can help make OBA more effective where it is already being

used more regularly – i.e. the ICT, roads, health, and off-grid energy sectors. These actions can

also help provide a stronger platform in those sectors such as grid-based energy, water, and edu-

cation where OBA is still in the pilot phase – but in some cases ready for scale-up as important

lessons for improved design and implementation are already available.

5.2 ―Internal‖ challenges and possible responses by WBG

Although mainstreaming implies that OBA is one of the key modus operandi for interventions in

the sector, effective mainstreaming in the WBG would imply that policy decisions in the WBG

have been made and/or that operational guidelines have been in place to help and encourage

Bank staff to actively design and develop OBA schemes in the sector. In order for Bank staff to

seriously consider and implement OBA schemes on a larger scale, policy and strategy decisions

need to be taken by senior management. Some steps have already been taken:

The SDN Sustainable Infrastructure Action Plan, which has been endorsed by the Board,

states that the WBG should ―pilot and ramp up innovative financing options for the private

sector, including OBA…‖ (SIAP, 2008).

The CFP-led Innovating Development Finance paper (Girishankar, 2009) discusses the role

of OBA within the context of results-based financing, and endorses mainstreaming OBA in

the WBG.

The forthcoming PSD Strategy Update, 2009, put together by FPD, endorses mainstreaming

OBA in the WBG.

The 2007 World Bank strategy for Health Nutrition and Population calls for an increase in

the "proportion of output-based lending in health.‖

But more needs to be done to translate these strategies into policies on the ground, for example

by incorporating OBA into Country Assistance Strategies. Further, although OBA is used exten-

sively within Standard Investment Loans (SIL), there is limited experience of OBA as part of

other instruments.

For example, the Morocco Urban Water OBA project (funded by GPOBA) and the first sec-

tor reform DPL funded by IBRD together helped galvanize the government to reach for

OBA-type approaches: the Government of Morocco has expressed interest in requesting a

Bank loan to scale-up OBA in the sector.

Output-based schemes that involve performance-based intergovernmental transfers are being

piloted in Latin America with the support of IBRD loans (e.g., Guanajuato, Mexico) and an

61

OBA facility is being piloted in the water sector in Honduras. These are important steps to

take OBA from project intervention to wider sector programs.

The nexus between OBA and Bank fiduciary operations and policies needs to be considered fur-

ther. Here too important steps have been taken. For example, in 2003 the Bank adopted a Sam-

ple Bidding Document for OBA road contracts and in 2008, GPOBA and OPCS released a joint

Guidance Note to staff on procurement procedures and OBA31

. But more needs to be done.

Bank staff should be given incentives to innovate and greater emphasis should be placed on dis-

bursing for outputs as opposed to inputs, including more amenable fiduciary procedures. The In-

vestment Lending Reform currently being considered by OPCS will be tackling these very issues

(OPCS, 2009). OBA will provide important lessons for this initiative as well.

The ultimate decision on the success of OBA or any other aid effectiveness tool to improve

access to the poor and enhance accountability rests with the WBG client governments, and their

interest, ownership and commitment to design and sustain such approaches. The WBG has a key

role to play in demonstrating that OBA, a key part of the results-based financing approach,

can help improve access to basic services and reach the MDGs. The WBG also has a role in

ensuring that the donor community speaks with one common voice on these issues related

transparency and efficient use of resources to reach the poorest. The existing information

and expertise on OBA, including this review, provide a solid underpinning for the successful de-

sign of pilots or programs that respond to client needs.

31 http://intresources.worldbank.org/INTPROCUREMENT/Resources/GuidanceNote.PR.OBA.pdf

62

Annex 1: Table of OBA Projects in the WBG (as of April 30, 2009)

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Telecommunications

1 OBA Telecommunications. (P081250)

Azerbaijan (ECA) TBC TBC TBC TBC Design

2 Competitiveness & Enterprise Development Project (P071443)

Burkina Faso (AFR)

IDA Payphones and POPs

$1,039,724 485,146 Implementation

3 Rural Telecommunication Access Project (P102475)

Cambodia (EAP) GPOBA Beneficiaries $2,500,957 261,000 Implementation

4 Infrastructure for Territorial Development (P076807)

Chile (LCR)

TBC Public Phones TBC TBC Implementation

5 Power and Communications Sectors Modernization and Rural Services Project PROMEC (P063644)

Ecuador (LCR)

IBRD Payphones and Internet Stations

$4,150,000 TBC Closed (034)

6 OBA and Regulatory Frame-works for Rural and Peri-Urban Telecommunications (P094321)

Guatemala (LCR) IBRD Public Phones $16,000,000 3,500,000 Implementation

7 Rural Telecommunications Development (P093925)

India (SAR)

IDA Public Phones & Internet

TBC TBC Design

8 Extending Telecommunications in Rural Indonesia (P102476)

Indonesia (EAP) GPOBA Direct Users $1,868,338 500,000 Implementation

9 Rural Infrastructure Services Project (P057761)

Malawi (AFR)

IDA Pay phones, tele-centers, and Internet Stations

$1,500,000 TBC Implementation

10 OBA Pilot Project of Universal Access Strategy (P102488)

Mongolia (EAP)

GPOBA Pay phones, tele-centers, and Internet Stations

$257,335 21,312 Closed (22,315)35

11 Information and Communica-tions Infrastructure Develop-ment Project (P092965)

Mongolia (EAP)

IDA Pay phones, tele-centers, and Internet Stations

$5,450,000 45,000 Implementation

12 Mozambique Communication Sector Reform Project (P073479)

Mozambique (AFR)

IDA Payphones and Internet PoPs

$3,000,000 2,600,000 Implementation

13 Telecommunications Sector Reform Project (P050671)

Nepal (SAR)

IDA Access lines $11,900,000 4,000,000 Implementation

14 Telecommunications Reform Project (P055853)

Nicaragua (LCR) IDA Payphones $900,000 323,000 Closed

15 Rural Telecommunications project (P089989)

Nicaragua (LCR) IDA Payphones and Internet PoPs

$7,900,000 376,000 Implementation

16 Privatization Support Project (ICT) (P070293)

Nigeria (AFR)

IDA Payphones and Internet Stations

$6,130,000 2,657,422 Implementation

17 Telecommunications and Postal Sector Reform Project (P075739)

Samoa (EAP)

TBC Payphones and Internet Stations

TBC TBC Implementation

18 Telecommunications and ICT Development Project (P088448)

St Lucia (LCR)

IDA/ IBRD

Access lines & Internet

$1,000,000 TBC Implementation

19 Energy for Rural Transformation Project (P069996)

Uganda (AFR)

IDA Internet POPs and Public phones

$6,695,981 3,600,000 Implementation

20 Increased Access to Electricity and ICT Services Project (P077452)

Zambia (AFR)

IDA Public telephones, POPs, Access Center, IXP

$3,125,000 TBC Implementation

32 This amount does not include government subsidy contribution, which sums up to nearly $1.7 billion. 33 Latest information on actual # of beneficiaries are only available for the projects that have received either technical assistance

and/or investment subsidy funding from GPOBA, as well as for a few other WBG projects. 34 According to the implementation completion reports (ICR), the OBA component of the project was cancelled in June 2008.

The operator failed to meet the technical specifications and comply with the deadlines for installation of the telecenters. The

Project had paid $1 million of the $4.15 million committed as advances and for the reported installation of half of the telecenters.

None of telecenters are in operation. 35 For Mongolia Telecom, the number of final beneficiaries increased due to competitive bidding.

63

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Transport

1 Road Maintenance and Sector Rehabilitation Project (P006003)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD & Govt

11,667 km $248,300,000 N/A Closed

2 National Highway Asset man-agement (P088153)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD & Govt

8,188 km $182,800,000 N/A Implementation

3 Provincial Road Infrastructure Project (P070628)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD & Govt

2,204 km $96,400,000 N/A Implementation

4 National Highway Rehabilitation and Maintenance (P052590)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD & Govt

19,885 km $295,775,000 N/A Closed

5 Federal Highways Project (P006532)

Brazil (LCR)

TBC 3,500 km36 $247,700,000 N/A Closed

6 Rio Grande Do Sul Highway Management Project (P034578)

Brazil (LCR)

IBRD & Govt

2,200 km $70,000,000 N/A Closed

7 Transport Sector Project (P074030)

Burkina Faso (AFR)

IDA 1,021 km TBC N/A Implementation

8 OBA in Road Network Manage-ment and Maintenance 2 (P087004)

Cape Verde (AFR)

IDA 225 km $6,900,000 N/A Implementation

9 Chad - National Transport Pro-gram Support Project (P035672)

Chad (AFR)

IDA 440 km $11,088,000 N/A Closed

10 Chad - Road Network Manage-ment & Maintenance (P079736)

Chad (AFR)

IDA 600 km $24,000,000 N/A Implementation

11 India - Annuity Road Projects (TBC)

India (SAR)

TBC TBC TBC N/A Implementation

12 Kenya Northern Corridor Im-provement Project (P082615)

Kenya (AFR)

IDA,NDF, Govt

300 km $207,000,000 N/A Implementation

13 Madagascar - Transport Infra-structure Investment Project (P082806)

Madagascar (AFR)

IDA TBC $27,600,000 N/A Implementation

14 Nigeria - Federal Roads Devel-opment Project (P090135)

Nigeria (AFR)

IDA 1,800 km $330,000,000 N/A Implementation

15 Paraguay - Road Maintenance Project (P082026)

Paraguay (LCR) IBRD 968 km $39,270,000 N/A Implementation

16 Uruguay - Transport Project II (P049267)

Uruguay (LCR)

IBRD & Govt

856 km $42,237,000 N/A Closed

17 Second Rural Access Project (P085231)

Yemen (MNA)

IDA & Govt

950 km $40,000,000 250,000 Implementation

18 Transport Sector Support Pro-gram (P055120)

Tanzania (AFR)

IDA $708 $3,000,000 TBC Design

19 Tanzania - Road Network Man-agement & Maintenance P088645 (GPOBA); P078387 (Bank)

Tanzania (AFR)

IDA 850 km $26,000,000 TBC Implementation

20 Peru - Regional Transport Infrastructure Decentralization Project (Provias Descentralizado) (P078813)

Peru (LCR)

IBRD & IADB & Govt

4,906 km $50,000,000 TBC Implementation

21 Peru - Second Rural Roads Project (P044601)

Peru (LCR)

IBRD & IADB & Govt

14,950 km $23,154,000 3,500,000 Closed (3,500,000)

22 Peru - Rural Road Rehabilitation and Maintenance Project (P037047)

Peru (LCR)

IBRD & IADB & Govt

10,881 km $7,390,000 1,500,000 Closed (3,500,000)

23 Serbia & Montenegro - Trans-port Rehabilitation Project (P075207)

Serbia & Monte-negro (ECA)

IDA & Govt

1,200 km $55,000,000 TBC Implementation

36 In effect, over the 1998-2005 period, about 4,000 km of rehabilitation works on the federal road network were undertaken un-

der the World Bank funding, out of which about 3,500 km with a result-based approach. Additional 3,000 km of rehabilitation

works were financed by the IADB loans, and about 1,300 by the Federal Government itself.

64

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Energy

1 Renewable Energy in the Rural Market Project (P006043)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD Household Con-nections

$30,600,000 180,000 Implementation (48,000)

2 Access to Gas & Heat Supply for Poor Urban Households (P103071)

Armenia (ECA) GPOBA Individual Gas connections

$3,100,000 18,676 Implementation (11,120)

3 Heating and Gas (IDA Project) (P095329)

Armenia (ECA) IDA, Govt.

Individual Gas connections

$3,000,000 21,924 Implementation (7,000)

4 Rural Electrification and Re-newable Energy Development (IDCOL SHS) (P071794)

Bangladesh (SAR)

GEF, IDA, ADB, IDB, KfW, GTZ

SHS installations $8,200,000 843,960 Implementation (1,800,000)

5 Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation (P073367)

Bolivia (LCR)

IDA SHS installations $10,000,000 106,746 Implementation (30,776)

6 Bolivia Rural Access with Small-Scale Providers (P102479)

Bolivia (LCR)

GPOBA SHS and Pico PV systems

$5,175,000 45,000 Implementation

7 Rural Electrification and Transmission (P071591, P064844)

Cambodia (EAP) GEF Household Con-nections

$5,600,000 316,200 Implementation

8 Renewable Energy Develop-ment (P046829)

China (EAP)

GEF Photovoltaic SHS $27,000,000 1,600,000 Closed (1,600,000)

9 Natural Gas Distribution for Low Income Families in the Carib-bean Coast (P102095)

Colombia (LCR) GPOBA Household gas connection and a gas stove

$5,085,000 210,00037 Closed (210,000)38

10 Rural Energy Access (P105651) Ethiopia (AFR) GPOBA Household Con-nections

$8,000,000 1,142,857 Implementation

11 Solar PV Systems to Increase Access to Electricity Services in Ghana (P105617)

Ghana (AFR)

GPOBA SHS installations $4,350,000 90,000 Implementation

12 Rural Electrification Program (P112651)

Guatemala (LCR)

GPOBA Individual House-hold connections

$6,850,000 117,195 Design

13 Improved Electricity Access for Indian Slum Dwellers (P104649)

India (SAR)

GPOBA Household Con-nections

$1,570,000 110,000 Design

14 Home Solar Systems Project (P035544)

Indonesia (EAP) GEF SHS installations 5,200,000 35,438 Closed

15 Southern Provinces Rural Elec-trification Project (P044973)

Lao PDR (EAP) IDA Household Con-nections

$1,000,000 50,000 Closed (51,805)

16 Liberia Electricity Access (P110723)

Liberia (AFR)

GPOBA Household Con-nections

$5,000,000 91,241 Design

17 Household Energy and Universal Access Project (P073036)

Mali (AFR)

IDA, GEF

Household Con-nections and SHS installations

$19,300,000 178,700 Implementation (178,685)

18 Biogas Support Programme (P103979)

Nepal (SAR)

DGIS , KfW, GPOBA

Biogas plants $5,000,000 261,000 Implementation (33,404)

19 Off-grid Rural Electrification (Perza) (P073246)

Nicaragua (LCR) IDA Household Con-nections

$1,850,000 42,000 Implementation (46,445)

20 Rural Power Project (P066397) Philippines (EAP)

GEF SHS installations $1,800,000 50,000 Implementation

21 Rural non-Grid Power Supply (P090238)

Philippines (EAP)

Local Govt. TA from GPOBA

Electricity sup-plied (kWh)

N/A 360,000 Implementation

37 The verified connections in Colombia serve 204,852 beneficiaries. The remaining 5,000 beneficiaries were connected but the

connections were not verified as they were made after the deadline. 38 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections

65

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Energy

22 Electricity Services for Rural Areas Project (P085708)

Senegal (AFR)

IDA, GEF, AfDB, KfW

Household con-nections

$18,000,000 377,622 Implementation

23 Renewable Energy for Rural Economic Development (P076702)

Sri Lanka (SAR) GEF SHS installations $3,900,000 425,000 Implementation (500,000)

24 Energy Services Delivery Project (P010498)

Sri Lanka (SAR) IDA SHS installations $5,700,000 75,000 Closed (104,765)

25 Pamir Private Power Project (P075256)

Tajikistan (ECA) IDA Electricity con-sumed (in kWh)

$4,000,000 178,126 Implementation (178,126)

26 Energy Development and Access project (TEDAP) (P101645)

Tanzania (AFR) GEF Rural Household Connections

$2,300,000 75,000 Implementation

27 Energy for Rural Transformation Phase I (P069996)

Uganda (AFR)

GEF SHS Installations & Institutional systems

$1,400,000 37,500 Implementation (18,330)

Water and Sanitation

1 Multi-sector Project for Basic Services in Rural Areas (P053578)

Bangladesh (SAR)

IDA Water connec-tions

$314,743 26,000 Implementation (5,510)

2 Design of Innovative OBD Schemes for Water Supply and Sanitation Projects in Two Brazilian States (P114151)

Brazil (LCR)

TBC Water connec-tions

TBC TBC Design

3 Water Affermage contract - OBA for coverage expansion (P104526)

Cameroon (AFR) GPOBA Water connec-tions

$5,250,000 240,000 Implementation (4,302)39

4 Access to Water for low income communities (P109102)

Ethiopia (AFR)

GPOBA Water connec-tions

$8,400,000 420,000 Design

5 Second Water Supply Project (P001044)

Guinea (AFR)

IDA Water connec-tions

$16,900,000 138,000 Closed (138,000)

6 Extension of Water Services (P102474)

Honduras (LCR) GPOBA Water connec-tions

$4,440,000 240,000 Implementation

7 Improved Rural Community water in Andhra Pradesh (P102472)

India (SAR)

GPOBA HH Water Con-nections

$850,000 75,000 Implementation (43,422)40

8 Jakarta PT Thames/Suez (P102529)

Indonesia (EAP) GPOBA Household water connections

$2,573,140 55,824 Implementation (15,955)41

9 Expanding Piped Water Supply to Surabaya’s Urban Poor (P105590)

Indonesia (EAP) GPOBA Water connec-tions and Master Meter installation

$2,407,500 77,500 Implementation

10 Micro-finance for small water schemes (P104075)

Kenya (AFR)

GPOBA, EU

HH Water Con-nections

$1,151,300 60,000 Implementation (2,232)42

11 Extension of Water and Sanita-tion in Low Income Areas in Kisumu (P098285)

Kenya (AFR)

GPOBA Water Connec-tions

$350,000 72,000 Design

12 Small Towns Water Supply (P099575)

Lao PDR (EAP)

GPOBA Water Connec-tions

$2,350,000 124,000 Design

Water and Sanitation

13 Guanajuato Water Project (TBC)

Mexico (LCR)

IBRD water Connec-tions

$38,006,000 90,640 5.3

14 National OBA Facility for Wastewater Sector (P111610)

Mexico (LCR)

TBC Water Connec-tions

TBC TBC Design

39 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections 40 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections 41 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections 42 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections

66

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Water and Sanitation

15 Rural Water Supply and Sanita-tion Project (P086877)

Morocco (MNA)

TA from GPOBA

Water Connec-tions and Flush Latrines

N/A 51,840 Design

16 Urban Water and Sanitation (P102527)

Morocco (MNA)

GPOBA Water Connec-tions

$7,000,000 55,704 Implementation (14,475)43

17 Water Private Sector Contracts - OBA for coverage expansion (P104945)

Mozambique (AFR)

GPOBA Household yard taps

$6,000,000 468,000 Implementation

18 Second National Urban Water Sector Reform Project (P071391)

Nigeria (AFR)

IDA Household Water Connections

$13,350,000 300,000 Implementation

19 Fourth Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Project (P039983)

Paraguay (LCR) IBRD Household Water Connections

$834,880 27,625 Closed

20 National Project for Rural Water and Sanitation (P065256)

Peru (LCR)

IBRD Household Water Connections

$2,500,000 TBC Implementation

21 LGU Urban Water and Sanita-tion Project APL2 (P069491)

Philippines (EAP) IBRD Household Water Connections

$2,300,000 TBC Closed

22 Manila Water (P106775) Philippines (EAP) GPOBA Water Connec-tions

$2,900,000 100,463 Implementation (26,372)

23 On-Site Sanitation Project (P095587)

Senegal (AFR)

GPOBA DP, Septic Tank, TCM, BALP

$5,764,032 135,900 Implementation (3,267)44

24 On-Site Sanitation Project (IDA Project) (P041528)

Senegal (AFR)

IDA Household sanita-tion connections

$28,000,000 540,000 Implementation (567,000)

25 Colombo Wastewater (P111161)

Sri Lanka (SAR) GPOBA sewer connec-tions

$1,100,000 35,000 Design

26 National Water Sector Fund (P104335)

St. Lucia (LCR)

GPOBA Sanitation con-nections

$1,600,000 25,600 Design

27 Water Supply in Secondary Towns (P097290)

Tanzania (AFR)

GPOBA Household Water Connections

$7,000,000 100,000 Design

28 OBA in Water Supply in Ugan-da's Small Towns and Rural Growth Centers (P102462)

Uganda (AFR)

GPOBA Public Water Points and HH Yard Taps

$3,169,001 55,511 Implementation

29 Kampala - Water Connections for the Poor (P104943)

Uganda (AFR)

GPOBA Public Water Points and Yard Taps

$2,527,100 409,050 Implementation (9,150)45

30 Rural Water (EMW) (P104528) Vietnam (EAP)

GPOBA Working House connection to network

$3,000,000 150,000 Implementation (10,904)

31 Service Expansion and Water Loss Reduction (P106450)

Vietnam (EAP)

GPOBA Individual House-hold water Con-nections

$7,745,000 249,561 Implementation

32 Al Qabel Village Water Supply (P111757)

Yemen (MNA)

GPOBA Household sanita-tion connections

$1,400,000 15,000 Implementation

Health

1 Health System Emergency Reconstruction and Develop-ment - Supplement (P098358)

Afghanistan (SAR)

IDA Medical treat-ments

$30,000,000 2,250,000 Implementation

2 Provincial Maternal-Child Health Invest (P072637)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD, Govt

Medical treat-ments for moth-ers and children

$90,400,000 582,292 Closed (527,305)

3 Provincial Maternal-Child Health Invest. Loan - Phase II (P095515)

Argentina (LCR) IBRD, Govt

Medical treat-ments for moth-ers and children

$277,400,000 1,700,000 Implementation (388,188)

4 Contractual Approaches for Improving Health Services Delivery (P088751)

Congo, DR (AFR) IDA Medical treat-ments

$5,000,000 1,500,000 Implementation

43 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections 44 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections 45 Includes beneficiaries from unverified connections

67

Project Name (P0 Number)

Country (Region)

Funding Source

Type of output World Bank Subsidy

amount includ-ing GPOBA32

Planned Number of

beneficiaries

Project Status (Latest information on actual # Benefi-

ciaries) 33

Health

5 Health Zone Project: Health Zone Administration and Facili-ties Contracting Component (P057296)

Congo, DR (AFR) IDA Immunization coverage

$5,000,000 10,000,000 Implementation

6 Rajasthan Health Systems De-velopment Project (P050655)

India (SAR)

IDA, Govt

Medical treat-ments

$89,000,000 3,034,000 Implementation

7 Lesotho New Hospital PPP (P104403)

Lesotho (AFR)

GPOBA Medical treat-ments

$6,250,000 500,000 Implementation

8 Pre-paid Health Scheme Pilot in Nigeria (P104405)

Nigeria (AFR)

GPOBA Medical treat-ments

$6,015,165 22,500 Implementation

9 Poverty Reduction Support Credit - PRSC (P078806)

Pakistan (SAR)

IDA Medical treat-ments

TBC TBC Closed

10 Poverty Reduction Support Credit - PRSC II (P090690)

Pakistan (SAR)

IDA Medical treat-ments

TBC TBC Closed

11 Mother and Child Basic Health Insurance Project (P082056)

Paraguay (LCR) IBRD Mother-Baby Treatment Pack-age

$7,304,000 737,000 Implementation

12 Comparison of OBA Health Schemes (P092944)

Rwanda (AFR)

IDA, Govt

Medical treat-ments

$3,600,000 1,070,000 Closed

13 Poverty Reduction Support Credit I (P085192)

Rwanda (AFR)

IDA. Govt

Medical treat-ments

$13,000,000 TBC Closed

14 Poverty Reduction Support Credit III (P098129)

Rwanda (AFR)

IDA, Govt

Medical treat-ments

$8,250,000 TBC Closed

15 Poverty Reduction Support Credit IV (P104990)

Rwanda (AFR)

IDA, Govt

Medical treat-ments

$8,400,000 TBC Closed

16 Health Sector Development Program (P058627)

Tanzania (AFR)

IDA Medical treat-ments for mater-nal and childhood illnesses

$20,000,000 TBC Closed

17 Health Sector Development Project II - HSDP II (P105093)

Tanzania (AFR)

IDA Medical treat-ments to prevent Malaria

$65,000,000 TBC Implementation

18 Reproductive Health Vouchers in Western Uganda (P104527)

Uganda (AFR)

GPOBA, KfW

STD and Safe Delivery Vouchers

$4,300,000 135,912 Implementation (65)**

19 Mekong Regional Health Sup-port Project (P079663)

Vietnam (EAP)

IDA Health Insurance $8,000,000 TBC Implementation

20 Northern Upland Health Sup-port Project (P082672)

Vietnam (EAP)

IDA Medical treat-ments

$10,000,000 TBC Implementation

21 Health Support to the Poor of the Northern Upland (P110251)

Vietnam (EAP)

IDA Medical treat-ments

$14,140,000 TBC Implementation

22 Safe Motherhood Program (P104946)

Yemen (MNA)

GPOBA Mother-Baby Treatment Pack-age

$6,232,100 80,000 Implementation

Education

1 Female Secondary School Assis-tance Project - FSSAP I (P009555)

Bangladesh (SAR)

IDA, Govt

Female Students Enrolled

$68,100,000 1,600,000 Closed (1,540,000)

2 Female Secondary School Assis-tance Project - FSSAP II (P044876)

Bangladesh (SAR)

IDA, Govt

Female Students Enrolled

$67,807,143 1,450,000 Closed (1,200,000

3 Lifelong Learning and Training Project (P068271)

Chile (LCR)

IBRD, Govt

Students Enrolled $41,140,000 177,874 Implementation

4 Balochistan Education Support Project (P094086)

Pakistan (SAR)

IDA, Govt

Students Enrolled $2,100,000 34,500 Implementation

68

Annex II: Sector Specific Lessons

This Annex provides a detailed description of OBA in the following sectors:

A. ICT

B. Transport (mainly Roads sub-sector)

C. Energy

D. Water

E. Health

F. Education

A. ICT

OBA is largely mainstreamed in the information and communication technology (ICT) sector,

where universal access and service funds rely on explicit subsidies from wealthier largely urban

populations to help extend access to less wealthy and more costly to serve (usually) rural popula-

tions on a performance-basis. The subsidy is often determined by having private companies bid

for roll-out of infrastructure and services on the ―lowest subsidy required‖. The subsidy is dis-

bursed on outputs, or ―milestones‖, such as the installation of functioning hardware (pay

phones, tele-centers or internet points of presence, amongst others), and in some cases con-

tinued service provision for a specified period of time.

A.1. Universe of OBA in ICT

Before countries liberalized their ICT sectors, public (monopoly) utilities generally had limited

success in expanding ICT services. Cross-subsidy schemes were usually not successful, in part

because state-owned enterprises were often not able to charge high enough tariffs to wealthier or

less-costly to serve customers to help finance the cost of extension to more costly areas. There-

fore access to the poor was limited.

But since the mid-1990s, a substantial change has taken place in the sector. The sector went

from largely monopolistic service provision to competition, which had a major impact on ex-

panding access. In this time, output-based contracts for the provision of ICT services became an

effective means of expanding ICT services to the poor (Stern and Townsend 2007). The first of

these contracts was funded by Chile‘s Fund for the Telecommunications Development (FDT) in

1995. FDT has since funded the installation of more than 25,000 payphones in about 8,000 rural

centers benefiting close to 2.7 million people. It is estimated that there are less than 150,000

people (1% of the population) without access to a basic telephone in Chile (Stern and Townsend

2007, p. 92).

Chile‘s FDT was followed by other similar schemes throughout Latin America. In 2001, Peru

was the first country to develop contracts for the provision of private internet connections. As in

the case of OBA in roads (see next sub-section), the Latin America & Caribbean (LCR) region

has been the forerunner in contracts for all ICT technologies that are represented and has contin-

ued using such contracts. Sub-Saharan Africa implemented its first ICT OBA contracts in 2002,

South Asia in 2004 and East Asia & Pacific in 2006. Table 5 below presents the universe of

OBA in the ICT sector.

69

Table 5: Universe of Output-Based Aid in ICT

Common ―Outputs‖: Serviceable Asset

Public phones Provision of public phone connections (examples: Chile, In-

donesia, Guatemala, Mongolia, Uganda, Cambodia, India,

Malawi, Nepal, Nigeria, Zambia)

Tele-centers (facilities that offer use of

ICTs in a publicly shared manner, with

or without a fee)

Provision of tele-centers (examples: Brazil, Chile, Indonesia,

Mongolia)

Internet Internet coverage through points of presence (PoPs) and pri-

vate connections (examples: Uganda, Organization of Eastern

Caribbean States)

Cellular network Provision of cellular networks (examples: Bolivia, Mongolia)

Private phone connections Provision of private phone connections (examples: Uganda,

Pakistan)

The review has identified about 20 World Bank projects46

and 19 projects outside the World

Bank that can be considered OBA in the ICT sector. The 16 projects for which there is informa-

tion on contract value, all of which are World Bank-funded, have a total value of $73.4 million

(figure 12). The 12 projects for which information on the number of expected beneficiaries is

available (total volume $63.6 million) are expected to reach more than 17.3 million beneficiaries.

The OBA projects involve a number of different ICT services, including: public phones, tele-

centers, private phone connections, internet service including private connections as well as

wholesale facilities known as ―points of presence‖ (PoPs), and cellular networks. OBA for pub-

lic phones is the most common type of OBA identified, with tele-centers second. This is partly

because of the more ―public‖ and therefore pro-poor nature of these two services, although as

discussed below, this is changing.

Figure 12: Distribution of OBA ICT Projects

46 Many of these projects involve more than one contract.

AFR29%

EAP14%

ECA0%

LCR41%

SAR16%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in ICTTotal: US$ 73m

AFR30%

EAP25%

ECA5%

LCR30%

SAR10%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in ICT

Total: 20 projects

70

The volume of OBA projects is relatively small, both in absolute terms ($73 million) and relative

to the World Bank ICT portfolio (11% of portfolio). This is due to a combination of factors. ICT

Universal Access projects are mainly funded through universal access funds that usually receive

their funds from other sources than development aid. As a result donors, such as the World Bank,

focus on different aspects of ICT development, such as setting up regulatory regimes or financ-

ing international infrastructure to ensure interconnection.

Most of the contracts for ICT services identified as OBA are funded through universal access

funds (UAFs) and universal service funds (USFs). UAFs and USFs (―UASFs‖ for short) are

funded from one or a combination of the following three sources:

Levies on telecommunications operators—The most common method for funding uni-

versal access/services are governments‘ levies on a percentage of telecommunications

operators‘ revenues. Levies identified range between one and four percent, and aver-

age about two percent.

Spectrum auctions—Governments or sector regulators hold auctions to distribute

ICT/radio spectrum in order to raise funding for the country‘s UASF (e.g., Guatema-

la‘s Fund for the Development of Telephony).

Government budgets—In a limited number of cases, governments fund the UASFs out

of their own budgets. This is the case in Chile‘s Fund for Telephony Development

(box 7).

The scale of subsidies varies between projects. Subsidies for the provision of public phone con-

nections were lowest in Chile, where they averaged $996 per phone. Such subsidies were highest

in Nigeria, where they averaged $5,511 per phone. The average subsidies per phone in projects

for which we have information were $2,848.

UASFs have proven an effective mechanism for mobilizing investment into challenging rural

areas. In 1994, the Fund for the Telephony Development (FONDETEL) in Chile became the first

to make finance available competitively under a reverse auction (lowest subsidy demanded wins)

and generate new licenses for rural operators.

Maximum subsidies to be paid by UASFs are typically calculated at the amount required to make

projects commercially viable. In most countries, ―commercial viability‖ is defined as a net

present value of zero. For instance, in Bolivia‘s SITTEL project, SITTEL determined the maxi-

mum subsidy required to make the net present value of each public phone connection zero

through projections of necessary investment and demand.

71

Box 7: Fund for Telephony Development in Chile

The Government of Chile established the Fund for Telephony Development (FDT) in 1995 to attract private

investment in payphone services for rural and urban areas with low incomes and telephone density. FDT has

since funded the installation of more than 25,000 payphones in about 8,000 rural population centers be-

nefiting close to 2.7 million people. It is estimated that there are less than 150,000 people (1% of the

population) without access to a basic telephone. The subsidies awarded cost the government less than 0.3

percent of total telecommunications sector revenue during the funding period, and administering the FDT

cost about three percent of the monies granted. Between 1995 and 2000, rural telecommunications operators

invested $161 million in universal access projects. Of this amount, $22 million (13.6%) was provided by the

FDT.

The FDT succeeded because of: a highly competitive market prior to the launch of the FDT and therefore the

ability to rely extensively on market forces to determine and allocate subsidies; less regulatory discretion;

simple and relatively expeditious processing; and effective government leadership.

Competition between existing and new operators for the rural market substantially reduced the cost of tele-

phone services to Government (especially compared to earlier public sector investments in similar facilities).

Some concerns remain, however, about the long-term sustainability of the services, the small residual rural

population still excluded, and some urban areas.

Source: Wellenius 2002, Stern and Townsend 2007 (pg 92) and Nuevos Modelos Para el Acceso Universal de Los

Servicios de Telecomunicaciones en América Latina: Informe de Países e Informe Completo

However, although the funding source in ICT OBA has become explicit and is considered sus-

tainable, another problem has arisen: UASFs have been good at collecting revenue from explicit

subsidy contributions, but they have not been successful at disbursing. A total of 15 funds in

developing markets that are operational, had collected a total of approximately $6.2 billion from

operators, beginning in the late 1990s (but mostly since 2001 and 2002). 78% of the total collec-

tions ($4.8 billion) came from two countries - India and Brazil. By 2006, these 15 funds redistri-

buted approximately $1.62 billion to the sector for universal access and service (UAS) projects,

which represents just 26% of the total collected.47

Some of the reasons set forth as to why in-

clude the following (Stern and Townsend 2007):

1. Defining eligible programs too narrowly – accepting only those proposals linked to pub-

lic payphones and community Internet;

2. Overestimating the amount of subsidy that operators would request;

3. Requiring that programs be approved by two or more ministries, that they must comply

with all public expenditure review and monitoring procedures, or that they must conclu-

sively demonstrate that the subsidies are well designed;

4. Imposing significant legal, administrative and financial burdens that act as a barrier on

operators‘ participation in tenders, especially for smaller operators.

47 InfoDev and ITU. ICT Regulation Toolkit. http://www.ictregulationtoolkit.org/en/Section.3180.html

72

Alternative models which would allow for the more efficient and effective management of

UASFs are being considered, such as ―pay or play‖ or virtual funds (with no actual physical

fund). Private management of UASFs is also a possibility, such as the one in the USA, and a new

privately managed UASF in Pakistan. These are discussed in Section 4 and 5 of the review.

A.2. Targeting

Targeting for output-based contracts for the provision of ICT access is largely geographic. Gov-

ernment target areas are defined based on level of telephony coverage. Some projects target

smaller communities on the basis that they are likely to be the least economic to provide service

to or areas with a low income level. Most OBA schemes target ―public‖ (shared or community)

access to maximize use by the poor, but as the nature and cost of technology is rapidly changing,

private (household) access through OBA UASFs are increasing.

Uganda‘s Energy for Rural Transformation project48

aims to provide at least one public

telephone connection per 2,500 inhabitants throughout Uganda (equating to an average

distance of about 3 kilometers). Another targeting objective is to provide rural multipur-

pose tele-centers at schools, hospital, associations of farmers and micro-entrepreneurs

outside of district capitals in selected districts.

Bolivia‘s SITTEL project targeted 4,160 rural communities with 10,000 or fewer inhabi-

tants that did not have access to public phone connections, and went further to define

―access‖ as ―at least one public phone within two kilometers (or a 24 minute walk) of

each household (Stern and Townsend 2007, p25).

Many UASFs set national targets for tele-center coverage. In these schemes, tele-centers

will reach poor areas, but are not targeted specifically to poor people. For example, Mex-

ico‘s universal access fund aims to provide at least one tele-center (called a ―Community

Digital Center‖) per municipality in the country. Seventy-one percent of the tele-centers

established to date have been in schools and libraries (accessible to poor and staffed to

help people learn to use the computers). Part of the tele-center program is aimed at devel-

oping local educational, health, economic, and government content (Stern and Townsend

2007).

The Mongolia Information and Communications Infrastructure Development Project

(ICIDP) targets poor, underserved areas. It is a follow-up to the three GPOBA funded pi-

lots that are successfully operational since 2007, bringing phone service to about 20,000

beneficiaries in remote herder communities, and both mobile phone and Internet services

to 2,315 people in rural villages. A user survey showed that the pilots have cut by more

than half the distance herders must travel to reach a phone and more than doubled the

frequency with which they use the telephone service (Dymond et al. 2008, p. 3).

A.3. Performance-risk

Contracts for the provision of public phone connections most commonly define performance as

installation of working public phone connections, with subsidies disbursed when public phone

connections have been provided and determined to be in good working order. Some of the more

effective contracts disburse a portion of subsidies upon installation of the phones and disburse

the rest on a regular basis provided the phones are maintained to standard. This was the case in

48 (P069996)

73

Peru‘s Fund for Telephony Investment (FITEL), which has been considered to be largely suc-

cessful (table 6). Since 2000, Peru‘s FITEL has increased the access to public telephony for near-

ly 6.7 million people, reducing the average distance to reach a public payphone from 56 km to

5.7 km (Stern and Townsend 2007, p. 95).

In the 39 projects identified, there are three main ways of defining performance:

Construction completion milestones: Contracts that define performance as construction

completion milestones disburse some subsidies prior to the delivery of a serviceable as-

set.

Provision of serviceable assets: Contracts that define performance as provision of servi-

ceable assets disburse all subsidies at the delivery of the serviceable asset.

Provision of serviceable assets and continued service: Contracts that define performance

as provision of serviceable assets and continued service disburse some subsidies upon the

delivery of the asset and some upon the successful continuation of service.

Table 6 below gives examples of OBA projects that use each type of scheme for defining per-

formance.

74

Table 6: Defining ―Performance‖ in the Provision of ICT Services

Indicator Example

Construction and Installation

completion milestones

In Nigeria‘s Privatization Support Project (Sub-Project 2), perfor-

mance is defined by construction completion milestones over a 16

month period. Nigeria‘s Privatization Support Project (Sub-Project 2),

subsidy paid in 6 tranches over 16 month period (10%, 20%, 25%,

25%, 10%, 10%). First payment of 10% paid upon contract signature,

provision of certificates and guarantees. Remaining tranches paid

based on installation goals

Serviceable assets Chile‘s Fund for Telecommunications Development (FDT) pays sub-

sidies in a lump sum once the phones have been installed

Serviceable asset and continued

service

In contracts funded by Peru‘s FITEL, 40 percent of the subsidies are

delivered based on continued service provision over the course of

five years.

In the Mongolia ICIDP disbursed 20% of the subsidies on contract

signature, 60% on reaching several output targets, such as providing

service in a number of herder communities or reaching a number of

mobile phone subscribers and 20% after 9 months of successful oper-

ation.

For the ICT component of Uganda‘s Energy for Rural Transformation

Project49

, 10% of the subsidy is disbursed upon signature of the ser-

vice agreement, followed by 30% upon completion of 50% of the

public access objective in year 1 and another 30% when the remain-

ing 50% public access objectives have been achieved, in year 2.

Another 20% is paid upon completion of the individual private access

objectives in year 2 and the remaining 10% is paid in year 3 upon

verification of satisfactory continuous service operation. A perfor-

mance bond is required at contract signature, and its amount is re-

duced at every milestone in proportion to the percentage of the subsi-

dy paid50

It is also important to note that, although most of the contracts identified do not disburse

OBA subsidies based upon the provision of continued service, the contracts do include

longer-term service provision requirements. These contracts are commonly for 5 to 10 years.

Contractors are sometimes required to post performance bonds in order to incentivize continuing

service provision. However, most ICT companies will have other incentives to continue service

provision. For example, ICT companies are sometimes granted operating licenses for up to 15

years, some of which allow the use radio frequencies, and can be revoked in the case of a breach

of contract.

A.4. Private sector capital and expertise

In all of the cases identified, private sector companies were contracted for the provision of ICT

networks. Usually, government agencies or a UASF defined the area to be served and the mini-

mum number of people to be served. Contracted companies were able to decide the technology

that would most efficiently allow the provision of coverage. Companies were also able to decide

49 (P069996) 50 There is also a private access component to this project. Source: Navas-Sabater et al. (2007), p. 1

75

if they would serve more than the target community using the infrastructure installed under the

UASF contract, giving a potential for economies of scale and thereby increasing private sector

incentives.

Leveraging of private sector capital varied in the contracts that were identified. In Guatemala‘s

FONDETEL projects, each $1 of subsidy leveraged between $2 and $4 of private investment. In

Peru‘s FITEL projects, an average of $2 of private capital was raised for each $1 of subsidy.

Most of the universal access funds aimed to provide subsidies that would make the net present

value (NPV) of providing ICT services equal to zero – in other words, it was the expectation that

without subsidies, the NPV would likely be less than zero and the project would not be commer-

cially viable. The intensity of competition between bidders for ICT contracts can greatly affect

the amount of private sector leveraging. For example, the Chilean Telecommunications Compa-

ny bid 100 percent of the maximum available subsidy in localities close to its existing network

where there were no other established local operating companies, and zero subsidy in areas

where its competitors had a strong presence.

OBA was originally piloted to mobilize private sector expertise to serve segments of the popula-

tion that without a subsidy would most likely go un-served. For example in Uganda, when two

commercial operators declared they could not serve almost 20 percent of sub-counties on a

commercial basis, OBA contracts were designed to specifically target these un-served sub-

counties. In order to mitigate demand risk under the OBA contracts including the risk of ―sur-

prise substitutes‖, these areas were taken out of the license obligations of the non-OBA providers

and awarded exclusively to the OBA providers. But because the ICT sector is very dynamic,

there are also instances where operators have started to provide services in areas originally

thought to be un-commercial. This has led to the redesign of an OBA scheme in Cambodia –

prior to grant signing – to ensure that only those areas which are not attractive without a subsidy

fall within the OBA grant agreement.

A.5. Monitoring

The sub-sections above describe in detail the outputs that are normally designated for OBA

projects in the ICT sector: a) construction completion milestones for example for the roll-out of

network; b) installation of serviceable assets such as working pay phones; and, c) completion of

public access objectives and continued service, for example provision of a working asset plus

demonstration of service over a course of several months or years. In this sub-section, we de-

scribe the processes, lessons and challenges of monitoring output provision in OBA schemes in

the ICT sector.

Under most contracts except Chile and recently Peru, most UASFs are managed by the regulato-

ry authority for the sector. In some cases, the UASF performs monitoring and evaluation of the

specific contracts as well.

In projects funded by Peru‘s Fund for Telephony Investment, for instance, the regulator Osiptel

uses a network management system to oversee system operations (traffic levels, continuity of

service) in real time. Ospitel‘s monitoring and evaluation scheme also requires a dedicated data

circuit in the operator‘s headquarters to monitor billing, failure reports, and the calls placed and

received by the rural pay phones. In a semiannual report Osiptel assesses compliance with per-

formance targets and indicators and makes recommendations on FITEL payments.

76

Box 8 provides an example from Guatemala where a lack of monitoring and evaluation meant

providers were not held accountable to the outputs prescribed by their contract. Currently, the

Bank is working with the government on new implementing measures to address some of the

failures of the past.

Box 8: Development of Telephony Fund in Guatemala

The Government of Guatemala (the Government) established the Fund for the Development of Telepho-

ny (FONDETEL). The FONDETEL sought to expand the coverage of public and private phone lines to

about 5,000 rural localities that represented more than half of all households without access to telephone

services. The FONDETEL was funded by spectrum auctions. FONDETEL contracted private firms for

the provision of public phones in or near localities with the least access to ICT services were targeted

Since 1998, FONDETEL has subsidized the construction of more than 5,500 public phones benefiting

about 1.49 million people. However, a World Bank-funded inspection of 220 public phones found that

only 28 phones were ―adequately functioning‖. It is estimated that only 20 percent of targeted localities

had ―adequate service.‖ The Regulatel study commented that FONDETEL‘s methodology for selecting

these underserved communities was flawed, as it did not consider cell phone coverage and usage. Disre-

gard of these factors made urban areas with high cellular tele-density eligible for subsidized public

phones.

The delivery of serviceable public phones was hampered by two factors: i) payment was not sufficiently

linked to performance (with all subsidies disbursed directly after the installation of the phones, but before

a period of service was provided); and, ii) nearly no monitoring and evaluation was performed of the in-

stallation of the phones.

Revisions to the FONDETEL arrangements are expected to improve on linking payments to performance

as well as enhancing monitoring and evaluation measures.

Source: Nuevos Modelos Para el Acceso Universal de Los Servicios de Telecomunicaciones en América

Latina: Informe de Países e Informe Completo and Stern and Townsend 2007 (p.XVII, 94)

77

B. Roads

OBA is becoming mainstreamed in the roads sector through various types of performance-based

maintenance and rehabilitation contracts. For example, in 2003 the World Bank formally

adopted (and since then improved) a Sample Bidding Document for ―Output and Performance

Based Road Contracts (OPRC)‖ which can be found on the Bank‘s procurement website. Under

OBA schemes in the roads sector, private contractors enter into agreements of a longer nature

than traditional roads contracts, and the ―outputs‖ on which they are paid (for example

monthly) relate to the quality of road ―service‖ provided based on clearly identifiable and

measurable parameters such as average speed obtainable. The nature of OBA in roads main-

tenance and rehabilitation is quite different than the nature of OBA in other infrastructure sectors

in a variety of ways: the ongoing nature of ―service‖ delivery and the related ongoing subsidy

requirement; in relation, the subsidy (or payment to the service provider) is disbursed on a con-

tinuing service – i.e. management and maintenance of roads – as opposed to investments; and,

the ―public goods‖ aspect of roads whereby there is no user fee and the entire cost to the user is

subsidized through public funding, as discussed below.51

B.1. Universe of OBA in Roads

Governments and donors alike recognized the drawbacks of managing roads ―in house‖ and

hence for many years have relied on outsourcing through various contractual arrangements for

road maintenance works. Under such arrangements, private contractors are responsible for carry-

ing out physical works defined by the government and are paid on the basis of the quantity of

civil works executed. But contractors often have a vested interest in executing large, lumpy

works and little or no incentive to carry out the many small activities needed to ensure that roads

are in good condition over a long period. Also, governments usually have an incentive to allocate

scarce public funds on projects that convey clearly visible benefits to their constituents instead of

less visible maintenance expenditures, which tend to be the first budget items to be cut. This con-

tracting approach and the general tendency of governments to neglect maintenance have generat-

ed a vicious circle of heavy rehabilitation works followed by long periods of neglect and thus

rapid deterioration. It is estimated that $1 spent on timely maintenance can save more than $3

that would be required for road reconstruction (Queiroz 2008). Adding to the problem has been

the limited institutional capacity to consistently plan and supervise effective road maintenance.

In an attempt to counteract these limitations, road agencies have begun to adopt performance-

based contracting for rehabilitation and maintenance. Performance-based contracts expressly link

payments the contractor to clearly defined performance standards.52

Using performance-based

contracts offers several potential advantages to road agencies over more traditional approaches,

including better road conditions with limited funding available through incentives to the private

sector for innovation and higher productivity, and, greater certainty about road expenditures to

allow for better sector-wide planning.

51 All OBA schemes in developing countries indentified in the transport sector were in the roads sub-sector. A few transport

services schemes have been considered, but are not far along enough in design or implementation to be included in this review. 52 Performance based contracting is also known as Performance-based Management and Maintenance Contract, Output Based

service contract, Performance Specified Maintenance Contract. These names are used interchangeably though they often describe

different types of road contracts.

78

Figure 13 below shows the widespread use of performance-based contracts in the roads sector.

First appearing in Canada in the late 1980s, this approach is now used in many countries and is

being considered by others, particularly in Asia.

Figure 13: Global Application of Performance-Based Contracting for Roads

Source: World Bank Resource Guide (2008): Performance-based Contracting for Preservation and Improvement of

Road Assets.,

The review has identified 23 projects that involve OBA road contracts within the World Bank53

,

for a total value of $2 billion (excluding over $1.7 billion in government subsidy co-financing),

and 11 projects outside the Bank (predominantly in developing countries and majority in Latin

America) (see figure 14). These are grouped mainly into two archetypes: 1) performance-based

contracts for road maintenance, which are maintained to a specified level of service; 2) perfor-

mance-based contracts for rehabilitation and maintenance, which are rehabilitated and then main-

tained to a specified level of service.

53 The term ―OBA‖ is rarely used for these contracts other than in the case of ―Output and Performance-Based Road Contracts‖,

but more commonly ―performance-based‖ alone is used.

79

Figure 14: Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Transport

There are grey areas between the archetypes. For instance, it can be difficult to identify if works

to significantly improve a road should be considered ―rehabilitation‖ or ―construction‖. Whether

a contract is purely performance-based or a ―hybrid‖ (that is, it contains input-based payments)

can also be difficult to determine, particularly for rehabilitation. Of the OBA roads contracts

identified, only a minority were such hybrid contracts.

The performance-based maintenance contracts identified by the review involve either ―tradition-

al‖ private sector contractors (local or international), or contracts involving micro-enterprises.

The key characteristics of performance-based road maintenance contracts performed by ‗tradi-

tional‘ contractors involve routine maintenance and periodic maintenance, and the primary ob-

jective of the performance-based maintenance contract is to maintain the road asset according to

pre-defined performance standards (Zietlow 2004). In contrast, contracts that engage micro-

enterprises usually only cover routine maintenance and do not involve bidding. Box 9 discusses a

successful example of a ―traditional‖ performance-based maintenance contract.

AFR31%

ECA3%

LCR64%

MENA2%

SAR0%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Road Transport

Total: US$ 2 bn

AFR39%

ECA5%

LCR48%

MENA4%

SAR4%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Road Transport

Total: 23 projects

80

Box 9: Argentina: Pilot Project for Performance-Based Maintenance: Roads Maintenance and

Sector Rehabilitation Project

Argentina was the first non-OECD country to pilot and implement performance-based contracting in the

roads sector. A nationwide road survey estimated traffic, defined the minimum (rather than optimum) road

standards, defined the rehabilitation and maintenance required, and identified the size and shape of the sub-

networks for contracting out. On the basis of the survey information, the Government set uniform national

output indicators for the contracts.

In 1995, 11 contracts were awarded, covering a network of about 3,845 kilometers of paved roads in good to

fair condition. Contracts were awarded to the lowest lump sum bidder. Contractors were paid equal monthly

installments based on the kilometers of roads maintained (―kilometer per month‖ contracts). If the contrac-

tor‘s output did not comply with standards (based on deficiencies noted during monthly inspections), daily

penalties were imposed (and subtracted from future payments) until the necessary repairs were carried out.

Inspections were normally carried out on a sample basis, the minimum length to be inspected weekly

representing 5 percent of the total length of the contracted network (or 10 percent if the inspection is for the

purpose of establishing payment certificates). The contractor is also required to carry out self-inspections on a

daily basis, and to report any abnormality—such as traffic overloading— that may have an impact on the con-

tract or on the processes by which the maintenance works are carried out.

The success of the first performance-based contracts in Argentina led to the adoption of a series of CREMA

contracts (see main text) which were subsequently replicated throughout Latin America and now worldwide.

Source: Liautaud (2001)

Performance-based rehabilitation and maintenance contracts are based on the performance-based

maintenance contract model, but with an added component for ―rehabilitation‖. By ―rehabilita-

tion‖, these contracts typically mean bringing a road back to its original serviceable standard.

However, there does not appear to be an agreed definition of ―rehabilitation‖.

The CREMA projects in Argentina were among the first performance-based rehabilitation and

maintenance contracts outside the OECD. The first two phases of Argentina‘s CREMA program,

covering nearly 14,000 km, resulted in significant improvement in the proportion of roads in

good condition from 70% in 1998 to 85% in 2005. Further, the percentage of roads in poor con-

dition decreased from 8% in 1998 to 4.2% in 2005 (Implementation completion report of Na-

tional Highways Rehabilitation and Maintenance project in Argentina 2006, p.4). Many other

countries in Latin America have based their performance-based contracts on the CREMA model.

While generally successful, the evolution of the CREMA contracts highlight the fine-tuning ne-

cessary to ensure contract design gives contractors the right incentives to perform, and demon-

strates the balance between shifting performance risk to providers and the issue of access to

finance. The CREMA contracts example is provided in more detail in Section 4.2 above.

Performance-based rehabilitation and maintenance contracts are generally used on roads that are

in at least fair condition. As was learnt in the Chad roads case (box 10), roads in extremely bad

condition are generally not suitable for performance-based contracts for rehabilitation and main-

tenance because of greater uncertainty for both government and contractors about the nature and

extent of works required to bring road to maintainable standard. Also, the greater the proportion

81

of rehabilitation costs to maintenance costs, the greater the contractor‘s incentive to renege on

the contract after rehabilitation is completed.

Box 10: Successful Performance Based Rehabilitation and Maintenance Contracts in Chad

Given the poor results with traditional road maintenance contracts, Chad‘s government decided to pilot a per-

formance-based contract for the maintenance and management of roads: National Transport Program Support

Project. In late 2000, the Government of Chad launched a competitive international tender for a contract cov-

ering 441 kilometers of continuous unpaved main roads (seven percent of the primary network). After prequa-

lification three bidders each presented an offer. The government awarded a four-year PMMR contract to DTP,

a subsidiary of the French firm Bouygues, in early 2001.

The bids were evaluated on the basis of the monthly lump-sum fee required. The winning bid came in around

seven percent lower than had been predicted. As long as DTP complies with the service quality levels, it

would receive a monthly fee of $480 per kilometer. This fee covers, among other things, fully rehabilitating

the road at the outset, managing and maintaining the road for four years, monitoring compliance with the per-

formance criteria, and providing basic aid in road accidents. DTP received an advance payment of 20 percent

of the contract value, for which it had to provide a guarantee. DTP also had to come up with a performance

guarantee of 10 percent of the contract value.

DTP had 22 months to bring service quality up to the required levels. DTP complied with and in many cases

exceeded the service quality level requirements. The roads were maintained to excellent condition and the

road users were highly satisfied. In fact, one criticism of the scheme is that the quality of the roads is ―too

high‖: the roads are now amongst the best in the region, and one may question whether costs could have been

lowered with less ambitious targets.

With the roads in such good condition, only ongoing maintenance was required. Chad‘s government split the

441 km of road in two sections and bid both sections out under performance-based contracts. Different local

contractors won, and still hold, these contracts. Performance-based contracting has now been extended to

Chad‘s rural roads. Eight local contractors have partially rehabilitated and now maintain Chad‘s most impor-

tant rural roads through the dry season.

Sources: Hartwig et al. (2005) and discussion with Andreas Schliessler, 10/08.

B.2. Funding

For most of the roads projects identified, funds from international donors form a significant

component of overall funding. These donors largely include: IDA, IBRD, and bilateral aid agen-

cies (for instance, USAID). Other funding sources include other international agencies, such as

the United Nations Development Program and the United Nations Economic Commission for

Latin America and Caribbean.

Government also contributes funding, increasingly through dedicated road maintenance funds

funded for example by fuel taxes. Road maintenance funds can help bring further stability to the

government end of the contract by ensuring a sustainable source of funding for road maintenance

that is independent of a government‘s other fiscal constraints and obligations.54

However, dedi-

54 Though the CREMA contracts did not involve a road fund, the long-term payment obligations were made legally binding on

the Government, which helped deter the Treasury from reneging on road maintenance funding at times of fiscal constraint (for

instance, in 1998–1999 and at the end of 2001). The budget process respected that CREMA contracts and funds were a priority

and considered them non-discretionary expenditures (source: http://www.worldbank.org/transport/roads/resource-guide/Case-

Argentina.htm)

82

cated road funds are more widely used in OECD countries. There is limited evidence of road

funds being used in the OBA roads context in developing countries to date – for example, even

Argentina and Brazil do not use road funds to support their OBA schemes.

Road Maintenance Funds

Through the 1970s governments tended to earmark general tax revenues for road maintenance.

This allocation depended on the annual political budget, and so these conventional or ―first-

generation‖ road funds were often unsuccessful in securing stable and reliable funding. The IMF

and many Finance Ministries also opposed this approach as it earmarked revenues unrelated to

road use.

Many countries have since established ―second generation‖ road funds (ADB 2003). These funds

operate under a ―user-pay‖ model, collecting fees through a two-part tariff consisting primarily

of an access fee (vehicle license fees and a supplementary heavy vehicle fee) and a user fee (a

fuel levy, international transit fees, and fines for overloading). To ensure an efficient use of re-

sources, ―second generation‖ road funds are sometimes created at an arm‘s length from govern-

ment, with a public-private board managing the fund.

By providing long-term sustainable funding of road maintenance, road maintenance funds can

increase government‘s ability to pursue performance-based road maintenance contracts. Unlike

performance-based contracts for capital works, performance-based maintenance contracts require

governments to make payments to contractors on a regular basis. Road maintenance funds bring

assurance to contractors that governments will meet contractual commitments to pay by ensuring

a sustainable source of funding that is independent of Government‘s other fiscal constraints and

obligations.

B.3. Targeting

The public good characteristics of roads make it difficult to target road subsidies to specifically

benefit any particular group of beneficiaries. As long as road use is un-rivaled, excluding users

would decrease economic welfare. Where road uses is rivaled (roads are congested), an OBA

scheme could consist of a toll road, where the co-payment (toll) varies by income. No examples

were found in developing countries in the sample reviewed.

That OBA road projects do not tend to specifically target the poor is not to suggest that the poor

do not benefit significantly from these projects. In the Chad projects, for example, upgrading the

national road network was selected because it would benefit poor rural communities more than

upgrading the local roads used by these communities (Hartwig et al, 2005). However, all other

users of the national network would have also benefited from the project.

B.4. Performance-risk

Under OBA roads contracts, the road agency specifies performance standards that the contractor

is required to meet when delivering maintenance services. Payments are generally based on

whether the contractor manages to comply with the performance standards, and not on the

amount of works and services executed. For example, the contractor is not paid for the number of

potholes he has patched, but for the output of his work: no pothole remaining open (or 100 per-

cent patched). Failure to comply with the performance indicators or to promptly rectify deficien-

83

cies adversely affects the contractor's payment through a series of clearly defined penalties. The

choice and application of technology and the pursuit of innovative materials, processes and man-

agement are up to the contractor, rather than being specified by the agency.

When these criteria are upheld, the contractor bears much of the risk for failure of their manage-

ment and innovation. Such failures can include errors in predicting deterioration of contracted

assets, determining appropriate design, specifications and materials, and planning needed main-

tenance interventions55

. The contractor also has the opportunities to increase his margins where

improved efficiencies and effectiveness of design, process, technology or management are able

to reduce the cost of achieving the specified performance standards.

Maintenance

Performance-based contracts for maintenance typically specify performance standards, also

called ―service quality outputs,‖ that the contractors must meet to get paid. The contractor‘s per-

formance is then measured against these outputs. Performance standards vary from contract to

contract and from country to country (table 7).

Table 7: Performance Indicators for Transport Projects

Contracts Performance indicators

CREMA (examples: Argenti-

na, Brazil)

Potholes, cracking and rutting, condition of shoulders, culverts and

drains; roadside environment, guardrails, and vertical and horizontal

signs

Chad, Tanzania, Madagascar,

Cape Verde

Passability (the road must be open), average speed attainable, user

comfort (often measured by an ―International Roughness Index‖),

durability (a measure of the long-term sustainability of the road)

South Africa‘s Routine Road

Maintenance Project

Clean and visible road signs, grass cutting

There are a variety of ways that road contracts have linked payment to performance:

Advance payment: For instance, in Argentina this was 20 percent and in Ser-

bia/Montenegro, 10 percent

Fixed monthly payment: In Argentina, the contractor is paid in terms of $/month/km; and

micro-enterprise contractors receive a fixed monthly fee in equal installments

Penalties for non-compliance are deducted from monthly payments. For instance, in Argen-

tina micro-enterprises receive penalties on a scale of five to ten percent or using ―deme-

rit‖ points.

There will generally be fewer—and simpler—performance standards for routine maintenance by

micro-enterprises than in contracts performed by ―traditional‖ contractors. Very few co-op mi-

55 TN-27

84

cro-enterprises have been terminated due to non-compliance. There tends to be strong incentives

to comply because of the need to be paid on time as they do not have capital to survive an ex-

tended period of time.

Rehabilitation

In rehabilitation and maintenance contracts in Argentina and Brazil, the contract specifies the

sections of the road that need rehabilitation and the ―minimum solution required to ensure a posi-

tive net present value for the investment‖. The contractor is then free to propose any rehabilita-

tion solution above the ―minimum solution‖ (Liautaud 2001). The rehabilitation solution pro-

posed by the contractor is then used as the contracted ―output‖ standard. Performance indicators

for rehabilitation normally include that rehabilitation works must (1) meet or exceed the mini-

mum thickness of overlay, and (2) not exceed the maximum level of roughness, rut depth, crack-

ing or raveling (Liautaud 2001).

A different approach was taken in the Chad pilot. Rather than requiring rehabilitation for the full

length of the road before maintenance began, and setting separate performance standards for that

period, the Chad contract simply set performance standards and a timetable for the contractor to

reach those standards. The contractor‘s obligations to bring the road up to standard increased

gradually (for instance, by the twelfth month, 50 percent of the roads had to meet the set stan-

dard). A similar approach was taken in the pilots in Tanzania, Cape Verde, and Madagascar, and

the subsequent performance-based contracts in Chad.

B.5. Private sector capital and expertise

For the performance-based projects reviewed, services were contracted to private firms. The

types of private firm varied by project, including:

Local firm (example: Argentina pilot)

International firm (examples: Chad pilot, and Serbia and Montenegro, where international

firm hired local staff to execute works and administer contract)

Single owner micro-enterprise (examples: Guatemala, Peru)

Cooperative micro-enterprises (examples: Colombia, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Honduras,

Ecuador, Bolivia, South Africa)

Many of the maintenance contracts reviewed were contracted to micro-enterprises. Micro-

enterprises need considerable training and support—it takes about a year for the micro-enterprise

to be up and running. And when local contractors are involved, there is often a partnership ap-

proach between the World Bank, the Roads Department, and local contractors, since the gov-

ernment and local contractors need to up-skill and adjust to this new approach.

Another innovative approach that exhibits OBA characteristics is the annuity road contract ar-

rangement being implemented throughout India. The India Roads Annuity Project involves a

performance-based contract to build and maintain a road (box 11).

85

Box 11: Annuity Concessions in India

Transport sector spending in India has been declining steadily over the years and there is a severe shortage of

public funds available for road construction and maintenance. To address this problem, private sector partici-

pation has been introduced by allowing private operators to collect tolls on public and private roads. The Na-

tional Highways Authority of India (NHAI) developed the Annuity Concession model for roads where reve-

nue from tolling is uncertain or insufficient to attract BOT operators. Approximately 8 percent of the length

of roadways subject to NHDP funding has been commissioned using the Annuity Concession model.

In Annuity Concessions, the private operator is remunerated via a fixed, periodic annuity payment from

NHAI and is responsible for constructing the road and also operating and maintaining the road for a fixed

period. The annuity payment will be determined by the Government based on the total cost of the project, the

likely annual maintenance expenses, contract period, the prevailing interest rate, amongst other criteria. This

payment only begins when construction has been completed to specified quality standards.

The annuity model rewards early completion and provides the private operator with a built-in incentive to

ensure that the road is constructed in a way which minimizes long term operation and maintenance costs

while meeting quality standards. The focus on performance has reduced the cost of monitoring required of

Government during the construction period and has resulted in construction costs that are on average 12 to 35

percent lower than NHAI‘s estimates. The Annuity Concession model is now a widely employed form of PPP

in India and has been particularly successful at attracting domestic private investors. By April 2007, 24

projects, totalling 1,340 Km, are being implemented on an annuity basis.

Sources: Booth (2006) and http://india.gov.in/sectors/transport/public_private.php

B.6. Monitoring

The sub-sections above describe in detail the outputs that are normally designated for OBA

projects in the roads sector: conditions of the road and road shoulder, for example the number of

potholes for a given distance of road monitored; passability and average speed attainable on the

road; visibility of road signs, etc. The indicators together provide a picture of the usability of

the road, and thus demonstrate the degree of improved access provided for intended users. In

this sub-section, we describe the processes, lessons and challenges of monitoring output provi-

sion in OBA schemes in the ICT sector.

A range of schemes are used for monitoring and evaluating performance-based road contracts:

self-monitoring; government; and, independent consultant (used especially when a road agency

is short-staffed or might need extra support for innovative contracting mechanisms). Often,

projects use a combination of these mechanisms. For example:

CREMA: Monthly onsite inspections are conducted by government engineers. In-

spections are normally carried out on a sample basis, the minimum length to be in-

spected weekly representing 5% of the total length of the contracted network (or 10%

if the inspection is for the purpose of establishing payment certificates). The mini-

mum elementary length of inspection is 2 km. The Contractor is also required to

make his own inspection on a daily basis, and to report any abnormality to the Engi-

neer (such as traffic overloading) that may have an impact on the contract or on the

processes by which the maintenance works are carried out. Likewise, accidents attri-

butable to users are to be reported, especially when they involve damages to the infra-

structure itself.

86

Chad: First, the contractor performs self-monitoring, submitting a report to the gov-

ernment with each monthly invoice. Second, a consultant verifies the self-monitoring

reports through monthly inspections. (The government appointed SADEG, an engi-

neering consulting firm in Cameroon, to this monitoring role.) If the contractor fails

to comply with any of the service criteria in any one month, its fee is reduced. If it

fails repeatedly to comply, its contract can be suspended.

Monitoring and evaluation can also involve road users. For example, in some CREMA con-

tracts, representatives of the user community periodically are allowed to participate in inspec-

tions.

87

C. Energy

Although OBA got a later start in the energy sector than in ICT and roads, the sector has gained

much ground. OBA has been most prevalent in rural energy. In fact, OBA is becoming one of

the main tools used for expanding off-grid access where ―outputs‖ are often defined as the in-

stallation of a functioning off-grid unit, such as solar home systems (SHS). OBA is also be-

ing used in the case of grid and mini-grid schemes, where ―outputs‖ are usually defined as

working connections to the network, although as a proportion of total grid and mini-grid

schemes, OBA has yet to make as strong a mark. But the creation and expansion of rural energy

funds to increase access in rural areas may be a platform from which to scale-up and mainstream

OBA in the energy sector. Lessons can also be used to expand the role of OBA in urban energy.

C.1. Universe of OBA in Energy

Traditionally, expansion of energy access in many developing countries has involved public

utilities preparing technical feasibility studies for conventional grid extension, and then procur-

ing equipment and works. Customers have to pay high connection fees and internal installation

costs. This approach has often failed because of public utilities‘ lack of financial capacity, ineffi-

ciency of providers that leads to increased costs, and customers‘ limited ability to pay.

OBA is one approach being implemented in the energy sector to improve on access and targeting

for the poor. In the WBG, 27 OBA schemes in the energy sector have been identified. Figure 15

presents the regional breakdown of WBG OBA energy projects by number of projects and by

total size of OBA subsidy.

Figure 15: Distribution of WBG OBA Energy Projects

Several additional schemes have been identified outside of the World Bank, among them a num-

ber of projects funded by the Dutch Directorate-General of Development Cooperation (DGIS)

through the Energizing Africa Initiative. This initiative has provided funding for 24 projects ex-

pected to provide energy, mostly through off-grid solutions, to over 5 million poor beneficiaries

in Africa.

AFR30%

EAP21%

ECA5%

LCR31%

SAR13%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in EnergyTotal: US$193 mn

AFR26%

EAP22%

ECA11%

LCR22%

SAR19%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in EnergyTotal: 27 projects

88

OBA-type arrangements are most common in the case of rural energy. Some of the reasons for

this include:

rural electrification rates are below urban electrification rates, hence a greater relative

need for expanded access exists in rural areas;

costs of expansion are greater in rural areas and the need for subsidies greater than in ur-

ban areas where providers have relatively greater incentives for expansion;

rural energy schemes allow for new entrants and greater competition, hence potential pri-

vate sector participation;

many urban infrastructure access schemes can become complicated by the issue of illegal

settlements, land titles and other related issues which are politically sensitive and there-

fore may lead to a reluctance to target these areas with subsidies; and,

the characteristics of rural off-grid technologies are well suited for one-off subsidy design,

as the service provision is provided by individual systems with high upfront costs and

relatively low operations and maintenance requirements..

The review of OBA in energy is segmented into off-grid, mini-grid and grid-based components.

Off-grid systems

The use of output based subsidies in the energy sector is most widespread in the case of individ-

ual systems for rural electrification. The predominant technology used for individual systems in

off-grid projects is photo-voltaic (PV), mainly solar home systems (SHS) (Terrado 2008). Over

15 SHS OBA projects alone have been identified. Other available technologies to power indi-

vidual systems include (but are not limited to) wind, pico-hydro, battery and biogas. The ―out-

puts‖ on which subsidies are disbursed usually include the installation of a functioning off-grid

unit, i.e. SHS.

There are two main business models that are currently being used to deliver/distribute SHS in

rural areas, and OBA has been used in most of these cases to increase affordability and hence

improve access. The choice of a business model depends on existing government policy and reg-

ulatory capacity, availability of potential suppliers/service providers, user affordability, and the

availability of credit/access to finance, to name a few criteria.

a) Dealer model: Under this model, consumers own the stand-alone systems, and private

dealers sell systems on cash or credit basis in the open market56

. The customer is respon-

sible for maintenance following the warranty period provided by the deal-

ers/manufacturers. Dealers could be private companies or NGOs. The dealer model is the

relatively easier model to launch, requiring the accreditation of several participating deal-

ers and establishment of a microfinance support system, as needed (Terrado 2008). Some

dealers themselves extend credit to purchasers of PV systems (―the dealer credit model‖).

In either case, the OBA subsidy is generally used to buy down the capital cost and is paid

56Renewable Energy Toolkit website.

89

once installation is verified. See box 12 on Bangladesh Rural Electrification and Renew-

able Energy Development Project.

b) Fee-for-service model: Under this model, public or private organizations retain owner-

ship of the systems but provide electricity services for a fee. This includes the leasing or

hire-purchase model and Energy Service Company (ESCO) model. Under a concession

model, an ESCO is usually selected by a competitive process and given the exclusive ob-

ligation to provide electricity services in a defined service area. The OBA subsidy is gen-

erally used to buy down the capital cost and make the monthly payment in line with the

affordability of the users.

In the dealer model, OBA subsidies are one-off, whereas in the fee-for service model, the OBA

subsidy can have both a one-off component and an ongoing component.

Box 12: Bangladesh -- Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy Development Project (2002-

2009)

The Bangladesh RERED was launched in 2002 with the objective to increase access to electricity in rural

areas. The SHS component, financed by a GEF grant in amount of $8.2 million for capital cost buy-down,

was implemented as an OBA. The SHSs are supplied and serviced by private companies in partnership with

microfinance institutions (MFI) and NGOs. IDCOL, the service provider, administers a credit program that

enables participating NGOs and MFI to obtain refinance for loans made to households for purchase of SHS.

The GEF grants are contingent on actual consumer installation of systems, and are drawn and disbursed by

IDCOL against claims made by MFIs and suppliers on prescribed documentation and evidence that solar sys-

tems have been installed and accepted. The cost of the SHS system (on average $500) is met by a GEF grant

of about $40-$50 per system, customer‘s down payment, and a microfiance loan covering the balance.

Results: The project successfully installed its target of 50,000 SHSs by September 2005, three years ahead of

schedule and $2.0 million below estimated project cost. Following the success, IDCOL has received funding from

KfW, GTZ, Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Islamic Development Bank (IDB) to fund a total of approx-

imately 500,000 SHSs. As of March 2008, over 285,000 SHSs have been installed. As of June 2009, World Bank

is considering additional $91 million credit under RERED Phase II with a potential $7 million grant funding from

GPOBA to fund a total of 440,000 SHS.

References – Concept note for GPOBA funding of RERED project, April 2009, Table 2, p.3.

A third model that is starting to emerge is a hybrid between the dealer model and the fee-for ser-

vice model, and is known as the ―medium-term service contract‖ (MSC). The MSC is a new

model for PV market development that balances providers‘ wish to minimize risk exposure with

the government‘s desire to maximize control. In all service areas, exclusive access to project

subsidies ends three to four years after installation, at which time users and suppliers may ―grad-

uate‖ to open competition. The MSC design for the contracts between government and service

provider goes well beyond the typical connection (and sometimes service) targets of comparable

energy projects, by disbursing a portion of subsidies against activities promoting market devel-

opment on the local micro-level in each area –to ensure long term sustainability of service and

market growth. IDA‘s Bolivia IDTR is an example of such a scheme.

90

Mini-grid Systems

The use of OBA schemes for expanding rural electrification through mini-grids has been limited

– about 5 projects have been identified. Mini-grids involve a centrally located generating system

that serves tens or hundreds of users. A mini-grid is an attractive option when customers are con-

centrated enough to be economically interconnected, but are not feasibly connected to the main

grid. Most of the projects identified involve mini-hydro or diesel. The ―output‖ on which subsi-

dies are disbursed in mini-grid systems are diverse, and can range from construction milestones

to installed capacity to connection of new customers. Most projects identified include a mix of

these outputs, but most rely on one-off subsidies for access. In terms of market model, public-

private partnerships in the form of concession contracts are the most common. Under conces-

sions, the service provider has exclusive rights to generate, distribute and sell electricity in the

concession area.

Grid-based systems

OBA is being used in several instances to expand access to the urban and peri-urban poor

through grid-based extensions. For example, the Armenia Heating and Gas project provides heat-

ing solutions to eligible households in multi-apartment buildings. The project funds both indi-

vidual gas heater solutions for apartments and building level gas boiler solutions that connect

several apartments. As of December 2008, over 50% of the target households (2,738) have re-

ceived heating solutions that have been independently verified. A slum electrification scheme for

Mumbai is under implementation. GPOBA will pay a portion of the slum dwellers‘ costs to li-

censed contractors for installing new or upgraded electricity connections from the meter to the

house and for internal wiring using an OBA approach. Reliance Energy (the privately-owned

local distribution company) will carry out upstream investment to improve supply to the slum as

part of the project.

The ―output‖ on which subsidies are typically disbursed in the case of the rural grid-based

schemes are usually verified working connections. More specialized output indicators are added

wherever possible to reflect the project‘s main objectives. For example, in the GPOBA/IDA

EAREP II project in Ethiopia, a portion of the grant is disbursed after verification that house-

holds receive two energy-saving compact fluorescent lamps.

In addition to one-off subsidies, transitional and ongoing output-based subsidies have also

been used in grid based schemes. The Pamir Private Power Project in Tajikistan uses a combi-

nation of both transitional and ongoing consumption subsidies to ensure that tariffs remain af-

fordable for the 28,000 households in Gorno-Badakshan region. The Pamir social protection

scheme uses a very low lifeline block tariff aimed at ensuring that the poorest can afford a mi-

nimal (lifeline) amount of electricity, and for consumption over the lifeline amount, the tariff

gradually rises to full cost levels. In contrast, the Philippines Non-Grid Power Supply project

(SPUG) uses ongoing output based subsidies to improve electricity supply in remote areas. The

ongoing subsidies ($0.028 per kWh for the first pilot) are paid on the basis of the energy supplied

to the rural energy distribution cooperatives (not on the basis of the electricity produced) by the

competitively selected private generators. The first SPUG transaction, currently under construc-

91

tion and expected to be fully operational by the end of 2009, will improve electricity service for

nearly 60,000 households and result in $7.0 million subsidy savings in the first year of operation.

C.2. Funding

The major sources of funding for output-based energy projects are international and bilateral do-

nors, government co-financing, user contributions and private sector investment. The level of

funding from each of these sources depends on project specific factors which include location of

the project, technology used, users' ability to pay, and local credit markets, among others.

Mini-grid projects are highly capital intensive and are typically funded by the govern-

ment and/or donors. Grid-based projects vary: grid intensification in urban areas is less

capital intensive than grid extension in peri-urban or rural areas. In the case of the Ethi-

opia EAREP II, 90% of the total project cost of $203 million was funded by various do-

nors including IDA, which provided $130 million credit and the Ethiopian Government

through the public utility EEPCo ($44.4 million). The remaining 10% is expected to

come from user payments.

In the case of off-grid projects, donors such as IDA and GEF provided initial funding for

subsidizing these technologies in order to make them more competitive and commercially

viable. GEF funding is also provided for the critical business and market development ac-

tivities such as feasibility studies, consumer awareness, credit delivery, etc. Private sector

financing is also leveraged – see discussion below.

Many projects such as Guatemala PER and Senegal PPER have dedicated Rural Electri-

fication Funds (REF) to ensure that the rural electrification goals are met without com-

peting with other social and infrastructure needs. In the case of Guatemala PER, the rural

electrification fund raised $100 million through the sale of the distribution companies to

private operators and $50 million from sale of government bonds (Harris, June 2002, p.2).

Additional funding of $180 million was being sought from other donors. These REFs are

also financed through other sources such as a surcharge on all existing users as in the case

of Philippines SPUG project.

C.3. Targeting

Most OBA energy projects use a blend of geographic targeting (selecting poorer locations where

subsidies should be channeled) and self-selection targeting (subsidizes outputs which the non-

poor are less likely to use).

Off-grid projects, initially primarily used geographic targeting.. But the traditional ap-

proach to subsidy was sometimes regressive in that it typically used constant relative sub-

sidies ($ per Wp) which penalized the poor who would end up paying relatively higher li-

fecycle costs due to size-independent fixed costs (Reiche et al. 2006, p. 31). Later

projects have addressed this issue by using self selection targeting. For example in the

Bolivia Decentralized Infrastructure for Rural Transformation (IDTR), although the abso-

lute subsidy per system is constant, this implies that the subsidy per Wp increases the

smaller the system, which the poor are more likely to use. As of February 2009, 6,154 in-

92

dividual systems have been installed under IDTR, benefiting over 30,000 people in re-

mote rural areas of Bolivia. In addition, 87 social systems have been installed in schools

and clinics

The poorest households, who are unable to afford the subsidized SHS, can benefit from

the electrification of rural schools and health clinics as well as the multiplier effects ex-

pected from rural productive uses. And the GPOBA replication of IDTR also plans to in-

troduce low end ―pico-PV‖ solutions specifically targeted to the poorest. These systems

will provide basic lighting, ICT, and dry cell charging for less than $100 per household.

The grid-based rural electrification project in Guatemala involves two distribution com-

panies that were sold to a private operator, the proceeds of which were used to fund an

OBA scheme based on geographic targeting. Households that live more than 200 meters

from the existing network receive the connection subsidy, based on the assumption that

those households are more likely to be poor. Although the coverage results have been

good (over 80% of the initially targeted population has been connected) there have been

some problems with the implementation of the scheme.

A delayed phase-in of subsidies can be used as a form self-selection targeting, since

households that can afford an unsubsidized connection fee will connect to a service when

the service is initially available, if the benefits of connecting outweigh the cost. This me-

chanism is being piloted in an IDA/GPOBA-funded energy project in Ethiopia that subsi-

dizes grid connection in rural areas.

Further, it is not just the connection costs but the costs of internal wiring can be a significant

hurdle and could lead to low uptake. To overcome this affordability barrier, projects such as Se-

negal PPER include a ―payment facility‖ for spreading out the capital costs of connection, inter-

nal wiring, and efficient fluorescent lamps—making these far more affordable for even the poor-

est. How this will work is yet to be seen as the project has not yet begun to deliver outputs.

C.4. Performance-risk

The degree of performance risk shifted to the service provider largely depends on the ability of

potential service providers to bear the performance risk and access short-term finance prior to the

disbursement of output-based subsidies. The output-based performance risk, alongside other re-

lated performance risks, is described below for the three sub-sectors.

Off-grid

Outputs in off-grid energy projects are mostly defined as the installation of the off-grid technolo-

gy to provide electrification: for example, SHS, bio-gas digesters, etc. The most common prac-

tice has been to pay the entire subsidy on successful verification of eligible installation irrespec-

tive of the service delivery model. There are not many instances where subsidy disbursements

are linked to service delivery and maintenance. Current exceptions include the Bolivia IDTR and

the Ghana SHS projects recently under implementation.

93

In Bolivia, 3% of the subsidies are paid after each of the three yearly service visits and

the final 5% are paid at the end of the contract agreement (3-year medium term service

contract) and upon compliance with all obligations. Note that the service contracts were

originally set at four years, but after the pre-bidding road shows, the market clearly indi-

cated that a 4-year contract would attract fewer bidders.

In Ghana, 80% is paid after installation; 5% against completion of maintenance services

at the end of Years 1 and 2; and 10% final payment against one battery replacement and

satisfactory maintenance services at the end of Year 3.

In the case of the dealer cash sales model, the dealer takes the technical risk for the equipment

until warranty expires – and in the case of Ghana, also for the maintenance services for the first

three years. In the case where the dealer provides credit, the dealer takes on additional credit risk

as well. Lessons from early experience suggest that credit risk is a serious concern of both finan-

ciers and dealers and makes credit sales particularly challenging. Dealers are reluctant to extend

credit to rural customers with little credit history, and credit administration and collections may

be costly. Dealer-extended credit was tried early on in the Sri Lanka project but soon rejected.

Dealers found collections too difficult and time consuming (Issue Note of the REToolkit, June

2008, p.137). As a result, they formed partnerships with microfinance organizations for extend-

ing consumer credit. Similarly, the IDA line of credit extended to the rural banks in Ghana is ex-

pected to help mitigate some of the access to finance/credit constraints faced by dealers and/or

purchasers of SHS.

The performance risks are higher for the ESCO by virtue of the concession model – not only as a

consequence of the OBA design. The service provider takes on commercial, technical and in-

vestment risk as he gets paid for all the investments over time from the monthly fees paid by us-

ers. The service provider collects monthly payments from its customers and provides mainten-

ance service as needed. In some cases, some of this monthly payment relates to the subsidy ―buy

down‖ of the capital costs. For example, in the South African Concession for Rural Electrifica-

tion project, the ongoing subsidy for free basic electricity for grid-connected households equiva-

lent to 50 kWh per month was introduced to encourage electricity consumption among the grid

connected rural households, while SHS users in the concession areas received an equivalent

monthly subsidy of R40, reducing the fee charged for maintaining and servicing the system to R

20 (from R 60) per month for each household. However, not all municipalities within a conces-

sion honored the ongoing SHS subsidy, creating distortions between consumers (Lemaire 2007,

p. 6).

Grid and Mini-grid

Outputs in grid and mini-grid OBA schemes are usually working connections to the network, but

may involve a wider variety of milestones. Upfront capital expenditures as a percentage of total

costs are very high in the case of mini-grids and the providers are typically small. Therefore, a

larger fraction of the subsidy has to be paid upfront to avoid increasing the financing costs and

hence the subsidy levels. In the case of Nicaragua offgrid rural electrification project (PERZA),

up to 70% of the output-based subsidies are disbursed early on (against installation of turbines

and grid) while only a smaller subsidy fraction (20-30%) is disbursed against new connections

and service quality (Reiche et al, 2006, p.26). As of December 2008, 2,426 households have

94

been successfully connected to three mini-grids under the PERZA project, benefiting over

12,000 people. Additionally, the PERZA project had also funded the installation of 6,863 solar

home systems reaching over 34,000 beneficiaries.

The performance risk taken by service providers related to the OBA element of grid-based elec-

trification schemes varies. In some cases, the OBA performance risk relates to payment of sub-

sidy after the connection is fully installed and working as verified by an independent agent. In

the case where providers have long-term contracts, performance risk also relates to longer-term

service provision – although this is not necessarily specifically related to the OBA scheme.

In the case of the Senegal Rural Electrification Priority project, the average cost of connection is

estimated at $725 and the average subsidy at around $286. The difference, accounting for 60%

of the project costs or a total of $10 million, is entirely borne by the competitively selected pri-

vate operator, ONE of Morocco. ONE is undertaking significant investment and performance

risks as these investments will be recovered by monthly payments over the concession term of 25

years. Further, the subsidy is disbursed in tranches with the final 40% made only after rural elec-

trification agency has verified the number of customers connected and certified that minimum

technical standards as stipulated in the concession have been met (see box 14 below for more

details).

In contrast, the $26 million investments under the Pamir Private Power Project was made to re-

store reliable electricity supply to 250,000 poor and isolated residents of Tajikistan‘s Gorno-

Badakshan region. Right from the start, it was clear that the project was not feasible on a com-

mercial basis. As mentioned above, the project uses a combination of both transitional and ongo-

ing consumption subsidies to ensure that tariffs paid by households remain affordable. The sub-

sidies (difference between full cost and subsidized tariff) are paid only upon delivery of the elec-

tricity service.

C.5. Private sector capital and expertise

Dealers for off-grid energy schemes are typically small and medium operators with limited ca-

pacity to take credit risk for extending loans to rural households and also lack experience in cre-

dit-facility management. Yet, small scale private providers are taking risks in OBA schemes. For

example, in Sri Lanka RERED, three SHS dealers have each made investments estimated at

$1.0-$1.5 million to develop the systems, physical infrastructure and human resources for a

commercial distribution network of 50 sales and service outlets with motivated sales forces,

trained technicians, and good product and brand awareness.57

Although the amounts are small in

absolute terms, from the perspective of the small private dealers, the relative risks are substantial.

This effort seems to be paying off. By June 2008, some 120,000 households were using SHSs in

Sri Lanka (Terrado, p.5). In Bangladesh, sales of SHS systems are financed by customer‘s initial

contribution (about 15 percent), a GEF grant and the credit purchase loan of which 80 percent is

refinanced by IDCOL. Part of the project success is owed to helping NGO/MFI operators in rural

Bangladesh to operate as SHS vendors. In parallel, assistance during the start-up phase (approx-

57 Project Appraisal Document. 2002. Sri Lanka Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy Development Project. World Bank.

Available at:

http://web.worldbank.org/external/projects/main?pagePK=64283627&piPK=73230&theSitePK=40941&menuPK=228424&Proj

ectid=P076702

95

imately January to December 2002) enabled the POs to quickly gain proficiency in the SHS

business.

In the case of ESCOs, it can be difficult to obtain commercial loans on reasonable terms as these

projects require large upfront investments but the returns are reaped in the longer term. Expe-

rience to date indicates that pre-financing until output delivery is funded by the ESCOs (by defi-

nition of OBA), but longer-term ESCO financing has come from either government or multila-

teral sources (Issue Note of the REtoolkit, June 2008). In both Argentina (box 13) and South

Africa, the ESCO concessions received financing from provincial and federal government

sources.

Box 13: The ESCO Model: Argentina PERMER Concession

The ESCO model demonstrates how OBA can mobilize private sector expertise to provide services to poor

households they might not otherwise reach. In the case of Argentina PERMER, concessions were awarded

competitively for a period of 15 years. Concessionaires are required to provide electricity services to rural

off-grid customers anywhere in the province for a period of 15 years, upon request. Customers who cannot be

reached by the grid are served with SHS, with GEF grants subsidizing these installations. The concessionaire

is responsible for all necessary maintenance, repairs or replacement of components. They are also responsible

for billing, collection and claim handling. Note that the fees/tariffs are reviewed/ renegotiated by the provin-

cial government and provincial utility regulatory agency every 2 years. As of 2008, the Argentina PERMER

had installed 6500 households with individual SHS (50 to 400Wp), 1,800 public facilities with solar PV sys-

tems, and installed 115 wind home systems.

Source: Reiche et al. WorldPower (2000); and Issue Note of the REToolkit (June 2008).

Grid connection projects leverage private capital mainly by working with private concessionaires.

Leveraging can mean that private companies invest money complementary to OBA subsidies and

user contributions. Such investments are only viable if tariffs for poor beneficiaries are sufficient

to cover ongoing costs and to pay back investments. Additionally OBA can help to mobilize up-

stream infrastructure by increasing the pool of customers being serviced. A PPER program in

Senegal uses two-stage ICB to select the concessionaire who offers to provide the most connec-

tions for a predetermined subsidy (box 14).

96

Box 14: Senegal Rural Electrification Priority Programs (PPER)

The Government of Senegal, with assistance from the World Bank, adopted the Rural Electrification Priority

Program (PPER) in 2003. PPER combines privately operated concessions with output-based subsidies to le-

verage private financial resources and overcome the barrier of high up-front connection costs respectively.

Under the PPER, the country was divided into 13 (updated from the original 18) concessions.

The bidding process for the first concession, Dagana-Podor, was launched successfully in June 2006, with

eight firms (local, regional, and international) participating in the prequalification and two final bids, ONE

from Morocco and a consortium of EDF, Total, and Senegal‘s CSI-Matforce. The winning bidder, ONE, has

proposed to more than double the minimum number of connections set in the tender—from 8,500 to 21,800 –

by bringing in $9.6 million in private financing. This constitutes about 60 percent of the total financing,

compared to the 20 percent minimum private financing requirement under the tender. The average cost for a

connection is estimated at $725 and the average subsidy at around $286. The winning bidder has proposed to

increase both the overall number of connections and the proportion of connections using renewables, which

means the benefits of both the IDA and the GEF subsidies will be maximized. IFC is expected to decide on a

potential equity investment (up to 19.99%) in the project company, Comasel de Saint Louis S.A., in June

2009. If the investment gets approved by the IFC board, it would be the IFC's first venture in rural electrifica-

tion.

Traditionally private utilities have had little incentive to connect poor households in remote areas as their

concession contracts limit their service obligation to HHs located a relatively short distance from the grid.

The Senegal PPER concession explicitly addresses this by requiring the concessionaire to make a minimum

number of connections beyond 20 kilometers from the grid.

The Dagana-Podor concession with ONE was officially signed in June 2008. The concession has not reported any outputs yet.

Sources: De Gouvello and Kumar (2007) and IFC website

C.6. Monitoring

The sub-sections above describe in detail the outputs that are normally designated for OBA

projects in the energy sector, such as the installation (and sometime maintenance of) solar home

systems or solar lanterns, and in the case of grid-based technology, working connections to the

energy network. In some cases ―outputs‖ include the provision of service over a period of

months to ensure greater sustainability and demand. In this sub-section, we describe the

processes, lessons and challenges of monitoring output provision in OBA schemes in the ICT

sector.

Some examples of monitoring systems in OBA schemes follow:

In the case of the IDA-financed Bangladesh Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy De-

velopment off-grid project, Infrastructure Development Company Limited (IDCOL), the

implementing agency, is responsible for ensuring verification of installations by dealers

and to maintain a complete data base on all SHS installations. Local officials such as

school teachers are co-opted to undertake the initial checking of installations which is fol-

lowed up by inspections from a pool of inspectors and rechecking on a sample basis by

97

IDCOLs own staff. IDCOL is also supported by a technical group which handles certifi-

cation of equipment that is eligible to be used in the program.

In the case of Guatemala PER, the technical committee comprising of representatives

from both the Ministry of Energy and the concession companies hires independent super-

visors to verify that the connections made by the private distribution companies are eligi-

ble for reimbursement under the PER. The supervisors visit communities to check wheth-

er the new connections are outside the 200-meter zone and are in residential dwellings.

They report to Ministry of Energy, which sometimes performs additional checks. The

Ministry then submits a final report to the technical committee, which authorizes pay-

ment. As of May 2007, 189,383 connections have been completed and certified as opera-

tional compared with the target of 280,000 connections. Funding for the remaining con-

nections is uncertain with government‘s budgetary restrictions and delays in securing ex-

ternal funding.

For GPOBA projects, separate funding is provided to contract out verification of outputs

to independent agencies. These agencies conduct random audits of connections installed

and make sure they meet the standards specified in the contract. In some cases, the veri-

fication agent is part of a government agency.

What is clear is that full advantage of the monitoring and verification required for OBA schemes

is not being utilized. OBA is an opportunity for improved monitoring and evaluation, in particu-

lar for off-grid schemes where this can otherwise be very costly. In the two Bolivia off-grid

schemes, given that the providers and the verification agent are required to visit customers and

report on the systems, the project implementation unit will receive information on the function-

ing of the systems, usage, etc.

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D. Water

There are a limited number of OBA projects in the water sector, and only a handful in waste wa-

ter. OBA was originally set up as a PPP mechanism and the role of the private sector in formal

water supply has been limited – especially after the retreat of international private water compa-

nies from developing countries over the last decade. But given a concerted effort to test OBA

approaches in the water sector, including with public providers, as well as the emergence of an

increasing number of regional and local private providers, there are some initial lessons to be

shared.

D.1. Universe of OBA in Water

There are currently 32 OBA projects with World Bank participation in the water and sanitation

sectors: 23 are water supply schemes, 3 are sanitation schemes, and 6 are providing both water

and sanitation. There is one additional OBA scheme identified in the water sector outside of the

WBG. In terms of both volume and number of projects, about half are in AFR, partly because of

the concerted efforts of GPOBA to pilot projects in AFR (figure 16).

Figure 16: Distribution of WBG OBA Schemes in Water and Sanitation

The majority of projects identified involve one-off subsidies for access. The majority of projects

involve piped-water schemes, and access is usually defined as the delivery of working connec-

tions as demonstrated through billing or collections. One project under implementation and

another under design also involve waste water connections, and two projects involve on-site sa-

nitation facilities.

One project identified outside of the WBG for the Chilean urban water sector involves ongoing

life-line subsidies, and one closed IDA-funded project in Guinea, Second Water Supply Project,

involved transitional subsidies.

AFR55%

EAP13%

LCR26%

MENA5%

SAR1%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Water and Sanitation

Total: US$ 179 m

AFR38%

EAP22%

LCR22%

MENA9%

SAR9%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Water and Sanitation

Total: 32 projects

99

D.2. Funding

Of the 33 projects identified in the water and sanitation sectors together, 7 include OBA

subsidies funded by IDA and IBRD, for a total OBA subsidy funding for the water sector

of $101.9 million. These included small town schemes in Paraguay (Fourth Rural Water

Supply and Sanitation Project) and Cambodia (Water Access with Small Scale Provider,

prematurely closed) as well as a transitional OBA scheme in Guinea.

A total of 21 projects include GPOBA subsidy funding for a total subsidy funding of

$73.5 million. Some of the GPOBA-funded schemes are part of a larger IDA or IBRD in-

itiative (see box 15 on the Mozambique water project).

Co-financing was also provided in some cases by the government, the private sector (see

section on private sector participation), and in a few cases by the public sector utility, as

in the case of the National Water and Sewerage Corporation in Kampala.

A particularly innovative scheme in Honduras involves the setting up of an OBA Fund

targeting small and medium sized schemes including greenfield and brownfield projects

in peri-urban and rural areas of the country. Funding sources include a contribution by

central government of $1.0 million to provide ‗bridge financing‘ for subprojects being

implemented by public operators with little or no access to commercial credit. GPOBA

has provided $4 million in grant funding. Other funding will come from the private oper-

ators, user contributions by a mixture of in-kind contributions and up-front payments

(this varies depending on the type of project), through tariffs, standard sector contribu-

tions from the central government, and/or municipalities. In August 2008, the first sub-

project under the Honduran OBA facility was signed to implement a clean water project

for 16 poor neighborhoods in Tegucigalpa with a total population of over 47,000 ex-

pected to benefit.

In the case of the ongoing means-tested consumption subsidies in Chile‘s urban water

sector, the subsidy scheme is funded entirely from the central government‘s budget. The

subsidy scheme had a total cost of $33.6 million in the year 1998 and helped subsidize

the consumption of 450,000 households (Gomez-Lobo 2001).

100

Box 15: Mozambique Water: OBA and IDA

Access to water in urban areas, currently estimated at 37 percent, has significantly improved through two

consecutive national water projects funded by IDA: the National Water Development Project I (NWDP I)

and the National Water Development Project II (NWDPII). These projects represent a total IDA allocation of

about $126 million between 1999 and 2007. They have increased access to water in the five major cities of

Maputo, Beira, Nampula, Quelimane, and Pemba, strengthened sector institutions and the regulatory frame-

work, and successfully piloted the delegated management framework. This framework separates assets from

operations, contracts out operations management to private sector operators, and has oversight by a regulatory

body. The urban water strategy not only provides for increased coverage, it also aims to secure full cost re-

covery through tariffs for larger cities – but this will not include connection costs. IDA is currently imple-

menting an operation, the Water Services and Institutional Support Project (WASIS), which leverages funds

from the Millennium Development Corporation (MCC), the Africa Catalytic Growth Fund (ACGF), and

GPOBA to scale up this model.

The OBA component, Water Private Sector Contracts ($6 million funded by GPOBA), is targeted to poor

households (with expenditures equal to or below $1 per day) who cannot afford to pay connection costs

which currently are wholly funded by users and not recovered through the tariff. Connection fees range from

about $160 per connection to well over $240 per connection. While most middle and high income house-

holds, industries, and commercial establishments can afford such connection charges, it is often very difficult

for low income households. The output-based subsidy is funded by GPOBA and expected to encourage up-

take by poor households, and is therefore a critical component to achieve the desired outcomes of the IDA-

funded scheme.

The OBA grant was signed in April 2008 and became effective in July 2008. Competitive bidding for the four

northern cities is expected to be completed in the third quarter (Q3) of 2009. Several domestic and interna-

tional firms are prequalified. For Maputo, the private sector incumbent, AdM, is expected to start making

OBA connections in Q2 2009. The independent verification process is underway for Maputo.

D.3. Targeting

With a focus on access subsidies, OBA schemes in the water sector are inherently pro-poor since

the poor are the most likely to be un-connected to the supply network. However, other tradition-

al forms of targeting are also used to ensure more effective targeting. Almost all of the water

projects identified use geographic targeting as the primary mechanism. These water projects are

usually small scale and located in geographic areas where the poorest are concentrated and hence

there is little risk of including beneficiaries who are not considered low income. In addition, a

number of these projects use self selection and/ or means tested targeting, which in turn increases

their targeting effectiveness.

The OBA in Kampala-Water Connections for the Poor uses both geographic targeting

and self selection to provide access to piped water services to poor households living in

slum areas of Kampala. According to project preparation documents, the income level of

the target population is less than $1 per day per person. First outputs were delivered in

March 2009, and as of end April, almost 10,000 beneficiaries in the poorest areas of

Kampala have been reached (although connections not yet independently verified)

through 580 yard taps and three public water points (PWP).

The Manila Water Supply project uses a combination of geographic targeting and means

tested targeting. The project targets communities that are officially certified as ―indigent‖

101

as per standardized means proxy tests indicating a majority of households fall under the

national poverty line. The approximate per capita income of the target population is less

than $1 per day (box 16).

The Improved Rural Community Water in Andhra Pradesh (India) project successfully

combines the three major targeting mechanisms – geographic, means tested and self- se-

lection. The project aims to provide safe and affordable drinking water to about 12,500

households in 25 villages. These households purchase water in jerry cans from the com-

munity water distribution points. To target individual beneficiaries in the villages, the

project uses the government‘s ‗white ration card,‘ a system that entitles low-income indi-

viduals to obtain basic commodities (e.g., rice, flour) at a reduced price (Mandri-Perrott

2008). As of March 2009, water treatment plants have been installed and independently

verified in 16 villages serving over 7,200 households that are below poverty line.

Chile has been successfully using an individual means-tested water consumption subsidy

(mentioned earlier) since the early 1990s. Under the scheme, only means tested house-

holds (based on a scoring system implemented by the government) are eligible to the

lower priced initial consumption block (15 cubic meters a month). This scheme has re-

sulted in lower costs than the previous universal subsidy scheme and higher targeting ef-

ficiency (Gomez-Lobo 2001).

D.4. Performance-risk

As in other sectors, in the water sector the service provider under an OBA scheme bears the risk

of non-performance: not getting reimbursed for costs incurred unless an output is verified. Out-

puts in the sector for the most part are defined as working connections, often demonstrated

through billing or collections records. In most projects funded by GPOBA, a portion of the out-

put-based payment is with-held until several months of service delivery to enhance the sustaina-

bility of the scheme.

In the Vietnam Rural Water project involving the East Meets West Foundation, an inter-

national NGO, 80% of the subsidy is disbursed from GPOBA to EMW upon realization

of the connection and the remaining 20% after proof of six months of satisfactory service

provision. By February 2009, ten water schemes were operational with 2,726 verified

household connections.

In the Kenya Microfinance for Community Water Schemes project, the community water

associations are bearing performance risk as they will not get paid until evidence of out-

puts in the form or working connections, several months of service delivery, and in some

cases after demonstration of increased sales (box 18).

In the case of the Jakarta water project, outputs were both connections to the network and

three months of billed consumption, with a minimum average consumption of 360 liters

per day. The private operator Palyja is reimbursed on a sliding scale, depending on the

proportion of targeted connections actually implemented to incentivize the operator to go

beyond the ―low hanging fruit‖ (box 19).

Further, it is recommended that OBA water schemes being piloted should take place within a

more robust service contract to ensure quality service provision and to provide appropriate

102

checks and balances should problems arise – see box 16 below on the Manila Water Supply

project.

Box 16: Manila Water Supply Project

The objective of the project is to increase access to water services through individual household connections

to target low income communities in the Manila Metropolitan Region (MMR). The project is being imple-

mented by Manila Water Company (MWC), the private Philippine company which provides water supply and

sanitation services to approximately five million people in the East Zone of Metro Manila under a 25-year

concession that began in 1997. The concession has been operating successfully over a decade - remarkable

turnaround in service access (number of connections increased by over 100%) and reliability (24 hour availa-

bility increased from 26% to over 98% of customers), water loss reductions (by over 50%) and overall opera-

tional efficiency.

The OBA scheme is building on MWC‘s considerable experience of working with low income communities

through its flagship ―Tubig Para Sa Barangay (TPSB)‖ or ―Water for the Community‖ program. The pro-

gram, started in 1998, has provided access to over one million low income customers. MWC is investing

some $14 million in new water supply infrastructure in these areas, but the low income households cannot

afford the connection charges set by MWC and the Regulator, which currently total PhP 7,531.73 ($167).

Under the OBA scheme, households contribute PhP 1,620 ($36) towards the connection charge and GPOBA

provide a subsidy for the remainder (PhP 5,911.73 or $131). This unit subsidy is subject to annual indexation

as specified in the terms of the concession contract. In order to make the household contribution more afford-

able, MWC has proposed an installment scheme over 12 months. The GPOBA subsidy is paid directly to

MWC as a single payment, conditional on the independent verification of 6 months satisfactory service deli-

very. The grant agreement was signed in October 2007. As of December 2008, 5,611 water connections had

been independently verified for satisfactory service provision for three months but no subsidy payments have

been made as of April 2009 due to incomplete documentation submitted by MWC.

However, as with other sectors, but possibly more acutely in the water sector given the reliance

on small and local providers, NGOs and community organizations for service delivery, access to

finance is a binding constraint on the ability of service providers to pre-finance outputs. This

puts limitations on the performance risk that can be shifted to providers in these cases. See box

17 on the Water Supply in Uganda‘s Small Towns project currently under implementation.

103

Box 17: Phasing in Payments Due to Access-to-finance Constraints in Uganda’s Water Sector

In the GPOBA-funded Water Supply in Uganda‘s Small Towns scheme involving small local private opera-

tors, two different output-based disbursement profiles were used: in small towns where mainly extensions

from the existing system were required, a relatively ―pure‖ OBA is used whereby private operators will be

paid after connections and water service delivery. But in the green-field rural growth centers, output-based

payments are phased such that 60% of the subsidies are disbursed during construction. Only 40% of the sub-

sidies are disbursed with final connections and water delivery. It was estimated that the availability and cost

of financing until delivery of output, as well as the newness of the approach, would result in either very high

bids which the poor could not afford (since a portion of the costs would be borne through the tariff) or result

in no bids. It is expected that in subsequent batches, the output-based disbursement profile could be made

more aggressive in the rural growth centers, but this will have to await the results of output delivery in the

current pilot.

Ten initial lots have all been bid out resulting in at least 20% efficiency gains overall. Three out of ten towns

did not require subsidies. Contracts were signed in October 2008 and output delivery began in Q4 2008. As of

April 2009, 310 yard taps and two PWPs are operational serving over 6,000 beneficiaries. Independent verifi-

cation of outputs is underway.

D.5. Private sector capital and expertise

The leveraging of private capital in the water sector is limited by the tariff charged to the tar-

geted users. For example, in the Water Supply in Uganda‘s Small Towns case cited above, the

intention is to recoup 10-20% of the investments required for the scheme through the tariff. A

larger amount would make tariffs unaffordable to the very households the OBA was intended to

target. But in higher income countries, leveraging might be higher: for example, $10.5 million

is expected to be leveraged in Honduras and $14 million in Manila.

104

Box 18: Kenya Microfinance for Small Water Schemes

The Kenya Microfinance for Small Water Schemes Project innovatively uses output based aid subsidies to

leverage commercial finance for up to 21 small rural and peri urban piped water systems in the country.

Projects were selected from a wide pool that expressed interest through a district level awareness campaign

led by the Athi Water Services Board (regional asset holding government agency). To qualify for the private

micro-finance bank‘s loans and the OBA subsidies, community projects must pass through K-Rep Bank's

existing credit approval processes. The communities (organized into community associations) need to present

their loan applications with considerable detail. In order to assist this process, the GPOBA funded project has

provided up-front technical assistance to communities, with considerable support from the multi-donor Water

and Sanitation Program (WSP). Once the loan is approved, K-Rep Bank is responsible for loan (and thus

project) monitoring. The involvement of a private lender with funds at risk increases oversight during project

implementation and then ensures that systems are in place during operation, positively impacting the sustai-

nability of the sub-projects.

Individual sub-projects are financed through community equity (20%) and a loan provided by K-Rep Bank

(80%). If the sub-project meets the output targets – number of new connections and revenue collection – the

output based subsidy is released. The OBA subsidy covers 50% of the micro-finance loan. The remainder of

the loan is repaid through tariff revenue collection. The loan provided by K-Rep is priced on a commercial

basis and has a maximum tenor of 5 years. It is believed that the OBA subsidy provides a degree of comfort

to the bank, and hence collateral requirements were less strenuous than usual, and the tenor was extended to 5

years over the normal 1-2 years. To provide additional security, K-Rep has arranged a USAID DCA credit

guarantee for the life of the loan (see main text, Section 4).

A grant provided by the Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility (PPIAF) is being used to develop a

project development facility to assist communities in the preparation of loan applications. Further, funding

from the EU Water Facility is being used to increase the scale and scope of the project to a national level. As

of April 2009, construction is underway for eight of the 11 subprojects approved by K-Rep. One subproject

was completed and verified, and two sub-projects are about to be verified. The first verified subproject has

delivered 62 connections (24% over the output target) and the revenue from water sales was 27% more than

the target.

But OBA schemes do allow the mobilization of private sector expertise to poor areas that the

service provider might otherwise not have served. OBA schemes provide incentives for the ex-

tension of existing assets to make best use to serve the poor – assuming that the system has spare

production capacity. For example, in the Mozambique Water Private Sector Contracts (see box

15 above), the OBA contribution will reach poor households with relatively small amounts of

subsidy – approximately $12 per capita –by leveraging off of existing infrastructure assets such

as donor-funded water production and treatment facilities as well as new IDA/EIB investments

to extend the secondary and tertiary networks. Box 19 below provides an example of how a large

international private operator is extending its services to poor areas in Jakarta through an OBA

subsidy.

105

Box 19: Expansion of Water Services in Low-income Areas of Jakarta

The objective of the project is to increase piped-water access to poor urban and slum households in Jakarta

through the incumbent operator, PT Pam Lyonnaise Jaya (PALYJA). PALYJA, majority owned by interna-

tional water management group Suez, has a 25 year water supply concession contract for western Jakarta and

has been operational since 1997. The project uses output-based connection subsidies to connect low income

households that are located within larger areas that are already served (i.e. areas that are in the proximity of a

secondary main). The project is able to provide services to urban poor households that would not be served

due to their inability to afford the upfront connection charge. The OBA subsidy is successfully able to trans-

fer the performance risk to PALYJA by paying 75% of subsidy upon successful independent verification of

the connection. The remaining 25% is paid after three months of satisfactory service delivery. Construction

began in mid-April 2008. A total of 3,324 household connections have been made as of Feb 2009 but have

not been independently verified yet.

D.6. Monitoring

―Outputs‖ in the water sector mainly include functioning household, yard tap or kiosk connec-

tions to the network. In theory, the monitoring of outputs in the water sector is not dissimilar to

other sectors. But in practice, because the majority of water OBA schemes identified are funded

by GPOBA, and GPOBA tends to fund the hiring of independent verification agents, most water

projects identified involve independent verification engineers.

Key to successful monitoring to learn lessons for future scale-up, government entities should also

be involved. For example, in the Water Supply in Uganda‘s Small Towns project, the indepen-

dent verification agent reports to the Directorate for Water Development of the Ministry of Wa-

ter and Environment. But because of capacity issues in some cases, donor agencies may play a

larger role in projects involving small and local providers.

The Morocco Urban Water and Sanitation project provides a good example of a more elaborate

monitoring and verification system for an OBA scheme. It must be noted that Morocco is a

DAC3 country with significant capacity, and that the service providers in two of the three sub-

projects are major international players (box 20).

106

Box 20: Morocco Urban Water and Sanitation Project

The Kingdom of Morocco obtained a $7 million grant from GPOBA to demonstrate OBA mechanisms to

target sector funds and potential donor monies in support of the Government of Morocco‘s challenge to ex-

tend water supply & sewerage service in recently legalized informal settlements in peri-urban areas, as part of

King‘s National Initiative for Human Development. Two international private sector incumbents (Amendis in

Tangiers and Lydec in Casablanca), and a public sector incumbent (the Régie Autonome de Distribution

d‘Eau et d‘Électricité de Meknès) are the service providers in their respective municipalities.

There are two levels of monitoring for this OBA scheme. A quarterly monitoring report is to be provided by

each operator as part of their progress reports with information on: number of connections made; total num-

ber of beneficiary households; uptake ratio of beneficiary households in each eligible area; average monthly

consumption per beneficiary household; average expenditure on service by beneficiary households; and the

collection ratio for water bills and of connection fees.

A broader range of indicators are monitored on a yearly basis. Some are static indicators, some require regu-

lar monitoring. Examples include: average residential tariff for beneficiary households; project unit costs of

house connection operator and targeted area as per actual incurred expenditure; and, discrepancies with esti-

mated project costs. Additionally, service providers are encouraged to carrying out yearly service satisfaction

surveys on a representative sample of about 10% of final beneficiaries.

As of April 2009, a total of 2,895 water connections and 2,846 sewerage connections (a little over 25% of the

output targets) have been verified as delivered to pre-specification.

107

E. Health

OBA is part of a larger universe of results-based financing (RBF) in the social sectors (figure

17). As described in Section 2, RBF involves payments to a provider, payer (e.g., government

entity) or consumer when measurable actions are taken or defined performance targets are

achieved. While all OBA health contracts are RBF, not all RBF contracts are OBA. In order for a

RBF scheme to be considered OBA, it must meet three criteria:

Involve a subsidy that covers a funding gap

Contract service delivery and tie payments to outputs

Contractor to bear at least a part of the performance risk of the intervention.

Results-based mechanisms that pay a fee for a service provided or that provide coverage similar

to a health insurance58

to beneficiaries, meet this definition of OBA. Other OBA designs involve

results-based contracts for the provision of service, mostly by NGOs that provide service in an

underserved region, or the management of public facilities that usually include block grants and

payments conditional on achieving pre-defined performance indicators. Performance contracts

between donors and governments or different levels of government can be OBA, if they involve

bridging a funding gap, paying for the provision of outputs and transferring performance risks in

a meaningful manner. Cash on Delivery Aid (COD), a new form of results-based aid in educa-

tion proposed by the Center for Global Development, might fall in this category, but COD is

very new and therefore where COD fits in the OBA/RBF universe is not clear (see box 22 in sec-

tion F below).

RBF projects involving performance-bonuses that are usually not considered OBA include inter-

ventions that pay bonuses to individual employees or to community organizations. Conditional

Cash Transfers (CCTs) are RBF schemes that make social transfer payments based on beneficia-

ries taking actions such as ensuring that children go to school and receive medical care. CCTs do

not meet the definition of OBA because they do not involve contracts with providers that transfer

a performance risk to those providers (see box 24 in section F below).

58 This includes schemes where public institutions provide coverage similar to an insurance mechanism. They differ from tradi-

tional insurance schemes in that they usually are publicly managed and cannot decline to enroll individuals. In some cases partic-

ipation in such schemes is compulsory.

108

Projects can combine various results-based and output-based design elements. For example,

the Argentine Maternal Child Health Insurance Program (MCHIP) provides health insurance to

mothers and children in northern Argentina. The project is funded by the Government of Argen-

tina and the World Bank that pay per capita premiums to provincial insurance management

agencies. A part of these payments is based on performance indicators and the provincial agen-

cies contract out service delivery to independent providers on a fee-for-service basis. As of Janu-

ary 2009, MCHIP has funded 115,000 deliveries and 1.5 million child medical consultancies –

benefiting over 527,000 people, almost 80% of coverage of the eligible population of 2008. A

scale-up of the MCHIP (Phase II) began in 2007 to extend coverage to the rest of the country and

has successfully reached 388,118 beneficiaries as of February 2009. It is possible to combine

OBA projects that strengthen the supply of social services with CCTs that stimulate demand for

such services.

E.1. Universe of OBA in the Health Sector

Many traditional health schemes in developing countries work through a centralized government

health system. As a result, there is a risk that decisions are made on a centralized level with little

information on local conditions (decisions on, for example, construction, equipment, and staffing

of clinics as well as procurement and distribution of medicine and other inputs). This system is

complex; poorly aligned incentives and lack of information on local needs can result in a dearth

of inputs, inadequate and poorly maintained infrastructure and absenteeism of personnel. Using

OBA

CCT

COD

Performance Bonuses

RBF

Fee for service

(Quasi) insurance

Figure 17: The Universe of Results-Based Financing

109

input-based health care systems also decreases transparency on who benefits from public fund-

ing. The World Development Report 2004 highlights how the relatively wealthy benefit more

from public spending than the poor do (WDR 2004, p. 38ff).

Most countries have publicly funded health care systems and systems that exclusively rely on

out-of-pockets are rare59

. As a result most health care systems already involve ongoing funding

of service delivery. In many cases the use of OBA in health has not so much the aim of making

additional subsidy funding available but rather to increase the efficiency of existing health care

spending by better aligning incentives.

The earliest output-based health schemes in developing countries were schemes to increase

access to family planning in Korea and Taiwan in the early 1960s. The growth in OBA schemes

in the health sector in the WBG over the last few years is an important example of the sector‘s

drive for results. The portfolio of OBA health projects has grown from $230 million in 2004 to

$1.3 billion in 2008. The majority of these projects, both in number and in value, are in LCR

(figure 18). The 2007 World Bank strategy for Health Nutrition and Population calls for an in-

crease in the "proportion of output-based lending in health‖.

Figure 18: Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in Health

Three principal ―archetypes‖ of OBA contracts in the health sector have been identified:

1. Performance-based contracts to provide health services

2. Performance-based contracts to provide health ‗insurance‘ coverage

3. Performance-based contracts to build and maintain facilities and provide health ser-

vices.

Projects that directly provide health services to poor target groups, mainly by contracting out

services to independent service providers such as NGOs or local clinics, are the most common

59 However, in reality a lack of adequate public service in many poor countries, means that large parts of the population ( includ-

ing the poor) have to pay a substantial share of their health expenditures out-of-pocket.

AFR21%

EAP5%

LCR55%

MENA1%

SAR18%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in HealthTotal: US$ 179 m

AFR50%

EAP14%

LCR14%

MENA4%

SAR18%

Regional Distribution of WBG OBA Projects in HealthTotal: 22 Projects

110

form of OBA in health. Projects providing beneficiaries with quasi insurance60

are increasingly

being used, mainly in Latin America. Performance-based contracts with NGOs are mostly being

used when services have to be rolled out in areas without an existing infrastructure or service

providers (e.g., in post-conflict areas) or where contractors take over service delivery from the

public sector. Schemes working with multiple service providers, such as insurance or voucher

projects, usually have a two tier structure, where a project administrator (e.g., voucher manage-

ment agency) has a performance contract with the project sponsor and individual service provid-

ers have performance contracts with the project administrator. In this case service providers

usually compete for patients and are reimbursed with a fixed fee for each intervention covered by

the project. The only scheme identified in which a concessionaire rehabilitates and builds facili-

ties to provide health care service is a hospital PPP in Lesotho involving GPOBA subsidies (and

where IFC were transaction advisors) (box 21).

E.2. Funding

Most health systems require ongoing subsidies for poor beneficiaries so that projects rely on con-

tinued public support. The projects identified were mainly funded through government funds and

international aid. Government funds can be either raised trough general taxes or through health

care contributions (although the latter was not used for any of the identified projects). Interna-

tional aid can be provided by bilateral donors or multilateral development banks.

Contributions to the health care system, for example a fixed percentage of salary, are a common

way of funding health care systems in developed countries. While these schemes have been tried

in developing countries, they are not yet in widespread use. For example, the Ugandan Ministry

of Health has proposed the creation of a National Health Insurance Fund that would be funded

through a tax on salaries, but has not been able to successfully implement it amid opposition by

the Federation of Uganda Employers61

.

Some projects require beneficiaries to make co-payments, depending on their ability to pay.

These contributions can be significant; for instance, in the GPOBA Nigeria Prepaid Health

Scheme beneficiaries pay a share of their insurance premium that increases over time, in total

approximately one-third of the cost of service. User contributions are frequently used as a way to

gauge actual demand by the poor users, even if they are too small to significantly contribute to

the funding of the project (for instance, the GPOBA Reproductive Health Voucher Project in

Western Uganda charges $1.71 for a safe delivery package with an average cost of $72).

E.3. Targeting

The identified projects use a number of different targeting instruments:

At inception, most projects do not have sufficient resources to cover an entire country so that

they use geographic targeting where subsidies are channeled to first reach the poorest loca-

tions

60 Quasi-insurance projects involving per-capita transfers (capitations) from donors or central governments to an implementer are

sometimes referred to as capitation projects.

61 ―Uganda: Employers reject health insurance scheme‖. August 2007. Africa News Update. The Norwegian Council for Africa.

http://www.afrika.no/Detailed/14807.html.

111

Most services offered by the identified projects are basic and usually involve basic health

care facilities that are not attractive to the wealthier population (―self-selection targeting‖)

Some projects focus on marketing of services particularly to poor target groups. For ex-

ample the sale of health vouchers can be focused on poor geographic areas

Projects providing (quasi) insurance can make eligibility contingent on the beneficiaries not

being covered by other (for example employment related) health insurance

The most effective way of targeting, but also the most expensive to implement is by assess-

ing household income (means testing) or by using indicators to estimate household wealth

(proxy means testing).

The identified projects either rely primarily on one targeting mechanism or combine several me-

chanisms to improve targeting efficiency.

The first component of the DRC‘s Health Centre Rehabilitation Support project targets 67 of

the DRC‘s 513 Health Zones62

. The second component of the project targets 89 Health Zones

(16.4% of the DRC‘s population) that have the worst health indicators and little or no donor

and government support.

The Reproductive Health Voucher in Western Uganda Project, which builds on a KfW-

funded pilot project and is co-funded by KfW, works with very basic midwife-operated pri-

vate health centers in rural areas in the greater Mbarara region. Eligibility for participating in

the voucher scheme is determined by mobile voucher sales agents using a proxy means test-

ing questionnaire to determine living conditions as a proxy for household income. The first

OBA healthy baby was delivered in February 28, 2009 and so far, over 60 anti-natal visits

and 5 deliveries have been conducted.

As in Argentina anybody working for the formal sector is already covered by health insur-

ance, the Maternal Child Health Insurance Program is targeted exclusively to women and

children who do not have access to formal insurance.

E.4. Performance-risk

The identified health projects transfer varying degrees of risks to service providers. When service

providers are paid a fee for services performed, they have to invest in infrastructure and equip-

ment to perform services first. Service providers have to purchase inputs such as medicine and

staff their health centers to be able to provide services. If they are not able to provide services at

a cost below the defined reimbursement, they stand to lose money. At the same time they have to

provide services at a level to meet pre-agreed quality standards and attract patients (the latter is

particularly important in projects with multiple service providers that compete for patients). In-

dividual service providers may be able to mitigate part of the pre-financing risk by first using

spare capacity in existing facilities and gradually expanding capacity. Contractors with a conces-

sion to roll-out services in previously under- or un-served areas typically incur a larger up-front

investment and can thus be at greater risk. This risk is typically mitigated by providing part of

62 Project Information Document. 2005. The Democratic Republic of Congo Health Centre Rehabilitation Support Project

(P088751). World Bank. Available at:

http://intranet.worldbank.org/servlet/main?pagePK=250315&piPK=250383&theSitePK=84829&menuPK=250337&Projectid=P

088751

112

the subsidy as block grant, complemented by an output-based bonus for meeting pre-agreed tar-

gets.

Another set of OBA projects tie disbursement of funds to reaching a number of pre-agreed ser-

vice quality, -level or outcome indicators. Such projects can be combined with block grants the

recipient receives up-front to fund part of the operation so that the output-based payment has the

character of a performance-bonus.

One project identified pays a service provider to build and maintain facilities (under a PPP

contract) and to provide service (both under the PPP contract and under a separate OBA con-

tract (for a description of this project, see box 21 on ―New Hospital Public-Private Partnership in

Lesotho‖).

In Rwanda under the PRSC II, health centers are reimbursed for the quantity of services pro-

vided according to a standardized fee structure for 14 services, adjusted by a composite

quality score. Hospital budgets are based on an average annual value per bed. Participating

service providers are at risk of not being reimbursed if they are not able to attract patients and

of losing money if they are unable to provide services of the required quality at a cost below

scheduled reimbursement.

In 2003, two years after the U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan, the World Bank began the

Health System Emergency Reconstruction and Development (Supplement) project63

. Part of

this was the Extension and Expansion of the Basic Package of Health Services (BPHS)

project, the Ministry of Public Health (MPOH) signs performance-based partnership agree-

ments (PPAs) with NGOs that are competitively selected. The NGOs receive performance

bonuses worth 10% of their contracts if they perform satisfactorily on 10 health indicators.

The MOPH contracted Johns Hopkins University (JHU) to evaluate the performance of the

NGOs.

The original KfW-funded voucher project treating sexually transmitted diseases in rural

Uganda that mainly worked with small health posts and clinics run and operated by nurses

and midwives. A well-designed billing and reimbursement system helped service providers

mitigating access to finance issues by gradually expanding facilities and the range of services

provided. GPOBA and KfW are collaborating on a scale-up.

E.5. Private sector capital and expertise

Table 8 describes the three main types of health service providers in the contracts that were iden-

tified:

63 (P098358)

113

Table 8: Health Service Providers in Contracts to Provide Health Services

Health Service Provider Example

Private sector provider—Private sec-

tor company is contracted to provide

health services

In Uganda‘s Reproductive Health Vouchers program, doctors diag-

nose and treat sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) as well as pro-

viding pre-natal and childbirth services

Publicly owned service providers The Argentina MCHIP project works partially with existing public

sector health care providers that under the new project are being

reimbursed for services rendered instead of an input-based way.

NGO—NGOs are contracted to pro-

vide health services

In Guatemala‘s Integrated Healthcare System (SIAS), NGO are

contracted in two ways:

To deliver services themselves

To manage health districts and contract out health service provision

to other NGOs or the private sector.

In the Extension and Expansion of the Basic Package of Health

Services (BPHS) project64

, the Ministry of Public Health (MPOH)

signs performance-based partnership agreements (PPAs) with

NGOs that are competitively selected.

The amount of up-front capital investment varies drastically for different service levels to be

provided. Projects involving secondary and tertiary care that require specialized facilities and

equipment are more capital intensive than such that concentrate on primary care delivery. An

example for a project with a significant amount of up-front private investment is the Lesotho

Hospital PPP described in box 21. A number of highly effective primary care interventions can

be delivered without the need for specialized facilities or other up-front investments and primary

care interventions can more easily rely on existing basic medical infrastructure and spare capaci-

ty in existing private service providers.

64 Part of the World Bank began the Health System Emergency Reconstruction and Development (Supplement) (P098358)

114

Box 21: New Hospital Public-Private Partnership in Lesotho

Lesotho‘s main public hospital and most advanced medical institution in the country—Queen Elizabeth II

hospital (QEII)—is over 100 years old and performing poorly. The World Bank supports the design and im-

plementation of a Public Private Partnership (PPP) for the replacement of the Queen Elizabeth II hospital and,

including an OBA component. IFC were transaction advisors for this deal.

The project supports the design, construction, financing, and full operation of a hospital by a private partner

for a contract period of 15 years. The project includes improvements to, and support for, the operation of two

outpatient clinics associated to the hospital. A consortium led by Netcare, a South African health services

company, was selected as the private operator. The hospital is expected to be fully operational in the fourth

quarter of 2009.

Total construction costs are expected to reach $72.5 million. Capital costs will be financed 20 percent by the

private sector and 80 percent by the Government of Lesotho. GPOBA will contribute a grant of $6.25 million,

payable over the first five years of the project, which will augment the Government‘s payments.

The GPOBA subsidy aims to allow:

More patients to be seen at a higher level of service at the filter clinics

More patients to be seen at the new hospital, also at a higher level of service.

Payments will be linked to volume and quality of service delivery. Performance monitoring will be conducted

by the Ministry of Health. The GPOBA grant was signed in February 2009.

Sources: Ramatlapeng (2007) and Lesotho New Hospital PPP Project Information Document65

Discipline can be imposed by reimbursing service providers for outputs delivered. This fee-for-

service approach emulates a private delivery model, as patients can freely chose service provid-

ers. The only difference is that payments are made out of public funds and not by the beneficia-

ries‘ themselves. This is observable with the voucher approach where patients can use vouchers

to access the service provider of their choice.

There is some evidence that a combination of freedom to allocate funds under a block grant in

combination with close monitoring of results (and the implicit threat of discontinuing contracts)

imposes discipline on contractors. A controlled study of three groups of service providers in

Uganda, receiving input-based funding, block grants and block grants with performance bonuses,

showed significantly poorer performance of service providers under input-based financing, but

no significant difference between the two groups of service providers that were at liberty to use

block grants how they deemed best (Johannes et al, 2008). The implications of these findings are

not clear. There are several factors that may be contributing to the explanation: an intrinsic moti-

vation to deliver good results, insufficient amount of bonuses or the fact that NGOs were aware

that their performance was to be scrutinized under the study and feared that poor performance

could affect their future ability to raise funds.

Other projects use different forms of paying for outputs or desired results:

65 Project Information Document. 2007. Lesotho New Hospital PPP. World Bank. Available at:

http://intranet.worldbank.org/servlet/main?pagePK=64032287&piPK=64029851&theSitePK=355934&menuPK=355979&Projec

tid=P104403

115

Some projects, such as the Afghanistan Health System Emergency Reconstruction and De-

velopment project, contract service delivery to NGOs. This is usually done by a combination

of a lump-sum contract for service delivery or block grant and a performance bonus. In the

Afghanistan example the performance bonus was 10% of the contract amount, contingent on

meeting 10 indicators

Under Congo‘s Health Center Rehabilitation Support Project, NGOs enter into performance-

based contracts with individual Health Zone administrations and facilities. Such contracts

usually set out performance indicators, such as immunization coverage or outpatient consul-

tation targets. Health worker incentives are tied to performance on a list of indicators, often

summarized by a single score. The health indicators include numbers of outpatient visits, ma-

laria treatments given to children, child immunizations, antenatal visits, and attended births

E.6. Monitoring

As described in the sub-sections above, ―outputs‖ for OBA schemes in the health sector vary

greatly, from ―insurance‖ schemes to actual in-hospital deliveries, immunizations, HIV testing,

and the like. In this section, we describe the processes related to monitoring and verification of

OBA in health.

In the projects that we identified, monitoring and evaluation was performed by government

agencies, NGOs, the private sector, or through self-reporting. Table 9 gives examples of projects

that use each of these groups to perform M&E.

Table 9: Parties Responsible for M&E in Contracts to Provide Health Services

Party Example

Government Agency—M&E is per-

formed by a government agency

In Argentina‘s two Provincial Maternal-Child Health projects, the Nation-

al Health Services Purchasing Team (NHSPT) is responsible for monitor-

ing project coverage. Data on provinces and provider performance is col-

lected by service providers as they record the service deliveries which

form the basis for their payments. NHSPT consolidates the data and eva-

luates it against the tracer goals from the Annual Performance Agree-

ments. The NHSPT and the Provincial Health Services Purchasing Team

(PHSPT) also conduct periodic independent audits of the data, including

surveys of beneficiary participation and satisfaction

NGO—M&E is performed by an

NGO

In Congo‘s Health Zone Project, health service providers self-report on

the services they deliver. These services are then verified by the NGOs

with which the service providers contract

Private Sector—M&E is performed

by a private sector contractor

A large portion of monitoring and evaluation in the DRC‘s Health Centre

Rehabilitation Support project66

is contracted out to a private sector firm

Self reporting Self-reporting is used in a number of projects, but self-reported results are

always verified or audited by third parties. Projects in which self-

reporting is used include Congo‘s Health Zone Project, Argentina‘s two

Provincial Maternal-Child Health projects, and Paraguay‘s Mother and

Child Basic Health Insurance project

66 World Bank project number: P088751

116

In many cases, projects use a combination of different monitoring and evaluation mechanisms.

For example, in the DRC‘s Health Care Rehabilitation Support Project67

, monitoring and evalua-

tion functions are contracted out to the private sector, and carried out by government agencies

and NGOs.

Some health OBA projects used of demographic and health surveys to monitor and evaluate

project success, usually when projects target a large portion of a country or region‘s population.

For example, in Argentina‘s first Provincial Maternal-Child Health projects, data on baseline

tracer coverage was generated by the baseline study being implemented nationwide. It included

both data gathered from provider-based information systems as well as household panel surveys

that include biological impact markers.

A recent article in The Lancet reports that a research team found significant differences between

vaccination figures reported by beneficiaries of the Global Alliance on Vaccines and Immuniza-

tion (GAVI) and such determined through independent surveys (Stephen et al 2008). This differ-

ence ―suggests that […] GAVI may have paid out twice as much in performance rewards as it

should have: $290 million instead of $150 million.‖68

Even if, as suggested by CGDEV69

, part

of this difference can be explained by statistical biases such a tendency of surveys to underreport

vaccination data, this incident highlight the necessity of a combination of a robust monitoring

and evaluation system and independent verification of outputs.

67 World Bank project number: P088751 68 Brown, David. ―Number of Children Immunized Has Been Inflated for Years‖ , Washington Post, Friday, December 12, 2008;

A03 69 http://blogs.cgdev.org/globalhealth/2008/12/new_lancet_article_a.php

117

F. Education

Only a small number of OBA schemes have been identified in the education sector. The chal-

lenge of introducing OBA in education has often been defining the appropriate ―output‖ which

balances achievement of results with reasonable performance risk transfer. Nevertheless, several

schemes have transferred OBA risk to service providers, and these are described below. Further,

an array of results-based schemes such as conditional cash transfers and cash-on-delivery (box

22) have been identified, which are not OBA but can be complementary to OBA.

F.1. Universe of OBA in Education

OBA approaches in the education sector are limited in number. This review identified only four

OBA schemes in the WBG that provide performance-based grants for the actual delivery of edu-

cation services. These include two Female Secondary Assistance Programs in Bangladesh

(FSSAP), Lifelong Learning and Training Project in Chile (LLTP), the Balochistan Education

Support Project (ESP) in Pakistan. The scale of subsidy disbursements ranged from $2.1 million

for the scheme in Balochistan, Pakistan, to over $100 million in Chile, and over $130 million for

the two phases of the Bangladesh FSSAP. Two of the schemes aimed at improving student

enrollment, attendance and quality of education, and one of them provided learning opportunity

for adults. All schemes employed extensive government co-funding.

The review also identified several OBA schemes in education outside of the WBG in middle and

high income countries. These include a scheme for low-income populations in Colombia, Special

Education Vouchers in the United States, and the entire education system of Denmark.

Box 22: Cash-on-delivery Aid (COD)

COD is a results-based approach proposed by the Center for Global Development (CGDEV) as a hands-off

approach to improve results in the education sector. CGDEV proposes to pay the recipient government ―$20

for every student that takes a standardized competency test in their last year of primary school and $200 for

each additional child over an enrollment baseline who takes the standardized competency test‖ (Birdsall et

al 2008).

The concepts of COD and OBA are very similar and as there are no COD projects in advanced stage of

preparation or implementation it is difficult to assess how the two concepts are different. Based on the initial

proposal it appears that the main difference between OBA and COD is that the recipients on COD would be

on the governments and that COD contracts would not specify how funds are passed on to service providers.

It is also proposed not to tie COD subsidies to a specific and existing funding gap, but see them as pure in-

centive payments to governments. However, in practice this may turn out to be an artificial difference given

that government funding is fungible.

OBA projects on the other hand usually either disburses funds directly to service providers or passes money

through national governments based on an existing contract between governments and service providers.

Also, OBA usually is explicitly used to bridge a pre-existing funding gap that prevents the poor from ac-

cessing basic services.

OBA in education usually involves output-based payments to schools for the enrollment and at-

tendance of specified school-age children, and will often include school achievement as a per-

formance indicator. For example, female students in Bangladesh were required to score at least

45 percent in tests (box 23). In addition to demonstrating increased attendance, in the Pakistani

118

ESP, Balochistan schools had to demonstrate an annual increase in learning achievement in lan-

guage and mathematics to qualify for subsidies.

Box 23: Bangladesh Female Secondary School Assistance Project

The two phases of the Bangladesh Female Secondary School Assistance Project (FSSAP) aimed at increasing

school enrollment and attendance of girls, and improving the quality of secondary education. FSSAP I pro-

vided stipends to female students in grades 6-10 attending at least 75 percent of the time and obtaining annual

examination marks of at least 45 percent. Originally, stipends amounted to $18-$45 per student per year, but

were reduced to $5-$16 by 2001 to accommodate more students. The stipends and tuition were to cover full

tuition and Board examination costs and an increasing proportion of school fees, textbooks, stationery, uni-

forms, shoes and transport. The tuition fees were disbursed to schools, while the stipends were paid to girls.

Over the life of the FSSAP I project, enrollment of girls in supported schools more than doubled, and overall

about 1.6 million girls received stipends (the program funded 4.9 million girl-years compared to a planned

3.32 million girl-years). FSSAPII largely followed the OBA approach of its predecessor. It funded 6.9 million

girl-years of education (compared to a planned number of 6.3 million girl-years).

Source: ICRs

F.2. Funding

The funding for the identified OBA schemes in education comes from a variety of sources: IDA

or IBRD, Government revenues, parent contributions and private investments.

In the Pakistani ESP scheme, private schools receive annual subsidies for operational

costs and monthly subsidies linked to student enrollment and attendance in the first three

to four years, after which they will operate on a combination of governmental subsidy

and student enrollment fee. In the case of public schools, the project funds the recurrent

costs of the first two years of operation, linked to student enrollment and attendance, and

the government will take over in the third year.

In the Bank-funded Bangladeshi FSSAP scheme, total project funding amounted to $88

million for FSSAP I and $144.6 million for FSSAP II and is a combination of IDA and

Government money in which the latter provided 27 percent and 16 percent respectively

of the total. FSSAP II also succeeded in involving the community which offered in-kind

contribution estimated at about $200,000.

In the Lifelong Learning and Training Project, IBRD is matching the $75 million contri-

bution of the Government of Chile – a demonstration of strong commitment to the project

- with a $75 million loan.

Schemes where ‗money follows student‘, usually referred to as voucher schemes, are a common

method of funding targeted education programs. The scheme in Colombia targets a specific pop-

ulation: children from the lowest two socio-economic strata. The Special Education Vouchers

programs in four states of the U.S. – Arizona, Florida, Utah and Ohio, and the targeted voucher

scheme in Colombia were designed to reach a limited number of beneficiaries70

. On the other

hand, Denmark‘s voucher system is nationwide and covers all school-aged children.

70 Voucher schemes are generally controversial, particularly in the US, where teachers unions claim that they erode the public

education system and libertarians fear public domination of private schools. Other critics claim that public funding of religious

119

F.3. Targeting

The OBA educational schemes in developing countries mostly aim to target services to low in-

come households. Geographic targeting is common, particularly where projects are small and

thus confined to a specific geographic area. In countries where the literacy gap between male

and female students is significant, the OBA schemes can target girls in particular. For example,

the districts for FSSAP in Bangladesh were identified based on their economic level of develop-

ment, low female literacy rates and low female attendance levels. The ESP in Balochistan, Pakis-

tan required schools to enroll at least 40 percent girls. Other examples of targeted subsidies are

the Special Education Vouchers program in the U.S. which is designed for children with disabili-

ties.

Some schemes make use of existing means testing or proxy means testing system, in order to

avoid subsidizing wealthier students already enrolled in private schools. For example two OBA

education schemes in Colombia make use of the existing social stratification mechanism that is

also used to allocate subsidies for infrastructure services. The education voucher project led to

considerable enrollment among the poor, as well as lower costs to the government due to compe-

tition, and improved achievement results.

The Lifelong Learning and Training Project in Chile relies on self-selection and targeted market-

ing to provide vocational training to adults between 15 and 65 years of age. It is considered that

vocational training is only attractive to the three lowest income deciles, as most people in higher

income deciles have higher degrees of education and the income gains expected to result from

vocational training are not sufficient to make the program attractive to higher income deciles.

F.4. Performance-risk

The challenge of introducing OBA in education has often been defining the appropriate ―output‖

which balances achievement of results with reasonable performance risk transfer. This is com-

plicated by the fact that academic achievement of targeted students is often not fully under the

control of the service provider, but also of the household and the child him/herself -- see box 24

on Conditional Cash Transfers. Further, since the provision of education services is often the re-

sponsibility of local public institutions, there remains the question of whether the service provid-

er is properly incentivized to manage performance risk. These may be amongst the reasons why

so few OBA schemes in the education sector were identified.

Nevertheless, schemes have transferred OBA risk to service providers, although the degree of

success clearly varies. The Balochistan ESP tasked the Balochistan Education Foundation, a

semi-autonomous apex financing institution, with the project implementation. Another example

of performance risk transfer is the Concession Schools program in Bogota where private school

operators are responsible for meeting the pre-established targets on standardized tests and drop-

out rates for two consecutive years in the public schools managed by them in order to qualify for

state funding. In the case of the Lifelong Learning and Training Project, the performance risk is

born by the Government of Chile that pre-finances all project expenditures and submits to the

schools violate the separation of state and church. As a result some voucher schemes in the US were subject to litigation and

ballot initiatives to introduce or maintain voucher schemes were unsuccessful.

120

Bank the expenditure support documentation of those expenditures to be financed under the pro-

posed Loan for reimbursement purposes.

Box 24: Conditional Cash Transfers in Education and OBA

There are a variety of other results-based schemes ongoing in the education sector, such as Conditional Cash

Transfer (CCT) schemes. CCT schemes in education are not OBA in that there is no performance risk for the

supplier of education services (private schools, public schools, municipalities): the subsidy is not channeled

to the service provider for costs incurred ex ante (e.g., building the school, providing materials, or paying the

teachers). CCT schemes instead focus on the demand-side of education services by providing incentives for

families to send their children to school and thus choosing to invest in an education, which may have an op-

portunity cost for the family (e.g., work on the family farm).

While CCT schemes are not OBA, OBA and CCT schemes are complements: CCT provides an incentive for

the demand for education, while OBA provides the incentive for the supply of education – both of which are

needed, particularly in social services sectors where the benefits of services such as education (and health) are

not always apparent to poor households, or, hold a high opportunity cost in terms of perceived income for-

gone.

In the Bangladesh FSSAP, the tuition transfers to schools were combined with a stipend payable to girls to

provide families with an incentive to send their girls to school. Not only has this resulted in unpredicted in-

crease in demand for education of female students in Bangladesh – nationwide female participation grew

from 44.7 percent in 1994 to 58.68 percent in 2000 – but it is also hypothesized that the scheme has prevented

a large number of early marriages.

F.5. Private sector capital and expertise

Education is largely provided and financed by governments through ongoing subsidies. The use

of private sector capital and expertise can be split into two main categories: building and main-

taining infrastructure, and, providing education services (teaching). Private sector capital is

mainly leveraged to build and operate and maintain education infrastructure. Projects can also to

some extent rely on existing infrastructure, where for example vouchers pay for additional stu-

dents in existing private schools.

In the case of provision of education services, the private sector has the advantage of being able

to more effectively manage teacher performance and remuneration. Public schools usually do not

have authority to hire and dismiss teachers, so that it is difficult to increase staff if the work load

requires this or to hold non-performing staff accountable. The Bogotá Concession Schools pro-

gram explicitly intends to mobilize private expertise in managing publicly provided school infra-

structure. The Concession Schools program specifically targeted marginalized, low income

areas in need of school spaces. Rather than providing vouchers to children to choose a public

school outside the community (which would entail transportation costs and overcrowded classes),

the Government built new schools and employed private service providers to manage them. Each

of the 25 newly-built schools accommodates between 800 and 1,200 students, and invests a larg-

er share of its budget in nutrition, textbooks and educational materials than regular public

schools (box 25).

In addition, unmet demand for education coupled with limited government budgets is obliging

the public sector to develop innovative partnerships with the private sector. In developing coun-

tries where scarce government resources cannot provide education for all, partnering with the

121

private sector may be a solution. The inclusion of low-fee private schools in the Balochistan

Educational Support Project was based on the successful implementation of a pilot phase in

which private schools supplied low-cost, high quality education for girls from very poor urban

areas of the province. The private schools selected by the project receive annual per-student sub-

sidy for facilities and material cost, and a monthly subsidy linked to student enrollment and at-

tendance.

Box 25: The Impact of PSP in the Concession Schools Program in Bogota

The public-private partnership in Bogota has been created to provide education to 45,000 students from low-

income neighborhoods and serves as evidence of the positive impact the private sector involvement has on

attendance and school attainment. The program is based on a bidding process in which the applicant must

demonstrate previous experience in the education sector. The winning private school operators are responsi-

ble for meeting pre-established targets on standardized tests and drop-out rates for two consecutive years in

the public schools managed by them in order to qualify for state funding. The following encompasses the im-

pact of the program:

First, the private participation model applied an already proven pedagogic model. It made the con-

cession schools financially stable since the state paid a fixed sum per student, and more focused on

academic achievement as the selected private operators had a history of high test scores.

Second, the freedom to choose the teaching and administrative staff led to a better quality of educa-

tion than in the public schools where the teachers‘ union made it difficult to implement staff changes.

On average, 55 percent of the subsidy amount was allocated to human resources, well below the 90

percent in the public school system, freeing up 33 percent for nutritional support and education mate-

rials.

Third, the eligibility of private operators for continued support depends on meeting pre-established

standardized test scores, which emphasizes the importance of higher quality of education rather than

mere good school operation.

Finally, private sector providers are interested in partnering with parents and the community, which

helped reduce the dropout rates and improve educational attainment, compared with regular public

schools.

Source: Barrera-Osorio (2007)

F.6. Monitoring

The main difficulty of output monitoring in education is to find a definition of an output that is

meaningful, measurable and does not distort incentives. Voucher schemes deal with this by as-

suming that parents chose the ‗best‘ school for their kids, given they have a number of schools to

chose from. As a result voucher schemes only need to monitor school enrollment and possibly

attendance. Other models that retain third parties to provide services but do not involve school

choice, such as school concessions, need to monitor more sophisticated output indicators. One

possible way of doing that is through standardized tests. Standardized tests, however, have the

disadvantage that they may provide an incentive for ‗teaching to the test‘71

and for cheating in

order to secure funding. To mitigate this, the Center for Global Development‘s (CGDEV) con-

71 Questions in a standardized test can only be an imperfect proxy for the skills they are supposed to measure. ‗Teaching to the

test‘ means that teachers focus on teaching a narrow skill set they may deem is needed to solve questions they anticipate could be

asked in a test. The result could be deteriorating standards of education, even if test scores improve. This one of the criticisms of

standard-based reform such as the No Child Left Behind Act in the US.

122

cept of Cash on Delivery proposes to tie incentive payments to standardized test taken and re-

sults published.

Examples of monitoring in OBA projects in education include the following:

In the Balochistan ESP, monitoring of schools is carried out by the Field Supervisors of

BEF and Implementation Partners, while Parent Education Committees regularly collect

data on enrollment, attendance and completion rates.

To qualify for IDA funding, the Directorate for Secondary and Higher Education in Ban-

gladesh had to submit annual project reviews and recommendations. Weak monitoring

capacities can lead to project shortcomings. Acknowledging that, FSSAP II decided to

dedicate funds to establishing a uniform management information system to avoid over-

or under-reporting of data, established a monitoring and evaluation team and developed

an integrated database.

On the other hand, the US Special Education Voucher schemes do not seem to include an

element of academic/quality assessment, and therefore although the disabled children are

receiving an education, the quality of this education does not appear to be assessed as part

of the monitoring/voucher system.

123

Annex III: Comparison of OBA portfolio to total WBG portfolio FY 2000 – 200972

72 The proportion of OBA funding for the year 2004 are unusually high as in this year a few relatively large transport projects and a couple of relatively large health projects were

approved.

2000 2001 2002 20 03 2004 2005 2006 2007 20 08 Grand Total

OBA 31.0 9 82 .58 1 32.55 67.50 742.96 247.4 6 381.59 1 31.58 403.42 2,220.72

Education - - 108.95 - - - 2.10 - - 111.05

Energy and Mining - 1.40 16.10 38.55 18.00 6 .10 5.09 12.48 12.35 110.06

Global Information/Communications Technology - 27.73 - 1.04 20.15 8 .90 10.33 1.87 2.50 72.52

Health, Nutrition and Population 20 .00 - 5.00 - 196.00 12 .30 323.65 69.30 44.79 671.04

Transport 11 .09 23.15 - 27.60 470.80 193 .30 39.27 24.00 330.00 1,119.21

Water - 30.30 2.50 0.31 38.01 26 .86 1.15 23.93 13.78 136.84

Total 5,538.6 0 6,704 .69 6,8 31.31 7,333.36 9,400.19 8,214.1 1 8,608.02 11,1 35.82 1 0,635.11 74,401.20

Education 702 .34 838.98 1,249.24 1,651.41 1,435.80 1,246 .46 1, 428.53 1,452.40 1,321.87 11,327.02

Energy and Mining 1,102 .69 965.72 1,573.18 810.86 1,094.02 1,865 .87 2, 766.33 1,320.01 3,587.05 15,085.72

Global Information/Communications Technology 109 .35 65.00 37.46 13.60 22.00 68 .78 15.00 214.50 7.20 552.89

Health, Nutrition and Population 1,035 .85 1, 015.73 1,139.99 1,378.64 1,829.32 894 .17 1, 010.80 1,814.33 604.70 10,723.52

Transport 1,668 .77 2, 880.30 2,417.31 2,852.75 3,920.96 2,473 .19 2, 572.37 3,919.70 3,783.76 26,489.11

Water 919 .60 938.96 414.13 626.10 1,098.10 1,665 .64 814.99 2,414.88 1,330.53 10,222.93

Grand Total 5,569.6 8 6,787 .27 6,9 63.86 7,400.86 10,143.15 8,461.5 7 8,989.61 11,2 67.40 1 1,038.52 76,621.92

OBA as % of total portfolio 2000 2001 2002 20 03 2004 2005 2006 2007 20 08 Grand Total

Education 0.00% 0.00% 8.72% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15 % 0 .00% 0.00% 0.98%

Energy and Mining 0.00% 0.14% 1.02% 4.75% 1.65% 0.33% 0.18 % 0 .95% 0.34% 0.73%

Global Information/Communications Technology 0.00% 42.66% 0.00% 7.65% 91.59% 12.94% 68.88 % 0 .87% 34.74% 13.12%

Health, Nutrition and Population 1.93% 0.00% 0.44% 0.00% 10.71% 1.38% 32.02 % 3 .82% 7.41% 6.26%

Transport 0.66% 0.80% 0.00% 0.97% 12.01% 7.82% 1.53 % 0 .61% 8.72% 4.23%

Water 0.00% 3.23% 0.60% 0.05% 3.46% 1.61% 0.14 % 0 .99% 1.04% 1.34%

Total 0.56% 1.23% 1.94% 0 .92% 7.90% 3.01% 4.43% 1.1 8% 3 .79% 2.98%

124

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