panel 1. tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - professor myles allen

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Cumulative carbon and its implications: the case for mandatory sequestration Myles Allen School of Geography and the Environment/ECI & Department of Physics University of Oxford Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship

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Delivered at the Global CCS Institute's Global Status of CCS: 2013 event in Seoul, 10 October 2013.

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Page 1: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Cumulative carbon and its implications: the case for mandatory sequestration

Myles AllenSchool of Geography and the Environment/ECI &

Department of Physics

University of Oxford

Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship

Page 2: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Key conclusion of the 2013 IPCC report: cumulative CO2 emissions control warming

Page 3: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Unconventional reserves

Cumulative emissions & fossil carbon reserves

Past emissions, fossil and land-use changeEstimated conventional reserves

Page 4: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Must be sequestered or recaptured to meet 2oC goal

Cumulative emissions & fossil carbon reserves

Page 5: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

A new way of framing climate policy

A

B

Page 6: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Policy outcome is independent of consumption

High consumption Lower consumption

Page 7: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

Mandatory sequestration works

Gorgon gas project, Western Australia

Page 8: Panel 1. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security - Professor Myles Allen

IT’S CUMULATIVE

CARBON,

STUPID

IT’S CUMULATIVE

CARBON,

STUPID