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August 2016 PKN ORLEN Capital Group

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Page 1: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

August 2016

PKN ORLEN Capital Group

Page 2: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

22

KEY DATASHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE

DOWNSTREAM

� Refineries in Poland (supersite in Plock), Lithuania and the Czech

Rep. with 35.2 mt/y total max. throughput capacity

� Strategic location – access to key pipeline network and crude oil sea

terminals in Gdansk (Poland) and Butinge (Lithuania)

� REBCO crude oil processing – benefits from B/U differential

� Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining

� Energy projects of industry cogeneration – building CCGT in

Wloclawek (463 MWe) and Plock (596 MWe)

RETAIL

� 2 679 fuel stations - Poland, the Czech Rep., Germany and Lithuania

UPSTREAM

� Poland – exploration and E&P projects

� Canada – production projects (ORLEN Upstream Canada)

OPERATIONALS

Throughput in 2015 (mt) ca. 30.9

Sales in 2015 (mt) ca. 38.7

FINANCIALS 2012 2013 2014 2015

Revenues (PLN bn) 120.1 113.9 106.8 88.3

EBITDA LIFO** (PLN bn) 5.2 3.2 5.2 8.7

** EBITDA LIFO before impairments of assets:

2012 PLN (-) 0.7 bn; 2014 PLN (-) 5.4 bn; 2015 PLN (-) 1.0 bn

� Listed on WSE since 1999

� WSE ticker: PKN

� Present in WIG20 index

� MCap: ca. PLN 29.0 bn*

* Data as of 31.12.2015

Free float

72,48%

27,52%

State Treasury

PKN ORLEN – international fuel and energy group

Page 3: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

3

� Strong position on large and growing markets

� Strong customer focus

� Integrated value chain

� Operational excellence

� Sustainable Upstream development

� Modern management culture

2008 … 2017…… 2013…

Retail

Downstream

Upstream

Downstream

PKN ORLEN vision

Page 4: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

4

� 35.2 mt/y max. throughput capacity including: 16.3 mt/y

Plock, 10.2 mt/y ORLEN Lietuva, 8.7 mt/y Unipetrol

� 86% of yearly crude oil throughput is REBCO type, which

allows to get benefits from B/U differential

� Fuel production in line with 2009 Euro standards in all

refineries

� Wholesale market share*: gasoline (PL: 67%, CZ: 59%, LT:

67%) & diesel (PL: 57%, CZ: 47%, LT: 83%).

KEY DATA

HIGH-CLASS ASSETS

* Data as of 31.12.2015

** Poland, Lithuania, the Czech Republic

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

� Refinery in Plock classified as a super-site (acc. to

WoodMackenzie) considering the depth and throughput

capacity, integration with petrochemical operations

� Modernized refining assets in Lithuania and in Litvinov

� Prepared for regulatory and market trends changes thanks

to investment projects execution

� Leader on the fuel market in the Central Europe**

THROUGHPUT AND UTILIZATION RATIO mt; %

Downstream

Refining

27,9 28,2 27,330,9

2014

84%

2015

91%

2012

90%

2013

90%

Utilization ratio

Page 5: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

5

� Sales in 2015 amounted to 5.3 mt

� Market share between 40% and 100% depending on the

product

� Polyolefins’ sales through Basell network

� PX/PTA – one of the most advanced petrochemical complex in

Europe with PTA production capacity of 650 kt/y

KEY DATA

ASSETS INTEGRATED WITH THE REFINING

ANWIL – CHEMICAL COMPANY

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

� The largest petrochemical company in Central Europe*

� Integration with refinery allows for savings

� Attractive portfolio of products including: monomers,

polymers, aromatics, PTA, fertilizers and PVC

� Strategic regional supplier for chemical industry

� PVC and fertilizers producer

� Ethylene pipeline connection with Plock refinery secures

feedstock for PVC production

� Synergies with new CCGT plant: steam, electricity and

infrastructure

* Poland, Lithuania, the Czech Republic

Downstream

Petrochemicals

Page 6: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

6

INDUSTRY COGENERATION PROJECTS

ASSETS EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

� Power plant in Plock (345 MWe, 2149 MWt) – the biggest

industrial block in Poland.

� Heating oil, refining gas and natural gas - fuels used for

energy and heat production in Plock and Wloclawek plants.

� PKN ORLEN one of the biggest gas consumers in Poland

and active participant for natural gas market liberalization.

� Favorable perspectives for energy market i.e. increase of

electricity demand not addressed by new projects, increasing

supply-demand gap resulting from closures of old units and

low-emission of gas.

PLANS FOR BLOCKS CLOSURES IN POLAND# block as a % of total, 2012-2040*

The highest profitability / the lowest risk , thanks to guarantee of permanent receiving of steam, which enables to achieve very high efficiency

Building a CCGT plant in Wloclawek (463MWe)

� Planned start-up 1Q17

� CAPEX PLN 1,4 bn

Building a CCGT plant in Plock (596 MWe)

� Planned start-up 4Q17

� CAPEX PLN 1,65 bn

* PKN ORLEN analysis

Downstream

Energy

80

44

3025

2017 2025 20402030

24%

43%

29%

78%

Page 7: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

7

� 2679 fuel stations* including: 1749 Poland, 565 Germany, 339

the Czech Rep. , 26 Lithuania

� Market share*: 37% Poland, 16% in the Czech Rep ., 6%

Germany, 4% Lithuania

� 1404 Stop Cafe and Stop Cafe Bistro in Poland.

Every 0.8 second we sell 1 hot-dog (38 m yearly) and over 8 m

liters of hot drinks yearly (3.5 Olympic swimming pools)

� Large group of loyal customers: 0.7 m active FLOTA customers

and 2.7 m active VITAY customers

KEY DATA

* Data as of 31.12.2015

** According to „The most valuable brands” ranking published by „Rzeczpospolita” dated 30 November 2015

MODERN SALES NETWORK COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

� The largest retail network in Central Europe

� ORLEN brand – strong, recognizable and the most valuable in

Poland (PLN 4,5 bn)

� Successful differentiation strategy of fuel stations brands

and offered fuels.

� Further development of nonfuel sales by extension of Stop Cafe

and Stop Cafe Bistro

STOP CAFE & STOP CAFE BISTRO IN POLAND#

Retail

1 404

1 3081 250

1 149

1 047

869813

708

600

700

800

900

1 000

1 100

1 200

1 300

1 400

1 500

2Q154Q12 4Q152Q142Q13 4Q13 4Q142Q12

Page 8: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

Poland

Total reserves of crude oil and gas (2P)

Ca. 8 m boe (100% gas)

Currently 15 wells were done

11 vertical and 4 horizontal as well as 3 fracking of horizontal wells

2015:

� 1 wells was done

� Project and analytics works were continued and acquisition/processing

of seismic 2D and 3D data were started. Preparation works of areas

development and administration works connected with adoption of

concessions were in process.

� Closing of 100% FX Energy acquisition, which increase portfolio of

conducted projects in Poland by 3 new E&P areas. Production in

December from acquired assets amounted to 1,3 th. boe/d. Assets

consolidated from 31 December 2015.

� EBITDA*: PLN (-) 30 m

� CAPEX: PLN 96 m

Upstream

Exploration projects in Poland

8

Exploration and production assets

* Data before impairments of assets in the amount of PLN (-) 429 m

With cooperation: Sieraków (49% of shares), Płotki** (49% of shares)

ORLEN Upstream 100% of shares: Edge

Exploration assets

With cooperation: Warsaw South (51% of shares), Bieszczady (49% of shares)

ORLEN Upstream 100% of shares : Karbon, Lublin Shale,

Mid-Poland Unconventional, Karpaty, Miocen, Edge

Requested areas

** Production from Płotki project (100% gas)

Page 9: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

Canada

Assets located in Canadian Alberta province in 5 areas: Lochend, Kaybob, Pouce

Coupe, Ferrier/Strachan and Kakwa

Total reserves of crude oil and gas (2P)

Ca. 89** m boe (46% liquid hydrocarbons, 54% gas)

2015:

� Drilling of 13 new wells (11,6 net*) were started

� Closing acquisition of Kicking Horse Energy Ltd., thanks to which 2P reserves

in Canada increased by ca. 40 m boe. Production in December from acquired

assets (Kakwa area) amounted to 4,6 th. boe/d. Assets consolidated from 31

December 2015.

� Average production: 7,1 th. boe/d (44% liquid hydrocarbons)

� EBITDA***: PLN 74 m

� CAPEX: PLN 195 m

9

Upstream

Production projects in Canada

9

* Number of wells multiplied by percent of share in particular asset

** Including acquisition of Kicking Horse Energy Ltd.

*** Data before impairment of assets in the amount of PLN (-) 423 m

Assets in Canada

Page 10: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

10

PKN ORLEN competitive advantages

Financial strength

� Guaranteed sources of financing – over PLN 18 bn

� Diversified financing – over PLN 4 bn in retail bonds, corporate bonds

and Eurobonds

� Average maturity 4Q19

� Investment grade – BBB - with a stable outlook

� Financial gearing – below 30%

� Net debt / EBITDA LIFO – less than 1

� Dividend – steady increase of DPS

Value creation

� Integrated, high-class assets and strong position on competitive

market

� New units and attractive portfolio of products offered on developing

markets

� Best locations and synergies of gas-fired power generation with other

segments

� Modern and the largest sales network in the region with strong and

recognizable brand

� Poland – exploration and E&P projects

� Canada – production projects (ORLEN Upstream Canada)

People

� The World’s Most Ethical Company 2015

� Top Employer Polska 2015

� Best managed companies in CEE 2015

� ORLEN Warsaw Marathon / Verva Street Racing

ORLEN

The most valuable brand in Poland

worth PLN 4,5 bn*

* According to „The most valuable brands” ranking published by „Rzeczpospolita” dated 30 November 2015

Page 11: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

Thank You for Your attention

For more information on PKN ORLEN, please contact Investor Relations Department:

phone: + 48 24 256 81 80

fax: + 48 24 367 77 11

e-mail: [email protected]

www.orlen.pl

Page 12: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

12

Agenda

Supporting slides

Page 13: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

13

Key highlights 2015

� Financial gearing: 28,1%

� Cash flow from operations: PLN 5,4 bn

� Dividend paid: PLN 0,7 bn / PLN 1,65 per share

� Extension of average maturity for sources of financing to 4Q19

� EBITDA LIFO: PLN 8,7 bn*

� Record-high throughput 30,9 mt and sales 38,7 mt

� M&A of upstream assets in Canada and Poland

� New contracts for crude oil delivery up to 10,8 mt per year

Value creation Financial strength

People

* Data before impairments of assets in the amount of PLN (-) 1,0 bn regarding mainly E&P assets of ORLEN Upstream and petrochemical assets of Unipetrol

** According to „The most valuable brands” ranking published by „Rzeczpospolita” dated 30 November 2015

� The World’s Most Ethical Company 2015

� Top Employer Polska 2015

� Best managed companies in CEE 2015

� ORLEN Warsaw Marathon / Verva Street Racing

ORLEN

The most valuable brand in Poland

worth PLN 4,5 bn **

Page 14: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

1414

� Our aim is to pay dividend regularly

� We plan to increase DPS gradually at maintained safe

level of financial ratios

1,50 1,44

2,00

1,65

201520142013 2016

� We paid dividend in years 2013-2016

� PKN ORLEN Management Board recommendation

regarding dividend payout in 2016 from unconsolidated

net profit of PKN ORLEN SA from 2015 in the amount of

2,00 PLN/share was proved on AGM in June 2016.

� Dividend day / payment: 16 July / 5 August 2016

� Unconsolidated net profit of PKN ORLEN SA from 2015

amounted to PLN 1048 m

DPS (PLN)

Dividend

Page 15: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

1515

KEY FACTS

ASSETS

Crude pipeline

Products pipeline

Pump station

Terminal

Storage depot Mažeikių

Nafta

Klaipeda

Joniskis

Latvia

Butinge* Orlen LietuvaRefinery

Lithuania

Illukste

Biržai

Ventspils(20,0 mt/y)

(14,0 mt/y)

(16,4 mt/y)

Klaipeda(9,0 mt/y)

Polock

� Concentration on cash flow improvement

� Reduction in overhead and employment costs below USD 10 m monthly and efficiency initiatives will improve the result by over 1

USD/bbl

� CAPEX optimization to ca. USD 20 m annually

� Improvement in sales efficiency and increase in capacity utilization

� Releasing of cash frozen in assets

� In worsening of macro situation ready to temporary refinery shut down

ORLEN Lietuva - maximizing the possessed potential

* ORLEN Lietuva ownership

Page 16: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

1616

� Speed up of Operational Excellence Initiatives in Ceska Rafinerska

� Refining and retail sales enhancement upon grey zone limitation

� Investing in synergies between refining and petchem segments

� Regulatory affairs management in the area of renewable energy sources fee, fuels grey zone limitation and biofuel burdens

� Retail segment market share increase and non-fuel sales increase driven by expected economic recovery

KEY FACTS

ASSETS

IKL

Pipeline10 mt/y

CEPRO production pipelines

Mero Crude oil pipelines

CEPRO depots

Kralupy

3.2 mt/y

Pardubice *

1.0 mt/y

Litvínov

5.5 mt/y

Druzhba

pipeline9 mt/y

* Paramo refinery in Pardubice closed permanently and does not process crude oil since 3Q 2012. The production of bitumen and lubes was not affected.

Unipetrol – continuation of operating efficiency improvement

Page 17: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

17

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, PKN Orlen own calculations, Concawe,Reuters, WMRC, EIA, NEFTE Compass, Transneft.ru

Refinery (capacity m tonnes p.a.; Nelson complexity index)

�Oil pipeline [capacity]

Refinery of PKN ORLEN Group

Projected Oil pipeline

Sea terminal (capacity)

Lisichansk

(8.5; 8.2)

Batman

(1.1; 1.9)

Yaroslavi

Ingolstadt

(5.2; 7.5)

Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)

Kralupy

(3.4; 8.1)

Plock

(16.3; 9.5)

Gdansk

(10.5; 10.0)

Mazeikiai

(10.2; 10.3) Novopolotsk

(8.3; 7.7)

Mozyr

(15.7; 4.6)

Bratislava

(6.0; 12.3)

Schwechat

(10.2; 6.2)

Burghausen

(3.5; 7.3)

Holborn

(3.8; 6.1)

Bayernoil

(12.8; 8.0)

Harburg

(4.7; 9.6)

Leuna

(11.0; 7.1)

Schwedt

(10.7; 10.2)

Aspropyrgos

(6.6; 8.9)

Corinth

(4.9; 12.5)

Elefsis

(4.9; 1.0)

Thessaloniki

(3.2; 5.9)

Izmit

(11.5; 6.2)

Izmir

(10.0; 6.4)

Kirikkale

(5.0; 5.4)

Duna

(8.1, 10.6)

Arpechim

(3.6; 7.3)

Petrobrazi

(3.4; 7.3)

Petrotel

(2.6; 7.6)Rafo

(3.4; 9.8)

Petromidia

(5.1; 7.5)

Rijeka

(4.4; 5.7)Sisak

(3.9; 4.1)

Novi Sad

(4.0; 4.6)

Pancevo

(4.8; 4.9)

Neftochim

(5.6; 5.8)

Drogobich

(3.8; 3.0)

Kremenchug

(17.5; 3.5)

Odessa

(3.8; 3.5)

(ex 12)

Kherson

(6.7; 3.1)

DRUZHBA

DRUZHBA

DRUZHBA

ADRIA

IKL

ADRIA

�(18) Ventspils

Butinge(14)

(70) Primorsk� Kirishi

Yuzhniy

(ex 4)�

Brody

Tiszaojvaro

s

Triest�

Rostock�

[Ca 55]

�[C

a 2

2]

�� ��[C

a 3

0]

Novorossiys

k

(ex 45)

Trzebinia

(0,5)

Jedlicze

(0,1)

Naftoport(30)

[Ca 20][Ca 9]

[Ca 10]

[Ca 9][Ca 3,5]

�(30) Ust-Luga

BPS2

Supply Routes Diversification

Page 18: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by PKN ORLEN S.A. (“PKN ORLEN” or “Company”). Neither the Presentation nor any copy hereof may be copied,

distributed or delivered directly or indirectly to any person for any purpose without PKN ORLEN’s knowledge and consent. Copying, mailing, distribution or delivery of this

Presentation to any person in some jurisdictions may be subject to certain legal restrictions, and persons who may or have received this Presentation should familiarize

themselves with any such restrictions and abide by them. Failure to observe such restrictions may be deemed an infringement of applicable laws.

This Presentation contains neither a complete nor a comprehensive financial or commercial analysis of PKN ORLEN and of the ORLEN Group, nor does it present its position

or prospects in a complete or comprehensive manner. PKN ORLEN has prepared the Presentation with due care, however certain inconsistencies or omissions might have

appeared in it. Therefore it is recommended that any person who intends to undertake any investment decision regarding any security issued by PKN ORLEN or its subsidiaries

shall only rely on information released as an official communication by PKN ORLEN in accordance with the legal and regulatory provisions that are binding for PKN ORLEN.

The Presentation, as well as the attached slides and descriptions thereof may and do contain forward-looking statements. However, such statements must not be understood as

PKN ORLEN’s assurances or projections concerning future expected results of PKN ORLEN or companies of the ORLEN Group. The Presentation is not and shall not be

understood as a forecast of future results of PKN ORLEN as well as of the ORLEN Group.

It should be also noted that forward-looking statements, including statements relating to expectations regarding the future financial results give no guarantee or assurance that

such results will be achieved. The Management Board’s expectations are based on present knowledge, awareness and/or views of PKN ORLEN’s Management Board’s

members and are dependent on a number of factors, which may cause that the actual results that will be achieved by PKN ORLEN may differ materially from those discussed in

the document. Many such factors are beyond the present knowledge, awareness and/or control of the Company, or cannot be predicted by it.

No warranties or representations can be made as to the comprehensiveness or reliability of the information contained in this Presentation. Neither PKN ORLEN nor its directors,

managers, advisers or representatives of such persons shall bear any liability that might arise in connection with any use of this Presentation. Furthermore, no information

contained herein constitutes an obligation or representation of PKN ORLEN, its managers or directors, its Shareholders, subsidiary undertakings, advisers or representatives of

such persons.

This Presentation was prepared for information purposes only and is neither a purchase or sale offer, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities or financial

instruments or an invitation to participate in any commercial venture. This Presentation is neither an offer nor an invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities in any

jurisdiction and no statements contained herein may serve as a basis for any agreement, commitment or investment decision, or may be relied upon in connection with any

agreement, commitment or investment decision.

Disclaimer

18

Page 19: PKN ORLEN Capital Group...REBCO crude oil processing –benefits from B/U differential Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining Energy projects of industry cogeneration

For more information on PKN ORLEN, please contact Investor Relations Department:

phone: + 48 24 256 81 80

fax: + 48 24 367 77 11

e-mail: [email protected]

www.orlen.pl