N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

By Jeffrey Privette NOAA NCDC

andL. DeWayne Cecil

Global Science and TechnologyAsheville, NC

March 21, 2012

OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE SERVICES and CLIMATE DATA RECORDS

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

• Interagency Task Force– White House OSTP and CEQ,

NOAA, others

• US Global Change Research Program– 2009 (and 2013) National

Assessments

• National Academy of Public Administration (NAPA) Study– Endorsed NOAA’s climate

service vision

National Climate InitiativesAlready Underway

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

5 CS Initial Priorities

(3) SUSTAINABILITY OF MARINE ECOSYSTEMS: Improve understanding of, and information about, the impacts of climate on ocean properties critical to managing large marine ecosystems

Example User Groups: NMFS, states, NOS, FWS,USBR, fisheries management councils

(1) CLIMATE IMPACTS ON WATER RESOURCES: Provide coordinated and authorization information to guide water resources managers

Example User Groups: water resource managers, civil engineers, farmers, emergency management officials, USBR, USDA, USACE

(2) COASTS AND CLIMATE RESILIENCE: Understand physical processes that drive sea-level rise and coastal inundation, and provide the best available information to decision-makers

Example User Groups: coastal and emergency managers, NOS, FEMA, USACE, USGS, HUD, MSP

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

5 CS Initial Priorities-cont.

(4) EXTREMES IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: Develop and deliver information to anticipate, prepare for, and adapt to weather and climate extremes

Example User Groups: emergency managers, state and local officials, energy industry, resource managers, city planners, insurance industry

Most important 3 factors, scale, scale, scale,,,adaptation to climate variability and change is local(5) INFORMING CLIMATE POLICY OPTIONS: Provide sound science to information climate-related policies, plans, and strategies including both mitigation and adaptation

Example User Groups: policy makers, energy industry, EPA, DOE, state and local communities, State Dept.

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

IPCC (2013) Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM)

IPCC (2007)

(Hurrell 2008)

Climate model resolution is improving

5

Development Aid

Farmer

Consumer

Crop Breeder

Reservoir Construction

Aid Agency

Emissions Policymaker

Regulatory Agency

Commodities Trader

Biofuel or Processing Plant Construction

Elected Official

(Re-)Insurance Companies

Temporal Scale of Agricultural Sector Stakeholder Interest

Days Months Years<1 10 20 1 3 6 9 1 3 5 10 50 100<

Disaster Relief

Draft: Alex Ruane, NASA GISS

8/20/2010Predecisional: not for distribution or

attribution7

8

Understanding Earth’s Connections Requires a Comprehensive Set of Measurements Across the Globe

Satellites data meets the need

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Bondville, IL

VIIRS LST – Feb 12, 2012

NPP Scene

NOAACRN Station

Scalingwithin a VIIRS pixel at 750m resolution

VIIRS LST accuracy ≈ ±0.3K precision ≈ 1.9K

Calibrating Satellites to Field DataSuomi NPP VIIRS Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Climate Reference Network (CRN)

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Raw ObservationsFundamental CDRs

(Calibrate Data)Thematic CDRs

(Geophysical Data)

Climate Information(Derived Goods &

Services)

Merged and correctedNOAA & NASA

data provide trustworthymulti-decadal time series

NOAA & NASAraw satellite data

Standards of the renewable

energy community applied

Siting information for major solar energy farms

Example: Recent collaboration between NOAA, NASA, Academia, Private Sector and NREL

Value: CDRs Inform DecisionsThroughout Society

NREL= National Renewable Energy Laboratory

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Accomplishments – Regional Climate Services Directors

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

• Develop business practices that strengthen science while meeting demand for services

• Engage external and internal audiences regarding NOAA’s climate services plans

• Continued evolution of the NOAA Climate Portal (www.climate.gov)

NCS Next Steps

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

• www.climate.gov– NOAA climate portal

• www.noaa.gov/climate– Q&As, handouts, presentations

• www.ppi.noaa.gov/ngsp– NOAA’s Next Generation Strategic Plan

• Jeff.Privette@noaa.gov NOAA NCDC Chief Scientist CDR Program

• DeWayne.Cecil@noaa.gov – Global Science and Technology

For more information…