Plan B 4.0By: Ashley Stockton

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Agenda Selling Our Future

Ponzi Scheme Population Pressure: Land and Water Land and Water Conflicts Climate Change and the Energy Transition Stabilizing Climate: An Energy Efficiency

Revolution Failing States Four Main Goals Can we Mobilize Fast Enough?

Selling Our Future Could food be the weak link for our 21st century global

civilization? We are failing to reverse trends undermining food

security while adding new stresses Late 2007: Food prices spiked even higher as grain Climbing prices

exporters, limited or banned exports, further tightening the world market provoked riots and unrest in dozens of countries importers began buying or leasing large swaths of land abroad to grow food

Affluent food

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Ponzi Scheme A Ponzi scheme takes

payments from a broad base of investors and uses these to pay off returns 2002 scientists concluded

that humanitys collective demands surpassed the earths regenerative capacity around 1980 2009 global demands on natural systems exceed their sustainable yield capacity by nearly 30 percent

Population Pressure: Land and WaterLand Soil erosion from the

Water Between 1950 and

deterioration of grasslands is widespread Nigeria is losing 867,000 acres of rangeland and cropland to desertification each year

2000, world water use tripled Some 70% of water use is for irrigation Over extraction is leading to disappearing lakes and rivers failing to reach the sea Aquifer depletion is causing water tables to fall and wells to go

Land and Water Conflicts Expanding world population has cut the grainland

per person in half since 1950 to a quarter-acre The rich are getting all of the resources while the poor are dying of hunger and dehydration This has led to many wars in places like the Middle East

Climate Change and the Energy Transition A 2-degree Celsius rise led to a decline in

irrigated wheat yields ranging from 37 percent to 58 percent A 1-degree Celsius rise in temperature above the norm lowers wheat, rice, and corn yields by 10 percent United States the worlds leading oil consumer dropped 6 percent in 2008

Stabilizing Climate: An Energy Efficiency Revolution CFLs use 75 percent less electricity than

incandescents Replacing incandescent bulbs with CFLs can reduce the electricity used for lighting by Of the 4.7 billion light sockets in the United States, close to 1 billion now have CFLs LEDs use 85 percent less electricity than incandescents

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Failing States States fail when governments lose control of part

or all of their territory and can no longer ensure their peoples security

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Rescuing Failing States A new cabinet-level agency a Department of Global

Security (DGS) that will fashion a coherent policy toward each weak and failing state The new DGS would be funded by shifting fiscal resources from the Department of Defense It will focus on the central sources of state failure by helping to: Stabilize population Restore environmental support systems

Eradicate poverty Provide universal primary school education Strengthen the rule of law

Four Main Goals

Stabilizing Population

Eradicating Poverty

Restoring the Earths Natural Support Systems

Stabilizing Climate

Can We Mobilize Fast Enough? Three Models of Social Change: Pearl Harbor Model Berlin Wall Model Sandwich Model

Questions?

References http://www.earth

policy.org/books/pb4/pb4_presentation http://www.fortworthchamber.com/letter/wpcontent/uploads/2008/08/tax-questions-1.jpg http://www.historyofwar.org/Pictures/PearlHarbor0 1.jpg http://socialsteve.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/ber lin-wall.jpg http://www.spilledmilkcatering.com/blog/wpcontent/uploads/2011/05/sandwich.jpg