NDIA SE Conference-SW Initiatives 10/29/09 Page-1 UNCLASSIFIED

Overview of Department of Defense (DoD) Software Engineering Initiatives

Mr. Scott LuceroDeputy Director, Software Engineering

Systems Engineering DirectorateOffice of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering

12th Annual NDIA Systems Engineering ConferenceOctober 29, 2009

UNCLASSIFIEDNDIA SE Conference-SW Initiatives 10/29/09 Page-2

Elements of a DoD Strategy for Software Engineering

• Support Acquisition Success – Ensure effective and efficient software solutions across the

acquisition spectrum of systems, SoS and capability portfolios

• Improve the State-of-the-Practice of Software Engineering– Advocate and lead software initiatives to improve the state-of-the-

practices through transition of tools, techniques, etc.

• Leadership, Outreach and Advocacy– Implement at Department and National levels, a strategic plan for

meeting Defense software requirements

• Foster Software Resources to meet DoD needs– Enable the US and global capability to meet Department software

needs, in an assured and responsive manner

Promote World-Class Leadership for Defense Software Engineering

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NDIA Top Software Issues September 2006

1. The impact of requirements upon software is not consistently quantified and managed in development or sustainment. “SW Requirements”

2. Fundamental system engineering decisions are made without full participation of software engineering. “SE/SW Integration”

3. Software life-cycle planning and management by acquirers and suppliers is ineffective. “SW Sustainment”

4. The quantity and quality of software engineering expertise is insufficient to meet the demands of government and defense industry. “Human Capital”

5. Traditional software verification techniques are costly and ineffective for dealing with the scale and complexity of modern systems. “SW Testing”

6. There is a failure to assure correct, predictable, safe, secure execution of complex software in distributed environments. “SW Assurance”

7. Inadequate attention is given to total lifecycle issues for COTS/NDI impacts on lifecycle cost and risk. “SW COTS / NDI / Reuse”

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Top Software Issues - 2006 vs. Software Systemic Findings - 2008

N ationa l D efense Industria l Associa tion (N D IA)Top 7 Softw are Issues

August 2006

D U SD (A& T) SSE D irectora te P rogram R eview Softw are System ic Analysis F ind ings

Softw are Requirem ents

System s/Softw are Integration

Softw are Hum an Capital

Softw are AssuranceSoftw are Assurance

Softw are Engineering M anagem ent

� Pro ject P lann ing� M anagem ent O versight� Softw are C onfiguration M anagem ent

Softw are M etrics � Softw are M etrics� EVM

Know ledge Sharing � Process� R eporting

Softw are Requirem ents� Engineering� M anagem ent� Acquisition S tra tegy

Softw are Developm ent� Softw are Testing*� Softw are Susta inm ent/M ain tenance*� Softw are C O TS/N D I*� Technology R eadiness� Softw are A rch itecture

Softw are Sustainm ent

Softw are CO TS/NDI

Softw are Testing

Softw are Hum an Capital � R esources� Q uality Leve l

System s/Softw are Integration

� System s of System s� In teroperab ility� Tech R efresh

National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA)Top 7 Software Issues

September 2006

ODDRE/SE Systemic Analysis ofProgram Support Review Findings

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Current Software Engineering Initiatives

• Program Support– Provide software support for acquisition program reviews.

Develop independent schedule and defect estimates.

• Human Capital– Software Acquisition Training and Education Workgroup:

Establish SW competencies across the acquisition career fields– Reference Curriculum for Graduate Study of Software Engineering:

Version 1.0 completed this month, to be sustained by IEEE and ACM.

• Advance the State of the Practice– Software Sustainment, NDIA Software T&E Summit/Workshop

• Policy and Guidance– Earned Value Management, Military Handbook for Work Breakdown

Structures: MIL-HDBK-881.– Oversight of Services’ SW Acquisition Process Improvement

Programs.

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Notional Example of Schedule Feasibility Analysis

Likelihood of delivery to current schedule: less than 1%

Current Plan(Dec 2013)

Review Team Projection(50th percentile Dec 2014)

End Date Cum Probability (%)1/26/2014 13/17/2014 3

5/6/2014 86/25/2014 138/14/2014 2210/3/2014 31

11/22/2014 411/11/2015 54

3/2/2015 654/21/2015 756/10/2015 837/30/2015 909/18/2015 9511/7/2015 99

12/27/2015 100

Current Plan (Dec 2013)

Review Team Projection (50th percentile - Dec 2014)

12/7/2013 6/25/204 1/11/2015 7/30/2015

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Software and Systems Reliability

• DoD has renewed emphasis on systems reliability and lifecycle costs of shortfalls

– DDRE effort underway to consolidate software reliability guidance

• Starting to use parametric models to project numbers of latent software defects and discovery rates

– Used to support:– Development of satellite launch plans– Aircraft production decisions– Operational test readiness reviews

• Gauging software reliability using Mean Time to Defect (MTTD) discovery

System Testing DRs / Test Hr(DT events to IOT&E)

Software Block Maturity – Nov 2008

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Software Human Capital Efforts

• Software Acquisition Training and Education (SATEWG)– Chartered February 2008 by USD(AT&L) to add software competencies to

DoD’s 13 acquisition career fields– Recent accomplishments:

− Developed software competency framework, − Established SPRDE software competencies− Gap analysis of SATEWG competency framework and DAU’s

Software Acquisition Management courses− Current focus is on PM, Contracting and Test career fields

• Graduate Software Engineering Reference Curriculum (GSwERC)– Partnership with Industry and Academia– Version 1.0 completed September 2009– Transitioned to IEEE and ACM for sustainment

Software Industrial Base Study – July 2007There is a choke-point in availability of top-tier software

managers, architects, and domain experts.Supply of sufficiently trained SW developers is inadequate near-term.

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Better planning needed to partition software work among multiple developers and increase competition

*AIAA Infotech Conference 2009, Software Sustainment Challenges in Defense Acquisition

Software Sustainment Challenges

• Software intensive systems encourage*:– Build-a-little, test-a-little, field-a-little risk reduction– Incremental and spiral development efforts– Concurrent planning, development and sustainment activities

• No longer a natural ‘break point’ where software development can be transitioned to a sustainment organization– Technical capability of Government sustainment organizations

reduced due to acquisition reform

• Planning for software sustainment now a lost art– Acquisition programs no longer produce MIL-HDBK-347 Computer

Resource Life Cycle Management Plans

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NDIA Software Test and Evaluation Summit/Workshop – Sep 2009

• Purpose: “Recommend policy and guidance changes to emphasize robust software T&E approaches in Defense acquisition.”

• Speakers from Government, Industry and Academia

• Conducted workshops on:– How much software T&E is enough– Software T&E involvement across the lifecycle– Emerging paradigms: SOA, SoS, Security

• Workshops specifically addressed:– Policy & guidance, Human capital, RFP language,

SW T&E tools

• NDIA Software Experts and DT&E sub-committee to produce white paper by December 2009

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Software Measurement and Analysis Improvement Areas

Integrate software guidance into proven management techniques

Concepts - Requirements - Arch/Design - Development - Maintenance

Determine better methods of

obtaining cost estimating data Improve estimation

tools, techniques, & practices

Generate software appropriate WBS

Find best Earned Value Management (EVM)

practices for SW

Link quality indicators to EVM

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Software Earned Value Management (EVM) Study/Pilot

• Develop methods to combine EVM and software metrics to predict cost and schedule overruns

• Piloted on a 5-year ACAT 1D software development program

• Pilot indicator shows estimate-at-completion (EAC) forecasts for:– Existing program management plans– Milestone-based EVM measures– Software metrics, i.e, growth profile of size, effort, defects

Equivalent EAC forecasts provide an increased confidence in project plans

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Estimates at Completion (EAC) for Metrics, Earned Value, Program Plans

CPMO Spiral - Sample SummaryPerformance Measurement Baseline

$71

$478

$706$792

$941

$1,051

$1,145

$1,318

$1,420

$47

$228$291

$338

$565715

$1,032

$1,251

$1,370

$1,471$1,559 $1,579

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

Oct07 Nov07 Dec07 Jan08 Feb08 Mar08 Apr08 May08 Jun08 Jul08 Aug08 Sep08 Oct08 Nov08 Dec08

TIME (Months)

DO

LLA

RS

($K

BAC BCWS (PV) BCWP (EV) ACWP (AC) ETC

BAC = $1420

Data Date

EV MetricsCalculated Schedule Range:09/08/08 - 10/12/08

Calculated Estimate at Complete Range:$1,797K - $2,515K

Cumulative CPI = 0.79SW MetricsCalculated Schedule Range:05/14/08 - 06/18/08

Calculated Estimate at Complete Range:$1 570K $1 710K

SW MetricEAC

Program Plan

Completion

EV EAC

Confidence increases as EACs overlapMultiple measures reaching the same conclusion

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Questions/Discussion

Contact Information:Don Scott Lucero

Deputy Director, Software Engineering Systems Engineering Directorate, Defense Research and Engineering

Scott.Lucero@osd.mil