peet peet's coffee & tea jan 2010 presentation
TRANSCRIPT
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?>6>
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Chjfc @asicfakhr
Pbhsh sca`hs fiiekpfly fl erfc prhshltftael oy ^hhtsIegghh & Phf, wbaib ieltfals gerwfr`-ceemalj
stfthkhlts. Pbh Iekpflys fitufc rhsucts kfy `agghr
kfthrafccy grek tbesh sujjhsth` bhrh. F``ataelfcalgerkftael ielihrlalj gfiters tbft ieuc` ifush suib f
`agghrhlih as ieltfalh` al tbh Iekpflys _hpert el
Gerk 6>M ger tbh yhfr hl`h` @hihkohr ?2, ?>>2
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Evhrvahw
Ytrhljtbs fl` IekphthliahsJrewtb Ibfllhcs
Galfliafc Eutceem
^hhts Iegghh & Phf, Ali.
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Al 6177, Fcgrh` ^hht geul`h` ^hhts Iegghh &
Phf fl` altre`uih` sphiafcty iegghh te Fkhraif.
Fcgrh` ^hht61?>-?>>:
6st Yterh
Ohrmhchy, Ifcagerlaf
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Ger 00 yhfrs, ^hhts bfs kfaltfalh` ats jec` stfl`fr` qufcaty
pesatael oy geiusalj el 9 gul`fkhltfc pre`uit thlhts
;+
Bajbcy YhchitavhYeurialj
+
Frtasfl-_efstalj^reihss
@hcavhrh`Grhsb
PbhOhst Iup
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firess kuctapch ibfllhcs
JreihryYterhs
Bekh@hcavhry
^hhts _htfacYterhs
Gee` Yhrvaih& Eggaih
_efst te Er`hr
@arhit Yterh @hcavhry
Yuphraer Grhsblhss
_efst te Er`hr9> Kal Orhw
Grhsb Yieeph` Ohfls
6> @fy GrhsblhssBfl` Irfgth` Ohvhrfjhs
_efst te Er`hrLhxt @fy @hcavhry
Iustek Ochl`s
^hrselfcazh` Yhrvaih
_efst te Er`hr
Bajb Prfalalj Yt`s
Vufcaty ^frtlhrs
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@uralj tbh pfst 00 yhfrs, ^hhts bfs ohiekh tbh
kest rhsphith` orfl` watb f gflftaifc geccewalj
Ohst
Zerst
Fvhrfjh Evhrfcc _ftalj %
2>.9%
:?.9%
7>.>%
71.9%
7:.8%
76.?%
82.2%
8?.8%
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Evhrvahw
Ytrhljtbs fl` IekphthliahsJrewtb Ibfllhcs
Galfliafc Eutceem
^hhts Iegghh & Phf, Ali.
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Eur vasael as te oh tbh prhkahr qufcaty sphiafcty
iegghh fl` thf iekpfly al tbh X.Y.
Frtasfl-_efstalj
Gfiacaty
Iegghh fl` PhfHxphrtash
AP fl` OusalhssAlthccajhlih
Algrfstruiturh
@Y@ Yhccalj fl`
Khribfl`asaljYysthk
^rhkaukVufcaty/^raih
Orfl`s
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Pwe prhkauk orfl`s f``rhssalj `agghrhlt
ielsukhr shjkhlts
^rh-hkalhlt bajb-qufcatysphiafcty iegghh
#6 sphiafcty orfl` al
Ifcagerlaf
#? Zhst Iefst
#9 lftaelfccy
^rhkahr cuxury ibeiecfthorfl`
21% XY orfl` fwfrhlhss
^hhts pre`uialj gcfverh`sphiafcty iegghh ul`hr
caihlsh (ohjallalj ?>>1)
Bajb Hl`= @hhp _efsth` Gcfverh`= Kh`auk _efst
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Frtasfl _efstalj Gfiacaty
698,>>> Yqufrh Geet
_efst te Er`hr Gfiacaty CHH@ Jec` Ihrtagah`
Ifpfiaty te Prapch Wecukh
Ephl al ?>>:
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Hxphrtash al Iegghh fl` Phf
DhrryOfc`wal
Oefr` KhkohrIe-Geul`hr YOXR
92 yhfrs
Dak
_hylec`s
W^,
_efstkfsthrHkhratus
97 yhfrs
@euj Zhcsb W , Iegghh 68 yhfrs
Hcaet
Der`fl
Phf Ouyhr ?8 yhfrs
Iegghh fl` Phf Hxphrtash
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Hxphrtash al Iegghh fl` PhfIegghh fl` Phf Hxphrtash
IHE Ketbhrs Ieemahs6? yhfrs ^&J Orfl` Kjt
^ft E@hfIHE (?>>?)
IGE Jfp Orfl`
IGE ^azzf But
60 yhfrs ^hpsaIe/Quk
Pek Ifwchy
IGE (?>>9)
67 yhfrs ^hpsaIe / Quk
60 yhfrs Ourjhr Malj
Mfy OejhfdasW^ eg _htfac
I^E Zfckfrt.iekCfacf Pfrrfg
Ibahg ^hepch Eggaihr
W^ Kfrmhtalj, Bhrsbhys
69 yhfrs ^&J Orfl` Kjt
Ibras Cflsalj
JK Ielsukhr
Kflfjhkhlt Phfk
DhrryOfc`wal
Oefr` KhkohrIe-Geul`hr YOXR
92 yhfrs
Dak
_hylec`s
W^,
_efstkfsthrHkhratus
97 yhfrs
@euj Zhcsb W , Iegghh 68 yhfrs
Hcaet
Der`fl
Phf Ouyhr ?8 yhfrs
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Yysthks Algrfstruiturh
Jreihry
Bfl`bhc Phiblecejy (?>>9& ?>>1)
Zho
Icahlt _hcftaelsbap Yegtwfrh
Iegghh.iek
Yterhs
^EY (6112 ) Cfoer Yysthk (?>>0)
Zfsth Kjkt (?>>2)
H_^?>>1
@hiasael Yuppert
?>>0
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Ouact eur ewl jreihry @arhit Yterh @hcavhry
systhk (@Y@)= f kfder iekphtatavh f`vfltfjh.
^hhts Hstakfth` Pakh _efst te Ybhcg : - 60 @fys
^re`uih-te-er`hr
refstalj
^hhts @Y@
YfchsphepchJreihry Yterh Ybhcg
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Evhrvahw
Ytrhljtbs fl` IekphthliahsJrewtb Ibfllhcs
Galfliafc Eutceem
^hhts Iegghh & Phf, Ali.
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Yphiafcty iegghh ieltaluhs te jrew fl` as lew
6/9r`
eg tetfc jreihry iegghh
Pe`fy ?>69
$ 6.>O
$6.0 O+ 2-6>% Fllufc
Jrewtb
F $6.0 Oaccael Ousalhss al 0 yhfrs
Yphiafcty
$6.> O
Fcc Etbhr
+?% jrewtb
X.Y Jreihry Iegghh
$9.? Oaccael
Yeurih4 A_A ger 8? whhms hl`alj 66/?1/>1
+:%Jrewtb
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@arhit Yterh @hcavhry Yysthk
F gucc shrvaih, elh sthp,YFCHY/KH_IBFL@AYALJ
gerih
Bajbcy iekkassael-ofsh`
Yhcc, ouac`, kfaltfal aspcfys
Yteim, retfth, eptakazh
fssertkhlt oy sterh
Yterhs vasath` 6-8x / whhm
?8> hhts-elcy reuths te`fy
F`vflih` systhks
algrfstruiturh (bfl`bhc`s,
ousalhss althccajhlih)
Zbft as at5 Zbft `ehs at jht us5
Ytreljhr rhcftaelsbaps
Jreihr iest sfvaljs (6>-6?pts)
Grhsbhr re`uit
Bajbhr @aspcfy Chvhcs
Ohtthr Khribfl`asalj/Eptakfc
Fssertkhlt
Yphh` te Kfrmht
_hf`y ^aphcalh ger Lhw ^re`uits
_hfc-Pakh Kfrmht Algerkftael
BV Fiieult Yuiihss - - -
lhvhr ohhl turlh` `ewl
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Qeu ifl shh tbh @Y@ akpfit
al tbh faschs
Akpfitguc Ybhcg rhshlih Alicu`alj reprahtfry Gaxturhs
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..fl` al eur foacaty te jfrlhr kuctapch
shiel`fry `aspcfys
Ibhimeut
@fary Ifsh
Ofmhry
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Zatb tbh altre`uitael eg Je`avf gcfverh` iegghhs, wh wacc
lew oh iekphtalj ger tbh cajbthr refst fl` gcfverh` iegghh
ielsukhrs
@hhphr_efst
Gcfverh`
Cajbthr_efst
Jreihry Yphiafcty Iegghh
YphiafctyKfalstrhfk
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^hhts as tbh #? Yphiafcty Iegghh wbhrh `astraouth`=
#9 evhrfcc
Yphiafcty
Ybfrh
QH
FIW%
Ybfrh al Yterh
wbhrh fvfacfoch
Ytfrouims ?1% 1?% 9?%
@ulmal 60% 16% 68%
^hhts 1% 08% ?>%
Yhfttchs Ohst 8% 77% 2%
Je`avf Lhw 69% L/K
Yeurih4 A_A Petfc X.Y. Gee 8? whhms hl`alj 66/?1/>1
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Zatb tbhsh orfl`s wh hxphit te fibahvh f 68% te
?>% sbfrh eg sphiafcty iegghh
Jreihry sterh sfchs$?6>-?2>K$2:K^hhts A_A Yfchs
^HHP Yfchs$68>-?>>K$76K^hhts Zbechsfch
68-?>%1%^hhts Ybfrh
$6.0O$6.>OYphiafcty Jreihry
Guturh?>>1
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..fl` hxphit te trapch tbh pregatfoacaty eg
jreihry
?>>1 Guturh
Yfchs ~$7>K $68>K -$?>>K
Kfrjal ~?:%* ?>-9>%
^regat ~$67K $9>-7>K
*^hhts ?>>1 V9 QP@ Yphiafcty Kfrjal
Jreihry Yfchs fl` ^regat
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Zh wacc ieltaluh te eptakazh eur rhtfac sterh ofsh
te akprevh pregats
$6.?KFllufc Kfturh Yterh _hvhluh*
~$0>>M ~$2>>M
* ?>>2 _hsucts ger sterhs < 9 yhfrs ec`
Zbech Ohfls& _hcfth` Athks
Ohvhrfjhs& ^fstrahs
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-8%
8%
68%
?8%
98%
08%
88%
78%
:8%
?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
%egsterhschss
tbfl9yrsec`
>%
?%
0%
7%
2%
6>%
6?%
60%
67%
62%
?>%
Ephrftalj
Kfrjal
Grek ?>>?-?>>:, _htfac kfrjals `hicalh`
`uh te alvhstkhlts al lhw sterhs
_htfac Kfrjals
?>>1 `ftf as QP@ V9
% eg sterhs chss
tbfl 9 Qhfrs ec`
07%
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-8%
8%
68%
?8%
98%
08%
88%
78%
:8%
?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
%egsterhschsstbfl9yrsec`
>%
?%
0%
7%
2%
6>%
6?%
60%
67%
62%
?>%
EphrftaljK
frjal
...Kfrjals frh akprevalj fs wh geius el pregat
eptakazftael eg _htfac fl` eur sterh ofsh kfturhs
_htfac Kfrjals
*?>>1 `ftf as QP@ V9
% eg sterhs chss
tbfl 9 Qhfrs ec`
07%
~?>%
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Evhrvahw
Ytrhljtbs fl` Iekphthliahs
Jrewtb Ibfllhcs
Galfliafc Eutceem
^hhts Iegghh & Phf, Ali.
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>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh Fs _hperth`
Eur strfthjy evhr tbh cfst `hif`h ifl oh sukkfrazh`
oy ceemalj ft eur ephrftalj kfrjals
^hfm 1.6%
Cew 8.?%
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>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh Fs _hperth`
Ephrftalj ^regat Kfrjal
f`dusth` ger eptael hxphlsalj
^hfm 7.:%
Cew 8.?%
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^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
Ephrftalj ^regat Kfrjal
f`dusth` ger eptael hxphlsalj^revh Alvhst Chvhrfjh
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^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
Ephrftalj ^regat Kfrjal^revh Alvhst Chvhrfjh
A^E Dfl ?>>6
Kalakfc Lhw YterhEphlaljs
@arhit Ybap Yfghwfy (?>>?)
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Alirhfsh sterh jrewtb te?>% phr yhfr
Ouac` Lhw _efstaljGfiacaty
Iekpchth Kflfjhkhlt
Phfk
Hxpfl` @Y@ Yysthk
Yysthks Alvhstkhlt
@hiasael Yuppert
_htfac Yecutael
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
Ephrftalj ^regat Kfrjal^revh Alvhst Chvhrfjh
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Hxpfl` ^hhts @Y@Jreihry
Altre`uih Je`avf
Hxpfl` Lel-Jreihry
Eptakazh _htfac Kalakfc J&F/Ifpatfc
Alvhstkhlt
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
>.>%
?.>%
0.>%
7.>%
2.>%
6>.>%
6?.>%
60.>%
?>>6 ?>>? ?>>9 ?>>0 ?>>8 ?>>7 ?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
^regerkf w/ Eptael Hxphlsh
Ephrftalj ^regat Kfrjal^revh Alvhst Chvhrfjh
P ` ^ t c g at _ t ac
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Pe`fy, ^hhts sfchs frh grek ats _htfac
ousalhss, out tbh pregats frh al tbh Ielsukhr
ousalhsshs
% Yfchs & ^regat
Yfchs ^regat*
Ielsukhr 90% 76%
_htfac 77% 91%
Petfc 6>>% 6>>%
*?>>1 V9QP@ _hsucts
Yfchs Kax %
Jreihry
Bekh
@hcavhry
Gee`shrvaih/
Eggaih
_htfac (77%)
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Pbh Ielsukhr ousalhsshs bfvh kuib bajbhr
kfrjals tbfl tbh _htfac ousalhss
% Yfchs & ^regat Kfrjal
Yfchs Kfrjal
Ielsukhr 90% ?:%
_htfac 77% 1%
*?>>1 V9QP@ _hsucts
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Pbh Ochl`alj eg tbhsh kfrjals fl` eur
evhrbhf` rhsuct al eur 7.0% ephrftalj kfrjal
% Yfchs & ^regat Kfrjal
Yfchs Kfrjal
Ielsukhr 90% ?:%
_htfac 77% 1%
Petfc 6>>%
J&F
Ep Kfrjal
68%
(1)%
7%*?>>1 V9QP@ _hsucts
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Eur pcfl as te 4
6) Mhhp jrewalj eur Ielsukhr ousalhsshs.
% Yfchs & ^regat
Yfchs Kfrjal
Ielsukhr 90% ?:%
_htfac 77% 1%
Petfc 6>>%
J&F
Ep Kfrjal
68%
(1%)
7%
?>% pcus jrewtb
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?) Eptakazh eur _htfac ousalhss
% Yfchs & ^regat
Yfchs Kfrjal
Ielsukhr 90% ?:%
_htfac 77% 1%
Petfc 6>>%
J&F
Ep Kfrjal
68%
(1%)
7%
Cew/ka` saljch `ajat
jrewtb akprevh kfrjals
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fl`, 9) Chvhrfjh eur evhrbhf`
% Yfchs & ^regat
Yfchs Kfrjal
Ielsukhr 90% ?:%
_htfac 77% 1%
Petfc 6>>%
J&F
Ep Kfrjal
68%
(1%)
7%
Chvhrfjh
F c g ba g b ` ca `
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Yfchs ($KK)
?01?28 9>>- 9>8
99>-90>
*El f iekpfrfoch 8? whhm ofsas
H. .Y.
>.77>.2>
6.>6 - 6.>9
6.?0 - 6.9>
?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
IFJ_ ; ?0%
IFJ_ ; 6>%
Fs f rhsuct eg tbas strfthjy, se gfr wh bfvh `hcavhrh` strelj
sfchs fl` H^Y jrewtb `uralj tbas teujb hlvarelkhlt
Fl` oy alvhstalj al eur bajb rhturl ousalhsshs wh bfvh
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Ifphx $KK$96
$?:
$68$6?
*El f iekpfrfoch 8? whhm ofsas
_EAI
6>% 6?%
60%
62%
?>>: ?>>2 ?>>1 ?>6>
Fl` oy alvhstalj al eur bajb rhturl ousalhsshs, wh bfvh
akprevh` _EAI fl` cewhrh` ifpatfc rhquarhkhlts
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V & F