PA3BE,LJ,KA V1 ,LJ,06blYA

3KOHOMeTpM'leCKMM aHanM3 3 ct»eKTMBHOCTM .Q06bl'IM ra3a « a3npoMa» e 1993-2016 rr. AHTOH A<j>aHacbeB

B CTaTb e np111so,[\ snrn p e 3y11bTa Tbl 3 KOHOM e Tp1114e c Koro 111c c 11e,[\OBa H vrn 3cpcp eKrnBHo crn x o 3 ~i.1 cTBeH Hoi.1

Ae~TellbHocrn « la3npoMa » s c¢epe A06bl4lt1 np111po,[\Horo ra 3 a Ha np111 Mepe TIO MeHc Ko i-1 0611acrn [r,[\e « la3 npoM»

A06b1BaeT 92% csoero ra 3a] c MOM e HTa OCHOBaHlt1~ KOMnaHlt1lt1 - 3 a n e plt10,[\ 1993-201 6 IO,[\OB. H a OCHOBaH lt1lt1

nonyYeHHbl X p e3yllbTa TOB c n03 lt1L\lt1i."1 3 KOHOMlt14 e CKOi.1 HayK1t1 aBTOpO M ,[\aeTrn OTB e T Ha sonpoc , 21¢¢eKrnBHO 11111

pa6oTaeT « la3npoM>> s c¢e pe A06bl4lt1 np111po,[\Horo ra 3a.

KntoY€Bb1e cnoaa : la3npoM, go6b1Ya nP"POAHOro ra3a , Tto M e H cKa~ o6naCTb, crar " crnyecrne gaHHble, 3KOHOMerp" YecKoe "ccnegoaaH"e. 3¢¢eKT" BHOCTb,

" HH OBa l_\"OHH Oe pa3B"rne, ce6ecTO"M OCTb go6blY", K03¢¢"L\ "€HT H e~TpanbH OfO TeXH"Y ecKOrO nporpecca .

B 2018 rOAY MCIIO.l\HHeTcH 25 AeT co AHH o6pa30BaHM5I

ITAO «f a3rrpoM» , KpyrrHettIIIeli ra3 0BOH KOMrraHMM

PoccMM M MMpa, M 55 AeT c Ha'!a.l\a A06bI'IM rrpMpOA­

Horo ra3a B T IOMeHCKOM 06.1\aCTM. c MOMeHTa OCHO­

BaHM5I «fa3rrp0Ma» MHOrMX pOCCMMCKMX M 3apy6eJK­

HbIX 3KOHOMMCTOB M IIO.l\MTMKOB MHTepecyeT BOrrpoc ,

3cpcpeKTMBHO .l\M pa6oTaeT « f a 3 rrpOM» B u;e.l\OM, B TOM

'IMC.l\e B ccpepe A06bI'IM rrpMpOAHOro ra3a. 0TBeTbI Ha

Hero AaIOTCH pa3Hbre, 3a'!acTyIO AMaMeTpaAbHO rrpo­

TMBOIIO.l\OJKHbre. BMecTe c TeM rrpaKTM'!eCKM OTcyT­

CTByeT H e 3aBMCMMOe HaY'J:HOe o60CHOBaHMe TOM M.l\M

MHOM TO'IKM 3peHM5I Ha 3cpcpeKTMBHOCTb X035IMCTBeH­

HOM AeHTe.l\bHOCTM «fa3rrp0Ma». TaKMM o6pa30M, u;eAb

HaCT05Iru;e:i1: CTaTbM - rrpOAMTb CBeT Ha 3TOT MHTepe­

cyIOru;Mtt MHOrMX g °Brrpoc c II03MIJ;MM COBpeMe HHOM

3KOHOMM'!eCKOM HayKM, BaJKHe MIIIMM MHCTpyMeHTOM

KOTOpoli Ha c e rOAH5IIIIHMM AeHb C.l\J)KaT 3KOHOMM­

KO -MaTeMaTM'!eCKMe MeTOAbI , BK.l\IO'!a5I arrrrapaT rrpo ­

M3BOACTBeHHbIX cpyHKIJ;MM M p e rpecCMOHHbIM aHa.l\M3

BpeMeHHbIX PHAOB. CTaTbH 5IB.l\5IeTC5I rrpOAOA)KeHM ­

eM MHMu;MaTMBHOro MCC.l\eAOBaHM5I aBTOpa 3 cpcp e KTMB ­

H OCTM «fa3rrpoMa» , Ha'!aToro B 2005 rOAY B L(3Ml1

PAH, pe3yAbTaTbI KOToporo M3.l\OJKeHbI B pHAe pa6oT

[1 - 4, 10].

MeTOAbl HccneAoBaHHff " cTaTHCrn'lecKHe AaHHble B CBOeM MCC.l\eAOBaHMM MbI (M3- 3 a OTCyYCTBM5I IIO.l\HOro

Kpyra H e 06XOAMMbIX CTaTMCTM'!eCKMX AaHHbIX) orpa­

HM'IMM C5I ccpepoli A06hI'IM rrpMpOAHOro ra3 a «fa3rrpo­

M OM » (6e3 Y'J:e Ta «fa3rrpoM HecpTM») M TeppMTOpM­

eli TIOMe HCKOM 06.1\aCTM, rAe KOMIIaHM5I BeAe T A06bI'IY

55 Ae T (c 1963 roAa) M Ha ceroAHHIIIHMH AeHb A06br­

Bae T 92% cBoero rrpMpOAHOro ra3a . l1HcTpyMeHTaMM

74

MCC.l\eAOBaHM5I 6YAYT 3KOHOMMKO -MaTeMaTM'!eCKMe

MOAe.l\M rrp OM3BOACTBeHHbIX cpyttKIJ;MM M perpeCCMOH­

HbIM aHa.l\M3 BpeMeHHhrx pHAOB.

ITo-BMAMMOMy, rrepBbIM pa3pa60T'IMKOM rrpoM3BOA­

CTBeHHbIX cpyttKIJ;MM ra30A06hrna10ru;e:i1: rrpOMbIIII.l\eH­

HOCTM CCCP M coI03HbIX pecrry6.l\MK 5IB.l\5IeTrn A· 3 . H .

/\.. E. BapIIIaBCKMM, KOTOpbIM B CBOeH AMCcepTau;MOHHOM

pa60Te, 3 aru;Mru;eHHOH B L(3Ml1 AH CCCP, Ha OCHOBe

MCC.l\eAOBaHM5I cpM3M'IeCKMX rrpou;eccoB M 3aKOHOMepHO­

CTe:i1: A06bI'IM rrpMpOAHOro ra3a TeopeTM'!eCKM M MeTo­

AOAOrM'!eCKM o60CHOBd.I\ BbI6op BMAOB rrpOM3BOACTBeH­

HbIX cpyttKIJ;MM M cpaKTOpOB rrpOM3BOACTBa [ 5] . A,.1\5! 3 KOHOMeTpM'IeCKO r o MCC.l\eAOBaHM5I rrpOM3 -

BOACTB e HHbIX cpyH KIJ;MM A06bI'IM rrpMpOAHOro ra3 a

«fa3rrpOMOM»

(1)

6hI.l\M oTo6paHbI, KaK M /\.. E. BapIIIaBCKMM [5 - 7], cAeAy-

10ru;Me cpaKTOpbr rrpOM3BOACTBa, orrpeAe.l\5IIOru;Me A06br'Iy

IIPMPOAHOro ra3 a r ,: 1) <Pt(l 99CJ; - cpe AHerOAOBa5I CTOMMOCTb OCHOBHbI X

rrpOMbIIII.l\eHHO - IIpOM3BOACTBe HHbI X cpOHAOB OCHOB­

Horo BMAa A e 5ITe .l\bHOCTM (B COIIOCTaBMMbIX u;eHaX

1990 rOAa) B rOAY t, C.l\J)Karu;Mx rAa BHOM MaTepMa.l\b­

HO-TeXHM'!eCK OM 6a3 0M ra30A06brna10ru;e :i1: rrpOMbIIII­

.1\eHH OCTM [8, C. 101 ]; 2) Lt - cpeAHerOAOBa5I 'IMC.l\eHHOCTb rrpOMbIIII.l\e H­

HO-IIpOM3BOACTBeHHOro rrepcoHd.l\a (pa60THMKOB) B A06br­

'!e rrpMpOAHoro ra3a B rGAY t ; 3) GT

1_1

- HaKOII.l\eHHaH A06hr'!a rrpMpOAHOro ra3a c roAa

Ha'!a~a rrpoMbIIII.l\eHHOH A06bI'IM T no r o A t-1, xapaK­

TepM3yIOru;aH Mepy MCTOru;eHM5I 3arraCOB [6, c. 22] , A.l\5I

T10MeHCKOH o6AacTM T = 1963.

Oil&Gas Journal Russia

Ta611111.1a 1 CTaTHCTl1'leCKHe AaHHble H HX HCTO'lHHKl1

1. ,D,06b1Ya np1-1pogHoro ra3a

2. CpegHerogosasi CT0"1MOCTb npDMblWJleHHO­npoi.13BOACTBeHHblX cpOHAOB

go6b1Y1-1 np1-1pogHoro ra3a

3. CpegHerogosa11 4"1Clle HH OCTb npDMblWJleHHO­

npo1-13BOACTBeHHOro nepcoHalla (pa60THHKDBI

s go6b14e np1-1pogHoro ra3a

4. HaKonneHHasi go6b14a np1-1pogHoro ra3a c 1963 r.

ii1CTOYHHK

Orpac11esa11 crarncT1-1Ka [1, C. 292-294, 296], [4, C. 34]

CDopMa Ng 11 lcsog*J go 1998 r., oTparnesasi CTaT1-1cT1-1Ka c 1999 r.

[1, C. 293-294]

CDopMbl 1-T, n-4 (csog*J no OKOHX 11231 [go 2004 r.J, no OKB3,D,

11.10.2, 11.10.21 le 2005 r.J

Bbl4"1ClleHa Ha OCHOBe orparnesoiii crar1-1cr1-1K1-1

* Crarncrn4ecK1-1e gaHHble no 3THM cpopMaM 6b1111-1 npegocrasneHbl opraHaM"1 rocygapcTBeHHOiii crarnCT"1K"1 B CBOAHOM B"1Ae icsogbl no cp opMaM cogep>KaT He MeHee rpex npegnp1-111rniiil

AAfr. 3KOHOMeTpIFI8CKoro ITCCA8AOBamrn: cpyttKu;rrrr

BITAa ( 1) 6hIAIT rrcITOAh30BaHbI CTaTrrcTwrecKrre AaH­

Hbre ITO CA8AY:EOIIJ;ITM ITP8AITPH5ITITHM «fa3ITpOMa»:

000 «fa3ITpoM A06bl'Ia HaAbIM», 000 «fa3ITpOM

A06bl':rn YpeHroil», 000 «fa3ITpoM A06bI'Ia HoH6pbCK»,

000 «fa3ITpoM A06br'la 5IM6ypr», 000 «T:EOMeH­

TpaHcra3», 3AO «ITypra3» (100%). 000 «ITypra3A06br­

qa» rr OAO «CesepHecpTera3ITpOM» (Ta6A. 1). B CBOA ITO (( fa3ITpoMy» c 1993 fOAa He BKA:EO'l8Hbl

cpeAH8fOAOBaH CTOITMOCTb OCHOBHbIX ITpOMbIIIIA8H­

HO- ITpOH3BOACTBeHHbIX cpOHAOB rr cpeAH8fOAOBaH 'lITC­

AeHHOCTb pa60THITKOB B A06bI'le ra3a 000 «T:EOMeH ­

TpaHcra3»' A06bI'la KOTOporo COCTaBAHAa ITprrMepHO

0, 1 % OT A06bI'lll «fa3ITpOMa» Ha TepprrToprrrr o6AaCTIT.

B CBOA ITO <IrrcAeHHOCTrr pa60THITKOB OKB3Aa

11.10.2 3a 2005- 2006 fOAbI A06aBA8HbI OTpacAeBbie

AaHHbre «fa3ITpoMa» o 'lITCAeHHOCTrr pa60THITKOB,

3aHHTbIX B A06bI'le yrAeBOAOPOAOB, ITO 000 «ITyp­

ra3A06bI'la», rrMeBIIIeMy B 3Trr rOAhI OKB3A 11.10.11. B CBH3ll c TeM, 'ITO c 1991 fOAa u;eHbI Ha HOBbie OCHOB­

Hbie cpOHAbI CTaAIT pe3KO ITOBbIIIIaTbCH, a CTapbre OCHOB­

Hbie cpOHAbI c 1992 fOAa CTaAIT ITOABepraTbCH ITepeou;eH­

Ke, AAH o6ecITe'leHITH COITOCTaBITMOCTll CTaTITCTIT'l8CKITX

AaHHbIX cpeAH8fOAOBaH CTOITMOCTb OCHOBHbIX cpOHAOB

«fa3ITpOMa» c 1991 fOAa ITepeBOAITAaCb B COITOCTaBrr­

Mbie u;eHbI ITO CA~Ayroru;eil M8TOAITKe: (2) - (7) [ 1, rA. 5).

c 1991 roAa cpeAH8fOAOBaH CTOITMOCTb B COITOCTaBrr­

MbIX u;eHax 1990 fOAa </Jt(l 990) BbI'lllCAHAaCb KaK cpeA­

Hee aprrcpMeTrr'leCKOe M8JKAY CTOITMOCTb:EO OCHOBHbIX

ITpOMbIIIIAeHHO-ITpOH3BOACTB8HHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHOro

BITAa A8HT8AbHOCTll Ha Ha'laAO OT'l8THOro fOAa B COITO­

CTaBITMbIX u;eHax <I>H,( 1990) rr CTOITMOCTb:EO OCHOBHbIX

ITpOMbIIIIAeHHO- ITpOH3BOACTB8HHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHOro

BITAa A8HT8AbHOCTIT Ha KO Heu; OT'l8THOro fOAa B COITOCTa­

BITMbIX u;eHax <I>K,( 1990) :

SiHsapb - cpespa11b 2018

LJ,eHrpanbHoro

[LJ,3MV1) PAH . 3KOHOMHKO-MaTeMaTHYeCKOro HHCTHTyra

06naCTb HayYHblX HHTepecos : 3KOHOMHKO-

MaTeMarnYeCKDe Mogen1-1posaH1-1e 1-1 nporHo31-1posaH1-1e, 11crop1111

3KOHOM114eCKOiii MblCJ111, geHe>KHOe 06pa~eH11e, 3KOHOMl1Ka

ra3osoiii npoMb1w11eHHocrn.

ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF GAZPROM PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY IN 1993-2016 The article brings the results of an econometric analysis of

gas production efficiency by PJSC Gazprom, using the Tyumen

Region, where 92% of the gas is produced, as an example.

The analys is covers the period from the company's creation in

1993 until 2016. On the basis of the results and from the point

of view of economics, the author asks the question : is Gazprom

working effectively in the areas of natural gas production?

Keywords: PJSC Gazprom, natural gas production, Tyumen region,

statist ica l data, econometric analysis, efficiency, innovatory

development, production cost, neutral technical progress factor.

Anton Afanasyev

- <PH,(1990) + <I>/(10 990) </Jl ( l 990) = 2

</JJ(,<199iJJ = </JH1c199iJJ + <PB,0 99iJJ - <P..n,c199iJJ •

<PH,099iJJ = <PK1-1(1990J, <PH1991(199iJJ = <PH1991 ·

<PB1 <PB1(1990J = -

1---

f1 I1KCi i=l991

<!>JI/ t rr 11.ni

i=l992

Mn/= <PH, . H.n,991 = l.HJI,993=1

</JK1-1

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

rAe <I>B,( 1990) - CTOITMOCTb BB8A8HHbIX B A8HCTBrre

HOBbIX OCHOBHbIX ITPOMbIIIIAeHHO- ITpOH3BOACTB8HHbIX

cpOHAOB OCHOBHOro BITAa A8HT8AbHOCTll B COITOCTaBrr­

MbIX u;eHax 1990 fOAa B fOAY t; </J.11.1( 19901 - CTOITMOCTb AllKBITAITPOBaHHbIX OCHOBHbIX

ITpOMbIIIIA8HHO-ITp0ll3BOACTBeHHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHO­

ro BITAa A8HT8AbHOCTIT B COITOCTaBITMbIX u;eHax 1990 fOAa

B fOAY t;

<I>H, - CTOITMOCTb OCHOBHbIX ITpOMbIIIIA8HHO-ITpOrr3-

BOACTB8HHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHoro BITAa A8HT8AbHOCTll

B cpaKTIT'l8CKITX u;eHax Ha Ha'!aAO fOAa t;

<I>K, - CTOITMOCTb AITKBITAITPOBaHHbIX OCHOBHbIX ITpO­

MbIIIIA8HHO-ITpOH3BOACTB8HHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHOfO BlfAa

A8HT8AbHOCTll B cpaKTIT'l8CKITX u;eHax Ha KOHeu; rOAa t;

<I>B, - CTOITMOCTb BB8A8HHbIX B A8HCTBrre HOBbIX

OCHOBHbIX ITpOMbIIIIAeHHO- ITpOH3BOACTB8HHbIX cpOHAOB

OCHOBHOfO BMAa A8HT8AbHOCTM B cpaKTIT'l8CKMX u;eHax

B rOAY t;

75

PA3BEAKA l-1 A06blLJA

C/)J'J.1

- CTOHMOCTb AHKBHAHpOBa HHbIX OCHOBH blX

rrpOMbIIIIAeHHO-IIpOH3BOACTBeHHbIX cpOHAOB OCHOBHO­

ro BHAa Ae5ITeAbHOCTH B cpaKTH'IeCKHX u;eHax B rOAY t;

MKC1

- HHAeKc cpaKTwrecKHX u;eH B KarrHTaAbHOM

CTpOHTeAbCTBe B I'OAY t; MA

1 - HHAe Kc cpaKTWiecKOH rrepe ou;eHKH ocHOBHhIX

cpOHAOB B rOAY t, KOTOpbIH B 1991 rOAY H 1993 rOAY paBeH

eAHHHu;e, IIOCKOAbKY rrepeou;eHKa Ha Ha'!aAO 3THX rOAOB

He rrpOH3 BOAHAaCb.

<DoHAbl , IIOCTyrIHBIIIHe H BbI6bIBIIIHe ITO rrpotIHM rrpH­

'IHHaM, rrpH pactieTe cpeAHe rOAOBOH CTOHMOCTH c 1991 roAa He YtIHTbIBaAHCb, TaK KaK H3- 3a OTCYTCTBH5I TO'I ­

HOH HHcpOpMau;HH 06 HX u;eHax H ABHJKeHHH He5ICHO, ITO

KaKHM HHAeKcaM HX rrepeBOAHTb B IIOCT05IHHbie u;eHbl.

J13- 3a OTCYTCTBH5I Heo6XOAHMbI X CTaTHCTH'IeCKHX AaH­

HbIX B OTpaCAeBOH CTaTHCTHKe c 1999 I'OAa 6bIAO rrpHH5I ­

TO MA1 = 0, rAe t ;. 1999.

3KOHOMeTpM'tecKoe MOAenMpoeaHMe. PeJynbTaTbl Ja 1993-2016 rOAbl : CTpoBeAeHhI pactieTbI HeCKOAhKHX BHAOB rrp OH3 BOA­

CTBeHHhIX cpyttKu;Hii: ( 1) MeTOAOM HaHMeHblllHX KBaAp a ­

TOB Ha OCHOBe CTaTHCTH'IeCKHX AaHHbIX H3 HCTO'IHHKOB

Ta6A. 1 BO Bp eMeHHbI X rrpoMeJKYTKax 1993 - 2016 rOAOB.

B pe3yAhTaT e IIOAYtIHAOCb (Ta6A. 2). 'ITO AYtIIIIHM o6p a -

30M c TO'IKH 3peHH5I KAaCCH'!eCKHX KpHTepHeB 3KOHO­

MeTpHKH H 3KOHOMH'!eCKoro CMbICAa rrpou;ecc A06bI­

'IH rrpHpOAHoro r a3a ra30A06brnarorn;HM KOMIIAeKCOM

«fa3rrpoMa» TIOMeHCKOH o6AaCTH OIIHCbIBaeT rrpOH3-

BOACTBeHHa5I cpyttKu;H5I c IIOCT05IHHOH OTAatieH Ha eAH­

HHu;y MaCIIITa6a H eAHH H'IHbI M AaroM ITO OCHOBHbI M

cpOHAaM , rrpHBeAeHHa5I K CAeAyrorn;eMy BHAY:

(8)

Ta6m1L1a 2

rAe r, - rrpOH3 BOAHTe AbHOCTb TPYAa B A06bI'Ie

L, ct>,_1c199Cl

rrpHpOAHOro ra3 a B I'OAY t; - L-- - cpOHAOBOOpYJKeH-

HOCTb TPYAa B A06b1tie rrpHpoAi'.roro ra3a B rOAY t. YMHo:>KHB o6e tiaCTH (8) Ha l

1, IIOAYtiae M cTaHAapT­

HhIH BHA rrpOH3BOACTBeHHOH cpyttKu;HH A06hI'IH IIPHPOA­

Horo ra3a ra30A06bIBaIOrn;HM KOMIIAeKCOM « f a3rrp0Ma»

TroMeHcKo:H o6AaCTH.

r - A. ;n a; LI- a . /J·G1 961H t - '1-'1-1(1990) t e (8')

B caMOM AeAe, Bo- rrepBbIX, y 3THX cpyttKu;H:H BeAH­

'IHHa K03cpcpttu;HeHTa AeTepMHHau;HH R2, oTpaJKaro ­

rn;M CTerreHb TeCHOTbl CTaTHCTH'Ie CKOH CB5I3 H MeJKAy

pe3yAbTHpyrorn;e:H rrepeMeHHOH ( rrpOH3BOAHTeAbHOCTbIO

TPYAa B A06bI'Ie ra3 a) H o6'.h5ICH5IIOrn;HMH rrepeMeHHhIM H

( cpoHAOBOOpYJKeHHOCThIO TPYAa H BpeMeHeM HAH HaKo ­

rrAe~HOH A 06b1tie:H). otieHb BhICOKa5I - IIO'ITH 1. T aKHM

o6pa3 0M, B 1993 - 20 16 rOAax BapHau;m:I rrpOH3 BOAH ­

TeAbHOCTH TPYAa 60J1.ee tieM Ha 99% o6ycAOBAeHa H3Me ­

HeHHeM ero cpOHAOBOOpYJKeHHOCTH H BpeMeHH HAH

HaKorrAeHHOH A06bI'IH .

Bo- BTOp bIX, 3HatieHH5I cTaTHCTHKH Aap6HHa - YoT­

coHa DW IIO'ITH Be3Ae CBHAeTeAbCTByIOT 06 OTCYTCTBHH

aBTOKOppeA5Iu;HH OCTaTKOB Ha 1 % ypOBHe 3Ha'IHMOCTH.

B -TpeTbHX, rrpeBOCXOA5J:rn;He no MOAYAIO 2 t - cTaTHCTH­

KH ou;eHOK K03 cpcpHu;HeHTOB rrpOH3BOACTBeHHbIX cpyttK­

u;H:H IIOKa3bIBaIOT, 'ITO Bee YtITeHHbie cpaKTOpbl rrpOH3 -

BOACTBa 5IBA5IIOTC5I CTaTHCTH'IeCKH 3Ha'IHMbI MH. 3 H aKH

rrpH HX K03cpcpHu;HeHTax He rrpOTHBOpetiaT 3KOHOMH'Ie­

CKOMY CMhICAY. Ae:HcTBHTeAbHO, oTpHu;aTeAbHhIH K03cp­

cpttu;HeHT rrpH HaKOIIAeHHOH A06bI'Ie ~ IIOATBepJKAaeT

TOT cpaKT, 'ITO A06bI'Ia rr~aeT, IIOCKOAbKY rrpH HeH3MeH­

HOM 06'.beMe OCHOBHblX cpOHAOB a) c Te'IeHHeM BpeMeHH

rrp oHCXOAHT ecTeCTBeHHoe rr~eHHe A06hI'IH; 6) c pocToM

HaKOIIAeHHOH A06bI'IH CHHJKaeTC5I AaBAeHHe B IIAaCTe

H rrpOAYKTHBHOCTh ra30BhIX CKBaJKHH . DoAOJKHTeAhHhIH

K03cpcpttu;HeHT rrpH cpOHAOBOOpYJKeHHOCTH TPYAa a rroKa-

Pe3ynbTaTbl 3KOHOMeTp111<1ecKoro 111ccneAOBaH111S1 <l>YHKL.llll lll (8) e 1993-2016 roAax

3brnaeT, 'ITO no Mepe YBeAHtieHH5I

06'.beMa OCHOBHblX cpOHAOB rrpH AaH­

HOM ypOBHe Bbipa6oTaHHOCTH 3arra­

COB rrpHpOAHOro ra3 a H 3~aHHOH

1993- 200 7 0,301 (6) 0,89 (31] 0, 11 (3 1] - 1,68 x 10-1 (46) 0, 996

1993- 2008 0, 264 (7) 0,9 1 (32) 0,09 (32) - 1,66 x 10-1 [46] 0, 995

1993-2009 0,312 (6) 0,89 (28] 0, 11 [28] - 1,69 x 10-1 (41) 0,99

1993- 20 10 0,283 (6] 0,90 (28) 0 10 (28) -1 6 7 x 10-1 !40J o 99 1993- 20 11 0, 254 (6] 0 91 (26) 0 09 (26) -1 65 x 10-7 (36] 0 99

1993- 20 12 0,237 (6] 0,92 (25) 0,08 (25) -1 ,63 x 10-1 [35] 0, 99

1993- 201 3 0,228 (7] 0,92 (26) 0,08 (26) -1 ,63 x 10-1 [36 ] 0, 99

1993- 2014 0,254 (6) 0,91 (24) 0,09 (24] -1 ,64 x 10-1 !341 o.98

1993- 20 15 0,276 (5] 0,90 (22) 0, 10 [22) -1,66 x 10-1 [32] 0, 98

1993- 2016 0,285 (5] 0,90 (22) 0, 10 (22] -1 ,67x10-1 (32 ] 0,98

• CM. [10, P. 34] i-i [1, C. 294]

76

0, 90 0, 11

0,80 0, 10

1,43 0,10

1,98 0 10 1 53 0 09

1,34 0,09

1,1§_ 0 09

1,42 0,08

1,1 3 0,08

1,07 0,08

'IHCAeHHOCTH 3 aH5ITblX rrpOHCXOAHT

pOCT ra30A06bI'IH.

B - tieTBepTbIX , 3HatieHH5I K03cp ­

cpHu;HeHTOB KOppeA5Iu;HH

( (iii. - 1(199() J J r ln - L-,- , G 19•11-1

MeJKAY o6'.b5ICH5IIOrn;HMH rrepeMeH­

HbIMH, MeHbIIIHe ITO MOAYAIO 0,78, rAe t = 1993, .... 2016, yKa3bIBaIOT

Ha OTCYTCTBHe 3cpcpeKTa KOJ\.J\.HHe­

apHOCTH.

TaKHM o6pa30M, BhICOKoe KatiecTBo

arrrrpOKCHMau;HH 3KOHOMeTpHtieCKOH

MOAeAH (8) H p e 3yAhTaTbl rrpoBepKH

Oil&Gas Journal Russia

,0,06b1Ya ra3a

P11cyHoK 1 CTaTMCTWieCKHX TIUIOTe3 He ITPOTMBO­

peLiaT TOMY, 'ITO ou;eHK!1 ITapaMeYpoB

ITpOM3BOACTBeHHOM cpyHKIJ;MM (8)' ITOAy-qeHHbie MeTOAOM HaMMeHhllIMX

KBaApaTOB 3a ITepMOA 1993 - 2016 fOAOB, 5!BMUOTC5! TO'IHbIMM HecMe­

ru;eHHbIMM ou;eHKaMM M3 Bcex AHHeM­

HbIX HeCMeru;eHHbIX ou;eHOK.

AHHaMHKa noKa3aTe11e.:13<l><l>eKTHBHOCTH (1-a) H s, 1.1eTb1pex AO"lepHHX ra30A06b1ea-

10lJ.IHX 06lJ.leCTB «ra3npOM» 3a 1993-2016 rOAbl

31f>lf>eKTHBHOCTb X03flMCTBeHHOM ,QeflrenbHOCTH M MMHMMM3a~Mfl M3.Qep>KeK B 1993-2016 ro.Qax

0,12

0,1

0,08

0,06

0,04

0,02

0

0, 11 0,11

}fa Ta6AHIJ;bl 2 M pMCyttKa 1 BMAeH

CAeAyIOiu;MM BaJKHbIM pe3yAh­

TaT Halllero MCCAeAOBaHM5! . 3Aa­

CTH'IHOCTM BaAOBOM A06hI'IM ra3a

ITO TPYAY ( 1-a) y ITpOM3BOACTBeH­

HOM cpyttKIJ;MM AOLiepHMX o6ru;ecTB

«fa3ITpOMa» (8) ITO'ITM MAH ITOAHO­

CTbIO COBITaAaIOT co cpeAHeM 3a

1993 - 2016 fOAbI AOAeM 3apa60THOM

1993-2007 1993-2008 1993-2009 1993-2010 1993-2011 1993- 2012 1993- 2013 1993-2014 1993-2015 1993-2016

I DAbl

- CpeAHSHl AO!lfl 3apa6orHo~ nnaTbl c Ha41-1cneH1-1SH-1"1 e 3arparax Ha A06bl4Y ra3a

~ 311acn14HOCTb A06bl4l-1 np111pDAHOro ra3a no TPYAY

ITAaTbI c HatIMCAeHM5!MM B 3aTpaTax

Ha A06bILIY ra3a ITO ITpMH~eJKaru;MM «fa3ITpoMy» Kpyrr­

HbIM ra30A06brnaIOru;MM ITpeAITPM5!TM5!M TroMeHCKOM

o6AaCTM s,. TaKMM o6pa3oM, ecAH B cpeAHeM 3a 1993 - 2016 rOAhI

AOM 3apa60THOM ITAaTbI c HaLIMCAeHM5!MM paBHa 3Aa­

CTMLIHOCTM A06hILIM ITO TPYAY:

S = w,L, =1-a, i w1L1 + r,<1>1-1(1 99~

(9)

TO , ITOCKOAbKY AOA5! MaTepMaAbHhIX 3aTpaT OtieHb MaAa

(OKOAO 3%), OCTaBllla5!C5! tiaCTb ce6eCTOMMOCTM B cpeA­

HeM 3a 1993 - 2007 rOAhI paBHa 3AaCTMLIHOCTM A06hILIM

ITO OCHOBHbIM cpOHAaM:

l~<Pt-1(199~ ----~--=a,

WIL i + 1~<1>1-1(199~ (10)

rAe w, - cpeAHerOAOBa5! 3apa6oTHa5! ITAaTa c HatIMC­

AeHM5!MM Ha OAHOro pa60THMKa B fOAY t;

r, - ITAaTa 3a OCHOBHhie cpOHAhI B fOAY t, BKAIOLiaIO­

ru;a5! B ce65! aMopTM3au;Mro, apeHAy, BXOA5£Iu;Me B ce6e­

CTOMMOCTh HaAorM (B TOM LIMCAe HACT11) , KaITMTaAbHhIM

peMOHT OCHOBHbIX cpeACTB M ITpOLIMe paCXOAbI.

113 3aBMCMMOCTeM (9) - ( 10) BbITeKaeT CAeAyroru;ee.

B cpeAHeM 3a ITepMOA 1993 - 2016 roAOB ITpeAeAbHa5!

HOpMa 3aMeru;eHM5! TPYAa M KaITMTaAa B A06bILie ra3a

M3 MeCTOpOJKAeHMM AOLiepHMX o6ru;eCTB «fa3ITpOMa»

B TIOMeHCKOM o6AaCTM paBHa OTHOIIIeHMIO u;eH cpaKTO­

poB ITpOM3BOACTBa:

ar1 / ar1 w, aLI a<I>t-1(199~ = 7, ( 11)

113 3TOrO 3KOHOMMLieCKOro pe3yAhTaTa CAeAyeT,

'ITO ITPM AaHHhIX TeXHOAOrMM M u;eHax Ha cpaKTOpbI

>1Hsapb - cpespanb 2018

ITpOM3BOACTBa B cpeAHeM 3a ITepMOA 1993 - 2016 fOAOB

ra30A06hrnaroru;Me ITpeAITPM5!TM5! « fa3ITpoMa» TIOMeH­

CKOM o6AaCTM A06bIBaAH 3~aHHbie rOAOBHOM KOMITaHM­

eM: ofrheMhI ITPMPOAHOro ra3a c MMHMMaAbHbIMM 3aTpa­

TaMM TPYAa M KaITMTaAa, KaK ecAM 6bI OHM pernaAH

CAeAyroru;yro 3~aLiy:

(12)

A . (f) a. . L t-a. . ep.a,,.,H > f 1- l I - f 1

(13)

B pe3yAhTaTe pellleHM5! 3a,ll;aLIM (12) - (13) HaXOAMM:

(14)

fAe C,min - MMHMMaAbHbie 3aTpaTbI Ha A06bILIY ra3a

B fOAY t. 113 ( 14) CAeAyeT, 'ITO cpyttKIJ;M5! MMHMMaAbHbIX 3aTpaT

«fa3ITpOMa» Ha A06bILIY ra3a C,min 5!BA5!eTC5! AHHeMHOM.

3TO 03HatiaeT, 'ITO ITpeAeAbHbie 3aTpaTbI ac'.~' COBIT~aIOT ar,

co cpeAHMMM c;''" I ti M He 3aBMC5!T OT o6neMOB A06bIBa­

eMoro «fa3ITpOMOM» ra3a:

acmin cmin 0. I-ct

-,-1 -=-~- = a -0.(1-at-1 · r, ·w1

art rt A . eP·Gio63H ( 15)

0TCIOAa ITOAy-qaeTC5!, 'ITO ITO KpaM:HeM Mepe HatIM­

Ha5! c 1993 fOAa Ha TeppMTOpMM TIOMeHCKOM o6AaCTM He

cyru;ecTByeT OITTMMaAbHOrO pa3Mepa ra30A06bIBaIOru;e­

ro KOMITAeKca «fa3ITpOMa», TO eCTb «fa3ITpOM» HaxOAMT­

C5! B 3cpcpeKTMBHOM ITO CTapeTO TOLIKe BHe 3aBMCMMOCTM

OT o6neMOB A06bILIM M ITpM ITpOLIMX paBHhIX YCAOBM5!X

KOMITaHM5! MOJKeT Haparu;MBaTh MAH ITPM Heo6XOAMMOCTM

77

PA3BE)J,KA V1 )J,06blYA

P1-1cyHoK 2 ,[J,HHaMHKa KOJ<1><1>1111.111teHTa A npoH3BOACTBeHHblX <1>YHK1.1HM A06bl'IH npHpOAHOro

ra3a (8) H (16) ra30A06b1Bal01J.1"1M KOMnneKCOM «ra3npOM» TIOMeHCKOM o6nacTH

B 1984-2016 rOAaX

BO BpeMeHHOM rrpoMeJKyTKe

1965 - 1992 fOAOB (Ta6A. 3). <DyHK­

IJ;II.SI ( 16) OTAir'laeTC5I OT cpyHKIJ;HH

(8) I1 (8') TeM, 'ITO B HeH B KatJ:eCTBe

apryMeHTa OTCyYCTByeT HaKOIIAeH­

Ha5I A06bitJ:a , H3-3a Toro 'ITO Ha TOT

MOMeHT OHa 6hIAa CTaTHCTHtJ:eCKH

He3HatIHMOH.

0,35 YcKopeHHoe "1HHOBal..l"10HHoe

0,30

0,25

0,20

0, 15

nnaBHOe "1HHOBal..l"10HHOe pa3e1-1THe

---------0 145 0,153 '

0,1330,1330,135 0,138'

0,312 0,301

0,264 l pa3e1-1rne

0,283

lf1HHOBa4110HHblj;i --

0,285

npOpblB ------0,228

---------- CaHK~111111 Kp1113111c 2009 r. c 2014 r.

A11HaM11Ka K03cpcp11u;11eHTa He:H­

TpaAbHoro TeXHHtJ:ecKoro rrporpec­

ca rrpOI13BOACTBeHHbIX cpyHKIJ;HH

(8) 11 (16) A06hitIH rrp11pOAHOro r a3a

ra30A06bIBdIOiu;HM KOMIIAeKCOM

«fa3rrpoM» TroMeHCKOH o6AaCTH B

0, 10 nnaHOBaSl3KOHOMll1Ka Pb1H04Hasi 3KOHOMll1Ka 1984 - 2016 roAaX rrpHBeAeHa Ha

p11cyttKe 2. KaK BHAHO, H3MeHeH11e

3Toro K03cpcp11u;11eHTa I1 CB5I3aHHOro

c HHM HHHOBau;HOHHOro pa3BHTI15I

«fa3rrp0Ma» tJ:eTKO IIOApa3AeA5IeTC5I

Ha ABa 3Tarra: IIAaBHbIH pOCT ( 1984 -

1992 fOAhI) I1 ycKopeHHbIH pOCT ( c

1993 roAa).

0,05 I', = A · <P;-1c199~"' L, t- a. r, = A. <P,-1(199~ a. L, 1-a. . eP·G19.,,_,

0,00 .... LO "' " co "' a 0:: N " co "' a co co co co co co "' "' a a a ;; ;; "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' a a a I I I I I I I I I ")' ")' ")' N ")' I LO LO LO LO LO LO LO LO LO M M M M M

"' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "'

COKparu;aTb 06'beMbI A06hI'II1 ra3a c MHHHMaAbHbIMH

3aTpaTaMH 6e3 YBeAHtJ:eHH5I HAM YMeHbIIIeHH5I 11x rrpe­

AeAhHhIX 11 cpeAHHX 3HatJ:eHHH.

T1pHHHMa5I BO BHHMaHHe OTp11u;aTeAbHbie 3HatJ:eHH5I

K03cpcp11u;11eHTa 0. a TaKJKe IIOAOJKHTeAbHbie I1 MeHb­

rrrne 1 3HatJ:eHH5I K03cpcp11u;11eHTa a. (Ta6A. 2)' !13

( 14) MOJKHO BHAeTh, 'ITO rrpH rrpOtIHX paBHbIX ycAo ­

BI15IX MHHHMaAbHhie 3aTpaTbI C,min I1 MHHHMaAbHa5I

yAeAhHa5I ce6ecTOHMOCTh Ci'"" I f', A06bitIH ra3a pacTyT

rro Mepe yBeAHtJ:eHH5I HaKorrAeHHOH A06hitIH G 1963,1_1

11 MOAYA5I 3HatJ:eHH5I K03cpcp11u;11eHTa rrp11 He:H 0 11,

Hao6opOT, CHHJKaIOTC5I 113- 3a pocTa K03cpcp11u;11eHTa

HeHTpaAhHOro TeXHH'IeCKOro rrporpecca A, KOTOpbIH

B 3HatIHTeAhHOH M~~e OTpaJKaeT HHHOBau;HOHHOe pa3 -

BHTHe KOMIIaHHH.

HHHoea~MOHHoe pa3BMTMe: pocr K034>4>M~MeHra A e 1984-2016 ro,D,ax B pa6oTe (1, rA. 6] rroKa3aHo, 'ITO K03cpcp11u;11eHT HeH­

TpaAhHOro TeXHHtJ:ecKoro rrporpecca A rrpoH3BOACTBeH­

HOH cpyHKIJ;HH A06bitIH rrp11pOAHOro ra3a ra30A06hrna­

IOIIJ;HM KOMIIAeKCOM «fa3rrp0Ma» CTaA CTaTHCTH'IeCKH

3Ha'IHM (rro KpHTepHIO CTbIOAeHTa) 3dAOArO AO OCHOBa­

HI15I KOMIIaHHH - c 1984 roAa, KOrAa KOMIIaHH5I cyru;e­

CTBOBaAa CHatJ:aAa B BHAe MHHHCTepCTBa ra30BOH rrpo­

MbIIIIAeHHOCTH CCCP (AO 1988 roAa), a 3aTeM, rroCAe

paccpopMI1pOBaHH5I MHHHCTepCTBa, - B BHAe focyAap­

CTBeHHOro KOHu;epHa «fa3rrpoM CCCP» (1989 -1993

rOAhI). AaHHhIH cpaKT MOJKHO BHAeTh H3 3KOHOMeTpH­

tJ:ecKoro HCCAeAOBaHH5I rrpOI13BOACTBeHHOH cpyttKIJ;HH

A06hitIH ra3a BHAa

rt =A. <t>t-1(1990) a LI I-a (16)

78

N M .... LO "' ;; ;; ;; ;; ;; N ")' N ")' ")' I I M M M M M

"' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' I1TaK, !13 Ta6AHu; 2, 3 I1 p11cytt­

Ka 2 BHAHO, 'ITO c 1984 rOAa y ra30A06bIBaIOru;Hx rrpeA­

rrpH5ITHH «fa3rrp0Ma» TroMeHCKOH o6AaCTH Ha6AIOAa­

eTC5I paCyYru;HH TpeHA K03cpcp11u;11eHTa HeHTpaAbHOro

TeXHHtJ:ecKoro rrporpecca A PocT AaHHoro K03cpcp11-

u;11eHTa rOBOpHT 0 TOM, 'ITO rrpH rrpotIHX paBHbIX yCAo­

BI15IX «fa3rrpoM» A06hrnaeT Te JKe caMbre o6'beMbI ra3a

c MeHbIIIHMH 3aTpaTaMH TPYAa 11 ocHOBHhrx cpOHAOB, 3TO

rropoJKAaeT TeHAeHu;HIO K CHHJKeHHIO yAeAhHOH ce6e ­

CTOHMOCTH A06brnaeMoro ra3a.

TIHKOBbIH B3AeT K03cpcp11u;11eHTa

ro TeXHHtJ:ecKoro rrporpecca B 2009

Ta6n1-1L1a 3

HeHTpaAbHO­

fOAY MOJKHO

Pe3ynbTaTbl JKOHOMeTpH'!ecKoro HccneAOBaHHSI <1>YHK1.1HH

(16) e 1965-1992 roAax

1965-1985 0, 133 12,561 1,00 161 0,70 1,02 F=0,54 [p=0,44]

TR' =O 61 [ =0 43]

1965-1986 0, 135 12,651 1,00 171 0,70 1,02 F=0,56 [p=0 ,46]

TR' =0,63 [ =0,43]

1965- 1987 0,1 3812,711 0,99 171 0,71 1,02 F=0,59 [p=0,45]

TR' =0,65 [ =0,42]

1965-1988 0, 145 12.741 0,98171 0,72 1,01 F=0,61 [p=0,45]

TR2=0 6 7 [ =0 41l

1965-1989 0, 153 12, 751 0,97 181 0,72 1,00 F=0,64 [p=0,43]

TR' =O 71 [ =0 40]

1965-1990 0, 163 12.751 0,95 181 0,72 0,99 F=0.70 [p=0,41l

TR' =O 76 [p=0,38L

1965-1991 0, 172 12, 731 0,94181 0,72 0,98 F=0,76 [p=0,39]

TR' =O 83 [ =0 36]

1965-1992 0,18112,701 0,92181 0,72 0,96 F=0,85 [p=0 ,37]

TR'=0 ,92 [ =0,34]

* B KBaApaTHblX cKo6Kax np11BeAeHo p-3HaYeH11e Kp11Tep1111 [9, C. 68]

Oil&Gas Journal Russia

,0,06b1Ya ra3a

P1-1cyHoK 3 YAellbHasi ce6ecTOMMOCTb A06b1"11r1 np1r1pOAHoro ra3a AO"lepHMMM 06L1.1ecrnaM1r1

«ra3npoM» TioMeHcKoiil 0611acT1r1 e 2009-2010 roAax*

« f a3ITpoMa» B 2010 - 2013 roAax ,

BhI3BaHHOro ecTeCTBeHHhIM B03 -

B p a T OM K ITAaBHO pacT y ru; eMy

c 1984 fOAa TpeHAy, c 201 4 f OAa

pocT HaLiaAC5I c HOBOH CMAOH , ITpM­

LieM B YCAOBM5IX ITOCTMfIIIMX 3KO­

HOMMKY HaIIIeH CTpaHhI 3HatIM­

TeAhHhIX BHeIIIHe3KOHOMMLieCKHX

M BHeIIIHeITOAMTMLieCKMX orp aHM­

LieHHH. T aK, K03cpcpHu;MeHT Heil­

TpaAbHor o TeXHMLiecKoro ITpo rpec­

ca AOLiepHHX ra30A06hrna10ru;Mx

o 6 ru;ecTB « f a3ITpOM» T 10MeHc Koil

o 6 AaCTM B 201 4 fOAY Bbipoc Ha 12%, B 20 15 fOAY - Ha 21 %. a B 201 6 f OAY - Ha 25% ITO cpaBHeHMIO c

201 3 fOAOM. 3TOT [),,OCT OKa3aA 3Ha­

LIMTeAbHOe BAM5IHMe Ha CHMJKeHMe

yAeAhHOH ce6ecTOMMOCTM A06hr­

LIM ra3a Ha HOBhIX MeCTOpOJKAeHM-

5IX « f a3ITpoMa» . B caMOM AeAe, y

CTapeilIIIero B T IOMeHCKOH o6Aa­

CTM r a30A06brna10ru;ero ITpOH3BOA ­

CTB eHH Oro 06beAMHeHM5I 0 00 « f a3ITpoM A06hrLia HaAhIM», 3KC ­

ITAyaTMpy10ru;ero c 2012 fOAa K p yIT ­

HeilIIIee Ha ITOAYOCTpOBe 5IMaA

EoBaHeHKOBCKoe HecpTera3o ­

KOHAeH caTHoe MeCTOpOJKAeHMe

(pHC . 6) c pa3BeAaHHhIMM M ITpeABa­

pHTeAbHO ou;eHeHHhIMM 3aITaCaMM

ra3a 4,3 TPAH M 3 (Ha 1 5IHBap5I 2017 fOA a ). HaLIMHa5I c 2014 fOAa ITpO­

MCXOAMT HeITpephIBHOe CHMJKeHMe

yAeAhHOH ce6ecTOMMOCTM A06hILIM

ra3a: TaK, ITO cpaBHeHMIO c 2013 fOAOM B 2014 fOAY OHa CHM3MAaCh

Ha 2%, B 2015 - Ha 9%, a B 2016 -Ha 12% (pHC. 7) .

600

~ 548 554

500

400 ~ 0 0 300 0

.:::: ID >-o.._

200

100

0 YpeHro~ra3npoM Ho•6pbcKra3A06bt4a >lM6ypr ra3A06bt4a la3npoM ITt0M. o6n.)

• 2009

* 5 e3 y4eTa annapaTa ~ 3aTpaT rnn os H o~ KOMnaH~~

V1cT0 4 H ~ K : [3, C. 19]

P1-1cyHoK 4 TpoiilKa MMpOBblX llMAepoB no BellM"IMHe "IMCTOH np1r16bllllr1 B 2009-2012 roAaX [11]

47

42

c::[ 37 o._ c;

32 ::;: tA-

.D 27 c; :Li 22 \D :s: o._ 17 c 0: co 12 f-u :s: 7 :::i-

2

-3 2009 2010 2011

I DAbl

•Gazprom o ExxonMobi l o):\pyrne: IC Bank of China [2009, 2011 1. Nestle [2009). Apple [20121

BblBOAbl paccMaTpMBaTb KaK MHHOBaIJ;MOHHhIH ITpOpbIB «fa3ITpo­

Ma» , KOTOpbIH IT03BOAMA KOMITaHMM A06hIBaTb ITpM­

POAHhIH ra3 ITPM MeHhIIIMX 3aTpaTax TPYAa M KaITMTa­

Aa, LieM B ITpeAIIIeCTByIOru;Me fOAhI, CHM3MTh M3AepJKKM

ITpOM3BOACTBa (B qacTHOCTM, B T10MeHcKoil o6AaCTM,

pHc. 3) , 3HaLIMTeAhHO YBe.AfPU'.!Th LIMCTYIO ITpM6hIAh Ha

cpoHe CHMJKeHM5I MMpOBhIX u;eH Ha HecpTb M ra3, BhIHTM

Ha ITepBoe MeCTO B MMpe ITO BeAMLIMHe LIMCTOH ITpM-

6hIAM B 2009 fOAY Mc 3TOro MOMeHTa (3a MCKAIOLieHM­

eM 2014 fOAa) ITpOLIHO 3aKpeITMThC5I B TpOHKe AMAe­

poB ITO 3TOMY BaJKHOMy cpHHaHCOB0-3KOHOMMLieCKOMY

ITOKa3aTeAIO cpeAH MMpOBhIX 3HepreTMLieCKHX KOMITa­

HMH (pHC . 4 - 5). CTocAe HeKOTOpOrO CHMJKeHM5I BeAMLIMHhI K03cp­

cpHIJ;MeHTa HeilTpaAhHoro TeXHMLiecKoro ITporpecca

>iHsapb - <jlespanb 2018

TaKHM o6pa30M, Ha OCHOBaHMM pe3yAhTaTOB 3KOHO­

MeTpMLieCKOro MCCAeA OBaHM5I 3cpcpeKTMBHOCTM X035IH­

CTBeHHOH Ae5ITeAbHOCTM «fa3ITpOM» B TIOMeHCKOH

o6AaCTM, rAe KOMITaHM5I A06hrnaeT 92% CBOero ra3a, 3a

1993 - 2016 fOAhI MOJKHO CAeAaTb CAeAywru;ee HayqHO

o60CHOBaHHOe 3aKAIOLieHMe.

HaLIMHa5I c 1993 roAa B ccpepe A06hILIM ra3a poccMil­

cKMH «fa3ITpOM» 5IBA5IeTC5I BhICOK03cpcpeKTMBHOH 3Hep­

reTMLieCKOH KOMITaHMeH c paCTYIIJ;MM K03 cpcpHu;MeHTOM

HeilTpaAbHOro TeXHMLieCKOfO ITporpecca, CHMJKaIOru;eil­

C5I yAeAhHOH ce6ecTOMMOCThIO A06hILIM ra3a Ha HOBhIX

MeCTOpOJKAeHM5IX M MMHMMaAbHhIMM ITpOM3BOACTBeH­

HhIMM 3aTpaTaMM, ITpeAeAhHbie M cpeAHMe 3HaLieHM5I

KOTOpbIX COBITaAaIOT M He 3aBMC5IT OT 06beMOB A06hrna­

eMoro ra3a. •

79

PA3BE,O,KA l!1 ,0,06blLJA

P1-1cyHoK 5 TpolAKa Mi.1pOBblX 3HepreTi.1"1eCKi.1X KOMnaHi.1M-ni.1Aepoe no eeni.1"1i.1He "li.1CTOM npi.16b1n1-1 (6e3 AOni.1 MeHbWHHCTBa)

e 2013, 2015 1-1 2016 roAax [12]

c:[ D.. c; ::;:

tFl-

40 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

35,8 35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

:-2,

23,5

201 3

16,2 -2-;9

11,2

2015

11 Gazpro m o ExonnMobile o Nat ional Grid

o BP 11Korea Elect r ic Power'' o State Gr id

14,2

10,2 9,6

201 6

P1-1 cyHoK 6 Ao6b11.1a np1-1pOAHOro ra3a Ha 5oeaHeHKOBCKOM MecTO­

po>t<AeH111-1 e 2012-2016 roAax [4, C. 33, c yT01.1HeHi.1S1Mi.1]

M

::;: c:[ D.. c; ::;:

'° 01 ro '-0 '-0 I c:[ 0 D.. :s: D.. c rn ::r 1i

\D 0

c::[

80~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

60

50

40

30

20

10

201 2 2013 201 4

I OAbl

201 5 2016

n1-1TepaTypa

1. A.A. Acpa HacbeB. MoAenviposaHvie npou,eccos AeHe>KHoro o6pali.\eHV111 B xo311iiicrne c ra3osoiii oTparnblO I AviccepTau,vi11 Ha COV1CKaHV1e yYeHoiii CTeneHV1 AOKTOpa 3KOHOMV1LJeCKV1X HayK no cneu,vianbHocrn 08.00.13. - M.: Lj3MV1 PAH, 2013. - 300 c. 2. A.A. AcpaHacbeB. V1HHOBau,vioHHbliii npopblB B ycnosvi11x MV1posoro KpV13V1Ca KaK V1CTOLJHV1K B~COKOiii npvi6~JlbHOCTV1

«la3npoMa»: 3KOHOMeTpV1YeCKV1iii aHaflV13 // la30Bal1 npOMblW­JleHHOCTb, NQ 714, 2014. - C. 15-19. 3. A.A. AcpaHacbeB. YcrniiiYV1BOCTb npaTernYeCKV1X u,eneiii -Heo6xOAV1MOe yrnosvie pa3svirn11 «la3npoMa» KaK rno6anb­Hoiii 3HeprernLJeCKOiii KOMnaHV1V1 // la3osa11 npOMblWJleHHOCTb, NQ 704, 2014. - C 10-20.

80

P1-1cyHoK 7 YAenbHasi ce6ecTOi.1MOCTb A06b11.11-1 np11pOAHoro ra3a

(6e3 y1.1eTa 3aTpaT ronOBHOM KOMnaHi.11-1) npOi.13BOACTBeHHblM

06beA1-1HeH1-1eM 000 «raJnpoM A06b11.1a HaAblM»

e 2013-2016 roAax [4, C. 33, c YTO"IHeHi.1HMi.1]

1600

1400

1200

M 1000 ::;:

D D D 800 -­\D >­

Q..

600

400

200

0

1466 1444

201 3 201 4 2015 201 6

4. A.A. AcpaHacbeB. nporH03V1pOBaHV1e A06bll.JV1 npvipOAHO­ro ra3a «la3np0Ma» vi era npoV13BOACTBeHHoro noTeHu,vi ana B yrnoBV111X BHeWHe3KOHOMV1YeCKV1X orpaHV1LJeHV1iii // 3KOHO­MV1Ka vi MaTeMarnYecKvie MeTOAbl, l 53, NQ 4, 2017 . - C. 26- 35. 5. Jl. E. BapwascKviiii. leHernYecKoe MOAenviposaHvie 3KOHO­MV1YecKoro pa3BV1TV111 HecpTe- vi ra30A06b1Ba10li.(eiii npoMblW­neHHOCTV1 [Ha npviMepe ra30A06b1Ba10li.(eiii npOMblWJleHH OCTV1 CCCPI I AviccepTau,vi11 Ha covicKaHvie yYeHoiii neneHV1 KaH­AV1AaTa 3KOHOMV1YeCKV1X HayK no cneu,vianbHocrn 08.00.1 3. -M.: Lj3MV1 AH CCCP, 1976. - 173 c. 6. Jl. E. BapwascKviiii. 06 vicnoJlb30BaHV1V1 npoV13BOACTBeHH blX cpyHKL.J,V1iii npvi nporH03V1posaHV1V1 noKa3aTeneiii pa3pa6oTKV1 ra-30BblX Mecrnpo>KAeHviiii I 3KOHOMV1Ka ra3osoiii npoMb1wneH HO­CTV1, Bbln. 5. - M.: BHV1V13la3npoM , 1976. - C. 21-28. 7. Jl .E. BapwascKviiii. 0 nporH03HO-aHanvirnYecKOM MOAe­nviposaHV1V1 pa3svirn11 ra30A06b1Ba10li.(eiii npoMblWJleHHocrn I 3KOHOMV1Ka ra3osoiii npOMb1wneHHOCTV1 , Bbln. 12. - M. : BHV1 V13-la3npoM, 1976. - C 16- 24. 8. A.A. 6peHu,, B.i=I . laHAKV1H, l. C. YpviHCOH . 3KOHOMV1Ka ra 30-A06b1Ba10li.(eiii npoMblWJleHHocrn. - M.: HeApa , 1975. - 248 c. 9. M. Bep6V1K. nyTeBOAV1Teflb no cospeMeHHOiii 3KOHOMeTpV1-Ke I noA peA npocp. C.A. Aiiisa311Ha . - M.: HayLJHal1 KH V1ra, 2008. - 616 C. 10. A.A. Afanasyev. Pareto-Effic iency, Cost Minimization, and Innovations: the Key Gazprom Policies Targeting Gas Production // GAS Industry of Russ ia, No. 3 [15 1. 2009. - P 30-37. 11. Fortune. Global 500. 2016 . Energy. Profi ts. http ://fortune. co ml g lo ba l500/list/fi lte red ?so rt By= profits &sec tor=Energy [,!J,arn o6pali.\eHV111 : 27 12 2017) 12. Fortune. Global 500. 2017. Energy Profits.

Oil&Gas Journal Russ ia