pogs might fly - results internationalresultsig.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/bulletin-61.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
On Sunday 28th July the structure of the
marcoms world changed forever. The
cynics were quick to emerge with a
million and one reasons why the deal
was a bad thing. For a while it seemed
as if Messrs Levy and Wren were alone
in extolling the benefits of the new
Publicis Omnicom Group (POG).
Now that the shock has subsided, what does a
cool-headed review of this audacious transaction
reveal?
The trumpeted $500m annual cost savings is a big
number. However there’s something a bit suspect in
the conveniently round number that smacks of
approximation. Has the deal been properly thought
through? It’s hard to say. But then again, the cost
savings and synergies were never the overriding
reason for doing a deal of this kind.
There’s likely to be a bigger reason at play and one
that very few people are talking about. That is the
rapidly changing face of marcoms and the growing
influence of technology. The likes of Publicis and
Omnicom see squaring up to the media behemoths,
Google and Facebook as a key priority. The two
platforms are now firmly at the centre of the
marcoms industry and increasingly sucking up huge
www.resultsig.com ONE
Continued on page two
Contents:
POGs might fly .................................1 & 2
What’s driving current M&A? .........2 & 3
Master Class No 1: Asia Pacific ......4 & 5
Amaze interview ......................................6
Next generation eCommerce .................7
Building value ..........................................8
Succession planning ...............................9
Is there an aim to AIM?..........................10
Our recent transactions .........................11
The Rainbow Trust .................................11
The team ...............................................12
POGs might fly
Bulletin
Issue 61
3rd Quarter
The leading advisor to companies seeking
to build and realise value in the global
marketing communications, technology
and healthcare industries.
number of marcoms dollars from the budgets
agency networks have previously had more or less
to themselves.
The agency world needs to deal with this to find new
ways of both outwitting and collaborating with these
new giants as well as new ways of delivering brilliant
campaigns through the platforms and thereby
preserving marketing dollars for themselves. In the
face of such challenges clearly size is key and the
marriage of Publicis and Omnicom provides the
necessary scale. Technology delivers the Holy Grail
that is ROI and now, perhaps for the first time ever,
Wren and Levy’s combined networks will mean the
marcoms industry has a solid riposte to Lord
Leverhulme’s observation that “Half the money I
spend on advertising is wasted, and the problem is I
do not know which half.”
And what of the naysayers who predict trouble
ahead? As Barack Obama said, hope is not a
strategy. Wren and Levy will be working on much
more than hope to make the deal work and you can
bet your life that once this thing gets on the rails and
is rolling there will be no stopping its momentum as
well as its impact on the broader industry. A mould-
breaking deal of this kind makes the unthinkable
thinkable and there will be many independent
agency and network CEOs who will be reflecting on
alliances and mergers in new and creative ways.
The markets have a sense of this and already the
share prices of Havas and IPG have jumped up
although those of Publicis and Omnicom have
barely moved.
We are likely to see the war for talent heat up as a
result of this deal. The one place you wouldn’t want
to be right now is bang in the middle of senior
management at either network. There will be
massive uncertainty for months if not years to come
TWO www.resultsig.com
Continued from page one
POGs might fly
and a major lack of clarity around roles going
forward. We are likely to see quality people spinning
out and forming new groups as well as moving on
to competitors.
The client conflict issue however has probably been
overplayed. Our industry has had to deal with this
for generations and has, as a result, developed
pretty watertight strategies. It’s highly unlikely that
major clients are suddenly going to abandon ship.
There are relationships in place with people they
really rate and who do good work. More to the point
clients may well see the deal as an opportunity to
push down rates. When millions of dollars of cost
savings are being talked about who wouldn’t want a
share of that! Most clients will probably adopt a ‘wait
and see’ stance.
If you would like to discuss this article, please
contact Keith Hunt at [email protected]
What’s driving current M&A?
H1 2013 highlights:
1. Volume and value of deals hit record
levels in H1
2. Wide range of buyers
3. Chinese buyers make their mark
4. Digital attracts most deals - mobile
the strongest sub-sector
In H1 2013, we tracked 470 M&A deals globally (228
in Q1 and 242 in Q2) across the marcoms, adtech
and related technology industries. At the current run
rate we will undoubtedly see another strong year
and be easily on course to beat the 652 deals
completed in 2012.
Total disclosed deal value to date is USD $12.2bn
with a very strong showing in Q2 representing the
lion’s share with USD $10bn. The 10 largest deals
by value happened in Q2, with June the most active
month, both in terms of deal volume and value. But
who’s doing the biggest deals, who’s doing the most
and who are the most interesting buyers in the
sector?
Mega deals
So where did we see the biggest deals? Adtech
leads the way on size with average transaction value
at USD $1bn. But the news that got everyone talking
was Salesforce.com’s acquisition of ExactTarget, a
provider of marketing automation software, for a cool
USD $2.5bn.
The deal means we’ll probably see other leading
software vendors such as Oracle, IBM, Adobe and
Microsoft buying assets to bulk up their marketing
technology offers, indicative of the boom in cloud-
based marketing software.
Other major news in this space in H1 2013 include
Google’s USD $1.3bn acquisition of Waze Mobile, a
social mobile application that enables drivers to use
real-time road intelligence, and Yahoo’s USD $1.1bn
acquisition of Tumblr, the micro-blogging social
network. Until its headline-grabbing acquisition of
ExactTarget, Salesforce.com’s largest and most
recent acquisition in the space was Buddy Media for
USD $689m in 2012.
Notable deals and buyers
Management consultants entered the fray big time in
early May when Accenture made a significant
statement of intent about expanding its digital and
marketing capabilities with the acquisition of Fjord, a
global service design consultancy. If that wasn’t
enough to raise eyebrows, in the same month
Accenture bought Acquity Group, the second-largest
independent digital marketing company in the United
States, for USD $317m and won a BMW pitch to act
as the lead consultancy in managing its digital
marketing efforts. We can expect to see more of the
same from these global consulting brands.
Another new left field entrant was BlueFocus, a
leading Chinese PR firm, who made their mark in
April. Their first acquisition, Tibet Shannan East Bojie
Advertisement Co., a Chinese ad agency in China,
for £167m, while large, could easily have slipped
under the radar. But it was BlueFocus’ audacious
acquisition of a 19.8% stake in Huntsworth for
£36.5m that took many commentators by surprise
and truly put them on the map. The deal, which has
the potential to transform the fortunes of Huntsworth,
could signal a new order in the global PR industry.
A quick bit of digging revealed that in the past
BlueFocus had been a potential acquisition target for
Huntsworth as part of their overseas ambitions. The
irony is apparent for all to see.
We believe the Chinese will continue to make their
mark and that these deals may be just the tip of the
iceberg. There is a sense that they have a longer
erica
AfricaSouth
America
UK
4
Middle East
7
Western Europe
65
57
79Eastern Europe
8
www.resultsig.com THREE
term mindset than some UK and US acquirers and
are keen to build long term relationships and
commitments as part of an ambition to build a
serious world-class network.
Staying with the Chinese, Alibaba, the Chinese B2B
eMarketplace, also made two noteworthy
investments to strengthen existing operations in
China. The first was the purchase of an 18% stake
in Sina Weibo, a leading social network in China for
USD $586m and the second a 28% stake in
AutoNavi Holdings, a provider of digital map content
and navigation and location-based solutions, for
USD $294m.
Most active buyers
WPP continues to be the most prolific buyer with 21
deals, driven by its twin focus of strengthening its
digital capabilities and growth in the emerging
markets of South America and Asia-Pacific. In South
America, it acquired a 20% share of Globant, a
Buenos Aires-based technology services business,
for £43m. In China, TNS/Kantar acquired Sinotrust,
a provider of market research, from Experian plc. In
the UK WPP acquired Salmon, a leading
eCommerce digital agency, one of only a few deals it
has completed in the UK in recent times.
Interestingly, WPP’s new venture arm, WPP Venture –
led by Tom Bedecarré, former CEO and the current
Chairman of AKQA - made two significant investments:
Fullscreen, which offers innovative technology and
premium services to content creators and the world's
leading brands; and Muzy, an early-stage micro-
blogging service focused on mobile content creation.
This is further evidence of the lab-style approach to
innovation that many of the more traditional players are
building in an effort to future proof their businesses and
offer unique value to clients.
Dentsu ranks as the second most active, following
its acquisition of Aegis with 12 deals, followed by
Yahoo with 8 and IPG with 6.
Yet if you look beyond these top 4 serial acquirers
there is a vast range of buyers. 3 of these did 5
deals each, 2 did 4 deals, 5 did 3 deals and 30
buyers did just 2 deals each. That leaves 325 with
just 1 deal each: 40 of these were private equity
backed and 9 were management buy-outs without
third-party funding. 50 were in the adtech space and
33 in the software sector. It’s a clear lesson that
when looking to sell a business it’s important to cast
the net widely and globally. And while Results has
only recently starting breaking deals down in this
way, we suspect the buyer landscape has probably
always been pretty fragmented.
Sectors
Mobile was the most active sector for acquisitions of
targets. Driven by lots of what is referred to as
'acqui-hires’, in other words companies that are
bought for their people. Yahoo, Facebook and
Google have been very active in the US buying
businesses characterised by tech engineers with
specialist mobile skills.
Geography
The largest number of deals are still done in North
America with 101 in Q1 and 118 in Q2, way ahead
H1 2013 Global M&A DealsDeal Statistics
geographical split
monthly4
top 10 most active sectors
deal type
Private Equity backed deals47
Cross border deals
143
by disclosed value
US$$12.2 bn
$
volume of deals
470Mar 13Feb 13
Jan 13
796584
North America
AfricaSouthAmerica
UK
219
9 4
Middle East
7
Western Europe
65
APAC
57
Canada
2279 Eastern Europe
8
most active buyers
WPP
Dentsu AegisYahoo
IPG
GfK
Omnicom
Salesforce.comTwitter Adobe
21
128
6
5
5
5
4 4 3
$2.2bnQ1
17Q1
72Q1
228Q1
1118645
Jun 13May 13
Apr 13
242Q2
Mobile - 52 deals
Big Data & Analytics - 37 deals
Public Relations - 34 deals
Website Design & Build - 29 deals
Social Media / Social CRM - 28 deals
Search - 25 deals
Advertising Technology - 23 deals
eCommerce - 21 deals
Events & Experiential - 17 deals
Research - 14 deals
30Q2
$10bnQ2
71Q2
of 2012 which registered a total of 261 deals. The
UK is still strong; Q2 with 32 deals was a little
lower than Q1 with 47 but slightly ahead of 2012,
which registered 144 deals for the whole year.
Western Europe experienced its strongest quarter
in Q2 with 38 deals and was ahead of Q1 when 27
deals were done. Based on the current run rate,
2013 looks set to outperform 2012, which
registered 82 deals for the whole year.
Private Equity
In the first half of the year we have seen 47 private
equity backed deals with 17 in Q1 and 30 in Q2. At
the current run rate, this may be down on 2012,
which recorded 107 deals.
The largest of these deals so far this year is
Onex Corp’s Investor buy-out of Nielsen
Expositions; the US-based operator of B2B trade
shows, from Nielsen Holdings for $950m. With
stronger market conditions and strategic buyers
with an appetite to expand their market share,
private equity has been busy doing the reverse
and focusing on exiting their portfolio. CMBOR
(Centre for Management Buyout Research)
recently reported that exits out-number buyouts
by 41% thanks to a new listings deluge. In the
UK private equity market the most notable exit
was Isis Equity Partners’ sale of LBM Direct
Marketing to Stream Global Services Inc. for
£29m, representing a 9 times return on their
investment.
If you would like to discuss this article further please
contact Afsor Miah at [email protected]
FOUR www.resultsig.com
It would have been impossible not to
notice the huge changes that have
occurred throughout Asia Pacific over
the past 20 years, and the increasing
impact and influence of the region on
the rest of the world. The geopolitical
importance of Asia is growing. There is
an increasing economic power shift
from the West to the East. The
significance and the many
consequences of this shift are highly
complex raising questions about the
future interdependency of the West
and East.
Changes are accelerating as half the world’s
population join the middle class, developing an ever
increasing appetite for consumer and branded
goods. The two central socio-economic drivers are
the largest urban migration in history, coupled with
declining dependency rates; simultaneous labor
force growth and rapidly declining birth rates. The
wider global economy is now being increasingly
driven by the region, led by China, which is already
the second largest economy in the world and is on
course to be the largest by 2020 – in only seven
years time. Most interesting is that never before in
history has the largest economy been a developing
one rather than a developed one, is not western,
and is the country with the largest population.
But any review of Asia Pacific must be far more
than China’s incredible growth story, which often
over-shadows the other changes rapidly taking
place - the Asia Development Bank predicts that the
region will account for over half of global output by
the middle of this century. McKinsey noted that
whilst the vibrancy of emerging-market growth will
not be the only major disruption reshaping the
global economy in the next ten years, it may prove
to be the most profound. This decade will mark the
tipping point in a fundamental long-term economic
rebalancing that will likely leave traditional Western
economies with a lower share of global GDP in
2050 than they had in 1700.
The scale of the region and the increasing global
dependence on key markets, coupled with many
more prosperous consumers who are digitally
connected, is resulting in significantly increasing
brand communication budgets and, in turn, is
fuelling a major increase in the marcoms sector.
This is all leading to significant opportunities for
International buyers and leading quality, well-
focused independent firms.
Asia Pacific is a huge and diverse area. The flight
time from Delhi to Manila is 8 hours, Sydney to
Tokyo 11.75 hours (the same as London to
Bangkok) and it is diverse in terms of culture,
ethnicity, religion, economic development,
governance and communication landscapes. In
order to make this more manageable, we divide the
region into three groupings:
North Asia:
With all the focus on China, it
is sometimes forgotten that
other areas of North Asia,
including Japan and South
Korea, are also very important
to the global economy with
their global brands that are often manufactured
locally in the US and Europe.
In recent years, Japan has been a hot bed for
mobile innovation, which is fuelling a more rapid rise
in eCommerce. Rakuten, one of the largest
eCommerce companies has been growing fast
through overseas M&A activity including; Play.com,
But.com, Kobo and Pinterest.
The Hermit Kingdom, as pre-modern Korea was
called, is certainly no hermit any more. Although
totally devastated in the Korean War, South Korea
has grown to be the world’s 15th largest economy,
with astute government planning encouraging the
growth of leading companies in each sector. Once
only dominant in their home market, these firms are
increasingly powerful on the global stage, with
Samsung now the leading mobile device
manufacturer in the world and Hyundai/Kia looking
increasingly strong in the automobile sector.
South Korea also now has the best digital
ecosystem in the world and is facilitating multiplayer
online role-playing game (MMORPG) innovations,
creating new human-to-human relationships. Their
digital ecosystem provides a window to the future
for the rest of the world!
In China, whilst growth is dropping below the
10%+ level, it still has the potential to grow
faster domestically going west within its own
borders. We see Blue Focus, China’s leading
marketing communications group, flexing its
muscles with the acquisition of almost 20% of
Huntsworth earlier this year. Growth of North
Asian companies overseas is an increasing trend
following Dentsu’s acquisition of Aegis and
Korea’s, Innocean stating that Europe is the next
geographic focus.
Master Class Series No1: Asia Pacific
Country Mobile Population % of 3G/4G % of Sources Lastsubscriptions in millions population subscriptions population Subs; 3G subs updatein millions Source: in millions
World Bank
World 6,385m 6,973.7m 98.0% 2,096m 30.1% ITU Feb 13Informa WCIS Dec 12
1. China 1,155.3m 1,344.1m 85.9% 293.0m 21.8% China MobileChina Unicom Apr 13China Telecom
2. India Active: 699m 1,241m 73.1% 70.6m 6% TRAI Sept 12Total: 906.6m Informa WCIS Dec 12
3. USA 321.7m 311.6m 103.3% 256.0m 81% CTAI Jun 12Informa WCIS Dec 12
4. Indonesia 260m 242.3m 107.3% 47.6m 19% BuddeCom May 12Informa WCIS Dec 12
5. Brazil 259.3m 196.7m 131.8% 65.5m 33.3% Anatel/Teleco Oct 12Anatel/Teleco
6. Russia 227.1m 141.9m 160% 27.0m 19% WirelessIntelligence Jun 12Informa WCIS Dec 12
7. Japan 128.4m 127.8m 100.5% 104.4m 81.7% TCA Oct 12Mobile Internet TCASubs
8. Pakistan 120.5m 176.7m 68.6% N/A N/A Anatel/Teleco Oct 12Anatel/Teleco
9. Germany 112.7m 81.7m 137.9% 53.2m 65% Bundesnetzagentur Q1 13Informa WCIS Dec 12
10. Nigeria Active: 106.9m 162.5m 65.8% 10.5m 6% NCC Sept 12Total: 143m Informa WCIS Dec 12
The 100 million club: The top 10 mobile markets by no. of subscriptions
Note: Informa 3G stats are forecasted estimates for Dec 12. Data compiled by mobiThinking
“As can be imagined, with the rapiddevelopment of the region, one ofthe biggest issues is talent –retention and recruitment. M&A hasbeen used by some as a source ofentrepreneurial spirit to refresh andact as a game changer.
A good example of this is themerger between McCann Australiaand SMART, an Australian creativeagency which was the catalyst for atransformation in McCann's creativeprowess. With their Dumb Ways toDie campaign, they not only tookCannes by storm but it is now acampaign from Asia Pacific that isknown in every corner of the world!Results International is proud tohave advised McCann on thistransaction, leading to awardwinning work which has also beenmost effective in reducing accidentsfor the client, Metro Trains inMelbourne.”
China already has the second largest population of
e-shoppers in the world (150 million) growing at
30% Y0Y with leading platforms all being domestic.
It is becoming the largest Smartphone market in the
world (250 million devices) as mobile is used far
more than PCs to connect to the Internet.
South Asia:
South Asia is often referred to
as the Indian subcontinent.
The word ‘subcontinent’
provides a clue as to the size
(almost 1.8 billion people) and
variety of this region - India is by far the major
economy and market. But whether it is India,
Pakistan, Bangladesh or Sri Lanka, democracy, civil
and commercial law-based societies and market-
based economies have taken root though with
different levels of development. Recognising the
tremendous potential of this region as a whole, it
has set up the South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC). SAARC is dedicated to
economic, technological, social, and cultural
development emphasising collective self-reliance.
Once the pan-SAARC economic region becomes a
reality, it will offer one of the world’s largest
consumer markets and a commensurate marcoms
industry.
Although India’s GDP growth rate has reduced to
around 6% from the highs of 9 – 10% of a few
years ago, it is now the 9th largest economy in the
world and is expected to equal the size of the US
economy by 2050.
Mass media still accounts for 90%+ of the marcoms
industry share but most exciting is the fast growth of
digital and exponential indicating the advertiser’s
increasing need for measurable ROI on his
marcoms investment.
Pakistan is currently the world’s 25th largest
economy, growing at 3% per annum and has been
ranked in the Goldman Sachs ‘Next Eleven’
emerging markets with its new government being
elected on a mandate to strengthen and grow the
economy and infrastructure.
Sri Lanka continues to experience strong economic
growth following the end of the 26-year conflict with
the Liberation Tigers with a strong 7% GDP growth
forecast for 2013.
ASEAN and Australia
Australia, though
geographically linked to South
East Asia, is a local anomaly,
with a relatively small
population, a developed
economy, national western style culture and a
mature marketing communications sector. Saying
that, it is a large (Perth in the West is closer to
Singapore than Sydney), commodity rich continent
www.resultsig.com FIVE
Global Africa Asia Europe North America Oceana South America
MobilePageviews 10.1% 12.9% 18.0% 5.1% 8.6% 7.5% 2.8%MAY 2012
MobilePageviews 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 2.7% 7.8% 4.8% 2.8%MAY 2011
Proportion of global web pageviews from mobile devices, by region
food exporter to Asia, which ranks the 12th
economy in the world.
Real growth in the region is being seen in the
ASEANs.
ASEAN is a diverse grouping of 10 primarily
emerging markets (Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam,
Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, Myanmar,
Cambodia, Laos and Brunei).
As with all of Asia, ASEAN is diverse in terms of
size, ethnicity, religion and governance, and thus
communication landscapes, but represents an
increasing importance to the world economy with its
Free Trade Agreement in place for 2015. Today, it
has a population of 600 million, 144 million of which
are middle class, estimated to rise to 400 million by
2020, consequently gaining significance importance
along with the North and South of the region.
Singapore is the rich city-state within ASEAN, now
ranking sixth highest GDP per capita in the world.
Given Singapore's increasingly valuable position as
a regional hub for knowledge and information, it has
become the ‘go to’ region for consumer and
technology firms and agency groups and networks.
The strong talent base and Government led
business friendly environment leads to a high
number of start-ups across the marketing and
technology sectors stimulating significant levels of
M&A activity.
Indonesia, with Singapore, forms the axis at the
heart of ASEAN and is an opposite in most areas.
It is the fourth largest country in the world with a
population of 244 million, ranking only 155th in GDP
per capita.
It is a country of great potential with a stable
democratic government, consumption driven and
resource rich, with its middle-class projected to
double from 74 to 141 million by 2020. The young,
increasingly affluent and tech-savvy have led to an
explosion in mobile devices and form the largest
Facebook community in the world.
As key components of the Asian Tigers, Thailand
and Malaysia continue to diversify their economies
and significantly grow each year and with young,
educated and highly motivated populations,
Vietnam and the Philippines are gaining more
marcoms interest.
The world has great expectations for Myanmar as it
re-joins the global economy after decades of
isolation.
All the pieces are in place for Asia Pacific to
continue its meteoric rise in importance with many
commentators picking up on the rebalancing of East
and West, referring to this millennium as the Asian
Century.
If you would like to discuss this article please
contact Andrew Kefford at [email protected]
Amaze was acquired by St. Ives in March of
this year, becoming a key pillar of their
marketing services offering. Give us a quick
overview of St. Ives strategy in marketing
services and how Amaze fits in?
St. Ives Group delivers marketing solutions and
publishing services. Whilst publishing services
continue to be a core part of the St. Ives offering,
the Group is undertaking a strategic
repositioning to significantly grow its marketing
services business. The marketing services’
division currently accounts for around 30% of
total revenue and is targeted to reach 40% by
the end of the next financial year.
The Group’s strategy is to build core
competencies across a range of marketing and
technology services that are relevant for today’s
businesses. At the heart of this strategy is to
develop a portfolio of businesses that share
common philosophies around customer insight
and emerging market forces, using this
knowledge and insight to create effective
solutions for clients.
In joining St. Ives, Amaze became a fourth
“digital” pillar in their marketing services division.
The other 3 pillars being: data marketing,
research and consultancy and field marketing.
What was exciting about joining an emerging
force in marketing services such as St. Ives
versus one of the global networks?
During our search we met with a number of
different companies ranging from the largest
advertising networks, through to smaller
networks, private equity houses and
consultancies.
What excited us about joining St. Ives was that
they wanted to keep the Amaze brand and
business as an entity in its own right. Other
options would have seen us subsumed into a
wider business or heavily restricted by controls
from Group management. It was incredibly
important to us to retain this autonomy,
particularly as we are seeing a lot of businesses
losing talent as a result of their M&A activity.
That, and a commitment to invest in the
business’s growth plans, were the key reasons we
were attracted to St. Ives. Plus, they are really nice
people and there was a good cultural fit!
What St. Ives are doing in marketing services is
relatively new so we are joining pretty much at
the start and we will have a true opportunity to
drive what St. Ives becomes moving forward.
You’ve been with Amaze since 1999 and been
CEO of the whole group since 2011. How
have the opportunities open to Amaze
changed since becoming part of St. Ives?
Becoming part of the St. Ives Group provides us
with the support and investment to accelerate
our growth (both organically and through
acquisition) and expand into new territories. This
is something we have been wanting to do for
some time.
Also, by joining up our services with the other
companies within the St. Ives group we can
augment our skills and offer a broader range of
services to our clients. For example, Incite for
global market research, Occam for customer
segmentation and CRM and Pragma for retail
consultancy.
St. Ives is a relatively new entrant to
marketing services. How have some of the
huge shifts in the market, such as the rise of
social media and tablets, created
opportunities for players such as St. Ives to
position itself to compete with the global
networks?
The world is changing quickly and we are looking
to create a new type of agency network to be
able to deliver services and solutions for the
future.
As a business, we have digital in our DNA and
deep understanding of how technology is
changing and impacting not just marketing and
communications but also business. The strategic
capability of St. Ives lends itself not just to
marketing and communications but also to the
challenges around transformation of the business
model e.g. data and change consultancy.
Bringing together those types of services through
offering a blend of agency and consultancy skills
is a very interesting proposition and gives us a
very different outlook to the global networks.
Please contact Julie Langley, the advisor on the
deal, at [email protected] for more details.
Amaze Interview: Natalie Gross, CEO of Amaze
SIX www.resultsig.com
Results International acted for Hasgrove Plc
has been acquired by
St Ives Group
www.resultsig.com SEVEN
SAP’s recent acquisition of Hybris
highlighted a trend we have been
seeing for some time; eCommerce
becoming a key strategic focus for
both enterprise software, consultancies
and marcoms groups. Of course it’s
not news that eCommerce is growing
at the expense of offline retailing.
eCommerce is growing at around 12-
15% per annum in the US and
Western Europe (and twice that in Asia
Pacific), compared to offline retail
growth of around 5%, and accounts for
around 10% of all retail sales in those
markets.
This trend spurred a flurry of eCommerce tech
transactions a few years ago such as eBay’s
acquisition of GSI Commerce, Oracle’s acquisition
of ATG, and IBM’s acquisition of Sterling
Commerce. However there appears to be a new
wave of activity and interest over the past few
quarters, and the focus and rationale behind this
activity has moved on from those earlier
acquisitions. Whereas eCommerce software started
life to manage store webfronts, shopping carts and
payments, the more recent deals have been driven
by the need to manage the full spectrum of
customer engagement across web, mobile, store,
contact centre and other touch points. eCommerce
is now increasingly seen as the platform for
managing all customer interactions whatever the
touchpoint, for collating data across all channels,
and then optimising those interactions.
Part of SAP’s commentary around Hybris refers to
the integration with its HANA data analytics
capabilities, to help companies spot purchasing
trends and target customers with incentives in real-
time. The company also talked about the acquisition
completing “the final mile to the customer”, hence
blurring the historical distinction between B2B and
B2C channels. This in turn ties in with the recent
spate of acquisitions in marketing automation – at
the most simple level, knowing what email to send
when, to whom and with what offers – and at a
more complex level managing marketing
messaging seamlessly across all channels.
All the enterprise software vendors have been
putting eCommerce at the heart of the offerings, but
with slightly different emphasis. IBM has been
putting its big data and predictive analytics platforms
at the heart of its Smarter Commerce and
Enterprise Marketing Management suite, using this
data layer to power, for example, Unica’s marketing
automation engine. Oracle’s focus has put more
emphasis on the integration with CRM, as of course
has Salesforce. NetSuite has also recently put
eCommerce at the forefront of its strategy with its
acquisitions of Retail Anywhere and OrderMotion,
emphasising the integration with its core ERP
offering. But the common theme has been to enable
their customers to manage the transition to multi-
channel retailing, where a customer might visit a
store, browse reviews on their mobile device, and
contact a call centre before purchasing online.
Looking at the public markets, DemandWare which
IPO’d in March of last year has been one of the
best performers amongst the SaaS businesses
which have gone public in the US over the last
couple of years. The company IPO’d at $16 a share
and, at the time of going to print, was trading at over
$40. There is clearly a takeover premium factored
into the price (the stock traded at $30 the day
before the Hybris deal was announced) but it also
reflects the increased perception of eCommerce
technology as a strategic component in the
optimisation of multi-channel retailing.
The interest in eCommerce is not limited to the
enterprise software vendors. WPP’s recent
acquisition of Salmon, an eCommerce consultancy,
was the latest in a line of eCommerce related
transactions and investments. Similarly Accenture
recently paid $315 million to acquire Acquity, a large
eCommerce agency and implementation business.
This is perhaps not surprising. Gartner recently
estimated that the eCommerce software market is
worth $3 billion annually – in itself a large figure –
but the related services and consultancy market is
worth 10x that amount.
One area that will be interesting to observe is how
far the enterprise software vendors move into
consulting (and vice versa; how far the services
players, whether consultants or agencies, move into
software). Whilst the hype is all around pure
software, we see an increasing number of genuinely
hybrid models where consulting services are used
to ensure the technology adds value and is sticky.
So what next for the enterprise software vendors
and other players in the multi-channel retailing
sector. Being able to collect data across channels,
whether online or offline, and attribute that data to
an identified individual and deliver actionable insight
to advertisers will continue to dominate.
We expect to see continued M&A activity driven by
both tech and consulting businesses across areas
such as measurement, attribution, campaign
management, predictive analytics and marketing
automation.
If you would like to discuss this article please
contact Julie Langley at [email protected]
Next generation eCommercedriving recent M&A activity
EIGHT www.resultsig.com
Have there ever been more
demanding conditions for marketing
agency CEOs? Setting to one side
the pervasive lingering shadow cast
by the storm clouds of the global
economic crisis and the huge impact
this has had on marketing models
and budgets since 2008, other
specific developments in the industry
have compounded the uncertainty.
Much has been made of the rise of
the role of technology in marketing,
which continues to revolutionise and
open all manner of new possibilities to
brands and agencies alike.
But will algorithms eventually replace people in
marketing? The romantic in me likes to think not, but
whatever the answer to the question it will take many
years for an answer to become clear and
unequivocal. In the meantime, however, one other
more traditional force – and one that has always
allied data, insights and systems if not ‘technology’ –
is quietly and discretely using the powershift towards
a more scientific approach to solving marketing
challenges, to build itself a cast iron position in the
high value segment of the industry. The management
consultants.
The management consulting industry occupies a
broad space and there’s no doubt at all that its
particular focus on business data and the business-
critical insights that can gleaned from them – together
with the monumental scope of programmes that the
Fortune 500 and equivalent corporations are
prepared to commission against such insights – has
brought the worlds of pure play consulting and
strategic marketing inexorably and irreversibly
together.
We shouldn’t be surprised that the likes of Accenture
and PwC are becoming recurring features as
acquirers on the marcoms M&A league tables. The
opportunity is there for them to complete the
consulting jigsaw but they can’t do it all on their own -
the talent business behind these organisations
doesn’t quite deliver the right combinations to crack
Consulting firms:building value
charge McKinsey fees to do really well from client
assignments. It would be wonderful but it’s just
not realistic, so agency CEOs would do better to
not let their pride get the better off them and
remember that their cost base is also just a shade
different too.
For all the systems, knowledge banks and MBAs of
the consultants I am firmly of that view that there’s
just something in the blood and creative genes of the
best practitioners of the agency world that delivers
something unique. Something almost priceless, but
whose value now at last we can start to see captured
and measured through the campaigns that they are
delivering.
Demanding conditions for sure. Hopeless? Far from
it. Agencies have much to admire in the best
consulting firms and should learn from them.
Undoubtedly, more of the major consultants will seek
to recruit senior agency talent or buy their businesses
and merge them into their own. It’s nigh on
impossible to envisage data and insights ceasing to
be centre stage in marketing for the decades to come
and while this remains the case, both these industries
will tussle with each other and spur each other on to
ever greater heights.
If you would like to discuss this article further please
contact Jim Houghton at [email protected]
some of the most creative tasks (intentionally a lower
case “c”). The reality is that the opportunity was
probably always there for them as much that might
hurt the pride of the agency world, it’s only the advent
of a data-obsessed world of marketing that the
overall business case makes sense for the consulting
behemoths to apply themselves to it.
This does present an interesting dynamic and
potentially a counter-point to so many agency
boardroom discussions in which many of us have
been involved over the last decade or so, those
discussions about the poisonous rise of procurement
departments, the debates about the inevitable
commoditisation of marketing services, the lamenting
about the inability to charge clients fair prices for
good work.
Of course, I don’t wish to suggest that the crossover
with consulting firms will suddenly rebase pricing and
positioning for agencies (that would be simply naïve)
but where agencies are at the same table as
management consultants they must seize the
opportunity and focus the fight on how they can win
rather than assume that they will simply be out-
gunned. These occasions are becoming more
frequent and as often as not, it is the agency with the
strongest solution for the client.
The competitive sweetspot for agencies is the axis of
creativity, agility and rate card. Agencies don’t need to
www.resultsig.com NINE
The fundamentals of succession planning
If you’ve recently set up your own agency, the
issue of age and succession planning is likely to
be the last thing on your mind. Even if you’ve
been running an agency for a decade or more,
you’ve probably not given the subject much
thought.
What you should be considering from day one
however, is not only succession planning but how
you plan to bring in operational experts. While a
vision for HR, finance and IT might not be built
into your start up plans, every business needs to
broach this issue at a certain point in its
development.
In the standard agency model you generally see
two or three partners who pretty much start out
by covering everything between them. Yet this
approach can quickly hamper growth.
The time comes when they must grasp the nettle
and decide on a strategy for HR, finance and
new business in particular as well as how they
will divide up broader responsibilities between
them.
It’s vital to put in a structure where functional
heads can support and help drive ambitions for
the business while giving the founders breathing
space to focus on the long term business goals.
How to find and engage with your experts
In most cases you’ll be looking outside of the
agency for your HR, financial, procurement and
IT experts. Many growing agencies will be
nervous about making a full time permanent
commitment initially. And that’s understandable
as bringing in an operational expert for the first
time is clearly a leap of faith however well you do
your research.
Financial and HR experts are quite accustomed
to working on a part time or outsourced basis.
For an agency with a headcount of around 20 to
60 people a good quality FT and HR director on
two to three days a week is an excellent
arrangement. It brings board level capability
without incurring the costs of a full time hire. It
can also mean you will get great quality people
as many senior HR and financial people are
attracted to a portfolio career.
Doing your due diligence
Clearly taking on a senior HR, financial or new
business expert is a big step for a growing
agency. There is no shortage of people offering
their services but if truth be told, a minority truly
excel at what they do.
New business can be particularly problematic and
we’ve all heard a horror story or two. Make
absolutely sure that you do your due diligence
before you engage them. Make sure too that you
have a period of getting to know each other
before committing to any long term relationship.
Choosing the right new business resource needs
particular care. Referrals will get you through the
first couple of years but sooner or later a growing
agency will need to think about a structured
approach to growth if it is to get to the next level.
There are many options in this space. Do you
hire a new business agency? A lead generation
specialist? Or do you go for the in-house
approach?
Clearly though, as the agency founder/manager
you must take some of the responsibility for
making the future partnership a successful one.
Be absolutely clear as to their brief and what you
expect your expert to deliver for you and your
business. Consult with your senior team and your
non-executive director if you have one.
A word about HR
A good HR person will act as your eyes and ears.
As a busy founder/manager you simply cannot
keep tabs on how everyone is performing.
Reward and praise is an important motivator and
a good HR support will ensure that you recognise
personnel who consistently go above and
beyond. They will also alert you to any simmering
discontent with the agency so that you can nip it
in the bud before it becomes damaging to morale
overall.
While HR can often be seen as an admin
function actually it plays a fundamental role in
optimising the use of your people. Quite simply a
good, experienced head of HR and the function
more broadly can transform an agency. On the
flip side, it’s no exaggeration to say that bad HR
practice can destroy an agency. Putting a good
person in the wrong role or in a challenging role
without providing the necessary support can do
enormous harm.
Good practices start with recruitment strategies
that attract the best people in the industry. If your
competitors are getting these people then you
simply won’t be able to compete and grow the
business in the longer term.
A good HR person will help you identify and
attract the best candidates. They will help hone
your employee value proposition and ensure that
your onboarding and career development
practices are industry-leading.
Conclusion
In summary, it’s never too early for agency
founders/managers to think about letting go of
some of the key management functions as well
as succession planning in the broadest sense of
the word. Sir Martin Sorrell might not want to
publicly entertain the matter but you can be sure
he’s on the case behind the scenes!
If you would like to discuss this article further please
contact Keith Hunt at [email protected]
Succession Planning
TEN www.resultsig.com
In 1995, when AIM was launched, it
was heralded for providing an excellent
platform for investors to engage with
young, smaller and fast growing
companies and for such companies to
raise capital to fund their ambitions,
particularly attractive to the fast-paced
TMT sector.
AIM was particularly fruitful in the mid-2000s for
a number of marcoms agencies, Cello and
Mission to name a couple, both of whom raised
capital to fund their rapid growth and acquisition
strategies.
But whilst the FTSE grew almost 16% in the 12
months to June 2013, AIM grew by only half this
amount and many of the marketing services,
technology and digital media stocks remain,
arguably undervalued.
These businesses have weathered a downturn,
streamlined operations, reduced debt and are
looking towards good levels of growth and
profitability in future years. But still their market
values on AIM remain depressed.
AIM has suffered from a dwindling supply of
investors and increasing illiquidity in shares.
Illiquidity has bred volatility and consequently,
new investors are viewing AIM shares as high
risk and new would-be AIM companies are
seeking other, “off-market” investment to obtain
capital.
For many technology companies, however, a
listing on AIM has proved to be an interesting
stepping stone en route to NASDAQ providing a
platform through which companies are able to
generate an early-stage public market profile.
Mobile marketing and technology company Velti,
floated on AIM in 2006, raising c.£10m at a price
of 100p per share. The company subsequently
floated on NASDAQ and de-listed from AIM at a
price of 1,125p per share, an impressive
increase in value.
But NASDAQ is seen as a more appropriate
exchange for technology companies, given the
large number of other technologies listed on the
market and the broader financial analyst
coverage of the industry enabling companies to
obtain a ‘proper’ valuation, whereas AIM is seen
as restrictive.
NASDAQ also has a higher global profile, and
with more and more technology companies
seeking global expansion, it makes a lot more
sense, like Velti, to be part of a globally tracked
market.
Velti isn’t the only AIM company to have followed
this route. CBay Systems, a specialist in medical
transcriptions, also made the change, as well as
OCZ Technology, who floated on NASDAQ at
more than 10 times its market capitalisation on
AIM.
The number of companies leaving AIM is,
however, contracting in its decline. In a study
produced by Deloitte, the number of companies
listed on AIM had fallen to 4% compared to 16%
in 2009.
The study also revealed that the situation for AIM
departures was also significantly more positive –
of the 113 companies that had left the market by
November, 41 were acquired, 17 were subject to
reverse take-overs and 3 had upgraded to main-
market LSE.
However, the decline of companies (and the
remaining 52 who weren’t subject to such
positive exits from the market in 2012) on AIM is
something that is being addressed. At the start of
2013 there were almost 1,100 companies quoted
on AIM, compared to c.1,700 in 2007, a decline
that the government is trying to combat in an
attempt to reinvigorate investment into small,
fast-growth companies.
The government has sought to encourage
investment in AIM principally through providing
tax breaks to investors, the newest initiative
being the removal of stamp duty on AIM quoted
shares.
Following this regime, AIM investors will be
exempt from capital gains, income, inheritance
and stamp duty tax. But the question remains
whether this will be sufficient to rejuvenate the
market. Floating on AIM does have some
benefits; profile raising, a means to incentivise
staff and a mechanism to provide a market in a
Company’s shares. But it’s no longer the ‘go to’
solution it once was.
At Results, we continue to see a buoyant M&A
market where fast-growth businesses are
accessing investors and strategic partners in a
variety of creatively structured transactions.
As with the number of buyers/ investors in the
market, these companies, before signing up to a
deal, are obtaining a wealth of different offers
and structures providing them capital for organic
and acquisitive growth.
Perhaps most aptly, earlier this year VSA
Resources, an adviser to AIM companies, said it
had plans to delist from AIM as it “would be
better for the Company to operate in the private
arena as this could enable further capital to be
raised more easily”.
With the private market so buoyant, is there an
aim to AIM?
If you would like to discuss this article, please
contact Mark Williams at [email protected]
Is there an aim to AIM?
www.resultsig.com ELEVEN
Our recent transactions
On behalf of the Rainbow Trust, this
year’s Charity of the Year, Results
International and friends took on a two
day cycle ride through the Welsh
countryside. Both serious and amateur
cyclists took part, with participants
cycling between 80 and 120 miles.
In addition to cycling, participants spent a night in the
delightful Welsh countryside, enjoyed a delicious
BBQ, competed in an exciting auction and crossed
their fingers for the raffle prizes. Generously
contributed prizes ranged from a flight across the
channel, aerobatics, a day as a polo player, a rib race
across the Solent, gym membership, bike fittings, a
VISIJAX® cycling jacket and a Hosoi Penny
skateboard. The event was a great success and
we raised nearly £9,000! Thank you to everyone who
took part to support such a worthy cause. The
Rainbow Trust Children's Charity provides emotional
and practical support to families who have a child
with a life threatening or terminal illness.
Please visit the website www.rainbowtrust.org.uk
and read through the inspiring case studies to see
how The Rainbow Trust can really help transform
young people and their families’ lives.
If you would like to get involved in any of our events, do
get in touch with Sarah Lees at [email protected]
Tour de Wales forThe Rainbow Trust
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merged with
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St Ives Group
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Results International acted for The Group
Mark Wignall, Mobeus Equity -
“Thank you for inviting me to your fantastic event.
The organisation and the company were first class
and your team did themselves and your company
very proud. Everyone had a fantastic time.”
Nick Evans, GlobalRange -
“I had a great time and really enjoyed meeting the
other attendees. Many times this week I have
looked out the various office windows and thought
how much more I would have preferred to be
cycling through the Welsh countryside.”
WPP
www.resultsig.com
27 Soho Square, London W1D 3AY
Tel: +44 (0)20 7629 7575
Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority
Andrew Kefford
Managing Partner,
Asia Pacific
& MENA
David Blois
Regional Director,
Eastern and Central
Europe
Hemavli Bali
Director
Keith Hunt
Managing Partner
Andy Collins
Senior Partner
Julia Crawley-
Boevey
Manager
Eduardo Steiner
Managing Partner,
Latin America
& Managing Partner,
Brazil
Arne Tödt
Managing Partner,
Germany
Richard Eyre
Non-Executive
Director
Chris Jones
Non-Executive
Chairman
Angela Lurssen
Director
Imad Kublawi
Partner, MENA
Chris Beaumont
Managing Partner,
North Asia
Sunil Gupta
Managing Partner,
South Asia
Pierre-Georges
Roy
Partner,
GroupArgent
USA
Graham Beckett
Founding Partner
& Non-Executive
Director
Jim Houghton
Partner
UK
Sarah Lees
Marketing Manager
International
Jamie Kefford
Manager,
South East Asia
Afsor Miah
Knowledge Manager
Sheungyu Cho
Analyst
Maurice Watkins
Partner,
GroupArgent
USA
Andrew Dysch
Head of Finance
Drew Meyers
Partner,
GroupArgent
USA
The team
Anthony
Harrington
Manager
Sherif Hegazy
Analyst
Harriet
Rosethorn
Analyst
Kevin Bottomley
Managing Director
Julie Langley
Managing Director
Jo Crawford
Office Manager / PA
Emily Wickham
PA
Mark Williams
Manager
Vikky Gray
PA
Bridget de Lima
Senior Analyst
Daniel Lee
Analyst
Carrie Yang
Senior Analyst