overview of lmp markets features of isos / rtos david withrow senior market economist fall 2007...

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Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance Jackson Hole, Wyoming October 8, 2007

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Page 1: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

Overview of LMP Markets

Features of ISOs / RTOs

David WithrowSenior Market Economist

Fall 2007 Meeting of the

NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Jackson Hole, Wyoming

October 8, 2007

Page 2: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

2Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Independent System Operators / Regional Transmission Organizations in North America

(see www.isorto.org)

Page 3: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

3Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Typical Reliability and Market Components of ISOs / RTOs

Day Ahead Market Schedules for injections and withdrawals Market Power Mitigation Optimized Network Model for all Schedules Locational Marginal Pricing Commitment of generation for reliability reasons Financial Transmission Rights Existing Transmission Contracts

Real Time Imbalance Market Ancillary Services

Resource Adequacy

Page 4: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

4Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Background on the California ISO

Began Operations March 31, 1998 Not-for-profit California corporation Five-member Governing Board appointed by the Governor Serves peak load in excess of 50,000 MW Operates over 25,000 circuit miles of transmission, covering over

125,000 sq.miles. Oversees the dispatch of over 700 generating units Market re-design to begin March 31, 2008

Mission

Operate the grid reliably and efficiently

Provide fair and open transmission access

Facilitate effective markets and promote infrastructure development

Page 5: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

5Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Core Functions of the California ISO

24 x 7 Grid Operations for Reliable and Non-discriminatory Transmission Service

CAISO Operates Markets:-- Transmission (Day Ahead and Hour Ahead)-- Real-time Imbalance Energy Market-- Ancillary Services

CAISO performs:-- Day-ahead scheduling-- Congestion management-- Market Oversight / Market Monitoring -- Coordinated Transmission Planning

Page 6: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

6Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Key Market Players in the California ISO

Transmission Owners Pacific Gas &Electric Southern California Edison San Diego Gas & Electric Other entities owning transmission assets operated by

the California ISO

Generators

Load-Serving Entities Municipally-owned Electric Systems State Department of Water Resources

Page 7: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

7Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

California ISO’s New Day Ahead Process

Market Power Mitigation analysis Analyzes each generator bid to determine market power

Integrated Forward Market” – transmission model that optimizes Energy schedules (bids), manages transmission congestion, Procures ancillary services Procurement Produces:

• feasible schedules for Real Time • LMP prices at each node

Residual Unit Commitment Commits additional capacity, if needed, based on Demand forecast

Congestion Revenue Rights (CRRs) Point-to-point rights to revenues from transmission congestion

Page 8: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

8Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

What is LMP?

The marginal cost of serving the next increment of Demand at that node consistent with transmission constraints.

Page 9: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

9Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Locational Marginal Pricing

LMP determines transparent prices at all price locations on the grid.

LMP prices generally consist of three components: Energy Congestion Losses

In California, generators are paid the LMP; load pays the averaged LMP in an area These Load Aggregation Points (LAPs) align with the three major

IOUs’ service areas.

Page 10: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

10Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

(A) How LMP makes congestion costs transparent

Page 11: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

11Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

(B) How LMP makes congestion costs transparent

Page 12: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

12Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Why LMP?

LMP manages ALL congestion in the Day Ahead to create physically feasible schedules prior to real-time operations.

Locational price patterns indicate areas where additional generation and transmission upgrades are needed.

Within the CAISO: Generation is paid the LMP at the generator node. Demand pays the average price within each IOU service area.

Page 13: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

13Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Understanding Financial Transmission Rights

Different terminology: PJM/ ISO-NE/ MISO: “Financial Transmission Rights” (FTRs) NYISO: “Transmission Congestion Contracts” (TCCs) California ISO: “Congestion Revenue Rights” (CRRs)

Definition: Rights to the hourly congestion revenue between two points – a

Source and a Sink. • Does not require scheduling energy between any two points• Allows hedging of congestion risk under LMP• Within CAISO, allocation / auction for terms of one month, one

season (four per year) and 10-years.

Page 14: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

14Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Financial Transmission Rights

A financial instrument (similar to a forward contract) that entitles the holder to a revenue stream (positive or negative) Most CRRs are obligations, not options

Revenues are based on the difference between the marginal congestion component of the Day-Ahead LMPs at the Source location and Sink location. The revenue stream is not based on the marginal loss component of

the LMP.

Provide a hedging mechanism that can be traded separately from transmission service. FTRs are not necessarily linked to scheduling practices. FTR markets encompass several hundred million dollars.

Page 15: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

15Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Convergence (Virtual) Bidding:

What is it?What is it?

Allows market participants to make financial sales (or purchases) for energy in the Day Ahead market, with the explicit requirement to buy back (or sell) that energy in the Real Time market.

Possibly profit from the differences between Day Ahead and Real Time prices.

Virtual bids pressure DA and RT prices to move closer together.

Requires careful credit standards for virtual bidders.

Page 16: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

16Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

How is it done?How is it done?

Example:Virtual Demand Bid in the Day Ahead Market

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 20 30MW

$/M

Wh

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Bid_Price

Actual_DA_Price

Page 17: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

17Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

How is it done?How is it done?

Example:Virtual Bids are Liquidated as price takers in Real

Time

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10MW

$/M

Wh

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Cleared Bid Price Profit

Actual_DA_Price Actual_RT_Price

Actual RT Price ($55)

Actual DA Price ($34)

Page 18: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

18Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Stable prices upon which parties can base contracts -- based on convergence of Day Ahead and Real Time prices.

Minimizes incentives to under-schedule in the Day Ahead.

Provides mechanism for generators to hedge risk of outages or be guaranteed the Real Time price.

Common feature in many ISOs and RTOs. CAISO will introduce convergence bidding no later than

April, 2009.

Convergence (virtual) bidding: Potential Benefits

Page 19: Overview of LMP Markets Features of ISOs / RTOs David Withrow Senior Market Economist Fall 2007 Meeting of the NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and

19Monday, October 8, 2007 -- Fall 2007 Meeting of NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance

Summary

Overview of LMP markets, FTRs, virtual bidding and other financial mechanisms.

Organized markets permit financial practices within the scheduling and settlement of physical energy.

ISOs and RTOs work closely with state regulators in the design and monitoring of markets.

CAISO training modules on market processes, CRRs and other features are located at:

http://www.caiso.com/docs/2005/10/07/200510071157559066.html