physical variables influencing near-shore habitat use of juvenile chinook salmon in the sacramento...

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Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento River Michael Hellmair

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This presentation covers key findings of a multi-year project working to evaluate the performance of levee designs on the mainstem Sacramento River. It reviews environmental factors that influence juvenile Chinook salmon habitat use at different levee sites. Project results suggest that fish more frequently occupy habitats on levees that incorporate mitigation features than levees that lack such enhancements and consist solely of large angular rock (i.e., "riprap"). Habitat characteristics that appear favorable to juvenile salmon included slightly increased water temperature, slow near-shore current velocity, and shallow depths, as well as the presence of vegetation and woody material.

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Page 1: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento River

Michael  Hellmair    

Page 2: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento River

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

Page 3: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

•  Evaluate habitat use of focal fish species at various post-2006 levee repair sites

•  Determine if on-site mitigation features are increasing habitat value to approximate “natural banks”

•  Identify which microhabitat features of maximize fish use by focal species

Background & Introduction

Page 4: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Locations

Sampling occurred at 16 sites, encompassing 3 site categories: –  Naturalized sites (n=4) –  Unmitigated repair sites ( n=3) –  Mitigated repair sites (n=9)

Unmitigated Repair Mitigated Repair

Naturalized

Page 5: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Sampling

Sampling by boat electrofishing

Page 6: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Sampling

Measure associated habitat characteristics at each incursion point

Page 7: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Sampling

Establish point-specific capture record & habitat parameters

Page 8: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Habitat variables: •  Depth / Slope •  Velocity / Gradient •  Substrate •  Temperature difference •  Shade •  Emergent woody

material •  Emergent vegetation

Methods: Variables

Others: •  Event •  Rivermile •  Site/design category

Page 9: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Habitat Occupancy •  Single-variable logistic regression model to determine if

model fit is significantly improved by any one predictor:

•  Remove non-significant (p> 0.25) predictors from scope for multi-variable model fits

•  Use backward model selection to determine the most likely multivariate model

Pi =eg(x )

(1+ eg(x ) )

Page 10: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Methods: Habitat Occupancy •  Test fit of the selected model using Hosmer-Lemeshow

goodness-of-fit statistic (a high p-value indicates a good fit)

•  Evaluate classification accuracy with unbiased jackknife estimator

•  Determine Cohen’s kappa statistic as a chance-corrected measure of prediction

Page 11: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Habitat Value of Mitigated Repair Sites

•  Fish densities at mitigated repair sites (all designs) were not significantly different from naturalized sites

•  Fish densities at most mitigated repair sites were significantly higher than at non-mitigated sites

Page 12: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Fry Habitat Occupancy

Variables excluded due to non-significance in single model evaluation: •  Shade •  Substrate (at 15 feet) Multivariate model fitting: Final model •  Vegetation density •  Depths close to shore (5 & 10 feet) •  Velocity close to shore (5 & 10 feet) •  Current gradient •  Substrate close to shore (5 & 10 feet) •  Rivermile

Page 13: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Fry Habitat Occupancy

Occupancy probability key factors

Higher probability at points with: •  Submerged vegetation (sparse, OR = 2.07) Lower probability at points with: •  Deep water close to shore (OR = 0.63) •  Faster current close to shore (OR = 0.46)

Hosmer-Lemeshow GOF: p = 0.34 Jackknife : 88% classified correctly Cohen’s kappa: 0.29 (Z = 6.54, p < 0.01)

Page 14: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Juvenile Habitat Occupancy

Variables excluded due to non-significance in single model evaluation: •  Shade •  Depth (at 15 feet) Multivariate model fitting: Final model •  Bank slope •  Density of woody material •  Depths close to shore •  Current gradient •  Temperature difference •  Substrate •  Rivermile

Page 15: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Juvenile Habitat Occupancy

Occupancy probability key factors

Higher probability at points with: •  woody material (sparse OR = 1.78,

medium OR = 2.71) •  warmer ambient temperatures (OR = 1.64) Lower probability at points with: •  Deep water close to shore (> 5ft, OR =

0.06) •  Cooler ambient temperatures (OR = 0.45) Hosmer-Lemeshow GOF: p = 0.46 Jackknife : 81% classified correctly Cohen’s kappa: 0.27 (Z = 5.96, p < 0.01)

Page 16: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Results: Smallmouth Bass

Variables excluded due to non-significance in single model evaluation: •  Vegetation density •  Depth at 10 and 15 feet •  Velocity gradient •  Substrate

Multivariate model fitting: •  Bank slope •  Density of woody material •  Nearshore current velocity •  Rivermile

Higher chance of occupancy at: •  Steep slopes (OR 2.78) •  Density of woody material (OR, Low: 1.93, Medium: 3.06 , High: 11.11) •  Velocity close to shore (Medium, OR 3.31) •  Abundance decreases with distance upstream (OR 0.98)

Page 17: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Resident Rearing vs. Migration

•  Collect drift samples at select sites •  Gastric lavage of juvenile Chinook •  Dissection of mortalities

Key points: •  Majority of individuals had identifiable gastric contents (>95%) •  Often large number of diet items (~200) suggestive of active feeding •  Seasonally high abundance of larval native fishes in drift and diet

–  Larval fishes can constitute > 60% of drift items

•  Typically, copepods and cladocerans constitute > 90% of prey items

Page 18: Physical Variables Influencing Near-shore Habitat Use of Juvenile Chinook Salmon in the Sacramento Rivertation

Questions?