planning for a sustainable and resilient region · 2020-01-09 · planning for a sustainable and...
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PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT REGION
JOSH SAWISLAK, AICP
PRINCIPAL, CLIO STRATEGIES LLC
PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATE, CENTER FOR URBAN AND ENVIRONMENTAL SOLUTIONS, FAU
7 JANUARY 2020
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THE FUTURE HAS SOME CHALLENGES
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WHAT CAN WE DO ABOUT
RISK?
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ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT
FOUR OPTIONS:
1. TRANSFER RISK
2. ACCEPT RISK
3. MITIGATE RISK
4. AVOID RISK
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TRANSFER RISK
• INSURANCE IS THE USUAL FORM OF RISK TRANSFER
• NOT ALWAYS AVAILABLE OR COST EFFECTIVE
• SOME RISKS CANNOT BE TRANSFERRED (EX. SEA LEVEL RISE)
• GOVERNMENT RECOVERY PROGRAMS ARE A FORM OF RISK TRANSFER
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• SOME RISKS ARE EITHER LOW IMPACT OR LOW PROBABILITY
• RISK ACCEPTANCE CAN BE A COST-EFFECTIVE STRATEGY
• SOME RISKS ARE SO HIGH IMPACT THAT ACCEPTING THEM IS THE BEST STRATEGY
ACCEPT RISK
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MITIGATE RISK
• TYPICALLY MITIGATION OF VULNERABILITY
• CAN BE DONE AT THE ASSET OR NEIGHBORHOOD LEVEL
• MITIGATION AT THE BUILDING LEVEL
• BUILD STRONGER
• DESIGN SMARTER
• CHANGE LOCATION (CAN ALSO BE RISK AVOIDANCE)
• CAN BE AFFECTED BY CASCADING IMPACTS
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AVOID RISK
• MOVING A BUILDING OR FACILITY CAN AVOID RISK
• SOMETIMES EVEN A SMALL CHANGE IS LARGE RISK REDUCTION
• CHANGE IN FUNCTION OR RECOVERY TIME CAN ALSO AVOID RISK
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RISK MITIGATION PLANNING• MUST FIRST UNDERSTAND THREAT
AND VULNERABILITY (RISK)
• ESTABLISH TIMEFRAME
• CONSIDER THREATS, VULNERABILITIES, AND EXISTING AND PLANNED MITIGATION
• DATA ARE AVAILABLE, BUT TOOLS ARE NOT ALWAYS EFFECTIVE
• PLANNING IS MOST EFFECTIVE WHEN REGIONAL IN SCOPE
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REGIONAL PLANNING
• AMERICAN GOVERNMENT IS MOSTLY STRUCTURED AT THE FEDERAL, STATE, AND MUNICIPAL LEVELS
• DISASTERS TEND TO BE REGIONAL IN EFFECT
• LAND USE IS A MAJOR TOOL IN MITIGATING AND AVOIDING RISK
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REGIONAL RESILIENCE PLANNING QUESTIONS
• WHO SHOULD BE IN THE ROOM?
• DO WE HAVE TO BECOME A COLLECTIVE?
• DO WE HAVE TO AGREE ON EVERYTHING?
• WHAT ARE THE KEY ISSUES TO CONSIDER?
• WHERE DO WE START?
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WHO SHOULD BE IN THE ROOM?• EVERYONE (NOT JUST IN THE
SAME ROOM ALL THE TIME)
• GOVERNMENT (ALL LEVELS)
• BENEFICIARIES, REGULATORS, AND FUNDERS
• BUSINESS
• ACADEMIA AND NGOS
• PUBLIC
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DO WE HAVE TO BECOME A COLLECTIVE?
• NO (RESISTANCE IS NOT ALWAYS FUTILE)
• THERE ARE MANY MODELS OF COLLABORATION
• THERE IS NO ONE-SIZE-FITS-ALL FOR STRUCTURE
• THE GOAL IS TO BALANCE EFFECTIVENESS AND FEASIBILITY
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REGIONAL PLANNING MODELS
Top Down/Region Centered (state agencies)
Mixed Multi-Tiered
Mixed Complex Network
Bottom Up Modified Compact
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TOP DOWN/REGION CENTERED
• CREATED BY EXECUTIVE OR LEGISLATIVE AUTHORITY AT STATE LEVEL
• USUALLY IN RESPONSE TO A SPECIFIC EVENT
• APPOINTED MEMBERS
• AUTHORITY OVER LOCAL DECISIONS
• FUNDED BY STATE APPROPRIATIONS OR BONDS
• EXAMPLES:• NEW YORK’S URBAN DEVELOPMENT CORP (ESDC) – 1968
• LOUISIANA RECOVERY AUTHORITY – 2006
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MIXED MULTI-TIERED
• SEPARATE, REGIONAL TIER OF GOVERNMENT
• ELECTED ACROSS REGION
• FUNDED BY REVENUE RAISING CAPACITY
• EXAMPLES:
• PORTLAND (OREGON METRO) – 1979
• LONDON – 1999
• DUTCH WATERSCHAPPEN (WATER BOARDS) – 13TH CENTURY
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MIXED COMPLEX NETWORKS
• COLLECTED JURISDICTIONS
• APPOINTED FROM MULTIPLE LOCALITIES
• SUPER MAJORITY VOTING
• FUNDED BY ALLOCATION OR FED/STATE FUNDING
• EXAMPLES:
• METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATIONS – 1962
• LYON, FRANCE – 1967
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BOTTOM UP MODIFIED COMPACT
• EXISTING COUNTY MEMBERS
• MAJOR OFFICIALS EX-OFFICIO
• SUPER MAJORITY FOR NARROW, SPECIFIC PURPOSE BINDING POLICIES
• FUNDED BY ADD-ON OR SPECIAL TAX
• EXAMPLES:• ALLEGHANY REGIONAL ASSET DISTRICT (PITTSBURGH) – 1993
• SE FLORIDA REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE COMPACT – 2010
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DO WE HAVE TO AGREE ON EVERYTHING?
• NO (BUT THAT WOULD BE GREAT)
• BINDING VS. NON-BINDING AGREEMENTS?
• DATA IS A GOOD PLACE TO START
• SHARED PROCESS IS NOT SURRENDER
• DON’T RACE TO THE BOTTOM
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KEY ISSUES TO CONSIDER
Data Sources and Standards
Information Sharing
Process Agreement
Opportunity Identification
Education and Outreach
Economies of Scale
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WHERE TO START
• YOU’RE ALREADY DOING IT
• GET HIGH LEVEL BUY-IN
• DEVELOP A FRAMEWORK
• SET GOALS AND MILESTONES
• BE TRANSPARENT AND ACCOUNTABLE
• IT’S A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT
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PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT REGION
JOSH SAWISLAK, AICP
PRINCIPAL, CLIO STRATEGIES LLC
PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATE, CENTER FOR URBAN AND ENVIRONMENTAL SOLUTIONS, FAU
7 JANUARY 2020