pakistan current crop scenario & future...
TRANSCRIPT
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Pakistan – Current Crop Scenario
& Future Opportunities Abdul Nasir, Marketing Manager Ali Akbar Group
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Pakistan : Economy Agriculture Base
• 21.185 Million Hectares 27.48 % of Total Land Arable land
• GDP : 20.9% • Source of Livelihood:
43.48% of Rural Population
Agriculture Contribution
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Growth % : Agriculture Sector
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Growth % : Agriculture Sector
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Cotton (3.0 Million HA) – Crop Scenario
Production : 9.7 million bales – 1383 kg/HA
Crop – Delayed Sowing 10-15 day
Less off Take of Fertilizers – 46 % less June, July
Heavy Rains – September Rain Damaged crops
Ever Lowest Production – last 15 years
34% Lower Production vs 2014
Less Injection of Cash flows – 1.264 billion US$
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Cotton (3.0 Million HA) – Pest Scenario
Whitefly remained the top pest throughout crop season
Thrips, Jassid, dusky bug (Oxycarenus laetus), key pests
Pink bollworm was a serious issue
Cost of Protection:
2015: 160 Million US$ - 130 $ / HA
2014: 190 Million US $ - 156 $ / HA
Market Stocks Carry forwards
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Rice (2.9 Million HA) - Crop Scenario Production: 7.0 Million Tons – 2,423 kg / HA
Basmati & Fine Rice – Good yields ; Farmers
made losses due to 30% Less prices over 2014
Less Cash Flow injection – 544 million US$
Course Rice – Good Yields & Better prices
Huge stocks of Rice - Investor, Stockiest &
Exporters Stuck due to less price and less Export
orders
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Rice (2.9 Million HA) - Pest Scenario Weeds – Broad , Narrow leaf & Sedges Borers – Shoot borers, Leaf Roller Sucking – Plant hopper, Diseases - Blast & Blight
Cost of Protection:
2015: 49 Million US$ - 53 $ / HA
2014: 74 Million US $ - 81 $ / HA
Huge Carry Over in Market
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Maize ( 1.12 Million HA) – Crop Scenario
Production: 4.69 Million Tons – 4155 kg/HA
Spring Crop:
Huge carry over of maize seed – Untimely Rains Disturbed Sowing
Rains at Maturity Disturbed Quality – Ever lowest Rates
Autumn Crop:
Good Crop with – Ever highest Rates
Farmers motivated
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Maize ( 1.12 Million HA) – Pest Scenario
Weeds – Broad & Narrow leaf
Shoot fly, Corn Borers, Spodoptera, American Worm are key pest
Cost of Protection:
2015: 29 Million US$ - 63 $ / HA
2014: 32 Million US $ - 71 $ / HA
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Sugarcane (1.18 Million HA) – Crop Scenario
Production: 67 Million Tons – 57,511 kg/HA
Good Yields & Rates of produce
Cost benefit Ratio is good
Farmers Aggressive
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Sugarcane (1.18Million HA) – Pest Scenario
Weeds – Broad & Narrow leaf
Root, Shoot & Top borers
Pyrella, black bug, Whitefly
Diseases
Cost of Protection:
2015: 43 Million US$ - 90 $ / HA
2014: 25 Million US $ - 55 $ / HA
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Wheat (9.18 Million HA) – Crop Scenario
Production: 26 Million Tons – 2775 kg/HA
Farmers aggressive in wheat sowing for 2015-16 crop
Area increased by 2-3%
Farmers got good cost & benefit Ratio
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Pakistan Major Crops - 2015 !
Wheat (9.18Million HA) – Pest Scenario
Weeds – Broad & Narrow leaf
Herbicide use Rate gone up from 35% - 55% from last five years.
Aphid & Rust key pest
Cost of Protection:
2015: 60 Million US$ - 16 $ / HA
2014: 64 Million US $ - 17 $ / HA
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Future Opportunities – CP Market 2016
All Over : Herbicides & Fungicides increasing use rate trend
Cotton : Area almost Same
Whitefly & Pink bollworms could be the key area
Sugarcane: Herbicide; Sucking pests Business
Wheat: Herbicide Business for Broad & Narrow one shot
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Current Use Rate – CP Market 2016
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Future Opportunities - 2016
Seed Business: 740 Million US$
Current : 222 US$ supplies by Companies
Rice ; Maize ; Vegetables; are good pace
Rice: Area for Hybrid Rice Go up by 5-6%
Fertilizers NPK Combinations - another growing opportunity
Bio-Pesticides
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Pakistan – Current Crop Scenario
& Future Opportunities Abdul Nasir, Marketing Manager Ali Akbar Group