Political Economy of Terrorism and War

Start from the present

Taliban Attacks in Pakistan (NY Times)

Class Dismissed (NY Times)

Main questions

Where did this Taliban come from?

What was the role of domestic politics?

Religious ideology, education, poverty?

Role of imperialism and occupations?

From Eqbal Ahmad

“In 1985, President Ronald Reagan received a group of bearded men. These bearded men I was writing about in those days in The New Yorker, actually did. They were very ferocious-looking bearded men with turbans looking like they came from another century. President Reagan received them in the White House. After receiving them he spoke to the press. He pointed towards them, I’m sure some of you will recall that moment, and said, “These are the moral equivalent of America’s founding fathers”. These were the Afghan Mujahiddin. They were at the time, guns in hand, battling the Evil Empire. They were the moral equivalent of our founding fathers!”

Focus on Pakistan

The Map: Territory & Community

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Kashmir: What is at issue?

Self-determination and independenceSecularism versus religion as a basis for statesTerritoryDislocation and loss of livesIdentity

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Some basics…

Independence on August 14, 1947East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) and West

Pakistan4 provinces: Sindh, Punjab, Balochistan, NWFP3 territories: Azad Kashmir, Federally

Administered Tribal Areas, and Gilgit-BaltistanNational language is Urdu - but most people

speak Punjabi (60-70%)

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Pakistan (3)

Tensions with India, Kashmir situation etc., also created insecurity

This led in turn to a strengthening of the military

Resource scarcity

Assassination of first PM Liaqaut Ali Khan

By 1951, the US saw this as an opportunity to extend Cold War politics

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Sources of Power: Pakistan

Military

Bureaucracy

Landowning Classes

Prime Minister and Party in government

President

Religion & Religious Leaders

External relations (in particular, with the US)

Locus of power

President Undemocratic constitutions (especially since Zia), with unprecedented concentration of powers in the President

Military Weakness of the political system; Perceived threat of external aggression

Bureaucracy History & state formation;Elitism of the Muslim League;Concentration of power in the head;Cultural bias against politicians;

Religion Perhaps the most complex locus of power

The US The US’s own interests - oil- anti-communism

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Regimes Sources of legitimacy

M.A. Jinnah (1947-8) Creator of independent Pakistan

Ayub Khan (1958-69) Developmentalism

Yahya Khan (1969-71) Democratization

Zulfikar Ali Bhutto (1971-77) Democracy/populism

Benazir Bhutto & Nawaz Sharif

‘Democratic regime’ (?)

Pervez Musharraf (1999-2008) War on Terror

Present Democracy (?)

Constitution

3 constitutions since independence (1956, 1962, 1973) each reiterating the importance of Islam

The last iteration (1973) of the constitution came after the cessation of East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) in 1971

Role of Religion in the State

The various degrees of state secularity/religiousity of different governments demonstrates the difficulties, at the state level, to articulate the role of Islam in the state

Zia-ul-Haq’s government (1973-1988) came closest to implementing Shariah law through its ‘Islamization programs’, but no federal government has fully implemented Shariah Law

Shariah Law has existed, however, in certain territories

Women in Pakistan

Zia-ul-Haq’s ‘Islamization’ policies had detrimental effects for women especially through a set of law called the Hudood Ordinances

A vocal and vociferous women’s movement emerged during Zia’s rule

Women’s movement in Pakistan struggling to articulate a balance between Islam and secularism

Political Economy of Defence

Ayesha Jalal (1995) has argued that Pakistan’s overdeveloped military has had determinative effects on Pakistan’s political economy

She argues that there is a key difference between the political economies of India and Pakistan:India has a ‘political economy of development’Pakistan has a ‘political economy of defence’

Political Economy of Defence

First decade after independence, Pakistani military and civil administration took up 3/4 of the federal budget

Military governments Ayub Khan (1958) Zia-ul Haq (1977) Pervez Musharraf (1999)

Political Economy of Defence

Class aspect of military is tied to the extent to which the military has been able to infiltrate key economic structures/entities

Military presence can be felt in: housing developments, agriculture, transportation, oil/gas, defence production, hospitals, schools

Greater upward mobility for military personnel and their families because of access to better social services (schools, hospitals)

Political Economy of Defence

“Dominance of non-elected institutions in Pakistan…points to a disjunction between state power and class power” (Jalal, 144)

Support of landowning families alongside failure to bring about effective land reforms

Mutually constitutive relationship between dominant social classes and military i.e. members of military entereing dominant social classes, and dominant social classes being protected by military

Political Economy of Defence

Why military overdevelopment?

Pakistan: On a Razor’s Edge

Opposition to military

The military has been met with opposition from other political parties

But many of the same parties have often worked in tandem with the military to secure their power

The times where political parties have emerged in opposition to the military is connected to the degree of economic marginalization in the country

Opposition to military

Zulfikar Ali Bhutto (Pakistan People’s Party) took power in 1971 in the context of unrest in rural areas, including rural Punjab

“Roti, kapra, aur makaan” - bread, clothes, and shelter

(1971-1977) Glimmer of democracy Bhutto legacy (dynasty) is very strong but is

also often romanticized (ex. treatment mohajirs) Post-Zia - “constitutional coups”

Strategic Importance of Pakistan in International Relations Pakistan’s neighbours - Afghanistan, Iran,

India, China Cold War War on Terror Not separate from overdevelopment of

military

Human Development in Pakistan

http://hdrstats.undp.org/en/countries/profiles/PAK.html

Does this mean terrorism?

What does your book say?

Schaeffer: (1)

“First, 9/11 joined together separate problems across the Middle

East: conflicts related to partition in India and Palestine and revolutions

and wars in the Gulf and Afghanistan. Before 9/11, these conflicts were

treated as distinct problems. Today, they are seen as inextricably linked”.

Schaeffer (2)

“in regional terms, 9/11 prompted U.S. invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. The Bush administration’s “war on terror” also led to the intensificationof already existing conflicts between Israelis and Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza, and between Indians, Pakistanis, and Muslim insurgents in the Kashmir.

Schaeffer (3)

Third, in economic terms, 9/11 and the wars that followed contributed

to recession and, more recently, a new housing crisis. To appreciate the

immediate and possible long-term consequences of these developments,

we will examine each of them briefly.

How have these wars been fought?

“outsourcing war” Estimates of the numbers of PMC personnel in Afghanistan vary from 130,000 to 160,000 the second-largest deployment after Iraq (3), which it is set to overtake in the near future. The 30,000 extra US troops bound for Afghanistan could be accompanied by up to 56,000 additional contractor personnel. PMC contractors will then account for nearly two-thirds of all the Pentagon’s personnel in Afghanistan, the highest ratio in any conflict in the history of the US”

Read more: http://www.rawa.org/temp/runews/2010/02/09/afghanistans-outsourced-war.html#ixzz1HKHVN7AI

“

PMFs and PMCs

http://www.corpwatch.org/article.php?id=13993

“PMFs are businesses that provide governments with professional services intricately linked to warfare; they represent, in other words, the corporate evolution of the age-old profession of mercenaries. Unlike the individual dogs of war of the past, however, PMFs are corporate bodies that offer a wide range of services, from tactical combat operations and strategic planning to logistical support and technical assistance”.

Just in time and lean production of wars

- Downsizing the military but permanent war agenda

- Possibility of war profiteering

- deregulation

- unemployment

What does it mean for 'development' ?

Recall three ways of defining development

- capability

- human face

- social power

What do I have to know for the exam?

- three approaches to development

- migration

- financial crisis

- political economy of war and terrorism

Format of exams

You have to choose two out of five