patrick j clemins march 7, 2011 - american society for ...fy 11 house cr: $547m, -7.0% 750 $, nist...
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Research andDevelopment in the FY 2011 and FY 2012 FY 2011 and FY 2012 Federal Budgets
Patrick J CleminsMarch 7, 2011for the ASEE Engineering Research Council
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy ProgramAAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
Composition of the Proposed FY 2012 BudgetTotal Outlays = $3.7 trillion
Defense Discretionary
Net Interest$242
y $outlays in billions of dollars
$647
[Defense R&D]$83
Other Mandatory$625
Nondefense DiscretionaryMedicaid
$269 Discretionary$542
Medicare
$269
[Nondefense R&D]$69
Social Security$761
Medicare$485
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2012.Projected unified deficit is $1.1 trillion.© 2011 AAAS
FY 2012 Budget Projectionsoutlays in billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
4,000
4,500
Net interest
3,000
3,500 Other mandatory
Medicaid
2,000
2,500 Medicare
Social Security
1,000
1,500 Nondefense discretionary
Defense discretionary
Receipts
0
500
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Receipts
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2012.© 2011 AAAS
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
The FY 2012 Federal R&D Investment Total R&D: $147.9b, +0.5% from FY 2010
Basic Research: $32.9b, +11.9%
Applied Research: $33.2b, +11.4%
Development: $79.4b, -4.7%
Equipment and Facilities: $2 4b -47 8% Equipment and Facilities: $2.4b, -47.8%
$81.2b for defense R&D, -3.9%
$66.8b for non-defense R&D, +6.5%
-2.2% in constant dollars from FY 2010 (Non-defense: +3.7%)
-0.8% in constant dollars since FY 2004 (Non-defense: +1.0%)
Peak in FY 2007
Trends in Federal R&Din billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
160
180
ARRA - Total R&D
100
120
140ARRA Total R&D
ARRA - Development
ARRA - Research
60
80
100ARRA - Facilities
Total R&D
Development
0
20
40Development
Research
Facilities0
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
S OMB R&D d t AAAS l f R&D i l AAAS R&D tSource: OMB R&D data, AAAS analyses of R&D in annual AAAS R&D reports.FY 2011 and FY 2012 figures are latest AAAS estimates. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. 1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. © 2011 AAAS
Trends in R&D and Discretionary Spendingoutlays in billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
1400
1600
168
192
1000
1200
120
144Nondefense R&D(left scale)
600
800
72
96 Defense R&D(left scale)
Total Discretionary
200
400
24
48
y(right scale)
00
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2012.R&D totals do not include construction of facilities and equipment.FY 2011-2012 data are budget projections.© 2011 AAAS
Total R&D by Agency, FY 2012budget authority in billions of dollars
USDA, $2.2DHS, $1.1
All Other, $6.6
Total R&D = $147.9 billion
NASA, $9.8
NSF, $6.3
DOE, $13.0
DOD, $76.6
HHS (NIH), $32.3
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities.© 2011 AAAS
Trends in R&D by Agencyin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
160
180
100
120
140 ARRA Funding
All Other
USDA
60
80
100NSF
NASA
DOE
0
20
40 NIH
DOD
0
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Source: AAAS Report: Research & Development series.FY 2011 and FY 2012 figures are latest estimates.1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. © 2011 AAAS
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
R&D Investment Priorities Jumpstarting Innovation / Scientific Discovery
Research Funding: $66.1b, +11.6% ($6.9b)
Continue Budget Doubling Track for Key Science Agencies
$13.9b combined NSF, DOE SC, NIST, +12.2% ($1.5b)
Clean Energy Future / Climate Science Clean Energy Future / Climate Science
DOE Sci and Energy: +$1.4b (19.7%) to $8.5b
USGCRP: +$446m (20.4%) to $2.6b
Infrastructure
High-speed wireless for 98% of Americans
Wi l I ti F d $3b Wireless Innovation Fund - $3b
Permanent, Expanded and Simplified R&E Tax Credit
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
H.R. 1 – House CR for FY 2011 Total Budget: $1.029t
-$60.9b from FY 2010 enacted
-$99.6b from FY 2011 request
-$62.4b from FY 2012 request
Total R&D: $141 8b Total R&D: $141.8b
-$5.4b from FY 2010 enacted
-$6.1b from FY 2012 request
Nondefense R&D: $58.3b
-$8.5b from FY 2012 request
R&D totals 8 9% of all c ts in CR ( s FY 2010) R&D totals 8.9% of all cuts in CR (vs. FY 2010)
Short of R&D’s 12% share of discretionary spending
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
Department of Energy
15
Dept of Energyin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total R&D FY 12 Request: $13.0b, +19.9%
FY 11 House CR: $9.5b, -12.7%
10
$ ,
Energy R&D FY 12 Request: $3.5b, +38.6%
FY 11 House CR: $1.7b, -34.3%
5
Office of Science FY 12 Request: $4.9b, +9.1%
FY 11 House CR: $3.6b, -19.6%
FY 12 Request
01 4 7 0 3 6 9 2
FY 12 Request EERE: $3.2b, +44.4%
Fossil: $521m, -44.5%
ARPA-E: $550m19
9
199 4
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Science Energy Defense ARRA
Energy Innov Hubs: Doubled to six
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
National Science Foundation
8
National Science Foundationin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total Budget FY 12 Request: $7.8b, +13.0%
FY 11 House CR: $6.6b, -5.8%
6
$ ,
Total R&D FY 12 Request: $6.3b, +16.1%
FY 11 House CR: $5.0b, -9.0%
2
4 STEM Education
100,000 new teachers
Clean Energy: $576m
S i E gi i g d
0
2
1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3
Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability (SEES) $998m for climate and energy
Cyberinfrastructure for 21st
199
199 3
1995
1997
1999
200
200 3
2005
2007
2009
201
201 3
Total R&D ARRA COMPETES
Century Science and Engineering (CIF21): $117m
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
NSF Engineering – FY 2012 Request 22.1% increase to $908.3 million
Chem, Bioeng, Env & Trans (CBET) – $194 million (+23.7%)
Civil, Mech & Manuf Innov (CMMI) – $226 million (+20.3%)
Elect, Comm & Cyber Sys (ECCS) – $131 million (+39.4%)
Eng Education and Centers (EEC) – $132million (+6 7%) Eng Education and Centers (EEC) $132million (+6.7%)
Ind Innov Partnerships (IIP) – $192 million (+26.0%)
SBIR/STTR – $147 million (+16.8%)
Emerging Frontiers in Res Innov (EFRI) – $33 million (+14.5%)
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
NSF Engineering – FY 2012 Request Major Investments
Clean Energy: +$57m (49.9%) to $173m
SEES: +$54m (49.7%) to $162m
Advanced Manufacturing: +$27m (70.3%) to $65m
NNI: +$26m (17 8%) to $174m NNI: +$26m (17.8%) to $174m
ERCs: +$26m (47.5%) to 81m
CIF21: $9m
S&T Centers: +7m (197.6%) to $10m
Emergent Behaviors of Integrated Cellular Systems (CBET)
Energy Efficient Electronics Science (ECCS) Energy Efficient Electronics Science (ECCS)
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
NIST
1000
NISTin millions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total R&D FY 12 Request: $872m, +48.3%
FY 11 House CR: $547m, -7.0%
750
$ ,
NIST Labs Total Budget (STRS) FY 12 Request: $679m, +31.8%
FY 11 House CR: $470m, -8.8%
250
500 Secure and Robust Cyber Infrastructure: +$43.4m
21st Century Manufacturing: Faster, Smarter & Cleaner: +13.3m
0
250
1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3
Wireless Innovation Fund: $100m
199
199 3
1995
1997
1999
200
200 3
2005
2007
2009
201
201 3
Total R&D ARRA COMPETES
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
National Institutes of Health
45
National Institutes of Healthin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total Budget
FY 12 Request: $31.8b, +2.4%
FY 11 House CR: $29 5b -5 2%
30
FY 11 House CR: $29.5b, -5.2%
Total R&D
FY 12 Request: $31.2b, +3.4%
FY 11 House CR: $28.7b, -4.7%
15
FY 11 House CR: $28.7b, 4.7%
FY 11 House CR
Proposals to limit grant size
National Center for Advancing
09 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2
Nat o al Ce te o dva c g Translational Science (NCATS)
Tech to accelerate discovery
Comparative effectiveness and 19
7919
8219
8519
8819
919
9419
9720
0020
0320
0620
0920
12
Total R&D ARRA
personalized medicine
New Innovator Award and Early Independence Award
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
NASA
15
NASAin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total R&D
FY 12 Request: $9.8b, +6.0%
FY 11 House CR: $9 3b +0 0%
10
FY 11 House CR: $9.3b, +0.0%
Guided by NASA Reauthorization (S.3729) – Oct 11, 2010
Transition to research and
5
technology development on ISS; Independent NPO management
Commercial cargo and crew services for near-earth orbit
09 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2
New space launch system and multi-purpose crew vehicle
Space Research and Technology Program: $1.0b
1979
1982
1985
1988
199
199 4
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Total R&D ARRA
Deeper and more effective partnerships internationally
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
USDA
3
USDAin billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total R&D
FY 12 Request: $2.2b, -17.7%
FY 11 House CR: $2 2b -15 6%
2
FY 11 House CR: $2.2b, -15.6%
ARS (Intramural)
Buildings and Facilities: -$71m and cancels $224m in unobligated
1
balances
Congressionally Directed Projects: -$42m
$59m in program increases
09 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2
p g
NIFA (Extramural)
R&D: $741m, -11.8% (-$99m)
AFRI: $325m, +24.0% (+$62m)
1979
1982
1985
1988
199
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Total R&D ARRA
Congressionally Directed Projects and Grants: -$141m
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
Department of Defense
80
Dept of Defensein billions of constant FY 2011 dollars
Total R&D
FY 12 Request: $76.6b, -4.9%
FY 11 House CR: $79 3b -1 6%
60
80 FY 11 House CR: $79.3b, -1.6%
Basic Research
FY 12 Request: $2.1b, +14.5%
Total S&T
20
40
Total S&T
FY 12 Request: $12.3b, -7.2%
Defense Efficiencies Initiative: -$178b over 5 yrs, $100b
0
20
0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2
$178b over 5 yrs, $100b reinvested
UAVs: $4.8b, Cyber: $2.3b, F-35: $9.7b and restructured
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Basic Applied Other ARRA
R&D in the FY 2012 Budget Requestpercent change from FY 2010
17 3%
18.8%
38.6%
48.3%
DOE D f
DHS
DOE Energy
NIST
9.1%
13.7%
16.1%
17.3%
DOE Science
DOT
NSF
DOE Defense
3.4%
5.2%
6.0%
9.1%
NIH
NOAA
NASA
DOE Science
12 4%
-12.4%
-8.1%
-4.9%
VA
EPA
USGS
DOD
-17.7%
-12.4%
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
USDA
VA
DOD "S&T" DOD R&D i "6 1" th h "6 3" t i
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.© 2011 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
Industry Innovation Initiatives SBIR/STTR Extended through May 31, 2011
Keeps same percentages (SBIR: 2.5%, STTR: 0.3%)
ARRA Report: $100 billion in innovation ARRA Report: $100 billion in innovation $18.7 billion in R&D
H.R.5297 – Small Business Jobs and Credit Act$30 billi ll b i l di f d $30 billion small business lending fund
$12 billion in tax breaks
“Make it in America” Agenda
“Startup America” Initiative
Patent Reform
Advanced Manufacturing Investments - NSF, DARPA, NIST, DOE
Federally Funded Engineering Research: FY 2008obligations in millions of dollars
3000
3500 Total EngineeringResearch:$9.54 billion
2500Applied ResearchNon-Academic
Applied Research
1500
2000pp
Academic
Basic ResearchNon-Academic
500
1000Basic ResearchAcademic
0
500
DOD DOE NASA HHS(NIH)
NSF DOT DOC Other(NIH)
Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development.FY 2008 figures are preliminary.© 2009 AAAS
Federally Funded Engineering Research: FY 2009obligations in millions of dollars
3000
3500 Total EngineeringResearch:$8.9 billion
2500Applied ResearchNon-Academic
Applied Research
1500
2000 Academic
Basic ResearchNon-Academic
500
1000Basic ResearchAcademic
0DOD DOE HHS
(NIH)NSF NASA DOT DOC Other
(NIH)
Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development.FY 2009 figures are preliminary.© 2010 AAAS
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
Next Stepsp FY 2011
Current continuing resolution (CR) expires March 18.g ( ) p
FY 2011 funding levels are likely to be between the $1.128 trillion in the failed Senate omnibus and $1.029 trillion, the total of the introduced House year-long CR (H R 1)the total of the introduced House year long CR (H.R.1).
Debt Ceiling Increase Needed by April / early May.Needed by April / early May.
FY 2012 Results of FY 2011 appropriations will be the best insight.pp p g
R&D IN THE FEDERAL BUDGET
For More Information…
The AAAS R&D web site is http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd/
Twitter: @AAAS_RDBudget
The FY 2012 AAAS Forum onThe FY 2012 AAAS Forum onScience and Technology Policy is May 5-6, 2011in Washington, DCg ,