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Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters

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Page 1: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

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Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services

NWS Inundation Mapping Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services

NWS Inundation Mapping

Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010

Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters

Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters

Page 2: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

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Q: Is flooding really that big of a deal? Flooding causes more damage in the United States than any other severe weather related event, an average of $5 billion a year. Flooding can occur in any of the 50 states or U.S. territories at anytime of the year.

http://www.weather.gov/floodsafety/floodsafe.shtml

Recent Record Floods from the Headlines

Nashville, TNCranston, West Warwick, RI

Floods are a big deal!!

Page 3: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

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• Features of NWS Inundation Maps

• Use of NWS Maps for Risk-Based Decisions

Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services

NWS Inundation Mapping

Page 4: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

NWS Inundation Mapping Features

NWS Inundation Mapping Features

• Partnered effort, utilizing FEMA approved hydraulic models

• Visually oriented products

– Flood emergency operation/planning, available to public

• Easy product access linked to existing AHPS info

• Flood depth estimates

• KML and shape files (GIS formats) to integrated with user-specific data.

Page 5: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Inundation Mapping on AHPSInundation Mapping on AHPS

Page 6: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Inundation Mapping on AHPSInundation Mapping on AHPS

Water Depth Estimates

Page 7: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Inundation Mapping on AHPSInundation Mapping on AHPSShape files imported into ESRI ArcMap software

Record flood stage and 3 ft above record flood stage

Page 8: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Imported into Google Earth

Page 9: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Thoughts borrowed from FEMA‘S RiskMAP

Page 10: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Identify Risk

Things to identify:

• Inundation areas for continuum of flooding

• Depth of flood waters• Historic flood crests• What does a more

extreme flood look like for this city/community?

Page 11: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Assess Risk

With the inundation areas, you can assess:

• What neighborhoods will be impacted? – How/when will they be

evacuated?

• Are critical facilities or evacuation routes in jeopardy?– Can preventative efforts be

successful?

Page 12: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Communicate Risk

Pictures are powerful!

• Depiction of historic floods with a current context (existing roads, schools, etc)

• Are family flood preparedness plans needed?

Page 13: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Mitigate Risk

Decisions/Investments:

• Protective measures and evacuation during floods

• Improvements to infrastructure, public and personal

• Zoning changes, new regulations

Page 14: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Review of AHPS Inundation Maps

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/inundation.php

Review of AHPS Inundation Maps

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/inundation.php

• Continuum of flooding, action Continuum of flooding, action

stage to record levels stage to record levels

• Both NAVD88 and stage Both NAVD88 and stage

inundation selections inundation selections

• Web interface and GIS formats Web interface and GIS formats

• Available 24x7Available 24x7

Page 15: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Nashville Flood

Page 16: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

Rhode Island Flood

•10 inches < 48 hours • River crested 5 feet above previous record

Page 17: Page 1 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services NWS Inundation Mapping Eastern Region Flash Flood Workshop June 4, 2010 Presentation by Laurie Hogan NOAA/NWS

[email protected]

Telephone: 631-244-0114

[email protected]

Telephone: 631-244-0114