planning for the future - iohrm | appalachian state university...source: state of remote work report...
TRANSCRIPT
Planning for the future
October 11, 2019 Appalachian Human Resources Summit
Parkway Ballroom, Plemmons Student Union
Daniel Manware, Associate, Nuveen Real Estate
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1. Name
2. Company/Industry
3. What do you hope to accomplish from this workshop?
Introductions
Source: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, America's Rental Housing 2017; US Census Bureau
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• What is your company headcount?
• What city is your office located in?
• Any field offices? Where are these field offices located?
• What % of your workforce is comprised of millennials and Gen Z?
• What are your primary recruitment tools?
• Internship program, college recruitment, social media, etc.?
• What are your primary HR issues?
• Do you offer flexibility for quiet work place? Work from home? Easy to work from tech perspective?
• What are the biggest challenges you face as an HR professional when thinking about the
workforce of the future?
Questions
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Demographics are a key megatrend
Source: US Census Bureau
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Generations’ Share of Total US PopulationGeneration Z Millennials Generation X Baby Boomers
Generation Z and Millennials comprise half of the total US population
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Generation Z and Millennials will comprise ~75% of workforce by 2035
1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
1997 - 2015
1981 - 1996
1965 - 1980
1946 - 1964
Gen Xages 38-53
Gen Zages 3 - 21
Millennialsages 22 - 37
WORKING AGE
WORKING AGE
WORKING AGE
WORKING AGEBoomers
ages 54-7245%
59%
69%7 4%
89%
100%
55%
41%
31%26%
11%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Gen Z & Millenials Gen X & Boomers
Working Age by Demographic Generations as % of Working Age Total (25-64)
Source: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, America's Rental Housing 2017; US Census Bureau
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• 21% of millennials say they've changed jobs within the past year,
• More than 3X the number of non-millennials who report the same
• 60% of millennials say they are open to a different job opportunity
• 15 percentage points higher than the percentage of non-millennial workers who say the same
• Not just leaving for high-paying jobs, but for:
• Positive work culture
• Better work-life balance
• Environmental and social issues
Retaining millennials aka the “job hopping generation”
Source: Gallop, 2019
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Younger workforce is technologically-adept
Source: Pew Research Center
A more tech-advanced workforce will impact workplace desires and expectations
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Tomorrow’s offices: technologically-advanced
Source: WeWork
Younger generations will desire
tech-enabled workplaces:
• Applications that allow them to
book conference rooms, help find
nearest lunch locations booking
conference rooms via app
• Social messaging within
application (i.e. Jammer,
community board)
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Tomorrow’s offices: amenity-rich
Wellness Various areas Cafeteria
High design Fitness
Younger generations entering workforce will desire amenity-rich work environments
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Tomorrow’s offices: sustainable
Resource Efficiency Occupant Experience Resilience
• Energy/water efficiency
• Renewable energy sources
• Waste management
• Building technology, EMS, remote
diagnostics
• Net zero carbon/energy
• Health and wellness
• Thermal comfort
• Ventilation/air quality
• Lighting
• Views/Biophilia
• Amenities/communal space
• Noise/acoustics
• IoT
• Decrease grid reliability
• Assess climate change
exposure/vulnerability
• Protect infrastructure
• Future-proof against carbon pricing
and regulation
Younger generations entering workforce will desire sustainable work environments
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Interactive exercise:Your current office space offerings
Is your office space technologically advanced? How so?
Does your office space offer the amenities that millennials and Gen Z will want?
If not, let’s brainstorm ways to make your office offerings more in line with what the next generation of workers wants.
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• Unlimited Paid Time Off
• Work from home
• Dress for your day
• Maternity/Paternity Leave
• Fitness and health
reimbursement
• Providing free breakfast/lunch
• Paid time off for volunteering
Tomorrow’s workplace: progressive HR benefits
Source: Forbes; Business Insider
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Recent study: financial benefits remain top perk
Source: State of Remote Work Report 2019, OWL Labs
44%
54%
60%
61%
63%
68%
76%
81%
81%
88%
88%
40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90%
Transportation benefits
Parental leave
Flexibility in work schedule
Education/training reimbursement
Employee wellness programming
Flexibility in workplace location
Performance-based compensation
Vacation policy
Retirement savings matching
Health insurance
Base compensation
Importance of Different Perks for All Respondents
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Growing college debt continues to ignite younger generations’ financial stress
• Recent studies show that there is a directcorrelation between financial stress andworkplace performance.
• 25% of employees report that issues withpersonal finances have been a distraction atwork.
• Of those distracted, 43% say that they spendthree hours or more at work each week thinkingabout or dealing with issues related to theirpersonal finances, and 15% report missing workoccasionally as a result.
Attracting/retaining talent: tuition reimbursement
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Real Median Household Income in the United States; [MEHOINUSA672N], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N, June 25, 2019.; CollegeBoard, Trends in College Pricing 2017; US Inflation Calculator, 2019 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Serv ices, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group.
0.78%
4.40% 4.45%
Real medianhousehold income
Public four yearinstitution fees
and tuition
Total personalhealthcare
expenditures
10-year growth rates (2008-2017)
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Workers who work remotely are happier, feel more trusted, less stressed, are more inclined
to recommend their employer to a friend, and are less likely to leave than their office bound colleagues
• A study by Owl Labs found that full-time remote workers reported being happy in their jobs 22% more than workers who are never remote.
• Remote workers reported having better work-life balance, focus, and less stress. Companies that give workers more flexibility were more likely to retain them.
• Remote workers will also work longer hours; they reported working over 40 hours per week 43% more than non-remote workers.
Attracting/retaining talent: flexible working solutions
Source: Business Insider; Owl Labshttps://www.businessinsider.com/study -says-remote-workers-are-happier-stay-in-jobs-longer-2019-9
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Interactive exercise:Progressive HR benefits
What are some of your most popular HR benefits?
Have there been any updates/revisions in the last decade?
How do you envision your benefits changing given a more progressive workforce?
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Tomorrow’s cities: Attracting Talent
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U.S. tomorrow’s cities: Investment cities
Source: Nuveen Real Estate
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Identifies those cities best positioned for structural growth
Our proprietary city-focused approach
Source: Nuveen Real Estate
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Our research identifies the characteristics of cities best positioned for structural growth
Our proprietary city-focused approach
Characteristics Metrics Best-Positioned City Examples
Hard Factors
• Scale
• Productivity• Youthfulness
• Affluence
• Population, Size of GDP
• GDP per Capita
• Population <40
• Households >$100K
• London
• New York
• Los Angeles
Soft Factors
• Connectivity
• Technology• Liveability
• International flights
• Innovation index
• Quality of life index
• Boston
• San Francisco
• Sydney
Growth Factors • Population growth
• Economic growth
• Affluence growth
• Perth
• Shanghai
• Austin
Sustainability • Air quality index
• Climate change vulnerability
• Grid carbon intensity
• Brisbane
• Copenhagen
• Auckland
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Interactive exercise:
Show case the Tomorrow’s Cities filtering metrics for all MSAs
What cities do you currently operate in? Let’s see how those cities score within our Framework.
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Net migration rate of Millennials and Generation Z (2020)
Source: StratoDem Analytics
Winners:
• Austin, TX
• Orlando, FL
• Nashville, TN
Losers:
• Youngstown, OH
• Milwaukee, WI
• Scranton, PA
Strongest net-migration experienced in Sunbelt cities
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Growth of educated Millennials and Generation Z (2019-2027)
Source: StratoDem Analytics
Winners:
• Provo, UT
• San Antonio, TX
• Colorado Springs, CO
Losers:
• Philadelphia, PA
• New York, NY
• Erie, PA
Southern and mountain cities are expected to experienced the strongest growth
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Strongest population growth expected in South, weakest (negative) in North
Tomorrow’s cities: Long-Term Population Growth (2010-2030)
Source: Moody’s Analy tics
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Top 3:
1) Austin, TX – 67%
2) Orlando, FL – 57%
3) Las Vegas, NV – 55%
Bottom 3:
33) New York, NY – 4%
34) Honolulu, HI – 4%
35) Chicago, IL – -1%
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Interactive exercise:StratoDem Analytics custom query tool
Showcase the ability to forecast demographic trends using StratoDem Analytics (AI based tool).
Chosen participants can generate their own question and the group will analyze the results.
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Strongest net-migration experienced in South and WestTomorrow’s cities: Net Migration (2018)
Source: Moodu’s Analy tics
Top 3:
1) Orlando, FL – 1.9%
2) Las Vegas, NV – 1.7%
3) Austin, TX – 1.7%
Bottom 3:
33) Los Angeles, CA – -0.6%
34) Chicago, IL – -0.6%
35) Honolulu, HI – -1%-1.5%
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0.5%
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College debt will continue to hinder younger generations
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel / Equifax
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
in $
B
Total student loan balances by age group
60+
50-59
40-49
30-39
under 30
Student debt burdens influence where younger generations can afford to live.
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22.5% millennials are living at home (up 9% since 2005)
Many millennials are living at home until they can afford to move
Source: Zillow Research
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
New York
Los Angeles
San Diego
Boston
Tampa
San Jose
San Francisco
Phoenix
Dallas
Charlotte
Raleigh
Austin
Share of millennials living w/ parent(s) by metro
U.S. Average: 22.5%
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If/when they move out, they need roommates to reduce the cost
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and US Census Bureau
16%
19%20%
18%
24% 24%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
South Northeast West
% of Under 34 households with roommates by region
2005 2017
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States with low (or no) personal income tax rates like Nevada and Texas are expected to experience strong population growth in the medium term.
States with high personal income tax rates like Connecticut and Maine are expected to experience weak population growth in the medium term.
Affordability will impact where younger generation move
Source: StratoDem Analytics, 2019Note: Straight-line average of personal income tax rate
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
State Population Growth (2020-2027) vs. 2019 Average Personal Income Tax Rate
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Northeast and California cities are amongst the most expensive places to live while Sunbelt cities are amongst the least expensive.
High cost of living:
• San Jose, CA
• Santa Cruz, CA
• Honolulu, HI
• Santa Maria, CA
• San Diego, CA
• Fairfield County, CT
• Portland, OR
Younger generations will desire a low cost of living
Source: Moody’s Analy tics
Low cost of living:
• Greenville, NC
• Greensboro-High Point, NC
• Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
• Memphis, TN-40
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Moody's Analytics': Cost of living index relative to US
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While traditional office markets like NY and LA have the most apartment units, Atlanta and
Phoenix make the top 10.
Where are the most apartment units in US?
Source: CBRE-EA, 2019
$0
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$2,500
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Largest US Apartment Markets
Inventory (units) (L) Rent ($/unit) (R)
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What does the rest of the U.S. apartment landscape look like?
Source: CBRE-EA, Q2 2019
New YorkLos Angeles
Chicago
Houston
Washington, DC
Dallas
Boston
Atlanta
Seattle
Phoenix
Denv er
Philadelphia
Detroit
San Diego
MiamiMinneapolis
Orange CountyTampa
San Francisco
Austin
Clev eland
Orlando
Baltimore
Oakland
Portland
Fort Lauderdale
San Antonio
Las Vegas
Fort Worth
Riv ersideNewark
Charlotte
Columbus
San JoseCincinnati
Sacramento
Indianapolis
Kansas City
St. Louis
Nashville
Raleigh
PittsburghNorfolk
West Palm Beach
Prov idence
Jacksonville
Salt Lake CityMemphis
Louisv ille
Hartford
Honolulu
Greensboro
Oklahoma City
Long Island
Richmond
Tucson
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US Apartment Markets: Inventory vs. Rent(minus top 10)
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Where in the city will they want to live/work?
• Live-Work-Play areas
• Walking distance to restaurants, bars,
fitness studios, etc.
• Compatible location for ride sharing applications (Uber, Lyft, etc.)
• Close proximity to public transportation
Seaport Boston
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Interactive exercise:PlacerAI demonstration
Identify a Gen Z/millennial “hot spot” in your city and we will analyze real-time foot traffic analytics to see where they are going/coming from to better understand where this generation spends its time in your city.
How can your firm take advantage of the live-work-play options within your city?
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Real estate investments are subject to various risks including fluctuations in property values, higher expenses or lower income than expected, and potential environmental problems and liability.
This material is not intended to be a recommendation or investment advice, does not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell securities, and is not provided in a fiduciary capacity. The information provided does not take
into account the specific objectives or circumstances of any particular investor, or suggest any specific course of action. Financial professionals should independently evaluate the risks associated with products or
services and exercise independent judgment with respect to their clients.
Nuveen Real Estate is a real estate investment management holding company owned by Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America (TIAA). Nuveen Real Estate securities products distributed in North
America are advised by UK regulated subsidiaries or Nuveen Alternatives Advisors, LLC, a registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of TIAA.
The information presented in these materials is believed to be materially correct as at the date hereof, but no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of this
information. Data was taken from sources deemed reliable, but cannot guarantee its accuracy. The
statements contained herein reflect opinions as of the date written and are subject to change without further notice. Nothing set out in these materials is or shall be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the
past or future
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