pertmaster risk expert training manual

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  • KLG SYSTEL LIMITED Pertmaster (version 7.8.2050) Training Manual

    KLG SYSTEL LTD 301, Pujit Plaza, Sector 11,

    CBD Belapur, Navi Mumbai 400614 Ph 022 2757 6789/90

  • T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S

    CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION TO RISK MANAGEMENT......................................................................... 3 WHY DO PROJECTS FAIL?............................................................................................................................................. 3

    CHAPTER 2. BENEFITS OF RISK ASSESSMENT ....................................................................................... 5 CHAPTER 3. FEATURE COMPARISON LIST................................................................................................ 7 CHAPTER 4. PERTMASTERS PLANNING TOOLS ................................................................................... 10

    4.1 CREATING A PROJECT PLAN........................................................................................................................... 10 4.2 DELIVERABLES OF WORK (WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE).................................................................... 12 4.3 PREPARING THE ACTIVITY LIST .................................................................................................................... 13 4.4 ACTIVITY RELATIONSHIPS ............................................................................................................................. 16 4.5 CREATING A CALENDAR FOR WORK............................................................................................................... 20 4.6 RESOURCE DEFINITION.................................................................................................................................. 22 4.7 RESOURCE ASSIGNMENTS ............................................................................................................................. 23

    CHAPTER 5. PERTMASTERS RISK ANALYSIS TOOLS ........................................................................ 24 5.1 DURATION RISK.............................................................................................................................................. 24 5.2 TASK RESOURCE RISK................................................................................................................................... 25 5.3 TASK EXISTENCE RISK .................................................................................................................................. 27 5.4 PROBABILISTIC BRANCHING .......................................................................................................................... 29 5.5 PROBABILISTIC LINKS .................................................................................................................................... 31

    CHAPTER 6. REPORTS ...................................................................................................................................... 32 6.1 RISK HISTOGRAMS......................................................................................................................................... 32 6.2 TORNADO GRAPHS ......................................................................................................................................... 34 6.3 SCATTER PLOT ............................................................................................................................................... 35 6.4 SCHEDULE CHECK REPORT........................................................................................................................... 36 6.5 SUMMARY RISK REPORTS ............................................................................................................................. 37

    CHAPTER 7. UTILITIES ..................................................................................................................................... 38 7.1 IMPORTING PRE BUILD PLANS ....................................................................................................................... 38 7.2 EXPORTING PERTMASTER PLANS .................................................................................................................. 40

    CHAPTER 8. RISK REGISTER ......................................................................................................................... 42

  • 3

    I N T R O D U C T I O N T O R I S K M A N A G E M E N T Why do projects fail?

    implistically, a project fails when it over-runs, over-spends or under-performs. In other words, it fails when the plan is not met. There are only two reasons why the plan is not met:

    The plan is too optimistic - an over-optimistic plan is very common, and can arise out of shoe-horning and cramming in order to meet pre-determined targets. Under-bidding, scale-to-fit, and political spin are also common causes.

    Things happen, that means the plan is exceeded - scope creep, insufficient resources, unanticipated work and events are some causes of this.

    Parallelism in projects further exaggerates optimism in estimates, because parallel tasks compound risk. This phenomenon is called merge bias or nodal bias. It is especially present when the project is deliberately scheduled with minimal float (a common planning technique).

    Even when there is no significant optimism, or significant parallelism to

    compound it, the most likely outcome of the project is rarely the scenario based on the most likely estimates. Using the most likely estimates in a plan usually gives a projected outcome that has a very low level of confidence. This project will be delayed if either one of these parallel tasks are delayed. The more parallelism there is, the more ways the project can slip.

    A more realistic plan is one that recognizes uncertainty and risk. It simply needs to express estimates as ranges:

    As well as the deterministic (single-point) estimate, use ranges (two- or three-point estimates) to express uncertainty and risk

    Use the best knowledge available to the team. Reflect lack of knowledge with wide ranges. You can give these range-estimates on any element of the project, including

    durations, costs, resource rates, resource allocations, and even calendars. You can also add specific risk events.

    Chapter

    1 S

  • 4

    The projected outcomes also become ranges when parameters in a project have ranges (two or three-point estimates, with some specific risk events),. For example the project finish date is no longer a single date, but is now a range, with a confidence level too!!

  • 5

    B E N E F I T S O F R I S K A S S E S S M E N T Project contingency can make or break a project. Having too much contingency is uncompetitive; having too little contingency increases the chance of failure.

    Risk assessment (allowing uncertainty on estimates) gives confidences on outcome targets, allowing contingency to be set with a preferred level of risk. Ultimately risk assessment helps you bid, negotiate and win the contract at the price.

    Contingency is often set at task level it is common to add some contingency to every estimate. It may even be a fixed amount 10% for example. However, it is much better to set contingency at project level instead in other words, use the ranges on the task estimates to understand what contingency should be set for the project as a whole.

    Setting contingency at project level reflects the reality that some tasks may be delayed while others may not, or may even be early: it could rain anywhere, but its unlikely to rain everywhere and we dont know where it will rain.

    Considering project cost and schedule together is also rare often cost and schedules are separate disciplines within the team. A risk assessment workshop can bring the disciplines together.

    These are all compelling reasons to use risk assessment on a project. It allows contracts to be negotiated, bids to be submitted at the right price, and sensitivity to be understood (as discussed in the previous section).

    Risk response (mitigation) strategies can be expressed too !!

    Where we are now where we can be Cost of getting there

    Chapter

    2

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    Understanding the effects of risk assessment on finish dates of a Project:

    The proposed risk response appears to save around two months on the whole project.

    Understanding the effects of risk assessment on Cost of a Project:

    Cost-benefit analysis can be used to compare response strategies and understand how effectively the money would be spent. When the cost of implementing the response is included in the comparison, it can show the net effect of the response on the project cost. The response can then be judged in terms of whether its net effect is to increase cost, and whether that increase can be justified by the time it saves.

  • 7

    F E A T U R E C O M P A R I S O N L I S T While both of PERTMASTERs tools can be used too identify, assess, & build mitigation plans, the RISK EXPERT MODULE provides greater scope for an in depth risk analysis & resource and cost modeling. The following table should make your vision clear...

    Pertmaster Risk

    Expert

    Pertmaster Project Risk

    1 Monte Carlo Analysis 2 Latin Hypercube Analysis

    Quantitative Risk Analysis

    3 Optional fixed seed point 4 Fixed # iterations/iterate until convergence 5 Duration/cost sensitivity

    6

    10 distribution types (Triangular, Uniform, Normal, BetaPert, BetaPert modified, LogNormal, Discrete, Trigen, General/Custom)

    Risk Register 7 Customizable risk log 8 PI matrices 9 Waterfall diagrams 10 Mitigation planning

    Qualitative Risk Analysis

    11 Generation of Risk Event Plans from risk register 12 Alternate scenario modeling 13 XLS integration

    Chapter

    3

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    Primavera 14 P3 Project Planner 15 SureTrak 16 Enterprise (including P3e/c, TeamPlay, IT Project Manager) 17 Primavera Contractor 18 Pertmaster data pushed back into the Primavera schedule 19 Support for Primavera Java API v3.51, v4, v4.1 and v5 20 Load Multiple projects into the same file

    Integration 21 Save projects as P3 files 22 Project Management integrated menu Microsoft 23 MS Project 200x (MPD, MPP) 24 MS Project Server (EPM) Conquest Welcom 25 Open Plan 26 WelcomRisk

    Safran (Safran Project & Safran Planner)

    Generic Risk Import/Export

    27 Net present value Cost

    Modeling 28 Internal rate of return

    29 Probabilistic cash flow

    Resource Modeling

    30 Hierarchical resources 31 Resource uncertainty

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    32 Estimate uncertainty 33 Task existence

    Risk Types 34 Probabilistic branching 35 Conditional branching 36 Fixed cost uncertainty 37 Variable cost uncertainty 38 Resource uncertainty 39 Weather modeling 40 Duration quick risk 41 Resource quick risk

    Risk Utilities 42 Task lag quick risk 43 Risk Correlation 44 Schedule sanity check 45 Templated Quick Risk 46 Risk Histogram 47 Tornado Graph 48 Duration sensitivity 49 Schedule sensitivity

    Risk Reporting

    50 Criticality 51 Cruciality 52 Cost sensitivity 53 Compare plans 54 Critical path report 55 Compare pre and post-mitigated plans 56 Risk trend report 57 Probabilistic date reporting 58 Edit/creation of VBA macros

    VBA Interface

    59 Execution of pre-created macros

    60 Customizable macro menu

  • 10

    P E R T M A S T E R s P L A N N I N G T O O L S 4.1 Creating a project plan Let as presume our project plan is to be prepared from the beginning. So we start from square one by first building a project plan. Note: If you already have a project plan ready (using other planning tools) we can import that too! And get started; however let us learn how to build project plans using PERTMASTERs tools. Lessons on importing a pre-build plan from other planning tools are covered in the latter part of this manual. Our assignment now is to initiate a project. This project will be identified as Office Building Addition. Our first aim would be to make a detailed plan of this project so that we can identify all small & big risks in the next step Exercise 1: 1. Click on File / New

    Chapter

    4

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    2. Select Pertmaster Plan. Click Open

    3. Fill in the details of the Project

    4. Click OK

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    4.2 Deliverables of Work (Work Breakdown Structure)

    Now that we have initiated the Office building Addition project, we need to split this into possible deliverables i.e. we need to define the Work Breakdown Structure. Exercise 2: Create the Work Breakdown Structure as given in the Table below. You may follow instructions from your tutor.

    Office Building Addition

    Design & Engineering

    Structure

    Foundation

    Mechanical Electrical Systems

    Elevators Plumbing & Electrical

    Exterior Finishes

    Bricks

    Roof Doors & Window

    Interior Finishes

    Level 1 Level 2 Level 3

  • 13

    4.3 Preparing the Activity List Exercise 3: Add the following Activities in the respective WBS already created earlier.

    Name

    (Activity ID) Description

    Remaining Duration

    (days)

    Activity Type

    OBA 0000 Office Building Addition summary

    OBA 0010 Design and Engineering summary

    OBA 0020 Start Office Building Addition Project 0 start

    milestone OBA 0030 Design Building Addition 23 normal

    OBA 0040 Review and Approve Designs 9 normal

    OBA 0050 Review Technical Data for Heat Pump 13 normal

    OBA 0060 Foundation summary

    OBA 0070 Begin Building Construction 0 start milestone OBA 0080 Site Preparation 18 normal

    OBA 0090 Excavation 10 normal

    OBA 0100 Install Underground Water Lines 5 normal

    OBA 0110 Install Underground Electric Conduit 5 normal

    OBA 0120 Form/Pour Concrete Footings 10 normal

    OBA 0130 Concrete Foundation Walls 10 normal

    OBA 0140 Form and Pour Slab 5 normal

    OBA 0150 Backfill and Compact Walls 2 normal

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    OBA 0160 Foundation Phase Complete 0 finish milestone OBA 0170 Structure summary

    OBA 0180 Erect Structural Frame 20 normal

    OBA 0190 Begin Structural Phase 0 start milestone OBA 0200 Floor Decking 14 normal

    OBA 0210 Concrete First Floor 15 normal

    OBA 0220 Erect Stairwell and Elevator Walls 10 normal

    OBA 0230 Concrete Basement Slab 10 normal

    OBA 0240 Concrete Second Floor 15 normal

    OBA 0250 Structure Complete 0 finish milestone OBA 0260 Mechanical/Electrical Systems summary

    OBA 0270 Rough-In Phase Begins 0 start milestone OBA 0280 Rough In Complete 0 finish milestone OBA 0290 Elevator summary

    OBA 0300 Install Elevator Rails and Equipment 1 normal

    OBA 0310 Install Elevator Cab and Finishes 2 normal

    OBA 0320 Plumbing and Electrical summary

    OBA 0330 Set Mechanical and Electrical Equipment 15 normal

    OBA 0340 Rough-In Plumbing/Piping 1 normal

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    OBA 0350 Install Wiring and Cable 15 normal

    OBA 0360 Connect Equipment 1 normal

    OBA 0370 Exterior Finishes summary

    OBA 0380 Close-In Phase Begins 0 start milestone OBA 0390 Building Enclosed 0 finish milestone OBA 0400 Brick summary

    OBA 0410 Assemble Brick Samples 0 start milestone OBA 0420 Review and Approve Brick Samples 10 normal

    OBA 0430 Prepare and Solicit Bids for Brick Exterior 3 normal

    OBA 0440 Review Bids for Brick 3 normal

    OBA 0450 Award Contract for Brick 1 normal

    OBA 0460 Deliver Brick 1 normal

    OBA 0470 Brick Exterior Walls 7 normal

    OBA 0480 Roof summary

    OBA 0490 Insulation and Built-up Roofing 10 normal

    OBA 0500 Doors and Windows summary

    OBA 0510 Install Door and Window Frames 1 normal

    OBA 0520 Install Exterior Doors and Windows 2 normal

    OBA 0530 Interior Finishes summary

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    OBA 0540 Drywall in Offices 15 normal

    OBA 0550 Touch-up and Clean-up 1 normal

    OBA 0560 Finishes Complete 0 finish milestone OBA 0570 Punch List 2 Normal

    OBA 0580 Building Addition Complete 0 Finish milestone 4.4 Activity Relationships

    Our list of Activities is ready however there seems to be no logic to this plan. Let us define relationships between activities which will give the network its logic.

    Name

    (Activity ID) Description Predecessors Relationship

    Lag (Days)

    OBA 0000 Office Building Addition

    OBA 0010 Design and Engineering

    OBA 0020 Start Office Building Addition Project

    OBA 0030 Design Building Addition OBA 0020 FS 0

    OBA 0040 Review and Approve Designs OBA 0030 FS 0

    OBA 0050 Review Technical Data for Heat Pump OBA 0040 FS 0

    OBA 0060 Foundation

    OBA 0070 Begin Building Construction OBA 0040 FS 0

    OBA 0080 Site Preparation OBA 0070 SS 0

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    OBA 0090 Excavation OBA 0080 FS 0

    OBA 0100 Install Underground Water Lines OBA 0090 FS 0

    OBA 0110 Install Underground Electric Conduit OBA 0090 FS 0 OBA 0110 FS 0 OBA 0120 Form/Pour Concrete Footings OBA 0100 FS 0

    OBA 0130 Concrete Foundation Walls OBA 0120 FS 0

    OBA 0140 Form and Pour Slab OBA 0130 FS 0

    OBA 0150 Backfill and Compact Walls OBA 0140 FS 0

    OBA 0160 Foundation Phase Complete OBA 0150 FS 0

    OBA 0170 Structure

    OBA 0180 Erect Structural Frame OBA 0150 FS 0

    OBA 0190 Begin Structural Phase OBA 0180 FS 0

    OBA 0200 Floor Decking OBA 0180 FS 0

    OBA 0210 Concrete First Floor OBA 0200 FS 0

    OBA 0220 Erect Stairwell and Elevator Walls OBA 0210 FS 0

    OBA 0230 Concrete Basement Slab OBA 0210 FS 0

    OBA 0240 Concrete Second Floor OBA 0210 FS 0 OBA 0240 FS 0 OBA 0230 FS 0 OBA 0250 Structure Complete OBA 0220 FS 0

    OBA 0260 Mechanical/Electrical Systems

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    OBA 0270 Rough-In Phase Begins OBA 0330 FS 0

    OBA 0050 FS 0 OBA 0390 FS 0 OBA 0270 FS 0 OBA 0330 FS 0 OBA 0300 FS 0

    OBA 0280 Rough In Complete

    OBA 0360 FS 0 OBA 0290 Elevator

    OBA 0220 FS 0 OBA 0300 Install Elevator Rails and Equipment OBA 0270 FS 0 OBA 0390 FS 0 OBA 0310 Install Elevator Cab and Finishes OBA 0280 FS 0

    OBA 0320 Plumbing and Electrical

    OBA 0330 Set Mechanical and Electrical Equipment OBA 0210 SS 7

    OBA 0340 Rough-In Plumbing/Piping OBA 0330 FS 4 OBA 0390 FS 0 OBA 0350 Install Wiring and Cable OBA 0340 SS 5

    OBA 0050 FS 0 OBA 0390 FS 0 OBA 0330 FS 0 OBA 0360 Connect Equipment OBA 0350 FS 0

    OBA 0370 Exterior Finishes

    OBA 0380 Close-In Phase Begins OBA 0470 FS 0 OBA 0490 FS 0 OBA 0390 Building Enclosed OBA 0520 FS 0

    OBA 0400 Brick

    OBA 0410 Assemble Brick Samples OBA 0040 FS 0

    OBA 0420 Review and Approve Brick Samples OBA 0410 FS 0

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    OBA 0430 Prepare and Solicit Bids for Brick Exterior OBA 0420 FS 0

    OBA 0440 Review Bids for Brick OBA 0430 FS 0

    OBA 0450 Award Contract for Brick OBA 0440 FS 0

    OBA 0460 Deliver Brick OBA 0450 FS 0 OBA 0460 FS 0 OBA 0470 Brick Exterior Walls OBA 0250 FS 0

    OBA 0480 Roof OBA 0470 FS 0 OBA 0490 Insulation and Built-up Roofing OBA 0520 FF 0

    OBA 0500 Doors and Windows

    OBA 0510 Install Door and Window Frames OBA 0470 SS 5

    OBA 0520 Install Exterior Doors and Windows OBA 0510 FS 0

    OBA 0530 Interior Finishes OBA 0390 FS 0 OBA 0540 Drywall in Offices OBA 0280 FS 0 OBA 0040 FS 0 OBA 0540 SS 7 OBA 0550 Touch-up and Clean-up OBA 0310 FS 0

    OBA 0560 Finishes Complete OBA 0550 FS 0

    OBA 0570 Punch List OBA 0560 FS 0 OBA 0570 FS 0 OBA 0580 Building Addition Complete OBA 0540 FS 0

  • 20

    4.5 Creating a calendar for work

    1. Click on Plan.

    2. Click on Calendars.

    3. Click on New.

    4. Enter Calendar name.

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    5. Customize the working days as required. You may follow instructions from your tutor.

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    4.6 Resource Definition

    Let us define some resources for our case study.

    1. Click on Plan.

    2. Click on Resources.

    3. Create the following resources.

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    4.7 Resource Assignments

    Assign the resources as given in the following table:

    Name (Activity ID)

    Description Resource Units

    OBA 0030 Design Building Addition CIVENG 1

    OBA 0080 Site Preparation LABOURER CRANE 10 1

    OBA 0090 Excavation LABOURER CRANE 10 1

    OBA 0120 Form/Pour Concrete Footings CEMENT LABOURER 200

    5

    OBA 0150 Backfill and Compact Walls CEMENT LABOURER 100

    5

    OBA 0220 Concrete First Floor CRANE

    LABOURER CEMENT

    1 7

    150

    OBA 0230 Concrete Basement Slab CEMENT LABOURER 150

    5

    OBA 0240 Concrete Second Floor CEMENT LABOURER 125

    5

    OBA 0470 Brick Exterior Walls LABOURER BRICKS 5

    1000

  • 24

    P E R T M A S T E R s R I S K A N A L Y S I S T O O L S Now once our project plan is ready let us start identifying risks & continue further analysis. 5.1 Duration Risk

    Add the following Duration Risks.

    Name (Activity ID)

    Description Distribution

    type Minimum

    Most Likely

    Maximum

    OBA 0030 Design Building Addition Triangle 18d 23d 25d

    OBA 0040 Review and Approve Designs Triangle 9d 9d 13d

    OBA 0050 Review Technical Data for Heat Pump Triangle 13d 13d 17d

    OBA 0080 Site Preparation Trigen 16d(15) 18d 25d(90)

    OBA 0090 Excavation Trigen 9d(10) 10d 15d(75)

    OBA 0120 Form/Pour Concrete Footings BetaPert 8d 10d 14d

    OBA 0130 Concrete Foundation Walls Triangle 8d 10d 13d

    OBA 0200 Floor Decking Triangle 13d 14d 18d

    OBA 0210 Concrete First Floor Triangle 12d 15d 20d

    Chapter

    5

  • 25

    Cum

    ulat

    ive

    Freq

    uenc

    y

    Hits

    0

    22

    44

    66

    88

    110

    Distribution (start of interval)28/Mar/08 15:00 11/Apr/08 16:30 26/Apr/08 09:30 10/May/08 11:00

    5% 07/Apr/08 11:3010% 09/Apr/08 12:0015% 10/Apr/08 14:3020% 12/Apr/08 09:3025% 12/Apr/08 16:3030% 14/Apr/08 16:0035% 15/Apr/08 15:3040% 16/Apr/08 14:3045% 17/Apr/08 14:3050% 18/Apr/08 12:3055% 19/Apr/08 11:0060% 21/Apr/08 09:3065% 22/Apr/08 09:3070% 22/Apr/08 17:3075% 23/Apr/08 17:0080% 24/Apr/08 16:3085% 26/Apr/08 09:3090% 28/Apr/08 12:3095% 30/Apr/08 13:00100% 10/May/08 12:30 Analysis

    Simulation: Latin HypercubeIterations: 1000

    Convergence at meanMean Plan Finish Date:Converged in 200 iterations(variation < 0.1% over 100 iterations)Mean Total Plan Cost:Converged in 277 iterations(variation < 0.1% over 100 iterations)

    StatisticsMinimum: 28/Mar/08 15:30Maximum: 10/May/08 12:30Mean: 18/Apr/08 15:00Max Hits: 122Std Deviation: 124.7

    Selected Confidence60%: 21/Apr/08 09:30Deterministic Finish: 09/Apr/08 15:30Probability 12%

    Office Building Addition Entire Plan : Finish Date

    KLG SYSTEL LIMITED

    You may now run the Risk Analysis!! Your Risk Histogram should look similar to the one shown below.

    5.2 Task Resource Risk

    The cost of certain resources are not always known quantities, hence risk distribution of such resources needs to be modeled.

    1. Click on Risk

  • 26

    2. Click on Risk On for sub resource Sometimes the quantity of a material resource required may be uncertain. We need to model such cases too!

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    5.3 Task Existence Risk

    Imagine a situation wherein there are 75 % chances that during excavation ground water may be found.

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    Rules for Task Existence: 1. If the Keep Links to other tasks option is selected and the task does not exist then its duration is

    set to zero & any resource requirements are set to zero. The effect of its duration & resources on the project is therefore removed.

    2. If the Remove Links to other tasks option is selected and the task does not exist then it is ignored Ignoring a task removes the task & all preceding & succeeding links. (This may arouse a situation wherein there may be open ends in project in a particular iteration).

  • 29

    5.4 Probabilistic Branching

    Probabilistic branching allows you to model the risk of outcomes occurring in a project. It is used when the outcomes are exclusive, i.e. only one of the many outcomes occurs

    Imagine a situation wherein there are chances that archaeological remains may be found while excavating. In such case the following probable outcomes are probable:

    a. Archaeological remains found that needs expert removal (50% chance; duration= 10d; cost= Rs 5000)

    b. Archaeological remains found which do not need expert removal (50% chance; duration= 0d; cost= Rs. 0)

    Now we need to modify the existing plan as shown below.

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    Rules for Probabilistic branching: 1. Succeeding tasks can have a probability of 100%. 2. When there are two or more succeeding tasks with less than 100% probability, all of those

    probabilities must add up to 100%. 3. If there is only one task with a probability less than 100%, then it can have any probability. 4. A task that has more than one predecessor has to have a probability of 100% (such tasks are

    shown with an * mark on the Risks-Probabilistic Branch tab.

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    5.5 Probabilistic Links

    Probabilistic links allow you to model the probability of a link between two tasks existing or not existing.

    Select the task Structure Complete. Add the probabilistic link risk to its predecessors as shown below.

    Rules for Probabilistic Links:

    1. Preceding links can have a probability of 100%.

    2. When there are two or more preceding links with less than 100% probability, all of those probabilities must add up to 100%. (If one happens the others dont)

    3. If there is only one link with a probability less than 100%, then it can have any probability

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    R E P O R T S 6.1 Risk Histograms

    Click on Risk/ Histogram View.

    Chapter

    6

  • 33

    You can view the histograms for various parameters of the project or even selected tasks, viz., Durations, Start Dates, Finish Dates, Float, Cost, etc.

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    6.2 Tornado Graphs

    Tornado graphs ar used to display & rank Sensitivity, Schedule Sensivity Index, Criticality & Cruciality values.

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    26/Mar/08 15:00 03/Apr/08 16:00 11/Apr/08 17:00 20/Apr/08 09:30 28/Apr/08 10:30

    Entire Plan Finish

    Rs634,632

    Rs661,373

    Rs688,113

    Rs714,854

    Rs741,595

    Rs768,336

    Rs795,077

    Rs821,817

    Rs848,558

    Rs875,299

    Entir

    e Pl

    an C

    ost

    Office Building Addition Scatter Plot

    KLG SYSTEL LIMITED

    Analysis

    Simulation: Latin HypercubeIterations: 1000

    Correlation

    Pearson's 72.1%Spearman's 71.7%

    6.3 Scatter Plot

    The scatter plot shows the relationship between two outputs of a risk analysis. Each point on the scatter plot represents two values for one iteration of the risk analysis. The total number of points is equal to the number of iterations that were run in the risk analysis.

    The example below shows the relationship between the time and cost of the plan. In this example it shows that the time to finish the plan is correlated to the cost of the plan (i.e. as the time to complete the project increases so does the cost).

    The level of correlation between the inputs is indicated by the Pearson's and Spearman's correlation indices shown to the right of the report.

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    6.4 Schedule Check Report

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    6.5 Summary Risk Reports

    Click on Reports/ Summary Risk Report

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    U T I L I T I E S 7.1 Importing Pre build Plans

    Click on File/ Import Plan

    Chapter

    7

  • 39

    Select the source file format

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    7.2 Exporting Pertmaster plans

    The plan to be exported should be open.

    Click on File/ Export Plan

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    Select the destination & format for the output file.

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    R I S K R E G I S T E R Open the Risk register & add the following risks to the register

    Chapter

    8

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    In the Mitigation Tab, add the following mitigation plan & post mitigation scoring for the risk Board Approvals Delayed.

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    Click on the waterfall chart tab. This will show the risk score plotted against time.

    Click on the Quantitative Tab. Click on the Pre-Mitigated tab. Click on the Risk View Tab. Select the risk Board Approval Delayed. In the right hand pane select the task OBA 0040. The risk is now mapped to the

    task.

    Clicking on the quantified tab will allow you to edit the grayed parameters.

    You may also build Pre- Mitigated & Post Mitigated plans. Follow instructions from your tutor.

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