planning for mumbai metro rail project

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    PLANNING FOR MUMBAI METRO RAIL PROJECT

    FIRST INDO-US SYMPOSIUM

    ADVANCES IN MASS TRANSIT & TRAVEL BEHAVIOUR

    RESEARCH

    G.R. Madan Director, MRTS, MMRDA

    ON

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    Established in 1975 under MMRDA Act,1974

    Mumbai Metropolitan Region

    Development Authority

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    MumbaiMetropolitan

    Region (MMR)

    4355 sq.kms

    21 Million Population

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    Mumbai Metropolitan Region

    THANE

    VASAI

    VIRAR

    BHIWANDI

    KALYAN

    KHOPOLI

    PEN

    NALASOPARA

    NAVGHAR

    MIRA-BHAYANDAR

    ULHASNAGAR

    AMBERNATH

    BADLAPUR

    PANVEL MATHERAN

    KARJAT

    NAVI MUMBAI

    THANE DIST.

    RAIGAD DIST.

    SUBURBAN

    DIST.

    URAN

    M

    UMBAI

    MUMBAI

    SUB-URBAN

    4 Districts

    Mumbai,

    Suburban,Thane, Raigad

    7 Municipal Corporations

    Greater Mumbai, Thane,

    Kalyan,

    Navi Mumbai,

    Ulhasnagar,

    Mira-Bhayandar,Bhiwandi-Nizampur

    13 Municipal Councils

    1003 Villages

    Rural : 1 million

    ( 6 % )

    Urban : 18 millions

    ( 94 % )

    Total Population

    19 millions

    2001

    Area : 4355 Sq.Km.

    ALIBAG

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    Role of MMRDA

    To achieve balanced development of the region:

    Preparation of perspective plans

    Promotion of alternative growth centers

    Strengthening of infrastructure facilities

    Provision of development finance

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    Transportation Infrastructure Development

    Nodal Agency for Mumbai Urban Transport Project

    (MUTP)

    Implementing Agency for Mumbai Urban Infrastructure

    Project (MUIP)

    Nodal Agency for Mumbai Metro Rail Project

    Nodal Agency for Comprehensive Transport Study

    (CTS) TRANSFORM

    Role of MMRDA

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    Mumbai Commuters depend mainly on Public

    Transport

    DemandCapacity imbalance leading to shift from PT

    Heavy Road congestiondelays & Pollution

    CTS forecastfurther reduction in PT share despite heavy

    investments

    To improve the chaotic Traffic conditions in Mumbai, Govt. of

    Maharashtra therefore decided to Develop Metro Rail Network

    to supplement suburban rail services

    MMRDA designated as the Nodal Agency for Metro Rail Project

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    48% 44% 8%

    11 million people travel daily by Public Transport (The share of PT morethan 85%)

    Many areas in city and suburbs are not served by rail based system

    Rail network expansion failed to keep pace with demand resulting in

    severe congestion on road network & Environmental pollution.

    Suburban rail traffic increased by 6 times while the capacity increased

    by only 2.3 times.

    4500 passengers travel per train against the carrying capacity of 1750

    resulting in unbearable overcrowding.

    Present scenario of transport infrastructure in Mumbai

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    National Urban Transport PolicyEncourage public transport

    Encourage greater use of public transport enabling the

    establishment of quality focused multi modal public transport

    systems that are well Integrated providing seamless travel across

    modes

    Integrate Land use with transport

    Encouraging integrated land use and transportation planning sothe travel distances are minimized and access to livelihoods

    education and other social needs

    Transport to guide development

    Incorporating urban transportation as an important parameter at

    the urban planning stage rather than being a consequential

    requirement.

    Provide equitable allocation of space

    Bringing about more equitable allocation of road space with

    people rather than vehicles as its main focus

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    Mumbai Metro Master Plan

    MMRDA appointed DMRC in May 2003 to

    prepare a Master Plan for Metro System

    for Mumbai with proper connectivity to

    neighboring areas like Thane, Navi

    Mumbai, VasaiVirar etc..

    DMRC were assisted by IIT Mumbai & TCS

    for Population and Employment forecasts

    and for travel demand forecast

    The main objective is to provide a mass

    transit connectivity to people within an

    approach distance of 1 to 2 K.m. & to serve

    the areas not connected by existing

    Suburban Rail System

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    Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar

    Charkop-Bandra-MankhurdColaba Mahim/Bandra

    Charkop - Dahisar

    Ghatkopar - Mulund

    BKC-Kanjur Marg via Airport

    Andheri(E) - Dahisar(E)

    Hutatma Chowk - Ghatkopar

    Sewri - Prabhadevi

    Total Length: 146.5 km

    Nine Corridors to be

    implemented in 3 Phases

    Metro Master Plan

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    Colaba

    Charkop

    BandraMankhurd

    Kurla

    Ghatkopar

    AndheriVersova

    Line 3: 19.85 km

    Colaba Bandra

    Implementation period: 2007-12

    Total Length :62.79 km.

    Line 2: 31.87 km

    Charkop-Bandra - MankhurdImplementation period: 2007-11

    Line 1: 11.07 kmVersova-Andheri- GhatkoparImplementation period: 2007-2010

    Phase I

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    Comprehensive Transport Study

    for MMR (TRANSFORM).

    Several Corridors for Commuter

    Rail & Metro network proposed

    Metro System 450 kms

    Commuter Rail 204 kms

    InvestmentRs 1,40,000 Crores

    Connectivity to two SEZs, New

    Airport and new growth areas

    provided.

    Trans harbour links to provide

    fast access from /to Mumbai.

    PROPOSED RAIL/METRO NETWORK 2031

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    Present Status

    ofPhase - I Corridors

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    Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar Corridor-Line-I

    SPV is fully functional

    All preliminary works completed

    Tender Evaluation work is in progress

    Acquisition of Depot landLegal hurdles expected to

    be overcome shortly

    Work at site to commence after award of contracts

    by SPV

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    Charkop-Bandra-Mankhurd- Line-II

    Prequalification of Potential bidders (1st Stage Complete)

    Seven consortia comprising 3 members each short- listed

    Technical proposals received

    Financial proposals by January/February 2008

    Colaba-Mahim/Bandra- Line-III (Underground)

    Detailed Project Report finalized; proposal awaiting

    Govt. approval.

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    Journey So Far-Full of challenges!

    Journey aheadno less challenging!

    Every stepan experience in itself

    MMRDA experiencesome what different as compared to

    other Metro Projects

    First Metro Project in India being implemented on PPP

    format

    MMRDA Experience

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    CRITICAL ISSUES

    (PRACTITIONER'S POINT OF VIEW)

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    Critical Issues

    Project Financing

    Manning of project

    Transfer of technology

    Planning of Mass Rapid Transit SystemRail Based

    Reliability of Traffic forecast

    System Selection

    Public Transport alternative to personal transport

    Tariff fixation for Public Transport

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    Project Financing

    Infrastructure needs very heavy investment

    Metro Rail Projects highly capital intensive

    Govt. budgets alone cannot support

    Govt of India as such encourages Private Participation

    70% of funds for Infrastructure have to come from

    Private Investors

    Public Private Participation (PPP) format only viable

    alternative

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    PPP Format of Financing

    Bankable projects

    Change in mind set

    Risk Sharing

    Revenue Guarantees

    Viability Gap Funding

    Policy Frame work

    Legal Issues

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    Manning of Project

    Serious problem next to financing

    Lack of technical personnel for rail based projects where

    implementing agencies other than railways

    Lack of competent consultants

    Project planning + implementation is adversely affected

    National Urban Transport Policy emphasizes capacity building

    Engineers to be trained to man mega projects like metros

    Vast pool of retired personnel, orientation in rail-based system

    Technical institutes like IITs to take lead

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    Manning of Project Contd

    Courses in Transport Planning & Engineering more emphasis on

    rail based system and Technology

    Masters Degree in Rail Technology

    Assistance of foreign training Institutions

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    Transfer of Technology

    Rail Based MRT system requires state of art:-

    Signalling & Communication systems for high frequencyservices

    Energy efficient & Low lifecycle Cost rolling stock

    Advanced fare collection Systems and system/ subsystems

    to ensure safety, security, reliability

    Imports add to project cost

    Joint Ventures with T.O.T needed

    Demand for Metro equipments/ systems in on the rise

    IITs could take on the role of coordinator between nodal

    implementation agencies and potential suppliers

    Export potential exists

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    Planning for MRTS Systems (Rail -Based)

    Capital intensive with long gestation period

    Planning to commence much in advance to avoid capacity demand

    mismatch

    NUTP lays emphasis on public Transport; Should population

    growth form the basis to trigger planning for MRT?

    Transport Led development or otherwise?

    Planners need comprehensive guidance

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    Traffic Forecast Reliability

    Ridership forecast forms the basis of Planning & System design

    Level of service and facilities provided to handle projected traffic

    demand

    Capital cost, O&M cost depends on above

    For the given fare structure ridership determines fare box revenue

    Project viability, bankability, mode of financing is based on cash

    flows

    Implementation Strategy is influenced by mode of financing

    More Important for PPP projects

    Ridership forecast reliability determines project risk profile

    World-wide experience : forecast highly exaggerated

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    Traffic Forecast Reliability.. contd

    Danish Study of 27 rail based transit projects in 14 countries;90 %

    project inflated ridership; actual materialization of traffic < 50%

    World Bank study for 19 U.S projects- equally dismal picture

    Our experience is no different for Kolkata & Delhi Metro

    Serious issue jeopardizing future of several projects especiallyones proposed for PPP format

    Implementation agencies do not want to share traffic risk

    Private investors seek equitable risk sharing in the form of

    guarantees

    Need for closer look at entire process of ridership forecast to

    improve reliability

    Alternative methods for risk mitigation; project restructuring

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    System Selection

    Several mass transit technologies

    Several variations even in a particular system: gauge, traction ,

    rolling stock, signaling systems

    No data-base for independent techno economic evaluation

    No database for O&M aspects

    Need for universal data bank to assist decision makers in selection

    of appropriate technology

    Co-operation/ interaction amongst all agencies

    Evaluation of emerging technologies, aggressive marketing;

    confused decision makers

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    Public Transport

    NUTP envisages to promote public transport

    Public Transport more sustainable form

    Quality of service important for PT as alternative

    Pricing & Quality interrelated

    Socio-Economic factors control cost recovery policies , complex

    issue

    Project viability depends on fare structure

    Need for innovative approach

    For PPP model fare structure is very important to determine

    project viability

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    Conclusion

    Urbanization appears to be an irreversible process

    To cater to explosive mobility needs of urban population, Mega

    Urban Transport Projects to be implemented on high priority

    Govt. of Maharashtra thru MMRDA has initiated necessary steps for

    entire MMR

    It is exciting to be a part of such initiatives

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    Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar Corridor

    Project Overview And Salient Features

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    This corridor connects densely populated areas of western &

    eastern suburbs and two important suburban railwaystations, one each on Western and Central Railway

    High ridership forecast and two-way movement throughout

    the day in the most congested (East-West) corridor

    Will provide access to MIDC, SEEPZ,

    and other commercial areas

    VAG ~ Significance of the corridor

    Will reduce the journey time from

    71 min to 21 min between Versova &

    Ghatkopar

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    Length of the route : 11.07 km (Elevated)

    Car Depot location / Area : D. N. Nagar (13.8 Ha.)

    No. of stations : 12 (Elevated)

    Minimum ground clearance : 5.5 m

    Maximum Gradient : 4.0 %

    Minimum Curvature : 100 m

    Length of the Platform(6 Coaches) : 135 m

    VAG ~ Salient features

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    Year Daily Ridership Hourly Ridership PHPD*

    2008 4,75,046 38004 17,356

    2011 5,13,338 41067 18,580

    2021 6,64,703 53176 23,321

    2031 8,82,533 70603 30,491

    * PHPD Peak Hour Peak Direction (One way peaklink load)

    * Fare of Rs. 6.00 (upto 3 km) & Rs. 8.00 (> 3 km and

    8 km)

    System designed to handle ultimate traffic of60,000 PHPD when Mumbai Metro becomes fullyoperational

    VAG ~ Salient Feature

    Fi i l d l

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    Financial model

    Project cost- Rs 2356 Cr

    Viability Gap Funding Rs 650 Cr

    Equity:Debt 30:70

    Total Equity Rs 513 Cr

    MMRDA Equity (26%) Rs 134 Cr

    Reliance Energy (69%) Rs 353

    Veolia Transport (5%) Rs 26 Cr

    Debt Rs 1194 Cr

    IDBI has completed appraisal process, conveyed in-

    principle approval , Financial Closure shortly

    VAG S li t F t

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    World Class standards for safety and quality of service

    Technical and performance specifications as per best

    industry practice

    Service frequency 4 min to start

    Train consist 4 (extendable to 6 )

    Capacity of 1200-1500 for 4 Coaches and 1800-2500 for 6

    Coaches

    Fully air conditioned service

    Train operation mechanism inter locked with automatic

    closing doors

    VAG ~ Salient Feature

    VAG Salient Feat re

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    Audio visual passenger information system in coaches

    Modern Rolling stock AC traction (25KV) regenerative

    braking , energy efficient,

    CATC system with Automatic Train Protection (ATP)

    Cab Signaling

    Centralized control of Train Operations

    Modern welded ballastless track structure and pneumaticsuspension for smooth running quality

    VAG ~ Salient Feature

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    Aesthetically designed 2-level stations with modern

    amenities

    Escalators & lifts for commuters convenience

    Facilities for physically challenged commuters

    Access controlled with AFC; smart card tokens for

    ticketing

    State of art security arrangement

    21 min. running time against minimum of 71 min by road

    VAG ~ Salient Feature

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    Metro is bound to change the entire transport scenario ofMumbai

    Mumbai Metro project will be the project of the century,

    the biggest infrastructure project for the city

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