playing the numbers
DESCRIPTION
Playing the Numbers. Success from Persistence. Getting to PARIS. Placing Penny Bets How Much to Open Shutout The Big NO The Why (Not) Going for the Action. Iowa Hold ‘ Em Smart Money Ace in the Hole The Parlay Come on Baby!. Placing Penny Bets. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Playing the Numbers
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Success from Persistence
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Getting to PARIS
• Placing Penny Bets• How Much to Open• Shutout• The Big NO• The Why (Not)• Going for the Action
• Iowa Hold ‘Em• Smart Money• Ace in the Hole• The Parlay• Come on Baby!
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Placing Penny Bets
• 1997 participated in a small pilot for TANF– 53 matches – none of them an Iowa claim– Cumbersome data manipulation
• Deemed cost/benefit loss• Lost the penny toss
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How Much to Open
2005 • PARIS Board visit – calls - emails• National Directory of New Hires
– Labor intensive – negative results– Expensive data– Negatively impacted desire for PARIS
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SHUTOUT
• 2006 – Developed a proposal for one of the PARIS implementation grants
• Limited internal support• Some technical assistance• Got to the window too late
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The BIG NO
• PARIS Board visit• DC Iowa office questions• Washington State (Bill) questions• Extensive report in response to Dept
Inspections and Appeals and Governor’s office
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The Big NO!!
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The Why (Not)
• Quality Control error rates• Known to Agency• Confidentiality• Jockeying for IT position• Waiting on technology• Lack of resources to work the data
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Going for the Action2009 Breakthrough!
– MOU signed for Interstate and VA– Interstate data pilot
2010 Charter and Study Group!CMS Directors Letter
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Iowa Hold ‘Em
• Manual data review• Inability to act on data• Folded on new VA MOU• Minimum required effort• Responding only to other States• Cumbersome PARIS “Hotline”
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Smart Money
• Data wise guy • Triple state matches• Double SNAP matches • SNAP out of state usage
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Ace in the Hole
• Let the data do the talking• Investigators on board• Wisconsin data exchange• Articulating the Dream
– Again and again and again…….
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The Parlay
• It’s ALL about Program Integrity• Integrated Claims Unit• VA interest• Support grows
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Come On and Make My Day
• Getting the funding• Design event• Building the Unit• Implementation
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State Matches
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Data Submitted
SSN Submitte
d Matches
2 + Other States
30 Day Delay
MatchesMay-09 494,612 2836 2604Aug-09 511,958 4142 30 3089Nov-10 527,284 3816 34 975Feb-10 541,444 4318 33 3710
May-10 557,161 3545 32 2947Aug-10 563,092 4812 31 4797Nov-10 581,967 4486 41 3636Feb-11 584,702 4486 36 4247
May-11 598,613 4338 30 3413Aug-11 600,175 5818 33 4470Nov-11 612,631 0 0 0