panel 4: tightening tax rules measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud state of play regarding...

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Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud • State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents, MoF and MoE plans • Tighter rules that work to the benefit of both the business and State revenue • What works/has worked and what not necessarily so in other countries, jurisdictions: GAAR, CFC rules, tighter thin cap regs, BEPS, tax havens, tax competition, tax base / tax liability negotiations with tax administration, practices in other countries of the CEE region • Questions around: collaboration and meaning for businesses planning for taxes? need for a balance complexity of the system vs. interpretive doubt implications for medium and small economies

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Page 1: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

Panel 4: Tightening Tax RulesMeasures against tax avoidance and tax fraud

• State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents, MoF and MoE plans

• Tighter rules that work to the benefit of both the business and State revenue

• What works/has worked and what not necessarily so in other countries, jurisdictions: GAAR, CFC rules, tighter thin cap regs, BEPS, tax havens, tax competition, tax base / tax liability negotiations with tax administration, practices in other countries of the CEE region

• Questions around: collaboration and meaning for businesses planning for taxes? need for a balance complexity of the system vs. interpretive doubt implications for medium and small economies

Page 2: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 22005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0

50

100

150

200

250

Difference Intra - Community supply to Poland registered in Poland (MoF data)

Intra - Community supply to Poland (Eurostat data)

thou

sand

tonn

es

Irregularities in the declared supplies of steel rebars (in Poland and other EU countries in 2005 – June 2012)

Source: EY

Page 3: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

Official consumption of steel products in Poland(y/y growth rate by product type)

Source: EY

Jul/11

Aug/11

Sep/1

1

Oct/11

Nov/11

Dec/11

Jan/12

Feb/1

2

Mar/1

2

Apr/12

May/1

2

Jun/12Jul/1

2

Aug/12

Sep/1

2

Oct/12

Nov/12

Dec/12

Jan/13

Feb/1

3

Mar/1

3

Apr/13

May/1

3

Jun/13Jul/1

3

Aug/13

Sep/1

3

Oct/13

Nov/13

Dec/13

-150%

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

116.8%

84.1%

311.9%

265.7%

Steel products - total Long products Steel rebarsVAT reverse charge introduction

Page 4: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

Official consumption of steel rebars in Poland, 2012-2013 (by components)

Source: EY

Jan/

12

Feb/

12

Mar

/12

Apr/

12

May

/12

Jun/

12

Jul/1

2

Aug/

12

Sep/

12

Oct

/12

Nov

/12

Dec

/12

Jan/

13

Feb/

13

Mar

/13

Apr/

13

May

/13

Jun/

13

Jul/1

3

Aug/

13

Sep/

13

Oct

/13

Nov

/13

Dec

/13

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

eksport (GUS) import (GUS) produkcja (HIPH)zużycie jawne (HIPH, GUS)

thou

sand

tonn

es (m

onth

ly)

Import (GUS)Official consumption (HIPH, GUS)Production (HIPH)

Export (GUS)

Page 5: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

Official consumption and estimated domestic demand for steel rebars in Poland, 2012-2013

Source: EY

Jan/

12

Feb/

12

Mar

/12

Apr/

12

May

/12

Jun/

12

Jul/

12

Aug/

12

Sep/

12

Oct

/12

Nov

/12

Dec

/12

Jan/

13

Feb/

13

Mar

/13

Apr/

13

May

/13

Jun/

13

Jul/

13

Aug/

13

Sep/

13

Oct

/13

Nov

/13

Dec

/13

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

import - ukryty (Eurostat) eksport - wątpliwy (GUS+Eurostat)eksport - potwierdzony (Eurostat) import - raportowany (GUS)produkcja (HIPH) zużycie jawne (HIPH, GUS)popyt krajowy (HIPH+GUS+Eurostat)

thou

sand

tonn

es (m

onth

ly)

Import – hidden (Eurostat)

Export – confirmed (Eurostat)

Production (HIPH)

Domestic demand (HIPH + GUS + Eurostat)

Export – in doubt (GUS + Eurostat)

Import – reported (GUS)

Official consumption (HIPH, GUS)

Page 6: Panel 4: Tightening Tax Rules Measures against tax avoidance and tax fraud State of play regarding the tightening of tax rules: EU papers, OECD documents,

VAT reverse charge introduction – estimated results 2013-2015

Source: EY

Estimated additional income (mPLN)

2013 161

2014 338

2015 360

Excise duty

39.4%

33.0%

13.8%

6.2%

4.9% 2.7%

Public finance - income by source (%)

VAT

Social security contributions

PIT

CIT

Additional producers' pay-ments (concessions, fees, etc.)