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Panel Discussion 2 What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure information are best suited for determining gene, environment, gene-gene, and gene-environment contributions to health? How should environmental monitoring, biological monitoring, and traditional interviews be integrated to optimize characterization of real-world, lifetime exposures and the influence of lifestyle factors (diet, activity, stress)? Which biological samples and monitoring frequency are most suitable for characterizing the exposome?

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Page 1: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Panel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure information are best suited for determining gene, environment, gene-gene, and gene-environment contributions to health?

•How should environmental monitoring, biological monitoring, and traditional interviews be integrated to optimize characterization of real-world, lifetime exposures and the influence of lifestyle factors (diet, activity, stress)?

•Which biological samples and monitoring frequency are most suitable for characterizing the exposome?

Page 2: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

To Pool or Not to Pool: That Is the QuestionEnrique F. Schisterman, PhD

Epidemiology Branch – DESPR- NICHD

Page 3: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Methodological Constraints with Biomarkers of Chemical Exposures

– Which marker to choose in large scale studies and how?

• Cost a big concern!

– How to account for the Instrument sensitivity or LOD?

Page 4: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

What is pooling?

• Physically combining several individual specimens, to create a single mixed sample.

• Pooled samples are the average of the individual specimens.

1

2 p

Page 5: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Cost Savings Alternative 1: Random Sample of Biospecimens

RANDOM SAMPLE:

Randomly select 20 samples

FULL DATA

N = 40 Individual Biospecimens

Suppose we have N = 40 individual biospecimens, but we can only afford to test n = 20.

Page 6: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Cost Savings Alternative 2: Pooling Biospecimens

POOLED DATA:

40 samples in groups of 2

FULL DATA

N = 40 Individual Biospecimens

Suppose we have N = 40 individual biospecimens, but we can only afford to test n = 20.

Page 7: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Reporting of biomarker data below a lower threshold

ID Z1 3.12 1.53 8.44 0.85 5.46 3.27 2.08 5.89 13.410 2.511 1.912 6.1

•Reporting threshold is equal to 2.2

ID Z1 3.12 ND3 8.44 ND5 5.46 3.27 ND8 5.89 13.410 2.511 ND12 6.1

Report values < threshold as ‘not detected’

ID Z1 3.12 1.13 8.44 1.15 5.46 3.27 1.18 5.89 13.410 2.511 1.112 6.1

Report values < threshold as one half the value of the threshold

Page 8: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Effect of Pooling on Markers Affected by an LOD

Un-pooled

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Un-Pooled

0

0.1

0.2

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0.5

0.6

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pooled

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Pooled

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Page 9: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Summary of Cost Savings: Pooling Biospecimens

• Advantages– Gain efficiency

• Pooling is applied to more participants’ samples while doing fewer assays

• Physical application of Central Limit Theorem– Reduce cost– Volume

• Disadvantages– Pooling process may introduce variability– Requires additional effort and organization– No individual data

Page 10: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Panel Discussion 2

Page 11: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Study designs to evaluate exposure, intermediate endpoint, and genetic

biomarkersNat Rothman, MD, MPH, MHS

Occupational & Environmental Epidemiology BranchDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics,

NCI, NIH, DHHS

Page 12: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Matrix of study designs and biomarkers

(Rothman, Schulte & Stewart, CEBP, 1995)

Cohort

Case-Control

XXXXXCross-Sectional

Transitional

Laboratory

TumorEarly Disease

Altered Structure/ Function

SusceptibilityEarly Biologic Effects

Internal Dose/BED

ExternalExposure

Page 13: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Matrix of study designs and biomarkers

Cohort

X+/-X+/-XCase-Control

XXXXXCross-Sectional

Transitional

Laboratory

TumorEarly Disease

Altered Structure/ Function

SusceptibilityEarly Biologic Effects

Internal Dose/BED

ExternalExposure

Page 14: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Matrix of study designs and biomarkers

+/-XXXXXXCohort

X+/-X+/-XCase-Control

XXXXXCross-Sectional

Transitional

Laboratory

TumorEarly Disease

Altered Structure/ Function

SusceptibilityEarly Biologic Effects

Internal Dose/BED

ExternalExposure

Page 15: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

China Benzene Studies: Integration of cross-sectional

biomarker studies and a cohort study

Cross-sectional studies: 1992/2000

290 exposed workersEvaluate

external/internal exposure, intermediate effects, genetic susceptibility for hematotoxicty

Cohort Study: Follow-up period from

Page 16: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Matrix of study designs and biomarkers

+/-XXXXXXCohort

X+/-X+/-XCase-Control

XXXXXCross-Sectional

Transitional

Laboratory

TumorEarly Disease

Altered Structure/ Function

SusceptibilityEarly Biologic Effects

Internal Dose/BED

ExternalExposure

Page 17: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Panel Discussion 2

Page 18: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Selected biomarkers by specimen, volume, and assay

Factor Biomarker Serum Vol. TechnologyA) Diet folic acid serum 75 µl immuno assay

vitamin D (25-OH) 25 µl immuno-assayselenium 75 µl fluorimetricGPx 50 µl autoanalyzervitamin C serum 100 µl HPLCcarotenoids, vit. E, vit. A 200 µl HPLCGST alpha 20 µl ELISA(phenethyl-)isothiocyanates 0.5 ml LC-MSpolyphenolics 0.5 ml HPLC-ECD (NMR?)fatty acids 200 µl GC-FID

B) Inflammation CRP 20 µl ELISAIL-6 100 µl ELISATNFa 200 µl ELISAIL-1ß, IL-1-RA ELISA

C) Peroxidation cholesterol oxidation products + phytosterols 250 µl GC-MSFRAP serum 25 µl colorimetricMDA 100 µl HPLCF2a-isoprostanes 1 ml ELISA, GC-MS

D) Infection HPV 5 µl antibody assaysChlamydia pneumoniae serum 5 µl antibody assays

E) Smoking cotinin serum 20 µl immuno assay

Page 19: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Study design:

Ideal is nested case-control with repeat samples, plus mixed designs such as ad hoc collections/resampling in subsets of the same population to calibrate measurements (EnviroGenoMarkers)

Ideally urines and blood should be collected

Improve exposure assessment partly with GIS

Do more pooled analyses of existing datasets on biomarkers (e.g.DNA adducts within ECNIS)

Create a repository of study results and validation studies (MEC in ECNIS)

Page 20: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Panel Discussion 2

Page 21: Panel Discussion 2 - DELS Microsite Networknas-sites.org/emergingscience/files/2011/07/panel_discussion_2.pdfPanel Discussion 2 •What types of epidemiologic studies and exposure

Potential methodologies for measuring predictive power of

exposome• Population-based studies with nested

design– Naturalistic “Burst design” (Nesselroade, 1991)

• Repeated daily assessments within prospective longitudinal design (Tier 2—exp & response)

– Standardized lab stressor assessments (Tier 3)

• Women of childbearing age, transmission of risk