pc/dk-agosto09 2º2º3º3º4º4º5º5º ranking mundial de usuÁrios de internet 1º1º6º6º...
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PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º 6º
Threshold model in consumer demand: when one buys depends on the number of previous buyers
GRANOVETTER
“Bandwagon”(positive)
“Reverse Bandwagon”(negative)
Correlations
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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GRANOVETTER
Bandwagon
Status - seeking
To get into the “swim of things”
In order to conform with those they wish to be associated with
In order to be fashionable or stylish
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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GRANOVETTER
Bandwagon
Empty restaurant
Depend for their
utility on join
consumptionby others
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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GRANOVETTER
Bandwagon
When services or accessories for one’s purchase aremore readily and cheaply available the more
others have purchased
… and can be a signal of product quality.
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º 6º
GRANOVETTER
Reverse bandwagon
Status - seeking may require
avoidance or overly popular
products
25 de MarçoStreet/SP
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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GRANOVETTER
People are unwilling to purchase until some minimumnumber of others has, but that also becomes lessappealing once some maximum number is exceeded
… and the same product may besubject to both: bandwagon and reverse
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º 5º 6º
Diffusion is the
process by which
an innovation is
communicated
through certain
channels over
time among the
members of a
social system.
ROGERS
Diffusion of Innovations by Everett Rogers
Innovation is any new idea, new behavior, new
product, new message i.e., a new thing that
one brings to you for your adoption.
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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Adoption of innovation step process
ROGERS
Knowledge Person becomes aware of an innovation
and has some idea of how it functions
PersuasionPerson forms a favorable or unfavorable
attitude toward the innovation
DecisionPerson engages in activities that lead
to a choice to adopt or reject the
innovation
Implementation Person puts an innovation into use
ConfirmationPerson evaluates the results of an
innovation-decision already made
PC/DK-agosto09
2º 3º 4ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º
ROGERS
Exposed, not inspired to find
more information
Seek information,details about innovation
Basic on advant./disadv.
PC/DK-agosto09
15
2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º 6º
Innovations do
not spread
equally over
different
society segments
(social groups)
but through 5
stages with
particular
profile of
reaction
ROGERS
Adoption of innovation over time
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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5 particular profile
Innovators
Early
AdoptersEarly
MajorityLate
MajorityLaggards
Adopt new ideas
(technologies,
concepts, and behaviors
in early stagesStill have some traits
of innovation (risk
concern)
First sign of diffusion
Delay its adoption,
must be clearly its
advantagesMature implementation
and risks involved are
smaller
ROGERS
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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Powerful way for
change agents to
affect the
diffusion of an
innovation is to
affect opinion
leader attitudes.
Persuading opinion
leaders is the
easiest way to
foment positive
attitudes toward
an innovation.
ROGERS
Leaders have the knowledge and the social skill to
start word-of-mouth epidemics
Affecting the diffusion of an innovation
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
1º 6º
ROGERS
If innovators are marketers target, Early adopter has influence power to what becomes amarket success.
Challenge for Marketing: how to find these types that are so valuable? itsidentity depends on the type of product or service?
Early adopter is the leader
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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ROGERS
Find the leader in Cyberspace
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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“Clicks” analysis helps to unravel diffusion *
Social
networking
(word-of-mouth
about innovation)
Early
Adopters
Late
Majority
Innovators
E-
mails
“Searcher”
ROGERS
* Click, Bill
Tancer
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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Ideas and products
and messages and
behaviors spread
just like viruses
do.
The change happens
not gradually but
at one dramatic
moment, called
“Tipping Point”
(the message makes
an impact) .
ROGERS
* The Tipping Point, Malcolm
Gladwell
“Tipping Point” concept *
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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ROGERS
“Tipping Point” concept *
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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Rogers model evolution
ROGERS
“Rate of
Adoption”
Regardless the “experts”
opinion, individual before
making a decision takes
into account the function
that indicates how much he
can lose with that
decision
integrating
profiles
There is a huge range of different behaviors between each profile described (continuous model)
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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Innovation processes follow a normal distribution curve
INNOVATORS LAGGARDS
MAJORITY
CONTINUOUS PROCESS
ROGERS
PC/DK-agosto09
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2º 3º 4º 5ºRANKING MUNDIAL DE USUÁRIOS DE INTERNET
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5 critical factors influencing innovation diffusion
ROGERS
Relative advantage
Compatibility
Complexity of
transitionPossibility of
testingVisibility of
benefits
Adoption probability grows if
innovation has clear advantages for
product, service or current behaviorThe more innovation is consistent with
pre-existing higher the adoption
probabilityComplex changes involved in innovation,
reduce adoption likelihood
A chance to try an innovation before
making a final decision increase
adoption likelihoodThe more obvious innovation benefits
the greater adoption likelihood