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Kimura, R. et al. Paper: Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes After the Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake – Results of a Random Sampled Social Survey Using the Life Recovery Calendar and GIS-Based Spatiotemporal Analysis Reo Kimura 1 , Munenari Inoguchi 2 , Keiko Tamura 3 , and Haruo Hayashi 4 1 School of Human Science and Environment, University of Hyogo 1-1-12 Shinzaike-honcho, Himeji, Hyogo 670-0092, Japan E-mail: [email protected] 2 Research Institute for Natural Hazards and Disaster Recovery, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan 3 Risk Management Office, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan 4 Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan [Received October 24, 2014; accepted January 28, 2015] This study focuses on recovery efforts following the Mid-Niigata Earthquake in October 2004 and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake in July 2007 in Niigata Pre- fecture. Results of a randomsample questionnaire sur- vey conducted in affected areas and throughout the prefecture are analyzed using a life recovery calendar, which identifies disaster damage in affected areas and in Niigata with the objective of systematically under- standing the status and process of rebuilding lives. Al- though the magnitude of devastation and the nature of the disasters differ, both have similar life recovery pro- cesses. It is to be noted, however, that the impact of the Mid-Niigata Earthquake lingered over a larger area for a longer period than for the Chuetsu-Oki Earth- quake. Keywords: mid-niigata earthquake, chuetsu-oki earth- quake, random sampled social survey, life recovery, GIS (Geographic Information System) 1. Introduction In an effort to systematically understand the status and process of rebuilding daily routines after a disaster, this study analyzes the results of 5,000 respondents random- sample questionnaire survey for identifying disaster dam- age in affected and surrounding areas by assessing the re- sponses of disaster victims and other citizens. The March 2009 survey focused on the Mid-Niigata Earthquake on October 23, 2004, i.e., 4.5 years before the survey, and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake on July 16, 2007, i.e., 1.5 years before, both in Niigata Prefecture. The devastation caused by these disasters and the accompanying recovery efforts had not been seen since the 1995 Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake in Kobe. Unlike the earthquake in Kobe, which was urban and inland, both the 2004 and 2007 earthquakes in Niigata impacted on provincial towns in a time when Japan’s population had begun rapidly aging. 2. Methodology The survey targeted adults in three affected areas: 1) Areas undergoing a seismic intensity of 6 or more during the 2004 earthquake 2) Areas undergoing a seismic intensity of 6 or more in the 2007 earthquake 3) The rest of Niigata Prefecture. Samples were extracted from resident registers using two-stage probability proportional to sampling size, i.e., target age and other attributes as of March 1, 2009. Locations randomly sampled from target areas num- bered 69, 56, and 125. Ten individuals from resident registers in each location were sampled so that one adult per household was sampled. sampled individuals were carefully identified to ensure gender balance, resulting in 50,000 survey respondents. Questionnaires were mailed to respondents, completed by them, and collected by mail after being distributed on March 15, 2009, with a dead- line of April 17, 2009. Reminder postcards were sent to respondents who had not returned questionnaires by the end of March. It is to be noted that this survey technique is mentioned in references such as Kimura et al. (2010a [1], 2010b [2]) and Tamura et al. (2010) [3]. 3. Life Recovery Calendar Results and Consid- erations The life recovery calendar is explained assuming that recovery is completed little by little over time, not all at once. This is a “linear” rather than a “punctuate” concept, so the recovery calendar was developed as a measurement for clarifying the extent of life recovery processes in in- dividual victims. This index was developed by Kimura et al. (2004) [4] and Kimura (2007) [5] to understand the re- covery status of victims and affected areas. Specifically, responses in the questionnaire form were compiled when events occurred as milestones in their life recovery. 196 Journal of Disaster Research Vol.10 No.2, 2015

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Page 1: Paper: Comparison Between the Life Recovery …Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake on July 16, 2007, i.e., 1.5 years before,bothinNiigataPrefecture. Thedevastationcaused by these disasters and

Kimura, R. et al.

Paper:

Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes Afterthe Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake– Results of a Random Sampled Social Survey Using the LifeRecovery Calendar and GIS-Based Spatiotemporal Analysis

Reo Kimura∗1, Munenari Inoguchi∗2, Keiko Tamura∗3, and Haruo Hayashi∗4

∗1School of Human Science and Environment, University of Hyogo1-1-12 Shinzaike-honcho, Himeji, Hyogo 670-0092, Japan

E-mail: [email protected]∗2Research Institute for Natural Hazards and Disaster Recovery, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan

∗3Risk Management Office, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan∗4Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan

[Received October 24, 2014; accepted January 28, 2015]

This study focuses on recovery efforts following theMid-Niigata Earthquake in October 2004 and theChuetsu-Oki Earthquake in July 2007 in Niigata Pre-fecture. Results of a randomsample questionnaire sur-vey conducted in affected areas and throughout theprefecture are analyzed using a life recovery calendar,which identifies disaster damage in affected areas andin Niigata with the objective of systematically under-standing the status and process of rebuilding lives. Al-though the magnitude of devastation and the nature ofthe disasters differ, both have similar life recovery pro-cesses. It is to be noted, however, that the impact of theMid-Niigata Earthquake lingered over a larger areafor a longer period than for the Chuetsu-Oki Earth-quake.

Keywords: mid-niigata earthquake, chuetsu-oki earth-quake, random sampled social survey, life recovery, GIS(Geographic Information System)

1. Introduction

In an effort to systematically understand the status andprocess of rebuilding daily routines after a disaster, thisstudy analyzes the results of 5,000 respondents random-sample questionnaire survey for identifying disaster dam-age in affected and surrounding areas by assessing the re-sponses of disaster victims and other citizens. The March2009 survey focused on the Mid-Niigata Earthquake onOctober 23, 2004, i.e., 4.5 years before the survey, and theChuetsu-Oki Earthquake on July 16, 2007, i.e., 1.5 yearsbefore, both in Niigata Prefecture. The devastation causedby these disasters and the accompanying recovery effortshad not been seen since the 1995 Great Hanshin-AwajiEarthquake in Kobe. Unlike the earthquake in Kobe,which was urban and inland, both the 2004 and 2007earthquakes in Niigata impacted on provincial towns ina time when Japan’s population had begun rapidly aging.

2. Methodology

The survey targeted adults in three affected areas:

1) Areas undergoing a seismic intensity of 6 or moreduring the 2004 earthquake

2) Areas undergoing a seismic intensity of 6 or morein the 2007 earthquake

3) The rest of Niigata Prefecture.Samples were extracted from resident registers using

two-stage probability proportional to sampling size, i.e.,target age and other attributes as of March 1, 2009.

Locations randomly sampled from target areas num-bered 69, 56, and 125. Ten individuals from residentregisters in each location were sampled so that one adultper household was sampled. sampled individuals werecarefully identified to ensure gender balance, resulting in50,000 survey respondents. Questionnaires were mailedto respondents, completed by them, and collected by mailafter being distributed on March 15, 2009, with a dead-line of April 17, 2009. Reminder postcards were sent torespondents who had not returned questionnaires by theend of March. It is to be noted that this survey technique ismentioned in references such as Kimura et al. (2010a [1],2010b [2]) and Tamura et al. (2010) [3].

3. Life Recovery Calendar Results and Consid-erations

The life recovery calendar is explained assuming thatrecovery is completed little by little over time, not all atonce. This is a “linear” rather than a “punctuate” concept,so the recovery calendar was developed as a measurementfor clarifying the extent of life recovery processes in in-dividual victims. This index was developed by Kimura etal. (2004) [4] and Kimura (2007) [5] to understand the re-covery status of victims and affected areas. Specifically,responses in the questionnaire form were compiled whenevents occurred as milestones in their life recovery.

196 Journal of Disaster Research Vol.10 No.2, 2015

Page 2: Paper: Comparison Between the Life Recovery …Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake on July 16, 2007, i.e., 1.5 years before,bothinNiigataPrefecture. Thedevastationcaused by these disasters and

Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes Afterthe Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake

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100 99.8

84.882.278.2

100 98.8 98.9

98.2 97.5 94.9 93.9

It takes 10 hours to understand the magnitude of a disaster.

It takes about 4 days to understand the extent of the damage.

Businesses and schools begin to resume after a week.

Local activities and rebuilding start in the spring.

Fewer identify as disaster victims after a year.

80% for the local economy

Everyday routines and a sense of safety return.

Many items require over 1,000 hours!

I understood the extent of the damage.(n=537)I felt safe.(n=527)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=544)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=491)Housing problems were resolved.(n=521)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=495)Everyday routines resumed.(n=543)Local activities were restored.(n=497)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=511)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=458)Local roads were restored.(n=484)

Oct.23/2004

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Late-Nov.

Apr./2005

Oct./2005

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Oct.30 Early-Nov.

Late-Dec.

Late-Jan.

20062007

20082009

Fig. 1. Life recovery calendar for the 2004 Mid-Niigata Earthquake of March 2009.

Questions were accompanied by remarks such as “Lit-tle is known about how victims recover. Please thinkabout how your feelings and behavior have changed overtime since the earthquake and circle the time period thatfits you best.”

The following 12 items were provided:

1. I understood the extent of the damage.

2. I felt safe.

3. I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.

4. Business offices resumed operations.

5. Housing problems were resolved.

6. The disaster no longer impacted my household.

7. Everyday routines resumed.

8. Local activities were restored.

9. I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.

10. The local economy was no longer influenced by thedisaster.

11. Local roads were restored.

12. Local schools resumed operations.

Events marking recovery milestones that many victimsexperienced were selected from ethnography interview re-sults targeting victims of the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Mid-Niigata Prefecture earthquakes.

3.1. Life Recovery Calendar for the 2004 Mid-Niigata Earthquake

Figure 1 shows the life recovery calendar for the 2004earthquake. The horizontal axis shows the logarithmictime lapse after the earthquake and tsunami. The notation100 on the left indicates one hour after the earthquake,102 hours (100 hours or 2–4 days after the earthquake),etc. The vertical axis shows the response rate for “feel-ings, actions, or circumstances” related to each question-naire item. The time when a milestone is reached coin-cides with accumulated responses exceeding 50%.

A day after the earthquake, over half of respondentssaid they were “prepared to be uncomfortable for a while”(item 3). A week after the quake, over half of respondents“understood the extent of the damage” (item 1), and twoweeks after, most respondents indicated that conditionshad improved to the point that “business offices and lo-cal schools resumed operations” (items 4 and 12). Otheritems in the recovery process rapidly gained momentumtwo months after, which coincided with the beginning ofspring. After two months, respondents felt that “everydayroutines resumed” (item 7). After three months, respon-dents “felt safe” (item 2). After six months, respondentsindicated that “housing problems were resolved” (item 5)and “local activities were restored” (item 8). After a year,respondents indicated that “local roads were restored”(item 11), the “disaster no longer impacted my house-hold” (item 6) and “no longer considered [themselves]disaster victims” (item 9). Over two years were needed,

Journal of Disaster Research Vol.10 No.2, 2015 197

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Kimura, R. et al.

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87.5 86.9

Items under 90% are shown.

Almost a 90% recovery for all items.

NAGAOKA City (in 2004 : before annexation )

I understood the extent of the damage.(n=364)I felt safe.(n=357)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=358)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=321)Housing problems were resolved.(n=338)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=326)Everyday routines resumed.(n=362)Local activities were restored.(n=321)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=337)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=295)Local roads were restored.(n=308)

Oct.23/2004

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Late-Nov.

Apr./2005

Oct./2005

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Oct.30 Early-Nov.

Late-Dec.

Late-Jan.

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74.3 76.8 81.3

80% of households and local economies identify as disaster victims

Oct.23/2004

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Late-Nov.

Apr./2005

Oct./2005

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Oct.30 Early-Nov.

Late-Dec.

Late-Jan.

20062007

20082009

OJIYA CityI understood the extent of the damage.(n=189)I felt safe.(n=180)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=195)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=180)Housing problems were resolved.(n=187)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=176)Everyday routines resumed.(n=193)Local activities were restored.(n=178)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=181)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=167)Local roads were restored.(n=177)

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70% of households identify as disaster victims

Only 34.5% for the local economy

Oct.23/2004

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Late-Nov.

Apr./2005

Oct./2005

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Oct.30 Early-Nov.

Late-Dec.

Late-Jan.

20062007

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KAWAGUCHI Town(in 2004 : before annexation )

I understood the extent of the damage.(n=30)I felt safe.(n=31)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=32)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=27)Housing problems were resolved.(n=31)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=31)Everyday routines resumed.(n=31)Local activities were restored.(n=31)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=31)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=29)Local roads were restored.(n=30)

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Evacuation order was lifted throughout the area on April 1, 2007.

Rapid recovery

11 of 13 respondents who lived in Yamakoshi during the disaster returned to Yamakoshi when the survey was conducted. (2 are in Nagaoka city)

Oct.23/2004

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Late-Nov.

Apr./2005

Oct./2005

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Oct.30 Early-Nov.

Late-Dec.

Late-Jan.

20062007

20082009

YAMAKOSHI Village (in 2004 : before annexation )

I understood the extent of the damage.(n=11)I felt safe.(n=12)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=12)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=11)Housing problems were resolved.(n=12)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=11)Everyday routines resumed.(n=12)Local activities were restored.(n=12)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=12)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=11)Local roads were restored.(n=12)

Fig. 2. Life recovery calendar for the 2004 Mid-Niigata Earthquake – Four local governments sustaining major damage.

however, for respondents to feel that “the local economywas no longer influenced by the disaster” (item 10).

In March 2009, or 4.5 years after the earthquake, over20% of respondents felt that additional time was neces-sary for three items:

1) “The disaster no longer impacted my household”(item 6)

2) “I no longer considered myself a disaster victim”(item 9)

3) “The local economy was no longer influenced by thedisaster” (item 10)

One benefit of the life recovery calendar was that thestatus of different regions could be compared. Almost90% of respondents from Nagaoka City (i.e., the Na-gaoka City area at the time of the earthquake and exclud-ing the Yamakoshi Village area) indicated recovery wascomplete for all items at the time of the survey in March2009. In contrast, only about 80% of respondents fromOjiya City felt that “the disaster no longer impacted onmy household” (item 6) (81.3%), “I no longer consideredmyself a disaster victim” (item 9) (76.8%), and “the lo-cal economy was no longer influenced by the disaster”

(item 10) (74.3%) (Fig. 2). About 70% of residents ofKawaguchi Town said, “I no longer considered myselfa disaster victim” (item 9) (71.1%) and “the disaster nolonger impacted on my household” (item 6) (67.7%), butonly 34.5% said that “the local economy was no longerinfluenced by the disaster” (item 10).

In contrast, Yamakoshi Village, which was independentat the time of the earthquake and not part of NagaokaCity, responses to many of the items were less than 50%up to two years after the earthquake. The village had re-covered rapid at the two-year point, however, and by thetime of the survey, all items had attained a 90% recov-ery response, except for two, i.e., “the disaster no longerimpacted on my household” (item 6) at 54.5% and “thelocal economy was no longer influenced by the disaster”(item 10) at 63.6%).

This rapid overall recovery is attributed to the fact thatthe evacuation order had been lifted in almost all areasas of April 1, 2007. The survey also found, however,that Kawaguchi Town was more negatively affected bythe earthquake than Yamakoshi Village for two items – “Ino longer considered myself a disaster victim” (item 9)and “the local economy was no longer influenced by thedisaster” (item 10).

198 Journal of Disaster Research Vol.10 No.2, 2015

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Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes Afterthe Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake

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10099.5 99.2 96.094.291.5

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It takes 10 hours to understand the magnitude of a disaster.

The extent of the damage is understood the following morning.

Businesses and schools start to resume after a week.

It takes 2 months to restore everyday routines.

Fewer identify as disaster victims after a year.

Less than 50% for the local economy.

It takes a year for roads to be restored.

Many items require more than 1,000 hours!

I understood the extent of the damage.(n=378)I felt safe.(n=366)I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.(n=371)Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.(n=331)Housing problems were resolved.(n=360)The disaster no longer impacted my household.(n=340)Everyday routines resumed.(n=371)Local activities were restored.(n=347)I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.(n=358)The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.(n=331)Local roads were restored.(n=349)

Jul.16/2007

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Mid.-Aug.

Jan./2008

Jul./2008

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Jul.23 Jul.30 Mid.-Sep.

Mid.-Oct.

Mar./2009

Fig. 3. Life recovery calendar for the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake of March 2009.

3.2. Life Recovery Calendar for the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake

Figure 3 shows the life recovery calendar for the 2007earthquake. Over half of respondents said, “I was pre-pared to be uncomfortable for a while” (item 3) a day af-ter the earthquake, and over half “understood the extentof the damage” (item 1). A week after the earthquake,some respondents noticed that “business offices and lo-cal schools resumed operations” (items 4 and 12), but twoweeks were required for the majority to notice. After amonth, they “felt safe” (item 2), and after two months“everyday routines resumed” (item 7). The majority feltthat “housing problems were resolved” (item 5) after threemonths. Six months were needed, however, for most tonote that “local activities were restored” (item 8) and “thedisaster no longer impacted on my household” (item 6).After a year, most responded that “local roads were re-stored” (item 11) and “I no longer considered myself adisaster victim” (item 9).

In March 2009, 20 months after the earthquake, fewerthan 90% indicated that “housing problems were re-solved” (item 5), “local roads were restored” (item 11),“the disaster no longer affected my household” (item 6),“I no longer consider myself a disaster victim” (item 9),and “the local economy was no longer influenced by thedisaster” (item 10). Specifically, 15% felt that hous-ing was still an issue and roads had yet to be restored(item 11). Fewer than 30% still identified as themselvesas disaster victims (item 9) but and over half felt that thedisaster still influenced the local economy (item 10).

3.3. The 2004 and 2007 Earthquakes ComparedTo identify differences in recovery status in the 2004

and 2007 earthquakes, Fig. 4 superimposes their two liferecovery calendars. The thinner line denoted by N is forthe 2004 earthquake and the bold line denoted by O isfor the 2007 earthquake. Despite differences in magni-tude and nature, the two earthquakes had similar recov-ery processes and time needed for the accumulated totalof each item to exceed 50%. All items except for “lo-cal roads were restored” required less time to exceed 50%after the 2007 earthquake faster than after the 2004 earth-quake, leading us to conclude that recovery from the 2007earthquake was faster recovery than that from the 2004earthquake.

4. Results and Considerations of the Geographi-cal Recovery Process in Affected Areas

We analyzed the postearthquake life recovery processusing a geographic information system (GIS).

4.1. Geographic Disaster-Victim IdentificationSpread Between the Two Earthquakes

In analysis, respondents who said that the earthquakehas affected them were denoted on a map for location databased on postal code. We estimated the kernel densityto identify areas with high concentrations of affected re-spondents based on mapping and then simulated victimdistribution in these areas (Fig. 5). We surmised that ar-

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OO OO

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Recovery status of the two affected areas in the Niigata Prefecture at the time of the survey (March 2009)

N N NNN

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ONN

Jul.16/2007

10 102 103 104100

Next day

hoursDisorientation New Reality Acceptance Disaster Utopia Everyday-life Reentry Creative Recovery

Mid.-Aug.

Jan./2008

Jul./2008

X-axis: log ‘Elapse of Time since the Disaster Occurred’

Jul.23 Jul.30 Mid.-Sep.

Mid.-Oct.

Mar./2009

-2010-2012

-2017

I understood the extent of the damage.I felt safe.I was prepared to be uncomfortable for a while.Business offices/Local schools resumed operations.Housing problems were resolved.The disaster no longer impacted my household.Everyday routines resumed.Local activities were restored.I no longer considered myself a disaster victim.The local economy was no longer influenced by the disaster.Local roads were restored.

Fig. 4. Life recovery calendar comparing the 2004 (fine lines) and 2007 (bold lines with markers) events.

2004 EQMid-Niigata

Epicenter

DamagedArea

Consideration of a Disaster Victim

High

Low

2007 EQChuetsu-Oki

Epicenter

DamagedArea

Consideration of a Disaster Victim

High

Low

Fig. 5. Distribution of residents considering themselves to have been adversely affected by the earthquake.

eas enclosed in red lines were affected by the 2007 earth-quakes before the survey based on physical information,including seismic intensity and devastation.

Geographical analysis indicated that many in areas withan estimated seismic intensity exceeding 6− identifiedthemselves as victims of the 2004 earthquake, as did thosein western Sanjo City, the Niigata city center, and the Shi-bata city center, which had intensities estimated at lessthan 5−. Results in areas with an intensity exceeding6− and where serious devastation was expected showedthat those far from the epicenter in Niigata and ShibataCities did not consider themselves to be victims, suggest-ing that identification as a disaster victims spread over

a wider area than actual intensity distribution. Althoughresidents of coastal areas, including Kashiwazaki City andthe Nishiyama Town district of Kashiwazaki City, KariwaVillage, and Izumozaki, where the estimated seismic in-tensity exceeded 6−, strongly identified themselves asdisaster victims, while the sense of being a victim wasweak in other areas.

A comparison of the two earthquakes showed thatwhile seismic intensity levels spread in the same way,identification as a disaster victim greatly differed. The2004 earthquake had a prefecture-wide impact on resi-dents, including isolation in mountainous areas, structuraldamage throughout the area, and damage to industry.

200 Journal of Disaster Research Vol.10 No.2, 2015

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Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes Afterthe Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake

2004 Mid-Niigata EQ 2007 Chuetsu-Oki EQ

1 weekafter EQ

1 monthafter EQ

3 monthsafter EQ

1 yearafter EQ

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

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Fig. 6. Geographical differences in times when residents no longer defined themselvesas disaster victims.

4.2. Geographical Analysis of When Residents NoLonger Defined Themselves as Disaster Vic-tims

We next analyzed the life recovery calendar (Fig. 6)for the time when residents no longer defined themselvesas disaster victims (item 9). For the 2004 earthquake,less than 25% of residents of Nagaoka, Ojiya, and TochioCities felt that they were no longer victims after a week.It took one month for over 25% of Mitsuke City residentsto feel this way. It took three months for over 25% offormerly Nagaoka City residents to feel this way. Aftera year, over 75% of Yamakoshi Village and KawaguchiTown residents no longer defined themselves as disastervictims, whereas the rest of respondents in the prefectureindicated that they no longer defined themselves as disas-ter victims.

For the 2007 earthquake, Takayanagi and YoshikawaTowns were the only places where over 50% of residentsno longer defined themselves as victims a week after theearthquake. Over 25% of Izumozaki Town residents feltthey were no longer victims after one month. Over 25%of Kashiwazaki City residents felt they were no longervictims after three months. After a year, over 50% of pre-fectural residents, except for those in Kariwa Village, nolonger defined themselves as disaster victims.

4.3. Geographical Analysis of When Residents Feltthe Local Economy Was No Longer Influencedby the Disaster

In looking at economic recovery, the slowest part of therecovery process, we focused on “the local economy wasno longer influenced by the disaster” (item 10) (Fig. 7).For the 2004 earthquake, less than 25% of residents felteconomic recovery a week after the earthquake in Na-gaoka and Ojiya Cities, but after a month, over 25% ofMuika Town residents felt economic recovery. After threemonths, over 25% of Mitsuke City residents were awareof economic recovery. Although less than 25% of resi-dents in Tochio and Ojiya, Cities and Kawaguchi Townfelt the economy had recovered after a year, the rest ofprefectural residents felt that the disaster no longer im-pacted on the local economy. For the 2007 earthquake, incontrast, Takayanagi and Yoshikawa Towns were the onlyplaces where over 25% of residents felt economic recov-ery a week after the earthquake. This was also the caseafter a month. Three months after the earthquake, how-ever, over 25% of Kashiwazaki City and Izumozaki Townresidents felt the economy was no longer affected by thedisaster, and after a year, over 50% of prefectural resi-dents, except those in Kariwa Village, felt that the localeconomy was no longer influenced by the disaster.

In the case of both earthquakes, areas close to the epi-

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Kimura, R. et al.

2004 Mid-Niigata EQ 2007 Chuetsu-Oki EQ

1 weekafter EQ

1 monthafter EQ

3 monthsafter EQ

1 yearafter EQ

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

0-25 %25-5050-7575-100

Fig. 7. Geographical differences in time periods when residents felt that the localeconomy was no longer influenced by the disaster.

center and those with the greatest seismic intensity experi-enced the slowest recoveries. The observation that “placeswith serious devastation received more generous support,so there is no major difference in economic impact” isfalse. The 2004 earthquake clearly impacted on residentsover a wider area for a longer period than the 2007 earth-quake.

4.4. Conclusions of Geographical AnalysisGeographical analysis of the recovery process after the

two earthquakes detailed above demonstrated similaritiesand differences. Both showed a clear relationship be-tween distance from the epicenter and recovery speed. Al-though each item entails a different recovery speed, areascloser to the epicenter or with a greater seismic intensityhave a slower recovery. This contradicts the notion thatareas with intense tremors recover faster because their re-covery was supported more generously due to the scaleof physical devastation. In reality, Yamakoshi Village andKawaguchi Town, which were both near the epicenter ofthe 2004 earthquake, showed the slowest recovery for allitems. In fact, analysis of the recovery status five yearsafter the earthquake indicates that less than 50% of theseresidents felt the local economy has recovered.

Comparing recovery status one year after each disas-ter highlights differences in recovery speed. Althoughmany areas surpassed 50% for all items after the 2007

earthquake, Yamakoshi Village has yet to exceed 50% fiveyears later. In both cases of recovery, local economy re-covery speed is slow and many residents identify them-selves as disaster victims. After the 2004 earthquake,more areas had less than 25% of residents respondingthat recovery is progressing, demonstrating the extent thateach earthquake had on residents. As suggested by thedifference in the distribution of identification as disastervictims, a comparison of recovery status shows that the2004 earthquake had a greater impact on victims’ living.

References:[1] R. Kimura, K. Tamura, M. Inoguchi, H. Hayashi, and Y. Urata,

“Generalization of victims’ behavior and life reconstruction pro-cesses – Socio-economic recovery from three earthquake disastersoccurred in Hyogo Prefecture in 1995, Niigata Prefecture in 2004and 2007 –,” Journal of Social Safety Science, No.13, pp. 175-185,2010 (in Japanese).

[2] R. Kimura, K. Tamura, M. Inoguchi, and H. Hayashi, “Influenceof earthquake disaster experience on risk perception and damageestimation,” Proc. of the 14th Japan Earthquake Engineering Sym-posium, pp. 4141-4148, 2010 (in Japanese).

[3] K. Tamura, R. Kimura, M. Inoguchi, and H. Hayashi, “Analyzingthe subjective evaluation of governmental assistance under the im-pact of seismic disaster,” Proc. of the 14th Japan Earthquake Engi-neering Symposium, pp. 4149-4156, 2010 (in Japanese).

[4] R. Kimura, H. Hayashi, S. Tatsuki, and K. Tamura, “Psychologi-cally defined life reconstruction processes of disaster victims in the1995 Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake,” Journal of Social Safety Science,No.6, pp. 241-250, 2004 (in Japanese).

[5] R. Kimura, “Recovery and reconstruction calendar,” Journal of Dis-aster Research, Vol.2, No.6, pp. 465-474, 2007.

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Comparison Between the Life Recovery Processes Afterthe Mid-Niigata Earthquake and the Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake

Name:Reo Kimura

Affiliation:Associate Professor, Ph.D., Graduate School ofHuman Science and Environment, University ofHyogo

Address:1-1-12, Shinzaike-honcho, Himeji, Hyogo 670-0092, JapanBrief Career:2003-2009 Assistant Professor, Graduate School of EnvironmentalStudies, Nagoya University2009-2011 Associate Professor, Graduate School of Environmental andDisaster Research, Fuji Tokoha UniversitySelected Publications:• “Development of the method of clarifying the life reconstruction processbased on the random sampled social surveys of the victims – Recovery andreconstruction calendar –,” Proc. of the Int. Emergency ManagementSociety (TIEMS) 17th Annual Conf., pp. 168-178, 2010.• “Implementation and operation of a cloud-based participatory damagerecognition system to obtain a common operational picture that supports aquick disaster response,” Int. Journal for Infonomics (IJI), Special IssueVol.1, Issue 1, pp. 834-840, 2013.• “Current status and issues of life recovery process three years after theGreat East Japan Earthquake questionnaire based on subjective estimate ofvictims using life recovery calendar method,” Journal of DisasterResearch, Vol.9, No.sp, pp. 673-689, 2014.Academic Societies & Scientific Organizations:• Japan Institute of Social Safety Science (JISSS)• Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science (JSNDS)• Japanese Psychological Association (JPA)• Japanese Society of Social Psychology (JSSP)• Japan Sociological Society (JSS)• Seismological Society of Japan (SSJ)• Japan Society of Civil Engineering (JSCE)

Name:Munenari Inoguchi

Affiliation:Assistant Professor, Ph.D. Informatics, ResearchInstitute for Natural Hazards and Disaster Re-covery, Niigata University

Address:8050 Igarashi Nino-cho, Nishi-ku, Niigata City, Niigata, JapanBrief Career:2011- Research Institute for Natural Hazards and Disaster Recovery,Niigata UniversitySelected Publications:• “Structure of web-based victims master database of the life rebuildingprocess – A study of the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011 –,” 15th

World Conf. on Earthquake Engineering Proc., CD-ROM (8pp.), 2012.Academic Societies & Scientific Organizations:• Institute of Social Safety Science (ISSS)• Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science (JSNDS)• GIS Association of Japan (GISA)• Japan Emergency Management Association (JEMA)• Japan Society of Civil Engineers (JSCE)• Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers(IEICE)• Information Systems Society of Japan (ISSJ)• Japan Association for Earthquake Engineering (JAEE)

Name:Keiko Tamura

Affiliation:Professor, Ph.D., Risk Management Of-fice/Research Center for Natural Hazard andDisaster Recovery, Niigata University

Address:8050 Ikarashi 2-no-cho, Nishi-ku, Niigata 950-2181, JapanBrief Career:2004-2006 Researcher, Research Center for Disaster Reduction Systems,Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University2006-2009 Associate Professor, Research Center for Natural Hazard &Disaster Recovery, Niigata University, Japan2009-present Professor, Risk Management Office/Research Center forNatural Hazard & Disaster Recovery, Niigata University, JapanSelected Publications:• K. Tamura, “Defining recovery: 7-element model,” Journal of DisasterResearch, Vol.2, No.6, pp. 475-483, 2007.Academic Societies & Scientific Organizations:• Institute of Social Safety Science (ISSS)• Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science (JSNDS)• Japan Society for Civil Engineers (JSCE)

Name:Haruo Hayashi

Affiliation:Professor, Ph.D. (UCLA), Research Center forDisaster Reduction System (DRS), Disaster Pre-vention Research Institute (DPRI), Kyoto Uni-versity

Address:Gokasho, Uji-shi, Kyoto 611-0011, JapanBrief Career:1983-1988 Assistant Professor and Associate Professor, Faculty ofHumanities, Hirosaki University1988-1994 Associate Professor, Faculty of Integrated Arts and Sciences,Hiroshima University1994-1996 Associate Professor, Disaster Prevention Research Institute,Kyoto University1996-present Professor, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, KyotoUniversitySelected Publications:• Kyoto University/NTT Resilience Joint Research Group (H. Hayashi etal.), “Trial for the Disaster Resilience Society – Come over the Great EastJapan Earthquake Disaster,” Nikkei BP Consulting, Inc., 2012 (inJapanese).• H. Hayashi et al., “Effective method for disaster prevention, ‘DisasterEthnography’ – unrevealed witnesses of Hanshin-Aawaji GreatEarthquake,” Japan Broadcast Publishing Co., Ltd, 2009 (in Japanese).• Kyoto University/NTT Resilience Joint Research Group (H. Hayashi etal.), “Creating Disaster Resilient Society – protecting lives, livings,businesses from disasteres and risks,” Nikkei BP Consulting, Inc., 2009 (inJapanese).• H. Hayashi, “Earthquake Disaster Prevention Study saving life,”Iwanami Shoten, 2003.Academic Societies & Scientific Organizations:• Institute for Social Safety Science (ISSS)• Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science (JSNDS)• Japan Emergency Management Association (JEMA)

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