pbl planbureau voor de leefomgeving - image 3.0 in detail · 2017. 8. 3. · image 3.0 in detail...

1
Image 3.0 in detail Source: PBL 2014 Input Output Output Input Input Output Land cover and land use Energy efficiency technology Energy policy Energy intensity parameters Lifestyle parameters Private consumption Energy supply Primary energy price Demand for primary energy Demand for electricity, heat and hydrogen Initial technology cost Rules on use of technology Trade restriction Carbon price Energy and industry activity level Agricultural economy Livestock systems Forest management Land-use allocation Energy Demand Energy Conversion Electricity price CO2 stored Air pollution policy Technology development of energy conversion Technology development of energy supply Energy resources Total primary energy supply Energy security indicators Global emission pathways Mitigation costs Residual damage Emission trading Consumption loss Adaptation costs No. of wet days (historical data) GCM paern (temperature, precipitation) MAGICC parameter seings Radiative forcing factors Sulphate paern Cloudiness (historical data) Land for bioenergy Learning rate Income and price elasticities Carbon pools in vegetation Change in soil properties Demand for traditional biomass Regrowth forest area Harvested wood Degraded forest area Forest residues Potential crop and grass yield Built-up area Protected area Crop production Protected area Increase in irrigated area Crop fraction in agricultural area Forest management type Bioenergy production Animal productivity Production system mix Animal stocks Feed conversion Livestock rations Crops and grass Carbon cycle and natural vegetation Atmopheric composition and climate Temperature Precipitation Cloudiness No. of wet days Global mean temperature Timber use fraction NEP (net ecosystem production) MSA (mean species abundance) Grass requirement Irrigation water supply Irrigation water consumption Rainwater consumption Crop irrigation water demand River discharge Irrigation project efficiency Irrigation conveyance efficiency Digital water network LOD (location of dams and reservoirs) Livestock rations Manure spreading fraction Production system mix Non-CO2 GHG concentrations Radiative forcing Water stress Terrestial biodiversity Aquatic biodiversity Flood risks Land degradation Ecosystem services Human development Nitrogen deposition Land-use CO2 emissions Wilderness area SRI (species richness index) N and P discharge to surface water People dependent on solid fuel Food availability per capita Ocean carbon uptake Child mortality Child underweight DALYs (disability- adjusted life years) HDI (human development index) Life expectancy People living on less then USD 1.25 per day Prevalence of undernourishment GINI coefficient Coastal storm surges Daily climate dataset Flood statistics Topography, elevation Urban population fraction Statistics on inundation depth Erosion risk Land use and land-use intensity Potential natural vegetation Carbon pools in soil and timber NPP (net primary production) Livestock production Management intensity crops Carbon storage price Management intensity livestock CO2 concentration Sector value added Initial production costs Exogenously set market shares Taxes and other additional costs Preferences Climate policy Marginal abatement cost Trade policy Technological change (crops and livestock Land cover and land use Fertilizer use efficiency Adaptation level Climate target Domestic climate policy Equity principles Other energy and land-use models Biofuel policy Emission factors Relationship income and emission factor Emission abatement BC, OC and NOx emissions SO2 emissions CO and NMVOC emissions CO2 emission from energy and industry Non-CO2 GHG emissions (CH4, N2O and Halocarbons) Potential bioenergy yield Land supply Labour and capital supply Feed crop requirement Bioenergy area Agricultural area Extensive grassland area Intensive grassland area Demand for fossil fuels and bioenergy Emissions NH3 emissions N and P in wastewater discharge Soil N budget Soil P budget Soil respiration Aquatic MSA Harmful algal blooms in lakes Carbon sequestration Expected nr of affected people Expected value of affected GDP Statistics of inundation extent Statistics on river discharge Change in soil properties Erosion risk Flood protection Food availability, including fish and wild food Irrigation water withdrawal Water withdrawal other sectors Protected area Initial land cover, land use Initial temperature, precipitation Soil types and profiles (S-World) Weighting factors for temperature, precipitation, land use and slope Slope Accessibility Distance to water Fish landing Ecosystem services effect values Protected area Biome and eco-region High resolution land cover (GLC2000) No-go areas Topography Soil properties Soil properties Residue management Actual crop and grass production Pollination Presence of natural pest control Reduced erosion risk Suitability for nature-based tourism Water availability MSA effect values Nitrogen critical load Species-area relationships Road-map Digital water network GLWD (global lakes and wetlands database) Lake depth Water temperature Empirical MSA effect values Timber demand FAO deforestation rates Traditional biomass from non-forest land Harvest efficiency Forest plantation demand Fraction of selective logging GDP per capita Population Nutrients Commodity price Trade Demand Water Land systems Slope Accessibility Regression parameters CLUmondo specific input Land suitability Agriculture and land use Energy supply and demand Impacts Earth system x Policy response Land cover and land use and emissions modules x x x x x Input/output Input on Land cover and land use GDP per capita and population Climate indicators Economy, population and trade Groups of model drivers Technology Resources Policies Lifestyle Input/output IMAGE model variable IMAGE model driver External dataset Global map x x x pbl.nl

Upload: others

Post on 09-Feb-2021

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • Image 3.0 in detail

    Source: PBL 2014

    Input

    Output Output

    Input

    Input

    Output

    Land cover andland use

    Energy e�ciencytechnology Energy policy

    Energy intensityparameters

    Lifestyle parameters

    Privateconsumption

    Energy supply

    Primaryenergyprice Demand for

    primary energy

    Demand forelectricity, heatand hydrogen

    Initial technology

    cost

    Rules on use oftechnologyTrade

    restriction

    Carbon price

    Energy andindustry

    activity level

    Agriculturaleconomy

    Livestocksystems

    Forest management

    Land-useallocation

    Energy DemandEnergy Conversion

    Electricityprice

    CO2 stored

    Air pollution

    policy

    Technologydevelopment of

    energy conversion

    Technologydevelopment of

    energy supply

    Energy resources

    Total primaryenergy supply

    Energy securityindicators

    Global emissionpathways

    Mitigation costs

    Residual damage

    Emission trading

    Consumption loss

    Adaptation costs

    No. of wet days(historical data)

    GCM pa�ern(temperature,precipitation)

    MAGICC parameterse�ings

    Radiativeforcing factors

    Sulphate pa�ern

    Cloudiness(historical data)

    Land forbioenergy

    Learning rate

    Income andprice elasticities

    Carbon poolsin vegetation

    Change in soilproperties

    Demand for traditionalbiomass

    Regrowthforest area

    Harvestedwood

    Degradedforest area

    Forest residues

    Potential crop and

    grass yield

    Built-up area

    Protected area

    Cropproduction

    Protected area

    Increase inirrigated area

    Crop fractionin agricultural

    area

    Forestmanagement

    type

    Bioenergy production

    Animal productivity

    Production system mix

    Animalstocks

    Feed conversion

    Livestock rations

    Crops and grass

    Carbon cycle andnatural vegetation

    Atmophericcompositionand climate

    Temperature

    Precipitation

    Cloudiness

    No. of wet days

    Global meantemperature

    Timber use fraction

    NEP (netecosystem

    production)

    MSA(mean species

    abundance)

    Grassrequirement

    Irrigation water supply

    Irrigation waterconsumption

    Rainwaterconsumption

    Crop irrigation

    water demand

    Riverdischarge

    Irrigation projecte�ciency

    Irrigationconveyance

    e�ciency

    Digital waternetwork

    LOD (locationof dams andreservoirs)

    Livestock rations

    Manure spreadingfraction

    Productionsystem mix

    Non-CO2 GHGconcentrations

    Radiativeforcing

    Waterstress

    Terrestial biodiversity

    Aquatic biodiversity

    Flood risks

    Land degradation

    Ecosystemservices

    Human development

    Nitrogen deposition

    Land-useCO2 emissions

    Wilderness area

    SRI (speciesrichness index)

    N and Pdischarge to

    surface water

    People dependent on

    solid fuel

    Food availabilityper capita

    Ocean carbonuptake

    Child mortality

    Childunderweight

    DALYs (disability-adjusted life

    years)

    HDI (humandevelopment

    index)

    Lifeexpectancy

    People livingon less then

    USD 1.25 per day

    Prevalence ofundernourishment

    GINI coe�cient

    Coastalstorm surges

    Daily climatedataset

    Flood statistics

    Topography,elevation

    Urban populationfraction

    Statistics oninundation

    depth

    Erosion risk Land use andland-use intensity

    Potential natural vegetation

    Carbon pools insoil and timber

    NPP (net primaryproduction)

    Livestockproduction

    Managementintensity

    crops

    Carbon storage price

    Management intensity livestock

    CO2 concentration

    Sector value added

    Initial production

    costsExogenously setmarket shares

    Taxes and otheradditional costs

    Preferences

    Climate policy

    Marginal abatement

    cost

    Trade policy

    Technological change (cropsand livestock

    Land cover andland use

    Fertilizer use e�ciency

    Adaptation level

    Climate target

    Domesticclimate policy

    Equity principles

    Other energy andland-use models

    Biofuel policy

    Emission factors

    Relationshipincome and

    emission factor

    Emissionabatement

    BC, OC and NOxemissions

    SO2 emissions

    CO and NMVOCemissions

    CO2 emission fromenergy and industry

    Non-CO2 GHGemissions (CH4,

    N2O and Halocarbons)

    Potentialbioenergy

    yield

    Land supply

    Labourand capital

    supply

    Feed crop requirement

    Bioenergy area

    Agricultural area

    Extensivegrassland area

    Intensivegrassland area

    Demand for fossilfuels and bioenergy

    Emissions

    NH3emissions

    N and P inwastewater

    discharge

    Soil N budget

    Soil P budget

    Soil respiration

    Aquatic MSA

    Harmful algalblooms in lakes

    Carbonsequestration Expected nr of

    a�ected people

    Expected valueof a�ected GDP

    Statistics ofinundation extent

    Statistics onriver discharge

    Change insoil properties

    Erosion risk

    Floodprotection

    Food availability,including �shand wild food

    Irrigationwater withdrawal

    Water withdrawalother sectors

    Protected area

    Initial land cover,land use

    Initial temperature,precipitation

    Soil types andpro�les (S-World)

    Weighting factorsfor temperature,

    precipitation, landuse and slope

    Slope

    Accessibility

    Distance to water

    Fish landing

    Ecosystemservices

    e�ect values

    Protected area

    Biome andeco-region

    High resolutionland cover(GLC2000)

    No-go areas

    Topography

    Soil properties

    Soil properties

    Residuemanagement

    Actual crop andgrass production

    Pollination

    Presence of naturalpest control

    Reducederosion risk

    Suitability fornature-based

    tourism

    Wateravailability

    MSA e�ect values

    Nitrogencritical load

    Species-arearelationships

    Road-map

    Digital waternetwork

    GLWD (globallakes and

    wetlands database)

    Lake depth

    Water temperature

    Empirical MSAe�ect values

    Timber demand

    FAO deforestation rates

    Traditional biomassfrom non-forest land

    Harvest e�ciency

    Forest plantationdemand

    Fraction ofselective logging

    GDP per capita

    Population

    Nutrients

    Commodityprice

    Trade

    Demand

    Water

    Landsystems

    Slope

    Accessibility

    Regressionparameters

    CLUmondospeci�c input

    Land suitability

    Agriculture and land use

    Energy supply and demand

    Impacts

    Earth system

    x

    Policy response

    Land cover and land use andemissions modules

    x

    x

    x

    x

    x

    Input/output

    Input on

    Land cover and land use

    GDP per capita and population

    Climate indicators

    Economy, population and trade

    Groups of model drivers

    Technology

    Resources

    Policies

    Lifestyle

    Input/output

    IMAGE model variable

    IMAGE model driver

    External dataset

    Global map

    x

    x

    x

    pbl.n

    l