piaac can help colleges in north america to fulfill their role in the higher education sector satya...

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PIAAC can help Colleges in North America to fulfill their role in the Higher Education Sector Satya Brink, Ph.D [email protected]

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PIAAC can help Colleges in North America to fulfill their role in the Higher Education Sector

Satya Brink, [email protected]

Colleges form an important component in the higher education sector but also for raising the human capital of people and the national economy

PIAAC provides large picture information for a number issues facing the colleges

• Improving intake of students based on merit for maintaining a high standard of education

• Providing a responsive array of courses and programs that prepare students for work and the economy

• To be an efficient provider of higher education, with fewer drop outs, fewer changes in major and more students graduating in two years.

• To increase enrolment and to be competitive in the college sector• To build a reputation based on successful graduates with a high standard

of education.

Programme for International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC), is also called International Survey of Adults (ISA)

• PIAAC measures foundational skills essential for learning of specific disciplines and transferable job related skills of adults of working age (16 to 64) at a group or population level.

• Complements the need for competency based tests on specific disciplines at the individual level. • However, data can be analysed to provide important evidence for the college sector.

16-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years

Students in college

Students in the years following college graduation

HS graduation 2008-2016

HS graduation 1998-2007

HS graduation 1988-1997

HS graduation 1978-1987

HS graduation 1968-1977

College graduation2010-2018

College graduation2000-2009

College graduation1990-1999

College graduation1980-1989

College graduation1970-1979

University graduation2012-2020

University graduation2002-2011

University graduation1992-2001

University graduation1982-1991

University graduation1972-1981

PIAAC suggests that people need to score level 3 or above (276 and above) in literacy and numeracy to function in higher education and work in the modern world. This

would be a factor to consider during the admission process

18 years 19 years 20 years 21 years 22 years 23 years 24 years 25 years 26 years 27 years 28 years 29 years 30 years 255

260

265

270

275

280

285

290

295

Average scores in literacy by college going age (18-30) , Canada and the United States (Desirable 276+)

Canada USAForeign born excluded

Direct transition to college from High School? Gap year?

JapanUSA

Canada

Newfoundland

Prince

Edward Island

Nova Sco

tia

New Brunswick

Quebec

Ontario

Manitoba

Saskatch

ewan

Alberta

British

Columbia225

235

245

255

265

275

285

295

Regional variation in literacy and numeracy in Canada in comparison with USA and Japan

Literacy average score Numeracy average score

Japan

USA

Canada

Newfoundland

Prince Edward Island

Nova Scotia

New Brunswick

Quebec

Ontario

Manitoba

Saskatchewan

Alberta

British Columbia

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Regional variation in Level 3 and above literacy and numeracy in Canada in comparison with USA and Japan

Numeracy % Level 3 and above Literacy % Level 3 and above

College location can be impacted by regional variation in literacy and numeracy scores and the proportion with Levels 3 and above

Low literacy and numeracy scores in the population in the area affects potential enrolment, the level of the economy and therefore, the ability to pay for college related costs and the challenge to raise the human capital of the area for future economic growth.

There is high demand for graduates of STEM but only a small proportion of students of college going age (16-34 years) have high enough levels of

Literacy and numeracy (Levels 4&5)

25-34

16-24

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

8

7

17

23

33

39

29

24

12

6

Numeracy levels by College going age, USA

Below Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4&5

25-34

16-24

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

4

2

13

12

31

39

37

37

16

10

Literacy levels by College going age, USA

Below Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4&5

Students with lower levels of literacy and numeracy will not be attracted to STEM, or they will struggle to learn with high risk of dropping out.

To increase successful enrolment ideally students should have high levels of literacy and numeracy. A high proportion of those 16-24 are already in education. Mature students without college education could be a possibility because 40% of the 82m, 25-44 in the US have only a high school credential

Persons aged 16-24

In education Not in education Of which % who were in education in the previous 12 months.

Canada 66 34 4.7

USA 57.9 42.1 6.8

Literacy

Numeracy

Literacy

Numeracy

25-3

4 35

-44

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

4

8

3

9

13

17

14

20

31

33

32

31

37

29

36

29

16

12

15

11

Literacy and Numeracy levels of Persons aged 25 to 44

Below Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4&5

16-24 25-34 16-24 25-34 16-24 25-34 16-24 25-34Men Women Men Women

Literacy Numeracy

220

225

230

235

240

245

250

255

260

265

270

275

280

285

290

275.1

285.4

276.4

284.8

272.7

283.1

263.7

269.9270

274 273.4276.2

253.2

267.6

245

252.7

Mean literacy and numeracy proficiency, by age and gender

Canada USA

How should remedial courses in foundational competencies be planned?

More younger students require remedial courses. Greater need for remedial courses in Numeracy than Literacy for both men and women. Women will need a longer time to build their Numeracy competency because of lower scores.

9

Nova Scotia - Number of Adults at Levels 1 and 2 Prose Literacy

0 - 30

31 - 60

61 - 90

91 - 120

121 - 150

151 - 180

181 - 210

211 - 240

241 - 270

More than 270

No Data100 0 10050 Kilometers

Mapping the results of Literacy performance shows areas for potential recruitment as well as areas for outreach

No

com

pute

r exp

erie

nce

Faile

d IC

T co

re

Opt

ed o

ut o

f tak

ing

CBA

Took

Com

pute

r bas

ed A

sses

smen

t

No

com

pute

r exp

erie

nce

Faile

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T co

re

Opt

ed o

ut o

f tak

ing

CBA

Took

Com

pute

r bas

ed A

sses

smen

t

Literacy score Numeracy score

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

ICT competence and Literacy scores, Canada and USA

Canada USA

Literacy and numeracy skills are important if courses are delivered on-line. Level 3 Literacy and Numeracy is linked to ICT skills

Those with no computer experience, those who failed the ICT core and those who opted out of the Computer Based Assessment had scores below Level 3.

Percentage of adults 25-34 at each proficiency level in problem solving in technology-rich environments

Application of acquired knowledge can be reflected in the skill of Problem Solving in Technology Rich Environments

No experience or failed core

Below Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3

Canada 5 12.1 29.1 37.7 11.3

USA 5.6 14.4 32.7 31.5 7.3

Finland 3.5 4.1 23.3 47.7 19.8

A far greater proportion of adults of college graduation age have higher Problem Solving Competencies in Finland than in Canada or the United States. Problem Solving Skills are important for productivity and innovation in the labour market and the academic sector.

Occupation Ave literacy16-65

Ave Numeracy

16-65

Average literacy 16-24 years

Average numeracy

16-24 years

Average literacy 25-34 years

Average numeracy

23-34 years

Managerial and professional

286 278 292.7 286.4 301.9 294.3

Service and support

270 259 277.8 274.2 268.6 258.2

Trade, production and manufacturing

269.9 271 270.5 267.9 262.6 263.3

Manual and other services

263 254 269.9 263.3 256.8 247.2

Literacy and Numeracy competencies of college educated workers in occupations in Canada and the competencies of college age students 16-25

and of recent graduates 25-34 in those occupations

There is no indication of skills mismatch however, younger college educated workers may not have an advantage in the job market. The competency levels are mostly at the border line of Level 3.

How do standards of College education compare?

Canada USA Japan0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

279.7270.3

304.9288.7 295.4

305308.4 308.4

326.4

Average literacy scores by educational attainment

Upper secondary graduates 16-19 Two years of Post secondary (college) 16-29 Tertiary education (university) 4 years or more 16-29

21.4

On average, each year of education adds 7 points. While Canada and Japan, create large gains between College and University, the US creates its largest gains between High School and College. Note, however, that High School graduates in Japan have higher scores than college graduates in Canada and the US and almost as high as University graduates!

919.7

25.113 0.1

Mean literacy proficiency, by type of occupation, and score difference between workers in skilled and elementary occupations, Canada, USA and Japan

Skilled occupations

Semi-skilled white collar occupations

Semi-skilled blue collar occupations

Elementary occupations

Difference between skilled and elementary occupations

Canada 292.3 266.0 256.5 251.0 41.2

USA 292.1 265.8 252.2 239.4 52.7

Japan 310.6 296.7 285.6 280.4 30.2

Workers in skilled occupations have Level 3 literacy however, workers in skilled occupations in Japan have much higher Average Literacy scores for

skilled occupations and white collar occupations

These differences affect the attraction of plants and companies to North America and the off-shoring of jobs.

Though the demand for higher levels of skills has been growing in the job market, there has not been much increase in the level of literacy skills between cohorts compared to Korea

Average Literacy scores by age bands, Canada and USA

16-24 years

25-34 years

35-44 years

45-54 years

55-65 years

Difference between youngest and oldest

Canada 275.7 285.1 279.7 268.0 260.4 15.4

USA 271.5 275.5 273.4 265.9 262.9 8.6

Korea 292.9 289.5 277.5 258.6 244.1 48.8

PIAAC provides a large picture view of foundational competencies that can help the college sector to make

important decisions based on evidence• Direct measures of the stock of skills of the college educated population in a

country.• Calculation of the premiums gained over high school graduates and under

university graduates. • Equity - with the performance of college graduates in other regions in a country • Benchmarking internationally with 23 other countries. Most EU countries and

Australia. • Relationship between the proficiencies gained in college in relation to job related

skills. • The proficiencies of the intake cohort of students. • The proficiency requirements by occupational categories as demanded by the

market.

Thank you!